Antonello Di Pardo, GSE

1. Antonello Di Pardo
Monitoring, studies and
statistics unit
antonello.dipardo@gse.it
Energy in motion
toward 2030
GSE
WE GUARANTEE THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF OUR COUNTRY.
WE PROMOTE RENEWABLE SOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY.

2. 2
• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA

3. EUROPEAN TARGETS FOR CLIMATE AND ENERGY






3

4. RES TARGET MONITORING: WHERE WE ARE
Observed Renewable share
Renewable National Plan
17,7%
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum4


17,4 16,5
19,6 20,7 20,2 21,3 21,1 21,7
133,3 128,2 127,1 123,9 118,5 121,5 121,1 123,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*
RES Transport RES Heating
RES Electricity Total gross final consumptions

5. EVOLUTION OF RES: STATISTICS
(*) preliminary data
**
*


GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum5
*

6. RES DISTRIBUTION: PV
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum6

7. RES DISTRIBUTION: WIND
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum7

8. RES DISTRIBUTION: HYDROELECTRIC
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum8

9. RES DISTRIBUTION: BIOENERGIES
9 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

10. RES DISTRIBUTION: GEOTHERMAL
10 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

11. 11
• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA

12. HOW DID WE GET HERE? SUPPORT SCHEMES TIMELINE
CIP 6/92
(Feed in tariff)
Certificati Verdi
(Green Certificates)
Conto Energia FTV
(Feed in premium)
Tariffe Onnicomprensive
(Feed in tariff)
Conto Energia CSP
(Feed in premium)
Decreto 6 luglio 2012
(Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)
Decreto 23 giugno 2016
(Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
12 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

13. EVOLUTION OF RES: DRIVERS
Meccanismo Incentivo medio
Conto Energia FTV 290 €/MWh
TO 210 €/MWh
INCENTIVO EX-CV 104 €/MWh
DM 6/7/2012 74 €/MWh
DM 23/6/2016 49 €/MWh



13 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

14. 

14 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum
EVOLUTION OF RES: IMPACTS ON INVESTMENTS AND JOBS
580
782
309
123
111
1.906
815
288
904
524
673
679
54
3.937-
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
Mln€
Investments
O&M costs
3.979
6.141
2.984
1.158
1.124
15.395
9.677
3.719
11.502
6.454
3.621
1.990
689
37.652
-
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
JOBS
Temporary jobs
Permanent jobs

15. 15
• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA

16. EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030


0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030SEN
GW
Hydro Wind
Solar Geothermal
Bioenergy
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030SEN
TWh Hydro Wind
Solar Geothermal
Bioenergy
16 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

17. EVOLUTION OF RES: THE M.D. “FER1” DRAFT
17 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum




A
(Wind, PV)
A-2
(PV substitution
of asbesto)
B
(hydro,
sewage gas)
C
(refurbished
wind,hydro,
sewage gas)
770 800 80 80
A
(Wind, PV)
B
(hydro,
sewage gas)
C
(refurbished
wind,hydro,
sewage gas)
5.600 110 500
Group
Capacity
(MW)







18. FOCUS ON PAST AND FUTURE WIND AUCTIONS




18 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum
?
89 89
89
66
21
127 127 127
110
70
124
115
93
66
96 103
89
75
63
52
43
72
124 124 124
108
69
2012 session 2013 session 2014 session 2016 session 2019 session
€/MWh
Possible range Base tariff Min admitted reduction Max admitted reduction Energy price

19. RES studies and statistics on the Italian market
19 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

20. THANK YOU
MOVING
ENERGIES