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Dublin from global to local
Jamie Cudden – Research, Dublin City Council
Twitter: @jcudden jamie.cudden@dublincity.ie
Recent Publications
• "A roadmap for branding Dublin", developed on behalf of the
  Creative Dublin Alliance which outlines a series of actions and
  recommendations to deliver an internationally competitive
  brand for Dublin. www.creativedublinalliance.ie
• 'Dublin's role in the national and global economy'; a one year
  research collaboration developed in partnership with the
  School of Planning at UCD on behalf of the Dublin Regional
  Authority. www.dra.ie
• "Demographic Trends in Dublin", a position paper drawing out
  current and future population trends and the policy
  implications
• www.creativedublinalliance.ie *updated version will be
  uploaded by end of 2012
• ―Talent attraction and retention in the Dublin Region‖
  developed as part of Dublin’s participation in the world class
  cities partnership (WCCP)
  http://www.slideshare.net/jcudden/dublin-talent-presentation-
  23-06-12-wccp
   * All our indicator and benchmarking reports are available on the Creative Dublin Alliance site
Presentation Overview
• Look at the international perspective on
  cities & global trends
• What does it mean to Dublin?
• Benchmarking our performance
• Some selected initiatives and research
  projects
Why do Cities Matter?
 Many observers talk about the 21st century
  being the century of cities. The world is not
  flat .
 For the first time in 2010 over half the world's
  population now live in cities. 3.8 billion by
  2015 (53%)

 They drive global GDP. Generating more than
  80 per cent of global GDP today.

 Cities occupy just 2% of the world’s land
  surface yet they house more than 50% of the
  world’s population
City Networks
Green Credentials of Cities
Cities represent the Biggest Commercial
    Opportunity in the coming decades

• One-third of the world’s population—2.6
  billion people—live in emerging-market
  cities, and by 2030, that number will
  increase by an additional 1.3 billion.
• Middle-class population expected to rise
  70 percent between 2010 and 2015.
  Effecting everything from where these
  individuals live to how they consume.



 Source: Boston Consulting Group
“ While $8.1 billion was
  spent on smart city
    technologies in
  2010, by 2016 that
 number is projected to
  reach $39.5 billion”
 Source: ABI Research
         2011
Twitter - resources
The City 2.0 @TheCity2_0
Bruce Katz @bruce_katz VP @BrookingsInst | In the face of economic stagnation, fiscal turmoil &
     federal gridlock, we are witnessing The Metropolitan Revolution
METROPOLIS @metropolis_org Metropolis is the leading international association that gathers
     cities and metropolitan regions with more than a million inhabitants. http://www.metropolis.org
urbandata @urbandata Cross-Sector Urban Affairs: Progressive City Planning, Health
     Equity, Governance 2.0, Data & Community Indicators. Views my own. Mark Abraham, Exec Dir
     @CTData
Centre for Cities @CentreforCities The Centre for Cities is an independent research and policy
     institute, committed to helping #cities improve their economic performance.
C40 Cities @c40cities The C40 is a network of the world's largest cities committed to implementing
     sustainable climate-related policies locally to help address concerns globally.
ICIC @icicorg The Initiative for a Competitive Inner City (ICIC) promotes urban economic and
     business development in America's inner cities.
LivingCities @Living_Cities 22 of the world's largest foundations and corporations united to bring
     the power of mainstream markets to underserved urban areas - Innovate:Invest:Lead
CEOs for Cities @CEOsforCities CEOs for Cities is a national, cross-sector civic lab of urban
     leaders advancing the next generation of great American cities.
Richard Florida @Richard_Florida Urbanist, Author, Professor, Researcher, Talker, Bike
     Rider, Guitar Player
IBM Smarter Cities @IBMSmartCities
Official IBM Smarter Cities account. Managed by Meredith Hannon and Vineeta Durani. Follows the
     IBM Social Computing Guidelines. #SmarterCities
@PPS_Placemaking The Project for Public Spaces has practiced non-profit #planning, #design &
     edu in 3000 communities, 50 states & 42 countries. New York City ¡ http://www.pps.org
“ Well over half of the world’s
                               population now lives in
                               cities, generating more than 80% of
                               global
                               GDP.

                               Already, global business is beginning to
                               plan strategy from a city, rather than a
                               country, perspective.

                               Given the rapid growth and
                               development of many cities, particularly
                               in emerging markets such as China
                               and India, competition between them
                               for business, investment and talent will
                               only get fiercer”

                               Source: Economist Intelligence Unit
                               2011 / Citi Bank

Leading global cities are New York, London, Singapore and Hong Kong
Top 10 Global Cities on comprehensive
               indexes




Source: Greg Clarke, The business of cities, 2011 (excellent overview of international city benchmarking)
The Top 600 Global Cities




Top 600 cities account for 60% of global GDP yet hold about 20% of the
population
City GDP 2005




Source: McKinsey CityScope
City GDP 2025




• Over 100 new Chinese cities to enter the top 600 by 2025

• Not just megacities
Urban Economic Clout Moves East
Rapidly Expanding Middle Class




   Source: The New Global Middle Class: A Cross-Over from West to East.
             Wolfensohn Center for Development at Brookings
• Metros drive economic growth, action shifts to
   Asia, Latin America, & Eastern Europe:
 • 90% of the fastest-growing metropolitan
   economies among the 200 largest worldwide
   were located outside North America and
   Western Europe.
 • By contrast, 95% of the slowest-growing metro
   economies were in the United States, Western
   Europe, and earthquake-damaged Japan.
Source: Brookings Metro Monitor, 2011
Importance of Cities
― Most OECD metro-regions have a higher
GDP per capita than their national average (66
out of 78 metro-regions), a higher labour
productivity level (65 out of 78 metro-regions)
and many of them tended to have faster
growth rates than their countries‖


―Cities such as                              "Successful cities attract talented young
Budapest, Seoul, Copenhagen, Dublin,           highly-skilled workers, are centres of
Helsinki, Randstad-Holland and Brussels     innovation and entrepreneurship and are
that concentrate nearly half of their           competitive locations for global and
national GDP whilst                          regional headquarters. The proximity of
Oslo, Auckland, Prague, London, Stockh        universities to research and production
olm, Tokyo, and Paris account for around       facilities means cities are where new
one third‖                                           products are developed and
                                           commercialised. More than 80% of patents
                                                          are filed in cities.―
 Source: OECD, competitive cities in the                         OECD
 Global economy
We live in a spiky world




Source: Atlantic, The World is Spiky, 2005
Source: Dublin Chamber of Commerce 2010, Making the Case for Dublin
What does this mean for Dublin?

―Dublin operates in an intensely
 competitive world where
 increasingly it is cities (and not
 states) competing for
 investment, talent, tourism, internat
 ional students‖
What does this mean for Dublin?
Global trends:

• Increasing levels of human mobility and demand for
  skills (expected to double by 2020)
• Growth projections for international students (to triple by
  2020) and transnational tourism (+75% by 2020)
• About taking these opportunities
• Markets and cities that have never heard of Dublin
Sources:
•   Dirks. S., Keeling, M and Gurdgiev, C., 2010, Smarter Cities for Smarter Growth, IBM Institute for
    Business Value.
•   UN World Tourism Organisation (2009)
•   Young-Chul Kim (2009): The Asia-Pacific education market and modes of supply. In: The Asia-
    Pacific education market, eds. William Tierney and Christopher Findlay, quoted in Hawthorne
    2008.
The importance of City Branding
• “Cities must understand what place characteristics make
  them distinctive. All cities are part of the global
  economy and are now more connected physically and
  electronically. Nevertheless, unique place characteristics
  continue to distinguish one city from another and
  create competitive advantage”
Making Creative Knowledge Cities – A guide for policy
  makers

• “Governments are beginning to wake up to the fact that
  cities, countries and regions all need a new way of
  looking at
  identity, strategy, development, competitiveness and
  purpose if they are to survive in a very new world
  order”
Branding Research
What Other Cities Are Doing?
Building on Dublin’s Brand –
         which is currently unmanaged
        Dublin – Unesco City of literature,              City of Science, 2012




     - 4 Nobel laureates, Joyce, Shaw, Beckett, Heaney


               -Popular tourist destination           World design capital Bid
               -3.7 million overseas tourists in 2010


                         - FDI success story


Top tourist destination was the Guinness
Storehouse with 1 million visits in 2011
Dublin Quotes – positives
• ―Dublin is becoming known as the silicon valley of
  Europe – there is an exciting new crop of both
  indigenous and international entrepreneurs
  establishing and growing their businesses here‖
• ―Decadent, delightful and full of surprises, Dublin
  packs a punch that, delivered correctly, will leave you
  reeling but still wanting more. That’s big talk for a
  small capital‖…‖A city whose soul and sociability
  makes it the charismatic of all capitals‖ Lonely
  Planet Guide Dublin, 2011.
• ―A transformed city since the days of O’Casey and
  Joyce Ireland’s capital may have replaced its
  legendary tenements with modern buildings, but it’s
  essential spirit remains intact‖ Fodors 2011
Brand Objectives
 Attract international Talent, Business and
  Investment

 Support our exporting industries

 Promote the goals of the tourism industry

 Increase national pride in Ireland’s capital city

 Strengthen citizens identity and engagement
  with Dublin
Who is leading this?
 Collaborative City Leadership & Governance Model(Triple
  helix model)

 Positioning Dublin in the national context – a voice for
  Dublin in the absence of a strong regional governance
  model

 Strategic Approach - twice yearly International
  Benchmarking Reports & meetings with the Taoiseach:
  International – National – City Region

 Engaging People - Expanding Networks across
  Public, Private, Creative & Civic Sectors
Creative Dublin Alliance Structure
Creative Dublin Alliance Website




        www.creativedublinalliance.ie
Do we have a vision for Dublin?
Working towards this joint vision…..
Developing a regional vision requires an
                     holistic approach
How we think about regional development       How we could apply this to Dublin


                                                                              ▪   Infrastructure
                                                                              ▪   Sectors and companies
                                                  Economic                    ▪   Competitiveness
                                              1
                Regional vision                    growth                     ▪   Talent
                                                                              ▪   Labour market


      1                2              3                                       ▪   Health coverage and service
                                                                              ▪   Utilities efficiency
                                                   Quality of                 ▪   Education
                                              2    life/social                ▪   Equality
                                                  imperative                  ▪   Finance and funding
                                                                              ▪   Security
  Economic          Quality       Sustaina-
   growth           of life         bility                                    ▪   Carbon emission reductions
                                                   Sustain-                   ▪   Waste management
                                              3                               ▪   Green transportation
                                                    ability
  4       Public management and
                                                                              ▪   Energy efficiency
                 finances                                                     ▪   Regulation
                                                   Public                     ▪   Performance management
                                              4 management                    ▪   Tax collection
                                                and finances                  ▪   Top team alignment



                                                                                                       3
  Source: McKinsey, 2012                                                                               8
Benchmarking Dublin – Why?
• Dublin is now considered a truly global city and as
  such features in most of the international city
  benchmarking indices
• Dublin is a small city in the international scale and we
  certainly outperformed in relation to our size.
• Helps understanding the cities performance in the
  national, European and international context
• Learn from best practice
• Performance in key international metrics such as:
• Quality of
  living, Costs, Competitiveness, Economy, International
  tourism arrivals, International conferences / events
  , International student numbers
Dublin – International Comparisons
• Dublin is a small city in the international scale and we
  certainly outperformed in relation to our size.
• Mercer Quality of living (2011) places Dublin in the top
  quartile (26th) ahead of cities such as San
  Francisco, Helsinki, Boston, Madrid and Seattle.* 2012 has
  seen Dublin drop to 35th position in the rankings
• The capital of a small island – open economy that is
  outward looking – exports are key
• 2nd most globalised country in the world
• A hub for US investment: Since 1990 there
   has been more capital investment
   (189 billion) into Ireland compared to the BRICS
  combined.
• Dublin was the 14th richest city by GDP per capita ($55,578) out of 200 largest global
metros (2010-11)
• Dublin was the 3rd worst economic performer out of the top 200 largest global metros
(198th in 2011)
Continued Success in attracting
    Foreign Direct Investment
- 2011 a record breaking year for Foreign Direct Investment
- A twin track economy – tech sector is performing strongly in Dublin,
job shortages in some areas
- Dublin faring better than rest of Ireland
Dublin – Example Benchmarks*
    Quality of Living
    • Dublin 26th city in the world for quality of living (2011)
    • Dublin 16th top city in the world for personal safety
    • Top 5 global cities are:
      Vienna, Zurich, Auckland, Munich, DĂźsseldorf

    Costs of Living
    • Dublin is now outside of the top global 50 cities for
      costs of living (58th) from 42nd in 2010.
    • 6 years ago Dublin was 10th
    • Top 5 global cities are Luanda
      (Angola), Tokoyo, N’djamena
      (Chad), Moscow, Geneva
* The following slides demonstrate the wide range of international rankings and benchmarks
#9
    #9
    The Copenhagenize Report
    Once the third great bicycle city in Europe, after Copenhagen and
    Amsterdam, Dublin suffered the same car-centric fate as everywhere
    else but what a grand rebound the city is undertaking. A wildly
    successful bike share programme, visionary politicians who
    implemented bike lanes and 30 km/h zones, and a citizenry who have
    merely shrugged and gotten on with it. The only city scoring full bonus
    points, Dublin is an inspiration and a city worth watching.
    Copenhagenize Fixes
    The leading bicycle city in the Anglo-Saxon world got to where they
    are because of ballsy political decision-making. A bridgehead is
    established. It will, however, require further intense infrastructure
    implementation to return Dublin to the heady days of last century. The
    new cycle track along the canal is brilliant, but now Dublin needs to
    find the funds for more.

http://copenhagenize.eu/index/criteria.html
TomTom Traffic Congestion Index
-Dublin 16th most congested
city in 2012

- 24th most congested city in
Europe in 2011 (down from 6th
in 2010)
Globalisation and World Cities
           Network (2011)
Dublin is a highly connected city in the international context
Is ranked as an alpha minus city - according to the globalisation and
world cities network (looking at presence of advanced producer services
firms in global cities)
Dublin Second Friendliest World City

-British adults choose Dublin as the 2nd friendliest
world city (YouGOV survey on behalf of DK travel
guides) 2011
Wealth Report



- Dublin was the worst performer in residential property prices (85th
With a 25% decline on 2009 (Knight frank / Citi)
EIU Globe Shopper Index (2011)
    Dublin ranked 14th /33 in the economist globe shopper city index
    (ranked 4th in Europe for shops)
Dublin: Best new global city for
           startups


                    - Dublin just rated one of the
                    best new global cities for start ups

                    - Silicon Docks Badge
EIU competitiveness: Dublin Profile
Examples of Initiatives

• Sustainability Indicators
• Dublin’s role in the national and international
  economy
• Open Data and Dublinked
• Your Dublin Your Voice
• Uniquely Dublin
• Greenway, GreenIFSC
• Innovation Dublin
• Smart Cities
Sustainability Indicators
Within the next 25-30 years Dublin will
have an established international
reputation as one of the most
sustainable, dynamic and resourceful city
regions in Europe




Developing a scorecard that monitors Dublin’s performance on a yearly basis
Dublin Green City Index




            •Dublin is starting from a very low
            base

            •This is being re-confirmed with the
            development of our own sustainability
            indicators


                 Source: Siemens, EIU, 2010
Selection of indicators selected
Conclusions
• Major challenges in measuring and
  monitoring city performance. Definition of a
  city region?
• Lack of quality spatial data
• Moving towards evidence based policy
  development? Slow progress….
• Do we actually monitor and measure
  strategy?
• Planning systems in local government - lack
  of GIS tools, appropriate data to base
  decisions
• Open data offers a solution – decisions will
  be open to independent scrutiny ?
Open Data - Dublinked
2011 Functional Urban Dublin




    How can we manage this? Governance Challenge
“DUBLIN’S ROLE IN THE IRISH AND
    GLOBAL ECONOMY, 2012”
To examine Dublin’s place and role in the
national and global economies through
evidence based research coupled with
high level interview and to deliver a
research package of evidence which
explores the importance of the Dublin city
region to future national economic success


    Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
                                                          59
Broad Level Objectives
• To examine through evidence based research, optimal
  location for investment in terms of infrastructure
  provision, attractiveness, employment and talent
  capacities, sustainable development patterns.
• To create a database and a methodological approach suitable
  for economic development analysis which can be readily
  updated as further data streams e.g. census data are
  published.
• To build on and align with past and current
  research, internationally, nationally, regionally and as carried
  out within the local authorities of the city region.



         Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
                                                                 60
Structure of the Study
Delivery of a research package - 3 Reports have been
produced and distilled into a synthesis report
   Report 1 – Collation and assessment of available
    quantitative socio-economic data
   Report 2 – Spatial analytic approaches assessing socio-
    economic development
   Report 3 - Analysis of interviews, relevant reports and
    literature
   Report 4 - Synopsis of key policy issues and series of
    recommendations

       Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Starting points for discussion
                                 Dublin – a national asset
                                 Socio-Economic Profile of the City
                                 Demographic Profile
                                 Appraisal of the Urban Challenges
                                 Access to Services, Opportunity
                                 Innovation Clusters
                                 MNE’s and FDI
                                 The importance of Dublin nationally
                                 The role of regions
                                 Global Benchmarks
                                 Input from key stakeholders
                                 Planning Policy and Governance
                                 Recommendations –maximising
                                 resources, infrastructural
                                 development, scenario planning
                                 Future work
                                 Role of Tourism
                                 Transport and Connectivity (including route
                                 development internationally)
                                 The importance of economic corridors
Opinion on Dublin - SWOT
  STRENGTHS                                WEAKNESSES
  Ability to attract, produce and retain   High unemployment/Youth
  talent- critical mass of talent          Unemployment
  Good business environment – cluster      Interregional competition
  effect                                   Outdated planning and governance
  A city of global scale and/or            structures
  importance                               Inadequate Connectivity
  Relatively good quality of living        Economic crisis
  Much improved transport
  infrastructure

  OPPORTUNITIES                            THREATS
  Attracting new investment/entrants       Lack of investment in critical
  Increased collaboration across public    infrastructure (water, rail)
  and private                              Skill shortages
  Growing new creative industry            Competition from emerging markets
  Enhancing the tourism potential          Factors undermining competitiveness-
  Enhancing the built fabric and           Congestion
  unlocking underdeveloped areas           Antisocial behaviour
  Connecting to emerging cities


    Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Results
    Data on tax contribution for the year 2008 delivered in response to a
    Parliamentary Question in 2010 found that citizens or companies located in
    Dublin[1]

      – contributed 55.6% of all VAT in 2008, followed by Cork at 8.8% and
        Kildare 3.4
      – paid 62.4% of all Corporation Tax yielding €3.2bn out of a total tax of
        €5.1bn in 2008.
      – paid 50.6% of state PAYE in 2008 producing an estimated exchequer
        revenue of €5 billion for the Government.
      – paid 38.8% of non-PAYE income tax followed by Cork at 11%, Galway
        4.5%, Kildare 4%, Limerick 3.9%, Meath 3.5%, Wicklow 3.4% and
        Tipperary 3.0%.
      – contributed 41% of all Capital Gains Tax intakes
      – Figures taken from response to parliamentary question July 2010 [2]
•
    [1] A number of caveats are attached to these figures due to reporting discrepancies such as Corporation Tax being collated based on the
    county address of company HQ or the relevant branch for tax purposes.
•   [2] http://www.leovaradkar.ie/?p=1076
                   Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Spatial Representations -Job Density
 and the Functional Urban Region




     Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Locations in Dublin
                                    IDA investment locations




                                        Investment Locations by key (Gateway) areas




                      Opportunity Map for Enterprise Potential
Business Locations
• Where business
  locate across two
  growth sectors
• Hot Spots in a few
  Key Gateways



                                  ICT                Financial
                                                     and Insurance Activities




        Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Talent and Education
Dublin and a few key
Gateways are the
centres for talent and
opportunity
Dublin is the only
Gateway with more
graduates than it
produces
Talent attraction and
retention a recurrent
theme of interview
process
Broader issue of
agglomeration and
clustering (business,
talent etc.)
             Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Different Strengths in Different
             Areas




  Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Conclusions
• By international standards Dublin is a medium
  sized or small city, ranked 77th out of 78 cities in
  terms of population by the OECD. Capital city
  regions in small and medium sized European
  states such as Ireland, Denmark and
  Netherlands often play a dominant role

• Dublin accounts for almost half of national GDP
  and its effective management and continued
  success is critical for the performance of the
  entire economy
        Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Conclusions
• Dublin has the critical mass of skills and
  workforce to attract investment
• Business Demography analysis shows that
  Dublin has been resilient in certain sectors such
  as ICT and Finance, actually growing the
  numbers of enterprises notably in ICT.
• Key areas such as transport, water and
  broadband infrastructure require future proofing
  to maintain the competitiveness of Dublin.
  International benchmarks indicate a need to
  improve our performance in these areas to
  maintain competitiveness
       Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Conclusions
• Interview also revealed a strong body of opinion
  which felt that local government structures are
  sub-optimal and that ―regions‖ should set
  employment as well as population targets……
• Form, Financing and Function go hand in hand
• Common messages included continued
  potential of the city region, inadequate
  broadband, need for greater levels of
  collaboration, threat of congestion, brownfield
  regeneration, skill and language deficiencies
  and the challenge of maintaining
  competitiveness
• Collaboration Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
        Williams, B.,
                      and knowledge share…
Recommendations
• Strategic (and Technical)
  – To use evidence to influence future policy
     • Recognising in particular :
        – global position and the importance of international
          benchmarks
        – The importance of joined up data and thinking
  – Following on, it is recommended that under
    the auspices of the Creative Dublin Alliance
    that the research is used to develop a strong
    and unified vision and purpose for the city
    region.
       Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Recommendations
• A succession of ignored policy recommendations from
  the 1960’s on the form, funding and financing of local
  government are listed in Report 3. These reports
  generally support the interview opinion that local
  government should have greater levels of autonomy with
  the assigning of revenue generation powers to local
  government linked with expenditure responsibilities.




        Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Recommendations
It should be clearly recognised that Dublin is a
unique case and national asset.

If we maximise the capacity of Dublin we maximise
the potential of the entire country. Targeted
investment in key infrastructure is necessitated
e.g. to realise water resilience




 Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
Your Dublin Your Voice:
• An opinion panel of over 3,000 members has been formed
  to find out their views on living, working and studying in the
  city region. Owned by the city
• Cost effective method of citizen engagement
• Allows us to track sentiment over time
• And to run regular surveys helping to inform policies
• People from all ages and backgrounds are represented on
  the panel reflecting the diverse cosmopolitan nature of
  Dublin - over 50% of respondents have lived outside of
  Ireland for any period of time, there are also over 60
  nationalities and representatives from all 32 counties in
  Ireland. 14% non-Irish.

                  www.yourdublinyourvoice.ie
Best things about Dublin
(as identified by people that live here)
• ―Vibrant international city with a small town feel‖
• ―Dublin has a buzz that others city's don't have‖
• ―That it has the diversity and energy of a young and
  vibrant 21st century city‖
• ―Compact city where you can see a city, a fishing harbour
  and the mountains all in one day‖
• ―It’s nice and compact so that where ever you go you’ll
  always know someone nearby.‖
• ―Lots of interesting people means lots of interesting
  events and venues, and because of it’s size you hear
  about them and can get to them easily.‖
Categories   www.uniquelydublin.ie
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Smart Cities – Testbedding New Technologies

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Dublin City Council - City and Competitiveness Research Overview

  • 1. Dublin from global to local Jamie Cudden – Research, Dublin City Council Twitter: @jcudden jamie.cudden@dublincity.ie
  • 2. Recent Publications • "A roadmap for branding Dublin", developed on behalf of the Creative Dublin Alliance which outlines a series of actions and recommendations to deliver an internationally competitive brand for Dublin. www.creativedublinalliance.ie • 'Dublin's role in the national and global economy'; a one year research collaboration developed in partnership with the School of Planning at UCD on behalf of the Dublin Regional Authority. www.dra.ie • "Demographic Trends in Dublin", a position paper drawing out current and future population trends and the policy implications • www.creativedublinalliance.ie *updated version will be uploaded by end of 2012 • ―Talent attraction and retention in the Dublin Region‖ developed as part of Dublin’s participation in the world class cities partnership (WCCP) http://www.slideshare.net/jcudden/dublin-talent-presentation- 23-06-12-wccp * All our indicator and benchmarking reports are available on the Creative Dublin Alliance site
  • 3. Presentation Overview • Look at the international perspective on cities & global trends • What does it mean to Dublin? • Benchmarking our performance • Some selected initiatives and research projects
  • 4. Why do Cities Matter?  Many observers talk about the 21st century being the century of cities. The world is not flat .  For the first time in 2010 over half the world's population now live in cities. 3.8 billion by 2015 (53%)  They drive global GDP. Generating more than 80 per cent of global GDP today.  Cities occupy just 2% of the world’s land surface yet they house more than 50% of the world’s population
  • 5.
  • 8. Cities represent the Biggest Commercial Opportunity in the coming decades • One-third of the world’s population—2.6 billion people—live in emerging-market cities, and by 2030, that number will increase by an additional 1.3 billion. • Middle-class population expected to rise 70 percent between 2010 and 2015. Effecting everything from where these individuals live to how they consume. Source: Boston Consulting Group
  • 9. “ While $8.1 billion was spent on smart city technologies in 2010, by 2016 that number is projected to reach $39.5 billion” Source: ABI Research 2011
  • 10. Twitter - resources The City 2.0 @TheCity2_0 Bruce Katz @bruce_katz VP @BrookingsInst | In the face of economic stagnation, fiscal turmoil & federal gridlock, we are witnessing The Metropolitan Revolution METROPOLIS @metropolis_org Metropolis is the leading international association that gathers cities and metropolitan regions with more than a million inhabitants. http://www.metropolis.org urbandata @urbandata Cross-Sector Urban Affairs: Progressive City Planning, Health Equity, Governance 2.0, Data & Community Indicators. Views my own. Mark Abraham, Exec Dir @CTData Centre for Cities @CentreforCities The Centre for Cities is an independent research and policy institute, committed to helping #cities improve their economic performance. C40 Cities @c40cities The C40 is a network of the world's largest cities committed to implementing sustainable climate-related policies locally to help address concerns globally. ICIC @icicorg The Initiative for a Competitive Inner City (ICIC) promotes urban economic and business development in America's inner cities. LivingCities @Living_Cities 22 of the world's largest foundations and corporations united to bring the power of mainstream markets to underserved urban areas - Innovate:Invest:Lead CEOs for Cities @CEOsforCities CEOs for Cities is a national, cross-sector civic lab of urban leaders advancing the next generation of great American cities. Richard Florida @Richard_Florida Urbanist, Author, Professor, Researcher, Talker, Bike Rider, Guitar Player IBM Smarter Cities @IBMSmartCities Official IBM Smarter Cities account. Managed by Meredith Hannon and Vineeta Durani. Follows the IBM Social Computing Guidelines. #SmarterCities @PPS_Placemaking The Project for Public Spaces has practiced non-profit #planning, #design & edu in 3000 communities, 50 states & 42 countries. New York City ¡ http://www.pps.org
  • 11. “ Well over half of the world’s population now lives in cities, generating more than 80% of global GDP. Already, global business is beginning to plan strategy from a city, rather than a country, perspective. Given the rapid growth and development of many cities, particularly in emerging markets such as China and India, competition between them for business, investment and talent will only get fiercer” Source: Economist Intelligence Unit 2011 / Citi Bank Leading global cities are New York, London, Singapore and Hong Kong
  • 12. Top 10 Global Cities on comprehensive indexes Source: Greg Clarke, The business of cities, 2011 (excellent overview of international city benchmarking)
  • 13. The Top 600 Global Cities Top 600 cities account for 60% of global GDP yet hold about 20% of the population
  • 14. City GDP 2005 Source: McKinsey CityScope
  • 15. City GDP 2025 • Over 100 new Chinese cities to enter the top 600 by 2025 • Not just megacities
  • 16.
  • 17. Urban Economic Clout Moves East
  • 18. Rapidly Expanding Middle Class Source: The New Global Middle Class: A Cross-Over from West to East. Wolfensohn Center for Development at Brookings
  • 19. • Metros drive economic growth, action shifts to Asia, Latin America, & Eastern Europe: • 90% of the fastest-growing metropolitan economies among the 200 largest worldwide were located outside North America and Western Europe. • By contrast, 95% of the slowest-growing metro economies were in the United States, Western Europe, and earthquake-damaged Japan. Source: Brookings Metro Monitor, 2011
  • 20. Importance of Cities ― Most OECD metro-regions have a higher GDP per capita than their national average (66 out of 78 metro-regions), a higher labour productivity level (65 out of 78 metro-regions) and many of them tended to have faster growth rates than their countries‖ ―Cities such as "Successful cities attract talented young Budapest, Seoul, Copenhagen, Dublin, highly-skilled workers, are centres of Helsinki, Randstad-Holland and Brussels innovation and entrepreneurship and are that concentrate nearly half of their competitive locations for global and national GDP whilst regional headquarters. The proximity of Oslo, Auckland, Prague, London, Stockh universities to research and production olm, Tokyo, and Paris account for around facilities means cities are where new one third‖ products are developed and commercialised. More than 80% of patents are filed in cities.― Source: OECD, competitive cities in the OECD Global economy
  • 21. We live in a spiky world Source: Atlantic, The World is Spiky, 2005
  • 22. Source: Dublin Chamber of Commerce 2010, Making the Case for Dublin
  • 23. What does this mean for Dublin? ―Dublin operates in an intensely competitive world where increasingly it is cities (and not states) competing for investment, talent, tourism, internat ional students‖
  • 24. What does this mean for Dublin? Global trends: • Increasing levels of human mobility and demand for skills (expected to double by 2020) • Growth projections for international students (to triple by 2020) and transnational tourism (+75% by 2020) • About taking these opportunities • Markets and cities that have never heard of Dublin Sources: • Dirks. S., Keeling, M and Gurdgiev, C., 2010, Smarter Cities for Smarter Growth, IBM Institute for Business Value. • UN World Tourism Organisation (2009) • Young-Chul Kim (2009): The Asia-Pacific education market and modes of supply. In: The Asia- Pacific education market, eds. William Tierney and Christopher Findlay, quoted in Hawthorne 2008.
  • 25. The importance of City Branding • “Cities must understand what place characteristics make them distinctive. All cities are part of the global economy and are now more connected physically and electronically. Nevertheless, unique place characteristics continue to distinguish one city from another and create competitive advantage” Making Creative Knowledge Cities – A guide for policy makers • “Governments are beginning to wake up to the fact that cities, countries and regions all need a new way of looking at identity, strategy, development, competitiveness and purpose if they are to survive in a very new world order”
  • 27. What Other Cities Are Doing?
  • 28. Building on Dublin’s Brand – which is currently unmanaged Dublin – Unesco City of literature, City of Science, 2012 - 4 Nobel laureates, Joyce, Shaw, Beckett, Heaney -Popular tourist destination World design capital Bid -3.7 million overseas tourists in 2010 - FDI success story Top tourist destination was the Guinness Storehouse with 1 million visits in 2011
  • 29. Dublin Quotes – positives • ―Dublin is becoming known as the silicon valley of Europe – there is an exciting new crop of both indigenous and international entrepreneurs establishing and growing their businesses here‖ • ―Decadent, delightful and full of surprises, Dublin packs a punch that, delivered correctly, will leave you reeling but still wanting more. That’s big talk for a small capital‖…‖A city whose soul and sociability makes it the charismatic of all capitals‖ Lonely Planet Guide Dublin, 2011. • ―A transformed city since the days of O’Casey and Joyce Ireland’s capital may have replaced its legendary tenements with modern buildings, but it’s essential spirit remains intact‖ Fodors 2011
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Brand Objectives  Attract international Talent, Business and Investment  Support our exporting industries  Promote the goals of the tourism industry  Increase national pride in Ireland’s capital city  Strengthen citizens identity and engagement with Dublin
  • 33. Who is leading this?  Collaborative City Leadership & Governance Model(Triple helix model)  Positioning Dublin in the national context – a voice for Dublin in the absence of a strong regional governance model  Strategic Approach - twice yearly International Benchmarking Reports & meetings with the Taoiseach: International – National – City Region  Engaging People - Expanding Networks across Public, Private, Creative & Civic Sectors
  • 35. Creative Dublin Alliance Website www.creativedublinalliance.ie
  • 36. Do we have a vision for Dublin?
  • 37. Working towards this joint vision…..
  • 38. Developing a regional vision requires an holistic approach How we think about regional development How we could apply this to Dublin ▪ Infrastructure ▪ Sectors and companies Economic ▪ Competitiveness 1 Regional vision growth ▪ Talent ▪ Labour market 1 2 3 ▪ Health coverage and service ▪ Utilities efficiency Quality of ▪ Education 2 life/social ▪ Equality imperative ▪ Finance and funding ▪ Security Economic Quality Sustaina- growth of life bility ▪ Carbon emission reductions Sustain- ▪ Waste management 3 ▪ Green transportation ability 4 Public management and ▪ Energy efficiency finances ▪ Regulation Public ▪ Performance management 4 management ▪ Tax collection and finances ▪ Top team alignment 3 Source: McKinsey, 2012 8
  • 39. Benchmarking Dublin – Why? • Dublin is now considered a truly global city and as such features in most of the international city benchmarking indices • Dublin is a small city in the international scale and we certainly outperformed in relation to our size. • Helps understanding the cities performance in the national, European and international context • Learn from best practice • Performance in key international metrics such as: • Quality of living, Costs, Competitiveness, Economy, International tourism arrivals, International conferences / events , International student numbers
  • 40. Dublin – International Comparisons • Dublin is a small city in the international scale and we certainly outperformed in relation to our size. • Mercer Quality of living (2011) places Dublin in the top quartile (26th) ahead of cities such as San Francisco, Helsinki, Boston, Madrid and Seattle.* 2012 has seen Dublin drop to 35th position in the rankings • The capital of a small island – open economy that is outward looking – exports are key • 2nd most globalised country in the world • A hub for US investment: Since 1990 there has been more capital investment (189 billion) into Ireland compared to the BRICS combined.
  • 41. • Dublin was the 14th richest city by GDP per capita ($55,578) out of 200 largest global metros (2010-11) • Dublin was the 3rd worst economic performer out of the top 200 largest global metros (198th in 2011)
  • 42. Continued Success in attracting Foreign Direct Investment - 2011 a record breaking year for Foreign Direct Investment - A twin track economy – tech sector is performing strongly in Dublin, job shortages in some areas - Dublin faring better than rest of Ireland
  • 43. Dublin – Example Benchmarks* Quality of Living • Dublin 26th city in the world for quality of living (2011) • Dublin 16th top city in the world for personal safety • Top 5 global cities are: Vienna, Zurich, Auckland, Munich, DĂźsseldorf Costs of Living • Dublin is now outside of the top global 50 cities for costs of living (58th) from 42nd in 2010. • 6 years ago Dublin was 10th • Top 5 global cities are Luanda (Angola), Tokoyo, N’djamena (Chad), Moscow, Geneva * The following slides demonstrate the wide range of international rankings and benchmarks
  • 44. #9 #9 The Copenhagenize Report Once the third great bicycle city in Europe, after Copenhagen and Amsterdam, Dublin suffered the same car-centric fate as everywhere else but what a grand rebound the city is undertaking. A wildly successful bike share programme, visionary politicians who implemented bike lanes and 30 km/h zones, and a citizenry who have merely shrugged and gotten on with it. The only city scoring full bonus points, Dublin is an inspiration and a city worth watching. Copenhagenize Fixes The leading bicycle city in the Anglo-Saxon world got to where they are because of ballsy political decision-making. A bridgehead is established. It will, however, require further intense infrastructure implementation to return Dublin to the heady days of last century. The new cycle track along the canal is brilliant, but now Dublin needs to find the funds for more. http://copenhagenize.eu/index/criteria.html
  • 45. TomTom Traffic Congestion Index -Dublin 16th most congested city in 2012 - 24th most congested city in Europe in 2011 (down from 6th in 2010)
  • 46. Globalisation and World Cities Network (2011) Dublin is a highly connected city in the international context Is ranked as an alpha minus city - according to the globalisation and world cities network (looking at presence of advanced producer services firms in global cities)
  • 47. Dublin Second Friendliest World City -British adults choose Dublin as the 2nd friendliest world city (YouGOV survey on behalf of DK travel guides) 2011
  • 48. Wealth Report - Dublin was the worst performer in residential property prices (85th With a 25% decline on 2009 (Knight frank / Citi)
  • 49. EIU Globe Shopper Index (2011) Dublin ranked 14th /33 in the economist globe shopper city index (ranked 4th in Europe for shops)
  • 50. Dublin: Best new global city for startups - Dublin just rated one of the best new global cities for start ups - Silicon Docks Badge
  • 52. Examples of Initiatives • Sustainability Indicators • Dublin’s role in the national and international economy • Open Data and Dublinked • Your Dublin Your Voice • Uniquely Dublin • Greenway, GreenIFSC • Innovation Dublin • Smart Cities
  • 53. Sustainability Indicators Within the next 25-30 years Dublin will have an established international reputation as one of the most sustainable, dynamic and resourceful city regions in Europe Developing a scorecard that monitors Dublin’s performance on a yearly basis
  • 54. Dublin Green City Index •Dublin is starting from a very low base •This is being re-confirmed with the development of our own sustainability indicators Source: Siemens, EIU, 2010
  • 56. Conclusions • Major challenges in measuring and monitoring city performance. Definition of a city region? • Lack of quality spatial data • Moving towards evidence based policy development? Slow progress…. • Do we actually monitor and measure strategy? • Planning systems in local government - lack of GIS tools, appropriate data to base decisions • Open data offers a solution – decisions will be open to independent scrutiny ?
  • 57. Open Data - Dublinked
  • 58. 2011 Functional Urban Dublin How can we manage this? Governance Challenge
  • 59. “DUBLIN’S ROLE IN THE IRISH AND GLOBAL ECONOMY, 2012” To examine Dublin’s place and role in the national and global economies through evidence based research coupled with high level interview and to deliver a research package of evidence which explores the importance of the Dublin city region to future national economic success Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H. 59
  • 60. Broad Level Objectives • To examine through evidence based research, optimal location for investment in terms of infrastructure provision, attractiveness, employment and talent capacities, sustainable development patterns. • To create a database and a methodological approach suitable for economic development analysis which can be readily updated as further data streams e.g. census data are published. • To build on and align with past and current research, internationally, nationally, regionally and as carried out within the local authorities of the city region. Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H. 60
  • 61. Structure of the Study Delivery of a research package - 3 Reports have been produced and distilled into a synthesis report  Report 1 – Collation and assessment of available quantitative socio-economic data  Report 2 – Spatial analytic approaches assessing socio- economic development  Report 3 - Analysis of interviews, relevant reports and literature  Report 4 - Synopsis of key policy issues and series of recommendations Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 62. Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 63. Starting points for discussion Dublin – a national asset Socio-Economic Profile of the City Demographic Profile Appraisal of the Urban Challenges Access to Services, Opportunity Innovation Clusters MNE’s and FDI The importance of Dublin nationally The role of regions Global Benchmarks Input from key stakeholders Planning Policy and Governance Recommendations –maximising resources, infrastructural development, scenario planning Future work Role of Tourism Transport and Connectivity (including route development internationally) The importance of economic corridors
  • 64. Opinion on Dublin - SWOT STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES Ability to attract, produce and retain High unemployment/Youth talent- critical mass of talent Unemployment Good business environment – cluster Interregional competition effect Outdated planning and governance A city of global scale and/or structures importance Inadequate Connectivity Relatively good quality of living Economic crisis Much improved transport infrastructure OPPORTUNITIES THREATS Attracting new investment/entrants Lack of investment in critical Increased collaboration across public infrastructure (water, rail) and private Skill shortages Growing new creative industry Competition from emerging markets Enhancing the tourism potential Factors undermining competitiveness- Enhancing the built fabric and Congestion unlocking underdeveloped areas Antisocial behaviour Connecting to emerging cities Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 65. Results Data on tax contribution for the year 2008 delivered in response to a Parliamentary Question in 2010 found that citizens or companies located in Dublin[1] – contributed 55.6% of all VAT in 2008, followed by Cork at 8.8% and Kildare 3.4 – paid 62.4% of all Corporation Tax yielding €3.2bn out of a total tax of €5.1bn in 2008. – paid 50.6% of state PAYE in 2008 producing an estimated exchequer revenue of €5 billion for the Government. – paid 38.8% of non-PAYE income tax followed by Cork at 11%, Galway 4.5%, Kildare 4%, Limerick 3.9%, Meath 3.5%, Wicklow 3.4% and Tipperary 3.0%. – contributed 41% of all Capital Gains Tax intakes – Figures taken from response to parliamentary question July 2010 [2] • [1] A number of caveats are attached to these figures due to reporting discrepancies such as Corporation Tax being collated based on the county address of company HQ or the relevant branch for tax purposes. • [2] http://www.leovaradkar.ie/?p=1076 Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 66. Spatial Representations -Job Density and the Functional Urban Region Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 67. Locations in Dublin IDA investment locations Investment Locations by key (Gateway) areas Opportunity Map for Enterprise Potential
  • 68. Business Locations • Where business locate across two growth sectors • Hot Spots in a few Key Gateways ICT Financial and Insurance Activities Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 69. Talent and Education Dublin and a few key Gateways are the centres for talent and opportunity Dublin is the only Gateway with more graduates than it produces Talent attraction and retention a recurrent theme of interview process Broader issue of agglomeration and clustering (business, talent etc.) Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 70. Different Strengths in Different Areas Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 71. Conclusions • By international standards Dublin is a medium sized or small city, ranked 77th out of 78 cities in terms of population by the OECD. Capital city regions in small and medium sized European states such as Ireland, Denmark and Netherlands often play a dominant role • Dublin accounts for almost half of national GDP and its effective management and continued success is critical for the performance of the entire economy Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 72. Conclusions • Dublin has the critical mass of skills and workforce to attract investment • Business Demography analysis shows that Dublin has been resilient in certain sectors such as ICT and Finance, actually growing the numbers of enterprises notably in ICT. • Key areas such as transport, water and broadband infrastructure require future proofing to maintain the competitiveness of Dublin. International benchmarks indicate a need to improve our performance in these areas to maintain competitiveness Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 73. Conclusions • Interview also revealed a strong body of opinion which felt that local government structures are sub-optimal and that ―regions‖ should set employment as well as population targets…… • Form, Financing and Function go hand in hand • Common messages included continued potential of the city region, inadequate broadband, need for greater levels of collaboration, threat of congestion, brownfield regeneration, skill and language deficiencies and the challenge of maintaining competitiveness • Collaboration Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H. Williams, B., and knowledge share…
  • 74. Recommendations • Strategic (and Technical) – To use evidence to influence future policy • Recognising in particular : – global position and the importance of international benchmarks – The importance of joined up data and thinking – Following on, it is recommended that under the auspices of the Creative Dublin Alliance that the research is used to develop a strong and unified vision and purpose for the city region. Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 75. Recommendations • A succession of ignored policy recommendations from the 1960’s on the form, funding and financing of local government are listed in Report 3. These reports generally support the interview opinion that local government should have greater levels of autonomy with the assigning of revenue generation powers to local government linked with expenditure responsibilities. Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 76. Recommendations It should be clearly recognised that Dublin is a unique case and national asset. If we maximise the capacity of Dublin we maximise the potential of the entire country. Targeted investment in key infrastructure is necessitated e.g. to realise water resilience Williams, B., Foley, W., Cudden, J. & Shahumyan, H.
  • 77. Your Dublin Your Voice: • An opinion panel of over 3,000 members has been formed to find out their views on living, working and studying in the city region. Owned by the city • Cost effective method of citizen engagement • Allows us to track sentiment over time • And to run regular surveys helping to inform policies • People from all ages and backgrounds are represented on the panel reflecting the diverse cosmopolitan nature of Dublin - over 50% of respondents have lived outside of Ireland for any period of time, there are also over 60 nationalities and representatives from all 32 counties in Ireland. 14% non-Irish. www.yourdublinyourvoice.ie
  • 78. Best things about Dublin (as identified by people that live here) • ―Vibrant international city with a small town feel‖ • ―Dublin has a buzz that others city's don't have‖ • ―That it has the diversity and energy of a young and vibrant 21st century city‖ • ―Compact city where you can see a city, a fishing harbour and the mountains all in one day‖ • ―It’s nice and compact so that where ever you go you’ll always know someone nearby.‖ • ―Lots of interesting people means lots of interesting events and venues, and because of it’s size you hear about them and can get to them easily.‖
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81. Categories www.uniquelydublin.ie
  • 82. Other Initiatives Smart Cities – Testbedding New Technologies

Editor's Notes

  1. Word of caution in relation to benchmarkingBe wary of the metricsBranding opportunity
  2. Green Economy – Green IFSC, green way etc….