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VENEZUELA
CRISIS
BY MEHARWAR NAJAM
INTRODUCTION
 Venezuela is a country rich in resources that has
suffered from both internal mismanagement and
external intervention.
 A socioeconomic and political crisis that began in
Venezuela during the presidency of HugoChávez has
continued into the presidency of Nicolás Maduro. It is
marked by hyperinflation, escalating starvation,
disease, crime and mortality rates, resulting in massive
emigration from the country.
 In comparison to historical crises, it is more severe than
that of the United States during the Great Depression
BACKROUND
 In 1999, Hugo Chavez became president of the country. He
pledged to fix income inequality in the nation by giving to
the poor, who felt neglected in the classist society. Many
Venezuelans believed in his promises, and his charismatic
personality made many of his followers support him
unconditionally.
 During 2000s, Chavez increasingly tightened his grip on
authority. He introduced a new constitution, began to
strictly regulate the media, “threatened and punished his
political opponents,” according to a report from Human
Rights Watch, and forged an alliance with the Cuban
government.
 By 2013, before his death, Chavez was a force to be
reckoned with ,he had strategically placed his supporters at
the most important levels of the government, the military,
and the state-run oil company.
CONTINUED
 Before Chavez died of cancer in 2013, he named Nicolas Maduro as his
successor. He is leader of the United Socialist Party ofVenezuela (PSUV), and
was narrowly elected in 2013 after the death of populist President Hugo
Chávez, who had served since 1999.
 Maduro promised to continue his predecessor’s legacy through established
and popular social programs. Shortly after Maduro came to power, the price of
oil dropped, and because 98% ofVenezuela's export earnings come from oil,
the state of the country declined rapidly.
ECONOMIC CRISIS
 The decline is now deeper than that of the Soviet Union after its
breakup
 Gross domestic product shrank from about $196 billion in 2013 to some
$80 billion last year, smaller than that of Guatemala or Ethiopia,
according to calculations fromAGPV Asesores Económicos, a Caracas-
based consulting firm, and the International Monetary Fund.
HYPERINFLATION
 Hyperinflation is destroying the economy. Consumer
prices have risen more than 50% per month since
November 2017, including a jump of about 65% in the
first 10 weeks of 2019, according to estimates from
Ecoanalítica.
 The pace of inflation in Venezuela is among the fastest
recorded in recent world history, according to the IIF
 Wages have become worthless. Some basic goods, like
food and nonalcoholic beverages, rose almost 50% just in
January, according to Ecoanalítica estimates. The
monthly salary of a schoolteacher is enough to buy a
dozen eggs and about 2 pounds of cheese.
REMITTANCES
More than 3.4 million Venezuelans have
left the country in recent years, and most
of them send money to relatives back
home. Remittances rose by almost 57%
last year. Millions of Venezuelans depend
on such transfers, which average some
$80 per month per family, to survive.
TAXATION
Tax collection has dropped as a result of
falling production and hyperinflation.
The government is insolvent and lack
sources of foreign funding
$8 billion denominated debt was due this
year
OIL
PRODUCTION
 Venezuela has vast amounts of oil, owning 25
percent of the world’s reserves of crude
 By 2018 the political and economic troubles
facing Venezuela had engulfed the El Tigre-San
Tomé region, a key region for oil production in
eastern Venezuela. Oil workers were fleeing the
state-owned oil company as salaries could not
keep up with hyperinflation, reducing families
to starvation.
POITICAL
CRISIS
 An opposition-led National Assembly was elected in 2015 and a movement toward
recalling Maduro began in 2016; Maduro maintained power through the Supreme
Tribunal, the National Electoral Council and the military.
 Maduro called for a rewrite of the constitution, and the Constituent Assembly of
Venezuela was elected in 2017, The majority of nations in the Western world did not
recognize the Constituent Assembly election or the validity of Maduro's 2018 re-
election
 A crisis concerning who is the legitimate President of Venezuela has been underway
since 10 January 2019, with the nation and the world divided in support for Nicolás
Maduro or Juan Guaidó.
 The National Assembly elected Juan Guaidó as its president on January 5, 2019; he is
a 35-year-old industrial engineer from the Popular Will (VP) party. In mid-January,
Guaidó announced he was willing to serve as interim president until new presidential
elections are held.
 Guaidó has been recognized as the acting President ofVenezuela by 54 countries
INTERNATIONAL
PLAYERS
US interests inVenezuela
IDEOLOGICAL
OIL and RESOURCES
GEOSTRATEIC GOALS
REGIONAL(INTER-American democratic charter)
VENEZUELA ALLIANCEWITH RUSSIA and CHINA
MAITAIN INFLUENCE IN LATIN AMERICA
UNITED STATES
 Russia has remained a strong ally of the Maduro
government.
 Venezuela was a major market for Russian arms
between 2006 and 2013, with an estimated $4 billion
in sales
 Venezuela reportedly had more than 5,000 Russian-
made surface-to-air missiles as of 2017, raising
concern about the potential for them being stolen or
sold to criminal or terrorist groups.
 Russian state oil company Rosneft has also invested
billions of dollars inVenezuela.
 Russia’s 2017 decision to allowVenezuela to
restructure $3 billion in debt provided much-needed
financial relief to the Maduro government.
RUSSIA
 China’s interest in Venezuela is primarily
economic, and the Chinese government has
reportedly been in contact with the Guaidó
government.
 From 2007 through 2016, China provided some
$62.2 billion in financing toVenezuela.
China has also provided loans for military
equipment to be repaid by oil deliveries.
CHINA
OTHERS
 Apart from United States, 53 other countries have formally
recognized the interim government of Juan Guaidó.These
countries include most members of the EU,Canada, 14 countries
in LatinAmerica and the Caribbean,Australia, Israel, Japan, and
South Korea, among others.
 Some of those countries have undertaken initiatives to increase
pressure on Maduro to leave office.
 Canada, the EU, Panama, and Switzerland have placed targeted
sanctions on Maduro officials and have frozen reserves formerly
controlled by the Maduro government and/or blocked suspicious
financial transactions involving Maduro.
 83 Other countries have withdrawn their diplomats from Caracas
and/or accepted the credentials of diplomats representing the
Guaidó government.
GREAT POWER
COMPETITION
 Venezuela has become an arena of geopolitical competition
 Both Russia and China have interests in Venezuelan oil.
They wish to buy it at a fair price, which the U.S. doesn’t.
While the U.S. has an enduring policy of increasingly brutal
sanctions against Venezuela, Russia has an enduring policy
of bailing Venezuela out. China has $60 billion worth of loans
and interests in Maduro’s government.
 The reason for the alliance of Russia, China, Iran, and
Venezuela is simply that they oppose Washington’s policy of
world domination
 The U.S. is targeting Russian investments in the Venezuelan
oil sector. Venezuela owes Rosneft, the state-backed oil
company of Russia, $2.3 billion.
 U.S. officials have accused Russia for sustaining up Maduro’s
regime
SANCTIONS
 The Trump Administration has significantly expanded sanctions on
Venezuela
 targeted specific Venezuelan officials, the Maduro government’s
access to the U.S. financial system, and Venezuela’s oil and gold
sectors, which are key sectors and sources of financing for the
Maduro government
 In August 2017, President Trump issued E.O. 13808 to prohibit
access to U.S. financial markets by theVenezuelan government
 The recent round of sanctions from the Trump administration has
pushed the Venezuelan government to publish its oil prices in
Chinese Yuan which has been seen as a fulfilled promise from
President Nicolás Maduro to layoff the U.S dollar
 sanctions might represent an opportunity for countries like Russia
and China to penetrate markets in the Caribbean
Venezuela crisis

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Venezuela crisis

  • 2. INTRODUCTION  Venezuela is a country rich in resources that has suffered from both internal mismanagement and external intervention.  A socioeconomic and political crisis that began in Venezuela during the presidency of HugoChávez has continued into the presidency of Nicolás Maduro. It is marked by hyperinflation, escalating starvation, disease, crime and mortality rates, resulting in massive emigration from the country.  In comparison to historical crises, it is more severe than that of the United States during the Great Depression
  • 3. BACKROUND  In 1999, Hugo Chavez became president of the country. He pledged to fix income inequality in the nation by giving to the poor, who felt neglected in the classist society. Many Venezuelans believed in his promises, and his charismatic personality made many of his followers support him unconditionally.  During 2000s, Chavez increasingly tightened his grip on authority. He introduced a new constitution, began to strictly regulate the media, “threatened and punished his political opponents,” according to a report from Human Rights Watch, and forged an alliance with the Cuban government.  By 2013, before his death, Chavez was a force to be reckoned with ,he had strategically placed his supporters at the most important levels of the government, the military, and the state-run oil company.
  • 4. CONTINUED  Before Chavez died of cancer in 2013, he named Nicolas Maduro as his successor. He is leader of the United Socialist Party ofVenezuela (PSUV), and was narrowly elected in 2013 after the death of populist President Hugo Chávez, who had served since 1999.  Maduro promised to continue his predecessor’s legacy through established and popular social programs. Shortly after Maduro came to power, the price of oil dropped, and because 98% ofVenezuela's export earnings come from oil, the state of the country declined rapidly.
  • 5. ECONOMIC CRISIS  The decline is now deeper than that of the Soviet Union after its breakup  Gross domestic product shrank from about $196 billion in 2013 to some $80 billion last year, smaller than that of Guatemala or Ethiopia, according to calculations fromAGPV Asesores Económicos, a Caracas- based consulting firm, and the International Monetary Fund.
  • 6.
  • 7. HYPERINFLATION  Hyperinflation is destroying the economy. Consumer prices have risen more than 50% per month since November 2017, including a jump of about 65% in the first 10 weeks of 2019, according to estimates from Ecoanalítica.  The pace of inflation in Venezuela is among the fastest recorded in recent world history, according to the IIF  Wages have become worthless. Some basic goods, like food and nonalcoholic beverages, rose almost 50% just in January, according to Ecoanalítica estimates. The monthly salary of a schoolteacher is enough to buy a dozen eggs and about 2 pounds of cheese.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. REMITTANCES More than 3.4 million Venezuelans have left the country in recent years, and most of them send money to relatives back home. Remittances rose by almost 57% last year. Millions of Venezuelans depend on such transfers, which average some $80 per month per family, to survive.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. TAXATION Tax collection has dropped as a result of falling production and hyperinflation. The government is insolvent and lack sources of foreign funding $8 billion denominated debt was due this year
  • 14.
  • 15. OIL PRODUCTION  Venezuela has vast amounts of oil, owning 25 percent of the world’s reserves of crude  By 2018 the political and economic troubles facing Venezuela had engulfed the El Tigre-San Tomé region, a key region for oil production in eastern Venezuela. Oil workers were fleeing the state-owned oil company as salaries could not keep up with hyperinflation, reducing families to starvation.
  • 16.
  • 18.  An opposition-led National Assembly was elected in 2015 and a movement toward recalling Maduro began in 2016; Maduro maintained power through the Supreme Tribunal, the National Electoral Council and the military.  Maduro called for a rewrite of the constitution, and the Constituent Assembly of Venezuela was elected in 2017, The majority of nations in the Western world did not recognize the Constituent Assembly election or the validity of Maduro's 2018 re- election  A crisis concerning who is the legitimate President of Venezuela has been underway since 10 January 2019, with the nation and the world divided in support for Nicolás Maduro or Juan Guaidó.  The National Assembly elected Juan Guaidó as its president on January 5, 2019; he is a 35-year-old industrial engineer from the Popular Will (VP) party. In mid-January, Guaidó announced he was willing to serve as interim president until new presidential elections are held.  Guaidó has been recognized as the acting President ofVenezuela by 54 countries
  • 19. INTERNATIONAL PLAYERS US interests inVenezuela IDEOLOGICAL OIL and RESOURCES GEOSTRATEIC GOALS REGIONAL(INTER-American democratic charter) VENEZUELA ALLIANCEWITH RUSSIA and CHINA MAITAIN INFLUENCE IN LATIN AMERICA UNITED STATES
  • 20.  Russia has remained a strong ally of the Maduro government.  Venezuela was a major market for Russian arms between 2006 and 2013, with an estimated $4 billion in sales  Venezuela reportedly had more than 5,000 Russian- made surface-to-air missiles as of 2017, raising concern about the potential for them being stolen or sold to criminal or terrorist groups.  Russian state oil company Rosneft has also invested billions of dollars inVenezuela.  Russia’s 2017 decision to allowVenezuela to restructure $3 billion in debt provided much-needed financial relief to the Maduro government. RUSSIA
  • 21.  China’s interest in Venezuela is primarily economic, and the Chinese government has reportedly been in contact with the Guaidó government.  From 2007 through 2016, China provided some $62.2 billion in financing toVenezuela. China has also provided loans for military equipment to be repaid by oil deliveries. CHINA
  • 22. OTHERS  Apart from United States, 53 other countries have formally recognized the interim government of Juan Guaidó.These countries include most members of the EU,Canada, 14 countries in LatinAmerica and the Caribbean,Australia, Israel, Japan, and South Korea, among others.  Some of those countries have undertaken initiatives to increase pressure on Maduro to leave office.  Canada, the EU, Panama, and Switzerland have placed targeted sanctions on Maduro officials and have frozen reserves formerly controlled by the Maduro government and/or blocked suspicious financial transactions involving Maduro.  83 Other countries have withdrawn their diplomats from Caracas and/or accepted the credentials of diplomats representing the Guaidó government.
  • 23.
  • 24. GREAT POWER COMPETITION  Venezuela has become an arena of geopolitical competition  Both Russia and China have interests in Venezuelan oil. They wish to buy it at a fair price, which the U.S. doesn’t. While the U.S. has an enduring policy of increasingly brutal sanctions against Venezuela, Russia has an enduring policy of bailing Venezuela out. China has $60 billion worth of loans and interests in Maduro’s government.  The reason for the alliance of Russia, China, Iran, and Venezuela is simply that they oppose Washington’s policy of world domination  The U.S. is targeting Russian investments in the Venezuelan oil sector. Venezuela owes Rosneft, the state-backed oil company of Russia, $2.3 billion.  U.S. officials have accused Russia for sustaining up Maduro’s regime
  • 25. SANCTIONS  The Trump Administration has significantly expanded sanctions on Venezuela  targeted specific Venezuelan officials, the Maduro government’s access to the U.S. financial system, and Venezuela’s oil and gold sectors, which are key sectors and sources of financing for the Maduro government  In August 2017, President Trump issued E.O. 13808 to prohibit access to U.S. financial markets by theVenezuelan government  The recent round of sanctions from the Trump administration has pushed the Venezuelan government to publish its oil prices in Chinese Yuan which has been seen as a fulfilled promise from President Nicolás Maduro to layoff the U.S dollar  sanctions might represent an opportunity for countries like Russia and China to penetrate markets in the Caribbean