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Hilton-Baird‟s SME Trends Index
April 2012
Introduction

“WITH the Office for National Statistics confirming     could report any positives arising from the
that the UK has slipped into its first double-dip       turbulence. The results pleasantly surprised us.
recession for the first time since the 1970s, the
country‟s small and medium-sized businesses             “I hope that you find this report both interesting
continue to contend with a vast array of cash flow      and insightful, and I would welcome any feedback
challenges.                                             or comments you may like to share.

“A limited access to traditional funding facilities     “Finally, a sincere thank you to all who took the
and the endemic issue of late payment are proving       time to participate in our research. Your honest
particularly restrictive at present, with banks         feedback in your assessments of the key
missing their lending targets to SMEs under the         challenges in today‟s economic climate is
Project Merlin initiative by £1.1 billion in 2011 and   invaluable in helping us to adapt our offerings in
Bacs Payment Schemes reporting SMEs are                 order to best assist the UK‟s SME and corporate
currently owed a record £35.3 billion in overdue        businesses.”
payments.
                                                                                            Evette Orams
“In this context, Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions‟                                    Managing Director
fourth SME Trends Index, which is conducted on a                          Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions
biannual basis, questioned more than 450
business owners and finance directors in April
2012 to ascertain how the UK‟s businesses have
performed over the past six months, and how they
expect to fare in the months ahead.

“Additionally, we looked at the resulting fallout
from the recession, and whether our respondents
Background to research

HILTON-BAIRD Financial Solutions‟ research was
undertaken among 2,164 owners and finance
directors from businesses across a wide variety of
sectors, regions and sizes in order to provide a
representative sample of the UK‟s SMEs.

To date, we have conducted four waves of
research:

-   Wave   1:   November 2010 (717 respondents)
-   Wave   2:   March & April 2011 (576 respondents)
-   Wave   3:   October 2011 (417 respondents)
-   Wave   4:   April 2012 (454 respondents)

The results provide a snapshot of the evolving and
current business sentiment and a fascinating
opportunity to establish a graphic picture of
business trends.
Key findings

THE financial health of the UK‟s businesses            have been able to take positives from it. Two in
improved in the six months to April 2012, with         five reported the recession helped them to
the overall Business Health Index – which looks at     streamline their business and cut unnecessary
a       range        of       factors      including   costs, with one in three now claiming to utilise
turnover, profitability, Crown arrears and bad debt    their resources more effectively.
levels to calculate a score for each business –
rising to its highest level since our survey began     Of particular concern, given the associated high
in November 2010.                                      costs and interest rates, was that business credit
                                                       cards overtook existing cash flow as the most
This was aided by the   decline in the proportion of   widely used form of business finance in the six
businesses reporting     an increase in operating      months to April 2012 (51%). Further, bank
costs, VAT and PAYE     arrears, coupled with a 6%     overdrafts and bank loans are now used by 47%
rise in those winning   new contracts over the last    and 25% respectively as UK businesses continue to
six months.                                            opt for traditional lending methods to fund their
                                                       business.
In addition, there was a significant increase in the
proportion of respondents expecting their              Once more however, the research found that users
business to expand over the next six                   of tailored, flexible funding solutions such as
months, rising to 39% in April 2012 from 31% in        asset finance and invoice finance have performed
October 2011.                                          better than most over the same period, despite
                                                       only 20% and 18% of respondents currently using
Generating and winning new business remains the        these facilities.
primary concern amongst respondents (33%).

Yet despite the wide-ranging cash flow challenges
arising from the downturn, an encouraging 70%
Business Health Index

THE Business Health Index1, which uses a range of                                   This Index has now risen for two successive
factors such as turnover, profitability, operating                                  surveys, with invoice finance users (1.90) and
costs and bad debts to calculate a true reflection                                  companies turning over more than £3 million
of the financial health of UK businesses, rose in                                   (1.71)   significantly   outperforming    other
April 2012 to its highest level since our survey                                    businesses.
began in November 2010.

       4


       3


       2


       1                 0.49                                                               0.46                  0.54
                                                            0.35
                                                                                              *
       0

             November 2010 (640)                   April 2011 (516)                  October 2011 (401)     April 2012 (431)
      -1


      -2


      -3

 1 See Appendix for an explanation of how the Business Health Index is calculated
 Base: 1,988 (all answering questions 1 & 2)
Business confidence

THERE was a significant increase in the proportion                              months (39%), up from 31% in October 2011.
of respondents reporting that they expect their
business to expand in the next six months.                                      Invoice finance users were the most optimistic
                                                                                about their business‟ prospects for the months
Almost two in five of the businesses surveyed in                                ahead, with 50% expecting their business to
April 2012 anticipate growth in the next six                                    expand in the next six months.


     Over the next 6 months, do you believe your business is going to... (%)

                                           Expand                    Remain the same              Contract               Don't know

                 Total (797)                         35                                 41                          14            10




                                                                                             *
    October 2011 (385)                             31                              37                        20 *                 12




         April 2012 (412)                               39 *                                     44                      9         8



                                 0          10          20          30     40      50        60        70     80             90        100

 * Significantly different from the total score at 1% significance level
 Base: 797 (all)
Business concerns

GENERATING and winning new business remained                                     The    rising  cost   of   fuel   and    materials
the primary concern for the next six months                                      (20%), managing cash flow (16%) and customers
amongst respondents in April 2012, as reported                                   taking too long to pay (14%) are also of particular
by 33%.                                                                          concern to UK business owners.

                                                                                                              Oct „11   Apr „12
% biggest concern for next six months                                                                          (391)     (419)
                                                                                                                                  Variance


       Generating & winning new business                                    33                                  34        33

                   Rising material / fuel costs                    18                                           16        20

                          Managing cash flow                      17                                            17        16

          Customers taking too long to pay                     12                                               10        14

                   Inability to access funding                9                                                 11        7

                               Rising inflation       3                                          *              4         2

                          Rising interest rates       2                                                         2         1

                                         Other            4                                                     4         3

                                  No concerns         3                                                         3         2

                                   Don't know         0                                                         0         0

                                                  0       10      20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90 100

 Base: 810 (all)
Positives from the downturn

ONLY 28% of respondents failed to identify a                         Two in five have been able to streamline the
single benefit for their business that has arisen                    business and cut costs (39%), with 33% utilising its
from the downturn.                                                   resources more effectively and 32% gaining better
                                                                     insight into the way their business is run.


% benefits arising from the downturn

                   It helped me to streamline the business and cut costs                                           39
              The business has utilised its resources more effectively                                        33
  I have had to scrutinise my business, giving me a better insight                                           32
                            I have negotiated better rates with suppliers                          20
                       Sales have increased due to reduced competition                   10
               I have sought specialist advise which has benefited me                   8
                                   I have a better work-life balance now            5
 I have increased my recruitment with access to better candidates               4
                            It spurred me on to look to export overseas         3
                   The nature of my business means we have prospered            3
                                                                   Other        2
                                                                   None                                  28
                                                             Don't know         2

 Base: 413 (all)                                                            0       10        20        30     40       50   60   70   80   90   100
Routes to finance

                                                                                                            Oct „11   Apr „12
% types of finance currently used by business                                                                (395)     (424)
                                                                                                                                Variance

                         Business credit cards                                     50                         49        51

                            Existing cash flow                                 48                             51        45

                               Bank overdraft                                  48                             48        47

                                   Bank loans                       25                                        24        25

   Asset finance (including HP & Leasing)                          21                                         23        20

                         Personal credit cards                 18                                             18        18

             Invoice finance (Factoring & ID)                 17                                              17        18

                   Loans from family & friends                16                                              20        13

                              Credit insurance           7                                                    7         7

                         Government schemes          4                                                        3         4

                       Venture capital funding       2                                                        2         1

                               Export finance        1                                                        0         1

                                        Other        2                                                        3         2

                            None of the above            7                                                    7         7

                                  Don't know         1                                                        0         2

                                                 0       10   20    30   40   50    60   70   80   90 100

 Base: 819 (all)
About Hilton-Baird

AS the UK‟s leading independent commercial              The emphasis Hilton-Baird places on delivery of a
finance broker, Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions        tailored service that meets all of our clients‟ needs
specialises in identifying the exact funding needs      is central to its business proposition and has
of businesses and matching them with suitable           played a large role in the company‟s growing
funding providers in the UK and overseas.               success. As a member of the Asset Based Finance
                                                        Association     (ABFA),   Finance     and     Leasing
Hilton-Baird‟s independent status has enabled the       Association (FLA) and the National Association of
company to foster strong relationships with more        Commercial Finance Brokers (NACFB), the
than 70 dedicated lenders, ranging from major           company maintains the highest service standards
banking groups through to smaller boutique              at all times.
funders. This objective approach and market
expertise      delivers     real    benefits      for   Hilton-Baird also recognises that its highly trained
clients, enabling the right business solution to be     team is its true strength and is fully committed to
sourced and ensuring that Hilton-Baird always           supporting them, creating a vibrant working
delivers positive and innovative financial solutions    environment with a team that is dedicated to
allied to exact business requirements.                  delivering beyond expectations.

Established in 1997, Hilton-Baird Financial
Solutions has helped in excess of 3,000
businesses during its 14-year history. It is part of
the Hilton-Baird Group, one of the UK‟s leading
independent business finance groups consisting
of a team of 50 professionals with expertise in all
aspects of commercial fundraising and risk
management across a wide range of industries
and sectors.
Appendix

1 The Business Health Index incorporates the answers from two questions for each respondent:


              Q1 Over the last 6 months, what shift have you seen in the following...
                                                            Increased        Decreased   Other
              Bounced cheques from your debtors                 -1              +1         0
              Level of bad debts                                -1              +1         0
              VAT arrears                                       -1              +1         0
              PAYE arrears                                      -1              +1         0
              Profitability of your business                    +1               -1        0
              Turnover of your business                         +1               -1        0
              Q2 In the last 6 months, what activities has your business undertaken...
                                                               Yes              No
              Won new contracts                                 +1                0
              Entered new markets                               +1                0
              Launched new products                             +1                0
              Increased number of employees                     +1                0
              Reduced number of employees                       -1                0
              Closed or contracted premises                     -1                0


Best score: +10
(e.g. a company has grown and increased its profitability whilst reducing debt and/or VAT/PAYE arrears)

Worst score: -8
(e.g. a company has contracted in size and its profits decreased but debt and/or VAT/PAYE arrears
increased)
Contact details




 Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions
 Ashwood House
 Ashwood Gardens
 Southampton
 SO16 7LF

 +44 (0)23 80 707390
 +44 (0)23 80 707391

 info@hiltonbaird.co.uk
 www.hiltonbaird.co.uk/fs
 © 2012 Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions Limited

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Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions SME Trends Index April 2012 report

  • 1. Hilton-Baird‟s SME Trends Index April 2012
  • 2. Introduction “WITH the Office for National Statistics confirming could report any positives arising from the that the UK has slipped into its first double-dip turbulence. The results pleasantly surprised us. recession for the first time since the 1970s, the country‟s small and medium-sized businesses “I hope that you find this report both interesting continue to contend with a vast array of cash flow and insightful, and I would welcome any feedback challenges. or comments you may like to share. “A limited access to traditional funding facilities “Finally, a sincere thank you to all who took the and the endemic issue of late payment are proving time to participate in our research. Your honest particularly restrictive at present, with banks feedback in your assessments of the key missing their lending targets to SMEs under the challenges in today‟s economic climate is Project Merlin initiative by £1.1 billion in 2011 and invaluable in helping us to adapt our offerings in Bacs Payment Schemes reporting SMEs are order to best assist the UK‟s SME and corporate currently owed a record £35.3 billion in overdue businesses.” payments. Evette Orams “In this context, Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions‟ Managing Director fourth SME Trends Index, which is conducted on a Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions biannual basis, questioned more than 450 business owners and finance directors in April 2012 to ascertain how the UK‟s businesses have performed over the past six months, and how they expect to fare in the months ahead. “Additionally, we looked at the resulting fallout from the recession, and whether our respondents
  • 3. Background to research HILTON-BAIRD Financial Solutions‟ research was undertaken among 2,164 owners and finance directors from businesses across a wide variety of sectors, regions and sizes in order to provide a representative sample of the UK‟s SMEs. To date, we have conducted four waves of research: - Wave 1: November 2010 (717 respondents) - Wave 2: March & April 2011 (576 respondents) - Wave 3: October 2011 (417 respondents) - Wave 4: April 2012 (454 respondents) The results provide a snapshot of the evolving and current business sentiment and a fascinating opportunity to establish a graphic picture of business trends.
  • 4. Key findings THE financial health of the UK‟s businesses have been able to take positives from it. Two in improved in the six months to April 2012, with five reported the recession helped them to the overall Business Health Index – which looks at streamline their business and cut unnecessary a range of factors including costs, with one in three now claiming to utilise turnover, profitability, Crown arrears and bad debt their resources more effectively. levels to calculate a score for each business – rising to its highest level since our survey began Of particular concern, given the associated high in November 2010. costs and interest rates, was that business credit cards overtook existing cash flow as the most This was aided by the decline in the proportion of widely used form of business finance in the six businesses reporting an increase in operating months to April 2012 (51%). Further, bank costs, VAT and PAYE arrears, coupled with a 6% overdrafts and bank loans are now used by 47% rise in those winning new contracts over the last and 25% respectively as UK businesses continue to six months. opt for traditional lending methods to fund their business. In addition, there was a significant increase in the proportion of respondents expecting their Once more however, the research found that users business to expand over the next six of tailored, flexible funding solutions such as months, rising to 39% in April 2012 from 31% in asset finance and invoice finance have performed October 2011. better than most over the same period, despite only 20% and 18% of respondents currently using Generating and winning new business remains the these facilities. primary concern amongst respondents (33%). Yet despite the wide-ranging cash flow challenges arising from the downturn, an encouraging 70%
  • 5. Business Health Index THE Business Health Index1, which uses a range of This Index has now risen for two successive factors such as turnover, profitability, operating surveys, with invoice finance users (1.90) and costs and bad debts to calculate a true reflection companies turning over more than £3 million of the financial health of UK businesses, rose in (1.71) significantly outperforming other April 2012 to its highest level since our survey businesses. began in November 2010. 4 3 2 1 0.49 0.46 0.54 0.35 * 0 November 2010 (640) April 2011 (516) October 2011 (401) April 2012 (431) -1 -2 -3 1 See Appendix for an explanation of how the Business Health Index is calculated Base: 1,988 (all answering questions 1 & 2)
  • 6. Business confidence THERE was a significant increase in the proportion months (39%), up from 31% in October 2011. of respondents reporting that they expect their business to expand in the next six months. Invoice finance users were the most optimistic about their business‟ prospects for the months Almost two in five of the businesses surveyed in ahead, with 50% expecting their business to April 2012 anticipate growth in the next six expand in the next six months. Over the next 6 months, do you believe your business is going to... (%) Expand Remain the same Contract Don't know Total (797) 35 41 14 10 * October 2011 (385) 31 37 20 * 12 April 2012 (412) 39 * 44 9 8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 * Significantly different from the total score at 1% significance level Base: 797 (all)
  • 7. Business concerns GENERATING and winning new business remained The rising cost of fuel and materials the primary concern for the next six months (20%), managing cash flow (16%) and customers amongst respondents in April 2012, as reported taking too long to pay (14%) are also of particular by 33%. concern to UK business owners. Oct „11 Apr „12 % biggest concern for next six months (391) (419) Variance Generating & winning new business 33 34 33 Rising material / fuel costs 18 16 20 Managing cash flow 17 17 16 Customers taking too long to pay 12 10 14 Inability to access funding 9 11 7 Rising inflation 3 * 4 2 Rising interest rates 2 2 1 Other 4 4 3 No concerns 3 3 2 Don't know 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Base: 810 (all)
  • 8. Positives from the downturn ONLY 28% of respondents failed to identify a Two in five have been able to streamline the single benefit for their business that has arisen business and cut costs (39%), with 33% utilising its from the downturn. resources more effectively and 32% gaining better insight into the way their business is run. % benefits arising from the downturn It helped me to streamline the business and cut costs 39 The business has utilised its resources more effectively 33 I have had to scrutinise my business, giving me a better insight 32 I have negotiated better rates with suppliers 20 Sales have increased due to reduced competition 10 I have sought specialist advise which has benefited me 8 I have a better work-life balance now 5 I have increased my recruitment with access to better candidates 4 It spurred me on to look to export overseas 3 The nature of my business means we have prospered 3 Other 2 None 28 Don't know 2 Base: 413 (all) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
  • 9. Routes to finance Oct „11 Apr „12 % types of finance currently used by business (395) (424) Variance Business credit cards 50 49 51 Existing cash flow 48 51 45 Bank overdraft 48 48 47 Bank loans 25 24 25 Asset finance (including HP & Leasing) 21 23 20 Personal credit cards 18 18 18 Invoice finance (Factoring & ID) 17 17 18 Loans from family & friends 16 20 13 Credit insurance 7 7 7 Government schemes 4 3 4 Venture capital funding 2 2 1 Export finance 1 0 1 Other 2 3 2 None of the above 7 7 7 Don't know 1 0 2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Base: 819 (all)
  • 10. About Hilton-Baird AS the UK‟s leading independent commercial The emphasis Hilton-Baird places on delivery of a finance broker, Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions tailored service that meets all of our clients‟ needs specialises in identifying the exact funding needs is central to its business proposition and has of businesses and matching them with suitable played a large role in the company‟s growing funding providers in the UK and overseas. success. As a member of the Asset Based Finance Association (ABFA), Finance and Leasing Hilton-Baird‟s independent status has enabled the Association (FLA) and the National Association of company to foster strong relationships with more Commercial Finance Brokers (NACFB), the than 70 dedicated lenders, ranging from major company maintains the highest service standards banking groups through to smaller boutique at all times. funders. This objective approach and market expertise delivers real benefits for Hilton-Baird also recognises that its highly trained clients, enabling the right business solution to be team is its true strength and is fully committed to sourced and ensuring that Hilton-Baird always supporting them, creating a vibrant working delivers positive and innovative financial solutions environment with a team that is dedicated to allied to exact business requirements. delivering beyond expectations. Established in 1997, Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions has helped in excess of 3,000 businesses during its 14-year history. It is part of the Hilton-Baird Group, one of the UK‟s leading independent business finance groups consisting of a team of 50 professionals with expertise in all aspects of commercial fundraising and risk management across a wide range of industries and sectors.
  • 11. Appendix 1 The Business Health Index incorporates the answers from two questions for each respondent: Q1 Over the last 6 months, what shift have you seen in the following... Increased Decreased Other Bounced cheques from your debtors -1 +1 0 Level of bad debts -1 +1 0 VAT arrears -1 +1 0 PAYE arrears -1 +1 0 Profitability of your business +1 -1 0 Turnover of your business +1 -1 0 Q2 In the last 6 months, what activities has your business undertaken... Yes No Won new contracts +1 0 Entered new markets +1 0 Launched new products +1 0 Increased number of employees +1 0 Reduced number of employees -1 0 Closed or contracted premises -1 0 Best score: +10 (e.g. a company has grown and increased its profitability whilst reducing debt and/or VAT/PAYE arrears) Worst score: -8 (e.g. a company has contracted in size and its profits decreased but debt and/or VAT/PAYE arrears increased)
  • 12. Contact details Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions Ashwood House Ashwood Gardens Southampton SO16 7LF +44 (0)23 80 707390 +44 (0)23 80 707391 info@hiltonbaird.co.uk www.hiltonbaird.co.uk/fs © 2012 Hilton-Baird Financial Solutions Limited