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Chapter 2
The Foreign Exchange Market
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-2
Objectives
• To describe the FX market
• To identify participants and currencies
• To describe the Australian FX market
• To describe the mechanics and technology of FX
trading
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-3
Objectives (cont.)
• To introduce some exchange rate concepts
• To illustrate FX position keeping
• To introduce some FX jargon
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-4
Definition
• The FX market is the market where national
currencies are bought and sold against one another.
Foreign Exchange market consists mainly of bank
deposits.
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-5
Characteristics
• It is the largest and most perfect market
• It is needed because every international transaction
requires a foreign exchange transaction
• It is an over-the-counter (OTC) market
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-6
Market participants
• Foreign exchange traders buy and sell currencies
directly or indirectly
• Arbitragers exploit exchange rate anomalies;
hedgers cover open positions; speculators take open
positions
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-7
Categories of participants
• Customers
• Commercial banks
• Other financial institutions
• Brokers
• Central banks
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-8
Interbank operations
• The FX market is dominated by interbank operations
• Participants in the interbank market are market
makers, other major dealers and second-tier banks
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-9
Size and composition
• The size of the global FX market is measured by the
sum of daily turnover in FX centres
• A survey is coordinated by the BIS every three years
for this purpose
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-10
Daily turnover in the FX market (USD billion)
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
2800
3200
3600
1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
Spot Forward Total (including gaps)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-11
Geographical distribution of FX market
turnover (%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-12
FX market turnover by counterparty
(institutional type)
Interbank Financial Institutions Others
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-13
FX market turnover by counterparty (locality)
Local Cross-border
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-14
Currency composition of the FX market
(by single currencies)
0
20
40
60
80
100
USD EUR JPY GBP CHF AUD CAD SEK HKD Others
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-15
Currency composition of the FX market
(by currency pairs)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
USD/EUR USD/JPY USD/GBP USD/AUD USD/CHF USD/CAD USD/Other Other/Other
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-16
Traded currencies
• The US dollar is the most heavily traded currency
• The euro and the yen are heavily traded because of
the importance of Europe and Japan in the world
economy
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-17
Traded currencies (cont.)
• The pound is heavily traded for historical reasons
• Currencies that are heavily traded in certain financial
centres and lack liquidity in others: CHF, CAD
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-18
Traded currencies (cont.)
• Currencies that are traded locally, but internationally
are traded for international trade purposes: AUD,
NZD, HKD
• Third world currencies: soft or exotic currencies
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-19
• The market consists of the banking system and
non-bank dealers authorised by the Reserve Bank of
Australia (RBA)
• The market has grown since the flotation of the AUD
in 1983
The AUD FX market
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-20
Daily turnover in the Australian FX market
(USD billion)
0
40
80
120
160
200
1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-21
• Deregulation
• High interest rates in the 1980s
• Australia’s time zone
• Exchange rate volatility
Reasons for the growth of the AUD market
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-22
Components of an FX transaction
• Price discovery
• Decision making
• Settlement
• Position keeping
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-23
FX market technology
• The telegraph
• The telephone
• The telex
• The fax
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-24
FX market technology (cont.)
• Screen-based information systems
• Screen-based automated dealing systems
• Automatic order matching systems
• Online FX trading
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-25
The bilateral spot exchange rate
• The exchange rate between two currencies for
immediate delivery
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-26
Transaction dates
• The date on which the transaction is agreed upon is
called the contract date, dealing date, done date or
trade date
• The date on which currencies are exchanged is the
value date or the delivery date
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-27
A spot foreign exchange transaction
Confirmation of exchange rate and amount
B’s
account
A’s
account
(Monday)
A B
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-28
The delivery date
• Typically, the delivery date is two business days after
the contract date
• In a value-today or same-day transaction the
delivery date is the same as the contract date
• In a value-tomorrow or next-day transaction the
delivery date is one day after the contract date
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-29
• S (x /y ) is the price (in terms of x) of one unit of y :
Spot rate quotation
( )
( )
x
y
S
y
x
S
1
=
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-30
• When the exchange rate changes from S0(x/y) to
S1(x/y)
   
 
 
 
 
 
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
-
y
x
S
y
x
S
-
y
x
S
x
y
S
-
y
x
S
y
x
S
y
x
S







Exchange rate changes
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-31
• To convert from y to x, multiply by the exchange rate
• To convert from x to y, divide by the exchange rate
Currency conversion
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-32
• Direct quotation refers to the domestic currency price
of one unit of the foreign currency
• Indirect quotation refers to the foreign currency price
of the domestic currency
• What is a direct quotation from the perspective of
one country is an indirect quotation from the
perspective of the other country, and vice versa
Exchange rate quotation in practice
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-33
• The bid rate is the rate at which the quoting dealer is
willing to buy. The offer rate is the rate at which the
quoting dealer is willing to sell.
• The spread is
The bid and offer rates
=
=
1
-
-
b
a
b
a
S
S
m
S
S
m
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-34
A foreign exchange spot transaction with bid-
offer spread
A
USD @ 1.8575
B
USD @ 1.8525
AUD @ 0.5398 (1/1.8525)
AUD @ 0.5384 (1/ 1.8575)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-35
Conversion rules
)
/
(
1
=
)
/
(
)
/
(
1
=
)
/
(
y
x
S
x
y
S
y
x
S
x
y
S
b
a
a
b
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-36
• A point is one-hundredth of a cent, a penny, etc.
• A pip is one-tenth of a point
• If the exchange rate is 1.2545-1.2585, this can be
expressed as 45-85 and 1.25 is called the “big
number”
Points and pips
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-37
• A cross exchange rate is the exchange rate between
two currencies derived from their exchange rates
against another currency
Cross exchange rates
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
)
/
(
z
y
S
z
x
S
y
x
S
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-38
Bid and offer cross rates
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
)
/
(
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
)
/
(
z
y
S
z
x
S
y
x
S
z
y
S
z
x
S
y
x
S
a
b
b
b
a
a
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-39
• For n exchange rates
Cross rates matrix
)
/
(
)
/
(
)
/
(
z
j
x
S
z
i
x
S
j
x
i
x
S 
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-40
• A nostro account is held by a dealer at a
correspondent bank
• A vostro account is held by a bank on behalf of a
foreign dealer
• The words “nostro” and “vostro” are Latin for “ours”
and “yours”
FX position keeping
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-41
• A short position is created when a dealer borrows a
currency and sells it
• A long position is created when a currency is bought
because it is expected to appreciate
FX position keeping (cont.)
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-42
• Position keeping is the monitoring of positions in
each currency
• A position is the net cumulative total of a currency
holding arising from deals
• A blotter is a schedule used to record the details of
transactions
FX position keeping (cont.)
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-43
• Position squaring is realising profit/loss by buying the
short-position currency and selling the long-position
currency
• Valuation is the calculation of unrealised profit/loss
using the average rate
FX position keeping (cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-44
An example
The following is an example of FX position keeping
AUD Deal
Amount
AUD Balance AUD/USD Rate USD Deal
Amount
USD Balance
+10,000,000 +10,000,000 1.6525 -6,051,437 -6,051,437
+20,000,000 +30,000,000 1.6645 -12,015,620 -18,067,057
-10,000,000 +20,000,000 1.6725 +5,979,073 -12,087,983
+25,000,000 +45,000,000 1.6445 -15,202,189 -27,290,172
-50,000,000 -5,000,000 1.6500 +30,303,030 +3,012,858
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-45
• The rate contracted today for the delivery of a
currency at a specified date in the future
The forward exchange rate
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-46
• The date on which currencies involved in a forward
transaction are exchanged
• The forward value date must be more than two
business days after the contract date, otherwise it
will be a spot transaction
• The period preceding the forward value date is
calculated from the spot value date
Forward value date
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-47
• A short date means a maturity of one month or less
• A round date means a maturity of a whole number of
months
• A broken date means a maturity of less than round
dates
Forward value date (cont)
(cont.)
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-48
• An outright contract involves the sale or purchase of
a currency for delivery more than two days into the
future
• A swap transaction involves a spot purchase against
a matching outright sale (or vice versa)
Outright and swap forward transactions
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-49
• Forward swaps
• Forward-forward swaps
• Overnight swaps
• Tom/next swaps
Kinds of FX swaps
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-50
The forward spread
N
y
x
S
y
x
S
y
x
F
m 12
×
100
×
)
/
(
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
-
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-51
• If F (x /y ) > S (x /y ), then y sells at a premium
• If F (x /y ) < S (x /y ), then y sells at a discount
• If F (x /y ) = S (x /y ), both currencies are flat
Premium and discount
Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd
PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa
Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa
2-52
• An outright forward rate is quoted as bid and offer
rates
• A swap rate is quoted in terms of the points
representing the forward premium or discount
Outright and swap rates

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FX Market Mechanics and Participants

  • 1. Chapter 2 The Foreign Exchange Market
  • 2. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-2 Objectives • To describe the FX market • To identify participants and currencies • To describe the Australian FX market • To describe the mechanics and technology of FX trading (cont.)
  • 3. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-3 Objectives (cont.) • To introduce some exchange rate concepts • To illustrate FX position keeping • To introduce some FX jargon
  • 4. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-4 Definition • The FX market is the market where national currencies are bought and sold against one another. Foreign Exchange market consists mainly of bank deposits.
  • 5. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-5 Characteristics • It is the largest and most perfect market • It is needed because every international transaction requires a foreign exchange transaction • It is an over-the-counter (OTC) market
  • 6. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-6 Market participants • Foreign exchange traders buy and sell currencies directly or indirectly • Arbitragers exploit exchange rate anomalies; hedgers cover open positions; speculators take open positions
  • 7. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-7 Categories of participants • Customers • Commercial banks • Other financial institutions • Brokers • Central banks
  • 8. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-8 Interbank operations • The FX market is dominated by interbank operations • Participants in the interbank market are market makers, other major dealers and second-tier banks
  • 9. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-9 Size and composition • The size of the global FX market is measured by the sum of daily turnover in FX centres • A survey is coordinated by the BIS every three years for this purpose
  • 10. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-10 Daily turnover in the FX market (USD billion) 0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400 2800 3200 3600 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 Spot Forward Total (including gaps)
  • 11. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-11 Geographical distribution of FX market turnover (%) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
  • 12. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-12 FX market turnover by counterparty (institutional type) Interbank Financial Institutions Others
  • 13. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-13 FX market turnover by counterparty (locality) Local Cross-border
  • 14. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-14 Currency composition of the FX market (by single currencies) 0 20 40 60 80 100 USD EUR JPY GBP CHF AUD CAD SEK HKD Others
  • 15. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-15 Currency composition of the FX market (by currency pairs) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 USD/EUR USD/JPY USD/GBP USD/AUD USD/CHF USD/CAD USD/Other Other/Other
  • 16. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-16 Traded currencies • The US dollar is the most heavily traded currency • The euro and the yen are heavily traded because of the importance of Europe and Japan in the world economy (cont.)
  • 17. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-17 Traded currencies (cont.) • The pound is heavily traded for historical reasons • Currencies that are heavily traded in certain financial centres and lack liquidity in others: CHF, CAD (cont.)
  • 18. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-18 Traded currencies (cont.) • Currencies that are traded locally, but internationally are traded for international trade purposes: AUD, NZD, HKD • Third world currencies: soft or exotic currencies
  • 19. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-19 • The market consists of the banking system and non-bank dealers authorised by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) • The market has grown since the flotation of the AUD in 1983 The AUD FX market
  • 20. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-20 Daily turnover in the Australian FX market (USD billion) 0 40 80 120 160 200 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
  • 21. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-21 • Deregulation • High interest rates in the 1980s • Australia’s time zone • Exchange rate volatility Reasons for the growth of the AUD market
  • 22. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-22 Components of an FX transaction • Price discovery • Decision making • Settlement • Position keeping
  • 23. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-23 FX market technology • The telegraph • The telephone • The telex • The fax (cont.)
  • 24. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-24 FX market technology (cont.) • Screen-based information systems • Screen-based automated dealing systems • Automatic order matching systems • Online FX trading
  • 25. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-25 The bilateral spot exchange rate • The exchange rate between two currencies for immediate delivery
  • 26. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-26 Transaction dates • The date on which the transaction is agreed upon is called the contract date, dealing date, done date or trade date • The date on which currencies are exchanged is the value date or the delivery date
  • 27. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-27 A spot foreign exchange transaction Confirmation of exchange rate and amount B’s account A’s account (Monday) A B
  • 28. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-28 The delivery date • Typically, the delivery date is two business days after the contract date • In a value-today or same-day transaction the delivery date is the same as the contract date • In a value-tomorrow or next-day transaction the delivery date is one day after the contract date
  • 29. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-29 • S (x /y ) is the price (in terms of x) of one unit of y : Spot rate quotation ( ) ( ) x y S y x S 1 =
  • 30. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-30 • When the exchange rate changes from S0(x/y) to S1(x/y)               1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 - y x S y x S - y x S x y S - y x S y x S y x S        Exchange rate changes
  • 31. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-31 • To convert from y to x, multiply by the exchange rate • To convert from x to y, divide by the exchange rate Currency conversion
  • 32. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-32 • Direct quotation refers to the domestic currency price of one unit of the foreign currency • Indirect quotation refers to the foreign currency price of the domestic currency • What is a direct quotation from the perspective of one country is an indirect quotation from the perspective of the other country, and vice versa Exchange rate quotation in practice
  • 33. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-33 • The bid rate is the rate at which the quoting dealer is willing to buy. The offer rate is the rate at which the quoting dealer is willing to sell. • The spread is The bid and offer rates = = 1 - - b a b a S S m S S m
  • 34. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-34 A foreign exchange spot transaction with bid- offer spread A USD @ 1.8575 B USD @ 1.8525 AUD @ 0.5398 (1/1.8525) AUD @ 0.5384 (1/ 1.8575)
  • 35. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-35 Conversion rules ) / ( 1 = ) / ( ) / ( 1 = ) / ( y x S x y S y x S x y S b a a b
  • 36. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-36 • A point is one-hundredth of a cent, a penny, etc. • A pip is one-tenth of a point • If the exchange rate is 1.2545-1.2585, this can be expressed as 45-85 and 1.25 is called the “big number” Points and pips
  • 37. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-37 • A cross exchange rate is the exchange rate between two currencies derived from their exchange rates against another currency Cross exchange rates ) / ( ) / ( = ) / ( z y S z x S y x S
  • 38. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-38 Bid and offer cross rates ) / ( ) / ( = ) / ( ) / ( ) / ( = ) / ( z y S z x S y x S z y S z x S y x S a b b b a a
  • 39. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-39 • For n exchange rates Cross rates matrix ) / ( ) / ( ) / ( z j x S z i x S j x i x S 
  • 40. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-40 • A nostro account is held by a dealer at a correspondent bank • A vostro account is held by a bank on behalf of a foreign dealer • The words “nostro” and “vostro” are Latin for “ours” and “yours” FX position keeping (cont.)
  • 41. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-41 • A short position is created when a dealer borrows a currency and sells it • A long position is created when a currency is bought because it is expected to appreciate FX position keeping (cont.) (cont.)
  • 42. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-42 • Position keeping is the monitoring of positions in each currency • A position is the net cumulative total of a currency holding arising from deals • A blotter is a schedule used to record the details of transactions FX position keeping (cont.) (cont.)
  • 43. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-43 • Position squaring is realising profit/loss by buying the short-position currency and selling the long-position currency • Valuation is the calculation of unrealised profit/loss using the average rate FX position keeping (cont.)
  • 44. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-44 An example The following is an example of FX position keeping AUD Deal Amount AUD Balance AUD/USD Rate USD Deal Amount USD Balance +10,000,000 +10,000,000 1.6525 -6,051,437 -6,051,437 +20,000,000 +30,000,000 1.6645 -12,015,620 -18,067,057 -10,000,000 +20,000,000 1.6725 +5,979,073 -12,087,983 +25,000,000 +45,000,000 1.6445 -15,202,189 -27,290,172 -50,000,000 -5,000,000 1.6500 +30,303,030 +3,012,858
  • 45. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-45 • The rate contracted today for the delivery of a currency at a specified date in the future The forward exchange rate
  • 46. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-46 • The date on which currencies involved in a forward transaction are exchanged • The forward value date must be more than two business days after the contract date, otherwise it will be a spot transaction • The period preceding the forward value date is calculated from the spot value date Forward value date
  • 47. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-47 • A short date means a maturity of one month or less • A round date means a maturity of a whole number of months • A broken date means a maturity of less than round dates Forward value date (cont) (cont.)
  • 48. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-48 • An outright contract involves the sale or purchase of a currency for delivery more than two days into the future • A swap transaction involves a spot purchase against a matching outright sale (or vice versa) Outright and swap forward transactions
  • 49. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-49 • Forward swaps • Forward-forward swaps • Overnight swaps • Tom/next swaps Kinds of FX swaps
  • 50. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-50 The forward spread N y x S y x S y x F m 12 × 100 × ) / ( ) / ( ) / ( = -
  • 51. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-51 • If F (x /y ) > S (x /y ), then y sells at a premium • If F (x /y ) < S (x /y ), then y sells at a discount • If F (x /y ) = S (x /y ), both currencies are flat Premium and discount
  • 52. Copyright  2010 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a International Finance: An Analytical Approach 3e by Imad A. Moosa Slides prepared by Afaf Moosa 2-52 • An outright forward rate is quoted as bid and offer rates • A swap rate is quoted in terms of the points representing the forward premium or discount Outright and swap rates