Commercial real estate is often seen as a smart choice for protecting against inflation in the long term. Owners can benefit from stable income and the ability to adjust rent prices. Inflation is a significant economic factor that often has a profound impact on CRE investing. As prices rise, the value of properties and rental income can be affected, requiring investors to adopt strategies to mitigate risks and capitalize on opportunities.

1. Navigating Inflation's Influence
on Commercial Real Estate
(CRE) Investing: Insights and
Considerations
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2. Commercial real estate is often seen as a smart choice for
protecting against inflation in the long term. Owners can
benefit from stable income and the ability to adjust rent
prices.
Inflation is a significant economic factor that often has a
profound impact on CRE investing. As prices rise, the
value of properties and rental income can be affected,
requiring investors to adopt strategies to mitigate risks
and capitalize on opportunities.
These issues have been exacerbated by global
uncertainty and the lingering effects of the pandemic. As
a result, short-term interest rates have been raised, and
economic growth has slowed.
Understanding how inflation influences CRE investing is
crucial for making decisions in this dynamic market and
that’s just what we delve into.
Introduction

3. Inflation is like a sneaky thief that quietly reduces the value of
your money. It means that over time, you can buy less with the
same amount of dollars because the prices of things around
you have gone up. A little bit of inflation, ideally around 2% per
year, is actually good for the economy.
It encourages people to spend money, which in turn boosts
production and keeps the economy humming along.
However, when inflation rises too fast, like it has recently,
without wages increasing at the same rate, it can cause
problems.
Additionally, inflation can affect rental income. In an
inflationary environment, tenants may find it harder to keep up
with rising living costs, including rent. Some might decide to
look for cheaper rental options or negotiate lower rents. This
can lead to higher vacancy rates, meaning your property isn't
generating as much rental income as it could be.
How Inflation Affects Property Values and
Rental Income

4. ​
Historical Trends and Patterns of CRE
Performance During Inflationary Periods
Historically, CRE has performed well across various economic
cycles. Over the last 25 years (from 1978 to 2022), U.S.
commercial real estate has outpaced inflation more than 87%
of the time. This period includes a period of high inflation in
the late 1970s and early 1980s.
While inflation can present challenges, such as rising costs
and potential decreases in rental income, CRE has often
outperformed other asset classes like stocks and bonds during
inflationary periods. This is because CRE has unique
characteristics that make it a valuable investment in times of
inflation.
However, not all types of CRE perform equally during
inflationary periods. Certain sectors, such as industrial and
multifamily properties, have historically performed well due to
their stable income streams and essential nature. On the other
hand, sectors like retail may face challenges as consumer
spending patterns change in response to inflation.

5. ​
Key Considerations on How
Inflation Affects Commercial Real
Estate (CRE) Returns
Inflation can have a complex impact on commercial
real estate (CRE) returns, and the relationship between
the two is not always straightforward.
In 1990, when inflation reached 5%, real total returns in
CRE declined. This suggests that high inflation can
negatively impact CRE returns. However, from 1994 to
2007, when inflation was low, returns were relatively
high. This shows that the relationship between inflation
and returns can vary over time.
Impact of Economic Growth
1.
2. Stagflation and Cost-Push Inflation
3. Passing Inflationary Pressure to Tenants
4. Inflation and Interest Rates

6. To mitigate inflation risks in commercial real estate (CRE)
investments, investors can adopt several strategies.
1. Diversification across different property types as well as
locations can help reduce exposure to certain market risks. This
way, if one segment of the market is affected by inflation, other
segments may remain stable or perform better.
2. Adjusting lease terms and rental rates is another effective
strategy. By including clauses in leases that allow for periodic rent
increases based on inflation or market conditions, property owners
can ensure that their rental income keeps pace with rising costs.
3. Implementing inflation-indexed leases is a more direct
approach. These leases are linked to an inflation index- the
Consumer Price Index (CPI), and automatically adjust rental
payments accordingly. This provides a level of protection against
inflation by ensuring that rental income increases in line with the
cost of living.
Strategies for Mitigating Inflation Risks in CRE
Investments

7. Inflation is a vital factor to consider when investing in
commercial real estate. Understanding how inflation affects
property values, rental income, and financing costs is essential
for making informed investment decisions.
Navigating inflationary pressures on CRE investments requires
careful planning and expertise. Working with industry experts
and advisors can provide valuable insights and guidance.
Real estate professionals, financial advisors, and economists
can help investors understand the impact of inflation and
develop strategies to protect their investments.
The Bottom Line

8. Thank You
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