Overall normal post December increase across programs with the exception of asylum claimants and students.
The percentage of former temporary residents transitioning to permanent residency was the highest to date, 78 percent of all Permanent Residents.
Asylum claimants continue at about 15,000 per month.
The impact of the cap on international students is not yet apparent in the February website data (possible leading indicator). February operational data on applications and permits issued will likely indicate impact.
Full 2023 settlement services now included, showing 53 percent increase compared to 2022.
Full 2023 citizenship application data now included, showing 20 percent increase compared to 2022, with the January number of new citizens increasing by a comparable on a year-over-year basis.
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Canadian Immigration Tracker - January 2024.pdf
1. Canadian Immigration Tracker
2018 to January 2024
Working Draft - Key Slides
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
2. Programs Examined
⢠Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic (PNP and Federal), Family and Refugees
⢠TR to Permanent Resident transition
⢠Asylum Claimants
⢠Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS),
Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment,
spouses)
⢠Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other
workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA)
⢠Study Permits (international students)
⢠Settlement Services
⢠Citizenship
⢠Visitor Visas
2
3. January 2024 Highlights
⢠PRs: Admissions Increase from 37,170 in December to 47,655 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2022 in parentheses):
Economic - PNP -19.1% (195.1%), Economic - Federal 30.7% (1.4%), Family -26.6% (32.8%), Refugees 12.7% (34.7%)
⢠Applications: Given time delays in entering application data, am using a six month time lag. Stable from 38,574 in June (time delays greater) to 37,919 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 52.0%
(-39.2%).
⢠Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: Increase from 4,287 in January (1,007 Arrima) to 18,151 (2,041 Arrima) in February. February year-over-year change (change from 2020): 162.5% (508.9%)
⢠TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Increase from 21,360 in December to 37,135 in January (78 percent of all PRs). January year-over-year change (change from 2022): 16.3% (44.5%)
⢠Temporary Residents:
⢠TRs/IMP: Increase from 52,915 in December to 71,465 in January. January year-over-year (change from 2022): Agreements: -21.8% (-16.7%), Canadian Interests: 19.4% (103.8%), Other IMP Participants 76.0%
(1,767.8%), Not stated 35.4% (297.9%)
⢠TRs/TFWP: Increase from 8,670 in December to 13,170 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2021): Caregivers -38.5% (5.3%), Agriculture -22.7% (-14.4%) and Other LMIA 14.8% (268.2%).
⢠Students: Decrease from 109,310 in December to 51,820 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2023): 25.2% (34.2%)
⢠Applications: Increase from 50,750 in December to 65,074 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2021): 4.7% (46.6%)
⢠Web Get a study permit: Decrease from 78,184 in January to 57,280 in February. February year-over-year change (change from 2022): -9.7% (-12.7%)
⢠Asylum Claimants: Stable from 15,690 in December to 15,155 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2021): 39.4%
(188.4%)
⢠Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc): Remain low level, decline from 226 in December to 191 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2021): -96.2% (-92.0%).
⢠Settlement Services (2023): Increase from 1,941,480 in 2022 to 2,960,330 in 2023 (most recent data, services, not unique clients). 2023 year-
over-year (change from 2021): 52.5% (53.3%)
⢠Citizenship: Increase from 24,579 in December to 33,407 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2022): 19.4% (48.4%)
⢠Applications (2023): From 264,231 in 2022 to 317,538 in 2023. 2023 Year-over-year change (change from 2021): 20.2%% (36.3%)
⢠Visitor Visas: Increase from 121,775 in December to 151,696 in January. January year-over-year change (change from 2022): 23.9% (197.2%).
3
4. Change Across Major Programs
2023 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline
4
PR Applications
PR Admissions-PNP
PR Admissions-Fed
TR2PR
Temporary Workers IMP
Temporary Workers TFWP
Asylum Claimants
Study Permit Applications
Study Permit Holders
Citizenship Applications (2023)
New Citizens
Settlement Services (2023)
Visitor Visas
0% 75% 150% 225% 300%
38.1%
26.7%
113.7%
22.2%
92.2%
132.8%
170.5%
123.8%
226.2%
165.4%
30.8%
69.6%
3.5%
5. Change Across Web Hits
2023 full year Compared to full year 2018 Baseline
5
Get a Study Permit
Get a Work Permit
Immigrate to Canada
Find immigrant Services
Apply for Citizenship
-45% -30% -15% 0% 15% 30% 45% 60%
-36.3%
47.5%
-7.6%
55.5%
18.5%
7. Express Entry & Arrima Invitationsâ2018-24
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
CEC PNP No Program Federal Skilled Trades Healthcare
STEM Trades Transport Agriculture French
General QC Arrima 7
8. PR Applications: Region of Citizenship â2018-23
35,000
70,000
105,000
140,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
8
Note: Given delays in entering applications in processing systems, a six month time lag is used. May 2021 surge driven by
applications from India (corrected from previous version)
10. Admissions: PRs Region of Citizenshipâ2018-24
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
10
11. Admissions: PRs Canada Total
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees
69.6%
27.5%
30.8%
69.6%
34.7%
32.8%
1.4%
195.1%
12.7%
-26.6%
30.7%
-19.1%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
11
12. Admissions: PNP Provinces
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-35%
0%
35%
70%
105%
140%
Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC
60.9%
48.9%
77.2%
56.4%
88%
82.9%
134.2%
35.3%
-16.6%
28.4%
32.4%
36.1%
-28.2%
0.4%
-0.3%
-27.7%
-26.5%
-22.7%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
12
13. Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries â Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-40%
20%
80%
140%
India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK
-21.3%
33.7%
128.9%
21.1%
-5.1%
101.3%
-29.9%
6.5%
-37.3%
67.8%
13.5%
135.2%
18.6%
35.9%
3.3%
9.7%
-6.9%
35.5%
70.4%
33.4%
-31%
-28.2%
-44.3%
-7.3%
-39.4%
-10.8%
-46%
-32.5%
17.2%
9.3%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
13
15. Admissions by Province: TRs to PRs
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
154.4%
81.9%
110.8%
415.3%
197.7%
53.6%
296.6%
6.3%
118.5%
121.4%
73.6%
32.2%
46%
133.2%
4.6%
22%
-6.5%
-16.1%
37.4%
-11.8%
1.4%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
15
16. Admissions: TRs to PRs
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-45%
0%
45%
90%
135%
180%
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
122.8%
132.7%
176.6%
170.9%
38.1%
50.3%
25.5%
55.4%
8.1%
-16%
23.7%
20.6%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
16
19. Asylum Claimants: Of
fi
ce Type 2018-24
4,500
9,000
13,500
18,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Airport Border Inland Other
19
Note: The âother claim of
fi
ceâ surge in September-November likely re
fl
ected delays in classi
fi
cation, most of these were likely Inland
25. Temporary Residents by Program Canada
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA
338.8%
35.7%
-45.4%
162.1%
-46.4%
268.2%
-14.4%
5.3%
103.8%
-16.7%
14.8%
-22.7%
-38.5%
19.4%
-21.8%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
25
26. IMP by Region of Citizenshipâ2018-24
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania
26
27. IMP by Citizenship
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 CountriesâOrdered by
2018 base year
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan
18%
58.1%
41.3%
-26.6%
-12.1%
24.4%
55.1%
51.1%
-27%
417.8%
71.2%
42.1%
114.1%
11%
75%
89.6%
86.5%
35%
64.9%
143.3%
-9.2%
-4.1%
23%
-22.9%
-3.2%
10.4%
15.2%
0.2%
3%
17.5%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
27
28. IMP by Province
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 CountriesâOrdered by 2018 base year
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
164.1%
198.8%
147.9%
236.1%
282.2%
161.9%
288.4%
136.7%
251.5%
180.7%
202.8%
194.9%
130.2%
277.7%
54.2%
29.7%
36.3%
-4.9%
30.7%
45.6%
53.7%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
28
29. TFWP by Region of Citizenshipâ2018-24
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania
29
30. TFWP by Citizenship
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 CountriesâOrdered by
2018 base year
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France
301.1%
253.1%
17.5%
-39.2%
21.5%
289.2%
153.7%
114.2%
15.5%
62.5%
241.7%
270%
90.9%
112.5%
100%
336.9%
152.1%
12.1%
-44.6%
2%
15.5%
89.7%
0%
-5.6%
-2.1%
12%
-7.1%
-8.6%
-59.3%
-7.8%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
30
31. TFWP by Province
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18 Top 10 CountriesâOrdered by
2018 base year
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
89.7%
189.9%
148.1%
164.7%
59.1%
239.2%
160.5%
83.4%
221.2%
333.3%
375%
35.2%
109.9%
15.4%
-0.8%
23.9%
30%
62.9%
-8.8%
-0.6%
-30.8%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
31
33. Study Permit ApplicationsâBy Regionâ2018-24
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
33
34. Study Permit HoldersâBy Levelâ2018-24
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies
34
35. Study Permit HoldersâBy Regionâ2018-24
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
35
36. Study Permit Holders by Citizenship
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries â Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria
478%
21.9%
19.4%
111.1%
-1.2%
-10.4%
17.8%
-38.4%
-31.4%
160.6%
125.8%
1%
-54.6%
39.6%
-12.7%
8.3%
-39.4%
-13.3%
53.9%
42.9%
18.6%
-1%
-7.3%
18.1%
-4.6%
-6%
-18.4%
2.5%
31.9%
50.9%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
36
37. Study Permit Holders by Province
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-35%
0%
35%
70%
105%
140%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
54.2%
122.3%
107.9%
56.8%
106.7%
80.1%
91.2%
14.7%
137.6%
34.2%
27.9%
35.8%
51.7%
13.1%
31.7%
67.9%
44.7%
3.4%
26.6%
15.6%
-10.4%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
37
39. Study PermitsâWeb Interest
February Comparison: 2024/21, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 Countries by âGet your study permitâ ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-350%
0%
350%
700%
1,050%
1,400%
India USA China Nigeria Brazil PhilippinesColombia Mexico Iran Pakistan
88.8%
-81.5%
-2%
-24.5%
223%
-38.9%
219.4%
-38.7%
15.4%
-12.7%
18.3%
1,338.6%
-7%
-41.4%
-48%
-39.7%
-10%
9.2%
3.6%
-7.7% -23.8%
1,298.6%
-3.2%
5.4%
-50.6%
-18.1%
-23.3%
-43.2%
-7.3%
32.6%
February 2024/23 February 2024-22 Full year 2023/18
39
48. New CitizensâBy Region of Birthâ2018-24
Numbers
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
48
49. New CitizensâBy Region of Birthâ2018-24
Percentage
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
49
50. Citizenship by Country of Birth
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/22, Full year 2023/18
-200%
-50%
100%
250%
400%
Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France
115%
52.4%
7.5%
81.9%
224.5%
41.6%
28.6%
6.9%
302.4%
86.9%
-2.7%
-29.1%
37.4%
-21.5%
147.2%
10.1%
60.5%
-14.9%
117.4%
56.4%
80%
-45.8%
-5.6%
36.8%
27.2%
0.7%
44%
-18.5%
71.5%
16.8%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
50
52. Visitor VisasâBy Source Countryâ2018-24
75,000
150,000
225,000
300,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 2023-1 2023-7 2024-1
Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other
52
53. Visitor VisasâBy Source Country
January Comparison: 2024/23, 2024/23, Full year 2023/18
Top 10 CountriesâOrdered by 2018 base year
-400%
0%
400%
800%
1,200%
1,600%
China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia
-8.9%
152.9%
163.3%
71.3%
46.1%
-37.3%
-1.5%
58%
76.7%
-52%
230.5%
609.4%
1,487.6%
187.9%
162.6%
67%
60.2%
321.8%
167.8%
214.7%
28.4%
-9%
328.6%
106%
41.4%
15.6%
59.7%
-13.9%
37.8%
100.8%
January 2024/23 January 2024/22 Full year 2023/18
53
54. Research Questions
54
⢠Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries
were most a
ff
ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries
recovered more quickly?
⢠Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source
country?
⢠Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or
tensions with China a factor?
⢠Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for
which countries?
56. Top Countries Share of Total (2018)
10 Countries 25 Countries
Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7%
IMP 70.8% 86.4%
TFWP 85.2% 93.2%
Study Permits 70.3% 73.8%
Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4%
Citizenship 50.3% 71.5%
56
57. Top Countries (2018)
Permanent
Residents
IMP TFWP Students Settlement Citizenship
India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Syria 15,530 Philippines 19,647
Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 Eritrea 11,865 India 19,486
China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Congo 11,355 Iran 10,037
Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 Somalia 10,785 PRC 9,718
Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Afghanistan 9,550 Pakistan 9,406
USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 India 9,035 Nigeria 4,398
Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 Pakistan 8,360 USA 4,229
France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Korea of 7,775 Egypt 4,115
Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Mexico 7,640 Iraq 3,951
UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915
Saudi
Arabia
2,870 Philippines 6,995 France 3,836
57
58. Data Sources
⢠PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions of
Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries
⢠TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada â Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration
Category, Canada â Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category,
Canada â Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada â Admissions of Permanent
Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category
⢠Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O
ffi
ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking),
Claim O
ffi
ce Type and Claim Year
⢠TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s)
became e
ff
ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year
in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada â International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s)
became e
ff
ective, Canada â Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective
⢠Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada - Study permit holders by
province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for
New Study Permit Applications
⢠Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table
⢠Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month
⢠Web: Provided by IRCC
⢠2018 is used as baseline
58