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Copyright©2013CognitiveEdge.AllRightsReserved. USPat.8,031,201
27 Mar 2015
Making sense through action
Agile India 2015
Wifipassword.#AgileIndia2015
Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015
Cynefin

a sense-making framework
There are three basic types of
system: ordered, complex and
chaotic
Complex systems have
propensities and dispositions but
no linear material cause & effect
In Cynefin order is divided into
‘obvious’ & complicated and the
fifth domain) disorder
In a complex world we focus on
direction & multiple parallel safe-
to-fail experiments; not one fail-
safe design
Management by vector .....
Complicated
Governing constraints
sense-analyse-respond
Good Practice
Obvious
Rigid constraints
sense-categorise-respond
Best Practice
Chaotic
Absence of constraints
act-sense-respond
Novel Practice
Complex
Enabling constraints
probe-sense-respond
Emergent Practice
Copyright © 2013 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201
... whereas strong dynamic links among
components (characterized as nodes)
result in a “strong cluster”, weak links
between strong clusters give rise to a
community or a world. Since any node
can simultaneously belong both to a
strong cluster and to a larger
networked community, society, or
world, boundaries become diffuse, but
also dynamic and creative. Complex
dynamical systems thus begin to look
more like bramble bushes in a thicket
than like stones. And it is extremely
difficult, as any outdoorsman will tell
you, to determine precisely where a
particular bramble bush ends and the
rest of the thicket begins
Juarrero, A (2002) “Complex Dynamic Systems and the
Problem of Identity” in Emergence 4(1/2) 94-104
Copyright©2013CognitiveEdge.AllRightsReserved. USPat.8,031,201
01.04.1954
Rethinking project flow
One size does not fit all
Chaos
Complex
Complicated
Obvious
Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015
Whataboutexpertsearcherswhohave
spentyearshoningtheirabilitytodetect
smallabnormalitiesinspecifictypesof
image?Weasked24radiologiststo
performafamiliarlungnoduledetection
task.Agorilla,48timeslargerthanthe
averagenodule,wasinsertedinthelast
case.83%ofradiologistsdidnotseethe
gorilla.Eye-trackingtthatthemajorityof
thethosewhomissedthegorillalooked
directlyatthelocationofthegorilla.Even
expertsearchers,operatingintheirdomain
ofexpertise,arevulnerabletoinattentional
blindness
“The invisible gorilla strikes again” 

Drew, Vo & Wolfe 

Psychol Sci. Sep 2013; 24(9): 1848–1853
Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015
Scalable ethnography using human metadata
Micro narratives or
observations are the basic
units of sense-making
Meaning does not reside in
text it is provided by human
actors in context
Abstraction is key to
interpretation & reuse
Description opens up more
possibilities than evaluation
More like these, fewer like those
We navigate landscapes
Acting
intuitively,
instantly
The situation was
analysed logically
People made decisions
based on principles
Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015
Navigating landscapes
0 20 40 60 80 100
020406080100
Doing it Right
Anintensedrivetoachieve
Present
Past Future
Peers
Management Self-imposed
Lacking and
needed
Over the top
stressful
Situation relevant to… Pressure coming from… Sense of urgency is…
Creating new
process
Allocating
responsibility
All about
sharing failure
Fairness is about
0 20 40 60 80 100
020406080100
Doing it Right
Welldefinedprocessesandprocedures
Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015
Understanding nuanced differences
0 20 40 60 80
020406080100
Doing it Right
Anintensedrivetoachieve
20 40 60 80 100
020406080
Doing it Right
Anintensedrivetoachieve
0 20 40 60 80
020406080100
Doing it Right
Welldefinedprocessesandprocedures
0 20 40 60 80 100
020406080100
Doing it Right
Welldefinedprocessesandprocedures
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8
0.20.40.60.8
Freedom too far
Deadlinestoofar
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.00.20.40.60.81.0
Freedom too far
Deadlinestoofar
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
20406080100
Over the top stressful
Pressurefrommanagement
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
020406080100
Over the top stressful
Pressurefrommanagement
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
020406080
Over the top stressful
Pressurefromself
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
020406080100
Over the top stressful
Pressurefromself
0 20 40 60 80
020406080100
Self Imposed
Anintensedrivetoachieve
0 20 40 60 80 100
020406080100
Self Imposed
Anintensedrivetoachieve
Copyright © 2013 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201Copyright © 2013 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved.
Exaptation in practice
1
2
3
4
Question
investment
Question
understanding
Copyright©2013CognitiveEdge.AllRightsReserved. USPat.8,031,201
01.04.1954
Scaling as granular engagement
Complexity does not
scale by aggregation
Reduce granularity,
distribute cognition;
radical recombination
Engage the real C level
& ecosystem
Learn early, fail less
Continuous real time
feed back systems

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Making Sense Through Action by Dave Snowden

  • 1. Copyright©2013CognitiveEdge.AllRightsReserved. USPat.8,031,201 27 Mar 2015 Making sense through action Agile India 2015 Wifipassword.#AgileIndia2015
  • 2. Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015 Cynefin
 a sense-making framework There are three basic types of system: ordered, complex and chaotic Complex systems have propensities and dispositions but no linear material cause & effect In Cynefin order is divided into ‘obvious’ & complicated and the fifth domain) disorder In a complex world we focus on direction & multiple parallel safe- to-fail experiments; not one fail- safe design Management by vector ..... Complicated Governing constraints sense-analyse-respond Good Practice Obvious Rigid constraints sense-categorise-respond Best Practice Chaotic Absence of constraints act-sense-respond Novel Practice Complex Enabling constraints probe-sense-respond Emergent Practice Copyright © 2013 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 ... whereas strong dynamic links among components (characterized as nodes) result in a “strong cluster”, weak links between strong clusters give rise to a community or a world. Since any node can simultaneously belong both to a strong cluster and to a larger networked community, society, or world, boundaries become diffuse, but also dynamic and creative. Complex dynamical systems thus begin to look more like bramble bushes in a thicket than like stones. And it is extremely difficult, as any outdoorsman will tell you, to determine precisely where a particular bramble bush ends and the rest of the thicket begins Juarrero, A (2002) “Complex Dynamic Systems and the Problem of Identity” in Emergence 4(1/2) 94-104
  • 3. Copyright©2013CognitiveEdge.AllRightsReserved. USPat.8,031,201 01.04.1954 Rethinking project flow One size does not fit all Chaos Complex Complicated Obvious Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015 Whataboutexpertsearcherswhohave spentyearshoningtheirabilitytodetect smallabnormalitiesinspecifictypesof image?Weasked24radiologiststo performafamiliarlungnoduledetection task.Agorilla,48timeslargerthanthe averagenodule,wasinsertedinthelast case.83%ofradiologistsdidnotseethe gorilla.Eye-trackingtthatthemajorityof thethosewhomissedthegorillalooked directlyatthelocationofthegorilla.Even expertsearchers,operatingintheirdomain ofexpertise,arevulnerabletoinattentional blindness “The invisible gorilla strikes again” 
 Drew, Vo & Wolfe 
 Psychol Sci. Sep 2013; 24(9): 1848–1853
  • 4. Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015 Scalable ethnography using human metadata Micro narratives or observations are the basic units of sense-making Meaning does not reside in text it is provided by human actors in context Abstraction is key to interpretation & reuse Description opens up more possibilities than evaluation More like these, fewer like those We navigate landscapes Acting intuitively, instantly The situation was analysed logically People made decisions based on principles Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015 Navigating landscapes 0 20 40 60 80 100 020406080100 Doing it Right Anintensedrivetoachieve Present Past Future Peers Management Self-imposed Lacking and needed Over the top stressful Situation relevant to… Pressure coming from… Sense of urgency is… Creating new process Allocating responsibility All about sharing failure Fairness is about 0 20 40 60 80 100 020406080100 Doing it Right Welldefinedprocessesandprocedures
  • 5. Copyright © 2015 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201 27 Mar 2015 Understanding nuanced differences 0 20 40 60 80 020406080100 Doing it Right Anintensedrivetoachieve 20 40 60 80 100 020406080 Doing it Right Anintensedrivetoachieve 0 20 40 60 80 020406080100 Doing it Right Welldefinedprocessesandprocedures 0 20 40 60 80 100 020406080100 Doing it Right Welldefinedprocessesandprocedures 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.20.40.60.8 Freedom too far Deadlinestoofar 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.00.20.40.60.81.0 Freedom too far Deadlinestoofar 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 20406080100 Over the top stressful Pressurefrommanagement 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 020406080100 Over the top stressful Pressurefrommanagement 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 020406080 Over the top stressful Pressurefromself 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 020406080100 Over the top stressful Pressurefromself 0 20 40 60 80 020406080100 Self Imposed Anintensedrivetoachieve 0 20 40 60 80 100 020406080100 Self Imposed Anintensedrivetoachieve Copyright © 2013 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. US Pat. 8,031,201Copyright © 2013 Cognitive Edge. All Rights Reserved. Exaptation in practice 1 2 3 4 Question investment Question understanding
  • 6. Copyright©2013CognitiveEdge.AllRightsReserved. USPat.8,031,201 01.04.1954 Scaling as granular engagement Complexity does not scale by aggregation Reduce granularity, distribute cognition; radical recombination Engage the real C level & ecosystem Learn early, fail less Continuous real time feed back systems