This chapter describes the foreign exchange market. It discusses the objectives of the chapter which are to describe the FX market, identify participants and currencies, describe the Australian FX market and mechanics of FX trading, introduce some exchange rate concepts and position keeping, and introduce some FX terminology. It then defines the FX market, describes its characteristics and size, identifies the major participants including customers, commercial banks, other institutions and central banks. It also discusses the Australian FX market, components of an FX transaction, and technologies used in FX trading like screens and online trading. Finally, it introduces concepts like bid/offer rates, cross rates, and nostro/vostro accounts for FX position keeping.
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Objectives
• To describe the FX market
• To identify participants and currencies
• To describe the Australian FX market
• To describe the mechanics and technology of FX
trading
(cont.)
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Objectives (cont.)
• To introduce some exchange rate concepts
• To illustrate FX position keeping
• To introduce some FX jargon
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Definition
• The FX market is the market where national
currencies are bought and sold against one another.
Foreign Exchange market consists mainly of bank
deposits.
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Characteristics
• It is the largest and most perfect market
• It is needed because every international transaction
requires a foreign exchange transaction
• It is an over-the-counter (OTC) market
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Market participants
• Foreign exchange traders buy and sell currencies
directly or indirectly
• Arbitragers exploit exchange rate anomalies;
hedgers cover open positions; speculators take open
positions
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Categories of participants
• Customers
• Commercial banks
• Other financial institutions
• Brokers
• Central banks
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Interbank operations
• The FX market is dominated by interbank operations
• Participants in the interbank market are market
makers, other major dealers and second-tier banks
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Size and composition
• The size of the global FX market is measured by the
sum of daily turnover in FX centres
• A survey is coordinated by the BIS every three years
for this purpose
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Daily turnover in the FX market (USD billion)
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
2800
3200
3600
1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
Spot Forward Total (including gaps)
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Geographical distribution of FX market
turnover (%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
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FX market turnover by counterparty
(institutional type)
Interbank Financial Institutions Others
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FX market turnover by counterparty (locality)
Local Cross-border
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Currency composition of the FX market
(by single currencies)
0
20
40
60
80
100
USD EUR JPY GBP CHF AUD CAD SEK HKD Others
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Currency composition of the FX market
(by currency pairs)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
USD/EUR USD/JPY USD/GBP USD/AUD USD/CHF USD/CAD USD/Other Other/Other
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Traded currencies
• The US dollar is the most heavily traded currency
• The euro and the yen are heavily traded because of
the importance of Europe and Japan in the world
economy
(cont.)
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Traded currencies (cont.)
• The pound is heavily traded for historical reasons
• Currencies that are heavily traded in certain financial
centres and lack liquidity in others: CHF, CAD
(cont.)
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Traded currencies (cont.)
• Currencies that are traded locally, but internationally
are traded for international trade purposes: AUD,
NZD, HKD
• Third world currencies: soft or exotic currencies
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• The market consists of the banking system and
non-bank dealers authorised by the Reserve Bank of
Australia (RBA)
• The market has grown since the flotation of the AUD
in 1983
The AUD FX market
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Daily turnover in the Australian FX market
(USD billion)
0
40
80
120
160
200
1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
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• Deregulation
• High interest rates in the 1980s
• Australia’s time zone
• Exchange rate volatility
Reasons for the growth of the AUD market
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Components of an FX transaction
• Price discovery
• Decision making
• Settlement
• Position keeping
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FX market technology
• The telegraph
• The telephone
• The telex
• The fax
(cont.)
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FX market technology (cont.)
• Screen-based information systems
• Screen-based automated dealing systems
• Automatic order matching systems
• Online FX trading
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The bilateral spot exchange rate
• The exchange rate between two currencies for
immediate delivery
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Transaction dates
• The date on which the transaction is agreed upon is
called the contract date, dealing date, done date or
trade date
• The date on which currencies are exchanged is the
value date or the delivery date
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A spot foreign exchange transaction
Confirmation of exchange rate and amount
B’s
account
A’s
account
(Monday)
A B
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The delivery date
• Typically, the delivery date is two business days after
the contract date
• In a value-today or same-day transaction the
delivery date is the same as the contract date
• In a value-tomorrow or next-day transaction the
delivery date is one day after the contract date
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• S (x /y ) is the price (in terms of x) of one unit of y :
Spot rate quotation
( )
( )
x
y
S
y
x
S
1
=
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• When the exchange rate changes from S0(x/y) to
S1(x/y)
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
-
y
x
S
y
x
S
-
y
x
S
x
y
S
-
y
x
S
y
x
S
y
x
S
Exchange rate changes
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• To convert from y to x, multiply by the exchange rate
• To convert from x to y, divide by the exchange rate
Currency conversion
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• Direct quotation refers to the domestic currency price
of one unit of the foreign currency
• Indirect quotation refers to the foreign currency price
of the domestic currency
• What is a direct quotation from the perspective of
one country is an indirect quotation from the
perspective of the other country, and vice versa
Exchange rate quotation in practice
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• The bid rate is the rate at which the quoting dealer is
willing to buy. The offer rate is the rate at which the
quoting dealer is willing to sell.
• The spread is
The bid and offer rates
=
=
1
-
-
b
a
b
a
S
S
m
S
S
m
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A foreign exchange spot transaction with bid-
offer spread
A
USD @ 1.8575
B
USD @ 1.8525
AUD @ 0.5398 (1/1.8525)
AUD @ 0.5384 (1/ 1.8575)
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Conversion rules
)
/
(
1
=
)
/
(
)
/
(
1
=
)
/
(
y
x
S
x
y
S
y
x
S
x
y
S
b
a
a
b
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• A point is one-hundredth of a cent, a penny, etc.
• A pip is one-tenth of a point
• If the exchange rate is 1.2545-1.2585, this can be
expressed as 45-85 and 1.25 is called the “big
number”
Points and pips
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• A cross exchange rate is the exchange rate between
two currencies derived from their exchange rates
against another currency
Cross exchange rates
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
)
/
(
z
y
S
z
x
S
y
x
S
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Bid and offer cross rates
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
)
/
(
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
)
/
(
z
y
S
z
x
S
y
x
S
z
y
S
z
x
S
y
x
S
a
b
b
b
a
a
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• For n exchange rates
Cross rates matrix
)
/
(
)
/
(
)
/
(
z
j
x
S
z
i
x
S
j
x
i
x
S
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• A nostro account is held by a dealer at a
correspondent bank
• A vostro account is held by a bank on behalf of a
foreign dealer
• The words “nostro” and “vostro” are Latin for “ours”
and “yours”
FX position keeping
(cont.)
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• A short position is created when a dealer borrows a
currency and sells it
• A long position is created when a currency is bought
because it is expected to appreciate
FX position keeping (cont.)
(cont.)
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• Position keeping is the monitoring of positions in
each currency
• A position is the net cumulative total of a currency
holding arising from deals
• A blotter is a schedule used to record the details of
transactions
FX position keeping (cont.)
(cont.)
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• Position squaring is realising profit/loss by buying the
short-position currency and selling the long-position
currency
• Valuation is the calculation of unrealised profit/loss
using the average rate
FX position keeping (cont.)
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An example
The following is an example of FX position keeping
AUD Deal
Amount
AUD Balance AUD/USD Rate USD Deal
Amount
USD Balance
+10,000,000 +10,000,000 1.6525 -6,051,437 -6,051,437
+20,000,000 +30,000,000 1.6645 -12,015,620 -18,067,057
-10,000,000 +20,000,000 1.6725 +5,979,073 -12,087,983
+25,000,000 +45,000,000 1.6445 -15,202,189 -27,290,172
-50,000,000 -5,000,000 1.6500 +30,303,030 +3,012,858
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• The rate contracted today for the delivery of a
currency at a specified date in the future
The forward exchange rate
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• The date on which currencies involved in a forward
transaction are exchanged
• The forward value date must be more than two
business days after the contract date, otherwise it
will be a spot transaction
• The period preceding the forward value date is
calculated from the spot value date
Forward value date
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• A short date means a maturity of one month or less
• A round date means a maturity of a whole number of
months
• A broken date means a maturity of less than round
dates
Forward value date (cont)
(cont.)
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• An outright contract involves the sale or purchase of
a currency for delivery more than two days into the
future
• A swap transaction involves a spot purchase against
a matching outright sale (or vice versa)
Outright and swap forward transactions
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• Forward swaps
• Forward-forward swaps
• Overnight swaps
• Tom/next swaps
Kinds of FX swaps
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The forward spread
N
y
x
S
y
x
S
y
x
F
m 12
×
100
×
)
/
(
)
/
(
)
/
(
=
-
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• If F (x /y ) > S (x /y ), then y sells at a premium
• If F (x /y ) < S (x /y ), then y sells at a discount
• If F (x /y ) = S (x /y ), both currencies are flat
Premium and discount
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• An outright forward rate is quoted as bid and offer
rates
• A swap rate is quoted in terms of the points
representing the forward premium or discount
Outright and swap rates