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Costs for CO2 Capture in Cement Manufacture

CCS Cost Workshop, Paris

Duncan Barker
6 November 2013
Duncan Barker

duncan.barker@mottmac.com

Tel. +66 (0)2643 8648

• Chartered chemical engineer with +10 years experience
in engineering consultancy
• Has undertaken technical due diligence, feasibility
studies, conceptual design and design review of
numerous thermal and renewable energy projects
globally
• Experience covers UK, Continental Europe, Asia, Middle
East, North and Latin America
• Manager of Mott MacDonald’s power team in Bangkok
• Project manager of IEA GHG study on ‘CO2 capture in
cement study’ in 2008
• Cement Sector leader for UNIDO Global Technology
Roadmap for CCS in Industry in 2010
• Project manager for feasibility study stage of Longannet
UK CCS competition entry in 2008-2009
Outline
• Introduction to Mott MacDonald
• CO2 capture at cement plants
– Post-combustion capture
– Oxy-combustion capture
– Status update

• Published cost data
• Costing approach & challenges in
IEA GHG study
• Concluding remarks
• Q&A
Who is Mott MacDonald?

One of the world’s largest management,
engineering and development consultancies
What we do…

Construction economics

Project finance

Programme management

Design

Management consultancy

Capacity building

Planning

Technical advisory
… and the sectors we do it in

It’s the sheer diversity of our work
that makes us unique
Comprehensive Suite of CCS Services

•
•
•
•
•

Worldwide experience for both power and non-power CCS applications e.g. cement
industry, oil and gas sector, etc.
Understanding of the whole CCS chain from source to sink
Plus development and delivery of End to End CCS solutions
Technical, commercial and environmental advisory capability across the entire sectors
involved: power, oil and gas, chemical, process and general major projects
Broad range of services offered:
– Technical (advisory, concept/studies, reviews, FEED/detailed design, overall project
management, project integration, OE/EPCM, etc.)
– Non-technical (legislation, policies, financial and economic modelling, carbon management
strategies, etc.)
Mott MacDonald Track Record
•
•
•
•

UK CCS Commercialisation Programme, DECC - Technical Advisory Services
NER300 Technical Advisory Services, DECC
Gassnova Framework Agreement - Technical Advisory Services including Contract
administration, Procurement support – including industrial CCS
EUTREN monitoring project, European Commission – monitored the implementation of
CCS projects financed under EEPR

•

CCS cost analysis for cement industry, Confidential client

•

UK Electricity Generation Costs Update, DECC, UK

•

Projected generation costs in the UK to 2050, Committee of Climate Change

•

Levelised cost of power generation, DECC,UK

•
•
•
•

CO2 Capture as a Factor in Power Station Investment Decisions, IEA GHG
Potential cost reductions in CCS in the power sector, DECC, UK
Long run power and carbon prices, various clients
CO2 capture in the cement industry – Comparative study of providing oxy- and postcombustion capture at a new-build cement plant. Conceptual designs, process modelling,
analysis of costs and financial modelling
Global technology roadmap for CCS Industry, UNIDO

•
Mott MacDonald Track Record
•
•

•
•

•

•

•

Norway CCS Strategy, Gassnova
Longannet CCS Project, Scottish Power – Concept design work for the power station site,
consolidation and assessment of the initial End-to-End CCS chain solutions. Overall
system integrator and delivery management during FEED
Longannet CCS Project, Aker Clean Carbon – Detailed design for the interconnections
between the power plant and capture plant during FEED
Carbon Capture Ready UMPP, India – Feasibility study of developing UMPPs (9 x 4,000
MWe) as carbon capture ready. Conceptual design, techno-economic modelling,
investment appraisal and evaluation of risks and sensitivities.
Conceptual CCS retrofit design for two UMPPs, India – Development of plant-specific
carbon ‘capture-ready’ design measures and associated guidance for their
implementation for the plant owner’s design team.
Feasibility Study for CDM Projects in Dubai, UAE – Conceptual design for postcombustion CO2 capture at two DEWA CCGT facilities, environmental impact with
respect to local legislation, assessment of potential CO2 off-takers for EOR use
Various Confidential Clients, UK – Feasibility study of providing post-combustion CO2
capture at new CCGT plants – compliance with EU CCS Directive
Carbon capture at cement plants
•
•
•

Cement industry accounts for 2 billion tonnes of CO2 emissions per year (5% of
all emissions)
0.6 – 1.0 tCO2/tonne of cement
CO2 emitted:
– 50% from calcination of calcium carbonate to calcium oxide
CaCO3  CaO + CO2
– 40% from fuel (Coal/Pet coke/Tyres/Waste Oil/Solvents/Sewage Sludge etc.)
– 10% from electricity and transportation

•
•
•

Pre-combustion capture not viable
Exhaust gases contain 25% CO2 compared to 12% CO2 for coal-fired power
plants and 4% CO2 for gas-fired power plants
95% of calcination occurs in precalciner and 60% of fuel used in precalciner i.e.
majority of CO2 emitted from precalciner
Cement Plant (No CCS)

Graphic taken from ECRA website (http://www.ecra-online.org/226/)
Cement Plant (No CCS)

Exhaust
Gas
Cleaning

Exhaust
Gas
Condition

Fuel
Preparation
65oC

10%
110oC

Raw Mill

1100oC

Preheater 870 C Precalciner

870oC

o

1% moisture, 100oC

8% moisture

40%

1000oC

90%

800oC

Rotary
Kiln

1300oC

800oC

Air intake
Fuel (solid)
Raw meal/clinker
Inert air
Non-inert air
Dust

Air intake

Exhaust
Gas
Cleaning

1% moisture

60%

330oC

Exhaust
Gas
Cleaning

Air intake

~250oC

Cooler

100oC

9oC
Cement Plant (Post Combustion Capture)

Graphic taken from ECRA website (http://www.ecra-online.org/226/)
Post-Combustion Cement Plant
Air
Fuel
Raw
meal

Cement
plant

Solvent
scrubbing

SCR, ESP,
FGD

CO2-reduced
flue gas

Flue
gas

Clinker
Coal

CHP plant

Steam

Solvent
stripping

Power
CO2
compression

CO2 to
storage
Cement Plant (Full Oxy-combustion Capture)

Graphic taken from ECRA website (http://www.ecra-online.org/226/)
Cement Plant (Full Oxy-combustion Capture)
CO2 rich
stream

Exhaust
Gas
Cleaning

Exhaust
Gas
Condition

Raw Mill

Air intake
Fuel (solid)
Raw meal/clinker
Inert air
Non-inert air
Oxygen

Exhaust
Gas
Cleaning

Preheater

Fuel
Preparation

Precalciner

Air intake

Rotary
Kiln

Air intake

Air
Separation
Unit

N2

Cooler
Cement Plant (Partial Oxy-combustion Capture)
 Maximum capture is approx. 75% of CO2 generated

Exhaust
Gas
Cleaning

Exhaust
Gas
Cleaning

Exhaust
Gas
Condition

Fuel
Preparation

Preheater 1

Raw Mill

Precalciner
Preheater 2

Air intake

Air intake

Air intake

Air
Separation
Unit

Fuel (solid)
Raw meal/clinker
Inert air
Non-inert air
Oxygen

Rotary
Kiln

CO2 rich
stream
N2

Cooler
Status update - highlights
• IEA GHG sponsored study in 2008
• UNIDO / IEA roadmap for CCS in industrial
applications in 2011
• Ongoing ECRA CCS Project
– Phases I to III complete
– Phase IV due to complete mid-2015
– Phase V is for implementation of a demonstration plant

• Norcem is progressing pilot scale post-combustion
projects at Brevik cement works, Norway
–
–
–
–
–

Aker Solutions (Amine scrubbing)
DNV KEMA (Gas separation membranes)
RTI International (Solid sorbent)
Alstom (Hot carbonate looping)*
Trails to continue until 2016

*At University of Darmstadtt, Germany
Post-Combustion Retrofit Cost Data
Parameter

Norwegian Kroner (NOK)

Euro (€)

Total equipment cost

255M

32M

Total investment cost

877M

111M

Total variable operating

212M

27M

Fixed operating costs

40M/y

5M/y

Total cost per capture

360/t of CO2

46/t of CO2

costs

• Hegerland et al. (2006)
• Retrofit at a 1.4 Mt/y cement plant in Norway
• Reported accuracy was ±35%
Post-combustion New Build Cost Data
Parameter

Total investment cost

Unit Without CCS
With postWith post(European
combustion combustion capture
scenario) capture (European
(Asian Developing
scenario)
Country scenario)
263

558

n/a

Net variable operating costs

€M/y

17

31

n/a

Fixed operating costs

€M/y

19

35

n/a

Cost per tonne of CO2 emissions
avoided
Costs per tonne of cement product

€/t

n/a

107.4

58.8

€/t

65.6

129.4

72.2

Cost per tonne of CO2 captured
•
•
•

€M

€/t

n/a

59.6

n/a

IEA GHG (2008)
Post-combustion plant using MEA
European scenario based on 1 Mt/y cement plant in UK

•

•

Asian Developing Country scenario based
on 3 Mt/y cement plant
Reported accuracy was ±25%
Further Post-Combustion Cost Data
New installation
Year

Investment [€M]

Retrofit

Operational

Investment [€M]

[€/tonne clinker]

Operational
[€/tonne clinker]

2015

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

2030

100 to 300

10 to 50

100 to 300

10 to 50

2050

80 to 250

10 to 40

80 to 250

10 to 40

• ECRA (2009)
• Post-combustion capture using absorption technologies
• A learning rate of 1% per year is considered for the period
between 2030 and 2050
• “Rough estimations” based on IEA and McKinsey studies
Oxyfuel Cost Data
New installation
Year
2015
2030

2050

•
•
•

Retrofit

Investment Operational
Investment
[€M] [€/tonne clinker] [€M]
n/a n/a
n/a

Operational
[€/tonne clinker]
n/a

330 to 360 Plus 8 to 10
90 to 100
compared to
conventional kiln
270 to 295 Plus 8 to 10
75 to 82
compared to
conventional kiln

Plus 8 to 10
compared to
conventional kiln
Plus 8 to 10
compared to
conventional kiln

ECRA (2009)
Clinker capacity of 2 Mt/y
A learning rate of 1% per year is considered for
the period between 2030 and 2050

•
•
•

Operational costs expressed as additional costs
compared to a conventional kiln
Retrofit refers to oxyfuel operation of calciner only
i.e. only 60% reduction of total CO2 emissions
“Huge uncertainty of the cost estimation from the
incomplete developed technology”
Partial Oxyfuel New Build Cost Data
Parameter

Total investment cost

Unit Without CCS
(European
scenario)

With oxyfuel
With oxyfuel
capture
capture (Asian
(European Developing Country
scenario)
scenario)

€M

263

327

n/a

Net variable operating costs

€M/y

17

23

n/a

Fixed operating costs

€M/y

19

23

n/a

Cost per tonne of CO2 emissions avoided

€/t

n/a

42.4

22.9

Costs per tonne of cement product

€/t

65.6

82.5

46.4

Cost per tonne of CO2 captured

€/t

n/a

36.1

n/a

•
•

IEA GHG (2008)
European scenario based on 1 Mt/y
cement plant in UK

•
•

Asian Developing Country scenario based on 3 Mt/y
cement plant
Reported accuracy was ±25%
Costing Approach used in IEA GHG study
Overall
• Assumptions validated by British Cement Association (BCA) [now
Mineral Products Association, MPA] which included cement plant
owners
• Mott MacDonald partnered with a specialist cement industry consultant
to get valuable input on latest cost data for new build cement plant
Capital Costs
• Budgetary inputs supplied by a cement plant equipment supplier
• Other costs scaled from published information and Mott MacDonald inhouse database
• Typical methods included
– Power law (exponential) estimating
– Cost indices
– Standard factors e.g. insurance, contingencies
Costing Approach used in IEA GHG study
Operating Costs
• Variable operating costs
– Unit prices (e.g. limestone, fuel, power) obtained from suppliers or from benchmarking
against existing cement plants and other IEA GHG studies
– Consumption/performance based on process modelling

• Fixed operating costs
– Benchmarked against existing cement plants and other IEA GHG studies
Challenges faced in IEA GHG study
•

Very limited published data
–

•
•

Danger of ‘group think’

Potential bias of supplier/cement plant operator inputs given different agendas
Developing an accurate cost estimation requires significant time and money

Nomenclature

Probable range of accuracy

Cost as % of project expenditure

Detailed estimate

±2 to ±5%

5 to 10%

Definitive estimate

±5 to ±15%

1 to 3%

Preliminary estimate

±10 to ±25%

0.4 to 0.8%

Study estimate

±20 to ±30%

0.1 to 0.2%

Order of magnitude estimate

±30 to ±50%

0 to 0.1%

•

Site specific issues critical
–

•

E.g. land costs, type of raw limestone, access to utilities

Engineering judgment (subjective) used where limited data available
Important future developments relating to costs
• ECRA Phase IV has the following components:
– Pre-engineering study that will derive the first cost figures for a retrofitted full oxyfuel
plant
– Capital and operational costs will be derived

• Brevik project
– Performance data (if published) will help to determine performance parameters and
operating costs

• JRC - Techno-economic assessment of European Carbon Capture Utilisation
(CCU) pathways: operational, environmental and cost performance market opportunities (ongoing)
• BIS/DECC – Techno-Economic Study of Industrial Carbon Capture for
Storage and Capture for Utilisation (tender stage)
Concluding Remarks
• Platform of studies already undertaken on CO2 capture in cement industry
• Post-combustion and oxy-combustion both offer options for industry as
new-build and retrofit
• Several important projects underway which will improve estimates of
performance and cost
• Accuracy of cost estimation requires time and costs money
• Site specific issues can significantly influence costs
• Important to gain input from independent experts to reduce potential bias
• Ultimately the price will be what a contractor is willing to bid the job for!
Questions & Discussion
works

For further information please contact:
duncan.barker@mottmac.com

A copy of the IEA GHG report on ‘CO2 capture in the cement industry’
can be obtained from:
sian@ieaghg.org
www.mottmac.com

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Costs CO2 Capture Cement Plants

  • 1. Costs for CO2 Capture in Cement Manufacture CCS Cost Workshop, Paris Duncan Barker 6 November 2013
  • 2. Duncan Barker duncan.barker@mottmac.com Tel. +66 (0)2643 8648 • Chartered chemical engineer with +10 years experience in engineering consultancy • Has undertaken technical due diligence, feasibility studies, conceptual design and design review of numerous thermal and renewable energy projects globally • Experience covers UK, Continental Europe, Asia, Middle East, North and Latin America • Manager of Mott MacDonald’s power team in Bangkok • Project manager of IEA GHG study on ‘CO2 capture in cement study’ in 2008 • Cement Sector leader for UNIDO Global Technology Roadmap for CCS in Industry in 2010 • Project manager for feasibility study stage of Longannet UK CCS competition entry in 2008-2009
  • 3. Outline • Introduction to Mott MacDonald • CO2 capture at cement plants – Post-combustion capture – Oxy-combustion capture – Status update • Published cost data • Costing approach & challenges in IEA GHG study • Concluding remarks • Q&A
  • 4. Who is Mott MacDonald? One of the world’s largest management, engineering and development consultancies
  • 5. What we do… Construction economics Project finance Programme management Design Management consultancy Capacity building Planning Technical advisory
  • 6. … and the sectors we do it in It’s the sheer diversity of our work that makes us unique
  • 7. Comprehensive Suite of CCS Services • • • • • Worldwide experience for both power and non-power CCS applications e.g. cement industry, oil and gas sector, etc. Understanding of the whole CCS chain from source to sink Plus development and delivery of End to End CCS solutions Technical, commercial and environmental advisory capability across the entire sectors involved: power, oil and gas, chemical, process and general major projects Broad range of services offered: – Technical (advisory, concept/studies, reviews, FEED/detailed design, overall project management, project integration, OE/EPCM, etc.) – Non-technical (legislation, policies, financial and economic modelling, carbon management strategies, etc.)
  • 8. Mott MacDonald Track Record • • • • UK CCS Commercialisation Programme, DECC - Technical Advisory Services NER300 Technical Advisory Services, DECC Gassnova Framework Agreement - Technical Advisory Services including Contract administration, Procurement support – including industrial CCS EUTREN monitoring project, European Commission – monitored the implementation of CCS projects financed under EEPR • CCS cost analysis for cement industry, Confidential client • UK Electricity Generation Costs Update, DECC, UK • Projected generation costs in the UK to 2050, Committee of Climate Change • Levelised cost of power generation, DECC,UK • • • • CO2 Capture as a Factor in Power Station Investment Decisions, IEA GHG Potential cost reductions in CCS in the power sector, DECC, UK Long run power and carbon prices, various clients CO2 capture in the cement industry – Comparative study of providing oxy- and postcombustion capture at a new-build cement plant. Conceptual designs, process modelling, analysis of costs and financial modelling Global technology roadmap for CCS Industry, UNIDO •
  • 9. Mott MacDonald Track Record • • • • • • • Norway CCS Strategy, Gassnova Longannet CCS Project, Scottish Power – Concept design work for the power station site, consolidation and assessment of the initial End-to-End CCS chain solutions. Overall system integrator and delivery management during FEED Longannet CCS Project, Aker Clean Carbon – Detailed design for the interconnections between the power plant and capture plant during FEED Carbon Capture Ready UMPP, India – Feasibility study of developing UMPPs (9 x 4,000 MWe) as carbon capture ready. Conceptual design, techno-economic modelling, investment appraisal and evaluation of risks and sensitivities. Conceptual CCS retrofit design for two UMPPs, India – Development of plant-specific carbon ‘capture-ready’ design measures and associated guidance for their implementation for the plant owner’s design team. Feasibility Study for CDM Projects in Dubai, UAE – Conceptual design for postcombustion CO2 capture at two DEWA CCGT facilities, environmental impact with respect to local legislation, assessment of potential CO2 off-takers for EOR use Various Confidential Clients, UK – Feasibility study of providing post-combustion CO2 capture at new CCGT plants – compliance with EU CCS Directive
  • 10. Carbon capture at cement plants • • • Cement industry accounts for 2 billion tonnes of CO2 emissions per year (5% of all emissions) 0.6 – 1.0 tCO2/tonne of cement CO2 emitted: – 50% from calcination of calcium carbonate to calcium oxide CaCO3  CaO + CO2 – 40% from fuel (Coal/Pet coke/Tyres/Waste Oil/Solvents/Sewage Sludge etc.) – 10% from electricity and transportation • • • Pre-combustion capture not viable Exhaust gases contain 25% CO2 compared to 12% CO2 for coal-fired power plants and 4% CO2 for gas-fired power plants 95% of calcination occurs in precalciner and 60% of fuel used in precalciner i.e. majority of CO2 emitted from precalciner
  • 11. Cement Plant (No CCS) Graphic taken from ECRA website (http://www.ecra-online.org/226/)
  • 12. Cement Plant (No CCS) Exhaust Gas Cleaning Exhaust Gas Condition Fuel Preparation 65oC 10% 110oC Raw Mill 1100oC Preheater 870 C Precalciner 870oC o 1% moisture, 100oC 8% moisture 40% 1000oC 90% 800oC Rotary Kiln 1300oC 800oC Air intake Fuel (solid) Raw meal/clinker Inert air Non-inert air Dust Air intake Exhaust Gas Cleaning 1% moisture 60% 330oC Exhaust Gas Cleaning Air intake ~250oC Cooler 100oC 9oC
  • 13. Cement Plant (Post Combustion Capture) Graphic taken from ECRA website (http://www.ecra-online.org/226/)
  • 14. Post-Combustion Cement Plant Air Fuel Raw meal Cement plant Solvent scrubbing SCR, ESP, FGD CO2-reduced flue gas Flue gas Clinker Coal CHP plant Steam Solvent stripping Power CO2 compression CO2 to storage
  • 15. Cement Plant (Full Oxy-combustion Capture) Graphic taken from ECRA website (http://www.ecra-online.org/226/)
  • 16. Cement Plant (Full Oxy-combustion Capture) CO2 rich stream Exhaust Gas Cleaning Exhaust Gas Condition Raw Mill Air intake Fuel (solid) Raw meal/clinker Inert air Non-inert air Oxygen Exhaust Gas Cleaning Preheater Fuel Preparation Precalciner Air intake Rotary Kiln Air intake Air Separation Unit N2 Cooler
  • 17. Cement Plant (Partial Oxy-combustion Capture)  Maximum capture is approx. 75% of CO2 generated Exhaust Gas Cleaning Exhaust Gas Cleaning Exhaust Gas Condition Fuel Preparation Preheater 1 Raw Mill Precalciner Preheater 2 Air intake Air intake Air intake Air Separation Unit Fuel (solid) Raw meal/clinker Inert air Non-inert air Oxygen Rotary Kiln CO2 rich stream N2 Cooler
  • 18. Status update - highlights • IEA GHG sponsored study in 2008 • UNIDO / IEA roadmap for CCS in industrial applications in 2011 • Ongoing ECRA CCS Project – Phases I to III complete – Phase IV due to complete mid-2015 – Phase V is for implementation of a demonstration plant • Norcem is progressing pilot scale post-combustion projects at Brevik cement works, Norway – – – – – Aker Solutions (Amine scrubbing) DNV KEMA (Gas separation membranes) RTI International (Solid sorbent) Alstom (Hot carbonate looping)* Trails to continue until 2016 *At University of Darmstadtt, Germany
  • 19. Post-Combustion Retrofit Cost Data Parameter Norwegian Kroner (NOK) Euro (€) Total equipment cost 255M 32M Total investment cost 877M 111M Total variable operating 212M 27M Fixed operating costs 40M/y 5M/y Total cost per capture 360/t of CO2 46/t of CO2 costs • Hegerland et al. (2006) • Retrofit at a 1.4 Mt/y cement plant in Norway • Reported accuracy was ±35%
  • 20. Post-combustion New Build Cost Data Parameter Total investment cost Unit Without CCS With postWith post(European combustion combustion capture scenario) capture (European (Asian Developing scenario) Country scenario) 263 558 n/a Net variable operating costs €M/y 17 31 n/a Fixed operating costs €M/y 19 35 n/a Cost per tonne of CO2 emissions avoided Costs per tonne of cement product €/t n/a 107.4 58.8 €/t 65.6 129.4 72.2 Cost per tonne of CO2 captured • • • €M €/t n/a 59.6 n/a IEA GHG (2008) Post-combustion plant using MEA European scenario based on 1 Mt/y cement plant in UK • • Asian Developing Country scenario based on 3 Mt/y cement plant Reported accuracy was ±25%
  • 21. Further Post-Combustion Cost Data New installation Year Investment [€M] Retrofit Operational Investment [€M] [€/tonne clinker] Operational [€/tonne clinker] 2015 n/a n/a n/a n/a 2030 100 to 300 10 to 50 100 to 300 10 to 50 2050 80 to 250 10 to 40 80 to 250 10 to 40 • ECRA (2009) • Post-combustion capture using absorption technologies • A learning rate of 1% per year is considered for the period between 2030 and 2050 • “Rough estimations” based on IEA and McKinsey studies
  • 22. Oxyfuel Cost Data New installation Year 2015 2030 2050 • • • Retrofit Investment Operational Investment [€M] [€/tonne clinker] [€M] n/a n/a n/a Operational [€/tonne clinker] n/a 330 to 360 Plus 8 to 10 90 to 100 compared to conventional kiln 270 to 295 Plus 8 to 10 75 to 82 compared to conventional kiln Plus 8 to 10 compared to conventional kiln Plus 8 to 10 compared to conventional kiln ECRA (2009) Clinker capacity of 2 Mt/y A learning rate of 1% per year is considered for the period between 2030 and 2050 • • • Operational costs expressed as additional costs compared to a conventional kiln Retrofit refers to oxyfuel operation of calciner only i.e. only 60% reduction of total CO2 emissions “Huge uncertainty of the cost estimation from the incomplete developed technology”
  • 23. Partial Oxyfuel New Build Cost Data Parameter Total investment cost Unit Without CCS (European scenario) With oxyfuel With oxyfuel capture capture (Asian (European Developing Country scenario) scenario) €M 263 327 n/a Net variable operating costs €M/y 17 23 n/a Fixed operating costs €M/y 19 23 n/a Cost per tonne of CO2 emissions avoided €/t n/a 42.4 22.9 Costs per tonne of cement product €/t 65.6 82.5 46.4 Cost per tonne of CO2 captured €/t n/a 36.1 n/a • • IEA GHG (2008) European scenario based on 1 Mt/y cement plant in UK • • Asian Developing Country scenario based on 3 Mt/y cement plant Reported accuracy was ±25%
  • 24. Costing Approach used in IEA GHG study Overall • Assumptions validated by British Cement Association (BCA) [now Mineral Products Association, MPA] which included cement plant owners • Mott MacDonald partnered with a specialist cement industry consultant to get valuable input on latest cost data for new build cement plant Capital Costs • Budgetary inputs supplied by a cement plant equipment supplier • Other costs scaled from published information and Mott MacDonald inhouse database • Typical methods included – Power law (exponential) estimating – Cost indices – Standard factors e.g. insurance, contingencies
  • 25. Costing Approach used in IEA GHG study Operating Costs • Variable operating costs – Unit prices (e.g. limestone, fuel, power) obtained from suppliers or from benchmarking against existing cement plants and other IEA GHG studies – Consumption/performance based on process modelling • Fixed operating costs – Benchmarked against existing cement plants and other IEA GHG studies
  • 26. Challenges faced in IEA GHG study • Very limited published data – • • Danger of ‘group think’ Potential bias of supplier/cement plant operator inputs given different agendas Developing an accurate cost estimation requires significant time and money Nomenclature Probable range of accuracy Cost as % of project expenditure Detailed estimate ±2 to ±5% 5 to 10% Definitive estimate ±5 to ±15% 1 to 3% Preliminary estimate ±10 to ±25% 0.4 to 0.8% Study estimate ±20 to ±30% 0.1 to 0.2% Order of magnitude estimate ±30 to ±50% 0 to 0.1% • Site specific issues critical – • E.g. land costs, type of raw limestone, access to utilities Engineering judgment (subjective) used where limited data available
  • 27. Important future developments relating to costs • ECRA Phase IV has the following components: – Pre-engineering study that will derive the first cost figures for a retrofitted full oxyfuel plant – Capital and operational costs will be derived • Brevik project – Performance data (if published) will help to determine performance parameters and operating costs • JRC - Techno-economic assessment of European Carbon Capture Utilisation (CCU) pathways: operational, environmental and cost performance market opportunities (ongoing) • BIS/DECC – Techno-Economic Study of Industrial Carbon Capture for Storage and Capture for Utilisation (tender stage)
  • 28. Concluding Remarks • Platform of studies already undertaken on CO2 capture in cement industry • Post-combustion and oxy-combustion both offer options for industry as new-build and retrofit • Several important projects underway which will improve estimates of performance and cost • Accuracy of cost estimation requires time and costs money • Site specific issues can significantly influence costs • Important to gain input from independent experts to reduce potential bias • Ultimately the price will be what a contractor is willing to bid the job for!
  • 29. Questions & Discussion works For further information please contact: duncan.barker@mottmac.com A copy of the IEA GHG report on ‘CO2 capture in the cement industry’ can be obtained from: sian@ieaghg.org