7. WHAT WE’LL DISCUSS
Critical Trends Facing The Industry
• Retail
• Consumer
• Shopper
Implications For The Business
• Logistics
• Technology
• Marketing
A Vision For Tomorrow
• What it will take
• What you can do right now
8. CRITICAL TRENDS FACING THE INDUSTRY
Multiculturalism
MillennialsSeniors Big Data Mktg
MobilePersonalization
Digitization of
Products
11. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
• Deferral of major life stage
decisions – Marriage, kids, home
ownership
• Low population growth
• Multi-cultural àAcculturation
Social
12. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
• Deferral of major life stage
decisions – Marriage, kids, home
ownership
• Low population growth
• Multi-cultural àAcculturation
• Aging… absolute size of 55+
• Ex-urbanization
• Health & Wellness – Active vs.
Inactive
• Home Ownership – Rental Society
• DIFM vs. DIY – More services
Social
14. IMPLICATIONS
• Low Shopper base growth
• Smaller Households
• Decline of Mass Marketing
• Increased services – esp. health,
financial, digital
• Proximate /local vs. Destination
stores
• Essential vs. Discretionary mix
• Increased focus on diet/nutrition
Social
15. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
• Significant Wildcards
• Low economic growth
• Improved full time workforce/Part
Time grows
Economic
VISUAL
16. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
• Significant Wildcards
• Low economic growth
• Improved full time workforce/Part
Time grows
• Declining Middle and Growing
Higher income
• “Real Inflation” outpacing wage
growth..
• Inter-generational workforce
Economic
VISUAL
22. IMPLICATIONS
• Digital engagement
• New consumer behaviors
• Retail Apps will emerge
• Keep best shoppers out of
search
§ Personalization
• New business models drive new
revenue streams and
competencies
Technology
27. IMPLICATIONS
Price Comparison
Store Navigation
Mobile Checkout
Mobile Payments
“Check-in”
Product Search
& Availability
List Management
Mobile Offers
Walgreens 3rd party
app Aisle411
item locations
Walmart List
Management &
Navigation
29. Mobile Apps Second Screens Where-to-Buy
Tweet to Buy
Shoppable AdsBuy from Video
Image-Base
Discovery
rce: Retail Net
up 2014
Content + Commerce
are Blurring
30. "In the future, app development
is going to be just as important
as property development,"
Phil Clarke, CEO Tesco
31. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
• Low Organic Growth
• Small Box and Digital growth
• Productivity Drain on SBR=
store based retail by Digital
Industry
32. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
• Low Organic Growth
• Small Box and Digital growth
• Productivity Drain on SBR=
store based retail by Digital
• “Channel” Re- Balancing
§ Proximity/Store Size more relevant
than products carried
• Consolidation/competitive
intensity
• Segmentation to find & Scale
Opportunities
Industry
34. IMPLICATIONS
• Shopper Retention Focus
• Smaller Boxes
• Regeneration of Big Boxes –
services, new models
• Fewer Sell To Points with more
varieties to plan for
• No net new stores
• Segmentation
Industry
36. DRIVERS OF CHANGE
• Trust
• Policy
• The Fed
• Record revenue, spending & debt
• Entitlements (over 70 income
related programs)
• Municipal and state regulation
and taxation
Political
38. IMPLICATIONS
• Progress tempered
• Complexity increased
• Tax rates to increase to and
through 2020
• Changes in government support
spend directly impacts
• State/local governments require
more bailouts..
Political
42. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
Logistics
25-40%
will change
Technology
Apps & Analytics
Investment
Marketing
Massive
Re-Mix
Merchandising
40% at Risk
43. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
Services
Grow to 30% of
revenue
25% current store
base @ risk
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
Logistics
25-40%
will change
Technology
Apps & Analytics
Investment
Marketing
Massive
Re-Mix
Merchandising
40% at Risk
44. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
LOGISTICS
• Customization by retailer vs.
COT
• Customization SKU sort/region
45. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
LOGISTICS
• Customization by retailer vs.
COT
• Customization SKU sort/region
• Smaller runs
• Custom Packaging
• “Immediacy” (Amazon Effect)
• Increased complexity
46. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
TECHNOLOGY
• App Integration accelerating
• Shopper requirements
increasing
47. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
TECHNOLOGY
• App Integration accelerating
• Shopper requirements
increasing
• Multiple touch points
• Speed bumps on the road to
retail
• Increased complexity
48. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
• Increased customization
• Smaller runs
• Variety of structures
49. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
• Increased customization
• Smaller runs
• Variety of structures
• Move to permanent
• Increased complexity
• Pressure on impulse
50. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
• Personalization Drives Activation and Reduces
Mass Media
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
51. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MERCHANDISING
• Personalization Drives Activation and Reduces
Mass Media
Source: Retail Net Group 2014
54. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MARKETING
• Local vs. National
• Individual vs. Mass
• Customer specific
55. IMPLICATIONS FOR OUR BUSINESS
MARKETING
• Local vs. National
• Individual vs. Mass
• Customer specific
• Shopper focused
• Technology enabled
• Increased complexity
56. WHAT YOU CAN DO RIGHT NOW
BREAK PAGE WITH VISUAL
73. CONCLUSIONS
Trends are happening faster than ever
Change is a constant
Store of the future is here today
Shopper behavior changing dramatically
Technology as an enabler impacting shopping
Requiring change in all business disciplines