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March, 2014
Critical Industry Trends
And
What To Do About Them
ON-SITE INSIGHTS
Collabora'on	
  
ON-SITE INSIGHTS
Collabora'on	
   Crea'on	
  
ON-SITE INSIGHTS
Collabora'on	
   Content	
  Sharing	
  
The Effect of
Change on Retail
Displays &
Marketing
Webinar
Crea'on	
  
ON-SITE INSIGHT
kmcgowan@rocktenn.com
WHAT WE’LL DISCUSS
Critical Trends Facing The Industry
•  Retail
•  Consumer
•  Shopper
WHAT WE’LL DISCUSS
Critical Trends Facing The Industry
•  Retail
•  Consumer
•  Shopper
Implications For The Business
•  Logistics
•  Technology
•  Marketing
A Vision For Tomorrow
•  What it will take
•  What you can do right now
CRITICAL TRENDS FACING THE INDUSTRY
Multiculturalism
MillennialsSeniors Big Data Mktg
MobilePersonalization
Digitization of
Products
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
Retail Future
2020
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
Retail Future
2020
Political
Economic
Social
TechnologyIndustry
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Deferral of major life stage
decisions – Marriage, kids, home
ownership
•  Low population growth
•  Multi-cultural àAcculturation
Social
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Deferral of major life stage
decisions – Marriage, kids, home
ownership
•  Low population growth
•  Multi-cultural àAcculturation
•  Aging… absolute size of 55+
•  Ex-urbanization
•  Health & Wellness – Active vs.
Inactive
•  Home Ownership – Rental Society
•  DIFM vs. DIY – More services
Social
IMPLICATIONS
•  Low Shopper base growth
•  Smaller Households
•  Decline of Mass Marketing
Social
IMPLICATIONS
•  Low Shopper base growth
•  Smaller Households
•  Decline of Mass Marketing
•  Increased services – esp. health,
financial, digital
•  Proximate /local vs. Destination
stores
•  Essential vs. Discretionary mix
•  Increased focus on diet/nutrition
Social
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Significant Wildcards
•  Low economic growth
•  Improved full time workforce/Part
Time grows
Economic
VISUAL
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Significant Wildcards
•  Low economic growth
•  Improved full time workforce/Part
Time grows
•  Declining Middle and Growing
Higher income
•  “Real Inflation” outpacing wage
growth..
•  Inter-generational workforce
Economic
VISUAL
IMPLICATIONS
•  Retail focus on customer
retention vs. acquisition
•  Marketing depth vs. breadth?
Economic
IMPLICATIONS
•  Retail focus on customer
retention vs. acquisition
•  Marketing depth vs. breadth?
•  Pricing & Mix vs. unit growth
•  Services critical
Economic
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Addressable market size,
engagement and spend
•  Availability
•  Speed
•  Devices
Technology
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Addressable market size,
engagement and spend
•  Availability
•  Speed
•  Devices
•  App integration
•  Analytics (big data/targeting)
•  Payment options
•  Economics, Assortment,
Logistics
Technology
IMPLICATIONS
•  Digital engagement
•  New consumer behaviors
•  Retail Apps will emerge
Technology
IMPLICATIONS
•  Digital engagement
•  New consumer behaviors
•  Retail Apps will emerge
•  Keep best shoppers out of
search
§  Personalization
•  New business models drive new
revenue streams and
competencies
Technology
IMPLICATIONS
Mobile & Digital List Management Will Drive Grocery Online
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
IMPLICATIONS
Mobile & Digital List Management Will Drive Grocery Online
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
IMPLICATIONS
Mobile & Digital List Management Will Drive Grocery Online
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
IMPLICATIONS
Price Comparison
Store Navigation
Mobile Checkout
Mobile Payments
“Check-in”
Product Search
& Availability
List Management
Mobile Offers
IMPLICATIONS
Price Comparison
Store Navigation
Mobile Checkout
Mobile Payments
“Check-in”
Product Search
& Availability
List Management
Mobile Offers
Walgreens 3rd party
app Aisle411
item locations
Walmart List
Management &
Navigation
rce: Retail Net
up 2014
Content + Commerce
are Blurring
Mobile Apps Second Screens Where-to-Buy
Tweet to Buy
Shoppable AdsBuy from Video
Image-Base
Discovery
rce: Retail Net
up 2014
Content + Commerce
are Blurring
"In the future, app development
is going to be just as important
as property development,"
Phil Clarke, CEO Tesco
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Low Organic Growth
•  Small Box and Digital growth
•  Productivity Drain on SBR=
store based retail by Digital
Industry
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Low Organic Growth
•  Small Box and Digital growth
•  Productivity Drain on SBR=
store based retail by Digital
•  “Channel” Re- Balancing
§  Proximity/Store Size more relevant
than products carried
•  Consolidation/competitive
intensity
•  Segmentation to find & Scale
Opportunities
Industry
IMPLICATIONS
•  Shopper Retention Focus
•  Smaller Boxes
•  Regeneration of Big Boxes –
services, new models
Industry
IMPLICATIONS
•  Shopper Retention Focus
•  Smaller Boxes
•  Regeneration of Big Boxes –
services, new models
•  Fewer Sell To Points with more
varieties to plan for
•  No net new stores
•  Segmentation
Industry
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Trust
•  Policy
•  The Fed
Political
DRIVERS OF CHANGE
•  Trust
•  Policy
•  The Fed
•  Record revenue, spending & debt
•  Entitlements (over 70 income
related programs)
•  Municipal and state regulation
and taxation
Political
IMPLICATIONS
•  Progress tempered
•  Complexity increased
•  Tax rates to increase to and
through 2020
Political
IMPLICATIONS
•  Progress tempered
•  Complexity increased
•  Tax rates to increase to and
through 2020
•  Changes in government support
spend directly impacts
•  State/local governments require
more bailouts..
Political
SUMMARY
Social & Demographic
Change
Retail Industry
Consolidation
More “Savvy” Shopper
SUMMARY
Social & Demographic
Change
Retail Industry
Consolidation
More “Savvy” Shopper
Need For Customization
Downsizing Of Stores
The “Game” Has Changed
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
Logistics
25-40%
will change
Technology
Apps & Analytics
Investment
Marketing
Massive
Re-Mix
Merchandising
40% at Risk
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
Services
Grow to 30% of
revenue
25% current store
base @ risk
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
Logistics
25-40%
will change
Technology
Apps & Analytics
Investment
Marketing
Massive
Re-Mix
Merchandising
40% at Risk
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
LOGISTICS
•  Customization by retailer vs.
COT
•  Customization SKU sort/region
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
LOGISTICS
•  Customization by retailer vs.
COT
•  Customization SKU sort/region
•  Smaller runs
•  Custom Packaging
•  “Immediacy” (Amazon Effect)
•  Increased complexity
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
TECHNOLOGY
•  App Integration accelerating
•  Shopper requirements
increasing
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
TECHNOLOGY
•  App Integration accelerating
•  Shopper requirements
increasing
•  Multiple touch points
•  Speed bumps on the road to
retail
•  Increased complexity
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
•  Increased customization
•  Smaller runs
•  Variety of structures
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
•  Increased customization
•  Smaller runs
•  Variety of structures
•  Move to permanent
•  Increased complexity
•  Pressure on impulse
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
•  Personalization Drives Activation and Reduces
Mass Media
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
•  Personalization Drives Activation and Reduces
Mass Media
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
Evolving Manufacturer/Retailer Relationship
Traditional Relationship
Mfg. Marketing Mfg. Sales/Trade
Retailer
Marketing
Shopper Consumer
Retailer
Merchandising
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
New Collaborative
Relationship
Mfg. Marketing
Retailer
Marketing
Mfg.
Sales/Trade
Retailer
Merchandising
Shopper
Insights
Retail Store
Experience
Shopper Consumer
Evolving Manufacturer/Retailer Relationship
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MARKETING
•  Local vs. National
•  Individual vs. Mass
•  Customer specific
IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MARKETING
•  Local vs. National
•  Individual vs. Mass
•  Customer specific
•  Shopper focused
•  Technology enabled
•  Increased complexity
WHAT YOU CAN DO RIGHT NOW
BREAK PAGE WITH VISUAL
BRING THE
FUTURE
TO THE
PRESENT
WHAT YOU CAN DO RIGHT NOW
Organizational
Imperatives
Customer
Collaboration
and Insights
WHAT YOU CAN DO RIGHT NOW
Organizational
Imperatives
Customer
Collaboration
and Insights
Fail Fast,
Fail Cheap
INNOVATION DRIVERS
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Shopper
Insights
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Shopper
Engagement
Shopper
Insights
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Brand Equity
Enhancement
Shopper
Engagement
Shopper
Insights
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Shopper Insights
• Understanding
Shopper Behavior
in-store learning lab
§ Not what they
SAY they will do
Powered by C.A.R.
… but what they
really DO do.
•  Quantitative
Analytics
Shopper Insights
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Shopper Engagement
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Shopper Engagement
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Shopper Engagement
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Shopper Engagement Personalization
INNOVATION DRIVERS
Brand Equity Enhancement
Visual
CONCLUSIONS
CONCLUSIONS
Trends are happening faster than ever
Change is a constant
CONCLUSIONS
Trends are happening faster than ever
Change is a constant
Store of the future is here today
Shopper behavior changing dramatically
Technology as an enabler impacting shopping
Requiring change in all business disciplines
ON-SITE INSIGHTS
KMCGOWAN@ROCKTENN.COM
QR Code Email To Kathy
March, 2014
Critical Industry Trends
And
What To Do About Them

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