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Through the OvertonWindow
Martin Hamilton
1Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
About Jisc
» edtech not-for-profit with ~18m users:
› Running shared services like Janet, eduroam and JiscMail
› Negotiating deals with IT vendors and publishers
› Providing advice & guidance
» Major initiatives right now in digital skills,
research data and learning analytics
› Seeing lots of health sector interest in Janet, SafeShare
for assured data, govroam wireless roaming
» My role:
› Generating & channelling new ideas
› Building partnerships to bring them to fruition
2Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user feuilllu
Through the OvertonWindow
Three inputs:
1. Near future careers - from DNA editor to asteroid miner
2. Watching the OvertonWindow shift
3. Equipping today’s learners for tomorrow’s world
27/06/2017 Life on Mars – Digital Skills for a New Generation - EUNIS 2017 3
1. Near future careers:
From DNA editor to asteroid miner
27/06/2017 Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 2017 4
Near future careers
5Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Now hiring… DNA editors
Near future careers
6Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Now hiring… DNA editors, drone engineers
Near future careers
7Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Now hiring… DNA editors, drone engineers, asteroid miners
Near future careers
8Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
SpaceX first stage booster landing, IRIDIUM-2 mission, June 2017 - via Elon Musk
2. Watching the Overton Window shift
27/06/2017 Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 2017 9
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
10Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Left wing Right wingPolitics
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
11Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Left wing
“Corbynistas”
Right wing
“Alt-right”
Politics
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
12Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
PoliticsLeft wing
“Corbynistas”
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
13Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Politics
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
14Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Politics
Technology
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
15Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Centralisation
Distributed tech
Politics
Technology
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
16Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Centralisation
”The Stacks”
Politics
Technology Distributed tech
e.g. Mastodon
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
17Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Politics
Distributed tech
e.g. Mastodon
Watching the OvertonWindow shift
18Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
Politics
3. Equipping today’s learners
for tomorrow’s world
27/06/2017 Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 2017 19
Equipping today’s learners for tomorrow’s world
20
Displaced people:
› You might be surprised at just how much more can be
automated
– Amazon already employ 45,000 robots, around 12% of their
workforce is robotic. 370K UK taxi drivers, 3.5m US truck drivers
› Further erosion of unskilled and semi-skilled
employment opportunities
– Pepper robot as greeter in upscale malls, airports etc
› “New Luddites” throwing stones at the Google bus?
– Versus universal basic income?
– Versus psychological need for a greater purpose?
› Health implications of sedentary lifestyles,
musculoskeletal disorders
– Already 86% of Chinese high school students are myopic – screen
time & indoor play?
Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
CC BY Flickr user boykoblagoev
Equipping today’s learners for tomorrow’s world
21
Developing digital capability:
› There will be whole new careers &
existing ones will change beyond
recognition
– We should view this as an opportunity, e.g.
smart homes need smart plumbers & smart
electricians
› We will need to embrace portfolio
careers & continuous/bite sized
learning
– No longer enough to learn a trade or achieve professional certification
› Impedance mismatch between digital tech and the apparatus of the nation state
– Brexit vs. Estonian e-residency
› Reaching the next billion learners
– Last mile issues for trans-national education
Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
That’s all folks!
22
Except where otherwise noted, this
work is licensed under CC-BY
Connect with me:
Martin Hamilton
Futurist, Jisc, London
@martin_hamilton
martin.hamilton@jisc.ac.uk
Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017

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Through the Overton Window - Health Education England horizon scanning workshop - June 2017

  • 1. Through the OvertonWindow Martin Hamilton 1Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
  • 2. About Jisc » edtech not-for-profit with ~18m users: › Running shared services like Janet, eduroam and JiscMail › Negotiating deals with IT vendors and publishers › Providing advice & guidance » Major initiatives right now in digital skills, research data and learning analytics › Seeing lots of health sector interest in Janet, SafeShare for assured data, govroam wireless roaming » My role: › Generating & channelling new ideas › Building partnerships to bring them to fruition 2Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Photo CC BY-NC Flickr user feuilllu
  • 3. Through the OvertonWindow Three inputs: 1. Near future careers - from DNA editor to asteroid miner 2. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 3. Equipping today’s learners for tomorrow’s world 27/06/2017 Life on Mars – Digital Skills for a New Generation - EUNIS 2017 3
  • 4. 1. Near future careers: From DNA editor to asteroid miner 27/06/2017 Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 2017 4
  • 5. Near future careers 5Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Now hiring… DNA editors
  • 6. Near future careers 6Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Now hiring… DNA editors, drone engineers
  • 7. Near future careers 7Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Now hiring… DNA editors, drone engineers, asteroid miners
  • 8. Near future careers 8Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 SpaceX first stage booster landing, IRIDIUM-2 mission, June 2017 - via Elon Musk
  • 9. 2. Watching the Overton Window shift 27/06/2017 Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 2017 9
  • 10. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 10Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Left wing Right wingPolitics
  • 11. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 11Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Left wing “Corbynistas” Right wing “Alt-right” Politics
  • 12. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 12Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 PoliticsLeft wing “Corbynistas”
  • 13. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 13Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Politics
  • 14. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 14Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Politics Technology
  • 15. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 15Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Centralisation Distributed tech Politics Technology
  • 16. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 16Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Centralisation ”The Stacks” Politics Technology Distributed tech e.g. Mastodon
  • 17. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 17Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Politics Distributed tech e.g. Mastodon
  • 18. Watching the OvertonWindow shift 18Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 Politics
  • 19. 3. Equipping today’s learners for tomorrow’s world 27/06/2017 Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 2017 19
  • 20. Equipping today’s learners for tomorrow’s world 20 Displaced people: › You might be surprised at just how much more can be automated – Amazon already employ 45,000 robots, around 12% of their workforce is robotic. 370K UK taxi drivers, 3.5m US truck drivers › Further erosion of unskilled and semi-skilled employment opportunities – Pepper robot as greeter in upscale malls, airports etc › “New Luddites” throwing stones at the Google bus? – Versus universal basic income? – Versus psychological need for a greater purpose? › Health implications of sedentary lifestyles, musculoskeletal disorders – Already 86% of Chinese high school students are myopic – screen time & indoor play? Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017 CC BY Flickr user boykoblagoev
  • 21. Equipping today’s learners for tomorrow’s world 21 Developing digital capability: › There will be whole new careers & existing ones will change beyond recognition – We should view this as an opportunity, e.g. smart homes need smart plumbers & smart electricians › We will need to embrace portfolio careers & continuous/bite sized learning – No longer enough to learn a trade or achieve professional certification › Impedance mismatch between digital tech and the apparatus of the nation state – Brexit vs. Estonian e-residency › Reaching the next billion learners – Last mile issues for trans-national education Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017
  • 22. That’s all folks! 22 Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under CC-BY Connect with me: Martin Hamilton Futurist, Jisc, London @martin_hamilton martin.hamilton@jisc.ac.uk Health Education England - Horizon Scanning workshop - June 201727/06/2017

Editor's Notes

  1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4jEz03Z8azc&rel=n