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Smart Home: Beyond Technology

Envisioning how the ecosystem could work

             Daniel Shepherd
                 VP, ICT
             Frost & Sullivan

                June, 2012
Contents


   Introduction


  The Big Picture    What is a smart home and why are we talking about it again now?


                     Top-down review of key issues, allowing us to highlight that that
   Challenges         stakeholder fragmentation and competing interests are a core issue
                      underpinning many of the others

                     Mapping who is who and who is doing what and who would like to
    Ecosystem         gain what


                     Outline of 2-3 strategic options we see as to how it could all come
 Business Models      together and exposing a preliminary evaluation


                     Suggesting what the industry and/ or specific players need to
   Way Forward        consider and do next
The Big Picture:
       What is the Smart Home?




Back

                                 3
What is a Smart Home?

 A Smart Home is a home that integrates automation to control and monitor many
  internal functions such as heating, lighting, security and multi-media.

 It is an evolving concept that has seen a renaissance in recent years as home
  automation and broadband networking have achieved higher global availability.




    Source: Timberline Geodesics (used with permission)   Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan




4
Smart Home: Major Themes

       Telemetry:             Home Networking:

  Utilities, Healthcare,   Distribution, Management,
          Security          Control and Automation




Communication Services:            Content:

 Voice, Video, Data and     Delivery, Management,
        Wireless                  Distribution
Smart Home: Why Now? (or why again?)

 Smart Homes have been around since the ’60s, but now are beginning to resonate.
  Why?

                       Consumers are increasingly interested in services that enable safety,
    Inherent Needs      more efficient use of utilities, life simplification, etc.


                       Many homes now have entertainment centers that combine video and
      Complexity        other content consumption. They also have access to broadband data
                        services and many have home security systems.

                       The need to conserve and reduce the cost of energy is driving interest in
      Regulatory
                        ways to manage utility costs


      Technology        Home automation and networking technology are now easier to do: Wi-
      Availability       Fi, data over power wiring, prewired new construction


     Data Ubiquity      Broadband and wireless now deliver data access to the home




6
Challenges




Back

                    7
Challenges

    1. Business Model
        Consumer value perception: consumers aren’t clear what a smart home is or what it
         should cost
        Yet, the market for smart home solutions is fragmented, with many smaller players
         offering partial solutions
        Communication services are becoming tightly integrated: the smart home solutions must
         work with other communications services and technology



    2. Funding Model
        Focus on low margin access services compromises ability to invest in smart home
         offerings that enable higher margin revenues
        Entry into home networking and automation space demands the creation of an extensive
         installation, maintenance and management infrastructure




8
Consumer Uncertainty
                                       Would you be interested in a smart home?

                                                Don't know                 Yes
                                                   28%                     29%


  Would you be willing to pay extra
for smart home products or services?                            No
                                                               43%




                                                           Problem:
                                                     Low perception of Value



                                              Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan
Market Fragmentation

 The market is extremely fragmented:
     – Thousands of home electronics manufacturers
     – Hundreds of communication service providers
     – Thousands of home electronic maintenance providers
     – Thousands of home networking installers
     – Dozens of telemetry providers


 There are essentially no comprehensive solutions for the interested
  consumer that include everything from installation to support and
  repair and which include content delivery services as well as
  monitoring services

 Remember: consumers want ease of use
Consumers Dislike Complexity
                      Importance of Offering Attributes
                                   Very Important


     40%
     35%
     30%
     25%
     20%
     15%
     10%
     5%
     0%
           Ease of   Customer   Billing    Quality      Value        Pricing
            Use       Service


     Offerings must be easy to implement and use
                                                Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan
The Smart Home Ecosystem




Back

                                  12
Smart Home Ecosystem



                                      Monitoring
                                      Services:
                                       Health,
              Communication Service    Security,
                  Providers             Utility


                                          Home
                                       Networking
                                           and
                                      Management
   Content Providers                    Installers,
                                      Vendors, etc.
The Smart Home Ecosystem
 Many providers in each domain:

     – Communication Services: AT&T, Verizon, British Telecom, Deutsche Telecom,
       France Telecom, Rostelecom, etc.

     – Telemetry: ADT, Monitronics, SDG, Overlook, FrontPoint, etc.

     – Content: AT&T, Verizon, British Telecom, Deutsche Telecom, France Telecom,
       Rostelecom, Hulu, YouTube, etc.

     – Home Networking and Automation: X10, NetGear, D-Link, Cytech, MarmiTek,
       Sonos, Nuvo, etc.


 Few complete solutions, although some are coming close:

     – AT&T Uverse as an example




14
Who Should Lead?

 The essential component of the smart home is the network
  connection – controlled by the network operators.

 Every other segment of the ecosystem must either ride the network or
  interface with it.

 This would seem to make network operator leadership in the smart
  home market, obvious…wouldn’t it?

 But wait…network operators needn’t be in charge.

 In fact, the smart home is largely accessed through easy to use
  interfaces and these can come from any segment of the market
  ecosystem

15
Business Model Options




Back

                                16
Trends, Opportunities & Unmet Needs

Relevant Trends                                     Unmet Needs
   Increasing adoption of                             Increasing need
   monitoring                                         for support services

                                                      Increasing need for
   Increasing adoption of                             integrated solutions
   smart appliances

                                  Analysis            Increasing need for
   Increasing use of                                  user support
   broadband
   content delivery                                   Increasing need for
                                                      operator service revenue
   Increased consumption
   of broadband delivered                             Service Interface that is
   content                                            intuitive, comprehensive
                                                      and sticky


                              Opportunity:
                            Integrated Offerings
                                that provide
                            installation, support
                                and services
Key Drivers Summary


                    Content



  Home
Networking




                                                                  Cross Domain
             Broadband                                             Competition
                              Vendor Revenue   Consumer Needs




                                                                Source: Frost & Sullivan.
Key Restraints Summary




                   Price   Lack of Integration
    Complexity



                                                 Consumer Confusion




                             Market Fragmentation




                                                      Source: Frost & Sullivan.
Business Options

 Drivers are defined by Consumer needs

 Restraints are defined by existing offering deficiencies

 Vendors/operators must focus on integration, ease of use and
  features to overcome market restraints

 Partnerships are indicated as a way to consolidate a critical mass of
  capabilities




20
Case Study: Verizon Whole Home Monitoring and
Control

 Verizon includes home content management, utility monitoring and
  management, communication service access, security management
  and home automation functions




                    Source: Verizon


 It does not include home network installation or support, although
  these can be obtained from recommended third parties




21
Case Study: Comcast Xfinity Home

 Xfinity services include home monitoring and security, consumer
  communication service access, utility management and content




                 Source: Comcast




 Xfinity does not include home network installation, management or
  monitoring




22
The Way Forward




Back

                         23
Way Forward

 Network Operators must develop or partner to obtain:
     –   Complete suite of communication services
     –   Cutting edge service interfaces
     –   Service installation, support and management
     –   Home networking support


 Home networking and automation providers must partner with
  operators to offer comprehensive smart home service packages

 Content providers must partner with network operators and home
  networking providers to offer a complete smart home package

 Telemetric services must be included in smart home offerings and
  must be integrated into other existing communication services


24
For Additional Information




              Daniel Shepherd
              Vice President, ICT
              daniel.shepherd@frost.com
              M: +7 915 043 4460

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Smart Home Ecosystem: Business Models for Integrated Offerings

  • 1. Smart Home: Beyond Technology Envisioning how the ecosystem could work Daniel Shepherd VP, ICT Frost & Sullivan June, 2012
  • 2. Contents Introduction The Big Picture  What is a smart home and why are we talking about it again now?  Top-down review of key issues, allowing us to highlight that that Challenges stakeholder fragmentation and competing interests are a core issue underpinning many of the others  Mapping who is who and who is doing what and who would like to Ecosystem gain what  Outline of 2-3 strategic options we see as to how it could all come Business Models together and exposing a preliminary evaluation  Suggesting what the industry and/ or specific players need to Way Forward consider and do next
  • 3. The Big Picture: What is the Smart Home? Back 3
  • 4. What is a Smart Home?  A Smart Home is a home that integrates automation to control and monitor many internal functions such as heating, lighting, security and multi-media.  It is an evolving concept that has seen a renaissance in recent years as home automation and broadband networking have achieved higher global availability. Source: Timberline Geodesics (used with permission) Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan 4
  • 5. Smart Home: Major Themes Telemetry: Home Networking: Utilities, Healthcare, Distribution, Management, Security Control and Automation Communication Services: Content: Voice, Video, Data and Delivery, Management, Wireless Distribution
  • 6. Smart Home: Why Now? (or why again?)  Smart Homes have been around since the ’60s, but now are beginning to resonate. Why?  Consumers are increasingly interested in services that enable safety, Inherent Needs more efficient use of utilities, life simplification, etc.  Many homes now have entertainment centers that combine video and Complexity other content consumption. They also have access to broadband data services and many have home security systems.  The need to conserve and reduce the cost of energy is driving interest in Regulatory ways to manage utility costs Technology  Home automation and networking technology are now easier to do: Wi- Availability Fi, data over power wiring, prewired new construction Data Ubiquity  Broadband and wireless now deliver data access to the home 6
  • 8. Challenges 1. Business Model  Consumer value perception: consumers aren’t clear what a smart home is or what it should cost  Yet, the market for smart home solutions is fragmented, with many smaller players offering partial solutions  Communication services are becoming tightly integrated: the smart home solutions must work with other communications services and technology 2. Funding Model  Focus on low margin access services compromises ability to invest in smart home offerings that enable higher margin revenues  Entry into home networking and automation space demands the creation of an extensive installation, maintenance and management infrastructure 8
  • 9. Consumer Uncertainty Would you be interested in a smart home? Don't know Yes 28% 29% Would you be willing to pay extra for smart home products or services? No 43% Problem: Low perception of Value Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan
  • 10. Market Fragmentation  The market is extremely fragmented: – Thousands of home electronics manufacturers – Hundreds of communication service providers – Thousands of home electronic maintenance providers – Thousands of home networking installers – Dozens of telemetry providers  There are essentially no comprehensive solutions for the interested consumer that include everything from installation to support and repair and which include content delivery services as well as monitoring services  Remember: consumers want ease of use
  • 11. Consumers Dislike Complexity Importance of Offering Attributes Very Important 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Ease of Customer Billing Quality Value Pricing Use Service Offerings must be easy to implement and use Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan
  • 12. The Smart Home Ecosystem Back 12
  • 13. Smart Home Ecosystem Monitoring Services: Health, Communication Service Security, Providers Utility Home Networking and Management Content Providers Installers, Vendors, etc.
  • 14. The Smart Home Ecosystem  Many providers in each domain: – Communication Services: AT&T, Verizon, British Telecom, Deutsche Telecom, France Telecom, Rostelecom, etc. – Telemetry: ADT, Monitronics, SDG, Overlook, FrontPoint, etc. – Content: AT&T, Verizon, British Telecom, Deutsche Telecom, France Telecom, Rostelecom, Hulu, YouTube, etc. – Home Networking and Automation: X10, NetGear, D-Link, Cytech, MarmiTek, Sonos, Nuvo, etc.  Few complete solutions, although some are coming close: – AT&T Uverse as an example 14
  • 15. Who Should Lead?  The essential component of the smart home is the network connection – controlled by the network operators.  Every other segment of the ecosystem must either ride the network or interface with it.  This would seem to make network operator leadership in the smart home market, obvious…wouldn’t it?  But wait…network operators needn’t be in charge.  In fact, the smart home is largely accessed through easy to use interfaces and these can come from any segment of the market ecosystem 15
  • 17. Trends, Opportunities & Unmet Needs Relevant Trends Unmet Needs Increasing adoption of Increasing need monitoring for support services Increasing need for Increasing adoption of integrated solutions smart appliances Analysis Increasing need for Increasing use of user support broadband content delivery Increasing need for operator service revenue Increased consumption of broadband delivered Service Interface that is content intuitive, comprehensive and sticky Opportunity: Integrated Offerings that provide installation, support and services
  • 18. Key Drivers Summary Content Home Networking Cross Domain Broadband Competition Vendor Revenue Consumer Needs Source: Frost & Sullivan.
  • 19. Key Restraints Summary Price Lack of Integration Complexity Consumer Confusion Market Fragmentation Source: Frost & Sullivan.
  • 20. Business Options  Drivers are defined by Consumer needs  Restraints are defined by existing offering deficiencies  Vendors/operators must focus on integration, ease of use and features to overcome market restraints  Partnerships are indicated as a way to consolidate a critical mass of capabilities 20
  • 21. Case Study: Verizon Whole Home Monitoring and Control  Verizon includes home content management, utility monitoring and management, communication service access, security management and home automation functions Source: Verizon  It does not include home network installation or support, although these can be obtained from recommended third parties 21
  • 22. Case Study: Comcast Xfinity Home  Xfinity services include home monitoring and security, consumer communication service access, utility management and content Source: Comcast  Xfinity does not include home network installation, management or monitoring 22
  • 24. Way Forward  Network Operators must develop or partner to obtain: – Complete suite of communication services – Cutting edge service interfaces – Service installation, support and management – Home networking support  Home networking and automation providers must partner with operators to offer comprehensive smart home service packages  Content providers must partner with network operators and home networking providers to offer a complete smart home package  Telemetric services must be included in smart home offerings and must be integrated into other existing communication services 24
  • 25. For Additional Information Daniel Shepherd Vice President, ICT daniel.shepherd@frost.com M: +7 915 043 4460