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Welcome to our Presentation
Case Study No:01
PRESENTED BY
GROUP-24
1
Group Profile
Serial No Name ID No.
1. Jannatul Naima 18-065 (B.B.A.)
2. Md. Obydul Hoqe 18-087 (B.B.A.)
3. Md. Shaiful Islam Id:17-063 (BBA)
Group no:24
2
About UniHost Corporation
✔ Previously UniHost was named as “Journey’s End” in 1980’s.
✔ It was heavily involved in the development, syndication and management of motels and
hotels in Canada and the northeastern United States.
✔ UniHost developed new properties, built hotels and then sold the majority ownership of the
property to a group of individual investors through limited partnerships
✔ The company had formed a joint venture named Choice Canada with U.S.-based Choice
Hotels International
✔ Since 1993, UniHost had been a strong performer relative to the Canadian hotel industry as
a whole
3
Analysis of Economy
✔ The severe real estate and hotel industry downturn of the early 1990s
✔ Industry performance was positively related to the business cycle and was dependent on a
large number of economic factors that affected industry performance
✔ Hotel Ownership could be viewed to be a higher risk venture than other real estate
activities given the lack of long-term leases.
✔ The Canadian market was considered to be in better condition than US market, with a four
per cent increase in occupancy (from 58 to 62%) combined with an increase in prices of
7.1 per cent (from $69.32 to $74.25 average daily rate) from 1992 to 1996.
✔ The Canadian hotel industry was fragmented with two-thirds of hotels independently
owned and approximately one-third of these remaining unflagged.
4
Economic Analysis-Porter’s Five Forces
Model
Rivalry
among
existing
competitors-
Moderate
Threat of new
entrants-LOW
Only ruler in
hotel industry of
Canada
Threat from
buyers-HIGH
As
consumers’
preference
changes
Threat of
substitutes-
LOW
In case of
tourism
industry
Threat from
suppliers-HIGH
As opportunities
for long term
financing are not
available
5
Political
• High growth
due to tax
legislation
Economic
• Hotel industry
is depended on
economic cycle
Social
• Rich in natural
attraction and
cultural heritage
• mediocre
hospitality and
very good
proficiency
• the ability to
work
throughout the
year
Technological
• Advanced
technologies for
organization of
congresses,
festivals,
events, trade
shows
Environmental
• Reducing
energy
consumption
such as fuel,
electricity
becoming solar
based.
Legal
• Consumer law
• Health and
safety law
• Employment
law
PESTEL Analysis
6
Company Analysis-SWOT
Strength
1. Partnership with a number of hotels in Canada
2. Branding as “Quality” or “Comfort”
3. Have collaboration and ownership in different categories
of hotels
4. Establishment of limited partner liquidity program
Weakness
1. High variable cost
2. High risk ventures
Opportunity
1. Significant lacking in hotel services in Jamaica
2. Scope for utilizing existing management process in
Caribbean countries
Threat
1. Changes rapidly with the changes in economy
2. High acquisition cost
SWOT
7
Ratio Analysis
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
1995 1996 1997
Operating profitability ratio
Gross Profit
margin
Net profit margin
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
1997
Liquidity ratio
Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Cash Ratio
8
Ratio Analysis
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
1997
Leverage ratio
Debt-Asset
Ratio
Total
capitalization
ratio
0
1
2
3
4
5
1997
Operating efficiency ratio
Receivable
Turnover
Ratio
A/C Payable
Turnover
Ratio
Total Asset
Turnover
9
Altman’s Z-SCORE
10
Business Risk Analysis
11
Financial Risk Analysis
12
Country Risk Analysis
13
Problem Statement
► UniHost Corporation was in need of additional capital to expand the operation in
Caribbean countries. First choice of the company was Jamaica and it had several
alternatives to use as financing.
Such as: equity, convertible bonds, high yield bonds.
► Find the best way to finance the capital need of the company.
14
Assumptions
► Assumptions
► 1. Retained earnings will full be use for growth purpose
► 2. Thus no dividend will be paid
► 3. 100% retention ratio
► 4. Company is now in rapid accelerated growth
► 5. Rapid Accelerated growth will continue up to 3 years as result of expansion.
► 6. Growth stage will be 10 years max
► 7. Begin a cyclical business will have an expected down turn during 2000 (as of early 1990
► 8. We expect the downturn will recover with in next 3 years
► 9. Additional projects will increase the sales growth by
15
Alternative 1 (Equity Issue)
16
Alternative 1: 100% equity financing
▪Income tax rate=35%
▪No dividend will be paid
▪Terminal growth rate=2%
Value per share
is increasing
17
Alternative 1: 100% equity financing
Co-efficient of variation is .6775.
Value per share is most sensitive to (-80.2%) the changes in WACC
18
Alternative 2 (Equity + Debt)
Assumptions
► Inflation rate 2% will remain constant
► Risk free rate of 5.28% will remain
constant
► 100% retention ratio with no dividend
policy
► Corporate Tax Rate in Canada .35
Debt-Equity
Risk Free Rate 5.28%
Cost of Equity 12.4%
Cost of Debt 0.080
After Tax cost of debt 0.052
Weight ot Debt 0.628
Weight of Equity 0.372
Total Debt 408,264
Total Equity 241,503
Total Value(Debt+ Equity) 649,767
Corporate tax 0.35
WACC 7.89%
19
Alternative 2
Total PV of FCFF 190,103
Terminal Value 382,941
Enterprise Value 573,043
Add: Cash and Marketable Securities 20,705
Less: Interest Bearing Debt 312,890
Equity Value 280,858
Total number of shares Outstanding 37,299,945
Value per Share $ 7.53
20
Forecast values
Trials 1,000
Base Case $7.53
Mean $2.71
Median $(0.92)
Mode ---
Standard Deviation $117.37
Variance $13,776.47
Skewness 16.57
Kurtosis 353.99
Coeff. of Variation 43.28
Minimum $(798.99)
Maximum $2,500.76
Range
Width $3,299.75
Mean Std. Error $3.71
21
Alternative Financing 03: Retained Earnings + Convertible
Bond + High Yield Bond
Financing required= 218000000
WACC has decreased.
At the Same time Equity
Value Per Share
increased.
Cost of Equity 12%
After Tax cost of Convertible bond 0.05395
After Tax cost of debt 0.048425
Weight of Debt 0.6127396
Weight of Equity 0.2675282
Weight of Convertible Bond 0.1197322
WACC 0.07
Total PV of FCFF 184388.87
Tarminal Value 505781.97
Enterprise Value 690170.84
Add: Cash and Marketable Securities 20705.00
Less: Interest Bearing Debt 312890.00
Equity Value 397985.84
Total number of shares Outstanding 37299945
Value per Share $ 10.67
22
Alternative Financing 03: Retained Earnings + Convertible
Bond + High Yield Bond
Value per share is most sensitive to (-68.7%) the changes in
WACC
23
Comparison
Scenario WACC Value per share
Share issue 8.20% $5.24
Share + Bond 8% $7.53
Convertible Bond +High Yield Bond 7% $10.67
24
Recommendation
► UniHost Corporation is suggested for issuing convertible bond
and high yield bond with@ 8.3% and 7.45% interest rate for
the amount of 87.2 million.
❑ Retained Earnings-60%
❑ Convertible Bond-30%
❑ High Yield Bond-10%
25
Thank You
Any Query??
26

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Copy of Case-1-Group-24.pptx

  • 1. Welcome to our Presentation Case Study No:01 PRESENTED BY GROUP-24 1
  • 2. Group Profile Serial No Name ID No. 1. Jannatul Naima 18-065 (B.B.A.) 2. Md. Obydul Hoqe 18-087 (B.B.A.) 3. Md. Shaiful Islam Id:17-063 (BBA) Group no:24 2
  • 3. About UniHost Corporation ✔ Previously UniHost was named as “Journey’s End” in 1980’s. ✔ It was heavily involved in the development, syndication and management of motels and hotels in Canada and the northeastern United States. ✔ UniHost developed new properties, built hotels and then sold the majority ownership of the property to a group of individual investors through limited partnerships ✔ The company had formed a joint venture named Choice Canada with U.S.-based Choice Hotels International ✔ Since 1993, UniHost had been a strong performer relative to the Canadian hotel industry as a whole 3
  • 4. Analysis of Economy ✔ The severe real estate and hotel industry downturn of the early 1990s ✔ Industry performance was positively related to the business cycle and was dependent on a large number of economic factors that affected industry performance ✔ Hotel Ownership could be viewed to be a higher risk venture than other real estate activities given the lack of long-term leases. ✔ The Canadian market was considered to be in better condition than US market, with a four per cent increase in occupancy (from 58 to 62%) combined with an increase in prices of 7.1 per cent (from $69.32 to $74.25 average daily rate) from 1992 to 1996. ✔ The Canadian hotel industry was fragmented with two-thirds of hotels independently owned and approximately one-third of these remaining unflagged. 4
  • 5. Economic Analysis-Porter’s Five Forces Model Rivalry among existing competitors- Moderate Threat of new entrants-LOW Only ruler in hotel industry of Canada Threat from buyers-HIGH As consumers’ preference changes Threat of substitutes- LOW In case of tourism industry Threat from suppliers-HIGH As opportunities for long term financing are not available 5
  • 6. Political • High growth due to tax legislation Economic • Hotel industry is depended on economic cycle Social • Rich in natural attraction and cultural heritage • mediocre hospitality and very good proficiency • the ability to work throughout the year Technological • Advanced technologies for organization of congresses, festivals, events, trade shows Environmental • Reducing energy consumption such as fuel, electricity becoming solar based. Legal • Consumer law • Health and safety law • Employment law PESTEL Analysis 6
  • 7. Company Analysis-SWOT Strength 1. Partnership with a number of hotels in Canada 2. Branding as “Quality” or “Comfort” 3. Have collaboration and ownership in different categories of hotels 4. Establishment of limited partner liquidity program Weakness 1. High variable cost 2. High risk ventures Opportunity 1. Significant lacking in hotel services in Jamaica 2. Scope for utilizing existing management process in Caribbean countries Threat 1. Changes rapidly with the changes in economy 2. High acquisition cost SWOT 7
  • 8. Ratio Analysis 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 1995 1996 1997 Operating profitability ratio Gross Profit margin Net profit margin 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1997 Liquidity ratio Current Ratio Quick Ratio Cash Ratio 8
  • 9. Ratio Analysis 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 1997 Leverage ratio Debt-Asset Ratio Total capitalization ratio 0 1 2 3 4 5 1997 Operating efficiency ratio Receivable Turnover Ratio A/C Payable Turnover Ratio Total Asset Turnover 9
  • 14. Problem Statement ► UniHost Corporation was in need of additional capital to expand the operation in Caribbean countries. First choice of the company was Jamaica and it had several alternatives to use as financing. Such as: equity, convertible bonds, high yield bonds. ► Find the best way to finance the capital need of the company. 14
  • 15. Assumptions ► Assumptions ► 1. Retained earnings will full be use for growth purpose ► 2. Thus no dividend will be paid ► 3. 100% retention ratio ► 4. Company is now in rapid accelerated growth ► 5. Rapid Accelerated growth will continue up to 3 years as result of expansion. ► 6. Growth stage will be 10 years max ► 7. Begin a cyclical business will have an expected down turn during 2000 (as of early 1990 ► 8. We expect the downturn will recover with in next 3 years ► 9. Additional projects will increase the sales growth by 15
  • 17. Alternative 1: 100% equity financing ▪Income tax rate=35% ▪No dividend will be paid ▪Terminal growth rate=2% Value per share is increasing 17
  • 18. Alternative 1: 100% equity financing Co-efficient of variation is .6775. Value per share is most sensitive to (-80.2%) the changes in WACC 18
  • 19. Alternative 2 (Equity + Debt) Assumptions ► Inflation rate 2% will remain constant ► Risk free rate of 5.28% will remain constant ► 100% retention ratio with no dividend policy ► Corporate Tax Rate in Canada .35 Debt-Equity Risk Free Rate 5.28% Cost of Equity 12.4% Cost of Debt 0.080 After Tax cost of debt 0.052 Weight ot Debt 0.628 Weight of Equity 0.372 Total Debt 408,264 Total Equity 241,503 Total Value(Debt+ Equity) 649,767 Corporate tax 0.35 WACC 7.89% 19
  • 20. Alternative 2 Total PV of FCFF 190,103 Terminal Value 382,941 Enterprise Value 573,043 Add: Cash and Marketable Securities 20,705 Less: Interest Bearing Debt 312,890 Equity Value 280,858 Total number of shares Outstanding 37,299,945 Value per Share $ 7.53 20
  • 21. Forecast values Trials 1,000 Base Case $7.53 Mean $2.71 Median $(0.92) Mode --- Standard Deviation $117.37 Variance $13,776.47 Skewness 16.57 Kurtosis 353.99 Coeff. of Variation 43.28 Minimum $(798.99) Maximum $2,500.76 Range Width $3,299.75 Mean Std. Error $3.71 21
  • 22. Alternative Financing 03: Retained Earnings + Convertible Bond + High Yield Bond Financing required= 218000000 WACC has decreased. At the Same time Equity Value Per Share increased. Cost of Equity 12% After Tax cost of Convertible bond 0.05395 After Tax cost of debt 0.048425 Weight of Debt 0.6127396 Weight of Equity 0.2675282 Weight of Convertible Bond 0.1197322 WACC 0.07 Total PV of FCFF 184388.87 Tarminal Value 505781.97 Enterprise Value 690170.84 Add: Cash and Marketable Securities 20705.00 Less: Interest Bearing Debt 312890.00 Equity Value 397985.84 Total number of shares Outstanding 37299945 Value per Share $ 10.67 22
  • 23. Alternative Financing 03: Retained Earnings + Convertible Bond + High Yield Bond Value per share is most sensitive to (-68.7%) the changes in WACC 23
  • 24. Comparison Scenario WACC Value per share Share issue 8.20% $5.24 Share + Bond 8% $7.53 Convertible Bond +High Yield Bond 7% $10.67 24
  • 25. Recommendation ► UniHost Corporation is suggested for issuing convertible bond and high yield bond with@ 8.3% and 7.45% interest rate for the amount of 87.2 million. ❑ Retained Earnings-60% ❑ Convertible Bond-30% ❑ High Yield Bond-10% 25