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Prepare for the Future by Stress Testing Scenarios
D e c e m b e r 2 0 2 3
Weighing the Risks by Chief Investment Officer, Rusty Vanneman, CMT, CFA, BFA™
Featuring Portfolio Manager of Simplify Asset Management’s PINK ETF Michael Taylor
Healthcare Concerns
S+P 500
5250
+10%
S+P Healthcare
3180
+20%
10-Year Treasury
3.75
-20bps
S+P 500
5010
+5%
S+P Healthcare
2860
+8%
10-Year Treasury
4.25
+30bps
S+P 500
4290
-10%
S+P Healthcare
2650
2385
-10%
10-Year Treasury
5.50
+155bps
Soft Landing
GOOD
BASELINE
BAD
Healthcare
inflation
outpaces
market
Covid
Resurgence
Inflation continues to
decline
real disposable income
increases
Inflation remains sticky
around 3.25%
Consumer spending trends
remain similar
Stagflation leads to a
decrease in elective
surgeries
Nasty new variant
Disclosures
Access to the services presented is provided solely as a service to financial advisors. Orion
Risk Intelligence does not make recommendations or determine the suitability of any
security or strategy. Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future
results.
Orion Risk Intelligence research and tools are provided for informational purposes only.
While the information is deemed reliable, Orion Risk Intelligence does not guarantee its
accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose, and makes no warranties with
respect to the results to be obtained from its use.
17605 Wright Street, Omaha, NE 68130
402.895.1600 / info@orion.com
w w w . o r i o n . c o m
Thank You

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  • 1. Prepare for the Future by Stress Testing Scenarios D e c e m b e r 2 0 2 3 Weighing the Risks by Chief Investment Officer, Rusty Vanneman, CMT, CFA, BFA™ Featuring Portfolio Manager of Simplify Asset Management’s PINK ETF Michael Taylor
  • 2. Healthcare Concerns S+P 500 5250 +10% S+P Healthcare 3180 +20% 10-Year Treasury 3.75 -20bps S+P 500 5010 +5% S+P Healthcare 2860 +8% 10-Year Treasury 4.25 +30bps S+P 500 4290 -10% S+P Healthcare 2650 2385 -10% 10-Year Treasury 5.50 +155bps Soft Landing GOOD BASELINE BAD Healthcare inflation outpaces market Covid Resurgence Inflation continues to decline real disposable income increases Inflation remains sticky around 3.25% Consumer spending trends remain similar Stagflation leads to a decrease in elective surgeries Nasty new variant
  • 3. Disclosures Access to the services presented is provided solely as a service to financial advisors. Orion Risk Intelligence does not make recommendations or determine the suitability of any security or strategy. Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results. Orion Risk Intelligence research and tools are provided for informational purposes only. While the information is deemed reliable, Orion Risk Intelligence does not guarantee its accuracy, completeness, or suitability for any purpose, and makes no warranties with respect to the results to be obtained from its use.
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