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1. 1
FUTURETRONIUM®,
The Revolution II!
by Andres Agostini
V er s i o n 1 0 0 . 0 ─ D e c e m b e r / 1 4 /2 0 1 0
Unabridged
version!
( F o r t h c o m i n g v e r s i o n s , a s w e l l a s o th e r r e s o u r c e s , w i l l b e
announced via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium ─Until
indicated otherwise via www.twitter.com/Futuretronium ,
T h e F u t u r e t r o n i u m B o o k w i l l b e a n on g o i n g i n i t i a t i v e a n d
p er i o d i c a l l y u p g r a d e d , r e f i n e d a n d ex t e n d e d . )
(This Proprietary Book may be r e p r o d u c ed for
noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety,
i n c l u d i n g t h i s n o t i c e . Pl e a s e r e c a l l t h a t “ i f i t i s c o p i e d in
its entirety, including this notice.”)
2. 2
# 1 F U T U R E T R O N I U M ® , A N D T H E A D M I N I S T R A T I O N AN D
A P P L I C A T I O N O F T H E S C I E N T I F I C M E T HO D W I T H O U T
I N N U EN D O S AN D I N C R E S C E N D O A S F L U I D P O I N T S O F
INFLECTIONS ASCERTAIN T H AT THE MORROW IS A
THING OF THE PAST.
#2 FUTURETRONIUM®, SUBSEQUENTLY, THERE IS NOW
AN D HERE AVAILABLE THE U N A BR I D G E D ,
AUTHORITATIVE ELICITATION AND ELUCIDATION OF
ACTIONABLE K N O W L ED G E FROM AND FOR THE
I N C E S S AN T L Y AR R H Y T H M I C , A B R U P T , A N T A G O N I S T I C ,
MORDANT, CAUSTIC, AN D ANARCHISTIC FUTURE, AS
WELL AS THE C O N T EN T I O U S INTERRELATIONSHIP
B E T W E E N S U C H F U T U R E AN D T H E P R E S EN T .
#3 FUTURETRONIUM®, A RADICAL YET RIGOROUS
STRONG-SENSE AND C R I T I C O - CR E A T I V E «FUTURES
T H I N K I N G » , S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O Q U I N T E S S EN T I A L
U N D ER S T A N D I N G O F T H E C O M P L E X I T I E S , S U B T L E T I E S ,
AN D I N T R I C A C I E S , A S W E L L A S T H E O P P O R T U N I T I E S T O
BE EXPLOITED OUT OF THE DRIVING FORCES
INSTILLING AND INFLICTING PERPETUAL CHANGE INTO
TWENTIETH-ONE CENTURY .
3. 3
By ( c) C o p y r i g h t 2 0 1 0 b y A n d r e s A g o s t i n i — A l l R i g h t s
R es e r v e d ―
W h a t d o e s n ’ t g e t u n d e r s t o o d i n t h i s a g e b e c o m e s a ma j o r
liability. To this end Henry Kissinger’s quotation is timely.
E n s u i n g : “ A n i gn o r e d i s s u e i s a n i n v i t a t i on t o a p r o b l e m. ” [ 1 2 ]
Forget what you know and just believe in what you see and sense.
I t’ s t i m e f o r y o u t o e x p l o r e , c on c e iv e , d e v e l o p , d i s c o v e r a n d
institute your own Futures — exploiting the UPSIDES and
D OW N S I D E S o f t h e s u r r e p t i t i o u s l y c ov e r t a n d i g n o r e d o n e s —
u n l e s s y ou w i l l m a k e y o u r s e l f e n s l a v e d b y c i r c u m s t a n c e s b e y o n d
y o u r c o n t r o l , r e g a r d l e s s o f y o u r “ p o w e r s . ” K i n d l y p l e a s e , if y o u ’ d
like, make your choices wisely and by you and for yourself!
T h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s i n n o wa y a t t e m p t i n g t o b e e i t h e r a s e e r , o r a
soothsayer, diviner, foreteller, or prophet, who can foretell the
future. In managing corporate and operational risks of many
diverse natures, one needs not only to identify and recognize
h a z a r d s b u t t o a n t i c i p a t e , v e r y e a r l y o n , f u t u r e a n d a dv a n c e d
d i s r u p t i o n p o t e n t i a l , d o i n g s o i n t h e t r a d i t i o n o f r i g o r o u s f u tu r e s
4. 4
studies coupled with other disciplines. In the last analysis and
v e r y s e r i o u s l y s t a t e d , t h e v ie w h e r e o f f e r s a l u c r a t iv e a n d a u se f u l
l e a r n i n g a n d p ra c t i c a l t o o l t h a t r e qu i r e s f r o m p r a c t i t i o n e r s m u c h
better p r e pa r e d n e s s before systemic volatility, universal
uncertainty and ubiquitous change and ambiguity.
T h e o b j e c t i v e i s t h e u n de r s t a n d i n g t h e c o m p l e x a n d s u b t l e n a t u r e
and progression of many explosive driving forces that shape and
r e - s h a p e t h e k n o w n a n d u n k n o w n w o r l d . F u tu r i s t s s p e a k , o u t o f
b r i e f s y n t h e s i s , a b o u t t r e n d s a n d t e n d e n c ie s a n d p r o p e n s i t i e s o f
s o m e o f s a i d d r i v i n g f o r c e s . T he s e d r i v i n g f o r c e s a re n o t o n l y
m e g a , d i v e r s e d y n a m o s t h a t o u t p u t c h a n g e b u t a l s o c ha l l e n g e s ,
opportunities and benefits for those who are prepared and paying
incessantly great detailed attention.
T h e s e d r i v i n g f o rc e s , i n c i d e n t a l l y , e x p e l : ( 1) O p e n - e n d e d c h a n g e s ,
(2) Preemptive changes, and (3) “All-out war-waging” (that is,
boundaryless) changes.
You manage risks to increase your benefits and opportunities and
t o a u g m e n t t h e r e s i l i e n c y a n d a da p t a b i l i t y o f t h e s u s t a i n a b i l i t y o f
said benefits and opportunities. In Transformative and Integrative
R i s k M a n a g e m e n t ( be l o w ) , m a n a g i n g r i s k s ─ n o t t o b r i n g a b o u t
i l lu s i o n s of meaning ─ are nothing else than the optimum
5. 5
management of the upsides and downsides embedded in the driving
forces.
Subsequently, the material in this book ranges over many
disciplines, as well as the work of many outstanding scientists.
F u r t h e r m o r e , p r e s e n t d r i v i n g f o r c e s ( sc i e n c e , t e c h n o l o g y , s o c i e t y ,
p o l i t i c s a n d e c o n o m y ) a r e c hu r n i n g i n s u r m o u n t a b l e a m o u n t s o f
unprecedented change with increasing energy and scope.
A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l i s c o m m u n ic a t e d w i t h m a r k e d
emphasis indeed. The undersigned does not and will not dare to
oversimplify and/or underestimate the consequences and sequels
of these gargantuan driving forces.
TO O F F ER G R E AT E R INSIGHT QUICKLY, LET’ SEE A
PRIMER ON TECHNOLOGICAL AND SCIENTIFIC
KNOWLEDGE. ENSUING:
D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . i n d i c a t e s : “ … . B y t h e e n d o f t h e t w e n t i et h
c e n t u r y , s c i e n c e h ad r e a c h e d t h e en d o f a n e r a , u n l o c k i n g t h e
s e c r e t s o f t h e a t o m , u n r a v e l i n g t h e m o l ec u l e o f l i f e , an d c r e at i n g
the e l ec t r o n i c c o m p u t er . With these three fundamental
discoveries, t r i g g e r ed by the quantum revolution, the DNA
r e v o l u t i on , a n d t h e c o m p u t e r r e v o lu t i on , t h e b a s i c l a w s o f m at t e r ,
6. 6
li f e , a n d c o m p u t at i o n w er e , i n t h e m a i n , fi n a l l y s o l v e d … . T h a t
epic phase of science is now drawing to a close; one era is ending
a n d a n ot h e r i s o n l y b e g i n n i n g …. T h e n e xt e r a o f sc i e n c e pr o m i s e s
t o b e an e v en d e e p e r , m o r e t h o r o u gh g o i n g , m o r e p e n et r a t i n g o n e
t h a n t h e l a s t … . C l e a r l y , w e a r e o n t h e t h r e s h o ld o f y e t a n o t h e r
r e v o l u t i on . H U M A N K N O W L E D G E I S D O UB L I N G E V E R Y T E N
Y E A R S [ A S P E R T H E 1 9 9 8 S T A N D A R D S ] . I n t h e p a s t d e c ad e , m o r e
s c i e n t i f i c k n o w l e d g e h a s b e e n c r e a t ed t h a n i n a l l o f h u m a n
h i s t o r y . C O M P U T E R P O W E R I S D O UB L I N G E V E R Y E I G H T E E N
MONTHS. THE INTERNET IS DOUBLING EVERY YEAR. THE
N U M B E R O F D N A S E Q U E N C E S W E CA N A N A L Y Z E I S D O UB L I N G
E V E R Y T W O Y E A R S . A l m o s t d ai l y , t h e h e a d li n e s h e r a ld n e w
ad v a n c e s i n c o m p u t e r s , t e l ec o m m u n i c a t i o n s , b i o t ec h n o l o g y , a n d
s p a c e e x p l o r at i o n . I n t h e w a k e o f t h i s t ec h n o l o g i c a l u p h e a v a l ,
en t i r e i n d u s t r i e s a n d l i f e s t y l e s a r e b e i n g o v e r t u r n ed , o n l y t o g i v e
r i s e t o en t i r e l y n e w o n e s . B u t t h e s e r ap i d , b e wi l d er i n g c h a n g e s
a r e n ot j u s t q u a n t i t at i v e . T h e y m a r k t h e b i r t h p a n g s o f a n e w e r a
… . F R O M N O W T O T H E Y E A R 2 0 2 0 , S CI E N T I S T S F O R E S E E A N
E X P L O S I O N I N S C I E N T I F I C A C T I V I T Y S UC H AS T H E W O R L D
HAS NEVER SEEN BEFORE. IN TWO KEY TECHNOLOGIES,
COMPUTER POWER AND THE DNA SEQUENCING, WE WILL SEE
ENTIRE INDUSTRIES RISE AND FA L L ON THE B AS I S OF
B R E A T HT A K I N G S C I E N T I F I C A D V A N C E S . S I N C E T H E 1 9 5 0 S ,
T H E P O W E R O F O U R C O M P UT E R S H AS A D V A N C E D B Y A F A C T O R
7. 7
OF ROUGHLY TEN BILLION. IN F A CT , B E C A US E BOTH
COMPUTER POWER AND DNA SEQUENCING DOUBLE ROUGHLY
EVERY TWO YEARS, ONE CAN COMPUTE THE ROUGH TIME
F R A M E O V E R W HI C H M A N Y S CI E N T I F I C B R E A K T H R O U G H S
WILL TAKE PLACE .... BY 2020, MICROPROCESSORS WILL
L I K E L Y B E A S A C H E A P A N D P L E N T I F U L AS S C R A P P A P E R ,
SCATTERED BY THE MILLIONS I NT O ENVIRONMENT,
ALLOWING US TO PLACE I NT E L L I G E N T SYSTEMS
E V E R Y W H E R E . T HI S W I L L C H A N G E E V E R Y T H I N G A R O U N D US ,
I N C L U D I NG T H E N A T U R E O F C O M M E R C E , T H E W E A L T H O F
N A T I O N S , A N D T H E W A Y W E C O M M U N I C AT E , W O R K , P L A Y ,
AND LIVE.” [171]
President John F. Kennedy’s speech on September 12, 1962 at Race
U n i v e r s i t y : “ D e s p i t e t h e s t r i k i n g f ac t t h a t m o s t o f t h e s c i e n t i s t s
that the world has ever known are alive and working today,
d e s p i t e t h e f ac t t h a t t h i s N a t i o n ’ s o wn s c i en t i f i c m a n p o w e r i s
d o u b l i n g e v er y 1 2 y e a r s i n a r a t e o f gr o w t h m o r e t h an t h r e e t i m e s
t h a t o f ou r p o p u l a t i o n a s a w h o l e , d e s p i t e t h at , t h e v a s t st r e t c h e s
o f t h e u n k n o w n a n d t h e u n an s w e r e d a n d t h e u n f i n i s h e d s t i ll f ar
ou t s t r i p o u r c ol l e c t i v e c o m pr e h e n s i o n . ” [ 8 0 ]
T o f u r t h e r s e t t h e s t a g e f o r t h i s m a t e r i a l , t h e t e x t b o o k “ E i n st e i n i n
t h e B o ar d r o o m ” b y S u za n n e S . H a r r i s o n a n d P a t r i c k H . S u l l iv a n S r .
8. 8
may offer some lucid ideas on the “current” state of affairs when
t h e y c la i m :
“ Hu m a n s h a v e b e en ad d i n g t o t h ei r t o t a l k n o w l e d g e st e a d i l y o v e r
the c en t u r i e s , and the amount of knowledge we create is
mu l t i p l y i n g a t a n i n c r ed i b l e r a t e . B e g i n n i n g w i t h t h e a m o u n t o f
k n o w l e d g e i n t h e k n o w n w o r ld at t h e t i m e o f C h r i s t , s t u d i e s h a v e
e s t i m a t e d t h a t t h e f i r s t d ou b l i n g o f t h a t k n o w l ed g e t o o k p l ac e
ab o u t 1 7 0 0 A . D . T h e s e c on d d ou b li n g o c c u r r e d a r ou n d t h e y e a r
1 9 0 0 . I t i s e s t i m a t e d t od a y t h a t t h e w o r ld ' s k n o w l e d g e b a s e wi l l
d o u b l e a g a i n b y 2 0 1 0 a n d a g a i n a ft e r t h a t b y 2 0 1 3 . ” [ 3 7 ]
T h e r e a r e m a n y s e r i o u s pu b l i c a t i o n s , f r o m 2 0 0 3 t o t h i s d a t e ,
s p e a k i n g o f t h e e n t i r e t y o f s c i e n t i f i c kn o w l e d g e d o u b l i n g e v e r y f i v e
(5) years and sooner. How, then, can one undertake such a
g a r g a n t u a n c ha l l e n g e , t h r o u g h t h e “ S o c i e t y o f K n o w l e d g e ” ( t h a t
also embraces the “infotech economy”), unless it is through the
s t e w a r d s h i p o f t h e m o s t r i g o r o u s a n d a d v a n c e d s c i e n t if i c m e t h o d ?
[129]
Hu m a n k n o w l e d g e c a p ab i l i t y wi l l c o n t i n u e t o d o u b l e e v e r y y e a r .
“ Hu m a n knowledge c a p ab i l i t y ” is the quantity of available
k n o w l e d g e m u l t i p l i ed b y t h e p o w e r o f t e c h n o l o g y t o pr o c e s s t h a t
knowledge. This capability will increase by two to the power of
9. 9
1 0 0 , t h e e q u i v a l e n t o f a t h o u s a n d b i l li o n b i ll i o n , i n t h e t w en t y -
first century. — James Martin, “The 17 Great Challenges of the
T we n t y - F i r s t Century,” Jan-Feb 2007, p. 24 [ T he Fu t u r i s t
Magazine’s Top-10 Forecast for 2010]
Subsequently, given the immense level of complexity progression
and density, there is one axiom we will need to live by (that is, if
we wish to be successful in prevailing) that indicates: “The
s i g n i f i c a n t p r o b l e m s w e f ac e c an n o t b e s o l v e d at t h e s a m e l e v e l o f
t h i n k i n g w e w e r e at w h e n w e c r e a t e d t h e m. ” ( B y A l b e r t E i n s t e i n )
[153]
C h i n a m u l l s $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i o n s t r a t e g i c i n du s t r i e s b o o s t ? Ho w
far can China go to pervasively cutting-edge science and
technology while the West, seemingly and allegedly, does
n o t g e t i t s a c t t o g et h e r ? W h a t d o e s a p r o m i n en t n e w s
agency have to report on it?
R e u t e r s ( D e c 0 3 , 2 0 1 0 ) : “ C h i n a i s c on s i d er i n g i n v e s t m e n t s o f u p
t o $ 1 . 5 t r i l l i on o v e r f i v e y e a r s i n s e v e n s t r a t e g i c i n d u st r i e s ,
sources said, a plan aimed at a c c e l e r at i n g the country's
t r a n s i t i o n f r o m t h e w or l d ' s su p p l i er o f c h e a p g o o d s t o a l e ad i n g
purveyor of high-value t ec h n o l o g i e s …. Analysts expressed
s k e p t i c i s m at t h e s h e e r a m ou n t o f m o n e y ─ i t eq u a t e s t o a b o u t 5
10. 10
p er c en t o f C h i n a ' s g r o s s d o m e s t i c pr o d u c t o n a n a n n u a l b a s i s ─
b u t s a i d t h a t t h e e y e - p o p p i n g h e a d l i n e fi g u r e w a s an i n d i c at i o n o f
t h e g o v e r n m en t ' s d et e r m i n a t i on t o c a t a l y z e a s t r u c t u r a l s h i ft i n
the economy …. THE T A R G E T ED SECTORS INCLUDE
A L T ER N A T I V E ENERGY, B I O T E C H N O LO G Y , NEW-
G E N E R A T IO N INFORMATION T E C H N O LO G Y , HIGH-END
EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING, ADVANCED MATERIALS,
A L T ER N A T I V E - F U E L CARS AND ENERGY-SAVING AND
E N V IR O N M E N T A L L Y FR I E N D L Y T E C H N O LO G I E S … . B ei j i n g
h a s s a i d b e f or e t h a t i t w an t s t o pr o m o t e t h e s e c t o r s , a p o li c y t h a t
i t h o p e s wi l l m a k e t h e c ou n t r y l e s s d e p en d en t o n l o w - en d , d i r t y
m a n u f a c t u r i n g . T h e v a l u e - ad d ed o u t p u t o f t h e s e v e n s t r at e g i c
i n d u s t r i e s t o g et h e r a c c o u n t f or ab o u t 2 p e r c e n t o f G D P n o w . T h e
g o v e r n m en t h a s s a i d i t w a n t s t h e m t o g e n e r at e 8 p e r c e n t o f G D P
i n 2 0 1 5 a n d 1 5 p er c en t b y 2 0 2 0 . ” [ 1 7 6 ]
Zillion impossible science facts turned into rampant
realities?
D r . M i c h i o Ka k u , P h . D . p o i n t s o u t : “A s a p h y s i c i s t , I h a v e l e a r n ed
t h a t t h e ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ i s o f t e n a r e l a t i v e t er m … . I N M Y O W N
SHORT LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE SEEMINGLY IMPOSSIBLE
BECOME ESTABLISHED SCIENTIFIC FACT OVER AND OVER
A G A I N . S o i s i t i m p o s s i b l e t o t h i n k w e m i gh t o n e d a y b e a b l e t o
11. 11
teleport ourselves from one place to another, or build a spaceship
t h a t wi l l o n e d a y t a k e u s l i g h t - y e a r s t o t h e s t a r s ? … . I f w e w er e t o
s o m e h o w en c ou n t er a c i v i l i z at i o n a mi l l i o n y e a r s m o r e ad v a n c ed
t h a n ou r s , w ou l d t h e i r e v e r y d a y t ec h n o l o g y a p p e a r t o b e ‘ m a g i c ’
t o u s ? … . J u s t b ec a u s e s o m e t h i n g i s ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ t o d a y , w i l l i t
r e m a i n i m p o s s i b l e c e n t u r i e s o r m i l li o n s o f y e a r s i n t o t h e fu t u r e ?
… . G i v en t h e r e m a r k ab l e a d v a n c e s i n s c i en c e i n t h e p a s t c en t u r y ,
e s p e c i a l l y t h e c r e a t i o n o f t h e q u a n t u m t h e or y a n d g e n e r a l
r e l a t i v i t y , i t i s n o w p o s s i b l e t o gi v e r o u g h e s t i m a t e s o f w h en , i f
e v e r , s o m e o f t h e s e f a n t a s t i c t e c h n o l o g i e s m a y b e r e a l i z ed . W i t h
t h e c o mi n g o f e v e n m o r e ad v a n c ed t h e o r i e s , su c h a s s t r i n g t h e or y ,
e v e n c on c e p t s b o r d er i n g o n s c i e n c e fi c t i o n , s u c h a s t i m e t r a v e l
and p ar a l l e l universes, are now b ec o m i n g re-evaluated by
p h y s i c i s t s . T h i n k b ac k 1 5 0 y e a r s t o t h o s e t e c h n o l o g i c a l ad v a n c e s
t h a t w er e d ec l a r ed ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ b y sc i e n t i s t s a t t h e t i m e an d t h a t
h a v e n o w b ec o m e p a r t o f ou r e v e r y d a y li v e s . J u l e s V er n e w r o t e a
n o v e l i n 1 8 6 3 , P a r i s i n t h e T w en t i et h C en t u r y , w h i c h w a s l oc k e d
a w a y a n d f o r g o t t en f o r o v e r a c en t u r y u n t i l i t w a s a c c i d en t a l l y
d i s c o v e r ed b y h i s gr e a t - gr a n d s o n a n d p u b l i s h ed f or t h e f i r st t i m e
in 1994. In it Verne predicted what Paris might look like in the
y e a r 1 9 6 0 . Hi s n o v e l w a s fi l l e d w i t h t ec h n o l o g y t h at w a s c l e ar l y
c o n s i d er e d i m p o s s i b l e i n t h e n i n et e e n t h c en t u r y , i n c l u d i n g f a x
machines, a world-wide communications n et w o r k , glass
s k y s c r a p er s , g a s - p o w e r ed a u t o m ob i l e s , a n d h i g h - s p e ed el e v a t e d
12. 12
t r a i n s … N o t s u r p r i s i n g l y , V e r n e c o u ld m a k e s u c h st u n n i n g l y
ac c u r a t e p r e d i c t i o n s b e c au s e h e w a s i m m e r s e d i n t h e w o r l d o f
s c i e n c e , p i c k i n g t h e b r a i n s o f s c i en t i s t s a r ou n d h i m . A d e e p
a p p r e c i at i o n f o r t h e f u n d a m e n t a l s o f sc i e n c e a l l o w e d h i m t o m a k e
s u c h s t a r t l i n g p r e d i c t i o n s …. I R O N I C A L L Y , T H E S E R I O U S S T U D Y
O F T H E I M P O S S I B L E H A S F R E Q U E N T L Y O P E N E D U P RI C H A N D
E N T I R E L Y U N E X P E C T E D D O M AI N S O F S C I E N C E . F o r e x a m p l e ,
over the c en t u r i e s the f r u s t r at i n g and futile search for a
‘ p e r p et u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e ’ l ed p h y s i c i s t s t o c on c lu d e t h at s u c h a
machine was impossible, f or c i n g them to postulate the
c o n s e r v a t i on o f e n er g y an d t h e t h r e e l a w s o f t h er m o d y n a m i c s .
T h u s t h e f u t i l e s e a r c h t o b u i l d p er p e t u a l m o t i o n m a c h i n e s h el p e d
t o o p e n u p t h e e n t i r e l y n e w fi e l d o f t h er m o d y n a m i c s , w h i c h i n
p ar t l a i d t h e f o u n d a t i on o f t h e st e a m e n gi n e , t h e m ac h i n e a g e ,
a n d m o d er n i n d u s t r i a l s o c i e t y … . W e i gn o r e t h e i m p o s s i b l e a t ou r
p er i l . I n t h e 1 9 2 0 s a n d 1 9 3 0 s R o b er t G o d d a r d , t h e f o u n d er o f
m o d er n r o c k et r y , w a s t h e s u b j e c t o f i n t en s e c r i t i c i s m b y t h o s e
w h o t h o u gh t t h a t r o c k et s c o u ld n e v e r t r a v e l i n o u t er s p a c e . T h e y
s a r c a s t i c a l l y c a l l ed h i s p u r s u i t G o d d a r d ’ s F o l l y . I n 1 9 2 1 t h e
ed i t or s o f t h e N e w Y o r k T i m e s r a i l ed a g a i n s t Dr . G o d d a r d ’ s w o r k :
‘ P r o f e s s o r G od d ar d d o e s n o t k n o w t h e r e l a t i o n b e t w e en a c t i o n
a n d r e a c t i o n a n d t h e n e e d t o h a v e s o m e t h i n g b et t e r t h an a
v a c u u m a g a i n s t w h i c h t o r e ac t . H e s e e m s t o l a c k t h e b a s i c
knowledge l ad l e d ou t daily in high schools.’ R o c k et s w er e
13. 13
i mp o s s i b l e , t h e ed i t or s h u f f ed , b e c au s e t h er e w a s n o a i r t o pu s h
a g a i n st i n o u t e r s p a c e. S ad l y , o n e h e a d o f s t at e d i d u n d e r s t an d
t h e i m p l i c a t i on s o f G od d a r d ’ s ‘ i m p o s s i b l e ’ r o c k et s ─ A d o l p h
H i t l e r . D u r i n g W o r l d W a r I I , G e r m an y ’ s b ar r a g e o f i m p o s s i b l y
ad v a n c e d V - 2 r oc k e t s r a i n ed d e a t h an d d e s t r u c t i o n o n L o n d on ,
a l m o s t b r i n gi n g i t t o i t s k n e e s … . T i m e a n d a g a i n w e s e e t h a t t h e
s t u d y o f t h e i mp o s s i b l e h a s o p e n ed u p e n t i r e l y n e w v i s t a s ,
pushing the boundaries of physics and chemistry and forcing
scientists to redefine what they mean by ‘impossible.’ As Sir
W i l l i a m O s l e r o n c e s a i d , ‘T H E P H I L O S O P H I E S O F O N E A G E H A V E
BECOME THE ABSURDITIES OF THE NEXT, AND THE
FOOLISHNESS OF YESTERDAY HAS BECOME THE WISDOM OF
T OM O R R O W . ’ … . M a n y p h y s i c i s t s s u b sc r i b e t o t h e f a m o u s d i c t u m
o f T . H . W h i t e , w h o wr o t e i n T h e O n c e a n d F u t u r e K i n g , ‘ A n y t h i n g
t h a t i s n o t f o r b i d d e n , i s m a n d at o r y ! ’ I n ph y s i c s w e f i n d e v i d e n c e
o f t h i s a l l t h e t i m e …. F o r e x a m p l e , c o s m o l o g i s t S t e p h e n H a w k i n g
t r i ed t o p r o v e t h at t i m e t r a v e l w a s i m p o s s i b l e b y fi n d i n g a n e w
law of physics that w o u ld forbid it, which he c a l l ed the
‘ c h r o n o l o g y p r o t ec t i on c o n j ec t u r e . ’ U n f or t u n a t e l y , a f t er m a n y
y e a r s o f h ar d w o r k h e w a s u n a b l e t o pr o v e t h i s pr i n c i pl e . I n f a c t ,
t o t h e c o n t r a r y , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e n o w d e m on s t r a t ed t h a t a l a w t h a t
p r e v e n t s t i m e t r a v e l i s b e y o n d o u r pr e s e n t - d a y m a t h e m a t i c s .
T od a y , b ec a u s e t h e r e i s n o l a w o f ph y s i c s p r e v e n t i n g t h e e x i s t e n c e
o f t i m e m a c h i n e s , p h y s i c i s t s h a v e h ad t o t a k e t h e i r p o s s i b i l i t y
14. 14
very seriously …. Already one ‘impossible’ technology is now
p r o v i n g t o b e p o s s i b l e: t h e n ot i o n o f t e l e p o r t a t i on ( at l e a s t a t t h e
l e v e l o f at o m s ) . E v e n a f e w y e a r s a g o p h y s i c i s t s w o u ld h a v e s a i d
t h a t s e n d i n g o r b e a m i n g an o b j ec t f r o m o n e p o i n t t o an o t h er
v i o l a t ed t h e l a w s o f q u an t u m ph y s i c s . T h e w r i t er s o f t h e o r i g i n a l
Star Trek television series, in fact, were so stung by the criticism
f r o m p h y s i c i st s t h a t t h e y ad d ed ‘ H e i s e n b er g c o m p en s a t o r s ’ t o
e x p l a i n t e l e p o r t e r s i n o r d e r t o a d d r e s s t h i s f l a w . T o d a y , b ec a u s e
o f a r e c en t b r e a k t h r o u g h , ph y s i c i s t s c a n t el e p o r t a t o m s ac r o s s a
r o o m or p h ot o n s u n d er t h e D a n u b e R i v er . ” [ 1 7 4 ] T o r e a d m o r e o n
t h i s c i t a t i o n , g o t o A ma z o n a t h t t p : / / a m z n . t o / d H G k O W
F r u i t f u l l y p l a n t i n g i n w h i c h t e n s e?
“ T h e h e r i t a g e o f t h e p a s t i s t h e s e ed t h a t b r i n g s f o r t h t h e h a r v e s t
o f t h e f u t u r e . ” ─ I n s c r i p t i o n f r o m s t a t u a r y pe d e s t a l a t N a t i o n a l
Archives in Washington
Many forces are not predictable but some others are
predictable based on omniscience!
Y o g i B e r r a : “ P r ed i c t i on i s v e r y h ar d , e s p e c i a l l y w h en i t ' s ab o u t
the future.” [171]
15. 15
W h o c r e a t e s t h e fu t u r e a n d w h o d o e s n ’ t ?
M i c h a e l A n i s s i m o v : “ O n e o f t h e b i g g e s t fl a w s i n t h e c o m m on
c o n c ep t i on o f t h e f u t u r e i s t h at t h e f u t u r e i s s o m e t h i n g t h a t
h a p p en s t o u s, n ot s o m e t h i n g w e c r e a t e . ” [ 1 4 2 ]
What are the ruthless drivers?
Ha r o l d V a r m u s , N I H D i r e c t o r : “T h e r e a r e t h r e e g r e a t t h e m e s i n
s c i e n c e i n t h e t w en t i et h c e n t u r y ─ t h e at o m , t h e c o m pu t e r , a n d t h e
g e n e. ” [ 1 7 1 ]
I n t e r a c t i n g w i t h t h e fu t u r e?
R a i n e r M a r i a R i l k e : “ T h e fu t u r e e n t e r s i n t o u s i n o r d er t o
t r a n s f o r m i t s e l f i n u s l o n g b e f or e i t h a p p en s . ” [ 1 4 2]
I can offer this perspective as of now (the wonderful continuum)
a n d u n d e r m y h u m a n a n d h u m a n e pe r s p e c t i v e . I d o l i k e a g r e a t
d e a l s c i e n c e a n d t e c h n o l o g y , b u t o n l y t o t h e t r u e s t s e r v ic e o f t h e
g l o b a l c i v i l i za t i o n . G i v e n t h e u b i q u i t o u s d y n a m i c s s h i f t i n g t h r o u g h
tsunamis, these days I find the term “continuum” beyond
i n e f f e c t u a l a n d m o s t l y lu d i c r o u s .
16. 16
N o n e t h e l e s s , i f y o u w a n t t o “ r e a l i t y - c h e c k ” t h e s e r e f le c t i o n s , y o u
will be able, soonest, to have every detailed explanation by, say, an
o m n i s c i e n t r o b o t h o v e r i n g “ m i d a i r ” i f y o u i n d e f in i t e l y p o s t p o n e
y o u r h o m e w o r k a n d f a i l t o d o y o u r o w n in d e p e n d e n t r e s e a r c h , d o n e
for and by you (as of now).
What to consider about gauging the future?
W i r e d ( 1 9 9 4 ) : “ T h e f u t u r e b e l on g s t o n ei t h er t h e c on d u i t o r
c o n t en t p l a y e r s , b u t t h o s e w h o c on t r o l t h e f i lt e r i n g , s e a r c h i n g
a n d s e n s e - m a k i n g t o o l s w e w i l l r e l y o n t o n a v i g a t e t h r ou g h t h e
e x p a n s i on o f c yb e r s p a c e . ” [ 1 4 5 ]
Horses, dogs and robotic dominance of all?
S a m u e l B u t l e r ( 1 8 6 3 l e t t e r ) : “W h o wi l l b e m a n ’ s s u c c e s s o r ? T o
which the answer is: We ar e ourselves creating our own
s u c c e s s o r s . M an w i l l b e c o m e t o t h e m a c h i n e wh a t t h e h o r s e an d
t h e d o g a r e t o m a n ; t h e c on c lu s i o n b ei n g t h at m ac h i n e s a r e, or
a r e b ec o m i n g , a n i m a t e. ” [ 1 4 2]
G o t o a n y “ s n a i l p a c e d ” n e w s p a p e r s ( on l i n e o r o l d - f a s h i o n e d
“ o f f l i n e ” ) i n a d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r y a n d t h i s y o u ’ l l f in d w i t h i n t h e
daily headlines: Fiction immensely superseded — through many
17. 17
orders of magnitudes (that is, by hyper-geometrical exponential
rates) — by realities, that is: the most incontrovertible and yet the
most dramatic realities.
People kind of see a part of the waves, but are famously infamously
u n a wa r e t h a t m o s t p e r v a s i v e c u r r e n t s u n d e r n e a t h a re t h e t r u e
d y n a m o s o f t h e s e s w i r l i n g c ha n g e d c h a n g e s .
Brainy ones hyper-accelerating industries and beyond?
J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ M e an w h i l e , l on e i n d i v i d u a l s a r e b i r t h i n g n o t j u st
c o m p a n i e s b u t e n t i r e i n d u s t r i e s t h a t r ap i d l y b e c o m e b i g g e r t h a n
t h e e c o n o m i e s o f m o s t c ou n t r i e s . B u t u n li k e gr o w t h i n d u st r i e s o f
t h e p a s t … c ar s an d a e r o s p a c e , f o r e x a m p l e … t h e i n d u s t r i e s t h at
w i l l d o m i n at e ou r f u t u r e d e p e n d o n j u st a f e w s m a r t m i n d s … N o t
a l o t o f m an p o w e r … S o d u r i n g a p e r i o d o f pr o s p e r i t y a n d
ec o n o m i c gr o w t h … Wealth is ever more mobile and
c o n c en t r a t e d . ” [ 1 6 3 ]
What is the current rate of change? What is the as-of-now
r a t e o f t e c h n o l o g i c a l a n d s c i e n t i f i c k n o w l e d g e do u b l i n g ?
Mark Miller, computer scientist: “You know, things are going to
b e r e a l l y d i f f er e n t … N o , n o , I m e a n r e a l l y d i f f e r en t . ” [ 1 4 2 ]
18. 18
What are we morphing into?
S i r A r t h u r C . C la r k e : “ I t ’ s a l s o a t ou r d e f o r c e o f p h ot o g r a p h y : t h e
i m a g e s r e v e a l a wh o l e n e w or d e r o f c r e a t i on a b o u t t o c o m e i n t o
e x i s t en c e. N o o n e w h o h a s an y i n t e r e s t i n t h e fu t u r e c a n a f f o r d
it.” [164]
The outcomes stemming of the intermixing of the
exuberant technologies?
J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ Y ou a n d y o u r c h i l d r e n ar e a b o u t t o f a c e a s e r i e s
o f u n p r ec e d en t ed m o r a l , et h i c a l , e c on o m i c , a n d f i n an c i a l i s s u e s .
T h e c h oi c e s y o u m a k e [ a s w e l l a s t h o s e y o u ’ r e f ai l i n g t o m a k e
b e c au s e o f l a c k o f d e t a i l e d , a d v a n c ed a n d d e e p a w a r e n e s s ] wi l l
i mp a c t w h er e y o u l i v e , w h at y o u e a r n , w h a t y o u r g r an d c h i ld r en
w i l l l o o k l i k e, h o w l on g y o u l i v e . I t a l l s t a r t s b e c au s e w e a r e
m i xi n g a p p l e s , or a n g e s , a n d f l o p p y d i s k s . ” [ 1 6 3 ]
W ha t i s i t m e a n t b y “ F u t u r e ” ? W h e n s p e a k in g a b o u t “ F UT U R E ” a s
t h e u n d e r s i g n e d i s s p e a k in g a b o u t c ha n g e , t h e r e i s i n c lu d e d
positive change and negative change (as well as the grave tradeoffs
b e t w e e n [ a ] p o s i t i v e c h a n g e a n d [ b] n e g a t i v e c ha n g e ) . H o w e v e r ,
19. 19
t h e e m p h a s i s i s t o u n d e r p i n t h e u p s i d e c h a n g e s a n d t o c r i p p le t h e
downside changes.
The undersigned will also be reflecting about some of the
c o n s e q u e n c e s a n d p o s s i b i l i t i e s b y s a i d c ha n g e s a n d t r a d e o f f s .
F r o m p e r e n n i a l l y u p g r a d e d k n o w l e dg e i n t o d e c i s i v e , r u l i n g
empires?
J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ T h e k n o w l e d g e r e v o lu t i on i s t a k i n g p l ac e i n
s m a l l , s h a r p l y d e f i n e d a r e a s . O n e c o m p a n y g e n e r at e s m o r e U . S .
p at e n t s t h a n 1 3 9 c ou n t r i e s d o t o g e t h e r … T h i s [ r e v o lu t i on ]
g e n er a t e s n e w E M P I R E S a n d n e w g h e t t o s …. I t s l a m s i n t o e x i s t i n g
s y s t e m s an d d e s t r o y s t h e m w h i l e c r e at i n g n e w s y s t e m s . C o u n t r i e s
and individuals can either surf new and powerful waves of
change ─or try to stop them and get crushed.” [163]
S h o c k i n g t i m e s e q u a t e t o s h o c k i n g fu t u r es ?
J o s e O r t e g a y G a s s e t : “ L i f e i s a s e r i e s o f c o l l i s i on s w i t h t h e fu t u r e ;
i t i s n o t t h e s u m o f w h a t w e h a v e b e e n , b u t w h at w e y e a r n t o b e . ”
[149]
W hy e v e r y t h i n g c h a n g e s , b e g i n n i n g w i t h c h a n g e i t s e l f ?
20. 20
N i c o l a T e s l a , 1 8 9 6 , I n v e n t o r o f A l t e r n a t i v e C u r r e n t : “ I d o n ot t h i n k
t h e r e i s a n y t h r i l l t h at c a n g o t h r ou g h t h e h u m a n h e a r t li k e t h at
f e l t b y t h e i n v e n t o r a s h e s e e s s o m e c r e at i o n o f t h e b r ai n
unfolding to success.” [142]
Is the new paradigm changing to so many paradigms
simultaneously r es u l t i n g impossible to figure out any
paradigm correctly?
Juan Enriquez: “ M an y people, even some of the h e ad s of
m e g a c or p o r a t i on s , f e e l t h a t t h e w o r l d i s m o v i n g t o o f a s t a s
companies, even industries, disappear.” [163]
W h a t a r e t h e b r a i n ’ s p r i o r i t i e s b e y on d s e i z i n g l i f e - s u p p o r t
capabilities for its own sustainability?
Michael Polanyi: “The mind is attracted by b e au t i fu l [and
ad v a n c e d ] p r o b l e m s , p r o m i s i n g b e a u t i f u l [ a n d u s e fu l s o l u t i o n s ] . ”
[160]
What has become of fate and d es t i n y in times that
neuroscience researchers are coming out with some
21. 21
PRELIMINARY outcomes that seem to suggest: “The
p r e s en t i s a f u n c t i o n o f t h e f u t u r e ” ?
R o b e r t T h e o b a l d : “ O u r f u t u r e i s d e t er m i n ed b y t h e a c t i o n s o f a l l
o f u s a l i v e t od a y . O u r c h o i c e s d et e r m i n e o u r d e s t i n y . ” [ 1 6 0 ]
Which destiny is that?
W i l l i a m J e n n i n g s B r y a n : “ D e s t i n y i s n o t a m at t e r o f c h an c e ─ i t i s a
m a t t e r o f c h o i c e . I t i s n o t a t h i n g t o b e w a i t ed f o r ─ i t i s a t h i n g t o
be achieved.” [174]
W h a t a r e t h e c o s m o l o g i c a l t r a i t s o f t h i s o v e r - f r a g m e n t ed
“society”? Indeed!
D a v i d B r i n : “ W h a t d i st i n g u i s h e s s o c i e t y t o d a y i s n o t o n l y t h e p a c e
o f e v e n t s , b u t a l s o t h e n at u r e o f t h e t o o l k i t f o r f a c i n g t h e fu t u r e . ”
[160]
What are the origins of future?
“Do not presume that past success i n d i c at e s future
i mp r e g n ab i l i t y . ” [ 1 5 4]
22. 22
There is here a point of view about change (as change is
partly explored here):
A d a m G o r d o n : “ W e h a v e s e e n e y e - p o p p i n g d e v e l o p m e n t s ac r o s s
s o c i e t y , t ec h n o l o g y , i n s t i t u t i on s , a n d p r od u c t s an d s e r v i c e s i n t h e
l a s t g en e r a t i o n ; t h i s wi l l s u r e l y c o n t i n u e i n t o t h e fu t u r e … . i f w e
d e c i d e t o d a y t o l au n c h a pr o d u c t , b u y a h ou s e , s t u d y f o r a d e g r e e ,
b u i l d a n e w l i gh t r ai l s y s t e m , o r t a k e a n y s i m i l a r d e c i s i on o f
s i g n i f i c a n c e, t h e e n v i r o n m e n t o f t o m o r r o w wi l l b e a k e y f a c t o r i n
t h e s u c c e s s o r f ai l u r e o f t h at d e c i s i on … . O u r d ec i s i o n s ar e o n l y a s
good as the view of the fu t u r e they rest on [profound
understanding of all of the driving forces shaping and re-shaping
t h e en v i r o n m en t ] . A l l o p p or t u n i t i e s a n d s u c c e s s e s an d pr o f i t s ar e
r e a l i z e d i n t h e f u t u r e . A l l t h r e at s , f a i l u r e s , a n d l o s s e s a r e r e a l i z ed
i n t h e f u t u r e … . E i t h er w a y , t h e e a r l i e r a n d c l e a r er w e s e e f u t u r e
c i r c u m s t an c e s , t h e b e t t e r w e wi l l b e a b l e t o b e n e f i t b y c h a n gi n g
ou r c u r r e n t r e c i p e s f or s u c c e s s t o k e e p u p wi t h t h e c h a n g e s i n t h e
w o r l d . T h e b e t t e r m an a g e r s ’ v i e w o f t h e fu t u r e , t h e b et t e r t h ei r
d e c i s i o n s w i l l t u r n ou t t o b e … . ” [ 1 0 2 ]
H o w d o e s c h a n g e a n d fu t u r e i n t e r r e l a t e ?
Alvin Toffler: “Change is the process by which the future invades our
lives.” [147]
23. 23
W e h a v e g o n e u b i q u i t o u s l y d i g i t a l a n d g en e t i c a n d t h e
c o n s eq u e n c e s are u n p r on o u n c e a b l e even in or d e r s of
magnitude?
J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ D i g i t a l c o d e i s w h a t d r i v e s r a p i d s p e e d g r o wt h
t od a y . I t a l l o w s m er g e r s li k e A O L T i m e W ar n e r … I t d r i v e s t h e
I n t er n et , TV, music, f i n an c e , IT, news coverage, research,
m a n u f a c t u r i n g . A f e w c o u n t r i e s an d c o m p an i e s u n d e r s t o o d t h e
c h a n g e . T h a t i s h o w p o o r c ou n t r i e s l i k e Fi n l a n d , S i n g a p o r e , a n d
T ai w a n g o t s o w e a l t h y … S o q u i c k l y … B u t a l o t o f f o l k s j u s t d i d
n ot l e a r n t o r e a d a n d w r i t e a n e w l a n g u a g e … An d e v e n t h o u g h
t h e y p r od u c e d m or e a n d m o r e g o o d s , p ar t i c u l a r l y c o m m o d i t i e s …
A n d e v e n t h ou g h t h e y r e s t r u c t u r e d c o m p a n i e s a n d g o v e r n m en t s …
C u t b u d g e t s , r a i s e d t a x e s , b u i l t l a r g e f a c t o r i e s an d b u i l d i n g s …
T h e y g o t a l o t p o o r e r . ( I n 1 9 3 8 t h e r i c h e s t c ou n t r y p er p e r s o n i n
A s i a w a s … t h e P h i l i p p i n e s . I n 1 9 5 4 , ac c or d i n g t o t h e W o r l d B an k ,
t h e m o s t p r o m i s i n g A s i a n e c on o m y w a s … B u r m a . B ot h r e m a i n
c o m m o d i t y ec o n o m i e s … B o t h a r e s i d e l i n ed fr o m t h e d i gi t a l
r e v o l u t i on … A n d y o u p r ob a b l y w ou l d n ot li k e t o l i v e i n e i t h e r
c o u n t r y ) . Y o u r w o r l d c h an g e d wh e n y o u w en t ‘ O n L i n e . ’ O n e d a y
y o u u s e d a f a x or e - m a i l … An d i t s o o n b e c a m e h a r d t o c o n c ei v e o f
li v i n g w i t h on l y s n a i l m a i l. I f y o u u n d e r s t o o d t h i s c h a n g e e a r l y …
A n d i n v e s t e d o r w o r k ed i n s o m e o f t h e c o m p a n i e s d r i v i n g t h e
24. 24
d i g i t a l r e v o l u t i o n … Y o u a r e p r ob a b l y q u i t e w e l l o f f … ( a s a
c o u n t r y a n d / or a s a n i n d i v i d u a l ) . I f y o u c a m e l a t e, a s a
s p e c u l a t or , w i t h ou t u n d er s t a n d i n g w h a t a d i gi t a l l a n g u a g e d o e s ,
o r d o e s n ot d o … Y o u p r o b a b l y l o s t a l o t o f m o n e y d u r i n g t h e y e a r
2 0 0 0 . Y o u r w o r l d … a n d y o u r l a n g u a g e … ar e a b ou t t o c h an g e
a g a i n . T h e t w o n u c l e o t i d e b a s e p ai r s t h at c od e a l l li f e … A - T , C - G
… H a v e a l r e ad y l e d s o m e o f t h e w o r ld ’ s l a r g e s t c o m p an i e s …
M on s a n t o … D u P o n t … N o v a r t i s … I B M … H o e s c h s t … C o m p a q …
G l a x o S m i t h K l i n e … T o d ec l a r e t h at t h ei r f u t u r e li e s i n l i f e s c i en c e .
T h e y h a v e a b a n d o n ed , s o l d , s p u n o f f c o r e b u si n e s s d i vi s i o n s …
A n d l a u n c h e d t h e m s e l v e s i n t o s e l l i n g c o m pl e t e l y n e w p r o d u c t s …
Which is wh y so many chemical, seed, cosmetic, food,
p h a r m a c eu t i c a l c o m p an i e s … Ar e p a r t n e r i n g , M e r g i n g , G r o w i n g .
S o m e l i f e - s c i e n c e c o m p a n i e s w i l l c r a s h s p ec t a c u l a r l y … Ot h e r s
w i l l g et l ar g e r t h an M i c r o s o f t an d C i s c o … ( C o m p a n i e s t h a t a r e
already l ar g e r t h an the e c o n o mi e s of most of the w o r ld ’ s
c o u n t r i e s . ) . T h e w or l d ’ s m e g a - m e r g er s a r e g o i n g t o b e d r i v e n b y
d i g i t a l an d g e n e t i c c od e . C o n s i d e r w h a t i s a b o u t t o h a p p e n t o
m ed i c i n e . Y o u c u r r e n t l y s p e n d a b o u t n i n e t i m e s a s m u c h f o r
d o c t or s a n d m e d i c a l i n t er v e n t i on s … A s y o u d o o n m ed i c i n e s a n d
p r e v e n t i o n . I n t h e m e a s u r e t h at w e u n d e r s t a n d h o w v i r u s e s ,
b a c t er i a , a n d o u r b o d i e s a r e pr o g r a m m e d … An d h o w t h e y c a n b e
reprogrammed … Treatment wi l l shift from e m e r g en c y
i n t er v e n t i o n s … T o w a r d d e l i b e r a t e a n d p e r s o n a l i z ed p r e v e n t i o n …
25. 25
( Ju s t a s d en t i st r y d i d . ) . An d w e m a y e n d u p s p e n d i n g j u s t a s
mu c h o n p h ar m a c e u t i c a l s a s w e d o o n d oc t or s . T h e s e m ed i c i n e s d o
n ot h a v e t o b e p i l l s or i n j ec t i o n s … T h e y c ou ld b e a p a r t o f t h e
food you eat every day, your soap or cosmetics … Perhaps you
w i l l i n h a l e t h e m o r s i m p l y pu t v a r i o u s p a t c h e s o n y o u r s k i n . ( T h i s
is wh y P r o c t er & Gamble is thinking of m er g i n g wi t h a
p h a r m a c eu t i c a l c o m p an y , why L’Oréal is hiring m o l ec u l ar
b i o l o g i s t s , a n d w h y C a m p b e l l ’ s i s s e l l i n g s o u p s d e s i gn e d f o r
h o s p i t a l p a t i e n t s wi t h s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s . ) . ” [ 1 6 3 ]
Can we exercise our brains to solve complex problems
e m b e d d e d i n t h e f u t u r e f o r t h e s a k e o f t h e c u r r en t p r e s e n t ?
D r . M a r s h a l l M c L u h a n , P h . D . ( 1 9 6 2 ) : “ O u r w o r ld t o m or r o w w i l l b e
u t t e r l y d i f f e r en t , i n w a y s w e c an n o t e v e n c on c ei v e . ” [ 1 7 5 ]
What hijacks what?
Dr. Stephen Covey: “Again, yesterday h o ld s tomorrow
h o s t a g e … . M e m or y i s p a s t . I t i s f i n i t e . V i s i o n i s fu t u r e . I t i s
i n f i n i t e. V i s i o n i s g r e a t er t h an h i s t o r y … ” [ 1 5 3 ]
T h e c o n s e q u en c e s o f a w or l d g o i n g f r o m r ou n d t o f l a t ?
26. 26
Thomas Friedman: “…the flattening of the world is going to be
h u g e l y d i s r u p t i v e t o b ot h t r ad i t i o n a l a n d d e v e l o p e d s o c i et i e s . T h e
w e a k wi l l f a l l f u r t h e r b e h i n d f a s t e r . T h e t r ad i t i o n a l w i ll f e e l t h e
f o r c e o f m od e r n i z a t i o n m u c h m o r e pr o f o u n d l y . T h e n e w w i l l g et
t u r n e d i n t o o l d q u i c k er . T h e d e v e l o p e d w i l l b e c h a l l en g e d b y t h e
u n d e r d e v e l o p e d mu c h m or e pr o f o u n d l y . I w o r r y , b e c a u s e s o m u c h
p o l i t i c a l s t a b i l i t y i s b u i lt o n ec o n o m i c s t a b i l i t y , a n d e c o n o m i c
s t ab i l i t y i s n ot g o i n g t o b e a f e a t u r e o f t h e f l a t w o r ld . A d d i t a l l
u p a n d y o u c a n s e e t h a t t h e d i s r u p t i o n s a n d g o i n g t o c o m e f a s t er
a n d h ar d er . N o o n e i s i m m u n e ─ n ot m e , n o t y o u , n o t M i c r o s o f t .
W e ar e en t er i n g a n e r a o f c r e at i v e d e s t r u c t i o n o n s t er o i d s .
D e a l i n g w i t h f l at i s m i s g o i n g t o b e a c h al l e n g e o f a w h o l e n e w
d i m e n s i on e v e n i f y o u r c o u n t r y h a s a s t r a t e g y . B u t i f y o u d o n ’ t
h a v e a s t r a t e g y a t a l l , w e l l , a g a i n , y o u ’ v e w a r n ed … ” [ 1 3 9 ]
W hy t h i s c h a n g e d c h a n g e i s u n pr e c e d e n t e d a n d d i f f e r e n t ?
S a n F r a n c i s c o fu t u r i s t J a m e s C a n t o n o f f er s i n s i g h t .
“ C I O I n s i g h t : I n T h e E x t r e m e Fu t u r e, y o u s a y t h e 2 1 s t c en t u r y i s
g o i n g t o b e l i g h t n i n g - f a s t , c o m p l e x an d d r i v en b y d i s r u p t i v e
changes. But a r en ' t we a lr e a d y in this extreme future?
[RESPONDING THE QUESTION,] JAMES CANTON [INDICATES]:
WE ARE TO A CERTAIN EXTENT. BUT THE POINT OF MY BOOK
IS THAT THINGS ARE GOING TO GET EVEN MORE DISRUPTIVE,
27. 27
C O M P L E X A N D C O M P E T I T I V E ; T H I N G S A R E N O T G OI N G T O
E A S E O F F , T H E Y ' R E A C T U A L L Y G OI N G T O A C C E L E R A T E . ” [ 1 3 8 ]
W h a t a r e t h e o r g a n i c p r o p e rt i e s o f c h a n g e a n d i t s i m p a c t ?
David Schlesinger, global managing director at Reuters, indicates:
“ C h a n g e i s h ar d . C h an g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e c au g h t b y s u r pr i s e .
C h a n g e i s h ar d e s t o n t h o s e w h o h a v e d i f f i c u lt y c h a n g i n g t o o . B u t
c h a n g e i s n a t u r a l ; c h an g e i s n ot n e w ; c h an g e i s i m p or t a n t . ” [ 1 3 9 ]
T h e u n i v e r s e a n d t h e m o r r ow ?
I sa a c A s i m o v : “ Hu m a n i t y h a s t h e s t a r s i n i t s fu t u r e , a n d t h at
f u t u r e i s t o o i m p o r t an t t o b e l o s t u n d er t h e b u r d e n o f j u v e n i l e
f o l l y a n d i gn o r a n t s u p er s t i t i o n . ” [ 1 4 1 ]
Understanding the universe as we don’t think it is and as
many people cannot align it with their belief system?
D r . C a r l S a ga n , P h D : “ I t i s f a r b e t t er t o g r a s p t h e u n i v e r s e a s i t
r e a l l y i s t h an t o p e r s i s t i n d e l u s i on , h o w e v e r s a t i s f y i n g a n d
r e a s s u r i n g. ” [ 1 5 7 ]
W h o s e r e a l i t i e s a n d m y t hs a r e t h o s e?
28. 28
Voltaire (1694 – 1778), French writer and philosopher:
“ E v e r y t h i n g ’ s f i n e t o d a y , t h a t i s ou r i l l u s i on . ” [ 1 5 7 ]
Is anyone exaggerating about the dynamics of change?
I a n P e a r s o n : “ B y m i d - c e n t u r y , c o m p u t e r s w i l l b e l i n k e d d i r ec t l y
i n t o o u r n e r v o u s s y s t e m s v i a n an o t e c h n o l o g y , wh i c h i s s o s m a l l i t
c o u l d c on n ec t e v e r y n e u r o n i n o u r b r a i n s . B y a b ou t 2 0 4 0, t h e r e
w i l l b e a b a c k u p o f o u r b r ai n s i n a c o m p u t e r s o m e w h e r e , s o t h a t
w h en y o u d i e i t w on ’ t b e a m a j o r c a r e e r p r o b l e m . ” [ 1 4 0]
Q u e s t i o n : A l l e g e d l y , T o w h a t e x t e n t i s t h e w or l d c h a n g i n g
and what are some of the c o n s e q u en c e s , sometimes
infamously ignored?
D r . S t e p h e n C o v e y : “ T h e w o r ld h a s pr o f o u n d l y c h a n g ed … T h e
c h a l l e n g e s a n d c o m p l e x i t y w e f ac e i n o u r p e r s o n a l li v e s an d
r e l a t i on s h i p s , i n o u r f a m i li e s , i n o u r p r o f e s s i o n a l li v e s , an d i n
ou r o r g an i z a t i on s ar e o f a d i f f e r en t or d er o f m a g n i t u d e . I n f ac t ,
many mark 1989 ─ the year we witnessed the fall of the Berlin
W al l ─ a s t h e b e g i n n i n g o f t h e I n f o r m a t i o n A g e , t h e b i r t h o f a n e w
r e a l i t y , a s e a c h an g e o f i n c r e d i b l e s i g n i fi c a n c e ─ t r u l y a n e w e r a
─ B e i n g e f f e c t i v e a s i n d i v i d u a l s a n d o r g a n i z a t i o n s i s n o l o n g er
29. 29
m er e l y a n o p t i o n ─ s u r v i v a l i n t o d a y ’ s w o r l d r e q u i r e s i t . B u t i n
o r d e r t o t h r i v e , i n n o v a t e , e x c el , a n d l e a d i n w h a t C o v e y c a l l s t h e
n e w Kn o w l e d g e W o r k er A g e, w e m u s t b u i l d o n a n d m o v e b e y o n d
e f f ec t i v en e s s [ l o n g - h e l d a s s u m p t i o n s , f a l l ac i e s a n d f l a w e d b e l i e f s
a n d f au l t y c on v e n t i o n s ] … Ac c e s s i n g t h e h i g h e r le v e l s o f h u m a n
g e n i u s a n d m o t i v a t i o n i n t o d a y ’ s n e w r e a li t y R E Q U I R E S A S E A
C H A N G E I N T H I N K I N G : a n e w m i n d - s e t , a n e w s k i ll - s e t , a n e w
t o o l - s e t ─ i n s h or t , a w h o l e n e w h a b i t . ” [ 1 5 3 ]
B r i n g i n g d o w n a h a n d fu l o f m i l l e n a r y f a l l a c i e s i n t h e
twentieth-one century?
G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ Fr o m C on v e n t i on a l W i s d o m t o
S h o c k i n g P r o b ab i l i t y . M a y b e s o m e d a y , s o o n er o r l at e r , t r u l y
i n t e l l i g e n t m ac h i n e s w i l l b e b u i l t . Un t i l t h a t t i m e , s p e c u l at i o n w i l l
ab o u n d . M u c h o f t h a t s p e c u l a t i o n i s b a s e d o n w h a t m i g h t b e
c a l l e d ‘ C o n v en t i on a l W i sd o m , ’ t h e u n d e r l y i n g a s s u m p t i on s an d
c o n v e n t i o n s w e c ol l e c t i v e l y s h a r e . W e c an l i s t s o m e o f t h e s e
a s s u m p t i o n s a s f o l l o w s : T h e n e x t c en t u r y wi l l b e a n e x t en s i o n o f
t h i s o n e , w i t h i n c r e a s i n g l y s m a r t e r m a c h i n e s b ei n g r u n b y p e o p l e
a n d f o r p e o p l e … B e c au s e t h e h u m a n m i n d i s l i n k e d t o a s o u l ,
c yb e r n e t i c m a c h i n e s wi l l n e v er b e f u l l y s e l f - a w a r e l i k e w e a r e …
I f i n t e l l i g e n t r o b o t s c an b e b u i l t , i t w i l l b e a l o n g t i m e b e f o r e t h e y
c a n b e m a d e t o d o w h a t h u m a n s d o, a s w e l l a s h u m an s d o i t .
30. 30
P e r h a p s c e n t u r i e s w i l l b e r e q u i r ed … E v e n a f t er i n t e l li g e n t r o b o t s
a r e m a d e , mu l t i t u d e s o f h u m a n s w i l l c o n t i n u e t o e x i s t on e a r t h ,
a n d m a y b e e v e n i n s p a c e … Hu m a n m i n d s a n d p er s o n a l i d e n t i t i e s
w i l l n e v e r b e ab l e t o m e r g e w i t h a n e l e c t r o m e c h a n i c a l s y s t e m …
E v e n i f i t w e r e p o s s i b l e, w e h u m a n s w o u ld r e fu s e t o d o w n l o a d ou r
m i n d s o n t o h ar d w a r e , n o m a t t e r h o w t e m pt i n g a n d i n t e l l i g e n t t h e
n e w s u r r o u n d i n g s m i g h t b e . W e b e l i e v e t h a t c yb e r b e i n g s wi l l b e
e m o t i o n l e s s , s o u l l e s s , a n d h u m o r l e s s m ec h a n i c a l z o m b i e s ─ r a t h er
li k e ‘ S t ar T r e k ’ s ’ L t . C o m m a n d e r D a t a , a s o m e w h a t s a d a n d r o i d
p i n i n g f or a h u m a n i t y h e w i l l n e v e r ac h i e v e … N o m a t t er h o w
s m a r t t h e y ar e , d i g i t a l m i n d s w i l l n e v e r h a v e t h e i n s i g h t ,
i n t u i t i o n , a n d s m o o t h s a v v y o f t h e h u m an m i n d . T h e y w i l l f o r e v e r
r e m a i n m e n t a l l y i n f e r i o r , a n d ou r f a i t h f u l , s e l f - m a i n t a i n i n g
s e r v a n t s … T h e r ob o t s w i l l s o o n pr o v e o u r m e n t a l a n d ph y s i c a l
s u p er i o r s . S e l f - g e n e r at e d en h a n c e m e n t s w i l l r e f i n e t h e m b e y o n d
ou r c o n t r o l . T h e y wi l l en s l a v e u s a l l e x c e p t , o f c ou r s e , f o r a
r e n e g a d e b an d o f r e b el l i o u s , y o u n g , g o o d - l o o k i n g, d a r i n g h u m a n s
a r m ed with b a t t er e d , r ec y c l ed s u r pl u s weapons, fearlessly
f o l l o w i n g t h e i r c r a g g y b u t wi s e l e ad e r i n t o a f i g h t f o r t r u t h ,
j u s t i c e , a n d t h e h o mi n i d w a y … T H I S B O O K A R G U E S T H AT T H E
N E X T C E N T U R Y W I L L P R O V E T O B E N O T H I N G L I K E T HI S O N E ,
NOR ANY FORECAST SO FAR. C O M P U T I NG POWER,
NEUROSCIENCE, AND NANOTECHNOLOGIES ARE ADVANCING
SO RAPIDLY THAT THEY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE THE
31. 31
M OS T S I G N I F I C A N T E V O L U T I O N A R Y D E V E L O P M E N T S S I N C E
T H E O R I G I N O F L I F E I T S E L F … W E M A I N T A I N T H AT T H E
H U M A N M I N D A N D C O N S C I O US T H O U G HT A R E E X C L U S I V E L Y
NATURAL AND PHYSICAL IN ORIGIN AND NATURE.
ULTIMATELY, THEIR NATURES AND FUNDAMENTAL
P R O C E S S E S A R E K N O W AB L E A N D C A N B E R E P L I C A T E D F O R
THE PURPOSES OF PERSONAL IMMORTALITY.” [169]
Pervasive genetics, pervasive medicine, pervasive
diagnostics and pervasive monitoring?
Juan Enriquez: “If it seems like your world has been topsy-turvy
o v e r t h e p a s t f e w y e a r s … C o n s i d e r w h at ’ s c o m i n g . Y o u r g en e t i c
c o d e w i l l b e i mp r i n t ed on an d I D c a r d … F o r b e t t er a n d w o r s e .
M ed i c i n e s w i l l b e t a i l o r ed t o y o u r g e n e s an d w i l l h e l p pr e v e n t
s p e c i f i c d i s e a s e s f o r w h i c h y o u m a y b e at r i s k . ( B u t … y o u r
i n s u r a n c e c o m p an y a n d y o u r p r o s p e c t i v e e m pl o y e r m a y a l s o f i n d
ou t t h at y o u a r e g e n et i c a l l y d i s p o s e d t o , s a y , h e a r t d i s e a s e , or
b r e a s t c a n c e r , or A l z h ei m e r ’ s . ) . ” [ 1 6 3 ]
W h a t e v e r t h e l e t h a l c o n s e q u en c e s , A r e y o u s t i l l do g g e d l y
insisting on not u n d e rs t a n d i n g the r a t es of hy p e r -
g e o m e t r i c a l e x p o n e n t i a l g r o w t h a n d h e n c e n ot h a v e a s e n s e
32. 32
o f p r o p o r t i o n s i n a l i g n m e n t w i t h t h e dr i v i n g f o r c e s o f t h e
twentieth-one century?
J a m e s J o h n B e l l : “ W e w on ’ t j u s t e x p e r i e n c e 1 0 0 y e a r s o f p r o gr e s s
i n t h e t w en t y - f i r s t c en t u r y ─ i t w i l l b e m or e l i k e 2 0 , 0 0 0 y e a r s o f
progress.” [161]
H o w c a n w e g e t t o a n ew t e rr a i n c o g n i t a w i t h a n o l d m a p ?
R o w a n G i b s o n : “ T h e l e s s o n o f t h e l a s t t h r e e d ec a d e s i s t h a t
n ob o d y c a n d r i v e t o t h e f u t u r e o n c r u i s e c on t r o l . ” [ 1 6 1 ]
Where and how do we live?
G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ W e li v e i n s t r a n g e t i m e s , i n c a s e
y o u h a v e n o t n o t i c e d . H e r e w e a r e w i t h ou r h o m e c o m p u t e r s a n d
o t h e r h i g h - t ec h a p p l i a n c e s , li v i n g wh a t w e r e g a r d a s a n o r m a l
li f e … T h e w o r l d w e a r e l i v i n g i n ─ a w o r l d t h a t c o u p l e s H o m o
li
s a p i en s w i t h f a s t - p ac e d h y p e r t e c h n o l o g y ─ i s s t r a n g e t o u s
b e c au s e s o m e t i m e s i t f e el s li k e w h at i t i s , a t r an s i e n t d r e a m … .
W e a r e d r e a m i n g a s t r an g e , w a k i n g d r e a m ; a n i n e v i t a b l y b r i e f
i n t er l u d e s a n d w i c h ed b e t w e en t h e l o n g a g e o f l o w - t e c h h u m a n i t y
o n t h e o n e h an d , a n d t h e a g e o f h u m a n b ei n g s t r an s c e n d e d o n t h e
other. We ar e living in the l a t t er days of humanity;
33. 33
c yb e r t e c h n o l o g i e s w i l l q u i c k l y r ep l a c e u s. J u s t i n c h e s o f t i m e
a w a y e x i s t s a s p e ed y r e a l i t y b e a r i n g d o w n o n u s t h a t w e m a y
s e n s e , b u t d o n o t s h o w o n o u r f a c e s …. W h i l e o n e m a y b e m a d e
u n c o m f or t a b l e b y t h e t h ou g h t o f a t r u l y s t r an g e 2 1 s t c en t u r y ,
t h e r e i s a r o u n d u s a n i m p en d i n g s e n s e o f a r r i v a l ─ a s t r a n g e n e s s
in the air, an uneasiness, a feeling that deep down, things are
s t ar t i n g t o c h a n g e i n s w i ft , f u n d a m e n t a l w a y s t o o fu z z y t o p u t a
f i n g e r o n . M o r e t h an j u s t t h e o n s e t o f t h e t h i r d mi l l e n n i u m, i t i s
t h e q u i e t b e f or e t h e s t o r m . T h e pr o d u c t s o f t ec h n o l o g y ar e
becoming more curious ─ a little too smart, a little too fast. It’s
d o w n r i g h t u n s et t l i n g . A n d , h e y , p e o p l e a r e n ’ t d u mb . T h e y k n o w
t h a t w e h a v e j u s t b e g u n t o b u i ld s m a r t d u mb m a c h i n e s ; s o o n i t
w i l l b e d u m b s m a r t m a c h i n e s . W h er e w i l l i t s t o p ? I f w e c on t i n u e
t o b u i l d m a c h i n e s s m a r t e r t h an t h e l a s t o n e s , a n d t h e n o n e t h a t i s
s m a r t er t h an t h a t a n d s o o n ─ w e l l, y o u d o n ot h a v e t o b e a
p ar t i c l e p h y s i c i st t o s e e t h at t h e m a c h i n e s c a n n o t k e e p g e t t i n g
s m a r t er a n d s m a r t er , y e t f o r e v e r r e m a i n d u mb e r t h an u s . G ar r y
‘ J o h n H e n r y ’ K a s p a r o v , c h e s s G r an d M a s t e r , l o s t a c h a m pi o n s h i p
game to a machine for the first time in history this year. Perhaps
s o m e d a y , w e ’ l l h e ar t h e b at t l e c r y o f h u m an i t y r a l l y i n g i n
d e s p e r a t i on : ‘ R e m e m b e r D e e p B l u e ’ … ” [ 1 6 5]
Technologies, societies and possibilities?
34. 34
Freeman Dyson: “There is nothing so big nor so crazy that one out
o f a mi l l i o n t e c h n o l o g i c a l s o c i et i e s m a y n o t f e e l i t s e l f d r i v e n t o
d o , p r o v i d e d i t i s p h y s i c a l l y p o s s i b l e. ” [ 1 7 4 ]
D o es t h e p r o g r e s s i v e a n d a l w a y s - s u d d e n ( e x p l o s i v e l y s o )
advent of the future bring about adversaries of such
future? If so, Are those the same ones that like to stay in
rooms of stalemate air in which the status quo is invariably
for the own sake and enjoyment of said those perpetually?
V i r g i n i a P o s t r e l : “ T h at i n s t ab i l i t y [ b et w e e n s t a s i s a n d d y n a m i s m ] ,
o r o u r a w a r e n e s s o f i t , h ei g h t en e d b y t h e f l u i d i t y o f c on t e m p o r a r y
li f e : b y t h e e a s e w i t h wh i c h i d e a s an d m e s s a g e s , g o o d s an d
p e o p l e, c r o s s b or d er s ; b y t e c h n o l o g i e s t h a t s e e k t o su r p a s s t h e
q u i c k n e s s o f t h e h u m a n m i n d a n d o v e r c o m e t h e c on s t r a i n t s o f t h e
h u m a n b od y ; b y t h e ‘ u n i v e r s a l s o l v e n t s ’ o f c o m m e r c e a n d p o pu l a r
culture; by the dissolution or r e f o r m at i o n of e s t a b l i s h ed
i n s t i t u t i o n s , p a r t i c u l a r l y l a r g e c or p o r a t i on s , an d t h e r i s e o f n e w
ones; by the synthesis of East and W e st , of a n c i en t an d
m o d er n ─b y t h e c o m b i n a t i o n a n d r ec o m b i n a t i o n o f s e e m i n g l y
e v e r y a r t i f a c t o f h u m an c u lt u r e . O u r s i s a m a g n i f i c en t l y c r e a t i v e
er a . B u t t h e c r e a t i v i t y p r o d u c e s c h an g e , an d t h at c h an g e a t t r ac t s
en e m i e s , p h i l o s o p h i c a l a s w e l l a s s e l f - i n t e r e s t ed … W i t h s o m e
e xc e p t i on s , t h e e n e m i e s o f t h e f u t u r e ai m t h e i r at t a c k s n ot at
35. 35
c r e a t i v i t y i t s e l f b u t at t h e d y n a m i c pr o c e s s e s t h r ou g h w h i c h i t i s
carried. In our post─Cold War era, for instance, free markets are
recognized as powerful forces for social cultural, an d
t e c h n o l o g i c a l c h an g e ─ l i b er a t i n g i n t h e e y e s o f s o m e , t h r e a t e n i n g
t o o t h e r s . T h e s a m e i s t r u e f o r m a r k et s i n i d e a s : f o r fr e e s p e ec h
a n d w o r l d wi d e c o m mu n i c a t i on ; f o r w h a t J o h n S t u a r t M i l l c a l l ed
‘ e x p e r i m e n t s i n l i v i n g ’ ; f o r s c i e n t i fi c r e s e a r c h , a r t i s t i c e x p r e s s i o n ,
a n d t ec h n o l o g i c a l i n n o v a t i o n . A l l o f t h e s e p r o c e s s e s a r e s h a p i n g
an unknown, and unknowable, future. Some people look at such
d i v e r s e , d ec e n t r a l i z ed , c h oi c e - d r i v e n s y s t e m s a n d r ej o i c e, e v e n
w h en t h e y d o n ’ t l i k e p ar t i c u l a r c h o i c e s . O t h er r ec o i l . I n p u r s u i t o f
s t ab i l i t y a n d c o n t r o l , t h e y s e e k t o e l i m i n a t e or c u r b t h e s e u n r u l y ,
t o o - c r e a t i v e f o r c e s … S t a s i st s a n d d y n a m i s t s a r e t h u s d i v i d e d n o t
j u s t b y s i m p l e , s h o r t - t e r m p o l i c y i s s u e s b u t b y fu n d a m e n t a l
d i s a g r e e m e n t s ab o u t t h e w a y t h e w o r l d w o r k s . T h e y c l a s h o v e r
t h e n at u r e o f p r o g r e s s a n d o v e r i t s d e s i r a b i l i t y : D o e s i t r e q u i r e a
p l an t o r e a c h a s p e c i f i e d g o a l ? O r i s i t a n u n b o u n d ed p r oc e s s o f
e x p l o r at i o n a n d d i sc o v e r y ? D o e s t h e q u e s t f or i m pr o v e m e n t
e x p r e s s d e s t r u c t i v e , n i h i li s t i c d i sc o n t e n t , o r t h e h i g h e s t h u m a n
q u a l i t i e s ? D o e s p r o g r e s s d e p e n d o n p u r i t an i c a l r e p r e s s i o n o r a
p l a y f u l s p i r i t ? … S t a s i s t s a n d d yn a m i s t s d i s a g r e e a b o u t t h e l i mi t s
a n d u s e o f k n o w l ed g e . S t a s i s t s demand that knowledge be
a r t i c u l at e d an d e a s i l y s h a r ed . D yn a m i s t s , b y c o n t r a s t , a p pr e c i a t e
d i s p e r s e d , o f t e n t ac i t k n o w l e d g e . T h e y r ec o g n i z e t h e li m i t s o f
36. 36
h u m a n m i n d s e v en a s t h e y c e l eb r a t e l e a r n i n g … T h o s e c on f l i c t s
l e ad t o v e r y d i f f er e n t b e li e f s a b o u t g o o d i n s t i t u t i o n s a n d r u l e s :
S t a s i s t s s e e k s p e c i f i c s t o g o v e r n e a c h n e w s i t u at i o n a n d k e e p
t h i n g s u n d e r c o n t r o l . D yn a m i c i s t s w a n t t o l i mi t u n i v er s a l r u l e
m a k i n g t o b r o a d l y a p p l i c a b l e a n d r a r e l y c h an g e d p r i n c i p l e s ,
within which people can create and test countless combinations.
S t a s i s t s w an t t h ei r d et a i l ed r u l ed t o a p p l y t o e v e r y o n e ; d yn a m i s t s
p r e f e r c o m p et i n g , n e s t e d r u l e s e t s … S u c h d i s a g r e e m e n t s h a v e
p o l i t i c a l r a m i f i c at i o n s t h a t g o mu c h d e e p er t h an t h e s h o r t - t e r m
b u s i n e s s o f c a m p a i g n s an d l e g i s l a t i o n . T h e y a f f e c t ou r g o v e r n i n g
a s s u m p t i o n s a b o u t h o w p o li t i c a l , ec o n o m i c , s o c i a l , i n t e l l ec t u a l ,
a n d c u l t u r a l s y s t e m s w o r k ; w h a t t h o s e s y s t e m s s h o u l d v a l u e; an d
w h at t h e y m e an …. T h e s e ar e n o t t h e c o m f o r t ab l e o ld C o l d W a r
d i v i s i o n s o f h a w k s an d d o v e s , e g a li t a r i a n s a n d i n d i v i d u a li s t s , l e f t
a n d r i gh t . N o r a r e t h e y t h e o n e - d i m e n s i o n a l l a b el s o f t e c h n o p h i l e
a n d t e c h n o p h o b e, o p t i mi s t a n d p e s s i m i s t , o r li b e r t a r i an a n d
s t a s i s t t h a t p u n d i t s s o m e t i m e s g r a b t o r e p l a c e t h e o ld c at e g o r i e s .
T h e y c o n t ai n e l e m e n t s o f t h o s e s i m p l e r c l a s s i f i c a t i on s , b u t t h e y
a r e mu c h r i c h e r , e n c o m p a s s i n g m o r e a s p e c t s o f l i f e ─ m o r e a s p e c t s
o f t h e e m er g e n t , c o m p l e x fu t u r e . ” [ 1 7 0 ]
Minds vs. computational algorithms, man-made
computational algorithms?
37. 37
“ F u n n y t h i n g , ou r mi n d . T h e m o m e n t o u r s o f t w a r e c at c h e s u p , t h e
m i n d s e e m s t o t r a v e l b e y o n d t h e c ap a b i li t y o f t h e s o f t w ar e … .
[ H o w e v e r , ] O u r mi n d s f o c u s o n r e n d i t i o n s , d a r li n g , n ot t h e
u n d e r l y i n g a l g o r i t h m . Y o u r an a l y s t s a n d pr o g r a m m e r s h a v e t o
d e a l w i t h a l g o r i t h m t h a t pr o d u c e s n e w r en d i t i o n s . ” [ 1 6 1 ]
D r . C o v e y ’ s l u c i d p e r s p e c t i v e b e c o m e s g r e a t l y s u p p o r t ed
and refined by Peter Drucker.
P e t e r D r u c k e r : “ I n a f e w h u n d r ed y e a r s , w h en t h e s t o r y o f o u r
[ c u r r e n t ] t i m e i s w r i t t en fr o m a l o n g - t er m p er s p e c t i v e , i t i s l i k e l y
t h a t t h e m o s t i m p o r t an t e v e n t t h o s e h i s t o r i a n s w i l l s e e i s n o t
t e c h n o l o g y , n o t t h e I n t e r n et , n o t e - c o m m er c e [ n o t ‘ s o c i a l m e d i a ’ ─
s o - c a l l e d ] . I T I S A N U N P R E C E D E N T E D C H A N G E I N T H E H UM A N
CONDITION. FOR THE FIRST TIME ─ LITERALLY ─
SUBSTANTIAL AND GROWING NUMBERS OF PEOPLE HAVE
CHOICES. FOR THE FIRST TIME, THEY WILL HAVE TO MANAGE
THEMSELVES. AND SOCIETY IS TOTALLY UNPREPARED FOR
IT.” [153]
A n d t h e p o l i t i c a l a n g l e o f t h e fu t u r e?
T h e H o n o r a b l e T o m R i d g e , F i r s t S e c r e t a r y o f t h e U . S . De p a r t m e n t
o f H o m e l a n d S e c u r i t y a n d F o r m e r G o v e r n o r o f P e n n s y l v a n ia : “ T h e
38. 38
p o l i t i c a l w o r l d p r o mi s e s c h a n g e a n d t h e d i g i t a l w o r l d d e li v e r s i t .
And wh e n that change potentially affects our privacy an d
f r e e d o m , w e s h o u l d a l l p a y a t t en t i o n . T h i s i s a f a s c i n at i n g ,
p r o v o c a t i v e a n d t h o r o u g h l y r e ad a b l e l o o k i n t o a n u n c e r t ai n
future.” [155]
Internet and yesterday?
S c o u t B ra d n e r : “ W e h a v e t h e I n t e r n e t t h a t w e h a v e t od a y b e c au s e
t h e I n t er n et o f y e s t e r d a y d i d n ot f o c u s o n t h e t od a y o f y e s t e r d a y . ”
[155]
T h e r i g h t s a n d t h e fu t u r e?
“Legal scholars can debate whether copyright law mandates a
f u t u r e o f ‘ a u t h o r i z e d u s e o n l y ’ f o r d i g i t a l i n f or m a t i o n . T h e a n s w e r
m a y n ot m a t t er m u c h , b ec a u s e t h at fu t u r e i s c o m i n g t o p a s s
t h r ou g h t h e t ec h n o l o g i e s o f digital rights management an d
t r u st e d s y s t e m s . ” [ 1 5 5 ]
Future and forces embedded?
“ T h e f o r c e s s h a p i n g y o u r fu t u r e a r e d i gi t a l , a n d y o u n e e d t o
understand them.” [155]
39. 39
Can we picture the future?
“ C an w e e n v i s i on t h e f u t u r e t r a n s c o n t i n e n t a l f l i g h t s , w h e r e b o o k s ,
mu s i c , i m a g e s , a n d v i d e o s a r e au t o m a t i c a l l y e x t r a c t ed , s a m p l e d ,
m i x ed , a n d r e m i x e d ; f ed i n t o m a s s i v e a u t o m a t e d r e a s o n i n g
en g i n e s ; a s s i m i l a t e d i n t o t h e c o r e s o f t w a r e o f e v e r y p e r s o n a l
c o m p u t er a n d e v e r y c e l l p h on e ─ a n d t h o u s a n d s o f o t h er t h i n g s
f o r w h i c h t h e w o r d s d o n ’t e v e n e x i s t y e t ? ” [ 1 5 5]
History vs. future?
“ W i l l t h e v a s t a m o u n t s o f i n f o r m a t i o n n o w a v a i l ab l e b ec a u s e o f
t h e a d v a n c e s i n s t o r a g e a n d c o m mu n i c a t i o n t ec h n o l o g y a c t u a l l y
b e u s a b l e a h u n d r ed o r a t h o u s a n d y e a r s i n t h e f u t u r e , o r W I L L
THE SHIFT FROM PAPER TO DIGITAL MEDIA MEAN THE LOSS
O F HI S T O R Y ? ” [ 1 5 5 ]
R eg a r d i n g t h e C y b e r s p a c e , a p r i m e r t o C o m p u t r on i u m ?
J o h n P e r r y B a r l o w : “ G o v e r n m e n t s o f t h e I n d u st r i a l W or l d , y o u r
w e a r y g i a n t s o f f l e s h an d s t e e l , I c o m e fr o m C y b er s p a c e , t h e n e w
h o m e o f M i n d . On b eh a l f o f t h e f u t u r e , I a s k y o u o f t h e p a s t t o
l e a v e u s a l on e . Y o u h a v e n o s o s o v e r e i g n t y w h er e w e g a t h e r … .
40. 40
W e a r e c r e at i n g a w or l d t h a t a l l m a y e n t er w i t h o u t p r i v i l e g e o r
p r e j u d i c e a c c o r d e d b y r ac e , ec o n o m i c p o w e r , mi l i t ar y f o r c e, o r
s t at i o n o f b i r t h . W e a r e c r e at i n g a w o r l d w h er e an y o n e , a n y w h e r e
m a y e x p r e s s h i s or h e r b e li e f s , n o m a t t e r h o w s i n gu l a r , wi t h ou t
f e a r o f b ei n g c o e r c e d i n t o s i l e n c e o r c o n f or m i t y … I n o u r w o r l d ,
a l l t h e s e n t i m en t s a n d e x p r e s s i o n s o f h u m a n i t y , f r o m d e b a s i n g t o
the angelic, are parts of a seamless whole, the global
c o n v e r s a t i on o f b i t s … . [ Y ] o u ar e t r yi n g t o w a r d o f f t h e v i r u s o f
li b er t y b y er e c t i n g gu a r d p o s t s a t t h e fr o n t i e r s o f C y b er s p a c e . ”
[155]
C a n w e u s e a c h a i n t o r e p r e s en t a m e t a p h o r a b o u t t h e
future?
“You can’t u n d er s t a n d the knot w i t h ou t u n d e r s t an d i n g the
s t r a n d s , b u t i n t h e f u t u r e , t h e st r a n d s n e ed n o t r e m a i n t i e d u p i n
t h e s a m e w a y a s t h e y a r e t o d a y . ” [ 1 5 5]
To get engaged in “a sea change in thinking,” along with the
m a x i m u m a n d m o s t s o p h i s t i c a t e d c o n s c ie n t i o u s a wa r e n e s s s o m e
v o i c e s m u s t b e i g n o r e d w h i l e pa y i n g i m m e n s e a t t e n t i o n t o o n e o f
A m e r i c a ’ s f i n e s t , n a m e l y He n r y B u c k m i n s t e r F u l l e r . H e a r gu e s ,
“ A L L C H I L D R E N A R E B O R N G E N I US E S ; 9 , 9 9 9 O U T O F E V E R Y
41. 41
10,000 ARE SWIFTLY, INADVERTENTLY DEGENIUNIZED BY
G R OW N U P S . ” [ 1 5 3 ]
T h e w o r l d i s n o t a n a l o g a n y m o r e . I t s qu a l i t y i s o n l y d i g i t a l a n d
hence emphatically over-mathematical. Ergo, if you don’t attach
t h e f u t u r e , t h e f u tu r e w i l l a t t a c k y ou a n d o u t s m a r t y o u w i t h o u t a
fail.
S u p p o r t i n g t h e m o t i o n s o f a l l o f t h e a b o v e i n t h i s d i g i t a l u n iv e r s e
o f o u r s , c h e c k o u t t h e t a ke b y t h e a u t h o r o f “ T h e W o r l d i s F la t . ”
T h o m a s F r i e d m a n i n d i c a t e s : “ P e o p l e a r e a l w a y s [ a n d w r o n g fu l l y ]
a s s u m i n g t h at e v e r y t h i n g t h a t i s g o i n g t o b e i n v e n t ed mu s t h a v e
been invented already. But it hasn’t.” [139] I could easily offer,
b a s e d o n u n i m p e a c h a b l e f a c t s , ma n y i n s t a n c e s o f w h y F r i e d m a n i s
a b s o l u t e l y r i g h t t o t h e d i s m a y o f s o m e w i s h i n g b u t n o t s u f f ic i e n t l y
enculturating themselves.
W h a t h a p p e n s t o y o u r v i s i o n w h e n y o u do n ’ t u n d e r s t a n d
that the world is not ana log but pervasively ─ increasingly
so ─ over-digital?
M u h a m a d Y u n u s : “ T h e r e e y e s w e r e b li n d e d b y t h e k n o w l e d g e t h e y
h ad . ” [ 1 5 3 ]
42. 42
Brainy discoveries and the IT revolution?
J. G. Taylor, B. Horowitz, K. J. Friston: “Now, for the first time,
w e a r e o b s e r v i n g t h e b r ai n a t w o r k i n a g l o b a l m a n n e r w i t h su c h
c l a r i t y t h a t w e s h o u l d b e ab l e t o d i sc o v e r t h e o v e r a l l pr o g r a m s
b e h i n d i t s m a g n i f i c en t p o w er s . ” [ 1 4 2 ]
F r o m D a r w i n a n d w e l l i n t o t h e p r e s en t t w en t i e t h - o n e
century?
G re g o r y S . P a u l a n d E a r l C o x : “ W h en Q u e en V i c t o r i a w a s i n h er
p r i m e , an E n g l i s h m a n , C h a r l e s D ar w i n , d i sc o v e r e d a f u n d a m e n t a l
t r u t h t h a t s h o o k m a n k i n d s o s e v e r e l y t h at i t r e m a i n s t od a y a
m a t t e r o f e x t r e m e d i st r e s s an d m a s s i v e d e n i a l. D ar w i n r e a l i z e d
t h a t l i f e o n o u r p l a n e t i s n ot t h e r ec e n t a n d f i x e d pr o d u c t o f d ei t y -
m ed i a t ed s p e c i a l c r e a t i o n , b u t h a s b e en c on s t a n t l y c h a n g i n g o v e r
a long span of time … The paleontologist who followed Darwin
h a v e t a u gh t u s t h at t i m e h a s n o r e s p e c t f o r s p e c i e s . W h o l e
d yn a s t i e s o f l i f e h a v e b e en s w e p t a w a y a n d r e p l ac e d wi t h n e w
o n e s . M or e t h a n 6 5 mi l l i o n y e a r s a g o , t h e w or l d w a s f i l l e d w i t h
s w i f t , d e a d l y m e a t - e a t e r s , i n c lu d i n g h u g e t yr a n n o s a u r s s t a l k i n g
elephant-sized h o r n ed dinosaurs and duck-billed herbivores.
F l y i n g p t er o s a u r s w e r e a s b i g a n d h e a v y a s s a i l p l a n e s . S m a l l,
g r ac e f u l , p r e d ac e o u s d i n o s a u r s h ad b i n o c u l a r v i s i o n , b i g b r ai n s ,
43. 43
and grasping hands. After 17 0 mi l l i o n years of successful
e v o l u t i o n , t h e y ac h i e v e d t h e h e i g h t o f v a r i at i o n a n d p o w er .
R e s p l e n d e n t an d n u m e r o u s o n t h e f er t i l e Cr e t a c e ou s p l ai n s , h o w
c o u l d i t b e t h a t w i t h i n a f e w y e a r s t h e y a l l w o u l d b e g on e
f o r e v er ? T h i s c h i l l i n g s t or y s u g g e s t s a t i c k i n g c l oc k f or h u m a n i t y ,
as well; dare we think of our own extinction? There is ticking
c l o c k f or h u m a n i t y , a n d i t m a y b e m er e s e c o n d s b e f o r e m i d n i g h t .
T OM O R R O W I S U P O N U S , A N D W HA T I S AB O U T T O H A P P E N I N
THE NEW DAY IS FAR, FAR STRANGER THAN MOST PEOPLE
D A R E T O T H I N K … E v e n D ar w i n d i d n o t r e a l i z e h o w r i gh t h e w a s ,
o r h o w f a r e v o l u t i o n w i l l t a k e u s . W e s h ou l d n ot f au l t D a r wi n f o r
h i s l ac k o f v i s i o n . D ar w i n li v e d i n a t i m e w h en t h e m o d e r n
scientific revolution was just beginning. It was also a time of
s t e a m en g i n e s , g a s l a m p s , a n d p h r e n o l o g y . S c i en c e , i n o u r l a t e
20th century sense, was still a few years away. Yet even today,
f e w n o n s c i e n t i s t s h a v e m o r e t h a n an i n k l i n g o f h o w l i f e e v o l v e d o r
h o w t ec h n o l o g i e s s u c h a s t h e au t o m o b i l e, t h e l i g h t s w i t c h , o r t h e
a i r p l a n e ac t u a l l y w o r k … W E L I V E I N A HI G H - T E C H N O L O G Y
WORLD, WITH LITTLE APPRECIATION FOR HOW THINGS GOT
THE WAY THEY ARE.” [169]
What is the personal cosmology in the orbit of a person
seeking foresight?
44. 44
Antonio Machado: “ M an , i n c u r ab l e futurist, is the only
t r a d i t i on a l i s t an i m a l . ” [ 1 3 0 ]
D o n ’ t w i n t h e i r “ h e a r t s ,” j u s t w i n t h e i r m i n ds k i n d l y a n d
r es p e c t f u l l y ?
T h e u n d e r s i g n e d a n d t h e p r e s e n t m a t e r i a l ’ s a u t h o r in d i c a t e d : “I f
y o u r e a l l y w a n t t o m a k e a n o p e r a t i o n a l d i f f e r en c e i n y o u r
p r o f e s s i o n a l t h e at e r o f o p er a t i o n s , g o a n d g e t a fu l l i m m er s i o n i n
the fringe. Right in their, under that tense an d pr e s s i n g
d yn a m i c s , y o u ’ l l h a v e t h e v a n t a g e f l u x o f t h e ou t pu t t e d mi r a g e . ”
[129]
I just wonder: Is it about Scientific Method or is it about
Scientific Method U n d er The Tutelage of Applied
O mn i s c i e n c e a n d W it h T h e A p p l i c a t i o n o f T h e S y s t e m s
Methodology Approach? I designed, to this effect, the
i l lu s t r a t i o n viewable at http://bit.ly/d6d84w and also note
http://slidesha.re/omisci
The more scientific and technological knowledge doubling, the
most indispensable becomes the grasping of the applied
omniscience notion in every execution for Life.
45. 45
A technological and academic institution outsmarting
cutting-edge science and technology to a point to generate
more wealth than the combination of many countries?
J u a n E n r i q u e z : “ W e a l t h i s c o n c e n t r a t ed a n d p or t a b l e. M I T f a c u l t y
a n d a l u m n i p r o d u c e a s mu c h w e a l t h a s a l l b u t t w e n t y - t w o
c o u n t r i e s i n t h e w or l d . ” [ 1 6 3 ]
B e f o r e w e p r o c e e d a n y f u rt h e r , p l e a s e a l w a y s r e m e m b e r
the following.
“ E v e r y t h in g i s r el a t e d t o ev e r y t h i n g el s e . ” [ 1 0 9 ] . W h e n
invoking “Everything is related to everything else,” it is succinctly
to say (that is) by way of matter-of-fact example:
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s c o n n ec t ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er c on n e c t e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“Everything is intricate to everything else.”
“Everything is involved in everything else.”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - a s s o c i at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er l o c k ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - c o u p l ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - j o i n ed t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
46. 46
“Everything is conjoint to everything else.”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - t i ed t o e v er y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er d e p en d en t t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s c o r r e l at e d t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er t w i n e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er - m e s h ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g el s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i mp l i c at e d i n e v er y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s en t a n g l ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s en t w i n e d wi t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s t an g l e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s k n o t t ed w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s i n t er w o v e n i n t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s en g a g e d w i t h e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“ E v e r y t h i n g i s p ar e n t h e t i c a l t o e v e r y t h i n g e l s e . ”
“Everything is related to everything else” does not make any sense
a t a l l f o r pe o p l e w h o h a v e c h o s e n n o t t o g e t e d u c a t e d a n d s e l f -
e du c a t e d o n i n d i s p e n s a b l e b a s i c s c ie n c e f o r E t e r n i t y .
Einstein has an appropriate thought to share: “... [the
h u m a n b e i n g ] e x p er i e n c e s h i m s e l f , h i s t h ou g h t s an d f e e l i n g s a s
s o m e t h i n g s e p a r a t e d f r o m t h e r e s t — a k i n d o f o p t i c a l d e lu s i o n o f
ou r c o n sc i o u s n e s s . T h i s d e l u s i o n i s a k i n d o f pr i s o n f o r u s ,
r e s t r i c t i n g u s t o o u r p er s o n a l d e s i r e s a n d t o a f f e c t i o n f o r a f e w
47. 47
p er s o n s n e a r e s t t o u s . O u r t a s k m u s t b e t o f r e e o u r s e l v e s f r o m t h i s
p r i s o n b y w i d en i n g o u r c i r c l e o f c o m p a s s i o n t o e m b r ac e a l l li v i n g
creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty...” [108]
C O N T EN T S
CONTENT BY THEME AND PAGE
( O n l y t h e d u l y b o u n d b o o k v e r s i o n s h a v e a p r e c i s e pa g e n u m b e r .
However, the rest of the structure is as indicated.)
CHAPTER 1 ─ NOTICE TO READERS ─ 10 ─ 14 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 1 ─ THE IMPERATIVE NOTE ─ 14 ─ 24 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 1 ─ OBJECTIVE ─ 24 ─ 64 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 1 ─ PROLOGUE ─ 64 ─ 99 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ THE CHALLENGE ─ 98 ─ 109 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 2 ─ A N A C T U A L DI A L O G U E O F D A R W I N , K A N T ,
NEWTON, GOETHE ─ 99 ─ 112 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ AN EPIC OMISSION(S)? ─ 113 ─ 115 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ THE PEER-TO-PEER MESSAGE AM O N G
IGNORAMUSES ─ 116 ─ 117 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 2 ─ C OM P L E X I T Y A N D T H E D E A T H O F S I M P L I C I T Y ─
117 ─ 118 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ TO BE OR NOT TO BE IN EXECUTION? ─ 118 — 119
PAG. (S)
48. 48
CHAPTER 2 ─ THE INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY REVOLUTION
AND THE ABSENCE OF COHESIVE LANGUAGE? ─ 119 ─ 121 PAG.
(S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ BONAPARTE’S PROPHECIES ON HURRICANE
KATRINA’ AND GULF OF MEXICO’S ─ 132 ─ 134 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 2 ─ STRATEGOS I N S T I T UT E ’ S FOUNDER AND
L O N D O N B U S I N E S S S C H O O L ’ S P R O F E S S O R O N T H E F UT U R E ─
125 ─ 128 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 3 ─ R O C K E T S C I E N C E AB O U T A C T U A L DI S CI P L I N E D
S U C C E S S C A P T U R I N G ? ─ 1 2 8 ─ 1 3 1 P AG . ( S )
C H A P T E R 3 ─ I N T R O D U CT O R Y Q U O T A T I O N S – A N D W I T H
COMMENTARIES – BY ENLIGHTENED MINDS! ─131 ─ 163 PAG.
(S)
CHAPTER 3 ─ THE F UT U R E AND THE TECHNOLOGICAL
SINGULARITY AS PER RAY KURZWEIL, PH.D. ─ 165 ─ 167 PAG.
(S)
CHAPTER 3 ─ WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW? HOW MANY “NOWS”
ARE THERE? ARE THOSE “NOWS” STILL RELEVANT? ─ 163 ─ 173
PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 3 ─ M E T H O D FI R S T , T E C H N O L O G Y S E C O N D ! ─ 1 7 3
PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 4 ─ DEEPENING OUR M U L T I DI M E N S I O N A L
APPROACH IN AND TO THIS BOOK! ─ 174 ─ 222 PAG. (S)
49. 49
CHAPTER 5 ─ RELEVANT COMMENTARIES TO CLARIFY
HI D E O U S M I S U N D E R S T A N D I NG S (UNDER S YS T E M A T I C
COMMISSION) BY MAGNIFICENT PEOPLE ─ 222 ─ 251 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 5 ─ “ O N P R E D I C T I O N S ” ─ 2 5 1 ─ 2 5 2 P AG . ( S )
CHAPTER 6 ─ D E M Y S T I F YI N G THE “REAL DEAL” IN
PROFESSION, TECHNOLOGY, LEADERSHIP, MANAGEMENT,
S T R A T E G Y , A N D B U S I N E S S , A S W E L L AS ─ O F F E R I N G T H E
CLEAREST BLUEPRINT! ─ 251 ─ 255 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 6 ─ QUESTION: WHAT DO RALPH WALDO EMERSON,
JAMES D. WATSON, T H O M AS JEFFERSON, THEODORE
ROOSEVELT, WINSTON CHURCHILL, ARTHUR C. CLARKE,
BERNARD D'ESPAGNAT, A LB E R T EINSTEIN, CARL S AG A N ,
M A L C O L M S . K N O W L E S , B E R T R A N D R US S E L L , F R A N C I S B A C O N ,
H E N R Y K I S S I N G E R , OT T O H E R M A N K H A N , B U R R H U S F R E D E R I C
S KI N N E R , A N D ─ 2 5 5 ─ 2 6 4 P A G . ( S )
CHAPTER 6 ─ CONCLUSION ─ 264 ─ 265 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 6 ─ Q U E S T I O N : A R E W E A D RI F T I N A S E A O F
CONFUSION? CAN THE UNDERSIGNED OFFER A REASONABLE
P A T HW A Y ? ─ 2 6 5 ─ 2 6 8 P A G . ( S )
CHAPTER 6 ─ GLOBAL SEISMIC SHIFTS BY DR. STEPHEN
COVEY, PHD!
CHAPTER 6 ─ THE TOP TRENDS FOR 2010 BY SAN FRANCISCO
FUTURIST DR. JAMES CANTON, PH.D. ─ 268 ─ 274 PAG. (S)
50. 50
C H A P T E R 6 ─ F O U RT E E N F U T U R E T R E N D S F O R B US I N E S S I N
2 0 0 9 A N D B E Y O N D B Y T H O M A S F R E Y , S E N I O R F UT U R I S T A T
THE DAVINCI INSTITUTE
C H A P T E R 6 ─ S I X P R O F O U N D S H I FT S B Y D R . S H O S T A K
C H A P T E R 6 ─ T H E F UT U R E E N V I S I O N E D B Y A R E S E A R C H
PHYSICIST AND SCIENTIST!
C H A P T E R 6 ─ 2 0 1 1 T R E N D S B Y D R. J A M E S C A N T O N , P H . D . ( A S
SEEN ON NOV 30, 2010)
CHAPTER 6 ─ THE MESSAGE ─ 274 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 6 ─ ANSWERED QUESTIONS? ─ 274 ─ 275 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 7 ─ EPILOGUE ─ 275 ─ 280 PAG. (S)
CHAPTER 7 ─ CAVEAT ─ 280 ─ 284 PAG. (S)
C H A P T E R 7 ─ “ T H E H O P E ” ─ 2 8 4 ─ 2 8 5 P AG . ( S )
CHAPTER 7 ─ HOW TO COPE WITH CENTURY TWENTIETH ONE!
─ 289 ─ 290
CHAPTER 7 ─ WHAT ARE THE TYPES OF THINKING THAT
JOINTLY AND SIMULTANEOUSLY MUST BE EXERCISED TO
FIRST GUESS THE FUTURE RIGHT IN THE THIRD
MILLENNIUM? ─ 291 ─ 304
CHAPTER 8 ─ REFLECTING ON THE EDUCATION WE
IMMEDIATELY NEED ─ 305 ─ 316
CHAPTER 8 ─ APPENDIX OF DEFINITION OF APPLIED
OMNISCIENCE ─ 316 ─ 322
51. 51
C H A P T E R 8 ─ T H E M O S T T H O U G H T FU L S T A T E M E N T B Y A N Y
A M E R I C A N P R E S I D E N T T O D AT E ! ─ 3 2 2 ─ 3 2 3
CHAPTER 8 ─ NASA LEWIS RESEARCH CENTER, THE OHIO
AEROSPACE INSTITUTE, THE VISION-21 SYMPOSIUM AND SAN
DIEGO STATE UNIVERSITY ─ 323 ─ 345
CHAPTER 8 ─ “THE FUTURIST” MAGAZINE'S TOP-10 FORECASTS
FOR 2010 AND BEYOND PLUS MORE THAN 250 FORECASTS ─
345 ─ 451
CHAPTER 8 ─ GLOSSARY ─ 451 ─ 459
CHAPTER 9 ─ WHAT I’VE GIVEN YOU! ─ 459 ─ 460
CHAPTER 9 ─ ANNOTATED BIBLIOGRAPHY ─ 460 ─ 473
CONTACT
C H A P T E R 9 ─ A D D I T I O N A L B I B L I O G R A P H Y F O R S UG G E S T E D
READING ─ 473 ─ 475
C H A P T E R 9 ─ A B O U T T H E A UT H O R ─ 4 7 5 ─ 4 8 8
CHAPTER 1
NOTICE TO READERS!
S o m e r e a d e r s m i g h t f i n d h e l pf u l t o h a v e “ h a n d y ” a n O x f o r d
Dictionary, American Heritage Dictionary and even the
Encyclopedia Britannica. There are explained entries such as:
c r i n k u m - c r a n k u m , c r i s s - c r o s s , t e r z e t t o , t h é d an s a n t , t er t i u m q u i d ,
among others.
52. 52
C a n a n y o n e r e m e m b e r t h e K i n g ’ s s e n t e n c e : “ A p er s o n ’ s w o r ld i s
c o m m e n s u r at e t o t h e s i z e h i s ( h e r ) o w n v o c ab u l a r y . ” B y a n y
m e a s u r e , y o u r t e c h n i c a l a n d p h i l o s o p h i c a l v oc a b u l a r y m o s t b e
multiplied by a thousand-fold as you ke e p progressing it
exponentially.
S i n c e t h e r e h a s b e e n a g r e a t d e a l o f f u t i l e d e b a t e a b o u t t h e c ha n g e ,
its rate and scale, the undersigned has approached the subject
m a t t e r t h r o u g h n a r r a t i v e i l lu s t r a t i o n s a t t i m e s . H e i s in d e e d
serious and rigorous about understanding the dynamics and
i m p l i c a t i o n s o f c h a n g e in t h i s f i r s t d e c a d e o f T we n t i e t h - O n e
Century and onward. Accuracy and accuracy, too, are beyond sine
qua no to the undersigned.
Y o u ' l l c e r t a i n l y f i n d e v e r y t h i n g i n t h e O x f o r d D ic t i o n a r y a s h e
b e l i e v e s t h a t y ou s h o u l d s u c c e s s f u l l y s e a r c h f o r t h e s a m e i n t h e
A m e r i c a n He r i t a g e D i c t i o n a r y .
S i n c e I h a v e n e v e r b e e n a le x i c o g r a p h e r a n d s i n c e I a m n o t
outsourcing my linguistics capabilities to you and since I am not
soliciting anything from you, it is only your sole duty and your sole
duty alone to verify the root meaning of every term here contained.
I w o u l d c ou n s e l t o a v o i d , a s s e m a n t i c s s u g g e s t , t h e i l lu s i o n o f
53. 53
meaning, in a world mired of confusions. It suffices to me the
f o r t u n e s t o b e , w i t h i n m y s t a n d a r d s , i n t h e g r e a t e s t c on t e x t s o f
confusion. To my a dv a n ta g e , that allows me the sovereign
o p p o r t u n i t y t o i m m e d i a t e l y t a c k l e t h e in d i s p e n s a b l e c ha l l e n g e a n d
thus keeping my brain’s commutating blood streams lighter.
This book has mostly to do with all forms of change and the impact
s t e m m i n g f r o m s a i d i m p a c t . T o p ic s r e l a t e d t o s c ie n c e , t e c h n o l o g y ,
methodology, leadership, and management are all addressed.
Given the abrupt rise of change, this is also a management book
about how to mitigate, modulate and terminate hazards and risks,
thus c a p tu r i n g the “upsides” of every professional or
organizational endeavor.
This book is multifaceted and generate insights and ideas so that
the readers themselves can operate them from a mental framework
and as per the perceptions of "real" and “virtual” realities. This is
a b o o k o f m a n y f a c e t s w i t h m a n y a n d a m p l e n u a n c e s i n e a c h f a c e t.
To the undersigned s u p e r f i c ia l i t y and especially universal
s u pe r f i c i a l i t y i s p r e p o s t e r o u s t o h i s n a tu r e . S u b s e q u e n t l y , t h e
present exploration is profound and responsibly profound.