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Managing the Digital Media Mix




   affiliates               content

   search                 display



        Improve your ROI through
         Algorithmic Attribution
Havas Digital




Lead Contributors
                       Katrin Ribant
                       Director of Product Development
                       Artemis
                       katrin.ribant@havasdigital.com



                       Mark Egan
                       SVP, Director of Global New Business
                       Havas Digital
                       mark.egan@havasdigital.com



                       Josh Krichefski
                       Global Director of Client Development
                       Havas Digital
                       josh.krichefski@havasdigital.com




© 2010 Havas Digital
Havas Digital




CONTENTS
1. Introduction.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
2. The cost of last click attribution.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3. Finding balance in the digital channel mix.. . . . . . . . . . . 10
4. How does Artemis Attribution
   Weighting work?.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
5. Measuring the efficiency of
   advanced targeting vehicles.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
6. Conclusions and next steps.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
7. Resources and suggested reading.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
8. Contact details. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22




© 2010 Havas Digital
Havas Digital
                                                                 Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                                 Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




Introduction
As Campaign Attribution increasingly becomes a popular topic of discussion in the in-
                                                                                            1
dustry, Havas Digital is delighted to present the third Insight of our Attribution series.
Witness to this growing interest, OMMA Metrics accurately summarises the issues as:



       “If the click is dead, how do I know how to attribute
        success to my campaign? Should it be on the first
        impression view, the click or the viewthrough?” (1)

A recent Forrester ( 2 ) study shows that 52% of surveyed Marketers think that measur-
ing attribution beyond last click would help them to spend marketing dollars more
effectively. Havas Digital believes these Marketers are right and that this number will
increase as more Marketers become aware of the opportunities to measure campaign
success beyond last click attribution.

“WHAT DESCRIBES YOUR ORGANIZATION’S ATTITUDES ON
THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS REGARDING ATTRIBUTION?”


           Measuring attribution would enable us to                                         Strongly
                                                                       41%    12%           disagree
            spend marketing dollars more efficiency                  36%
                                           4%       8%                                      Disagree

         We would invest in attribution if there were a                     47% 7%          Neutral
    reliable framework for measurement and analysis                   38%
                                                                                            Agree
                                              2% 6%
                                                                                            Strongly
Attribution could help us understand online behavior                   40% 11%              agree
      and influence offline marketing and promotions                    43%
                                               2% 5%

       Attribution is best measured and understood                32% 6%
                            using Web analytics tools                          54%
                                              2% 6%

   Attribution is something that will never be precise      22% 6%
                 and therefore is not worth measuring                  41%
                                   6%              26%

Base: 275 US Web site decision-makers (percentages may not total 100 because of rounding)
Source: JupiterResearch e-Rewards Executive Survey (2/08)




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                                4
Havas Digital
                                                             Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                             Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                                  1. Introduction




Havas Digital, a leading global agency dedicated to accountability, has long been fo-
cused on Campaign Attribution and understanding how the different pieces of the dig-
ital media mix interplay to help Marketers funnel customers through to purchase.
As defined by Forrester ( 3 ) , attribution is “The practice of distributing credit for an action
or conversion across multiple ads rather than assigning full credit to the most recent ad.
In other words…giving credit where credit is due”.
In a previous HD Insight –Artemis Attribution weighting, April 2009– we introduced Ar-
temis Attribution Weighting for Search (4) , Havas Digital’s evidence-based algorithmic
attribution methodology developed in collaboration with external consultants active in
the fields of Mathematics and Modelling.


Artemis Attribution Weighting helps marketers
understand the value of digital media exposure by
spreading credit for customer conversions across
full exposure paths, and credits every exposure
according to its role in the desired outcome.
Algorythmic attribution is necessary to ensure that the performance of the campaign is
being measured accurately and therefore the campaign can be truly optimised.
Artemis, Havas Digital’s proprietary marketing analysis platform, has been instrumental to
Havas Digital’s understanding of customer behaviour as it relates to digital campaign op-
timization. Havas Digital has always been a leader in using the full exposure path to con-
version in order to understand the contribution of each piece of the Digital Media Mix.
Once you have considered this Insight document, we would be delighted to discuss in-
dividual business issues and opportunities, whether you are already a Havas Digital client
or simply just interested in a more case-specific perspective. Please contact your Havas
Digital account director, the appropriate Havas Digital country Managing Director or any
authors to find out how many of the emerging opportunities in digital marketing can play
a key role in your overall marketing plans.




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                           5
Havas Digital
                                                           Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                           Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




The cost of last
click attribution                                                                  2
As stated by Forrester ( 2 ) , “A lack of attribution can portray unrealistic views of market-
ing performance, for example: Independent tracking systems result in fuzzy math that
doesn’t add up (…), Extended sales cycles mask the impact of first clicks (…), Search
looks heroic, but advertising really provides lift (…)”

Havas Digital’s Artemis Attribution Weighting addresses all Forrester’s points, and more:

Independent tracking systems result in fuzzy math that doesn’t add up.
Havas Digital’s Artemis provides Marketers with a unified tracking system that inte-
grates all Digital Campaign data on the most granular level, as well as a Marketer’s
proprietary data, providing understanding of the true value of each exposure on each
user and segment.

Extended sales cycles mask the impact of first clicks.
We have illustrated how early funnel exposures impact conversions in previous HD In-
sights ( 3 ) . In an optimisation case for a Tour Operator, Artemis revealed that Customers
start searching for a holiday up to 8 weeks before purchase, and the most expensive
Generic keywords are used at the beginning of the search process. By phasing how bids
on different segments of generic keywords were up-weighted (with different start dates
for each segment), then widening coverage with more specific lower cost keywords to
create relevance at each stage of the purchase process, Havas Digital hit monthly sales
targets 10 days ahead of time with 30% increased cost efficiency.

Search looks heroic, but advertising really provides lift.
Havas Digital has long factored the effect of Display exposures on Search conversions
rates in the optimisation process. If campaigns are optimized solely with the “last click
before purchase” rule, there is a danger of under optimization of display buys and early
funnel keywords. This limits the potential to recruit customers, resulting in less efficiency
and lost customer volume. As illustrated on the following chart, this effect can be quite
dramatic with conversion rates up to 83% better for users exposed to Display.
With Artemis Attribution for Search, released earlier this year, Havas Digital is able to
accurately quantify the contribution of early funnel searches ( 5 ) . We have extended the
Artemis Attribution Weighting model to include Display, weighting every exposure
in the journey to user conversion and helping allocate spend to each channel.Under-
standing interaction between channels and how it affects conversion rates is part of the
standard optimisation process for Havas Digital.




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                        6
Havas Digital
                                                                   Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                                   Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                    2. The cost of last click attribution




                                            Artemis Insight

  Artemis allows adver-    expose to       search         search       conversion index
  tisers to look at the    graphical?       clicks      activities         rate
  interaction of display   Yes            1,093,878         6,280        0.57410%       183
  and search activity.     No             1,364,383         4,277        0.31337%       100
  Examples from actual     Totals         2,458,713        10,557        0.42937%
  campaigns show uplift
  up to 83% on user groups exposed to display and search, above and beyond conversions
  from users exposed to search only. Not only is the last-click rule not enough to accurately
  optimize search campaigns it furthermore can ignore effective display activity.




       Artemis Attribution Weighting – Cross Channel
     quantifies the contribution of each exposure with the
      appropriate fraction of the sales/revenue generated,
   allowing for accurate attribution across Digital Channels.


Display can be undervalued
in last click attribution
Havas Digital found that Artemis Attribution weighting can reallocate as much as 10%
of credit to Display away from last click. The graph below shows an example from
an Advertiser in the Travel sector, running Search and Display campaigns. For users
converting from a last Search click, Artemis Attribution Weighting reallocated 34% of
credit to earlier Search clicks and 10% of credit to Display. Crediting early funnel ad
exposures for their role in sales can provide better, more efficient allocation decisions
across digital channels.

                                            Artemis Insight

      last click attribution                               artemis attribution weighting
      % of conversions attributed to Display               % of conversions attributed to Display

                                                       Display
                                                          10%
                                                                                             Search
                               Last click                                                    Last click
                               100%                                                          56%
                                                        Search
                                                   Assist clicks
                                                           34%




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                                      7
Havas Digital
                                                          Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                          Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                            2. The cost of last click attribution




Specific Display Sites are prevalent
in early funnel stages
Drilling down into site types, we found that not all sites get the same uplift in sales
credit allocation through Artemis Attribution Weighting. For this same Advertiser, Por-
tals and Travel Sites got around 30% uplift in credit allocation when Artemis Attribution
Weighting was used, whereas Networks received nearly half the uplift from the other
categories. This shows that users tend to visit different websites as they make purchase
decisions and assigning credit solely to the user’s last click presents major flaws in media
mix optimisation for Display as well as for search.

                                     Artemis Insight

   ARTEMIS ATTRIBUTION WEIGHTING UPLIFT (by SITE CATEGORY)


        35%
                                                             % Uplift
                             30%
                                                          In conversions attributed to Site
                                             17%
                                                          Categories with Artemis Attribution
                                                          Weighting optimisation.
       PORTAL          TRAVEL SITE         NETWORK




Frequency of exposure can
influence conversion rates
If early funnel exposures influence conversion rates, it is legitimate to wonder about the
ideal frequency of exposure. As purchase windows can be quite different according to
the product category, we analyse not only frequency, but frequency per period of time, a
notion we call “Density”. Artemis Attribution Weighting showed that Densities of 2-3 ex-
posures per 12-hour period were most efficient at positively influencing conversion rates.

                                     Artemis Insight

   ARTEMIS ATTRIBUTION WEIGHTING UPLIFT by density (frequency of exposure per 12h period)


                         5

                         4
                                                                   Frequencies of 2-3
                             3                                     exposures per 12h period
                             2                                     were most efficient at
                                                                   lifting conversion rates.
                         1

                         0

  0             50       100         150           200       250




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                            8
Havas Digital
                                                       Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                       Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                        2. The cost of last click attribution




Density is used by Havas Digital in Digital Media Planning to optimise campaign phasing
by spreading or concentrating ad exposures over periods of time in order to influence
conversion rates.


Marketer’s checklist
does your agency have these optimising capabilities?

 HAVAS DIGITAL                                                              YES      NO

 Unified tracking system for all Digital Media                               X        –

 Full exposure path to conversion on user level                              X        –

 Evidence-based attribution models for Display and Search                    X        –




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                       9
Havas Digital
                                                        Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                        Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




FINDING BALANCE IN
THE DIGITAL CHANNEL MIX                                                            3
Digital Marketing Mix optimisation helps Marketers leverage all Digital communication
channels to achieve goals with optimal efficiency. Optimising digital campaigns on
last click only causes an imbalance in spend allocation to Digital channels, resulting in
Marketers either overpaying on a cost per conversion basis, or losing out on potential
conversion volumes.
The following case study shows how an Advertiser in the Telco sector was able to lower
their overall digital marketing mix efficiency whilst hitting sales targets by optimising
Display and Search channels to leverage early funnel ad exposures in consumer con-
version process.


   Case Study

   Media Mix optimisation for Telco Advertiser
   Havas Digital recommended to a prominent European Telco Advertiser promoting
   2 similar products to test diversifying how introducing Display in one of the two
   products’ Media Mix could help sales volumes and campaign efficiency.
   As both products were quite similar, their Search campaigns used some common
   terms, which made comparison in efficiency easy and reliable.
   Using Artemis Attribution Weighting to measure Display contribution to cam-
   paign conversions, Havas Digital demonstrated that users exposed to Display
   banners had a conversion rate 32% higher when compared to users exposed
   to Search only.

   conversion rate index from users exposed to search and display




                                                          32% higher conversion rate for
                                                          users exposed to Display and
                                        132
                                                          Search than for users exposed
                100                                       to Search only.



           SEARCH ONLY         DISPLAY AND SEARCH


   Artemis Attribution Weighting also showed that Assist Clicks were credited 26%
   Display was credited with 7% of conversions previously allocated to Last Click.




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                       10
Havas Digital
                                                              Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                              Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                 3. Finding balance in the digital channel mix




   Case Study
   Artemis Attribution Weighting also showed that assist clicks were credited 26% Dis-
   play was credited with 7% of conversions previously allocated to the final click.

   artemis attribution weighting by channel


         Display                                         Valuation of early funnel searches
             7%                                          and Display exposures through
                                                         Artemis Attribution Weighting let
                                                         to 18% optimisation in CPA
          Search                            Search
     Assist clicks                          Last click
             26%                            67%




   After optimising the campaigns for 2 months, Havas Digital optimised the campaign
   Cost Per Acquisition by 18% whilst hitting sales volume targets and lowering the CPA
   of the most expensive generic search keywords by 21%, demonstrating that leverag-
   ing all digital channels in an accountable way helps Marketers drive better results
   from their Digital spend.




Marketer’s checklist
does your agency have these optimising capabilities?

 HAVAS DIGITAL                                                                      YES       NO

 Strategic Digital Mix optimisation capabilities                                      X       –

 Holistic view on Digital channels interaction                                        X       –




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                               11
Havas Digital
                                                           Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                           Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




How does Artemis Attribution
Weighting work?                                                                 4
As Attribution gained traction in the Digital Marketing space, most Analytics compa-
nies started offering attribution capabilities beyond last click. However, most of them
propose “set” alternatives like:

• First Click: attributing all credit to the first click




• Even Distribution: spreading credit evenly across events




• Other random models




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                  12
Havas Digital
                                                           Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                           Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                              4. How does Artemis Attribution Weighting work?




However, though random attribution models are easy to build, they can negatively
impact campaign optimisation. As shown on this graph, Affiliates get attributed vastly
different amounts of conversions accoring to the chosen model.




Search gets more credit on Last Click attribution than with models taking early funnel
ad exposures into account.




Choosing an attribution model will impact campaign optimisation, so it should not be
random. The question then becomes…


Why choose one model over another?



                       display                                   display

        search    converting     affiliates          search       NON        affiliates
                     user                                      converting
                                                                  user




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                      13
Havas Digital
                                                           Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                           Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                             4. How does Artemis Attribution Weighting work?




Havas Digital believes attribution models need to be based on an understanding of
how converting users are different from non converting users as it relates to ad ex-
posure, answering the question: have these ads made a difference in my campaigns
conversions?
This enables attribution of the correct credit for conversions to efficient ads, and elimi-
nate inefficient ones from the media plan.
Artemis Attribution Weighting does just that. Using advanced statistical modeling meth-
ods, the system credits each exposure according to the role it plays in the probability of
conversion for each campaign.
In order to attribute value correctly, every campaign must be looked at in isolation, there is
not one silver bullet model that can be defined as the “right” model for every campaign.
So how can we isolate the most appropriate model for each campaign?
The appropriate model to attribute value most accurately is identified on a campaign
by campaign basis across channels. Each time a data set combining campaigns for an
advertiser is scored by Artemis Attribution Weighting, the system automatically builds
bespoke models fitted to the data.
Here are some of the variables used in the modeling process:
• Position in journey path
• For Search keywords, was it a Branded keyword? High or low volume?
• Position of Ad on Search Result Pages
• Recency of interaction
• Density (Frequency by period of time) of interaction
• And many more…


The following section shows more examples of how this helps optimise campaign efficiency.




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                       14
Havas Digital
                                                        Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                        Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




Measuring the Efficiency of
Advanced Targeting Vehicles                                                     5
To further optimise cross-channel efficiency, Havas Digital uses the most advanced
targeting technologies on the market, including Re-targeting Behavioural Targeting,
Contextual Targeting and Display Advertisement Re-targeting on Search keywords.
Artemis attribution weighting does not simply help us avoid over-valuing the last click.
Artemis attribution weighting is critical to isolating the success of one technique over
another. Some publishers are able to expose users to specific messages in determined
sequences according to what keywords the user clicked on, or what type of content
the user just viewed.




                                                 User searches for Volvo cars
                                                 in major search engines




                                         User gets exposed
                                         to Volvo Ad
                                         on website




These powerful techniques are often under-valued when optimising campaigns on last
click only. Last Click attribution masks the effect of Display exposures by attributing
the credit to the last clicked keyword.




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                 15
Havas Digital
                                                        Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                        Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                5. Measuring the efficiency




In this example, a user clicks on a generic Volvo search ad in Yahoo, gets exposed to a
Volvo banner, then click on a Volvo brand search ad in Yahoo, and requests a car test on
the website.
The credit for the conversion goes to the Volvo branded search ad.




             1. Click on generic Volvo Search ad




             2. Exposed to Volvo banner




                                                                             100% credit
             3. Click on branded Volvo Search ad
                                                                             to last click




                            Request test drive




Because the Display ads are targeted to users having clicked on search ads, even if this
user had gone back to the Volvo website without clicking on branded Volvo search ad,
the credit for the test drive would still not go the Display banner, as clicks take prec-
edence over impressions when using last click attribution.



                                                                             100% credit
             1. Click on generic Volvo Search ad                             to last click




             2. Exposed to Volvo banner




                            Request test drive




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                         16
Havas Digital
                                                          Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                          Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                      5. Measuring the efficiency




The only cases where the Display banner ad gets credit for the conversion are if:

The banner ad got the last click

                                                              ...this isn’t by far the most common
          1. Click on generic Volvo Search ad                 case, as branded searches usually
                                                              are used at the end of the conver-
                                                              sion funnel

          2. Click on branded Volvo Search ad




                                                          100% credit
          3. Click on Volvo banner
                                                          to last click




                         Request test drive




The user did not click on a search ad

                                                              ...this defeats the purpose of
          1. Exposed to Volvo banner                          display re-targeting on search...



                                                          100% credit
          2. Click on Volvo banner
                                                          to last click




                         Request test drive




Havas Digital believes that to accurately measure the efficiency of sophisticated target-
ing on sites/placement, alternative measurement strategies must be used.
Measuring the effect of Display banners exposure on Search conversion rates, rather
than with conventional Last Click attribution, shows a dramatically different picture of the
efficiency of Search re-targeted Banners.



   Case Study

   Measuring Display on Search retargeting, Finance Advertiser
   Havas Digital recommended using Display on Search re-targeting to help a finance
   advertiser funnel consumers to the last stages of the conversion to bank account
   openings on their website.




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                              17
Havas Digital
                                                                         Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                                         Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                                 5. Measuring the efficiency




   Case Study

   When measured on Last Click attribution, the Search Re-targeting placements didn’t
   look efficient when compared to other Display placements. In fact, they were the
   least efficient placements on the schedule, as shown on the graph below.


   CPA INDEX


                               Search retargeting          Search Retargeted Display placements do not
                                                           appear efficient when measured with last click
                News sites                                 attribution.

                   Portals

                               Networks

  50                         100                     150



   Using Artemis Attribution weighting, Havas Digital demonstrated that users ex-
   posed to the Search re-targeting placements were converting 46% better than users
   exposed to Search only, which was the best uplift on search conversions when com-
   pared to other Display placements.


   conversion rate index from users exposed to search and...


       Search retargeting                      146         Artemis Attribution Weighting valuation of early
                                                           funnel Search Retargeted Display placements
                News sites           115                   shows 46% uplift on Search conversion for ex-
                                                           posed users.
                   Portals         105

                  85           Networks

               Search only 100


  50                         100                     150




Marketer’s checklist
does your agency have these optimising capabilities?

 HAVAS DIGITAL                                                                                YES      NO

 Understand measurement of sophisitcated targeting for Display                                 X        –

 Optimise cross-channel Digital Media in a holistic way                                        X        –




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                                          18
Havas Digital
                                                                     Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                                     Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




Conclusions and Next Steps
More than ever in times of increased focus on accountability, Marketers need to under-
                                                                                                         6
stand how their efforts are contributing to their company’s bottom line. Increased scrutiny
on marketing budgets means that Advertisers need to look more closely than ever at which
pieces of their marketing mix are effective at driving customers to purchase. Of all Market-
ers, Digital Marketers certainly have the best tools at hand to manage this process.


   “Given today’s challenging economic times, attribution is critically important
   because so many organizations are questioning the value of their outbound
      marketing efforts Marketers should begin measuring multi-campaign
            attribution now, before it becomes a corporate mandate”     .
                                           Forrester, Multi-campaign Attribution, February 2009



Moving away from Last Click attribution can be a challenge for Marketers, unless they are
equipped with the appropriate resources.
Havas Digital maps a solution for each one of the 5 challenges identified by Forrester (6) in
for Marketers quantifying multi-campaign attribution.

“WHAT are your organization’s greatest challenges
in quantifying marketing ATTRIBUTION?”


                                                                                       41%
                                                                                                         56%
    Staffing necesary to do the analysis                                                                 56%
                                                                                                   51%

                                                                                                   52%
        Applying weighting to different                                                  45%
                                                                                 37%
                 marketing campaigns                                                     45%

                                                                                                    53%
                                                                            34%
Reconciling data from disparate sources                                                  44%
                                                                                       42%

                                                                           32%
         Maintaining persistent cookies                            24%
                from multiple activities                           24%
                                                                     27%

                                                                           32%
   Organizational structure (company is            11%
organized by channel and/or discipline)                     18%
                                                             19%                             $1B or more
                                                                                             $100M to less than $1B
Base: 275 US Web site decision-makers                                                        $50M to less than $100M
Source: JupiterResearch e-Rewards Executive Survey (2/08)                                    All




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                                             19
Havas Digital
                                                       Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                       Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                          6. Conclussions and next steps




• Havas Digital has fully qualified analysts serving 40 countries
  in our global network.

• Artemis Attribution Weighting credits each exposure with
  the appropriate fraction of the conversion.

• Artemis provides Havas Digital clients with a unified tracking
  system for all Digital spend.

• Havas Digital manages all Digital channels in an integrated way.

Havas Digital believes that accurate management and optimisation of the Digital Me-
dia Mix provide better effectiveness and efficiency to Marketers, helping get more
value for spend.
Havas Digital has a global presence and qualified teams who use market leading tech-
nology such as Havas Digital’s Artemis to help Marketers achieve their goals.
In the coming months, we will extend Artemis Attribution Weighting to account for Vid-
eo exposures, valuing each interaction to provide even more accurate optimization of
the digital media mix.



Marketer’s checklist
does your agency have these optimising capabilities?

 HAVAS DIGITAL                                                           YES     NO

 Unified tracking system for all Digital Media                            X       –

 Full exposure path to conversion on user level                           X       –

 Evidence-based attribution models for Display and Search                 X       –

 Strategic Digital Mix optimisation capabilities                          X       –

 Holistic view on Digital channels interaction                            X       –

 Understand measurement of sophisitcated targeting for Display            X       –

 Optimise cross-channel Digital Media in a holistic way                   X       –




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                  20
Havas Digital
                                                        Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                        Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




Resources and Suggested Reading
Resources
                                                                             7
Media Contacts – www.mediacontacts.com
Adwords – adwords.blogspot.com
Shumans, Business, Media & Technology – shumans.com
John Batelle’s Search Blog – battellemedia.com
Pay Per Click Blog – www.ppcblog.co.uk
Search Engine Watch – searchenginewatch.com
Enquisite – www.enquisite.com/blog/
Wikipedia – www.wikipedia.com
Forrester Research – www.forrester.com
Gartner Research – www.gartner.com


Sources
(1) http://www.mediapost.com/events/?/showID/OMMAMetricsMeasurement.09.NYC/
    type/Agenda/itemID/735/OMMAMetricsMeasurement-Agenda.html
(2) Forrester, Framework for Multi-Campaign Attribution Measurement (2009)
(3) Forrester, Measuring The ROI Of Online Marketing -The Art Of Attribution (2009)
(4) HD Insight, Artemis Attribution Weighting, Managing the Purchase Funnel (2009)
(5) HD Insight, Searching for Real Attribution (2008)
(6) Forrester, Multi-Campaign Attribution (2009)


Suggested Reading
Mark Jeffery, Data-Driven Marketing (John Wiley & Sons, 2010)
Bart Milner, Google and the Mission to Map Meaning and Make Money
(Electric Book Company, 2004)
James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds (Anchor, 2005)
David A. Vise & Mark Malseed, The Google Story (Delta, 2006)
John Batelle, The Search (Portfolio Trade, 2006)
Akin Anikan, Multichannel Marketing: Metrics and Methods for On
and Offline Success (Sybex, 2008)




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                  21
Havas Digital
                                                      Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                      Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX




CONTACT DETAILS                                                                  8
We encourage you to contact us directly to discuss, in more details, any concerns you
may have regarding this Havas Digital Insight issue. We will be happy to assist you.
    · katrin.ribant@havasdigital.com		
    · mark.egan@havasdigital.com
    · josh.krichefski@havasdigital.com


Or contact your Havas Digital LOCAL OFFICE:


HAVAS DIGITAL ARGENTINA                        HAVAS DIGITAL BRAZIL
address Humberto Primo 101, Capital Federal.   address Rua Luigi Galvani 42,
C1103ACC, Ciudad Buenos Aires, Argentina.	     11º Andar. Conj. 115. Brooklin 04575-020.
Office phone +54 11 5777 7400                  São Paulo, Brazil.
fax +54 11 5777 7401                           Office phone +55 11 2889 5650
country manager Germán Abaroa                  fax +55 11 5506 4753
email german.abaroa@ar.mediacontacts.com       country manager André Zimmermann
                                               email andre.zimmerman@mediacontacts.com
HAVAS DIGITAL AUSTRALIA
                                               HAVAS DIGITAL canada
address 1 Level 16, Town Hall House.
456 Kent Street, Sydney NSW 2000.              address 473 Adelaide Street West,
Office phone +61 2 9266 1717                   Suite 300, Toronto. Ontario, M5V1T1.
fax +61 2 9283 9024                            Office phone +1 416 487 9393
                                               fax +1 416 920 5043
address 2 113 York Street South,
                                               country manager Chris Williams
Melbourne VIC 3205.
                                               email chris.williams@ca.mediacontacts.com
Office phone +61 3 9693 8107
fax +61 3 9690 5706
                                               HAVAS DIGITAL CHILE
country manager Nick Behr
email nick.behr@au.mediacontacts.com           address Almirante Pastene 333,
                                               Floor 7, Of. 701.
                                               7500506 - Providencia, Santiago, Chile.
HAVAS DIGITAL belgium
                                               Office phone +56 2 7148100
address Rue Maurice Charlent, 53.              country manager Gonzalo Parra
1160 Auderghem, Belgium.                       email gonzalo.parra@havasdigital.com
Office phone +32 2 349 1560
fax +32 2 349 1570
country manager Stephanie Radochitzki
email stephanie.r@mediacontacts.com




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                     22
Havas Digital
                                                        Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                        Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                          8. Contact details




HAVAS DIGITAL CHINA                            HAVAS DIGITAL FRANCE
address 1 Room 8011-8012, 8/F,                 address 11 Square Leon Blum,
Novel Building No. 887, Huaihai Zhong Road.    Puteaux Cedex, F92806 France. 	
Shanghai, China, 200020.                       Office phone +33 1 46 93 33 33
Office phone +86 21 6467 6368                  fax +33 1 46 93 35 37
fax +86 21 6467 6369                           country manager Christophe Dané
                                               email christophe.dane@havasdigital.com
address 2 Room 2001, 20/F, Tower B,
Global Trade Center No.36, Dong San
Huan Road, Dongcheng District.                 HAVAS DIGITAL GERMANY
Beijing, China, 100013.                        address Hedderichstrasse 49.
Office phone +86 10 5923 2923                  60594 Frankfurt, Germany.	
fax +86 10 5825 6173                           Office phone +49 69 603 292 400
country manager Leon Lu                        fax +49 69 603 292 470
email leon.lu@cn.mediacontacts.com             country manager Joerg Manthey
                                               email joerg.manthey@de.mediacontacts.com

HAVAS DIGITAL COLOMBIA
                                               HAVAS DIGITAL HONG KONG
address Carrera 7, No. 71-21, Torre A,
Piso 12. Edificio Avenida Chile.               address 32 Floor, Chinachem Building.
Bogotá, D.C. Colombia.	                        Exchange Square, 338 Kings Rd, Northpoint.
Office phone +57 1 325 8341                    Hong Kong, China.	
fax +57 1 317 3464                             Office phone +852 2590 1814
country manager David Posada                   fax +852 2516 5411
email david.posada@havasdigital.com            country manager Margaret Fung
                                               email margaret.fung@hk.mediacontacts.com

HAVAS DIGITAL DENMARK
                                               HAVAS DIGITAL HUNGARY
address Jagtvej 169B, DK 2100.
Copenhagen O Denmark.	                         address 1117 Budapest, Alíz u.1
Office phone +45 7733 4300                     (hrsz.3990/5) Office Garden Building
fax +45 7733 4433                              5th Floor (Szerémi; u-Hengermalom
country manager Soren Bronee                   u.corner) Hungary.	
email soren.bronee@mediacontacts.com           Office phone +36 1 799 1820
                                               fax +36 1 799 1821
                                               country manager Attila Eros
HAVAS DIGITAL ESTONIA
                                               / Zsuzsa Czagler
address Pärmu mnt, 102C, Tallinn, Estonia.     email attila.eros@mediacontacts.com
Office phone +372 669 1000                     / zsuzsa.czagler@mediacontacts.com
fax +372 669 1001
country manager Kaarel Oja
email kareel.oja@ee.mediacontacts.com


HAVAS DIGITAL FINLAND
address Arabianranta, 6, Helsinki, Finland.	
Office phone +358 4 0746 1441
country manager Ismo Tenkanen
email ismo.tenkanen@mediacontacts.com




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                        23
Havas Digital
                                                             Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                             Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                                 8. Contact details




HAVAS DIGITAL INDIA                                HAVAS DIGITAL malaysia
address 1 30, Hauz Khas Village, 3rd Floor.        address F-39-11, Level 11, The Crest, 3Two
New Delhi - 110016 India.                          Square, No. 2. Jalan 19/1, 46300 Petaling Jaya,
Office phone +91 11 398 444 00/11                  Selangor Darul Ehsan. Kuala Lumpur - Malaysia.
fax +91 222 491 5766                               Office phone +603 7628 6658
                                                   fax +603 7628 6777
address 2 Brady Glady’s Plaza, Unit 1,
                                                   country manager
2nd Floor. Senapati Bapat Marg,
                                                   Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam
Lower Parel, Mumbai - 400 013 India.
                                                   email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com
Office phone +91 22 300 364 00/33

address 3 6-3-899/I, Second Floor, R.V.’s Kamala
                                                   HAVAS DIGITAL mexico
Castle. Somajiguda, Hyderabad - 500 082 India.
Office phone +91 40 645 631 86 / 661 399 68        address Prolongación Paseo de la Reforma
                                                   1015, Torre A, Piso 24. Col. Desarrollo Santa Fé.
country manager Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam            01376 México DF.
email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com             Office phone +52 55 9177 6081
                                                   fax +52 55 9177 6005
HAVAS DIGITAL italy                                country manager Mauricio Vazquez
                                                   email mauricio.vazquez@havasdigital.com
address Bastioni di Porta Volta, 10.
20121 Milano, Italy.	
Office phone +39 02 6744 3201                      HAVAS DIGITAL NETHERLANDS
fax +39 02 6744 3222                               address Burg. A. Colijnweg 2.
country manager Gionata La Torre                   1182 AL Amstelveen, Netherlands.
email gionata.latorre@mediacontacts.com            Office phone +31 (0) 20 408 90 00
                                                   fax +31 (0) 20 408 90 01
HAVAS DIGITAL latvia                               country manager Bjorn Brouwer
                                                   email bjorn.brouwer@mediacontacts.com
address Kr. Barona Street 36-9.
LV 1011 Riga, Latvia.	
Office phone +371 2961 5655                        HAVAS DIGITAL peru
fax +371 6728 5666                                 address Av. Victor Andrés Belaunde 147,
country manager Janis Krauklis                     Torre Real Uno, Oficina 902.
email janis.krauklis@lv.mediacontacts.com          Centro Empresarial San Isidro, Lima - Perú.
                                                   Office phone +511 611 8800
HAVAS DIGITAL LITHUANIA                            fax +511 611 8803
                                                   country manager Gonzalo Parra
address Totoriu, 20.
                                                   email gonzalo.parra@mediacontacts.com
Vilnius, LT-01013, Lithuania.
Office phone +370 5261 1522
fax +370 5269 0100                                 HAVAS DIGITAL PHILIPPINES
country manager Vytautas Kubilius                  address Yehey.com 38/F Discovery Center.
email vytautas.kubilius@lt.mediacontacts.com       25 ADB Avenue Ortigas Complex, Pasig City,
                                                   Philippines.	
                                                   Office phone +632 910 6387
                                                   fax +632 910 6420
                                                   country manager Eduardo Mapa
                                                   email eduardo.mapa@ph.mediacontacts.com




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                              24
Havas Digital
                                                      Artemis Attribution Weighting
                                                      Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX
                                                                         8. Contact details




HAVAS DIGITAL Poland                         HAVAS DIGITAL thailand
address ul Postepu 13,                       address Jasmine City Bldg, 19th Fl.,
02-676 Warsaw - Poland.                      2 Sukuhumvit 23 Klongtoey_nue, Wattana,
Office phone +48 22 843 66 60                Bangkok 10110 - Thailand.
fax +48 22 843 66 61                         Office phone +66 2 259 9030
country manager Robert Bernaciak             fax +66 2 259 9499
email robert.bernaciak@mediacontacts.com     country manager Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam
                                             email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com
HAVAS DIGITAL Portugal
                                             HAVAS DIGITAL uae
address Avenida Duque de Ávila, 46 - 5ºAv.
1050-083 Lisboa, Portugal.                   address Dubai Media City, CNN Building.
Office phone +351 21 791 3388                Number 2, Office 511, 5th floor.
fax + 351 21 791 3340                        PO Box 21448 Dubai, UAE.
country manager José Frade                   Office phone +971 4366 4100
email jose.frade@mediacontacts.com           fax +971 4391 8001
                                             country manager Joe Hanoun
HAVAS DIGITAL singapore                      email joe.hanoun@mediacontacts.com

address 3 Anson Road #06-01.
                                             HAVAS DIGITAL uk
Springleaf Tower, Singapore 079909.
Office phone +65 6317 6698                   address 11 Great Newport Street,
country manager                              WC2H 7JA London, UK.	
Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam                      Office phone +44 (0) 20 7393 9000
email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com       fax +44 (0) 20 7393 2525
                                             country manager John McLoughlin
HAVAS DIGITAL spain                          email john.mcloughlin@mediacontacts.com

address 1 Avda. General Perón, 38, 14ª.
                                             HAVAS DIGITAL USA
28020 Madrid, Spain.
Office phone +34 91 456 90 50                address 1 101 Huntington Avenue,
fax +34 91 770 15 86                         16th Fl. Boston MA 02199 USA.
                                             Office phone +1 617 425 4100
address 2 Dr. Fleming, 17.
                                             fax +1 617 425 4101
08017 Barcelona, Spain.
Office phone +34 93 205 87 71                address 2 195 Broadway, 12th.
fax +34 93 414 72 13                         New York, NY 10007.
                                             Office phone +1 646 587 5000
address 4 C/ Roger de Lauria, 19-4c.         fax +1 646 587 5005
46002 Valencia, Spain.
                                             address 3 5301 Blue Lagoon Drive,
Office phone +34 96 353 08 74
                                             Suite 850, Miami, FL 33126.
fax +34 96 351 15 69
                                             Office phone +1 305 377 1907
country manager Javier Navarro               fax +1 305 377 1906
email javier.navarro@havasdigital.com
                                             address 4 36 East Grand, 5th Floor.
                                             Chicago, IL 60611.
                                             Office phone +1 312 337 4400
                                             fax +1 312 337 3898

                                             country manager Ed Montes
                                             email edward.montes@mediacontacts.com




© 2010 Havas Digital                                                                    25
www.havasdigital.com

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ROI through Algorithmic Attribution

  • 1. Managing the Digital Media Mix affiliates content search display Improve your ROI through Algorithmic Attribution
  • 2. Havas Digital Lead Contributors Katrin Ribant Director of Product Development Artemis katrin.ribant@havasdigital.com Mark Egan SVP, Director of Global New Business Havas Digital mark.egan@havasdigital.com Josh Krichefski Global Director of Client Development Havas Digital josh.krichefski@havasdigital.com © 2010 Havas Digital
  • 3. Havas Digital CONTENTS 1. Introduction.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2. The cost of last click attribution.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 3. Finding balance in the digital channel mix.. . . . . . . . . . . 10 4. How does Artemis Attribution Weighting work?.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 5. Measuring the efficiency of advanced targeting vehicles.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 6. Conclusions and next steps.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 7. Resources and suggested reading.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 8. Contact details. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 © 2010 Havas Digital
  • 4. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX Introduction As Campaign Attribution increasingly becomes a popular topic of discussion in the in- 1 dustry, Havas Digital is delighted to present the third Insight of our Attribution series. Witness to this growing interest, OMMA Metrics accurately summarises the issues as: “If the click is dead, how do I know how to attribute success to my campaign? Should it be on the first impression view, the click or the viewthrough?” (1) A recent Forrester ( 2 ) study shows that 52% of surveyed Marketers think that measur- ing attribution beyond last click would help them to spend marketing dollars more effectively. Havas Digital believes these Marketers are right and that this number will increase as more Marketers become aware of the opportunities to measure campaign success beyond last click attribution. “WHAT DESCRIBES YOUR ORGANIZATION’S ATTITUDES ON THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS REGARDING ATTRIBUTION?” Measuring attribution would enable us to Strongly 41% 12% disagree spend marketing dollars more efficiency 36% 4% 8% Disagree We would invest in attribution if there were a 47% 7% Neutral reliable framework for measurement and analysis 38% Agree 2% 6% Strongly Attribution could help us understand online behavior 40% 11% agree and influence offline marketing and promotions 43% 2% 5% Attribution is best measured and understood 32% 6% using Web analytics tools 54% 2% 6% Attribution is something that will never be precise 22% 6% and therefore is not worth measuring 41% 6% 26% Base: 275 US Web site decision-makers (percentages may not total 100 because of rounding) Source: JupiterResearch e-Rewards Executive Survey (2/08) © 2010 Havas Digital 4
  • 5. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 1. Introduction Havas Digital, a leading global agency dedicated to accountability, has long been fo- cused on Campaign Attribution and understanding how the different pieces of the dig- ital media mix interplay to help Marketers funnel customers through to purchase. As defined by Forrester ( 3 ) , attribution is “The practice of distributing credit for an action or conversion across multiple ads rather than assigning full credit to the most recent ad. In other words…giving credit where credit is due”. In a previous HD Insight –Artemis Attribution weighting, April 2009– we introduced Ar- temis Attribution Weighting for Search (4) , Havas Digital’s evidence-based algorithmic attribution methodology developed in collaboration with external consultants active in the fields of Mathematics and Modelling. Artemis Attribution Weighting helps marketers understand the value of digital media exposure by spreading credit for customer conversions across full exposure paths, and credits every exposure according to its role in the desired outcome. Algorythmic attribution is necessary to ensure that the performance of the campaign is being measured accurately and therefore the campaign can be truly optimised. Artemis, Havas Digital’s proprietary marketing analysis platform, has been instrumental to Havas Digital’s understanding of customer behaviour as it relates to digital campaign op- timization. Havas Digital has always been a leader in using the full exposure path to con- version in order to understand the contribution of each piece of the Digital Media Mix. Once you have considered this Insight document, we would be delighted to discuss in- dividual business issues and opportunities, whether you are already a Havas Digital client or simply just interested in a more case-specific perspective. Please contact your Havas Digital account director, the appropriate Havas Digital country Managing Director or any authors to find out how many of the emerging opportunities in digital marketing can play a key role in your overall marketing plans. © 2010 Havas Digital 5
  • 6. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX The cost of last click attribution 2 As stated by Forrester ( 2 ) , “A lack of attribution can portray unrealistic views of market- ing performance, for example: Independent tracking systems result in fuzzy math that doesn’t add up (…), Extended sales cycles mask the impact of first clicks (…), Search looks heroic, but advertising really provides lift (…)” Havas Digital’s Artemis Attribution Weighting addresses all Forrester’s points, and more: Independent tracking systems result in fuzzy math that doesn’t add up. Havas Digital’s Artemis provides Marketers with a unified tracking system that inte- grates all Digital Campaign data on the most granular level, as well as a Marketer’s proprietary data, providing understanding of the true value of each exposure on each user and segment. Extended sales cycles mask the impact of first clicks. We have illustrated how early funnel exposures impact conversions in previous HD In- sights ( 3 ) . In an optimisation case for a Tour Operator, Artemis revealed that Customers start searching for a holiday up to 8 weeks before purchase, and the most expensive Generic keywords are used at the beginning of the search process. By phasing how bids on different segments of generic keywords were up-weighted (with different start dates for each segment), then widening coverage with more specific lower cost keywords to create relevance at each stage of the purchase process, Havas Digital hit monthly sales targets 10 days ahead of time with 30% increased cost efficiency. Search looks heroic, but advertising really provides lift. Havas Digital has long factored the effect of Display exposures on Search conversions rates in the optimisation process. If campaigns are optimized solely with the “last click before purchase” rule, there is a danger of under optimization of display buys and early funnel keywords. This limits the potential to recruit customers, resulting in less efficiency and lost customer volume. As illustrated on the following chart, this effect can be quite dramatic with conversion rates up to 83% better for users exposed to Display. With Artemis Attribution for Search, released earlier this year, Havas Digital is able to accurately quantify the contribution of early funnel searches ( 5 ) . We have extended the Artemis Attribution Weighting model to include Display, weighting every exposure in the journey to user conversion and helping allocate spend to each channel.Under- standing interaction between channels and how it affects conversion rates is part of the standard optimisation process for Havas Digital. © 2010 Havas Digital 6
  • 7. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 2. The cost of last click attribution Artemis Insight Artemis allows adver- expose to search search conversion index tisers to look at the graphical? clicks activities rate interaction of display Yes 1,093,878 6,280 0.57410% 183 and search activity. No 1,364,383 4,277 0.31337% 100 Examples from actual Totals 2,458,713 10,557 0.42937% campaigns show uplift up to 83% on user groups exposed to display and search, above and beyond conversions from users exposed to search only. Not only is the last-click rule not enough to accurately optimize search campaigns it furthermore can ignore effective display activity. Artemis Attribution Weighting – Cross Channel quantifies the contribution of each exposure with the appropriate fraction of the sales/revenue generated, allowing for accurate attribution across Digital Channels. Display can be undervalued in last click attribution Havas Digital found that Artemis Attribution weighting can reallocate as much as 10% of credit to Display away from last click. The graph below shows an example from an Advertiser in the Travel sector, running Search and Display campaigns. For users converting from a last Search click, Artemis Attribution Weighting reallocated 34% of credit to earlier Search clicks and 10% of credit to Display. Crediting early funnel ad exposures for their role in sales can provide better, more efficient allocation decisions across digital channels. Artemis Insight last click attribution artemis attribution weighting % of conversions attributed to Display % of conversions attributed to Display Display 10% Search Last click Last click 100% 56% Search Assist clicks 34% © 2010 Havas Digital 7
  • 8. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 2. The cost of last click attribution Specific Display Sites are prevalent in early funnel stages Drilling down into site types, we found that not all sites get the same uplift in sales credit allocation through Artemis Attribution Weighting. For this same Advertiser, Por- tals and Travel Sites got around 30% uplift in credit allocation when Artemis Attribution Weighting was used, whereas Networks received nearly half the uplift from the other categories. This shows that users tend to visit different websites as they make purchase decisions and assigning credit solely to the user’s last click presents major flaws in media mix optimisation for Display as well as for search. Artemis Insight ARTEMIS ATTRIBUTION WEIGHTING UPLIFT (by SITE CATEGORY) 35% % Uplift 30% In conversions attributed to Site 17% Categories with Artemis Attribution Weighting optimisation. PORTAL TRAVEL SITE NETWORK Frequency of exposure can influence conversion rates If early funnel exposures influence conversion rates, it is legitimate to wonder about the ideal frequency of exposure. As purchase windows can be quite different according to the product category, we analyse not only frequency, but frequency per period of time, a notion we call “Density”. Artemis Attribution Weighting showed that Densities of 2-3 ex- posures per 12-hour period were most efficient at positively influencing conversion rates. Artemis Insight ARTEMIS ATTRIBUTION WEIGHTING UPLIFT by density (frequency of exposure per 12h period) 5 4 Frequencies of 2-3 3 exposures per 12h period 2 were most efficient at lifting conversion rates. 1 0 0 50 100 150 200 250 © 2010 Havas Digital 8
  • 9. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 2. The cost of last click attribution Density is used by Havas Digital in Digital Media Planning to optimise campaign phasing by spreading or concentrating ad exposures over periods of time in order to influence conversion rates. Marketer’s checklist does your agency have these optimising capabilities? HAVAS DIGITAL YES NO Unified tracking system for all Digital Media X – Full exposure path to conversion on user level X – Evidence-based attribution models for Display and Search X – © 2010 Havas Digital 9
  • 10. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX FINDING BALANCE IN THE DIGITAL CHANNEL MIX 3 Digital Marketing Mix optimisation helps Marketers leverage all Digital communication channels to achieve goals with optimal efficiency. Optimising digital campaigns on last click only causes an imbalance in spend allocation to Digital channels, resulting in Marketers either overpaying on a cost per conversion basis, or losing out on potential conversion volumes. The following case study shows how an Advertiser in the Telco sector was able to lower their overall digital marketing mix efficiency whilst hitting sales targets by optimising Display and Search channels to leverage early funnel ad exposures in consumer con- version process. Case Study Media Mix optimisation for Telco Advertiser Havas Digital recommended to a prominent European Telco Advertiser promoting 2 similar products to test diversifying how introducing Display in one of the two products’ Media Mix could help sales volumes and campaign efficiency. As both products were quite similar, their Search campaigns used some common terms, which made comparison in efficiency easy and reliable. Using Artemis Attribution Weighting to measure Display contribution to cam- paign conversions, Havas Digital demonstrated that users exposed to Display banners had a conversion rate 32% higher when compared to users exposed to Search only. conversion rate index from users exposed to search and display 32% higher conversion rate for users exposed to Display and 132 Search than for users exposed 100 to Search only. SEARCH ONLY DISPLAY AND SEARCH Artemis Attribution Weighting also showed that Assist Clicks were credited 26% Display was credited with 7% of conversions previously allocated to Last Click. © 2010 Havas Digital 10
  • 11. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 3. Finding balance in the digital channel mix Case Study Artemis Attribution Weighting also showed that assist clicks were credited 26% Dis- play was credited with 7% of conversions previously allocated to the final click. artemis attribution weighting by channel Display Valuation of early funnel searches 7% and Display exposures through Artemis Attribution Weighting let to 18% optimisation in CPA Search Search Assist clicks Last click 26% 67% After optimising the campaigns for 2 months, Havas Digital optimised the campaign Cost Per Acquisition by 18% whilst hitting sales volume targets and lowering the CPA of the most expensive generic search keywords by 21%, demonstrating that leverag- ing all digital channels in an accountable way helps Marketers drive better results from their Digital spend. Marketer’s checklist does your agency have these optimising capabilities? HAVAS DIGITAL YES NO Strategic Digital Mix optimisation capabilities X – Holistic view on Digital channels interaction X – © 2010 Havas Digital 11
  • 12. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX How does Artemis Attribution Weighting work? 4 As Attribution gained traction in the Digital Marketing space, most Analytics compa- nies started offering attribution capabilities beyond last click. However, most of them propose “set” alternatives like: • First Click: attributing all credit to the first click • Even Distribution: spreading credit evenly across events • Other random models © 2010 Havas Digital 12
  • 13. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 4. How does Artemis Attribution Weighting work? However, though random attribution models are easy to build, they can negatively impact campaign optimisation. As shown on this graph, Affiliates get attributed vastly different amounts of conversions accoring to the chosen model. Search gets more credit on Last Click attribution than with models taking early funnel ad exposures into account. Choosing an attribution model will impact campaign optimisation, so it should not be random. The question then becomes… Why choose one model over another? display display search converting affiliates search NON affiliates user converting user © 2010 Havas Digital 13
  • 14. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 4. How does Artemis Attribution Weighting work? Havas Digital believes attribution models need to be based on an understanding of how converting users are different from non converting users as it relates to ad ex- posure, answering the question: have these ads made a difference in my campaigns conversions? This enables attribution of the correct credit for conversions to efficient ads, and elimi- nate inefficient ones from the media plan. Artemis Attribution Weighting does just that. Using advanced statistical modeling meth- ods, the system credits each exposure according to the role it plays in the probability of conversion for each campaign. In order to attribute value correctly, every campaign must be looked at in isolation, there is not one silver bullet model that can be defined as the “right” model for every campaign. So how can we isolate the most appropriate model for each campaign? The appropriate model to attribute value most accurately is identified on a campaign by campaign basis across channels. Each time a data set combining campaigns for an advertiser is scored by Artemis Attribution Weighting, the system automatically builds bespoke models fitted to the data. Here are some of the variables used in the modeling process: • Position in journey path • For Search keywords, was it a Branded keyword? High or low volume? • Position of Ad on Search Result Pages • Recency of interaction • Density (Frequency by period of time) of interaction • And many more… The following section shows more examples of how this helps optimise campaign efficiency. © 2010 Havas Digital 14
  • 15. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX Measuring the Efficiency of Advanced Targeting Vehicles 5 To further optimise cross-channel efficiency, Havas Digital uses the most advanced targeting technologies on the market, including Re-targeting Behavioural Targeting, Contextual Targeting and Display Advertisement Re-targeting on Search keywords. Artemis attribution weighting does not simply help us avoid over-valuing the last click. Artemis attribution weighting is critical to isolating the success of one technique over another. Some publishers are able to expose users to specific messages in determined sequences according to what keywords the user clicked on, or what type of content the user just viewed. User searches for Volvo cars in major search engines User gets exposed to Volvo Ad on website These powerful techniques are often under-valued when optimising campaigns on last click only. Last Click attribution masks the effect of Display exposures by attributing the credit to the last clicked keyword. © 2010 Havas Digital 15
  • 16. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 5. Measuring the efficiency In this example, a user clicks on a generic Volvo search ad in Yahoo, gets exposed to a Volvo banner, then click on a Volvo brand search ad in Yahoo, and requests a car test on the website. The credit for the conversion goes to the Volvo branded search ad. 1. Click on generic Volvo Search ad 2. Exposed to Volvo banner 100% credit 3. Click on branded Volvo Search ad to last click Request test drive Because the Display ads are targeted to users having clicked on search ads, even if this user had gone back to the Volvo website without clicking on branded Volvo search ad, the credit for the test drive would still not go the Display banner, as clicks take prec- edence over impressions when using last click attribution. 100% credit 1. Click on generic Volvo Search ad to last click 2. Exposed to Volvo banner Request test drive © 2010 Havas Digital 16
  • 17. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 5. Measuring the efficiency The only cases where the Display banner ad gets credit for the conversion are if: The banner ad got the last click ...this isn’t by far the most common 1. Click on generic Volvo Search ad case, as branded searches usually are used at the end of the conver- sion funnel 2. Click on branded Volvo Search ad 100% credit 3. Click on Volvo banner to last click Request test drive The user did not click on a search ad ...this defeats the purpose of 1. Exposed to Volvo banner display re-targeting on search... 100% credit 2. Click on Volvo banner to last click Request test drive Havas Digital believes that to accurately measure the efficiency of sophisticated target- ing on sites/placement, alternative measurement strategies must be used. Measuring the effect of Display banners exposure on Search conversion rates, rather than with conventional Last Click attribution, shows a dramatically different picture of the efficiency of Search re-targeted Banners. Case Study Measuring Display on Search retargeting, Finance Advertiser Havas Digital recommended using Display on Search re-targeting to help a finance advertiser funnel consumers to the last stages of the conversion to bank account openings on their website. © 2010 Havas Digital 17
  • 18. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 5. Measuring the efficiency Case Study When measured on Last Click attribution, the Search Re-targeting placements didn’t look efficient when compared to other Display placements. In fact, they were the least efficient placements on the schedule, as shown on the graph below. CPA INDEX Search retargeting Search Retargeted Display placements do not appear efficient when measured with last click News sites attribution. Portals Networks 50 100 150 Using Artemis Attribution weighting, Havas Digital demonstrated that users ex- posed to the Search re-targeting placements were converting 46% better than users exposed to Search only, which was the best uplift on search conversions when com- pared to other Display placements. conversion rate index from users exposed to search and... Search retargeting 146 Artemis Attribution Weighting valuation of early funnel Search Retargeted Display placements News sites 115 shows 46% uplift on Search conversion for ex- posed users. Portals 105 85 Networks Search only 100 50 100 150 Marketer’s checklist does your agency have these optimising capabilities? HAVAS DIGITAL YES NO Understand measurement of sophisitcated targeting for Display X – Optimise cross-channel Digital Media in a holistic way X – © 2010 Havas Digital 18
  • 19. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX Conclusions and Next Steps More than ever in times of increased focus on accountability, Marketers need to under- 6 stand how their efforts are contributing to their company’s bottom line. Increased scrutiny on marketing budgets means that Advertisers need to look more closely than ever at which pieces of their marketing mix are effective at driving customers to purchase. Of all Market- ers, Digital Marketers certainly have the best tools at hand to manage this process. “Given today’s challenging economic times, attribution is critically important because so many organizations are questioning the value of their outbound marketing efforts Marketers should begin measuring multi-campaign attribution now, before it becomes a corporate mandate” . Forrester, Multi-campaign Attribution, February 2009 Moving away from Last Click attribution can be a challenge for Marketers, unless they are equipped with the appropriate resources. Havas Digital maps a solution for each one of the 5 challenges identified by Forrester (6) in for Marketers quantifying multi-campaign attribution. “WHAT are your organization’s greatest challenges in quantifying marketing ATTRIBUTION?” 41% 56% Staffing necesary to do the analysis 56% 51% 52% Applying weighting to different 45% 37% marketing campaigns 45% 53% 34% Reconciling data from disparate sources 44% 42% 32% Maintaining persistent cookies 24% from multiple activities 24% 27% 32% Organizational structure (company is 11% organized by channel and/or discipline) 18% 19% $1B or more $100M to less than $1B Base: 275 US Web site decision-makers $50M to less than $100M Source: JupiterResearch e-Rewards Executive Survey (2/08) All © 2010 Havas Digital 19
  • 20. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 6. Conclussions and next steps • Havas Digital has fully qualified analysts serving 40 countries in our global network. • Artemis Attribution Weighting credits each exposure with the appropriate fraction of the conversion. • Artemis provides Havas Digital clients with a unified tracking system for all Digital spend. • Havas Digital manages all Digital channels in an integrated way. Havas Digital believes that accurate management and optimisation of the Digital Me- dia Mix provide better effectiveness and efficiency to Marketers, helping get more value for spend. Havas Digital has a global presence and qualified teams who use market leading tech- nology such as Havas Digital’s Artemis to help Marketers achieve their goals. In the coming months, we will extend Artemis Attribution Weighting to account for Vid- eo exposures, valuing each interaction to provide even more accurate optimization of the digital media mix. Marketer’s checklist does your agency have these optimising capabilities? HAVAS DIGITAL YES NO Unified tracking system for all Digital Media X – Full exposure path to conversion on user level X – Evidence-based attribution models for Display and Search X – Strategic Digital Mix optimisation capabilities X – Holistic view on Digital channels interaction X – Understand measurement of sophisitcated targeting for Display X – Optimise cross-channel Digital Media in a holistic way X – © 2010 Havas Digital 20
  • 21. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX Resources and Suggested Reading Resources 7 Media Contacts – www.mediacontacts.com Adwords – adwords.blogspot.com Shumans, Business, Media & Technology – shumans.com John Batelle’s Search Blog – battellemedia.com Pay Per Click Blog – www.ppcblog.co.uk Search Engine Watch – searchenginewatch.com Enquisite – www.enquisite.com/blog/ Wikipedia – www.wikipedia.com Forrester Research – www.forrester.com Gartner Research – www.gartner.com Sources (1) http://www.mediapost.com/events/?/showID/OMMAMetricsMeasurement.09.NYC/ type/Agenda/itemID/735/OMMAMetricsMeasurement-Agenda.html (2) Forrester, Framework for Multi-Campaign Attribution Measurement (2009) (3) Forrester, Measuring The ROI Of Online Marketing -The Art Of Attribution (2009) (4) HD Insight, Artemis Attribution Weighting, Managing the Purchase Funnel (2009) (5) HD Insight, Searching for Real Attribution (2008) (6) Forrester, Multi-Campaign Attribution (2009) Suggested Reading Mark Jeffery, Data-Driven Marketing (John Wiley & Sons, 2010) Bart Milner, Google and the Mission to Map Meaning and Make Money (Electric Book Company, 2004) James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds (Anchor, 2005) David A. Vise & Mark Malseed, The Google Story (Delta, 2006) John Batelle, The Search (Portfolio Trade, 2006) Akin Anikan, Multichannel Marketing: Metrics and Methods for On and Offline Success (Sybex, 2008) © 2010 Havas Digital 21
  • 22. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX CONTACT DETAILS 8 We encourage you to contact us directly to discuss, in more details, any concerns you may have regarding this Havas Digital Insight issue. We will be happy to assist you. · katrin.ribant@havasdigital.com · mark.egan@havasdigital.com · josh.krichefski@havasdigital.com Or contact your Havas Digital LOCAL OFFICE: HAVAS DIGITAL ARGENTINA HAVAS DIGITAL BRAZIL address Humberto Primo 101, Capital Federal. address Rua Luigi Galvani 42, C1103ACC, Ciudad Buenos Aires, Argentina. 11º Andar. Conj. 115. Brooklin 04575-020. Office phone +54 11 5777 7400 São Paulo, Brazil. fax +54 11 5777 7401 Office phone +55 11 2889 5650 country manager Germán Abaroa fax +55 11 5506 4753 email german.abaroa@ar.mediacontacts.com country manager André Zimmermann email andre.zimmerman@mediacontacts.com HAVAS DIGITAL AUSTRALIA HAVAS DIGITAL canada address 1 Level 16, Town Hall House. 456 Kent Street, Sydney NSW 2000. address 473 Adelaide Street West, Office phone +61 2 9266 1717 Suite 300, Toronto. Ontario, M5V1T1. fax +61 2 9283 9024 Office phone +1 416 487 9393 fax +1 416 920 5043 address 2 113 York Street South, country manager Chris Williams Melbourne VIC 3205. email chris.williams@ca.mediacontacts.com Office phone +61 3 9693 8107 fax +61 3 9690 5706 HAVAS DIGITAL CHILE country manager Nick Behr email nick.behr@au.mediacontacts.com address Almirante Pastene 333, Floor 7, Of. 701. 7500506 - Providencia, Santiago, Chile. HAVAS DIGITAL belgium Office phone +56 2 7148100 address Rue Maurice Charlent, 53. country manager Gonzalo Parra 1160 Auderghem, Belgium. email gonzalo.parra@havasdigital.com Office phone +32 2 349 1560 fax +32 2 349 1570 country manager Stephanie Radochitzki email stephanie.r@mediacontacts.com © 2010 Havas Digital 22
  • 23. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 8. Contact details HAVAS DIGITAL CHINA HAVAS DIGITAL FRANCE address 1 Room 8011-8012, 8/F, address 11 Square Leon Blum, Novel Building No. 887, Huaihai Zhong Road. Puteaux Cedex, F92806 France. Shanghai, China, 200020. Office phone +33 1 46 93 33 33 Office phone +86 21 6467 6368 fax +33 1 46 93 35 37 fax +86 21 6467 6369 country manager Christophe Dané email christophe.dane@havasdigital.com address 2 Room 2001, 20/F, Tower B, Global Trade Center No.36, Dong San Huan Road, Dongcheng District. HAVAS DIGITAL GERMANY Beijing, China, 100013. address Hedderichstrasse 49. Office phone +86 10 5923 2923 60594 Frankfurt, Germany. fax +86 10 5825 6173 Office phone +49 69 603 292 400 country manager Leon Lu fax +49 69 603 292 470 email leon.lu@cn.mediacontacts.com country manager Joerg Manthey email joerg.manthey@de.mediacontacts.com HAVAS DIGITAL COLOMBIA HAVAS DIGITAL HONG KONG address Carrera 7, No. 71-21, Torre A, Piso 12. Edificio Avenida Chile. address 32 Floor, Chinachem Building. Bogotá, D.C. Colombia. Exchange Square, 338 Kings Rd, Northpoint. Office phone +57 1 325 8341 Hong Kong, China. fax +57 1 317 3464 Office phone +852 2590 1814 country manager David Posada fax +852 2516 5411 email david.posada@havasdigital.com country manager Margaret Fung email margaret.fung@hk.mediacontacts.com HAVAS DIGITAL DENMARK HAVAS DIGITAL HUNGARY address Jagtvej 169B, DK 2100. Copenhagen O Denmark. address 1117 Budapest, Alíz u.1 Office phone +45 7733 4300 (hrsz.3990/5) Office Garden Building fax +45 7733 4433 5th Floor (Szerémi; u-Hengermalom country manager Soren Bronee u.corner) Hungary. email soren.bronee@mediacontacts.com Office phone +36 1 799 1820 fax +36 1 799 1821 country manager Attila Eros HAVAS DIGITAL ESTONIA / Zsuzsa Czagler address Pärmu mnt, 102C, Tallinn, Estonia. email attila.eros@mediacontacts.com Office phone +372 669 1000 / zsuzsa.czagler@mediacontacts.com fax +372 669 1001 country manager Kaarel Oja email kareel.oja@ee.mediacontacts.com HAVAS DIGITAL FINLAND address Arabianranta, 6, Helsinki, Finland. Office phone +358 4 0746 1441 country manager Ismo Tenkanen email ismo.tenkanen@mediacontacts.com © 2010 Havas Digital 23
  • 24. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 8. Contact details HAVAS DIGITAL INDIA HAVAS DIGITAL malaysia address 1 30, Hauz Khas Village, 3rd Floor. address F-39-11, Level 11, The Crest, 3Two New Delhi - 110016 India. Square, No. 2. Jalan 19/1, 46300 Petaling Jaya, Office phone +91 11 398 444 00/11 Selangor Darul Ehsan. Kuala Lumpur - Malaysia. fax +91 222 491 5766 Office phone +603 7628 6658 fax +603 7628 6777 address 2 Brady Glady’s Plaza, Unit 1, country manager 2nd Floor. Senapati Bapat Marg, Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam Lower Parel, Mumbai - 400 013 India. email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com Office phone +91 22 300 364 00/33 address 3 6-3-899/I, Second Floor, R.V.’s Kamala HAVAS DIGITAL mexico Castle. Somajiguda, Hyderabad - 500 082 India. Office phone +91 40 645 631 86 / 661 399 68 address Prolongación Paseo de la Reforma 1015, Torre A, Piso 24. Col. Desarrollo Santa Fé. country manager Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam 01376 México DF. email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com Office phone +52 55 9177 6081 fax +52 55 9177 6005 HAVAS DIGITAL italy country manager Mauricio Vazquez email mauricio.vazquez@havasdigital.com address Bastioni di Porta Volta, 10. 20121 Milano, Italy. Office phone +39 02 6744 3201 HAVAS DIGITAL NETHERLANDS fax +39 02 6744 3222 address Burg. A. Colijnweg 2. country manager Gionata La Torre 1182 AL Amstelveen, Netherlands. email gionata.latorre@mediacontacts.com Office phone +31 (0) 20 408 90 00 fax +31 (0) 20 408 90 01 HAVAS DIGITAL latvia country manager Bjorn Brouwer email bjorn.brouwer@mediacontacts.com address Kr. Barona Street 36-9. LV 1011 Riga, Latvia. Office phone +371 2961 5655 HAVAS DIGITAL peru fax +371 6728 5666 address Av. Victor Andrés Belaunde 147, country manager Janis Krauklis Torre Real Uno, Oficina 902. email janis.krauklis@lv.mediacontacts.com Centro Empresarial San Isidro, Lima - Perú. Office phone +511 611 8800 HAVAS DIGITAL LITHUANIA fax +511 611 8803 country manager Gonzalo Parra address Totoriu, 20. email gonzalo.parra@mediacontacts.com Vilnius, LT-01013, Lithuania. Office phone +370 5261 1522 fax +370 5269 0100 HAVAS DIGITAL PHILIPPINES country manager Vytautas Kubilius address Yehey.com 38/F Discovery Center. email vytautas.kubilius@lt.mediacontacts.com 25 ADB Avenue Ortigas Complex, Pasig City, Philippines. Office phone +632 910 6387 fax +632 910 6420 country manager Eduardo Mapa email eduardo.mapa@ph.mediacontacts.com © 2010 Havas Digital 24
  • 25. Havas Digital Artemis Attribution Weighting Managing the DIGITAL MEDIA MIX 8. Contact details HAVAS DIGITAL Poland HAVAS DIGITAL thailand address ul Postepu 13, address Jasmine City Bldg, 19th Fl., 02-676 Warsaw - Poland. 2 Sukuhumvit 23 Klongtoey_nue, Wattana, Office phone +48 22 843 66 60 Bangkok 10110 - Thailand. fax +48 22 843 66 61 Office phone +66 2 259 9030 country manager Robert Bernaciak fax +66 2 259 9499 email robert.bernaciak@mediacontacts.com country manager Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com HAVAS DIGITAL Portugal HAVAS DIGITAL uae address Avenida Duque de Ávila, 46 - 5ºAv. 1050-083 Lisboa, Portugal. address Dubai Media City, CNN Building. Office phone +351 21 791 3388 Number 2, Office 511, 5th floor. fax + 351 21 791 3340 PO Box 21448 Dubai, UAE. country manager José Frade Office phone +971 4366 4100 email jose.frade@mediacontacts.com fax +971 4391 8001 country manager Joe Hanoun HAVAS DIGITAL singapore email joe.hanoun@mediacontacts.com address 3 Anson Road #06-01. HAVAS DIGITAL uk Springleaf Tower, Singapore 079909. Office phone +65 6317 6698 address 11 Great Newport Street, country manager WC2H 7JA London, UK. Rajeev Balasubrahmanyam Office phone +44 (0) 20 7393 9000 email rajeev.bala@sg.mediacontacts.com fax +44 (0) 20 7393 2525 country manager John McLoughlin HAVAS DIGITAL spain email john.mcloughlin@mediacontacts.com address 1 Avda. General Perón, 38, 14ª. HAVAS DIGITAL USA 28020 Madrid, Spain. Office phone +34 91 456 90 50 address 1 101 Huntington Avenue, fax +34 91 770 15 86 16th Fl. Boston MA 02199 USA. Office phone +1 617 425 4100 address 2 Dr. Fleming, 17. fax +1 617 425 4101 08017 Barcelona, Spain. Office phone +34 93 205 87 71 address 2 195 Broadway, 12th. fax +34 93 414 72 13 New York, NY 10007. Office phone +1 646 587 5000 address 4 C/ Roger de Lauria, 19-4c. fax +1 646 587 5005 46002 Valencia, Spain. address 3 5301 Blue Lagoon Drive, Office phone +34 96 353 08 74 Suite 850, Miami, FL 33126. fax +34 96 351 15 69 Office phone +1 305 377 1907 country manager Javier Navarro fax +1 305 377 1906 email javier.navarro@havasdigital.com address 4 36 East Grand, 5th Floor. Chicago, IL 60611. Office phone +1 312 337 4400 fax +1 312 337 3898 country manager Ed Montes email edward.montes@mediacontacts.com © 2010 Havas Digital 25