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Chapter 18
Hypothesis Testing
1
Introduction:
Hypothesis testing is the process of deciding statistically whether the findings of an
investigating reflect chance effects or real effects at a given level of probability.
If the results represent real effects, then we say that the results are statistically significant.
That is, when we say that our results are statistically significant, we mean that the patterns
or differences seen in the sample data are generalizable to the population.
2
The logic of hypothesis testing:
Scientifically is called โ€œTesting of Hypothesesโ€. This procedure is used commonly for all cases
where one is not sure about the true situation. There are two types of hypotheses namely:
Alternative hypothesis ๐ป๐ด : Statement which we want to retain or (prove) or (accept)
Null hypothesis ๐ป0 : Statement which we want to reject or (disprove) or (nullify)
๐ป0 is always opposite of ๐ป๐ด
3
For example,
1. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ < 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ฅ 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the left) (directional)
2. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ > 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional)
3. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ > 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the left) (directional)
4. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰ฅ 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ < 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional)
5. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰  60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ = 60 (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional)
6. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ = 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰  60 (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional)
4
Remarks:
1) Both, ๐ป๐ด and ๐ป0 are statements about population parameters.
2) From 1 to 4 above are called directional hypotheses (๐‘ค๐‘’ ๐‘ข๐‘ ๐‘’ ๐›ผ)
3) 5 and 6 above are called are non-directional hypotheses. ๐‘ค๐‘’ ๐‘ข๐‘ ๐‘’
๐›ผ
2
4) ๐ป๐ด and ๐ป0 are mutual exclusive, means that if we reject ๐ป0 then we accept ๐ป๐ด
and vice versa, if we accept ๐ป0 then we reject ๐ป๐ด (We canโ€™t reject both or accept both)
5
Errors in Hypothesis Testing:
Possible hypothesis testing outcomes are shown in the table below:
The probability of Type (I) error is ๐›ผ (always 0 โ‰ค ๐›ผ โ‰ค 1)
The probability of Type (II) error is ๐›ฝ = 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ (always 0 โ‰ค ๐›ฝ โ‰ค 1)
Since ๐›ฝ = 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ, one can observe that,
As ๐œถ increases, then ๐œท decreases
As ๐œถ decreases, then ๐œท increases
6
Decision:
Reject ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ
Decision:
Accept ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ
๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ ๐’Š๐’” ๐’•๐’“๐’–๐’† Type (I) error Correct Decision
๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ ๐’Š๐’” ๐’‡๐’‚๐’๐’”๐’† Correct Decision Type (II) error
Remarks:
1. By convention, ๐›ผ is usually set as either ๐›ผ = 0.01 or ๐›ผ = 0.05
2. The smaller ๐›ผ, the less the chance of making a Type (I) error and consequently the more chance of
making a correct decision
3. The smaller ๐›ฝ, the less the chance of making a Type (II) error and consequently the more chance of
making a correct decision
4. ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค ๐›ผ; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (i.e. statistically significant)
5. ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > ๐›ผ; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (i.e. statistically not significant)
7
6. If ๐›ผ increases (same as ๐›ฝ decreases ), means that is made less significant
7. If ๐›ผ decreases (same as ๐›ฝ increases ), means that is made more significant
8. If ๐›ผ = 0.05 (๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ 5%), then ๐›ฝ = 0.95 (๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ 95%) means that:
(a) ๐›ผ = 0.05 โ†’ The probability of rejecting a true ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ is 0.05 (making Type (I) error) & Consequently, the
probability of making correct decision is 0.95
(b) ๐›ฝ = 0.95 โ†’ The probability of accepting a false ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ is 0.95 (making Type (II) error) & Consequently, the
probability of making correct decision is 0.05
9. ๐›ผ + ๐›ฝ = 1 (๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘ )
8
Comparisons between ๐‘ฏ๐‘จ and ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ
๐‘ฏ๐‘จ ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ
1 Prediction intended for evaluation Opposite of HA
2 HA claims that the results are โ€˜realโ€™ or โ€˜significantโ€™ effect,
which means that the independent variable influenced
the dependent variable.
H๐ŸŽ claims that the results are โ€˜not realโ€™ or โ€˜not significantโ€™
effect, which means that the independent variable did not
influence the dependent variable.
3 โ€˜realโ€™ or โ€˜significantโ€™ effect, means that the results in the
sample data can be generalized to the population.
โ€˜Not realโ€™ or โ€˜not significantโ€™ effect, means that the results in
the sample data cannot be generalized to the population.
4 There are differences in the data in each direction There are no differences in the data in each direction
9
Steps in hypothesis Testing:
1. Formulate alternative hypothesis ๐ป๐ด and appropriate null hypothesis ๐ป0
2. Specify significance level ๐›ผ (always is given)
3. Find the critical ๐‘ง ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก from the
4. Calculate the statistic ๐‘ง ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก (๐’› obtained) by using ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
าง
๐‘ฅโˆ’๐œ‡
เต—
๐œŽ
๐‘›
, whenever ๐‘› โ‰ฅ 30,
๐‘๐‘ข๐‘ก, we calculate the statistic ๐‘ก (๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก) (๐’• obtained) by using ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
าง
๐‘ฅโˆ’๐œ‡
เต—
๐‘ 
๐‘›
whenever ๐‘› < 30
5. Decide if to reject or retain ๐ป0 (by using the decision rules as follows)
(a) If ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 & If ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 ๐‘› โ‰ฅ 30
(b) If ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 & If ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 ๐‘› < 30
10
Example 1
A rehabilitation therapist devises an exercise program which is expected to reduce the time taken for
people to leave hospital following orthopedic surgery. Previous records show that the recovery time for
patients has been ๐œ‡ = 30, with ๐œŽ = 8.
A sample of 64 patients are treated with exercise program, and their mean recovery time is found to be
เดค
๐‘‹ = 24.
Do these results show that patients who had treatment recovered significantly faster than previous
patients?
11
Solution
We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision.
1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ < 30 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ฅ 30 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the left) (directional)
(๐ป๐ด ๐‘ ๐‘ข๐‘๐‘๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ / ๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘”๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘š ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘’๐‘ฅ๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘๐‘–๐‘ ๐‘’ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ๐‘”๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ž๐‘š ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘๐‘’๐‘ 
๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘š๐‘’ ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘™๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘ฃ๐‘’ โ„Ž๐‘œ๐‘ ๐‘๐‘–๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘™ ๐‘๐‘’๐‘“๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ 30 ๐‘‘๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘ )
2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘’๐‘›๐‘‘๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘› ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘“๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘›๐‘๐‘’, ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘”๐‘–๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘› ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘ข๐‘ )
3. ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.33, because ๐‘› = 64 โ‰ฅ 30 we use the ๐‘ง-table
(By looking at the second column where ๐›ผ = 0.01, then the corresponding ๐‘ง = 2.33)
4. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡
๐œŽ
๐‘›
เต—
โ†’ ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
24โˆ’30
8
64
เต—
= โˆ’ 6
5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ โˆ’6 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ 6 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก) ๐ป๐ด
12
Conclusion:
The researcher/investigator can reject ๐ป0 and accept ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance.
That is, patients who treated with the exercise program, recover earlier than the population
of untreated patients.
Note that, the independent variable is the exercise program and the dependent variable
is the time to recover, because the recovery time to leave hospital earlier depends
on the treatment by the exercise program.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HW 1: Do example 1 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.65
13
Example 2
A researcher hypothesizes that males now weigh more than in the previous years. To investigate this
hypothesis, he randomly selects 100 adult males and recorded their weights. The measurements for the
sample have a mean of เดค
๐‘‹ = 70 ๐พ๐‘”. In a census taken several years ago, the mean weight of weight of
males was ๐œ‡ = 68 ๐‘˜๐‘”, with ๐œŽ = 8 ๐‘˜๐‘”.
Do these results show that adult males now have more weight than previous?
14
Solution
We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision.
1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ > 68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 68 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional)
(๐ป๐ด ๐‘ ๐‘ข๐‘๐‘๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘š ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘Ž๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘™๐‘ก ๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘ค๐‘’๐‘–๐‘”โ„Ž๐‘ก ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ค ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘š๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘› ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ฃ๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘ข๐‘  = 68)
2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘’๐‘›๐‘‘๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘› ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘“๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘›๐‘๐‘’, ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘”๐‘–๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘› ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘ข๐‘ )
3. ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.33, because ๐‘› = 100 โ‰ฅ 30 we use the ๐‘ง-table
(By looking at the second column where ๐›ผ = 0.01, then the corresponding ๐‘ง = 2.33)
4. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡
๐œŽ
๐‘›
เต—
โ†’ ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
70โˆ’68
8
100
เต—
= 2.5
5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 2.5 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ 2.5 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก) ๐ป๐ด
15
Conclusion:
The researcher/investigator can reject ๐ป0 and accept ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is,
adult malesโ€™ weight now has increased more than previous weight 68 kg.
Note that, the independent variable is time, and the dependent variable is weight,
because the weight depends on the running time (The more time the more weight)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HW 2: do the example 2 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.65
16
Example 3
A researcher hypothesizes that males now have different weights than in the previous years. To investigate
this hypothesis, he randomly selects 100 adult males and recorded their weights. The measurements for
the sample have a mean of เดค
๐‘‹ = 70 ๐พ๐‘”. In a census taken several years ago, the mean weight of weight of
males was ๐œ‡ = 68 ๐‘˜๐‘”, with ๐œŽ = 8 ๐‘˜๐‘”.
Do these results show that adult males now have more weight than previous?
17
Solution
We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision.
1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰  68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ = 68 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (non-directional)
(HA supports the researcher claim that adult males weight now is different than previous = 68)
2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (depends on the researcher preference, and is given to us)
Now, since we have non-directional hypothesis, we divide ๐›ผ by 2 โ†’
0.01
2
= 0.005
3. ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.58, because ๐‘› = 100 โ‰ฅ 30 we use the ๐‘ง-table
(By looking at the second column where ๐›ผ = 0.005, then the corresponding ๐‘ง = 2.58)
4. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡
๐œŽ
๐‘›
เต—
โ†’ ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
70โˆ’68
8
100
เต—
= 2.5
5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 2.5 < 2.58 โ†’ 2.5 < 2.58 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก)๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป๐ด
18
Conclusion:
The researcher/investigator can accept ๐ป0 and reject ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, the
mean adult malesโ€™ weight now is same as previous mean weight = 68 kg.
Note that, the independent variable is time, and the dependent variable is weight,
because the weight depends on the running time.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HW 3 (a): Show that if we worked example 3 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดฅ
๐‘ฟ = ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ
Answer: reject ๐ป0 and accept (retain) ๐ป๐ด ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.96
HW 3 (b): Show that if we worked example 3 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดฅ
๐‘ฟ = ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”
Answer: reject ๐ป0 and accept (retain) ๐ป๐ด ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.96
19
Example 4
Work example 2 but with small sample size ๐‘› = 16 ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘› = 16 < 30
20
Solution
We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision.
1. ๐ป๐ด : ๐œ‡ > 68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 68 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional)
(๐ป๐ด ๐‘ ๐‘ข๐‘๐‘๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘š ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘Ž๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘™๐‘ก ๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘ค๐‘’๐‘–๐‘”โ„Ž๐‘ก ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ค ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘š๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘› ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ฃ๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘ข๐‘  = 68)
2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘’๐‘›๐‘‘๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘› ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘“๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘›๐‘๐‘’, ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘”๐‘–๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘› ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘ข๐‘ )
3. ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.602, because ๐‘› = 16 < 30 we use the ๐‘ก-table (we have small sample)
(By looking at the directional row where ๐‘ = ๐›ผ = 0.01,
and using ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. = ๐‘› โˆ’ 1 โ†’ 16 โˆ’ 1 = 15)
(๐‘‘. ๐‘“. ๐‘š๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘  ๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘”๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘“ ๐‘“๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘‘๐‘œ๐‘š ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘  = ๐‘› โ€“ 1)
4. ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡
๐‘ 
๐‘›
เต—
โ†’ ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
70โˆ’68
8
16
เต—
= 1
5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 1 < 2.602 โ†’ 1 < 2.602 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก)๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป๐ด
Clearly, when ๐‘› = 16 (small sample), the investigation did not show a significant weight
increase for the males.
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Conclusion:
The researcher/investigator can accept ๐ป0 and reject ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, adult malesโ€™ weight now
has not increased more than previous weight 68 kg.
Note that, the independent variable is time, and the dependent variable is weight,
because the weight depends on the running time.
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HW 4: Do the example 4 above with เดค
๐‘‹ = 72 and use the following information:
(1) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.01, เดค
๐‘‹ = 72 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.492 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2 Answer: Accept ๐ป0
(2) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดค
๐‘‹ = 72 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.711 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2 Answer: Reject ๐ป0
(3) Sample size ๐‘› = 16, ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดค
๐‘‹ = 72 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.753 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2 Answer: Reject ๐ป0
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Example 5
Work example 3 but with small sample size ๐‘› = 16 ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘› = 16 < 30
Solution
We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision.
1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰  68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ = 68
(Two-tail hypothesis)โ†’ (non-directional)
(HA supports the researcher claim that adult maleโ€ฒs weight now is different than previous = 68)
2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (depends on the researcher preference, and is given to us)
3. ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.947, because ๐‘› = 16 < 30 we use the ๐‘ก-table (we have small sample)
Now, since we have non-directional hypothesis, we divide ๐›ผ ๐‘๐‘ฆ 2 โ†’
๐›ผ
2
=
0.01
2
= 0.005
and using ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. = ๐‘› โˆ’ 1 โ†’ 16 โˆ’ 1 = 15 ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. ๐‘š๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘  ๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘”๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘“ ๐‘“๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘‘๐‘œ๐‘š ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘  = ๐‘› โ€“ 1
4. ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
าง
๐‘ฅโˆ’๐œ‡
เต—
๐‘ 
๐‘›
โ†’ ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก =
70โˆ’68
เต—
8
16
= 1
5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 1 < 2.947 โ†’ 1 < 2.947 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป๐ด
Clearly, when ๐‘› = 16 (small sample), the investigation did not show a significant weight change for the males
Conclusion:
The researcher/investigator can accept ๐ป0 and reject ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, adult malesโ€™ weight now has not
increased more than previous weight 68 kg.
HW 5: Do the example 5 above with เดค
๐‘‹ = 73 and use the following information:
(1) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.01 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.797 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2.5 Answer: Accept ๐ป0
(2) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.064 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2.5 Answer: Reject ๐ป0
(3) Sample size ๐‘› = 16, ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.131 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2.5 Answer: Reject ๐ป0
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Important facts
1 Hypothesis A proposition advanced by the researcher which is evaluated by using the data collected from a sample.
2 Alternative Hypothesis (๐ป๐ด) This is the hypothesis for which the researcher is trying to gain support in a statistical analysis by rejecting the null
hypothesis (๐ป0)
3 Null Hypothesis (๐ป0) This is the hypothesis for which the researcher is trying to reject in a statistical analysis by accepting the alternative
hypothesis (๐ป๐ด)
4 Directional Hypothesis Is the hypothesis that asserts (assures) that differences between groups in the data will occur in one direction,
either to left or right direction.
5 Non-directional Hypothesis Is the hypothesis that asserts (assures) that differences between groups in the data will occur in two directions, to
left and right directions at the same time.
6 ๐ป๐ด and ๐ป0 are mutual exclusive
If we reject, ๐ป0 then we must accept ๐ป๐ด, conversely,
if we accept ๐ป0 then we must reject ๐ป๐ด.
(We canโ€™t reject both or accept both)
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7 Type (I) Error Rejecting ๐ป0 while it is true, and its probability is ฮฑ
8 Type (II) Error Accepting ๐ป0 while it is false, and its probability is ๐›ฝ = 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ
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Degrees of Freedom ๐. ๐Ÿ. ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. = ๐‘› โˆ’ 1 (๐‘› ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘ ๐‘Ž๐‘š๐‘๐‘™๐‘’ ๐‘ ๐‘–๐‘ง๐‘’)
10 Statistical Significance
1. Demonstrates that the result obtained is probably not due to chance but is โ€˜realโ€™
2. The independent variable must have had a very large effect on the dependent variable.
3. If the obtained probability p is โ‰ค ๐›ผ โ†’ can reject ๐ป0 (means accept ๐ป๐ด)
Important graphs to illustrate directional and non-directional of ๐ป๐ด
1. ๐›ผ = 0.05, (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด)
(a) The gray region is the rejection region of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.05
(b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.05; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 5%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0
(c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.05; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 95%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 27
1. ๐›ผ = 0.05, (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด)
In the two-tail hypothesis we divide ๐›ผ ๐‘๐‘ฆ 2 โ†’ 0.05/2 = 0.025
(a) The two gray regions are the rejection regions of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.05
(b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.025; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 5%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0
(c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.025; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 95%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0
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1. ๐›ผ = 0.01, (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด)
(a) The gray region is the rejection region of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.01
(b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.01; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 1%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0
(c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.01; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 99%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0
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1. ๐›ผ = 0.01, (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด)
In the two-tail hypothesis we divide ๐›ผ ๐‘๐‘ฆ 2 โ†’ 0.01/2 = 0.005
(a) The two gray regions are the rejection regions of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.01
(b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.005; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 1%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0
(c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.005; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 99%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0
30
31
32
๐™ ๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š
๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐› ๐š๐ง๐ ๐™
๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š
๐›๐ž๐ฒ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐™
๐™ ๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š
๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐› ๐š๐ง๐ ๐™
๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š
๐›๐ž๐ฒ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐™
๐ŸŽ.๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ•
๐ŸŽ.๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ–
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ• ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ 0.3300 ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ”
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ’ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ–
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ”
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ– 1.86 0.4686 0.0314
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ 1.90 ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ•
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ
0.84 0.2995 0.2000 ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ— ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ‘. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ 0.4987 0.0013
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ 3.11 0.4991 0.0009
๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ‘. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ 0.4994 0.0006
๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ” 0.4750 0.0250
33

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bio statistics pdf nursing related solving

  • 2. Introduction: Hypothesis testing is the process of deciding statistically whether the findings of an investigating reflect chance effects or real effects at a given level of probability. If the results represent real effects, then we say that the results are statistically significant. That is, when we say that our results are statistically significant, we mean that the patterns or differences seen in the sample data are generalizable to the population. 2
  • 3. The logic of hypothesis testing: Scientifically is called โ€œTesting of Hypothesesโ€. This procedure is used commonly for all cases where one is not sure about the true situation. There are two types of hypotheses namely: Alternative hypothesis ๐ป๐ด : Statement which we want to retain or (prove) or (accept) Null hypothesis ๐ป0 : Statement which we want to reject or (disprove) or (nullify) ๐ป0 is always opposite of ๐ป๐ด 3
  • 4. For example, 1. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ < 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ฅ 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the left) (directional) 2. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ > 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional) 3. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ > 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the left) (directional) 4. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰ฅ 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ < 60 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional) 5. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰  60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ = 60 (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional) 6. If ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ = 60, then ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰  60 (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional) 4
  • 5. Remarks: 1) Both, ๐ป๐ด and ๐ป0 are statements about population parameters. 2) From 1 to 4 above are called directional hypotheses (๐‘ค๐‘’ ๐‘ข๐‘ ๐‘’ ๐›ผ) 3) 5 and 6 above are called are non-directional hypotheses. ๐‘ค๐‘’ ๐‘ข๐‘ ๐‘’ ๐›ผ 2 4) ๐ป๐ด and ๐ป0 are mutual exclusive, means that if we reject ๐ป0 then we accept ๐ป๐ด and vice versa, if we accept ๐ป0 then we reject ๐ป๐ด (We canโ€™t reject both or accept both) 5
  • 6. Errors in Hypothesis Testing: Possible hypothesis testing outcomes are shown in the table below: The probability of Type (I) error is ๐›ผ (always 0 โ‰ค ๐›ผ โ‰ค 1) The probability of Type (II) error is ๐›ฝ = 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ (always 0 โ‰ค ๐›ฝ โ‰ค 1) Since ๐›ฝ = 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ, one can observe that, As ๐œถ increases, then ๐œท decreases As ๐œถ decreases, then ๐œท increases 6 Decision: Reject ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ Decision: Accept ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ ๐’Š๐’” ๐’•๐’“๐’–๐’† Type (I) error Correct Decision ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ ๐’Š๐’” ๐’‡๐’‚๐’๐’”๐’† Correct Decision Type (II) error
  • 7. Remarks: 1. By convention, ๐›ผ is usually set as either ๐›ผ = 0.01 or ๐›ผ = 0.05 2. The smaller ๐›ผ, the less the chance of making a Type (I) error and consequently the more chance of making a correct decision 3. The smaller ๐›ฝ, the less the chance of making a Type (II) error and consequently the more chance of making a correct decision 4. ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค ๐›ผ; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (i.e. statistically significant) 5. ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > ๐›ผ; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (i.e. statistically not significant) 7
  • 8. 6. If ๐›ผ increases (same as ๐›ฝ decreases ), means that is made less significant 7. If ๐›ผ decreases (same as ๐›ฝ increases ), means that is made more significant 8. If ๐›ผ = 0.05 (๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ 5%), then ๐›ฝ = 0.95 (๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ 95%) means that: (a) ๐›ผ = 0.05 โ†’ The probability of rejecting a true ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ is 0.05 (making Type (I) error) & Consequently, the probability of making correct decision is 0.95 (b) ๐›ฝ = 0.95 โ†’ The probability of accepting a false ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ is 0.95 (making Type (II) error) & Consequently, the probability of making correct decision is 0.05 9. ๐›ผ + ๐›ฝ = 1 (๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘ ) 8
  • 9. Comparisons between ๐‘ฏ๐‘จ and ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ ๐‘ฏ๐‘จ ๐‘ฏ๐ŸŽ 1 Prediction intended for evaluation Opposite of HA 2 HA claims that the results are โ€˜realโ€™ or โ€˜significantโ€™ effect, which means that the independent variable influenced the dependent variable. H๐ŸŽ claims that the results are โ€˜not realโ€™ or โ€˜not significantโ€™ effect, which means that the independent variable did not influence the dependent variable. 3 โ€˜realโ€™ or โ€˜significantโ€™ effect, means that the results in the sample data can be generalized to the population. โ€˜Not realโ€™ or โ€˜not significantโ€™ effect, means that the results in the sample data cannot be generalized to the population. 4 There are differences in the data in each direction There are no differences in the data in each direction 9
  • 10. Steps in hypothesis Testing: 1. Formulate alternative hypothesis ๐ป๐ด and appropriate null hypothesis ๐ป0 2. Specify significance level ๐›ผ (always is given) 3. Find the critical ๐‘ง ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก from the 4. Calculate the statistic ๐‘ง ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก (๐’› obtained) by using ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = าง ๐‘ฅโˆ’๐œ‡ เต— ๐œŽ ๐‘› , whenever ๐‘› โ‰ฅ 30, ๐‘๐‘ข๐‘ก, we calculate the statistic ๐‘ก (๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก) (๐’• obtained) by using ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = าง ๐‘ฅโˆ’๐œ‡ เต— ๐‘  ๐‘› whenever ๐‘› < 30 5. Decide if to reject or retain ๐ป0 (by using the decision rules as follows) (a) If ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 & If ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 ๐‘› โ‰ฅ 30 (b) If ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 & If ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 ๐‘› < 30 10
  • 11. Example 1 A rehabilitation therapist devises an exercise program which is expected to reduce the time taken for people to leave hospital following orthopedic surgery. Previous records show that the recovery time for patients has been ๐œ‡ = 30, with ๐œŽ = 8. A sample of 64 patients are treated with exercise program, and their mean recovery time is found to be เดค ๐‘‹ = 24. Do these results show that patients who had treatment recovered significantly faster than previous patients? 11
  • 12. Solution We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision. 1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ < 30 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ฅ 30 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the left) (directional) (๐ป๐ด ๐‘ ๐‘ข๐‘๐‘๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ / ๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘”๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘š ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘’๐‘ฅ๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘๐‘–๐‘ ๐‘’ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ๐‘”๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ž๐‘š ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘š๐‘’ ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘™๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘ฃ๐‘’ โ„Ž๐‘œ๐‘ ๐‘๐‘–๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘™ ๐‘๐‘’๐‘“๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ 30 ๐‘‘๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘ ) 2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘’๐‘›๐‘‘๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘› ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘“๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘›๐‘๐‘’, ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘”๐‘–๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘› ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘ข๐‘ ) 3. ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.33, because ๐‘› = 64 โ‰ฅ 30 we use the ๐‘ง-table (By looking at the second column where ๐›ผ = 0.01, then the corresponding ๐‘ง = 2.33) 4. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = ๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡ ๐œŽ ๐‘› เต— โ†’ ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 24โˆ’30 8 64 เต— = โˆ’ 6 5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ โˆ’6 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ 6 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก) ๐ป๐ด 12
  • 13. Conclusion: The researcher/investigator can reject ๐ป0 and accept ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, patients who treated with the exercise program, recover earlier than the population of untreated patients. Note that, the independent variable is the exercise program and the dependent variable is the time to recover, because the recovery time to leave hospital earlier depends on the treatment by the exercise program. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HW 1: Do example 1 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.65 13
  • 14. Example 2 A researcher hypothesizes that males now weigh more than in the previous years. To investigate this hypothesis, he randomly selects 100 adult males and recorded their weights. The measurements for the sample have a mean of เดค ๐‘‹ = 70 ๐พ๐‘”. In a census taken several years ago, the mean weight of weight of males was ๐œ‡ = 68 ๐‘˜๐‘”, with ๐œŽ = 8 ๐‘˜๐‘”. Do these results show that adult males now have more weight than previous? 14
  • 15. Solution We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision. 1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ > 68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 68 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional) (๐ป๐ด ๐‘ ๐‘ข๐‘๐‘๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘š ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘Ž๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘™๐‘ก ๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘ค๐‘’๐‘–๐‘”โ„Ž๐‘ก ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ค ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘š๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘› ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ฃ๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘ข๐‘  = 68) 2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘’๐‘›๐‘‘๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘› ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘“๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘›๐‘๐‘’, ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘”๐‘–๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘› ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘ข๐‘ ) 3. ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.33, because ๐‘› = 100 โ‰ฅ 30 we use the ๐‘ง-table (By looking at the second column where ๐›ผ = 0.01, then the corresponding ๐‘ง = 2.33) 4. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = ๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡ ๐œŽ ๐‘› เต— โ†’ ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 70โˆ’68 8 100 เต— = 2.5 5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 2.5 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ 2.5 โ‰ฅ 2.33 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก) ๐ป๐ด 15
  • 16. Conclusion: The researcher/investigator can reject ๐ป0 and accept ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, adult malesโ€™ weight now has increased more than previous weight 68 kg. Note that, the independent variable is time, and the dependent variable is weight, because the weight depends on the running time (The more time the more weight) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HW 2: do the example 2 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.65 16
  • 17. Example 3 A researcher hypothesizes that males now have different weights than in the previous years. To investigate this hypothesis, he randomly selects 100 adult males and recorded their weights. The measurements for the sample have a mean of เดค ๐‘‹ = 70 ๐พ๐‘”. In a census taken several years ago, the mean weight of weight of males was ๐œ‡ = 68 ๐‘˜๐‘”, with ๐œŽ = 8 ๐‘˜๐‘”. Do these results show that adult males now have more weight than previous? 17
  • 18. Solution We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision. 1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰  68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ = 68 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (non-directional) (HA supports the researcher claim that adult males weight now is different than previous = 68) 2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (depends on the researcher preference, and is given to us) Now, since we have non-directional hypothesis, we divide ๐›ผ by 2 โ†’ 0.01 2 = 0.005 3. ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.58, because ๐‘› = 100 โ‰ฅ 30 we use the ๐‘ง-table (By looking at the second column where ๐›ผ = 0.005, then the corresponding ๐‘ง = 2.58) 4. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = ๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡ ๐œŽ ๐‘› เต— โ†’ ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 70โˆ’68 8 100 เต— = 2.5 5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 2.5 < 2.58 โ†’ 2.5 < 2.58 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก)๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป๐ด 18
  • 19. Conclusion: The researcher/investigator can accept ๐ป0 and reject ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, the mean adult malesโ€™ weight now is same as previous mean weight = 68 kg. Note that, the independent variable is time, and the dependent variable is weight, because the weight depends on the running time. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HW 3 (a): Show that if we worked example 3 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดฅ ๐‘ฟ = ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ Answer: reject ๐ป0 and accept (retain) ๐ป๐ด ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.96 HW 3 (b): Show that if we worked example 3 above with ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดฅ ๐‘ฟ = ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ” Answer: reject ๐ป0 and accept (retain) ๐ป๐ด ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.96 19
  • 20. Example 4 Work example 2 but with small sample size ๐‘› = 16 ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘› = 16 < 30 20
  • 21. Solution We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision. 1. ๐ป๐ด : ๐œ‡ > 68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ โ‰ค 68 (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional) (๐ป๐ด ๐‘ ๐‘ข๐‘๐‘๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘š ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘Ž๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘™๐‘ก ๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘ค๐‘’๐‘–๐‘”โ„Ž๐‘ก ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ค ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘š๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘› ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ฃ๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘ข๐‘  = 68) 2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘’๐‘›๐‘‘๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘› ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘โ„Ž๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘“๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘›๐‘๐‘’, ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘”๐‘–๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘› ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘ข๐‘ ) 3. ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.602, because ๐‘› = 16 < 30 we use the ๐‘ก-table (we have small sample) (By looking at the directional row where ๐‘ = ๐›ผ = 0.01, and using ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. = ๐‘› โˆ’ 1 โ†’ 16 โˆ’ 1 = 15) (๐‘‘. ๐‘“. ๐‘š๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘  ๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘”๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘“ ๐‘“๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘‘๐‘œ๐‘š ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘  = ๐‘› โ€“ 1) 4. ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = ๐‘ฅางโˆ’๐œ‡ ๐‘  ๐‘› เต— โ†’ ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 70โˆ’68 8 16 เต— = 1 5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 1 < 2.602 โ†’ 1 < 2.602 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ (๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก)๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป๐ด Clearly, when ๐‘› = 16 (small sample), the investigation did not show a significant weight increase for the males. 21
  • 22. Conclusion: The researcher/investigator can accept ๐ป0 and reject ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, adult malesโ€™ weight now has not increased more than previous weight 68 kg. Note that, the independent variable is time, and the dependent variable is weight, because the weight depends on the running time. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HW 4: Do the example 4 above with เดค ๐‘‹ = 72 and use the following information: (1) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.01, เดค ๐‘‹ = 72 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.492 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2 Answer: Accept ๐ป0 (2) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดค ๐‘‹ = 72 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.711 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2 Answer: Reject ๐ป0 (3) Sample size ๐‘› = 16, ๐›ผ = 0.05, เดค ๐‘‹ = 72 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 1.753 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2 Answer: Reject ๐ป0 22
  • 23. 23 Example 5 Work example 3 but with small sample size ๐‘› = 16 ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘๐‘’ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘› = 16 < 30 Solution We can apply the steps for hypothesis testing to make our decision. 1. ๐ป๐ด: ๐œ‡ โ‰  68 , therefore ๐ป0: ๐œ‡ = 68 (Two-tail hypothesis)โ†’ (non-directional) (HA supports the researcher claim that adult maleโ€ฒs weight now is different than previous = 68) 2. Let ๐›ผ = 0.01 (depends on the researcher preference, and is given to us) 3. ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.947, because ๐‘› = 16 < 30 we use the ๐‘ก-table (we have small sample) Now, since we have non-directional hypothesis, we divide ๐›ผ ๐‘๐‘ฆ 2 โ†’ ๐›ผ 2 = 0.01 2 = 0.005 and using ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. = ๐‘› โˆ’ 1 โ†’ 16 โˆ’ 1 = 15 ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. ๐‘š๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘  ๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘”๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘  ๐‘œ๐‘“ ๐‘“๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘’๐‘‘๐‘œ๐‘š ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘  = ๐‘› โ€“ 1 4. ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = าง ๐‘ฅโˆ’๐œ‡ เต— ๐‘  ๐‘› โ†’ ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 70โˆ’68 เต— 8 16 = 1 5. ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก โ†’ 1 < 2.947 โ†’ 1 < 2.947 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 โ†’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป๐ด Clearly, when ๐‘› = 16 (small sample), the investigation did not show a significant weight change for the males Conclusion: The researcher/investigator can accept ๐ป0 and reject ๐ป๐ด at a 0.01 level of significance. That is, adult malesโ€™ weight now has not increased more than previous weight 68 kg.
  • 24. HW 5: Do the example 5 above with เดค ๐‘‹ = 73 and use the following information: (1) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.01 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.797 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2.5 Answer: Accept ๐ป0 (2) Sample size ๐‘› = 25, ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.064 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2.5 Answer: Reject ๐ป0 (3) Sample size ๐‘› = 16, ๐›ผ = 0.05 ๐ป๐‘–๐‘›๐‘ก: ๐‘ก๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก = 2.131 & ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก = 2.5 Answer: Reject ๐ป0 24
  • 25. Important facts 1 Hypothesis A proposition advanced by the researcher which is evaluated by using the data collected from a sample. 2 Alternative Hypothesis (๐ป๐ด) This is the hypothesis for which the researcher is trying to gain support in a statistical analysis by rejecting the null hypothesis (๐ป0) 3 Null Hypothesis (๐ป0) This is the hypothesis for which the researcher is trying to reject in a statistical analysis by accepting the alternative hypothesis (๐ป๐ด) 4 Directional Hypothesis Is the hypothesis that asserts (assures) that differences between groups in the data will occur in one direction, either to left or right direction. 5 Non-directional Hypothesis Is the hypothesis that asserts (assures) that differences between groups in the data will occur in two directions, to left and right directions at the same time. 6 ๐ป๐ด and ๐ป0 are mutual exclusive If we reject, ๐ป0 then we must accept ๐ป๐ด, conversely, if we accept ๐ป0 then we must reject ๐ป๐ด. (We canโ€™t reject both or accept both) 25
  • 26. 26 7 Type (I) Error Rejecting ๐ป0 while it is true, and its probability is ฮฑ 8 Type (II) Error Accepting ๐ป0 while it is false, and its probability is ๐›ฝ = 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ 9 Degrees of Freedom ๐. ๐Ÿ. ๐‘‘. ๐‘“. = ๐‘› โˆ’ 1 (๐‘› ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘’ ๐‘ ๐‘Ž๐‘š๐‘๐‘™๐‘’ ๐‘ ๐‘–๐‘ง๐‘’) 10 Statistical Significance 1. Demonstrates that the result obtained is probably not due to chance but is โ€˜realโ€™ 2. The independent variable must have had a very large effect on the dependent variable. 3. If the obtained probability p is โ‰ค ๐›ผ โ†’ can reject ๐ป0 (means accept ๐ป๐ด)
  • 27. Important graphs to illustrate directional and non-directional of ๐ป๐ด 1. ๐›ผ = 0.05, (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด) (a) The gray region is the rejection region of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.05 (b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.05; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 5%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 (c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.05; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 95%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 27
  • 28. 1. ๐›ผ = 0.05, (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด) In the two-tail hypothesis we divide ๐›ผ ๐‘๐‘ฆ 2 โ†’ 0.05/2 = 0.025 (a) The two gray regions are the rejection regions of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.05 (b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.025; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 5%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 (c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.025; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 95%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 28
  • 29. 1. ๐›ผ = 0.01, (one-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to the right) (directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด) (a) The gray region is the rejection region of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.01 (b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.01; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 1%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 (c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.01; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 99%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 29
  • 30. 1. ๐›ผ = 0.01, (two-tail hypothesis, ๐ป๐ด to both sides) (non-directional hypothesis ๐ป๐ด) In the two-tail hypothesis we divide ๐›ผ ๐‘๐‘ฆ 2 โ†’ 0.01/2 = 0.005 (a) The two gray regions are the rejection regions of the true ๐ป0 at level ๐›ผ = 0.01 (b) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) โ‰ค 0.005; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘—๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก ๐ป0 (Type (I) error = 1%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก โ‰ฅ ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’‹๐’†๐’„๐’• ๐ป0 (c) If ๐‘ƒ(๐ป0 ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘’) > 0.005; ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘–๐‘› ๐ป0 (Correct decision = 99%) ๐‘‚๐‘… ๐‘ง๐‘œ๐‘๐‘ก < ๐‘ง๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘–๐‘ก ; ๐’“๐’†๐’•๐’‚๐’Š๐’ ๐ป0 30
  • 31. 31
  • 32. 32 ๐™ ๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐› ๐š๐ง๐ ๐™ ๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š ๐›๐ž๐ฒ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐™ ๐™ ๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š ๐›๐ž๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐› ๐š๐ง๐ ๐™ ๐€๐ซ๐ž๐š ๐›๐ž๐ฒ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐™ ๐ŸŽ.๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ• ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ 0.3300 ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ’ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ– 1.86 0.4686 0.0314 ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ 1.90 ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ 0.84 0.2995 0.2000 ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ” ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ— ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ– ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ‘. ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ 0.4987 0.0013 ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ• ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ 3.11 0.4991 0.0009 ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–๐Ÿ— ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ‘. ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ 0.4994 0.0006 ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ ๐ŸŽ. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ŸŽ.๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐Ÿ. ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ” 0.4750 0.0250
  • 33. 33