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Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
INTERPRETATION, MEASUREMENT
AND MIXED METHODS
Tuukka Ylä-Anttila
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
WHO AM I AND WHAT DO I DO?
• Tuukka Ylä-Anttila, PhD (sociology) 2017 (University of Helsinki)
• “The Populist Toolkit: Finnish Populism in Action 2007–2016”
• Data: texts by Finns Party, its candidates, and its supporters; online discussions
• Methodological framework: interpreting far-right ‘discourse’ (broadly speaking)
• But not with (poststructuralist) ‘discourse theory’ (Laclau, Foucault etc.)
• Rather: justification theory (Boltanski & Thévenot), political sociology (Swidler),
theory of populism (Canovan, Laclau, Moffitt, Taggart...)
• Motivation to measure: super contentious political topic, many scholars also political
• Which is fine if you’re open about it!
• Still, to explain meanings you should try to understand (Weber: Verstehen) (doesn’t mean accepting)
• Basic research striving at non-normativity also important (Aslanidis 2017; Hansen 2016):
e.g. to what extent do right-wing populists really oppose experts? (Ylä-Anttila 2018)
(typical answer: it’s more complicated...)
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
MY METHODOLOGICAL STARTING POINT
• Qualitative text analysis:
• Whatever your theory, you closely
read texts and find repeating
meaning-patterns
• Discourses, frames, justifications...
• Justification theory
(Boltanski & Thévenot)
• In disputes, people justify their
position based on certain culturally
shared foundations
• “civic” (equality)
• “industrial” (efficiency)
• “market” (money)
• “inspired” (spirituality)
• “fame” (celebrity)
• “domestic” (tradition)
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
FIRST COMPUTATIONAL IDEA:
• Could computers identify justifications in text? There could be two benefits:
• 1. Larger datasets analysed faster, 2. Maybe a new perspective, find something new
• Let’s try topic modeling (Ylä-Anttila, Eranti & Kukkonen [2014] 2021)
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
TOPIC MODELING
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
WHAT DID WE LEARN?
(YLÄ-ANTTILA, ERANTI & KUKKONEN 2021)
• Cultural stuff such as frames can be measured computationally
...at least in principle
• BUT it’s not easy AND you still have to do A LOT of qualitative
(interpretive) work
• ...especially if you want your results to MEAN anything
• Topic modeling will not confirm your theoretical preconceptions as
such
• “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” (George Box)
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
NEXT ATTEMPT: LET’S MODEL BETTER
• Model fit:
• If you ran the
analysis backwards,
could you produce
your original data?
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
WHAT DID I LEARN?
(YLÄ-ANTTILA 2018)
• You can think of research as creating a model of reality
• You have to make two choices:
• Are you theory-driven or data-driven? Which comes first
• Do you want to describe the world in terms of a theory or
come up with terms to describe the world?
• How fine-grained do you want the model to be?
• If you make the model really nuanced, you can describe reality very accurately, but you
can’t see the forest for the trees; model does very little work
• If you make the model really simplifying, you can describe reality very effectively, but
you’ll cut corners; model does a lot of work
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
RESOLUTION
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
SO... HOW TO COMBINE MEASUREMENT
AND INTERPRETATION SYSTEMATICALLY?
Go back and forth between distances! (distant reading, Moretti 2013)
“If we want to understand the system in its entirety,
we must accept losing something.”
(Moretti 2013: 49, distant reading)
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
• For example:
• First, look close at small data and come up with a theory: e.g. study 10 people
who believe in conspiracies and notice that many have had bad experiences with
authorities (inductive theory construction)
• Then, zoom out: conduct a survey of 1000 people asking about bad experiences
with authorities and conspiracy beliefs, see if there’s a generalizable correlation
(deductive theory testing)
• Now, you already have a theoretical mechanism explaining the correlation
-> causality?!?
• Or:
• First, look at big data from afar and come up with a research interest: e.g. run an
unsupervised machine learning algorithm on Twitter data and notice that lots of
people talk about immigration
• Then, zoom in: conduct a discourse analysis on how they talk about immigration,
what meanings do they assign to immigration, what does it mean to them
• Now, you already have a justification for your in-depth work, e.g.
“36% of Twitter talk was about immigration in 2015! Let’s look at what happened”
• Note: these can be two studies, done by different ppl
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
• Postdoc: moral polarization
• Populists polarize debates:
• either you’re with us or against us
• there’s no middle ground
• Politics, for populists, is a moral battle; there’s good and evil
• Is this a broader phenomenon, not limited to ‘populists’?
• Methodologically:
•Two new methods in research plan
•Mixed-distance reading
•Justification Network Analysis (JNA)
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
MIXED-DISTANCE READING
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
• Qualitative
• Interpretation
• Detailed
• Micro
• (Constructionism)
• (Meanings)
• (Not causal)
• Culture as toolkit
(Swidler 1986)
• Morality in sociology
• Quantitative
• Measurement
• Generalizing
• Macro
• (Realism/positivism)
• (Variables)
• (Causality)
• Culture as motivator
(Vaisey 2009)
• Morality in psychology
SELF-CRITICISM: I’M OVER-SIMPLIFYING
Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta
• Aslanidis, P. 2015: Is Populism an Ideology? A Refutation and a New Perspective. Political Studies.
• Boltanski, L., & Thévenot, L. (1999). The Sociology of Critical Capacity.
European Journal of Social Theory.
• Hansen, M. P. 2016: Non-normative critique: Foucault and pragmatic sociology as
tactical re-politicization. European Journal of Social Theory.
• Moretti, F. 2013: Distant Reading. Verso.
• Swidler, A. 1986: Culture in Action: Symbols and Strategies. American Sociological Review.
• Vaisey, S. 2009: Motivation and Justification: A Dual-Process Model of Culture in Action.
American Journal of Sociology.
• Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka 2012: What is Finnish about The Finns Party? Political Culture and Populism.
Master’s thesis.
• Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka 2017: The Populist Toolkit: Finnish Populism in Action 2007–2016.
• Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka 2018: Populist knowledge: ‘Post-truth’ repertoires of contesting epistemic
authorities. European Journal of Cultural and Political Sociology.
• Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka; Eranti, Veikko & Kukkonen, Anna. 2021. Topic Modeling for Frame Analysis: A
Study of Media Debates on Climate Change in India and USA. Global Media and Communication.

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Interpretation, measurement and mixed methods

  • 2. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta WHO AM I AND WHAT DO I DO? • Tuukka Ylä-Anttila, PhD (sociology) 2017 (University of Helsinki) • “The Populist Toolkit: Finnish Populism in Action 2007–2016” • Data: texts by Finns Party, its candidates, and its supporters; online discussions • Methodological framework: interpreting far-right ‘discourse’ (broadly speaking) • But not with (poststructuralist) ‘discourse theory’ (Laclau, Foucault etc.) • Rather: justification theory (Boltanski & Thévenot), political sociology (Swidler), theory of populism (Canovan, Laclau, Moffitt, Taggart...) • Motivation to measure: super contentious political topic, many scholars also political • Which is fine if you’re open about it! • Still, to explain meanings you should try to understand (Weber: Verstehen) (doesn’t mean accepting) • Basic research striving at non-normativity also important (Aslanidis 2017; Hansen 2016): e.g. to what extent do right-wing populists really oppose experts? (Ylä-Anttila 2018) (typical answer: it’s more complicated...)
  • 3. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta MY METHODOLOGICAL STARTING POINT • Qualitative text analysis: • Whatever your theory, you closely read texts and find repeating meaning-patterns • Discourses, frames, justifications... • Justification theory (Boltanski & Thévenot) • In disputes, people justify their position based on certain culturally shared foundations • “civic” (equality) • “industrial” (efficiency) • “market” (money) • “inspired” (spirituality) • “fame” (celebrity) • “domestic” (tradition)
  • 6. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta FIRST COMPUTATIONAL IDEA: • Could computers identify justifications in text? There could be two benefits: • 1. Larger datasets analysed faster, 2. Maybe a new perspective, find something new • Let’s try topic modeling (Ylä-Anttila, Eranti & Kukkonen [2014] 2021)
  • 12. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta WHAT DID WE LEARN? (YLÄ-ANTTILA, ERANTI & KUKKONEN 2021) • Cultural stuff such as frames can be measured computationally ...at least in principle • BUT it’s not easy AND you still have to do A LOT of qualitative (interpretive) work • ...especially if you want your results to MEAN anything • Topic modeling will not confirm your theoretical preconceptions as such • “All models are wrong, but some are useful.” (George Box)
  • 13. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta NEXT ATTEMPT: LET’S MODEL BETTER • Model fit: • If you ran the analysis backwards, could you produce your original data?
  • 15. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta WHAT DID I LEARN? (YLÄ-ANTTILA 2018) • You can think of research as creating a model of reality • You have to make two choices: • Are you theory-driven or data-driven? Which comes first • Do you want to describe the world in terms of a theory or come up with terms to describe the world? • How fine-grained do you want the model to be? • If you make the model really nuanced, you can describe reality very accurately, but you can’t see the forest for the trees; model does very little work • If you make the model really simplifying, you can describe reality very effectively, but you’ll cut corners; model does a lot of work
  • 17. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta SO... HOW TO COMBINE MEASUREMENT AND INTERPRETATION SYSTEMATICALLY? Go back and forth between distances! (distant reading, Moretti 2013) “If we want to understand the system in its entirety, we must accept losing something.” (Moretti 2013: 49, distant reading)
  • 18. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta • For example: • First, look close at small data and come up with a theory: e.g. study 10 people who believe in conspiracies and notice that many have had bad experiences with authorities (inductive theory construction) • Then, zoom out: conduct a survey of 1000 people asking about bad experiences with authorities and conspiracy beliefs, see if there’s a generalizable correlation (deductive theory testing) • Now, you already have a theoretical mechanism explaining the correlation -> causality?!? • Or: • First, look at big data from afar and come up with a research interest: e.g. run an unsupervised machine learning algorithm on Twitter data and notice that lots of people talk about immigration • Then, zoom in: conduct a discourse analysis on how they talk about immigration, what meanings do they assign to immigration, what does it mean to them • Now, you already have a justification for your in-depth work, e.g. “36% of Twitter talk was about immigration in 2015! Let’s look at what happened” • Note: these can be two studies, done by different ppl
  • 19. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta • Postdoc: moral polarization • Populists polarize debates: • either you’re with us or against us • there’s no middle ground • Politics, for populists, is a moral battle; there’s good and evil • Is this a broader phenomenon, not limited to ‘populists’? • Methodologically: •Two new methods in research plan •Mixed-distance reading •Justification Network Analysis (JNA)
  • 21. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta • Qualitative • Interpretation • Detailed • Micro • (Constructionism) • (Meanings) • (Not causal) • Culture as toolkit (Swidler 1986) • Morality in sociology • Quantitative • Measurement • Generalizing • Macro • (Realism/positivism) • (Variables) • (Causality) • Culture as motivator (Vaisey 2009) • Morality in psychology SELF-CRITICISM: I’M OVER-SIMPLIFYING
  • 22. Valtiotieteellinen tiedekunta • Aslanidis, P. 2015: Is Populism an Ideology? A Refutation and a New Perspective. Political Studies. • Boltanski, L., & Thévenot, L. (1999). The Sociology of Critical Capacity. European Journal of Social Theory. • Hansen, M. P. 2016: Non-normative critique: Foucault and pragmatic sociology as tactical re-politicization. European Journal of Social Theory. • Moretti, F. 2013: Distant Reading. Verso. • Swidler, A. 1986: Culture in Action: Symbols and Strategies. American Sociological Review. • Vaisey, S. 2009: Motivation and Justification: A Dual-Process Model of Culture in Action. American Journal of Sociology. • Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka 2012: What is Finnish about The Finns Party? Political Culture and Populism. Master’s thesis. • Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka 2017: The Populist Toolkit: Finnish Populism in Action 2007–2016. • Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka 2018: Populist knowledge: ‘Post-truth’ repertoires of contesting epistemic authorities. European Journal of Cultural and Political Sociology. • Ylä-Anttila, Tuukka; Eranti, Veikko & Kukkonen, Anna. 2021. Topic Modeling for Frame Analysis: A Study of Media Debates on Climate Change in India and USA. Global Media and Communication.