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How synergy between amateur radio,
systems and other engineering can raise
       the technical quotient of a nation




  Joseph Kasser, CM, CEng, CMALT (9V1CZ, G3ZCZ and VK5WU)
                                   Visiting Associate Professor
                               National University of Singapore
                              Email joseph.kasser@incose.org



                                                              1
Outline of the Presentation


   1   Situational context


   2   The problem


   3   Amateur radio as one solution

       Use of amateur radio to teach models and
   4   simulations

   5   Solutions to problem

                                              2
Situational context

 Need for good systems engineers is greater than supply
 Education process has drop outs
    Students who do not complete the degree
 Can we minimize drop outs?
 Can we pre-screen students for characteristics of
  systems engineers?
 Literature review
    Characteristics and traits
       • Five types of systems engineers
    CEST
       • See next slide


                                                       3
Capacity for Engineering Systems
     Thinking (CEST)
 A proposed set of high order thinking skills that
  enable individuals to successfully perform
  systems engineering tasks
 38 characteristics
   14 cognitive characteristics,
   12 capabilities,
   9 behavioural competences
   3 knowledge and experience
    characteristics
                                                  4
The problem

 Recommend a way to pre-screen students
  applying to systems engineering programs to
  minimize drop out rates and maximize probability
  of producing good systems engineers
                             3
                   1    2         5     6    7     8
                             4


* Tasks 2-7 from Hitchins, D. K., Systems Engineering. A 21st Century
Systems Methodology, John Wiley & Sons Ltd., Chichester, England,
2007., Figure 6.2


                                                                   5
Identify possible solutions
    Think out of the box (Generic STP)

 Question
   Is there anything similar to systems engineering that
    can be used to pre-select students?
 Answer – “Yes”
   Educational modules that incorporate systems
    engineering
     • Racing cars
     • Others
   Technically inclined hobbies
     • Model rockets and aircraft
     • Amateur radio
     • Others
                                                        6
Amateur radio

  Technical hobby
      Many users of equipment, some developers/pioneers
                       Number of amateur    Year of
        Country                                       Source
                        radio operators     Report
Japan                           1,296,059    1999     IARU
United States                     733,748    2010      FCC
Thailand                          141,241    1999     IARU
South Korea                       141,000    2000     IARU
Republic of China                  68,692    1999     IARU
People's Republic of
                                   20,000    2008     CRSA
China
                                                         7
12 systems engineering roles (Sheard, 1996)

1.    Requirements owner
2.    System designer
3.    Systems analysts
4.    Validation and verification
5.    Logistics and operations
6.    Glue
7.    Customer interface
8.    Technical manager
9.    Information manager
10.   Process engineer
11.   Coordinator
12.   Classified Ads systems engineering

                                               8
Common chararacteristics

            Ability to find                        High             Problem                    Innovators
          similarities among                                      solvers (III)                   (V)
          objects which seem
            to be different                        Low              Imitators,                  Problem
                                                                    Doers (II)                formulators
                                                                                                  (IV)
               “Ability to find”                                         Low                     High
                 comes from                                       Ability to find differences
                application of                                   among objects which seem to
                                                                          be similar
               holistic thinking
* Gordon G. et al. “A Contingency Model for the Design of Problem Solving Research Program”, Milbank Memorial Fund
Quarterly, p 184-220, 1974 cited by Gharajedaghi, System Thinking: Managing chaos and Complexity, Butterworth-
                                                                                                                     9
Heinemann, 1999
Radio amateur achievements

 Discovered and pioneered the long distance
  communications potential of short waves
    in the early years of the 20th century
 Pioneered many of the techniques now used for the
  vhf/uhf personal communications services
 Constructed and communicated via the world's first
  multiple access communications satellite
    (OSCAR 3) in 1965
 Pioneered the Emergency Locator Transmitter (ELT)
  System now used to locate downed aircraft
    via AMSAT-OSCAR 6 in the mid 1970’s
 Often provide communications capabilities for the public
  services immediately following a natural disaster
                                                         10
Aspects of amateur radio*




* Yeo, Nai Kwang Jeff, 29 Oct 2010
                                        11
LEO Satellite communications terminal
(1974)


    System
  integration




                                        12
Systems engineering situation

 International cooperation building the spacecraft
 Arranging for a launch
 Multiple communications users with different
  ground stations
   Receivers, transmitters
 Keeping track of communications windows
 Telemetry, tracking and control
   Morse code, digital, speech



                                                  13
AMSAT-OSCAR-10


   Elliptical orbit
   DX - 25,000kM
   Beams and low power
   2-TV rotator AZ-EL mount
   Reliable propagation
   Time delay on signals



                               14
Models and simulations
 Can also be used in teaching
  examples
    Case studies
 Needed to develop learning
  component in MDTS systems
  engineering course
                                Shows need for, and
 Students had been taught       relationship between,
  about simulations and models   systems engineering and
  and how to use them, but not   domain knowledge
  how to develop them or how       Communications at HF
  they related                     Digital computer hardware
 Example was available              and software
    1984 – Reuse after 26 years        • Pushing state of art

                                                                 15
ARRL Sweepstakes contest [1977]

 Contact (work) as many other stations as
  possible within 48 hour period
   Weekends in November
 Exchange simulated emergency message
 Use different frequency bands with different
  propagation characteristics
 Score = number of contacts * multiplier
   Multiplier is number of ARRL Sections contacted
     • Section only counts once irrespective of frequency band



                                                                 16
Definition of the problem

 The time was 1980
 Understand the factors
  involved in the ARRL
  sweepstakes contest
  well enough to enable
  an operator in Silver
  Spring, MD to contact
  all the Sections given
  the constraints of low
  radiated power

                                 17
ARRL Sections in 1977




Numbers are assigned for this project not by the ARRL
                                                        18
Issues

 Operational
   Located in Silver Spring, Maryland
   Want to contact all sections in a contest
   Want to make as high as score as possible
   Will be using low radiated power
   Have no way of knowing when a section is active
    other than by hearing it on the air
   Operating at home, family and other interruptions
    possible



                                                        19
CONOPS of Model


 Use before contest
   to plan when to operate on which bands
     • To contact sections when propagation is possible
 Use during contest
   to see which sections are still needed so as to re-
    plan when to operate on which bands
     • Go for section multiplier
     • Go for higher contact rate
     • Go for both                              Interface to
                                               “knowledge”
                                                  needed

                                                               20
Functions – sample listing

   Call CQ (F_CQ)
   Receive a call from another station (F_RX)
   Check for duplicate (F_CK)
   Exchange message (F_QSO)
      Send message (F_TXM)
      Receive message (F_RXM)
 Log contact (F_LOG)
 Tune band (F_QSY)
 Hear another station (F_QRV)
      In QSO
      Calling CQ
      Not in contest
 Time outs (F_QRX)
 Etc.
                                                 21
Partial functional N2 chart

F_CQ     o                                                o       o3
 o     F_RX     o             o1       o2                 o       o4
 o            F_CK     o       o                          o
 o                   F_B4                                 o
 o                          F_TXM       o        o        o
 o                             o     F_RXM       o        o
 o                                            F_LOG       o
 o                                                     F_QSY       o
 o              o                                         o      F_QRV

       outputs – horizontal squares, inputs – vertical squares
                                                                  22
F_QSO
        Partial functional N2 chart
                   Single input, candidate
F_CQ    o             for aggregation                       o      o3
 o     F_RX    o                 o1          o2             o
 o            F_CK      o        o                          o
 o                   F_B4                                   o
 o                            F_TXM          o       o      o
 o                               o      F_RXM        o      o
 o                                                F_LOG     o
 o                                                        F_QSY     o
 o             o                 Candidate for              o     F_QRV
                            aggregation with F_QSO
       outputs – horizontal squares, inputs – vertical squares
                                                                   23
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cohesion_(computer_science), accessed 21 September 2010


             Types of aggregation/cohesion*
   Coincidental cohesion (worst)
        arbitrary
   Logical cohesion
        logically are categorized to do the same thing, even if they are
         different by nature
   Temporal cohesion
        are processed at a particular time in program execution
   Procedural cohesion
        always follow a certain sequence of execution
   Communicational cohesion
        operate on the same data
   Sequential cohesion
        output from one part is the input to another part like an assembly
         line
   Functional cohesion (best)
        all contribute to a single well-defined task of the module
                                                                                       24
How do you determine system functions?

   Top down?
   Bottom up?
   Middle out?
   All of the above?




                                           25
Operational factors affecting probability of
   radio communication between two locations

           P = ∑( p1, p2, p3, p4, p5)
1. Probability of someone being at other location
   (Section)                              Apply knowledge by stating
   • Number of amateurs at location            (assumption) that since this is a
   • Time of day                                 contest, there will be people
                                                 active at all times of the day
       – Working hours, sleeping hours
2. Probability that frequency band is open allowing
   communication
3. Received signal levels at each end of link
   • Radiated power, receiving parameters
4. Probability and amount of interference from other
   amateur stations in contest at each end of link
5. Electrical power at sending station

                                                                      26
Testing Section calculation model*
         Monte Carlo runs of model             Numbers from published results


                                Individual runs (6)          Average




                                   Conclusion:
Approach is feasible, if used, numbers would need to be tweaked in realization phase
                                                                             27
Radio amateurs in space

 NASA
    Many Space Shuttle flights
    STS-35 December 1990
      • Mission specialist Dr Ron Parise, WA4SIR
    International Space Station
 Russia (Soviet Union)
    MIR
 Educational uses
    Contacts with schools
 Hobby uses to combat boredom of long duration flights
 Technical experiments
    Automated communications/command and control software
     development

                                                             28
IRLP: Internet Radio Linking Project

                             Links > 4000 VHF/UHF
                              repeaters worldwide
                             VOIP
                             Evolving radio
                              equipment
                             Multiple manufacturers
 They don’t know it is a    Dial-up tone control
  “systems of systems”        access
   problem, so they are      http://www.irlp.net/
    just getting on and
          doing it.
                                                 29
http://www.irlp.net/typical_node.html
                                        30
Big picture – roles exist in Layers 1 - 4




                                      31
AUD $20,000 Yagi*




* Kasser J.E., The $20,000 Yagi, Radcom, August 2007
                                                       32
Left over wood – matter of perspective




                                   33
Path to Type V systems engineer
                                                    Systems thinking
                                                      applied here
  Attraction of             Systems
Communications              thinking
                          developed &
                          applied here
   Hardware                                           Software
   Antenna                                         Data processing
   Receivers                                 Spacecraft orbit predictions,
  Transmitters                                  telemetry processing
   VHF, QRP                                  Communications terminals
                                              Modeling and simulations


               Radio communication systems



                                                                       34
Radio amateurs – in summary

   Systems engineering
   Communications
   Engineering
   Researchers
      Scientists
        • Nobel prize winners
 A trained, motivated and volunteer resource to
  be tapped in times of emergency
      Natural disasters
      Wartime and terrorist attacks
                                                   35
Solutions to problem

 Amateur radio is but one domain in which to find
  candidate systems engineers
 All potential domains could be used
   Interesting to compare results years from now
 Typical interview questions
   Have candidates done any experimenting?
   What did they learn from the experiments?
     • Do they think systems?
     • Do their eyes glint with passion when they talk about their
       experiences?


                                                                     36
Summary


          1   Situational context


          2   The problem


          3   Amateur radio as one solution

              Use of amateur radio to teach models and
          4   simulations

          5   Solutions to problem
Roles
                                                    37
38

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Kasser synergy amateur radio

  • 1. How synergy between amateur radio, systems and other engineering can raise the technical quotient of a nation Joseph Kasser, CM, CEng, CMALT (9V1CZ, G3ZCZ and VK5WU) Visiting Associate Professor National University of Singapore Email joseph.kasser@incose.org 1
  • 2. Outline of the Presentation 1 Situational context 2 The problem 3 Amateur radio as one solution Use of amateur radio to teach models and 4 simulations 5 Solutions to problem 2
  • 3. Situational context  Need for good systems engineers is greater than supply  Education process has drop outs  Students who do not complete the degree  Can we minimize drop outs?  Can we pre-screen students for characteristics of systems engineers?  Literature review  Characteristics and traits • Five types of systems engineers  CEST • See next slide 3
  • 4. Capacity for Engineering Systems Thinking (CEST)  A proposed set of high order thinking skills that enable individuals to successfully perform systems engineering tasks  38 characteristics  14 cognitive characteristics,  12 capabilities,  9 behavioural competences  3 knowledge and experience characteristics 4
  • 5. The problem  Recommend a way to pre-screen students applying to systems engineering programs to minimize drop out rates and maximize probability of producing good systems engineers 3 1 2 5 6 7 8 4 * Tasks 2-7 from Hitchins, D. K., Systems Engineering. A 21st Century Systems Methodology, John Wiley & Sons Ltd., Chichester, England, 2007., Figure 6.2 5
  • 6. Identify possible solutions Think out of the box (Generic STP)  Question  Is there anything similar to systems engineering that can be used to pre-select students?  Answer – “Yes”  Educational modules that incorporate systems engineering • Racing cars • Others  Technically inclined hobbies • Model rockets and aircraft • Amateur radio • Others 6
  • 7. Amateur radio  Technical hobby  Many users of equipment, some developers/pioneers Number of amateur Year of Country Source radio operators Report Japan 1,296,059 1999 IARU United States 733,748 2010 FCC Thailand 141,241 1999 IARU South Korea 141,000 2000 IARU Republic of China 68,692 1999 IARU People's Republic of 20,000 2008 CRSA China 7
  • 8. 12 systems engineering roles (Sheard, 1996) 1. Requirements owner 2. System designer 3. Systems analysts 4. Validation and verification 5. Logistics and operations 6. Glue 7. Customer interface 8. Technical manager 9. Information manager 10. Process engineer 11. Coordinator 12. Classified Ads systems engineering 8
  • 9. Common chararacteristics Ability to find High Problem Innovators similarities among solvers (III) (V) objects which seem to be different Low Imitators, Problem Doers (II) formulators (IV) “Ability to find” Low High comes from Ability to find differences application of among objects which seem to be similar holistic thinking * Gordon G. et al. “A Contingency Model for the Design of Problem Solving Research Program”, Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, p 184-220, 1974 cited by Gharajedaghi, System Thinking: Managing chaos and Complexity, Butterworth- 9 Heinemann, 1999
  • 10. Radio amateur achievements  Discovered and pioneered the long distance communications potential of short waves  in the early years of the 20th century  Pioneered many of the techniques now used for the vhf/uhf personal communications services  Constructed and communicated via the world's first multiple access communications satellite  (OSCAR 3) in 1965  Pioneered the Emergency Locator Transmitter (ELT) System now used to locate downed aircraft  via AMSAT-OSCAR 6 in the mid 1970’s  Often provide communications capabilities for the public services immediately following a natural disaster 10
  • 11. Aspects of amateur radio* * Yeo, Nai Kwang Jeff, 29 Oct 2010 11
  • 12. LEO Satellite communications terminal (1974) System integration 12
  • 13. Systems engineering situation  International cooperation building the spacecraft  Arranging for a launch  Multiple communications users with different ground stations  Receivers, transmitters  Keeping track of communications windows  Telemetry, tracking and control  Morse code, digital, speech 13
  • 14. AMSAT-OSCAR-10  Elliptical orbit  DX - 25,000kM  Beams and low power  2-TV rotator AZ-EL mount  Reliable propagation  Time delay on signals 14
  • 15. Models and simulations  Can also be used in teaching examples  Case studies  Needed to develop learning component in MDTS systems engineering course  Shows need for, and  Students had been taught relationship between, about simulations and models systems engineering and and how to use them, but not domain knowledge how to develop them or how  Communications at HF they related  Digital computer hardware  Example was available and software  1984 – Reuse after 26 years • Pushing state of art 15
  • 16. ARRL Sweepstakes contest [1977]  Contact (work) as many other stations as possible within 48 hour period  Weekends in November  Exchange simulated emergency message  Use different frequency bands with different propagation characteristics  Score = number of contacts * multiplier  Multiplier is number of ARRL Sections contacted • Section only counts once irrespective of frequency band 16
  • 17. Definition of the problem  The time was 1980  Understand the factors involved in the ARRL sweepstakes contest well enough to enable an operator in Silver Spring, MD to contact all the Sections given the constraints of low radiated power 17
  • 18. ARRL Sections in 1977 Numbers are assigned for this project not by the ARRL 18
  • 19. Issues  Operational  Located in Silver Spring, Maryland  Want to contact all sections in a contest  Want to make as high as score as possible  Will be using low radiated power  Have no way of knowing when a section is active other than by hearing it on the air  Operating at home, family and other interruptions possible 19
  • 20. CONOPS of Model  Use before contest  to plan when to operate on which bands • To contact sections when propagation is possible  Use during contest  to see which sections are still needed so as to re- plan when to operate on which bands • Go for section multiplier • Go for higher contact rate • Go for both Interface to “knowledge” needed 20
  • 21. Functions – sample listing  Call CQ (F_CQ)  Receive a call from another station (F_RX)  Check for duplicate (F_CK)  Exchange message (F_QSO)  Send message (F_TXM)  Receive message (F_RXM)  Log contact (F_LOG)  Tune band (F_QSY)  Hear another station (F_QRV)  In QSO  Calling CQ  Not in contest  Time outs (F_QRX)  Etc. 21
  • 22. Partial functional N2 chart F_CQ o o o3 o F_RX o o1 o2 o o4 o F_CK o o o o F_B4 o o F_TXM o o o o o F_RXM o o o F_LOG o o F_QSY o o o o F_QRV outputs – horizontal squares, inputs – vertical squares 22
  • 23. F_QSO Partial functional N2 chart Single input, candidate F_CQ o for aggregation o o3 o F_RX o o1 o2 o o F_CK o o o o F_B4 o o F_TXM o o o o o F_RXM o o o F_LOG o o F_QSY o o o Candidate for o F_QRV aggregation with F_QSO outputs – horizontal squares, inputs – vertical squares 23
  • 24. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cohesion_(computer_science), accessed 21 September 2010 Types of aggregation/cohesion*  Coincidental cohesion (worst)  arbitrary  Logical cohesion  logically are categorized to do the same thing, even if they are different by nature  Temporal cohesion  are processed at a particular time in program execution  Procedural cohesion  always follow a certain sequence of execution  Communicational cohesion  operate on the same data  Sequential cohesion  output from one part is the input to another part like an assembly line  Functional cohesion (best)  all contribute to a single well-defined task of the module 24
  • 25. How do you determine system functions?  Top down?  Bottom up?  Middle out?  All of the above? 25
  • 26. Operational factors affecting probability of radio communication between two locations P = ∑( p1, p2, p3, p4, p5) 1. Probability of someone being at other location (Section) Apply knowledge by stating • Number of amateurs at location (assumption) that since this is a • Time of day contest, there will be people active at all times of the day – Working hours, sleeping hours 2. Probability that frequency band is open allowing communication 3. Received signal levels at each end of link • Radiated power, receiving parameters 4. Probability and amount of interference from other amateur stations in contest at each end of link 5. Electrical power at sending station 26
  • 27. Testing Section calculation model* Monte Carlo runs of model Numbers from published results Individual runs (6) Average Conclusion: Approach is feasible, if used, numbers would need to be tweaked in realization phase 27
  • 28. Radio amateurs in space  NASA  Many Space Shuttle flights  STS-35 December 1990 • Mission specialist Dr Ron Parise, WA4SIR  International Space Station  Russia (Soviet Union)  MIR  Educational uses  Contacts with schools  Hobby uses to combat boredom of long duration flights  Technical experiments  Automated communications/command and control software development 28
  • 29. IRLP: Internet Radio Linking Project  Links > 4000 VHF/UHF repeaters worldwide  VOIP  Evolving radio equipment  Multiple manufacturers  They don’t know it is a  Dial-up tone control “systems of systems” access problem, so they are  http://www.irlp.net/ just getting on and doing it. 29
  • 31. Big picture – roles exist in Layers 1 - 4 31
  • 32. AUD $20,000 Yagi* * Kasser J.E., The $20,000 Yagi, Radcom, August 2007 32
  • 33. Left over wood – matter of perspective 33
  • 34. Path to Type V systems engineer Systems thinking applied here Attraction of Systems Communications thinking developed & applied here Hardware Software Antenna Data processing Receivers Spacecraft orbit predictions, Transmitters telemetry processing VHF, QRP Communications terminals Modeling and simulations Radio communication systems 34
  • 35. Radio amateurs – in summary  Systems engineering  Communications  Engineering  Researchers  Scientists • Nobel prize winners  A trained, motivated and volunteer resource to be tapped in times of emergency  Natural disasters  Wartime and terrorist attacks 35
  • 36. Solutions to problem  Amateur radio is but one domain in which to find candidate systems engineers  All potential domains could be used  Interesting to compare results years from now  Typical interview questions  Have candidates done any experimenting?  What did they learn from the experiments? • Do they think systems? • Do their eyes glint with passion when they talk about their experiences? 36
  • 37. Summary 1 Situational context 2 The problem 3 Amateur radio as one solution Use of amateur radio to teach models and 4 simulations 5 Solutions to problem Roles 37
  • 38. 38