Benefit/Cost Analysis For Ait Traffic Control Towers Presentation
1. uadrex Associates, Inc
Benefit/Cost AnalysisBenefit/Cost Analysis
forfor
Air Traffic Control TowersAir Traffic Control Towers
Understanding the Background,Understanding the Background,
Theory, Data RequirementsTheory, Data Requirements
&&
Procedural MethodologiesProcedural Methodologies
2. uadrex Associates,
Presentation OverviewPresentation Overview
What is theWhat is the B/C in context of ATCT?in context of ATCT?
Why is aWhy is a B/C analysis required?analysis required?
How is theHow is the B/C calculated?calculated?
What Data is used for theWhat Data is used for the B/C??
How is theHow is the B/C used?used?
Disclaimer: The following represents the views of Quadrex and notDisclaimer: The following represents the views of Quadrex and not
necessarily those of the FAA or any other responsible agency and isnecessarily those of the FAA or any other responsible agency and is
solely responsible for the contents.solely responsible for the contents.
3. uadrex Associates,
Who needs a B/C Ratio?Who needs a B/C Ratio?
Fully funded ATCT Facilities (B/CFully funded ATCT Facilities (B/C 1.0)1.0)
Cost-Share ATCT Facilities (B/C < 1.0)Cost-Share ATCT Facilities (B/C < 1.0)
– B/C represents FAA share of total costB/C represents FAA share of total cost
– Example: B/C = .9 means FAA will fund 90%Example: B/C = .9 means FAA will fund 90%
New ATCT Facilities (B/C = 1.0 or greater)New ATCT Facilities (B/C = 1.0 or greater)
– Establishment Criteria with deductionsEstablishment Criteria with deductions
5. uadrex Associates,
What Exactly is the B/C Ratio?What Exactly is the B/C Ratio?
FAA Report APO 90-7 sets rationale andFAA Report APO 90-7 sets rationale and
methodologymethodology
Benefits – the Safety and Efficiency savings (livesBenefits – the Safety and Efficiency savings (lives
& property) of ATC Tower operation& property) of ATC Tower operation
Cost - Annual expenses for Tower OpsCost - Annual expenses for Tower Ops
Calculated on the FAA Data & DefaultsCalculated on the FAA Data & Defaults
6. uadrex Associates,
B/C EquationB/C Equation
TheThe BenefitBenefit Side of the B/C Equation:Side of the B/C Equation:
– Collisions AvoidedCollisions Avoided
– Preventable AccidentsPreventable Accidents
– Flight EfficienciesFlight Efficiencies
TheThe CostCost Side of the B/C EquationSide of the B/C Equation
– Annual ATC (Contractor) CostAnnual ATC (Contractor) Cost
Both figures calculated out for 15 yearsBoth figures calculated out for 15 years
– Discount rate = 7 percentDiscount rate = 7 percent
7. uadrex Associates,
B/C VariablesB/C Variables
Aircraft OperationsAircraft Operations
Operations TypeOperations Type
– Air Carrier/Air Taxi (Scheduled AT = AC)Air Carrier/Air Taxi (Scheduled AT = AC)
– General AviationGeneral Aviation
– MilitaryMilitary
Historical/ForecastHistorical/Forecast
– ATC Ops Counts / Surveys (ATC Ops Counts / Surveys (new Startsnew Starts))
– Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)Terminal Area Forecast (TAF)
8. uadrex Associates,
B/C VariablesB/C Variables
Aircraft MixAircraft Mix
Establishes Values for Operations “at-risk”Establishes Values for Operations “at-risk”
– Average Occupants (Passenger/Crew)Average Occupants (Passenger/Crew)
– Average A/C Hull ValuesAverage A/C Hull Values
Default ValuesDefault Values
– Air Carrier - Official Airline Guide (OAG)Air Carrier - Official Airline Guide (OAG)
– GA - Based Aircraft Mix (5010/TAF)GA - Based Aircraft Mix (5010/TAF)
» Nat’l Distribution = (2.45 Occupants/$557K)Nat’l Distribution = (2.45 Occupants/$557K)
Site Specific ValuesSite Specific Values
– GA Based Aircraft – represent Itinerant OpsGA Based Aircraft – represent Itinerant Ops
9. uadrex Associates,
B/C VariablesB/C Variables
CostsCosts
ATC Cost = $300,000 – $500,000+ATC Cost = $300,000 – $500,000+
Regional Contractor BidRegional Contractor Bid
– Based on Hours of OperationBased on Hours of Operation
– DOL Wage DeterminationDOL Wage Determination
– Regional Cost of LivingRegional Cost of Living
– Staffing Levels/Extra HoursStaffing Levels/Extra Hours
10. uadrex Associates,
B/C Program DefaultsB/C Program Defaults
Establishment CriteriaEstablishment Criteria
Ops covered = 92.5% of Total OpsOps covered = 92.5% of Total Ops
Ops Mix = Nat’l/Local Based AircraftOps Mix = Nat’l/Local Based Aircraft
Establishment CoefficientsEstablishment Coefficients
– Assumes No Prior ATC servicesAssumes No Prior ATC services
– Use Statistical “Mean” of DataUse Statistical “Mean” of Data
ATC Costs = $400KATC Costs = $400K (average CTP facility)(average CTP facility)
New starts get only Establishment B/CNew starts get only Establishment B/C
(FAA Policy to only allow for B/C(FAA Policy to only allow for B/C 1.0)1.0)
11. uadrex Associates,
B/C Program DefaultsB/C Program Defaults
Discontinuance CriteriaDiscontinuance Criteria
Ops covered = 100% of Total OpsOps covered = 100% of Total Ops
Discontinuance CoefficientsDiscontinuance Coefficients
– Considers Safety Aspect of Losing ATCConsiders Safety Aspect of Losing ATC
ServicesServices
– Use Statistical “Upper Limits” of Data (95%Use Statistical “Upper Limits” of Data (95%
confidence level)confidence level)
All Other Factors Same as EstablishmentAll Other Factors Same as Establishment
12. uadrex Associates,
Input Data RecommendationsInput Data Recommendations
Accuracy vs ExpediencyAccuracy vs Expediency
Based Aircraft CensusBased Aircraft Census
– Establishes mix of local trafficEstablishes mix of local traffic
Aircraft Operations Level & Ops MixAircraft Operations Level & Ops Mix
– Itinerant vs LocalItinerant vs Local
– Master Plan Inventory/ForecastsMaster Plan Inventory/Forecasts
– A/C Surveys & EstimatesA/C Surveys & Estimates
– Other empirical evidenceOther empirical evidence
» Fuel FlowageFuel Flowage
» IFR Traffic handled by ATC Approach/Departure ControlIFR Traffic handled by ATC Approach/Departure Control
» Flight tracking (subscription)Flight tracking (subscription)
13. uadrex Associates,
Estimating Aircraft OperationsEstimating Aircraft Operations
at Non-Towered Airportsat Non-Towered Airports
CORRELATION OF ACTIVITY BASED ON ON-SITE DATA ANDCORRELATION OF ACTIVITY BASED ON ON-SITE DATA AND
OTHER LOCAL GA AIRPORTS WITH AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLOTHER LOCAL GA AIRPORTS WITH AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL
TOWERSTOWERS
Input DataInput Data
– Aircraft Activity SurveyAircraft Activity Survey
» Phase I (8 days – 2 weekends)Phase I (8 days – 2 weekends)
» Phase II (21 days) June 16 - July 7Phase II (21 days) June 16 - July 7
– Based AircraftBased Aircraft
15. uadrex Associates,
Survey ResultsSurvey Results
AC* GAL GAI
Annualized for 10
Hour Operations 8,142 46,779 62,238
say 8,100 46,800 62,200
* less 20%
ATC Est Annual
Hours Days Ops
14 365 117,160
Min Ops 83,655
Max Ops 150,665
16. uadrex Associates,
DED B/C CalculationsDED B/C Calculations
Base Ops Establish Discontinue
Base Case 77,000 0.53 0.93
Alternate Case 117,200 + 1.48 2.79
Flat-line Forecast 117,200 1.09 2.00
Break-Even 95,600 + 1.00 1.82
Cost based on $450,000