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© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
© 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
March 2013
Foresight Engine Game Analysis:
25 Zones of
Future Innovation
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundation
www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation
Contact: Tessa Finlev, tfinlev@iftf.org
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
12 | GPP–Gross Printed Product
2
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
Around the world, 3D printers are emerging
as a potentially major disruption to
manufacturing, production, and trade.
Bringing the power to print and manufacture
goods to impoverished and isolated
households and communities has huge
implications for poverty alleviation efforts in
and of itself. But when combined with
advances in recycling and reuse processes,
the impacts will be unprecedented. Think of a
community without waste removal systems—
covered in the scourge of plastic bags tossed
into the air, wreaking havoc on livestock,
farming, and beyond. Now think of individuals
melting down recovered plastic and, for
example, printing them into useful components
for locally made agricultural machines.
3
12 | GPP | Future Innovation
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
Players grappled with the power of 3D printers and how they might be used
to build new paths out of poverty.
Ideas ranged from the wacky to the cautionary. Some imagined printing entire
cities once the capacity for large-scale printing has been fully scaled. Others
worried about how to provide the necessary inputs to 3D printing. Many ideas were
more pragmatic: some suggested ways in which recycled materials could be used
as inputs to printers, simultaneously dealing with waste issues as well as resource
issues. One player highlighted the need to include programing and CAD skills
training alongside 3D printer distribution.
4
12 | GPP | From the Players
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 5
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in 3D
printing.*
Canada**
*Cards have been lightly edited for readability.
**Player location was self selected.
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 6
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 7
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children and
students build own offline and
online narratives around it
China
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 8
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 9
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Would be good, if we had city-
sized 3D printers (working on
it). Unfortunately, they're quite
small right now, not large
enough for building
Canada
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 10
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Publicly-accessible 3D printers
Canada
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
Would be good, if we had city-
sized 3D printers (working on
it). Unfortunately, they're quite
small right now, not large
enough for building
Canada
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 11
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
http://i.materialise.com/blog/en
try/recycling-3d-printing-
materials-4-possible-solutions
is the recyclability of plastic.
Canada
Publicly-accessible 3D
printers
Canada
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
Would be good, if we had city-
sized 3D printers (working on
it). Unfortunately, they're quite
small right now, not large
enough for building
Canada
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 12
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Love the idea, but 3D printers
are still costly, require
computers, CAD and skill.
Perhaps rapid prototyping with
simple materials?
USA
Publicly-accessible 3D
printers
Canada
http://i.materialise.com/blog/e
ntry/recycling-3d-printing-
materials-4-possible-solutions
is the recyclability of plastic.
Canada
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
Would be good, if we had city-
sized 3D printers (working on
it). Unfortunately, they're quite
small right now, not large
enough for building
Canada
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 13
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Publicly-accessible 3D
printers
Canada
http://i.materialise.com/blog/e
ntry/recycling-3d-printing-
materials-4-possible-solutions
is the recyclability of plastic.
Canada
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
Would be good, if we had city-
sized 3D printers (working on
it). Unfortunately, they're quite
small right now, not large
enough for building
Canada
Start community
competitions/demos that turn
trash into treasures. Local
parks and weekly events would
generate different thinking at
home.
USA
Love the idea, but 3D printers
are still costly, require
computers, CAD and skill.
Perhaps rapid prototyping
with simple materials?
USA
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 14
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Upcycling Centres for villages,
towns and cities: Community
based centres by locals for
self-help and innovation.
Germany
Publicly-accessible 3D
printers
Canada
http://i.materialise.com/blog/e
ntry/recycling-3d-printing-
materials-4-possible-solutions
is the recyclability of plastic.
Canada
Love the idea, but 3D printers
are still costly, require
computers, CAD and skill.
Perhaps rapid prototyping
with simple materials?
USA
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
Would be good, if we had city-
sized 3D printers (working on
it). Unfortunately, they're quite
small right now, not large
enough for building
Canada
Start community
competitions/demos that turn
trash into treasures. Local
parks and weekly events
would generate different
thinking at home.
USA
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 15
12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game
Publicly-accessible 3D
printers
Canada
http://i.materialise.com/blog/e
ntry/recycling-3d-printing-
materials-4-possible-solutions
is the recyclability of plastic.
Canada
Love the idea, but 3D printers
are still costly, require
computers, CAD and skill.
Perhaps rapid prototyping
with simple materials?
USA
Some of the plastic can be
melted down and reused in
3D printing.
Canada
3D printers are fine, but you
still need materials to print.
lets work on inventing a home
recycling machine waste in =
raw materials out
USA
Introduce 3D printers to
schools and have children
and students build own offline
and online narratives around it
China
...and with 3D-printing we
could create healthy food on a
molecular level which would
require no effort of human
labor.
Norway
Would be good, if we had city-
sized 3D printers (working on
it). Unfortunately, they're quite
small right now, not large
enough for building
Canada
Start community
competitions/demos that turn
trash into treasures. Local
parks and weekly events
would generate different
thinking at home.
USA
Upcycling Centres for villages,
towns and cities: Community
based centres by locals for
self-help and innovation.
Germany
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
Signals from the Present
16
12 | GPP
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 17
Solar Sinter is a 3D printing project that
aims to make manufacturing possible in
the desert, utilizing only the sun and the
sand. Using solar panels for power, these
printers sinter the sand into a solid
material that can then be printed into a
wide array of objects.
The 3D4D Challenge
3D4D Challenge finalist Roy Ombatti wants
to provide properly shaped 3D printed shoes
that prevent further deterioration for people
suffering from foot infections and deformities
caused by the Jigger Fly in his home country
of Kenya.
12 | GPP | Signals from the Present
Solar Sinter
Image Source: www.3d4dchallenge.org/finalistsImage Source: www.markuskayser.com/work/solarsinter
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 18
Italian inventor Enrico Dini has successfully printed a full size
two-story building using only sand and an inorganic building
compound. This development takes some of the expertise out
of building houses—the only skill needed to run this printer is a
basic understanding of CAD.
12 | GPP | Signals from the Present
3D Printed House
Image Source: www.gizmag.com/d-shape-3d-printer/21594
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
© 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
March 2013
Foresight Engine Game Analysis:
25 Zones of
Future Innovation
© 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundation
www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation
Contact: Tessa Finlev, tfinlev@iftf.org

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Gross Printed Product_Catalysts For Change Zone of Future Innovtion

  • 1. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B © 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B March 2013 Foresight Engine Game Analysis: 25 Zones of Future Innovation © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundation www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation Contact: Tessa Finlev, tfinlev@iftf.org
  • 2. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 12 | GPP–Gross Printed Product 2
  • 3. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B Around the world, 3D printers are emerging as a potentially major disruption to manufacturing, production, and trade. Bringing the power to print and manufacture goods to impoverished and isolated households and communities has huge implications for poverty alleviation efforts in and of itself. But when combined with advances in recycling and reuse processes, the impacts will be unprecedented. Think of a community without waste removal systems— covered in the scourge of plastic bags tossed into the air, wreaking havoc on livestock, farming, and beyond. Now think of individuals melting down recovered plastic and, for example, printing them into useful components for locally made agricultural machines. 3 12 | GPP | Future Innovation © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
  • 4. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B Players grappled with the power of 3D printers and how they might be used to build new paths out of poverty. Ideas ranged from the wacky to the cautionary. Some imagined printing entire cities once the capacity for large-scale printing has been fully scaled. Others worried about how to provide the necessary inputs to 3D printing. Many ideas were more pragmatic: some suggested ways in which recycled materials could be used as inputs to printers, simultaneously dealing with waste issues as well as resource issues. One player highlighted the need to include programing and CAD skills training alongside 3D printer distribution. 4 12 | GPP | From the Players © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B
  • 5. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 5 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing.* Canada** *Cards have been lightly edited for readability. **Player location was self selected.
  • 6. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 6 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada
  • 7. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 7 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA
  • 8. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 8 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China
  • 9. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 9 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Would be good, if we had city- sized 3D printers (working on it). Unfortunately, they're quite small right now, not large enough for building Canada Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway
  • 10. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 10 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Publicly-accessible 3D printers Canada Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway Would be good, if we had city- sized 3D printers (working on it). Unfortunately, they're quite small right now, not large enough for building Canada
  • 11. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 11 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game http://i.materialise.com/blog/en try/recycling-3d-printing- materials-4-possible-solutions is the recyclability of plastic. Canada Publicly-accessible 3D printers Canada Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway Would be good, if we had city- sized 3D printers (working on it). Unfortunately, they're quite small right now, not large enough for building Canada
  • 12. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 12 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Love the idea, but 3D printers are still costly, require computers, CAD and skill. Perhaps rapid prototyping with simple materials? USA Publicly-accessible 3D printers Canada http://i.materialise.com/blog/e ntry/recycling-3d-printing- materials-4-possible-solutions is the recyclability of plastic. Canada Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway Would be good, if we had city- sized 3D printers (working on it). Unfortunately, they're quite small right now, not large enough for building Canada
  • 13. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 13 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Publicly-accessible 3D printers Canada http://i.materialise.com/blog/e ntry/recycling-3d-printing- materials-4-possible-solutions is the recyclability of plastic. Canada Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway Would be good, if we had city- sized 3D printers (working on it). Unfortunately, they're quite small right now, not large enough for building Canada Start community competitions/demos that turn trash into treasures. Local parks and weekly events would generate different thinking at home. USA Love the idea, but 3D printers are still costly, require computers, CAD and skill. Perhaps rapid prototyping with simple materials? USA
  • 14. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 14 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Upcycling Centres for villages, towns and cities: Community based centres by locals for self-help and innovation. Germany Publicly-accessible 3D printers Canada http://i.materialise.com/blog/e ntry/recycling-3d-printing- materials-4-possible-solutions is the recyclability of plastic. Canada Love the idea, but 3D printers are still costly, require computers, CAD and skill. Perhaps rapid prototyping with simple materials? USA Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway Would be good, if we had city- sized 3D printers (working on it). Unfortunately, they're quite small right now, not large enough for building Canada Start community competitions/demos that turn trash into treasures. Local parks and weekly events would generate different thinking at home. USA
  • 15. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 15 12 | GPP | Micro-forecasts from the Game Publicly-accessible 3D printers Canada http://i.materialise.com/blog/e ntry/recycling-3d-printing- materials-4-possible-solutions is the recyclability of plastic. Canada Love the idea, but 3D printers are still costly, require computers, CAD and skill. Perhaps rapid prototyping with simple materials? USA Some of the plastic can be melted down and reused in 3D printing. Canada 3D printers are fine, but you still need materials to print. lets work on inventing a home recycling machine waste in = raw materials out USA Introduce 3D printers to schools and have children and students build own offline and online narratives around it China ...and with 3D-printing we could create healthy food on a molecular level which would require no effort of human labor. Norway Would be good, if we had city- sized 3D printers (working on it). Unfortunately, they're quite small right now, not large enough for building Canada Start community competitions/demos that turn trash into treasures. Local parks and weekly events would generate different thinking at home. USA Upcycling Centres for villages, towns and cities: Community based centres by locals for self-help and innovation. Germany
  • 16. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B Signals from the Present 16 12 | GPP
  • 17. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 17 Solar Sinter is a 3D printing project that aims to make manufacturing possible in the desert, utilizing only the sun and the sand. Using solar panels for power, these printers sinter the sand into a solid material that can then be printed into a wide array of objects. The 3D4D Challenge 3D4D Challenge finalist Roy Ombatti wants to provide properly shaped 3D printed shoes that prevent further deterioration for people suffering from foot infections and deformities caused by the Jigger Fly in his home country of Kenya. 12 | GPP | Signals from the Present Solar Sinter Image Source: www.3d4dchallenge.org/finalistsImage Source: www.markuskayser.com/work/solarsinter
  • 18. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B 18 Italian inventor Enrico Dini has successfully printed a full size two-story building using only sand and an inorganic building compound. This development takes some of the expertise out of building houses—the only skill needed to run this printer is a basic understanding of CAD. 12 | GPP | Signals from the Present 3D Printed House Image Source: www.gizmag.com/d-shape-3d-printer/21594
  • 19. © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B © 2013 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. SR-1563B March 2013 Foresight Engine Game Analysis: 25 Zones of Future Innovation © 2013 Institute for the Future for Rockefeller Foundation. All rights reserved. SR-1563B A project by Institute for the Future and The Rockefeller Foundation www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/catalysts-for-change/catalysts-zones-of-innovation Contact: Tessa Finlev, tfinlev@iftf.org