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Raising finance in today’s market place



                       RICHARD CHASE
                       Managing Director




CREATING VALUE ACROSS THE RESOURCES SECTOR
2




“At some point the quantitative
  easing will come to an end,
    but until it does this bull
     market is sponsored by
  governments and everyone
                                  Global financial model:
        should enjoy it.”         1.Find rainbow
                                  2.Borrow against
                                  expectation of finding
                                  crock of gold
3

              New Issues on AIM




Global Mining Offers – Market Share by Number



Global Mining Offers – Market Share by Proceeds
China: Driving demand for natural resources
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4


                                                                                                                             Home Appliances
                                                                                                                                  1%
    Iron Ore                                                                  58%
                                                                                                                    Autos & Shipbuilding
                                                                                                                            5%                        Other
 Energy Coal                                            38%                                                           Metal Goods                      6%
                                                                                                                          6%

        Zinc                                        35%


                                                                                                                                                                   Construction
  Aluminium                                         35%                                                                                                               48%
                                                                                                                                      Machinery
                                                                                                                                        20%

     Copper                                  28%


                                                                                                                                                Infrastructure
      Nickel                                27%                                                                                                      14%
                                                                                                                                                                                   Source: BHP Billiton Estimates
              0%      10%        20%        30%        40%        50%        60%      70%

           Source: CRU, Brook Hunt, IISI, PEL, China Customs, BHP Biliton estimates           China’s Urban Residential Floor Space
                                                                                                   (Billions of Square Metres)
                                                                             35

                                                                                                                                           33


                                                                             30




                                                                             25
                                                                                                                        24


                                                                             20

                                                                                                           18

                                                                             15




                                                                             10
                                                                                            9


                                                                                                                                                           Source: McKinsey & Co, BHP Billiton Estimates
                                                                               5
                                                                                       2000             2008         2015              2025
Sharp Recovery in Natural Resources Sector
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5



China’s Economic Recovery in 2009
                                                   Rebound in Natural Resources
(% growth year-on-year to August 2009)
                                                   160


Industrial Production                    +12.3%
                                                   140




                                                   120

Fixed Asset Investment                   +33.3%
                                                   100




                                                    80
Construction Materials Sector            +36.6%

                                                    60




Passenger Car Sales                      +90.0%     40




                                                    20


                                                                                    Apr 08




                                                                                                                                                                                                  Apr 09
                                                         Jan 08
                                                                  Feb 08




                                                                                                                                  Sep 08


                                                                                                                                                    Nov 08


                                                                                                                                                                      Jan 09
                                                                                                                                                                                Feb 09




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Sep 09
                                                                                              May 08




                                                                                                                                                                                                           May 09
                                                                                                       Jun 08
                                                                                                                Jul 08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Jun 09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jul 09
                                                                           Mar 08




                                                                                                                                                             Dec 08




                                                                                                                                                                                         Mar 09
                                                                                                                         Aug 08


                                                                                                                                           Oct 08




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Aug 09
Exports                                  (23.4%)
                                                                                             FTSE All Share Mining                                    Oil                      Copper                       Gold
6




www.cartoonstock.com
Equity Finance – Deeply discounted issues in H1 2009
                                                                                              7


 • UK financings in H1 were dominated by balance sheet repair
 • 25% of institutional cash flow was hoovered-up by the top 3 transactions

                                                                                    Current
                                               Price (p)   Discount   Raised (£m)
                                                                                     Price

 RIO TINTO                 RIGHTS      June      1400        50%            7,342    2664


 XSTRATA                   RIGHTS     March      210         40%            4,106    916


 LONMIN                    RIGHTS      May       900         40%             316     1681


 GEM DIAMONDS              PLACING     April     100         33%              75     248


 AQUARIUS PLATINUM         PLACING    March      180         10%              83     282


 AQUARIUS PLATINUM         RIGHTS      April     115         36%              48     282
Junior Company Equity Finance
                                                                                 8




                                Bank lending has become more
                                conservative....and expensive

                                Equity financing can be completed more
                                quickly....and with less rigour ( !? )

                                Carpe Diem: gold companies, in particular,
                                feel an urgency

                                Quality projects are finding equity financing.
Equity Finance – A Currency for Acquisitions
                                                                                               9


 Shares are the obvious currency for juniors whose share prices have risen sharply in
 the last nine months.


         $86.5 million                 $314.7 million                   £1.8 million




       Avocet Mining plc            Sylvania Resources          Dwyka Resources Limited
                                          Limited
                                                                 Recommended all share
   Recommended all share                                            offer for Minerva
                                  Recommended all share
    offer for Wega Mining                                              Resources
                                   offer by Ruukki Group
  Joint Financial Adviser and                                   Financial Adviser, Nominated
  Broker                         Nominated Adviser              Adviser and Broker
  April 2009                     June 2009                      July 2009
Equity Finance – Financing for Growth
                                                                             10


  •   Financing to participate in rights   •   100% Equity finance of mine
      offer by Extract Resources               development and start-up
  •   World class uranium asset in
      Namibia
Equity Finance – Deeply Discounted Rights Issue
                                                               11




      Pangea DiamondFields

  •   Critical stage of ramp-up to become cash flow positive

  •   Massively diluting 15 : 1 open offer

  •   Fully underwritten by management and key institutions

  •   Raised £8.7 million at 0.5p/share

  •   33% discount

  •   Repaid loan obligation

  •   Exercised option to acquire 100% of operations

  •   Price has recovered to 2p/share
Equity Finance – Rescue Finance
                                                                                            12




     African Copper (“ACU”)

 •   Natasa Mining agrees bridging loan and and equity financing

 •   ACU offers debt for equity swap to bond holders.

 •   Natasa buys US$21m secured loan note at 60% face value and calls the loan

 •   ZCI subscribes for shares at 1p for gross proceeds of £6.76m, giving it 82% interest

 •   Natasa is repaid in full and releases security over the assets

 •   ZCI and African Copper agree a re-financing of inter-company loans :

       •   US$8.4m convertible loan note at 1p for 4 years, with a coupon of 12%

       •   US$22.7m of ordinary 4 year loan notes with a coupon of 14%
Equity Finance – Choose your broker (and your audience)
                                                                     13



           AIM                FTSE Small Cap              FTSE 100




                             % Market Share by
                                  Value
                              (Thomson Reuters data)
Debt
                                                                14


       Debt has re-appeared

       It is starting to occur further up the
       development cycle

       The two primary drivers are:

         security means debt holders are first in line if the
         project is derailed

         debt comes with interest payments which
         diminish the risk incrementally


       The current economic landscape supports
       debt: a debt investor's exposure is limited to
       a finite time horizon

       A potentially inflationary environment
       makes debt more attractive.
Alternative loan options
                                                                                                                15


   Instrument                        Comments

   Equity Swap                       • legally binding subscription for shares
                                     • subscription reference price at a premium to the prevailing price
                                     • monthly “swap” of equity for cash
                                     • cash receipt adjusted according to prevailing price in relation to the
                                     agreed reference price
   Convertible loan note             • unsecured
                                     • typically 10 -12% coupon
                                     • can limit future corporate flexibility

   Gold Participating Bond*          • up to 20% of annual mine production
                                     • loan effectively converts to a securitised gold loan
                                     • repaid quarterly as ETF
                                     • pays a coupon

   Gold Exchangeable Bond **         • gold secured loan
                                     • exchangeable into physical metal at holder’s option
                                     • callable by the issuer at trigger price
                                     • can be utilised for any exchange traded commodity


                      * marketed by Canaccord Adams
                      ** marketed by Ambrian
Private Equity
                                                                                                             16




  Historically avoided cyclical businesses

    At the peak they specifically avoid miners because valuations are too high to provide the returns they
    seek

    And booming investor demand meant smaller companies could obtain capital through share placings


  Through high interest rates, private equity financing can provide a solution to the troubles
  facing companies at the pre-production / feasibility stage

  The expectation is that over a 3 – 5 year timeframe the return will be 2 – 5 times the
  investment

  The latest development is the tie-up between banking and trading groups with commodity
  expertise and Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF’s) to buy assets
Private equity and investment companies
                                                                                                       17




  Polo Resources

   Aim listed group focused on investing in uranium and coal assets

   Capitalised at £120 million

   Investments include Extract Resources, West Australian Metals, Impact Minerals, Uranex




  Endeavour Financial

   Classical merchant bank

   Capitalised at US$174 million with cash of US$122m and investments of US$71m

   Recently acquired up to 54% of Etruscan Resources through a US$43m finance and restructuring plan
Private equity and investment companies
                                                                                      18




  Och Ziff

   “Alternative asset” management firm

   US$21.7 billion of assets under management

   African Global Capital created in January 2008, biased towards natural resources




  Noble

   Started in 1987, it has moved upstream to secure commodity off take for trading

   CIC invested US$850m

   Distressed asset acquisitions incldue:
     Gloucester Coal (US$430m)
     US fuel terminal & storage assets (US$65m)
Sovereign Wealth Funds
                                                                                  19


SWF’s have focussed on Resources Companies

                                                     An Example

                                             China Investment Corporation

                                              US$200 billion seed with the goal
                                              of improving returns on foreign
                                              exchange reserves

                                              17% of Teck Corporation

                                              14.5% of Noble Group ( for
                                              US$850m at a 8% discount to
                                              market)

                                              US$1.9bn in PT Bumi

                                              Approved investment partners
                                              increase access to global raw
  Source: SWF Institute                       materials (eg: Glencore)
  10 = Overweight / 0 = Underweight
20


But the last word on why the equity and debt markets are booming must go to Alex.......
Richard.chase@ambrian.com                                                                                 +44 (0)207 634 4700
                                                                                                                                            21


 CORPORATE FINANCE & EQUITIES                                                       COMMODITIES

AMBRIAN PARTNERS LIMITED                       AMBRIAN COMMODITIES LIMITED                      AMBRIAN METALS LIMITED
_______________________________________        _______________________________________          _______________________________________
Nominated Adviser                              Broker-Dealer of LME Futures & Options           Physical metals trader
Corporate Finance                               - Aluminium                                     Focus on:
Corporate Broker                                - Copper                                         - Copper (wire-rod/cathode)
Equity New Issues                               - Nickel                                         - Aluminium
Market Making                                   - Lead                                           - Lead
Equity Sales & Trading                          - Tin
Research                                        - Zinc
                                               Bullion Dealer
_______________________________________        _______________________________________          _______________________________________
  Authorised and Regulated by the FSA             Authorised and Regulated by the FSA             London and Shanghai

  Member of the London Stock Exchange              Member of the London Metal Exchange            Agents in Calcutta, New York, Santiago,
                                                                                                  Seoul and Tokyo

                                              #1                                           #1




                                          AIM Advisers                              Extel Sm al l Caps
                                         Basic Materials                            Metals & Mining
                                        Nomad & Broker                                   Broker

                                        Ambrian Partners                            Am bri an Partners


                                           April 2009                                     2009

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Objective Capital Global Mining Investment Conference - Raising Finance in Today's Marketplace: Richard Chase

  • 1. Raising finance in today’s market place RICHARD CHASE Managing Director CREATING VALUE ACROSS THE RESOURCES SECTOR
  • 2. 2 “At some point the quantitative easing will come to an end, but until it does this bull market is sponsored by governments and everyone Global financial model: should enjoy it.” 1.Find rainbow 2.Borrow against expectation of finding crock of gold
  • 3. 3 New Issues on AIM Global Mining Offers – Market Share by Number Global Mining Offers – Market Share by Proceeds
  • 4. China: Driving demand for natural resources 4 Home Appliances 1% Iron Ore 58% Autos & Shipbuilding 5% Other Energy Coal 38% Metal Goods 6% 6% Zinc 35% Construction Aluminium 35% 48% Machinery 20% Copper 28% Infrastructure Nickel 27% 14% Source: BHP Billiton Estimates 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Source: CRU, Brook Hunt, IISI, PEL, China Customs, BHP Biliton estimates China’s Urban Residential Floor Space (Billions of Square Metres) 35 33 30 25 24 20 18 15 10 9 Source: McKinsey & Co, BHP Billiton Estimates 5 2000 2008 2015 2025
  • 5. Sharp Recovery in Natural Resources Sector 5 China’s Economic Recovery in 2009 Rebound in Natural Resources (% growth year-on-year to August 2009) 160 Industrial Production +12.3% 140 120 Fixed Asset Investment +33.3% 100 80 Construction Materials Sector +36.6% 60 Passenger Car Sales +90.0% 40 20 Apr 08 Apr 09 Jan 08 Feb 08 Sep 08 Nov 08 Jan 09 Feb 09 Sep 09 May 08 May 09 Jun 08 Jul 08 Jun 09 Jul 09 Mar 08 Dec 08 Mar 09 Aug 08 Oct 08 Aug 09 Exports (23.4%) FTSE All Share Mining Oil Copper Gold
  • 7. Equity Finance – Deeply discounted issues in H1 2009 7 • UK financings in H1 were dominated by balance sheet repair • 25% of institutional cash flow was hoovered-up by the top 3 transactions Current Price (p) Discount Raised (£m) Price RIO TINTO RIGHTS June 1400 50% 7,342 2664 XSTRATA RIGHTS March 210 40% 4,106 916 LONMIN RIGHTS May 900 40% 316 1681 GEM DIAMONDS PLACING April 100 33% 75 248 AQUARIUS PLATINUM PLACING March 180 10% 83 282 AQUARIUS PLATINUM RIGHTS April 115 36% 48 282
  • 8. Junior Company Equity Finance 8 Bank lending has become more conservative....and expensive Equity financing can be completed more quickly....and with less rigour ( !? ) Carpe Diem: gold companies, in particular, feel an urgency Quality projects are finding equity financing.
  • 9. Equity Finance – A Currency for Acquisitions 9 Shares are the obvious currency for juniors whose share prices have risen sharply in the last nine months. $86.5 million $314.7 million £1.8 million Avocet Mining plc Sylvania Resources Dwyka Resources Limited Limited Recommended all share Recommended all share offer for Minerva Recommended all share offer for Wega Mining Resources offer by Ruukki Group Joint Financial Adviser and Financial Adviser, Nominated Broker Nominated Adviser Adviser and Broker April 2009 June 2009 July 2009
  • 10. Equity Finance – Financing for Growth 10 • Financing to participate in rights • 100% Equity finance of mine offer by Extract Resources development and start-up • World class uranium asset in Namibia
  • 11. Equity Finance – Deeply Discounted Rights Issue 11 Pangea DiamondFields • Critical stage of ramp-up to become cash flow positive • Massively diluting 15 : 1 open offer • Fully underwritten by management and key institutions • Raised £8.7 million at 0.5p/share • 33% discount • Repaid loan obligation • Exercised option to acquire 100% of operations • Price has recovered to 2p/share
  • 12. Equity Finance – Rescue Finance 12 African Copper (“ACU”) • Natasa Mining agrees bridging loan and and equity financing • ACU offers debt for equity swap to bond holders. • Natasa buys US$21m secured loan note at 60% face value and calls the loan • ZCI subscribes for shares at 1p for gross proceeds of £6.76m, giving it 82% interest • Natasa is repaid in full and releases security over the assets • ZCI and African Copper agree a re-financing of inter-company loans : • US$8.4m convertible loan note at 1p for 4 years, with a coupon of 12% • US$22.7m of ordinary 4 year loan notes with a coupon of 14%
  • 13. Equity Finance – Choose your broker (and your audience) 13 AIM FTSE Small Cap FTSE 100 % Market Share by Value (Thomson Reuters data)
  • 14. Debt 14 Debt has re-appeared It is starting to occur further up the development cycle The two primary drivers are: security means debt holders are first in line if the project is derailed debt comes with interest payments which diminish the risk incrementally The current economic landscape supports debt: a debt investor's exposure is limited to a finite time horizon A potentially inflationary environment makes debt more attractive.
  • 15. Alternative loan options 15 Instrument Comments Equity Swap • legally binding subscription for shares • subscription reference price at a premium to the prevailing price • monthly “swap” of equity for cash • cash receipt adjusted according to prevailing price in relation to the agreed reference price Convertible loan note • unsecured • typically 10 -12% coupon • can limit future corporate flexibility Gold Participating Bond* • up to 20% of annual mine production • loan effectively converts to a securitised gold loan • repaid quarterly as ETF • pays a coupon Gold Exchangeable Bond ** • gold secured loan • exchangeable into physical metal at holder’s option • callable by the issuer at trigger price • can be utilised for any exchange traded commodity * marketed by Canaccord Adams ** marketed by Ambrian
  • 16. Private Equity 16 Historically avoided cyclical businesses At the peak they specifically avoid miners because valuations are too high to provide the returns they seek And booming investor demand meant smaller companies could obtain capital through share placings Through high interest rates, private equity financing can provide a solution to the troubles facing companies at the pre-production / feasibility stage The expectation is that over a 3 – 5 year timeframe the return will be 2 – 5 times the investment The latest development is the tie-up between banking and trading groups with commodity expertise and Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF’s) to buy assets
  • 17. Private equity and investment companies 17 Polo Resources Aim listed group focused on investing in uranium and coal assets Capitalised at £120 million Investments include Extract Resources, West Australian Metals, Impact Minerals, Uranex Endeavour Financial Classical merchant bank Capitalised at US$174 million with cash of US$122m and investments of US$71m Recently acquired up to 54% of Etruscan Resources through a US$43m finance and restructuring plan
  • 18. Private equity and investment companies 18 Och Ziff “Alternative asset” management firm US$21.7 billion of assets under management African Global Capital created in January 2008, biased towards natural resources Noble Started in 1987, it has moved upstream to secure commodity off take for trading CIC invested US$850m Distressed asset acquisitions incldue: Gloucester Coal (US$430m) US fuel terminal & storage assets (US$65m)
  • 19. Sovereign Wealth Funds 19 SWF’s have focussed on Resources Companies An Example China Investment Corporation US$200 billion seed with the goal of improving returns on foreign exchange reserves 17% of Teck Corporation 14.5% of Noble Group ( for US$850m at a 8% discount to market) US$1.9bn in PT Bumi Approved investment partners increase access to global raw Source: SWF Institute materials (eg: Glencore) 10 = Overweight / 0 = Underweight
  • 20. 20 But the last word on why the equity and debt markets are booming must go to Alex.......
  • 21. Richard.chase@ambrian.com +44 (0)207 634 4700 21 CORPORATE FINANCE & EQUITIES COMMODITIES AMBRIAN PARTNERS LIMITED AMBRIAN COMMODITIES LIMITED AMBRIAN METALS LIMITED _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ Nominated Adviser Broker-Dealer of LME Futures & Options Physical metals trader Corporate Finance - Aluminium Focus on: Corporate Broker - Copper - Copper (wire-rod/cathode) Equity New Issues - Nickel - Aluminium Market Making - Lead - Lead Equity Sales & Trading - Tin Research - Zinc Bullion Dealer _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ Authorised and Regulated by the FSA Authorised and Regulated by the FSA London and Shanghai Member of the London Stock Exchange Member of the London Metal Exchange Agents in Calcutta, New York, Santiago, Seoul and Tokyo   #1 #1 AIM Advisers Extel Sm al l Caps Basic Materials Metals & Mining Nomad & Broker Broker Ambrian Partners Am bri an Partners April 2009 2009