"The desire to use statistics to make baseball efficient – to measure and value precisely the events that occur on a baseball field, to give the numbers new power of language – only became potent when it became practical." - from Moneyball
Hoopalytics exists to make basketball analytics practical.
10. WIN MORE POSSESSIONS
JAY CIPOLETTI
STATGEEK & TRANSLATOR
FOUNDER - HOOPALYTICS
HOOPALYTICS@GMAIL.COM
Editor's Notes
That is a hoops junkie past his playing days, not quite in game shape, doing what he can to stay immersed in the game he loves. Basically, that is me…but I have a much better jumper.
Hoopalytics is Moneyball. You’ve seen the movie – a former player who knew there was a better way to build a team and a Yale econ stats geek who found that way. Hoopalytics is equal parts Jonah and Brad…unfortunately I’m a bit more Jonah than Brad.
The Dallas Mavericks won the 2011 NBA Championship. This photo captures the essence of the that title – Dirk Nowitski, Finals MVP and JJ Barea, feisty backup point guard that sparked his team to victory. Great underdog story, everybody loves the little guy right?
That’s not the whole story. This photo captures the real story even better. That’s still Dirk. With him is Roland Beech, a member of the basketball analytics Mt Rushmore. He was the Mavs coach that found an exploitable weakness in the Miami Heat defense. He also found that Barea had exploited it better than anyone in the first 3 games. At his suggestion, Barea was inserted into the starting lineup, continued exploiting that weakness, and the Mavs won the title. That quote is from Mark Cuban, owner of the Mavericks.
But that hasn’t happened at the college level yet. Over 1,000 schools play men’s basketball…nearly as many field women’s teams. The average men’s operating budget is just over $1 million. If you had a million dollars and your job depended on winning games, you’d probably invest some of it in understanding how to win more games, right?
But remember, Moneyball is new school. Coaching is still old school. This is what Big Data looks like to a college coach. They need a translator to transform the beautiful math into something useful and manageable that will ultimately help them win more games by winning more possessions. Hoopalytics is that translator…and we do some beautiful math too.
Our beautiful math starts with the most granular element of a basketball game – a single possession. We are working to capture every single possession, of every college basketball game played. We have already found the outer limits of Excel’s capacity – 1.05 million rows of data. We need more computing power. And when I say we, I’m referring to myself and a Ph.D in Economics from WVU who is currently working in DC but doing pro bono work for me in the hopes of moving back home.
That is where we are now. This is where we will be in 5 years. That is a real Snoop Dogg and a hologram Tupac. Imagine for a second if that was a real Kevin Durant and a hologram LeBron James. Now imagine that James hologram is every one of his possessions from his entire career. That game film is already digitized; there is no reason we can’t bring it to life.