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LESS CRISIS, MORE PROJECTS:
TRENDS IN SHUTDOWN & TURNAROUND
MANAGEMENT
Editorial



AS THE CRISIS ABATES PROJECTS RETURN:
PROGRESS IN DOWNTIMES
Ageing plants and equipment as well as increasing competition from the Far
East and the growing investment pressure has led to radical structural changes
in the turnaround market and in the planning and execution of industrial plant
shutdowns. The current edition of Insight Report discusses approaches to
change management and optimisation and highlights the different viewpoints
of plant operators and suppliers.



Changed market conditions, the relocation of                          down times without increasing the risk too
refineries and petrochemical plants overseas                          much? What other means are available to in-
and not least the economic crisis have caused                         crease efficiency and ensure economic viability
operators to look for ways to optimise the plan-                      under these changing conditions? In fact, there
ning and execution of plant shutdowns and                             are several approaches to enhancing efficiency
investment projects. The chief aim is to reduce                       and optimising the cost of a turnaround even
the length of shutdowns and turnarounds and to                        with little effort. A change in perspective or the
increase plant uptime. However, because of the                        consistent implementation of simple measures
high volume of projects, TAR scheduling has                           can result in considerable improvements.
become more complex. This added complexity                            Based on best practices and interviews, flexible
ultimately increases the potential risk. A further                    planning, changes in scope through greater
factor is the anticipated rise in investment vol-                     project integration and possible solutions will be
umes following the crisis due to the large back-                      contemplated in this Insight Report from the
log of projects that built up in recent years. In                     viewpoint of both plant operators and contrac-
this light, is it feasible to further reduce shut-                    tors.




CONTENTS

Project integration from the perspective of contractors: interview with Dieter Greuter, BIS Chemserv .... 3
Greater flexibility despite increasing complexity? ............................................................................... 5
Good practices in project integration ................................................................................................ 6
Is the upswing on its way or already here? ....................................................................................... 8
Challenges from the operators’ point of view ..................................................................................... 9
Project integration from the perspective of contractors



Project integration from the perspective of con-
tractors
Dieter Greuter is responsible for the execution of turnaround projects at BIS
Chemserv in Linz, Austria. In this interview he talks about the ideal way to
plan and execute a turnaround with project integration and future market de-
velopments from the perspective of contractors.


What advantages and disadvantages do you see                 The reality is different because turnarounds are
in the integration of investment projects in a               expensive and the main priority is to keep plant
turnaround?                                                  downtime as short as possible.


The advantage is certainly that it makes sense               What are typical investment projects during a
to integrate projects during a plant turnaround              shutdown?
because then the right structures are already in
                                                             In general, they involve plant expansions and
place. In other words, personnel are on site, the
                                                             optimisation but also replacing equipment, such
plant has been shut down, there's an order
                                                             as columns or heat exchangers as well as the
approval system that I can integrate to make
                                                             necessary piping. In the case of actual plant
full use of the many resulting synergies. The
                                                             components, the asset does not have to already
disadvantage is that shutdowns are relatively
                                                             be shutdown as the component can be built in
short and the projects are always critical. That
                                                             parallel. All that then has to be done during a
can lead to problems if one tries to force
                                                             shutdown is to incorporate the installation into
through such a project by all means.
                                                             the existing plant.

What would be the ideal way to execute such a
                                                             How much of a turnaround is spent on mainte-
project?
                                                             nance work and how much on projects nowa-
The ideal case would be that the project deter-              days? Has anything changed in this regard over
mined the schedule and the shutdown was ar-                  the last years?
ranged accordingly. Usually, however, the shut-
                                                             Projects have been on the up over the last
down is planned first and attempts are then
                                                             while. By that I mean over the last ten years or
made to integrate the project. Frequently, pro-
                                                             so. In the case of newer plants, such as Total
ject integration only happens when the shut-
                                                             Raffinerie Mitteldeutschland which was built in
down plan is already set. But a long-term capital
                                                             1997, it's still not really a big issue. But overall,
project should always be the priority and the
                                                             plants are getting older and the need to replace
shutdown oriented around the project. That
                                                             sections of piping or machinery is growing. This
would be a novel approach for once.
                                                             development will definitely continue.
Is this plan realistic or is the real picture quite
different?


                                                              3
              T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Project integration from the perspective of contractors




Do you see a trend towards more investment                  What developments do you see here over the
projects now since the crisis has been over-                next five to ten years?
come?
                                                            The major concern will be how long plants in
Not yet, really. I think that at the moment eve-            Central Europe can hold on because relocating
rything is happening too fast. We are on a sharp            to the Far East or Middle East is an issue. This
upwards curve but usually the curve goes right              will particularly affect plants that are already
back down afterwards. With regard to new in-                older and which raise the question whether it's
vestments, natural growth has not yet estab-                worth investing heavily in the plants or to give
lished itself post crisis. Noticeable is that there         them up. I believe that the investment volume
is enough work again and that there's a lot of              in Central Europe will decrease because plants
catching up to do. But whether it continues like            will be decommissioned. Investments and pro-
this and when the backlog will be cleared, can-             jects will move east.
not yet be said. We have not seen an increase
in investment projects up until now.




                                                             4
             T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Flexibility and complexity



Greater flexibility despite rising complexity?
Turnaround scheduling always needs to be flexible so that unexpected events
can be dealt with promptly. How can this flexibility be safeguarded in the face
of rising planning complexity due to the integration of an increasing number of
projects?

Turnaround planners often get caught in the                 schedules are planned for all activities divided
complexity trap. The combination of longer                  into levels of differing complexity and with dif-
production cycles, increasing cost pressures and            ferent timelines. These are then compiled into a
the considerable investment that is required in             rough and transparent management plan. To
the relatively old plants across Europe is result-          ensure that a schedule is actually applicable
ing in more and more complex scheduling and                 requires a matured and consistently applied
project planning for upcoming turnarounds. The              reporting system. Such a system defines the
main issues here are: is more
planning necessary in order to fit
and coordinate all jobs in the
plan or is it better to develop a
rough plan that maintains a
certain   amount    of   flexibility?
Does it still make sense to have
a TAR team or is it better in view
of the high volume of investment
projects to give the responsibility
for turnaround planning over to
a project team?
                                                            exact start and end point of a task but the rest
                                                            of the process remains dynamic. If there are
There are many approaches nowadays to make
                                                            weaknesses in the reporting system, errors will
a turnaround more economical and faster. As
                                                            quickly occur in the schedule plan, rendering it
well as innovative substitutes for common test-
                                                            useless. At this point consistency is an absolute
ing methods, online order approval systems
                                                            must. Whether maintenance or an investment
have proven particularly valuable. These sys-
                                                            project is to be the main priority when conceiv-
tems help improve the transparency of a TAR
                                                            ing a turnaround has to be decided on a case by
and to prevent errors – well-founded, thorough
                                                            case basis and should depend on which task has
schedule and project planning is still only realis-
                                                            the larger planning requirements. The planning
able by an experienced planning team, howev-
                                                            team then has to decide which processes re-
er. Obviously, pending investment projects
                                                            quire one hundred percent control of all jobs
should be incorporated into the schedule too.
                                                            and tasks and where a flexible concept with
One option to reduce complexity is to develop a
                                                            greater freedom to make decisions at all levels
schedule plan with different levels. Detailed
                                                            is more appropriate.




                                                             5
             T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Good Practices



Good practices in project integration
Different tasks require different approaches and planning. But why reinvent
the wheel? What has been tried and tested in one place can be applied in oth-
er companies too.

Usually pending projects are integrated into the            ered in order to optimise the whole process of
turnaround schedule. Due to increases in pro-               the turnaround.
ject volumes, the notion of integrating the turn-
around into the project plan is currently being
considered. Total Raffinerie Mitteldeutschland,
for example, has declared the planning and
control of projects to be a central management
role. In the past, maintenance comprised two
thirds of all activities conducted during a shut-
down at Total, one third was dedicated to capi-
tal investments. It made sense for plant opera-              In other cases, the operation cycle is length-

tors to plan both sets of jobs together. It was             ened where possible so that plant installations

also practical during implementation – the pro-             that used to have different inspection schedules

ject manager for maintenance and the project                can now be tested in one turnaround. Fewer

manager for investment projects now work                    shutdowns, and the reduction of the time re-

together in one office, so short distances and              quired for the phased shut down and start up of

direct communication are easily guaranteed.                 the plant shortens the total downtime within a
                                                            test cycle.

For the joint management of both large turna-
                                                            BASF in Ludwigshafen is in the process of reor-
rounds and investment projects general contrac-
                                                            ganising its TAR competences globally. The
tors are still employed are independent of con-
                                                            global organisation of turnarounds across loca-
tractors who conduct routine maintenance work.
                                                            tions allows best practices to be determined
This ensures that maintenance will not suffer
                                                            internally, which in turn leads to a reduction in
under the growing project scope.In order to
                                                            the complexity of maintenance and investment
reduce the overall scope, Wacker Chemie at
                                                            projects thanks to the standardisation of sched-
Burghausen no longer inspects all apparatus at
                                                            uling and scope planning. The company has also
one and the same time. In cooperation with
                                                            released the operative manager for mainte-
TÜV, the company is investigating how often
                                                            nance from day-to-day business so that he can
each asset needs to be shut down and tested.
                                                            manage all of the tasks executed during a turn-
In some cases, a reduction of the operation
                                                            around. This gets rid of the double workload
cycle of certain equipment is even being consid-
                                                            which         was       susceptible         to    errors.



                                               Research & Studies




                                                             6
             T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Market Study Western Europe
Technical services for Turnarounds in petro-
chemical Plants



                                                                                     Study facts
The Western European refining and petrochemical industry is un-
                                                                                          173 plants
der pressure from competition in emerging regions, making costs
                                                                                          461 Technical service providers
and effi ciency critical to their ongoing operations. Turnarounds as                       143 Interviews
a major cost can be a source of crucial competitive advantage.                            25 Experts questioned with a delphi
TAR-management and en efficient shutdown conduction aiming to                             survey
shorten downtimes is therefore crucial for plant operators.                               101 Illustrations
                                                                                          23 Tables
The success of these project depends mainly on the management
an the competences of external technical service providers. But technical service providers have to
deal with shorter downtimes, lower budgets, longer TAR-cycles and the need to conduct more and
more investment projects.

This study aims to help you understand the European TAR-market, providing authoritative infor-
mation on:

    legal frameworks

    business and organisational mo-
    dels

    services and trade specialties for
    turnarounds

    future trends

    strategies for the TAR business

This study is therefore an useful source of
information for improving acquisition flexibil-
ity as well as identifying international part-
ners and new business opportunities.

For more information visit:

www.tacook.com




                                                             7
             T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Development after the crisis



Is the upturn on its way or already here?
"We have survived the crisis." This sentiment can be heard everywhere but
what changes can really be felt? Is investment on the up?

"A tsunami of projects is on the way." This                 investment as a lot of money has to be invested
statement from one plant operator makes it                  into decommissioning a plant and specialist
clear that huge investment is expected in plants            waste disposal for the old plant and machinery.
up to 2016, triggered by the catch-up effect                Newer plants in the European region do not yet
following the crisis. This may sound at first that          have to deal with such issues. According to Axel
the strain on German and European markets will              Koberstein, Unit Manager of Technical Projects
ease but is soon relativized by the fact that               at Total Raffinerie Mitteldeutschland, a refinery
most planned investments target Asia, the Far               built in 1997: "We didn't have a crisis." There is
and Middle East. Investment plans are afoot in              no backlog of investment projects at this plant,
                                                            and there has not yet been any need to consid-
                                                            er investing heavily into the replacement of
                                                            larger plant components. "We have the ad-
                                                            vantage that our plant and equipment is pretty
                                                            modern and we can fully meet the quality
                                                            standards demanded by the market in terms of
                                                            the environment, sulphur etc. The investments
                                                            that we are currently undertaking revolve
                                                            around energy improvements, energy effective-
                                                            ness and measures for the production of niche
                                                            products," says Koberstein.

                                                            Overall it seems that investments are being
Germany too but their scope is hardly compara-
                                                            planned by plant operators. Contractors and
ble with the intentions in Asia. On account of
                                                            service companies, however, have not yet seen
the age of many European plants, their profita-
                                                            any indication of a growing order volume. If and
bility will be questioned in the future with re-
                                                            when the planned projects will actually be im-
gard to the amount of investment required.
                                                            plemented and whether the German and Euro-
That said, in Europe the construction of a new
                                                            pean markets will experience an upturn remains
plant is not considered to be the only type of
                                                            to be seen.




                                                             8
             T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Projektintegration aus Betreibersicht



Challenges from the perspective of operators
How do plant operators feel about the integration of investment projects in a
turnaround? What advantages and disadvantages can they expect?

Plant operators differentiate between invest-               that, a different contractor strategy is required
ment projects to expand capacity and reliability-           especially when integrating large projects into
centred projects, the objective of the latter               turnarounds as few contractors can execute
being to increase plant availability. However,              both large turnarounds and extensive invest-
when it comes to integrating these projects in a            ment projects. Plant operators recommend that
turnaround they see no difference: Because the              large projects are allocated to various contrac-
highest priority for all plant operators is that the        tors on account of the differing requirements
production continues with as few interruptions              and priorities even if this increases the organisa-
as possible, projects of all kinds are preferably           tional burden. The integration of maintenance
integrated in a turnaround in order to prevent              work and projects in work packages poses par-
considerable losses. One of the main causes for             ticular difficulties for all work processes of a
these losses are the long start up and shut                 turnaround, necessitating more personnel in
down times which, for example, in the case of               organisation, logistics and infrastructure and
                                                                                            lengthening the dura-
                                                                                            tion of the whole turn-
                                                                                            around. Projects that
                                                                                            can be executed dur-
                                                                                            ing normal operations
                                                                                            are generally not inte-
                                                                                            grated     in     a    turna-
                                                                                            round. This is seldom,
                                                                                            however,          as    most
                                                                                            projects are connected
                                                                                            to a production pro-
                                                                                            cess at a specific point
                                                                                            and thus affect it.
synthesis gas facilities and steam crackers, can            Assuming that no financial pressures to imple-
take up more than a third of the entire shut-               ment immediately exist, one option is to con-
down time as well as the loss of product that               duct projects as far as possible outside of the
has to be removed from the plant and disposed               turnaround and then integrate them with the
of.                                                         process during the next scheduled shutdown.
However, in addition to these financial ad-
vantages, there are several, critical disad-                Depending on the project, the cost of the in-
vantages of project integration: plant operators            vestment relative to the whole turnaround can
face particular challenges due to the increased             vary considerably. For example, scheduled ca-
complexity of the turnaround. In addition to                pacity expansions, such as the erection of new



                                                             9
             T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
columns or turbines, are so cost-intensive that             As the core engineering for all projects even
the expense of the project surpasses that of the            those overseas is conducted from Germany,
rest of the turnaround.                                     companies have to strengthen their key re-
The crisis does seem to be abating for plant                sources at home either internally or through
operators too and investment volumes are be-                third-party engineering firms. Following the
ginning to rise again. The catch-up effect result-          reduction of the workforce during the crisis,
ing from the backlog of projects that were post-            considerable investment is required in personnel
poned over the last years creates new challeng-             recruitment and the use of external competenc-
es for plant operators:                                     es.




                                                             10
             T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Research & Studies




T.A. Cook Research & Studies
Beside the Insight Report T.A. Cook Research & Studies offers studies in the area of Asset
Performance Management.
Current studies:

    Technical Services for Turnarounds in Petrochemical
    Plants in Germany, Austria & Switzerland
    (540 pages, 4400€)

    How companies use RFID in maintenance
    (190 Pages, 1500€)

    Offshore Wind Farm Operations &
    Maintenance (177 Pages, 2900€)

    Technical services for Turnarounds
    in petrochemical plants Western Europe (5900€)

    TAR Scheduling | Scheduling Practices for Turnarounds
    (1700€)




Exclusive studies and surveys as the basis for your decisions

Clients with specific questions related to topical issues or competitors may be best served by a single-client study.
With these studies, T.A. Cook Research & Studies offers you the opportunity to specify content and scope tailored
to meet your company's particular needs. Our team will be glad to put together a non-binding quotation for you
based on a pre-defined scope.




        T.A. Cook Research & Studies

        Leipziger Platz 2 | 10117 Berlin |
        Phone +49 (0)30 88 43 07-0 | Fax +49 (0)30 88 43 07-30
        E-Mail: studies@tacook.com

        The Research & Studies division conducts detailed market and company analyses in the area of Asset
        Performance Management. The focus of the team is to systematically investigate and clarify current mar-
        ket concerns and requirements as well as anticipated developments and their consequences for market
        players. As well as studies on topical issues, we compile trend reports and continually expand our data-
        base of specialised knowledge, which can be applied to each study as needed.




                                                                 11
                 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
Author: Nina Wolfs


                                                         Research Consultant at T.A. Cook Nina Wolfs is responsible for the
                                                         compilation of market studies and analyses in the area of asset
                                                         performance. She previously worked for different market research
                                                         companies and has conducted various studies.




Contact
E-Mail: n.wolfs@tacook.com
Tel.:   +49 (0)30 88 43 07-0




Interview:
Greuter, Dieter. BIS Chemserv. Interview on 27.01.2011




 Insight Report is a service of T.A. Cook Research & Studies

 If you have any questions or suggestions please don’t hesitate to contact us:
  T.A. Cook Consultants | Leipziger Platz 2 | 10117 Berlin | Phone (030) 88 43 07-0 | Mail: service@tacook.com

 T.A. Cook is a management consulting firm focusing on Asset Performance Management with offices in Berlin, Birmingham, Houston,
 Paris, Raleigh and Rio de Janeiro.
 The core competence of the consulting business is the sustainable implementation of asset, operations and service-oriented excellence.
 As a change management specialist, the firm delivers measurable value enhancement and bottom-line productivity gains. In order to
 achieve these results T.A. Cook offers a wide range of professional services which ensure that all business processes - from strategy
 definition through management to organizational design – are effective, efficient and sustainable.
 Complementing the consulting business, the T.A. Cook Academy has become a leading organizer                            of international
 conferences and seminars relating to Asset Performance Management.                                  Annual events include the MainDays
 summit as well as conferences centered on topics such as               Shutdowns & Turnarounds and Capex Management.
 T.A. Cook’s clients are typically businesses, their suppliers and contractors working with significant industrial assets across multiple
 sectors. The company has particular expertise in the petrochemicals, plastics, pharmaceutical, transport, mining and food sectors as
 well as excellent knowledge                          of the regulated environments occupied by gas, water and electricity utilities.
 Further information about T.A. Cook may be found at: www.tacook.com
 T.

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LESS CRISIS, MORE PROJECTS: TRENDS IN SHUTDOWN & TURNAROUND MANAGEMENT

  • 1. LESS CRISIS, MORE PROJECTS: TRENDS IN SHUTDOWN & TURNAROUND MANAGEMENT
  • 2. Editorial AS THE CRISIS ABATES PROJECTS RETURN: PROGRESS IN DOWNTIMES Ageing plants and equipment as well as increasing competition from the Far East and the growing investment pressure has led to radical structural changes in the turnaround market and in the planning and execution of industrial plant shutdowns. The current edition of Insight Report discusses approaches to change management and optimisation and highlights the different viewpoints of plant operators and suppliers. Changed market conditions, the relocation of down times without increasing the risk too refineries and petrochemical plants overseas much? What other means are available to in- and not least the economic crisis have caused crease efficiency and ensure economic viability operators to look for ways to optimise the plan- under these changing conditions? In fact, there ning and execution of plant shutdowns and are several approaches to enhancing efficiency investment projects. The chief aim is to reduce and optimising the cost of a turnaround even the length of shutdowns and turnarounds and to with little effort. A change in perspective or the increase plant uptime. However, because of the consistent implementation of simple measures high volume of projects, TAR scheduling has can result in considerable improvements. become more complex. This added complexity Based on best practices and interviews, flexible ultimately increases the potential risk. A further planning, changes in scope through greater factor is the anticipated rise in investment vol- project integration and possible solutions will be umes following the crisis due to the large back- contemplated in this Insight Report from the log of projects that built up in recent years. In viewpoint of both plant operators and contrac- this light, is it feasible to further reduce shut- tors. CONTENTS Project integration from the perspective of contractors: interview with Dieter Greuter, BIS Chemserv .... 3 Greater flexibility despite increasing complexity? ............................................................................... 5 Good practices in project integration ................................................................................................ 6 Is the upswing on its way or already here? ....................................................................................... 8 Challenges from the operators’ point of view ..................................................................................... 9
  • 3. Project integration from the perspective of contractors Project integration from the perspective of con- tractors Dieter Greuter is responsible for the execution of turnaround projects at BIS Chemserv in Linz, Austria. In this interview he talks about the ideal way to plan and execute a turnaround with project integration and future market de- velopments from the perspective of contractors. What advantages and disadvantages do you see The reality is different because turnarounds are in the integration of investment projects in a expensive and the main priority is to keep plant turnaround? downtime as short as possible. The advantage is certainly that it makes sense What are typical investment projects during a to integrate projects during a plant turnaround shutdown? because then the right structures are already in In general, they involve plant expansions and place. In other words, personnel are on site, the optimisation but also replacing equipment, such plant has been shut down, there's an order as columns or heat exchangers as well as the approval system that I can integrate to make necessary piping. In the case of actual plant full use of the many resulting synergies. The components, the asset does not have to already disadvantage is that shutdowns are relatively be shutdown as the component can be built in short and the projects are always critical. That parallel. All that then has to be done during a can lead to problems if one tries to force shutdown is to incorporate the installation into through such a project by all means. the existing plant. What would be the ideal way to execute such a How much of a turnaround is spent on mainte- project? nance work and how much on projects nowa- The ideal case would be that the project deter- days? Has anything changed in this regard over mined the schedule and the shutdown was ar- the last years? ranged accordingly. Usually, however, the shut- Projects have been on the up over the last down is planned first and attempts are then while. By that I mean over the last ten years or made to integrate the project. Frequently, pro- so. In the case of newer plants, such as Total ject integration only happens when the shut- Raffinerie Mitteldeutschland which was built in down plan is already set. But a long-term capital 1997, it's still not really a big issue. But overall, project should always be the priority and the plants are getting older and the need to replace shutdown oriented around the project. That sections of piping or machinery is growing. This would be a novel approach for once. development will definitely continue. Is this plan realistic or is the real picture quite different? 3 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 4. Project integration from the perspective of contractors Do you see a trend towards more investment What developments do you see here over the projects now since the crisis has been over- next five to ten years? come? The major concern will be how long plants in Not yet, really. I think that at the moment eve- Central Europe can hold on because relocating rything is happening too fast. We are on a sharp to the Far East or Middle East is an issue. This upwards curve but usually the curve goes right will particularly affect plants that are already back down afterwards. With regard to new in- older and which raise the question whether it's vestments, natural growth has not yet estab- worth investing heavily in the plants or to give lished itself post crisis. Noticeable is that there them up. I believe that the investment volume is enough work again and that there's a lot of in Central Europe will decrease because plants catching up to do. But whether it continues like will be decommissioned. Investments and pro- this and when the backlog will be cleared, can- jects will move east. not yet be said. We have not seen an increase in investment projects up until now. 4 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 5. Flexibility and complexity Greater flexibility despite rising complexity? Turnaround scheduling always needs to be flexible so that unexpected events can be dealt with promptly. How can this flexibility be safeguarded in the face of rising planning complexity due to the integration of an increasing number of projects? Turnaround planners often get caught in the schedules are planned for all activities divided complexity trap. The combination of longer into levels of differing complexity and with dif- production cycles, increasing cost pressures and ferent timelines. These are then compiled into a the considerable investment that is required in rough and transparent management plan. To the relatively old plants across Europe is result- ensure that a schedule is actually applicable ing in more and more complex scheduling and requires a matured and consistently applied project planning for upcoming turnarounds. The reporting system. Such a system defines the main issues here are: is more planning necessary in order to fit and coordinate all jobs in the plan or is it better to develop a rough plan that maintains a certain amount of flexibility? Does it still make sense to have a TAR team or is it better in view of the high volume of investment projects to give the responsibility for turnaround planning over to a project team? exact start and end point of a task but the rest of the process remains dynamic. If there are There are many approaches nowadays to make weaknesses in the reporting system, errors will a turnaround more economical and faster. As quickly occur in the schedule plan, rendering it well as innovative substitutes for common test- useless. At this point consistency is an absolute ing methods, online order approval systems must. Whether maintenance or an investment have proven particularly valuable. These sys- project is to be the main priority when conceiv- tems help improve the transparency of a TAR ing a turnaround has to be decided on a case by and to prevent errors – well-founded, thorough case basis and should depend on which task has schedule and project planning is still only realis- the larger planning requirements. The planning able by an experienced planning team, howev- team then has to decide which processes re- er. Obviously, pending investment projects quire one hundred percent control of all jobs should be incorporated into the schedule too. and tasks and where a flexible concept with One option to reduce complexity is to develop a greater freedom to make decisions at all levels schedule plan with different levels. Detailed is more appropriate. 5 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 6. Good Practices Good practices in project integration Different tasks require different approaches and planning. But why reinvent the wheel? What has been tried and tested in one place can be applied in oth- er companies too. Usually pending projects are integrated into the ered in order to optimise the whole process of turnaround schedule. Due to increases in pro- the turnaround. ject volumes, the notion of integrating the turn- around into the project plan is currently being considered. Total Raffinerie Mitteldeutschland, for example, has declared the planning and control of projects to be a central management role. In the past, maintenance comprised two thirds of all activities conducted during a shut- down at Total, one third was dedicated to capi- tal investments. It made sense for plant opera- In other cases, the operation cycle is length- tors to plan both sets of jobs together. It was ened where possible so that plant installations also practical during implementation – the pro- that used to have different inspection schedules ject manager for maintenance and the project can now be tested in one turnaround. Fewer manager for investment projects now work shutdowns, and the reduction of the time re- together in one office, so short distances and quired for the phased shut down and start up of direct communication are easily guaranteed. the plant shortens the total downtime within a test cycle. For the joint management of both large turna- BASF in Ludwigshafen is in the process of reor- rounds and investment projects general contrac- ganising its TAR competences globally. The tors are still employed are independent of con- global organisation of turnarounds across loca- tractors who conduct routine maintenance work. tions allows best practices to be determined This ensures that maintenance will not suffer internally, which in turn leads to a reduction in under the growing project scope.In order to the complexity of maintenance and investment reduce the overall scope, Wacker Chemie at projects thanks to the standardisation of sched- Burghausen no longer inspects all apparatus at uling and scope planning. The company has also one and the same time. In cooperation with released the operative manager for mainte- TÜV, the company is investigating how often nance from day-to-day business so that he can each asset needs to be shut down and tested. manage all of the tasks executed during a turn- In some cases, a reduction of the operation around. This gets rid of the double workload cycle of certain equipment is even being consid- which was susceptible to errors. Research & Studies 6 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 7. Market Study Western Europe Technical services for Turnarounds in petro- chemical Plants Study facts The Western European refining and petrochemical industry is un- 173 plants der pressure from competition in emerging regions, making costs 461 Technical service providers and effi ciency critical to their ongoing operations. Turnarounds as 143 Interviews a major cost can be a source of crucial competitive advantage. 25 Experts questioned with a delphi TAR-management and en efficient shutdown conduction aiming to survey shorten downtimes is therefore crucial for plant operators. 101 Illustrations 23 Tables The success of these project depends mainly on the management an the competences of external technical service providers. But technical service providers have to deal with shorter downtimes, lower budgets, longer TAR-cycles and the need to conduct more and more investment projects. This study aims to help you understand the European TAR-market, providing authoritative infor- mation on: legal frameworks business and organisational mo- dels services and trade specialties for turnarounds future trends strategies for the TAR business This study is therefore an useful source of information for improving acquisition flexibil- ity as well as identifying international part- ners and new business opportunities. For more information visit: www.tacook.com 7 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 8. Development after the crisis Is the upturn on its way or already here? "We have survived the crisis." This sentiment can be heard everywhere but what changes can really be felt? Is investment on the up? "A tsunami of projects is on the way." This investment as a lot of money has to be invested statement from one plant operator makes it into decommissioning a plant and specialist clear that huge investment is expected in plants waste disposal for the old plant and machinery. up to 2016, triggered by the catch-up effect Newer plants in the European region do not yet following the crisis. This may sound at first that have to deal with such issues. According to Axel the strain on German and European markets will Koberstein, Unit Manager of Technical Projects ease but is soon relativized by the fact that at Total Raffinerie Mitteldeutschland, a refinery most planned investments target Asia, the Far built in 1997: "We didn't have a crisis." There is and Middle East. Investment plans are afoot in no backlog of investment projects at this plant, and there has not yet been any need to consid- er investing heavily into the replacement of larger plant components. "We have the ad- vantage that our plant and equipment is pretty modern and we can fully meet the quality standards demanded by the market in terms of the environment, sulphur etc. The investments that we are currently undertaking revolve around energy improvements, energy effective- ness and measures for the production of niche products," says Koberstein. Overall it seems that investments are being Germany too but their scope is hardly compara- planned by plant operators. Contractors and ble with the intentions in Asia. On account of service companies, however, have not yet seen the age of many European plants, their profita- any indication of a growing order volume. If and bility will be questioned in the future with re- when the planned projects will actually be im- gard to the amount of investment required. plemented and whether the German and Euro- That said, in Europe the construction of a new pean markets will experience an upturn remains plant is not considered to be the only type of to be seen. 8 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 9. Projektintegration aus Betreibersicht Challenges from the perspective of operators How do plant operators feel about the integration of investment projects in a turnaround? What advantages and disadvantages can they expect? Plant operators differentiate between invest- that, a different contractor strategy is required ment projects to expand capacity and reliability- especially when integrating large projects into centred projects, the objective of the latter turnarounds as few contractors can execute being to increase plant availability. However, both large turnarounds and extensive invest- when it comes to integrating these projects in a ment projects. Plant operators recommend that turnaround they see no difference: Because the large projects are allocated to various contrac- highest priority for all plant operators is that the tors on account of the differing requirements production continues with as few interruptions and priorities even if this increases the organisa- as possible, projects of all kinds are preferably tional burden. The integration of maintenance integrated in a turnaround in order to prevent work and projects in work packages poses par- considerable losses. One of the main causes for ticular difficulties for all work processes of a these losses are the long start up and shut turnaround, necessitating more personnel in down times which, for example, in the case of organisation, logistics and infrastructure and lengthening the dura- tion of the whole turn- around. Projects that can be executed dur- ing normal operations are generally not inte- grated in a turna- round. This is seldom, however, as most projects are connected to a production pro- cess at a specific point and thus affect it. synthesis gas facilities and steam crackers, can Assuming that no financial pressures to imple- take up more than a third of the entire shut- ment immediately exist, one option is to con- down time as well as the loss of product that duct projects as far as possible outside of the has to be removed from the plant and disposed turnaround and then integrate them with the of. process during the next scheduled shutdown. However, in addition to these financial ad- vantages, there are several, critical disad- Depending on the project, the cost of the in- vantages of project integration: plant operators vestment relative to the whole turnaround can face particular challenges due to the increased vary considerably. For example, scheduled ca- complexity of the turnaround. In addition to pacity expansions, such as the erection of new 9 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 10. columns or turbines, are so cost-intensive that As the core engineering for all projects even the expense of the project surpasses that of the those overseas is conducted from Germany, rest of the turnaround. companies have to strengthen their key re- The crisis does seem to be abating for plant sources at home either internally or through operators too and investment volumes are be- third-party engineering firms. Following the ginning to rise again. The catch-up effect result- reduction of the workforce during the crisis, ing from the backlog of projects that were post- considerable investment is required in personnel poned over the last years creates new challeng- recruitment and the use of external competenc- es for plant operators: es. 10 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 11. Research & Studies T.A. Cook Research & Studies Beside the Insight Report T.A. Cook Research & Studies offers studies in the area of Asset Performance Management. Current studies: Technical Services for Turnarounds in Petrochemical Plants in Germany, Austria & Switzerland (540 pages, 4400€) How companies use RFID in maintenance (190 Pages, 1500€) Offshore Wind Farm Operations & Maintenance (177 Pages, 2900€) Technical services for Turnarounds in petrochemical plants Western Europe (5900€) TAR Scheduling | Scheduling Practices for Turnarounds (1700€) Exclusive studies and surveys as the basis for your decisions Clients with specific questions related to topical issues or competitors may be best served by a single-client study. With these studies, T.A. Cook Research & Studies offers you the opportunity to specify content and scope tailored to meet your company's particular needs. Our team will be glad to put together a non-binding quotation for you based on a pre-defined scope. T.A. Cook Research & Studies Leipziger Platz 2 | 10117 Berlin | Phone +49 (0)30 88 43 07-0 | Fax +49 (0)30 88 43 07-30 E-Mail: studies@tacook.com The Research & Studies division conducts detailed market and company analyses in the area of Asset Performance Management. The focus of the team is to systematically investigate and clarify current mar- ket concerns and requirements as well as anticipated developments and their consequences for market players. As well as studies on topical issues, we compile trend reports and continually expand our data- base of specialised knowledge, which can be applied to each study as needed. 11 T.A. Cook Consultants Insight Report 03 – 07/2011 Trends in Shutdown and Turnaround Management
  • 12. Author: Nina Wolfs Research Consultant at T.A. Cook Nina Wolfs is responsible for the compilation of market studies and analyses in the area of asset performance. She previously worked for different market research companies and has conducted various studies. Contact E-Mail: n.wolfs@tacook.com Tel.: +49 (0)30 88 43 07-0 Interview: Greuter, Dieter. BIS Chemserv. Interview on 27.01.2011 Insight Report is a service of T.A. Cook Research & Studies If you have any questions or suggestions please don’t hesitate to contact us: T.A. Cook Consultants | Leipziger Platz 2 | 10117 Berlin | Phone (030) 88 43 07-0 | Mail: service@tacook.com T.A. Cook is a management consulting firm focusing on Asset Performance Management with offices in Berlin, Birmingham, Houston, Paris, Raleigh and Rio de Janeiro. The core competence of the consulting business is the sustainable implementation of asset, operations and service-oriented excellence. As a change management specialist, the firm delivers measurable value enhancement and bottom-line productivity gains. In order to achieve these results T.A. Cook offers a wide range of professional services which ensure that all business processes - from strategy definition through management to organizational design – are effective, efficient and sustainable. Complementing the consulting business, the T.A. Cook Academy has become a leading organizer of international conferences and seminars relating to Asset Performance Management. Annual events include the MainDays summit as well as conferences centered on topics such as Shutdowns & Turnarounds and Capex Management. T.A. Cook’s clients are typically businesses, their suppliers and contractors working with significant industrial assets across multiple sectors. The company has particular expertise in the petrochemicals, plastics, pharmaceutical, transport, mining and food sectors as well as excellent knowledge of the regulated environments occupied by gas, water and electricity utilities. Further information about T.A. Cook may be found at: www.tacook.com T.