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World
Conference
2017
Innovation Technology
for Health and Wellbeing
Contents / page number:
2 - Nicholas Gruen, Lateral Economics
68 - Jalmes Hall, Pitney Bowes
113 - Julie McStay, Hynes Legal
147 - Robert Clifford, Alto Cibum
176- Susanne Jones, Just Better Care
187 - Dr Andrew Fleming, One Fell Swoop
@ngruen1
Health Metrics
Nicholas Gruenngruen@lateraleconomics.com.au
21st Sept 2017
Asking the right questions: Forecasting, data and innovation in aged
care and beyond
@ngruen1
Outline
2
Economics and forecasts
– The economy
– Your sector
Adventures in data
– Kaggle
– The Gruen Tender
Innovation
– The challenge of putting users first
– Creating the future
@ngruen1 3
@ngruen1 4
@ngruen1
"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the
future." Niels Bohr
5
@ngruen1
“The UK financial system remains highly resilient.”

Bank of England 2007 Financial Stability Report
6
@ngruen1 7
@ngruen1
'00s of CFOs asked to forecast yearly returns for S&P 500
over nine-years
80% confidence intervals
30% confidence intervals
Projections are even further off the mark
–  desire to succeed engenders optimism bias
8
@ngruen1 9
@ngruen1
Focus on risks not forecasts
10
@ngruen1
Charlie Munger
It is remarkable how much
long-term advantage people
like us have gotten by trying
to be consistently not stupid,
instead of trying to be very
intelligent.
Knowing what you don’t know
is more useful than being
brilliant.
Acknowledging what you
don’t know is the dawning of
wisdom.
11
@ngruen1 12
@ngruen1
If your focus is
your ignorance,
you’ll focus on
risks not forecasts
13
@ngruen1
@ngruen1
Forecasting aged care
15
@ngruen1
@ngruen1
@ngruen1 Aged Care Financing Authority Forecasts 18
@ngruen1
@ngruen1
@ngruen1
@ngruen1 21
Innovation in
aged care
@ngruen1
Adventures in data
22
@ngruen1
Where’s wally?
Kaggle
@ngruen1
Competition Mechanics
@ngruen1
Global Competitions
State of the art 70%
1½ weeks 70.8%
Competition closes 77%
Predicting HIV viral load
Accuracy of Prediction (1 – 100%)
Chris Raimondi
Baltimore
@ngruen1
@ngruen1
@ngruen1
Martin O’Leary
@ngruen1
Successful
grant applications
~25%
“The world’s brightest
physicists have been working
for decades on solving one of
the great unifying problems of
our universe”
“In less than a week . . . a PhD
student in glaciology,
outperformed the state-of-the-
art algorithms”
@ngruen1
Where’s Wally from?
@ngruen1
@ngruen1 32
Should we publish death rates in hospitals?
–  Pros?
•  Transparency
•  Consumer choice
–  Cons?
•  Incentives
•  Culture
Information, transparency and incentives
@ngruen1 33
Performance measurement and motivation
Ideal behaviour
Performance
MeasurementReduce deaths
Turning away
bad risks
@ngruen1 34
Gruen Tenders
Provide unbiased estimate of the prognosis of a clinical procedure.
This can be used for
–  measurement of clinical safety,
–  allocation and
–  funding of clinical work
Well suited to self contained clinical event with reasonable chance of
undesired outcome from which full recovery expected - obstetric
delivery, setting a fracture, cardiac surgery
@ngruen1 35
Agent 1
Agent 2
Agent 3
Prognosis
420,000$
415,000$
450,000$
Accuracy of past
prognoses
5%
-2%
-15%
Expected
price
441,000$
406,700$
382,500$
Indicated Service provider
Gruen Tenders
@ngruen1 36
Hospital A
Hospital B
Hospital C
Raw
Prognosis
2.0%
4.0%
1.5%
Correction for
accuracy of past
prognoses
-30%
25%
30%
Expected
chance of
adverse event
1.40%
5.00%
1.95%
Indicated Service provider
Gruen Tenders
@ngruen1 37
Gruen tenders minimise perverse incentives
There is no incentive to turn anyone away, just to reduce the
attractiveness of the ‘bid’
No incentive to ‘reclassify’ risk rating
–  Because risk rating is not imposed extrinsically, but
intrinsically to the clinical unit
–  In the ‘prognostic bid’.
@ngruen1 38
Gruen tenders facilitate innovation
‘Risk rating’ isn’t done by formula or from historical stats
It’s done by the practitioners themselves
@ngruen1 39
Gruen tenders reinforce intrinsic motivation
Information that aligns with intrinsic motivation should reinforce it
Where perverse incentives (to turn patients away) destroys it
@ngruen1 40
Gruen tenders assist central funders
and managers, and educate patients
Gruen Tenders generate a mass of data on top of the basic
performance data currently used for report cards.
–  Data from prognoses, and availability of comparative prognoses
on the same case
Re the lack of consumer response to report cards, Gruen
Tenders put the info – and the issue in front of patients.
@ngruen1 41
Ideal behaviour
Innovation
Caring
Performance measurement and motivation
Performance
Measurement
@ngruen1 42
Performance measurement and motivation
Gruen Tender/
Performance
Measurement
Ideal behaviour
Innovation
Caring
@ngruen1
Innovating with human beings
43
@ngruen1 44
@ngruen1 45
@ngruen1 46
@ngruen1
Design: evidence based delivery
47
@ngruen1 48
What kind of data
do we need?
@ngruen1
Data on what causes what
“Our success at Amazon is a function of how many experiments we do per year, per
month, per week, per day….”
Jeff Bezos
“Last year at Google the search team ran about 6,000 experiments and implemented
around 500 improvements based on those experiments. The ad side of the business did
about the same. Any time you use Google, you are in many treatment and control
groups. The learning from those experiments is fed back into production and the system
continuously improves.”
Hal Varian, chief economist at Google
49
@ngruen1
Design: evidence based delivery
50
@ngruen1
Empathic bond
51
@ngruen1 52
I’ve worked with that
family for 3 years and I
just learnt more about
them in 2 hours.
Case worker
Families commented:
“you’re the only one
who has ever asked
what would work for my
family”.
Family coach
@ngruen1 53
@ngruen1
Nudge Unit
54
Engaging the life world of the other
Behavioural economics and design are new fads
embodying ancient principles of understanding others
Easily scalable engagement Deep engagement
@ngruen1 55
Innovation in
aged care
@ngruen1
Empathic bond
56
@ngruen1 57
@ngruen1
Open source
58
Community aged care
Palliative Care
Residential Aged Care
@ngruen1 59
@ngruen1 60
@ngruen1
@ngruen1 62
Innovation in
aged care
@ngruen1 63
Innovation in
aged care
@ngruen1 64
Place Besserer at
Bruyère Village
For couples with
different care needs
@ngruen1 65
@ngruen1
Thank you
66
James Hall
Consultant – Location Intelligence
Leveraging Location Intelligence
to identify and engage with customers
in the Health and Aged Care Sector
Agenda
• History of Location Intelligence
• Pitney Bowes
• Use cases for the Health and Aged Care Sector
• Partnership Introduction
Quiz:
John Snow
1813 - 1858
Geographic Information Systems
Quiz: 2007
Technology Analysts view Location as
“The Next Champion of Analytics.”
Present… Location Intelligence
The Future – Internet of Things… Big Data…
Location Intelligence & Health
Location Intelligence & Health
Locate
Locate
“People who are really serious about Spatial Software
should make their own Data”
- Me
Estimates and Projections Consumer Spend Potential
Daytime Population CAMEO – Geo-demographic Segmentation
370 Datasets – 240 Geographies
Data is the most valuable asset of any business and is the
foundation for building lifetime customer relationships
Use cases for the Health and Aged Care Sector
Health and Aged Care Provider
• Builds, owns and operates Health clinics
and Aged Care Facilities
• Community Screening initiatives
Winterfell Health
Challenges
• Mobile screening
• Next best location
• Customer engagement
Where to locate mobile community health screening
Sydney
Next best location – Medical Clinic
Next best location – Residential Aged Care
Locate
Melbourne
Pitney Bowes |
Reservoir
Thomastown
Pitney Bowes |
Customer Engagement
• Personalized
• Interactive
• 24/7
Video
Personalised Video
Support decision making
• Distance to shops, cafes, parks
• Neighborhood composition – language, ethnicity, Religion
• Distance from primary contact (Drive times)
Support onboarding
• Daily routine for required care level
• Emergency procedures
• Billing FAQs
James.hall@pb.com
Understanding the paradox between
consumer choice and duty of care
Presented by
Julie McStay, Director
Overview
• Duty of care and rights and responsibilities
• Risks and risk prevention
• RACF residents engaging in risky behaviours
• Balancing consumer choice and duty of care:
– in retirement village context
– in home care context
Duty of care and rights and
responsibilities
Duty of care – what is it?
• a duty of care is a legal obligation which is
imposed on an individual to provide a standard of
reasonable care while performing any act that
could foreseeably harm others.
• Do all that is reasonably necessary to minimise
the risk of foreseeable harm
Who owes a duty of care?
• AP to staff
– to act as a reasonable employer
– to take reasonable steps to ensure staff are
not injured
• AP to care recipients
– to meet residential care requirements
– to take reasonable steps to ensure residents
are not injured
5
Who owes a duty of care?
• Staff to AP
– to act as a reasonable employee
– to follow policies and procedures
• Staff to care recipients
– to provide required level of care
– to provide for protection and general safety
6
Care recipients’ rights
• to maintain his or her personal independence
• to accept personal responsibility for his or her
own actions and choices, even though these may
involve an element of risk, because the care
recipient has the right to accept the risk and not
to have the risk used as a ground for preventing
or restricting his or her actions and choices
Risks and risk prevention
Foreseeable risks in aged care
• Lack of clinical oversight
• Medication management
• Medication errors
• Falls
• Swallowing
• Assaults
• Care recipient absconding
• Deterioration in condition
• Use of restraints
Presentation Slide 9
Balancing consumer choice and duty
of care in residential care
Residents engaging in risky
behaviours
• Balance of risk vs resident wishes and quality of
life
• Residents should be supported to remain
independent
• Use of risk waivers?
11
Case study 1
• A resident has mild dementia.
• Pressure areas, does not like to be turned and wont
agree to change his mattress
• The resident is resistant to care and is physically
abusive to staff when they try to assist him.
• The care staff stop offering to turn him and give up
trying to get a new mattress on the bed on the basis
that they say they have “a duty of care to respect his
wishes”
• Thoughts???
Case study 2
• Resident assessed as requiring assistance to
mobilise
• Attempts by staff to assist provoke aggression
• Unaided mobilisation resulting in falls
• Physical violence and aggression towards staff,
other residents and the visitor of another resident
Case study 3
• Resident moved from co-located RV to RAC
• Not secure unit
• Liked to go walking – had capacity and chose to
disregard road safety
• Condition deteriorated – two incidents of concern
• Security of tenure
Case study 4
• Resident enters facility in 2008
• Resident had been using a bed pole at home
• Daughter asks EN for bed pole
• EN does not document conversation with family
• EN does not inform any other staff about the bed pole
15
Case study 4 – Coroner’s
findings and Department alert
• May 2010 SA Coroner’s findings about bed poles
following death resulting from asphyxiation due to
entrapment in bed pole
• June 2010, Department releases urgent bulletin to
approved providers recommend that bed poles only be
used in RACF:
– resident has appropriate health professional assessment
– use is frequently monitored
– consent
16
Case study 4
• Facility manager sends email to all RNs and ENs
advising:
– all bed poles must be removed
– if resident insists on keeping bed pole, “Risk
Taking Activity” consent form must be signed
17
Case study 4 – Issues
• Resident’s condition significantly deteriorates
• Resident found entrapped in bed pole on night
shift
– No evidence that the resident whose daughter wanted
the bed pole signed a risk form
– No documented conversations about the risks
associated with bed pole use
18
Case study 5
• Resident had mental health issues
• Smoker – wants to smoke
• Staff smelled smoke on balcony
• Resident found with burnt clothes on the ground
and burns to body
• Resident informed staff he tried to set himself on
fire and take other residents with him
19
Case study 6
• Challenging behaviours – two residents
• They have both displayed challenging
behaviours in the past but wish to continue living
in this service
• Dispute between residents
• On resident pushes another
• The resident falls, hits her head and passes
away
20
Risk prevention for APs
• Regulator/Court will consider
– probability that harm would occur if care was
not taken
– likely seriousness of the harm
– burden of taking precautions to avoid harm
– social need for the activities creating the risk
Risk prevention for APs
• Communication
• Documentation
• Hand over procedures
• Training
• Policies that are implemented and monitored
• Check qualifications and references
• Follow up complaints
• Incident management
Risk prevention – points to
remember
• Accurate and comprehensive documentation
• Provide access to training and induction that
includes information about duty of care
• Provide access to internal and external services
to deal with issues that challenge duty of care
• Ensure resident’s and family participate in
decision making
• Discuss duty of care issues with staff
Balancing consumer choice and duty
of care in RV
Home care in RVs – risk issues
• New entrants
• Regulatory – Aged Care Act, RV Act, others
• Contractual – relationships with providers and
clients
• Reputational – managing incidents and
complaints
• Financial
• Consumer directed care
Case study 7 – RV
[Giese 2013]
26
• Resident of retirement village
• Myocardial infarction
• Deceased discovered some time after death
Delivery of care
and your risk profile
• More risk/higher duty
• Response to risk needs to be proportionate to
consequences
• Recent Coroners matters indicate you must
assess and have plans in place to respond to
high risks
27
Balancing consumer choice and duty
of care in home care
Case study 8 – Home care
• Consumer directed care provides freedom of
choice …
• But what if family member wants to manage all
administrative aspects of the package and pay
no admin or case management fees?
Case study 9 – Home care
• Consumer directed care provides freedom of
choice …
• But what if client wants someone at home to
perform nursing services?
Case study 10 – Home care
• Consumer directed care provides freedom of
choice …
• But what if the consumer wants to go without
necessary clinical services to save for a more
expensive non-clinical service?
Care recipient independence
vs increased provider regulation
• More onerous obligations on home care
providers
– Eg policies and procedures
– Monitoring, oversight, documentation,
communication with client/representatives
• Balance with care recipient independence?
• Assumption of risk by home care providers
Questions?
Contact
Julie McStay, Director
Julie.mcstay@hyneslegal.com.au
07 3193 0503
The New Luxury
My Story
ExperienceAgedCare
Storm Coming
FoodExperience
Place making
Physical Environment
People
Planet
Product
Program
Summary
AGENDA
MY STORY
5 Star Hotels
Perth/Canberra/China
Iconic Venues
ParliamentHouse of Australia,MCG, Melbourne Town Hall, NZ Parliament,
MostAustralian Stadiums
World Class Events
Grand Prix, Spring Racing Carnival Bird Cage, Masters, Open, Wimbledon,
Irish Open, PresidentsCup,APEC ,CHOGM
WHOLE NEW WORLD
• Appointed GM Food Development
• Exposure to Aged Care/ Health
and Resources Catering
• The party was over!
• Low daily allowance $
• High % Frozen Food
• Staff not engaged
• Environments not
encouraging
MY EXPERIENCE
OF AGED CARE
THERE'S A
STORM COMING!
• Apprentice Chefs at Record Lows
• People Living Longer demand will grow
• Aged Care Big Business – Profit pressures
• Food Bowl Shrinking
• Expectations will continue to grow
8 / 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017
I REALLY HOPE THINGS CHANGE BEFORE I GET OLD!
13/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017
$
It not all about
the Money!
10/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017
FOOD & BEVERAGE
- IS AN EXPERIENCE
• Its not just about the food
• Aged Care facilities have the
same needs as many
hospitality precincts
• We should strive to create a
positive experience
• Adopt Place Making Principles
Physical
Environment People Planet Product Program
5 P’S OF PLACEMAKING
14/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017
PHYSICAL
ENVIRONMENT
• Create Spaces where people
want to be
• Bring the kitchen table back
• Where is the Heart of a Home?
14/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017
PHYSICAL
ENVIRONMENT
PEOPLE
• Ownership – know your business
• Food cost
• Menus
• Nutrition
• Wastage
• Cannot be outsourced
• You are a Venue Manager and Food
is over 60% of the experience
• Technology now makes this possible.
FULLY AUTOMATED
NUTRITION
ANALYSIS
DIRECT
CONNECTION TO
SUPPLIERS
COST & MARGIN
MANAGEMENT
MENU MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, SPECIFICALLY DEVEOPED FOR THE AUSTRALIAN MARKET
PEOPLE
PEOPLE
• Encourage Connect through
people and food.
• Remove barriers.
• Bring back the family!
Employ for attitude.
Don’t need Manu and
George C in the kitchen.
PEOPLE
Give them every
reason to value their
work and daily rituals
PEOPLE
PLANET
Gardens are Great!
Curated Gardens
Bees are Better!
Roof Tops, Corner Plots.
Don’t let the naysayers win!
PLANET
• Create a Food Philosophy.
• Live by it.
• Cage Free Eggs
• Free Range Chicken
• Be practical
PLANET
PRODUCT
Specialty Molds
– 3D Printing??
Don’t forget we eat with our eyes?
Care about presentation.
PRODUCT
• Make&Bake
• MakefreshPasta
• Bakefreshscones,
biscuits,muffins
PRODUCT
Outlaw the baddies! –
No Packet Soups
Make In house Stock
PRODUCT
• Be practical!
• Small goals aligned with Skills and Resources
• Slow cook cheaper cuts.
• Rotate Frozen supplemented by kitchen
• Regularly compare costs fresh/frozen etc.
• Sample & cost pre made meals.
• Mix up in house prep, pre made, fresh, frozen.
PRODUCT
PROGRAM
Curated Environments for the
Excitement and pleasure of
everyone.
• Music
• Live Cooking
• Cooking Classes for relatives
• Specialty Nights, National Nights
• Fondue Nights, Quiz nights
• Expand the target group
HEART OF
THE HOUSE IS
THE KITCHEN
Summary
• People – Encourage Connection , Value
Kitchen Teams
• Physical Environment- Create environments
where people want to be!
• Planet – Embrace Nature as much as possible.
• Product – Make “1” specialty item a day.
• Program – Create activity schedules that
encourage participation and deliver an
experience.
Phone +61 0407449672
Web www.altobcibum.com
Email rclifford@altocibum.com
STAYON
TREND
ROBERT CLIFFORD
GENERAL MANAGER
THANK YOU
Providing a flexible,
whole of life approach
to in-home care
Presented by:
Susanne Jones
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
www.healthmetrics.com.au
Susanne Jones
susanne.jones@justbettercare.com
0450 667 370
Future ageing, living and care
2025 and beyond
Dr Andrew Fleming
Ageing & Living Director
Advisory OperationsProduct Marketing Sales
1.	Introduction
2.	 Australian demographics
3.	 Roadmaps and scenarios
4.	 Future customers
5.	 Seniors living
6.	 Models of care
7.	 Future home care
8.	 Assistive technologies
9.	 Future residential care
10.	Small scale dementia care
11.	Conclusion
Agenda
Retirement living:
•	 Approximately 200,000 Australians or 5.7% of people aged 65+ live in a village
•	 Average age of residents – 81 years
•	 By 2025 the number of residents will double in number to 7.5% of 65+ population
Dementia:
•	 In 2017 more than 413,000 people are living with dementia
•	 By 2056 this will increase to more than 1.1 million people
•	 One in ten people aged 65+ will develop dementia
•	 Three in ten people aged 85+ will develop dementia
•	 Dementia prevalence 80 - 84 years 11% for males, 14% for females
Australian demographics
Australian demographics
Year 65 - 74 age group % 75 - 84 age group % 85+ age group %
2016 57 30 13
2024 45 35 19
Source: Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (2017). Older Australia at a glance. Australian Government.
Australian demographics
Year Men
at birth
Women
at birth
Men
aged 65
Men
aged 85
Women
aged 65
Women
aged 85
2013 - 151
80.4 84.5 19.5 6.2 22.3 7.2
20302
>83 >87 >20 No data >23 No data
1.
Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (2017). Life expectancy. Australian Government.
2. 
Kontis, V et al. (2017). Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble. Lancet, 389: 1323-
35. Online – http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9
Future Aged Care
Australian Government Agenda
•	A seamless aged care system that is market-based, consumer driven,
with access based on assessed need
•	Seamless movement between home-based and residential care with
actual consumer choice of care and provider across the spectrum
•	 Uncapped supply
•	No distinction between care at home and residential care, creating a
single aged care system — agnostic as to where care is received
Aged Care Road Map 2016, Aged Care Sector Committee
Seniors Living - Last 30 years
55+ Lifestyle Village
Remain at home
Low
care
High
care
Aged care
Length of stay
36-48 months
Traditional Retirement
Village - some with care
55 60 65 70 80 85 95
Seniors Living - Next 30 years
55+ Lifestyle Village
Remain at home with in-home care if necessary
Assisted
living
Aged
care
Retirement Village
with care capacity
55 60 65 70 80 85 95
Length of stay
12 months
Future Residential Aged Care Demand
•	 Increased Home Care Supply
	“A major factor in future entry rates will be the continuing expansion of the home care program,
which is expected to result in proportionally fewer people entering permanent residential care”
Aged Care Financing Authority - Fifth report on the Funding and Financing of the Aged Care 	Sector July 2017
•	 The likelihood of Level 5 and 6 Home Care Packages
•	 Declining length of stay
RAC Places
500,000
450,000
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
Demand of Places Forecast – Based on Government Rate	 Demand of Places Forecast – 12 months LoS
Demand of Places Forecast – 24 months LoS	 Demand of Places Forecast – 6 months LoS
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2050: RAC places demand and supply
Future organisations
•	 Recognise the value of mission and purpose to business success
•	 Embed culture and values in all products and services
•	Build purpose and meaning to return greater employee satisfaction,
consumer advocacy and loyalty
•	 Adopt customer-centred approaches rather than organisation-centred marketing
•	 Co-production leads the design of products and services
•	 Consumers feel they are at the heart of service offering
Reference: Attrill, H. (2016). The value of mission to business. Community Care Review, February 2016.
Importance of brand
Lets talk about you
Successful retirement is underpinned by:
1.	 Financial security – the foundation.
2.	 Build up the social network to replace the former work community.
3.	 A life with purpose and challenging one’s mind.
4.	 Ongoing personal development – exploring, questioning and learning.
5.	 Having fun.
What will retirees want?
“An active process of becoming aware of and making choices toward a more successful
existence or healthy and fulfilling life” (WHO, 1998)
Wellness?
‘Front of mind’ is:
•	 Increased expectations and a culture of entitlement
•	 Downsize not downgrade
	 -	 Aspirational downsizers
	 -	 Maintain pre-retirement lifestyle and explore other opportunities
	 -	 Individual choice and control
‘Front of house’ is:
•	Normality
•	Hospitality
•	Lifestyle
	 -	Health
	 -	Wellness
Rising Expectations
‘Back of mind’ is care:
•	 “It is good to know it (care) is there when I might need it BUT I won’t talk about it right now”
•	 It signifies disability, dependency, decline and the road to death
‘Back of house’ is:
•	 ADL support
•	 Clinical care
Rising Expectations
Increasing affluence
• Future over 65 ‘Baby Boomers’ will be the richest we have seen to
date
Changing tastes
• The traditional purchaser of retirement living is changing
• Living life to the full is more important than leaving an inheritance
Changing expectations
“Housing with care is an accommodation response to the increase in manageable care needs
and desires of older people to remain in a home of their own for as long as possible”
(JLL – Retirement Living, Where is the Opportunity, 2015, UK)
“Residents of today and tomorrow want the real total package—and that includes care and
wellness within arm’s reach”
(Senior Housing News, 2017, USA)
Why?
2025 and beyond - Expectations
Retirement and care accommodation, residential aged care, and dementia care
Seniors living precincts will bring to the community a range of contemporary seniors living
accommodation and care models with extensive community and activation facilities
•	 Residential care will accommodate persons who require 24/7 clinical care, including
complex health issues and palliative care
•	 Dementia care will take the form of providing small houses of residents in a home like
environment
•	 Care accommodation will provide serviced apartments that offer daily meals, cleaning,
laundry and other assistance with daily living
•	 Retirement accommodation offers fully accessible seniors living for persons to
age-in-place and die-in-place
Seniors living precincts
Apartments | Villas | Vertical?
Services
Shared spaces
• Biophilic Design: the positive benefits of
interaction with nature
• Important for physical health and well-being
• Integration of nature and natural elements,
materials and forms into architecture and interiors.
Natural world connectedness
Community interfaces
2025 - new business opportunities
Accommodation
Assisted living
One bedroom
apartment
1.	 Resident centred and directed
2.	 Health and wellness
3.	 Health literacy
4.	 Dignity of risk
5.	 Natural world connectedness
6.	 Social relational emphasis
7.	 Clinical governance
8.	 Best practice
9.	 A palliative approach
10.	Program evaluation
Models of care - principles
• Leadership and culture
• Safe systems
• Education and training
• Care audit and monitoring
• Research and developments
• Transparency and openness
• Risk management
Clinical governance
Future Home Care - trends
•	 Expansion of the home care program to meet 45 per 1000 ratio
•	 Post February 27 2017:
	 - Multiple operators driving competition and innovation
	 - Consumers will request to move from existing provider to new provider
	 - Consumers moving to new operators who were previously ‘sub contractors’
	 - Retirement living sector expanding into home care operations
•	 The challenge to meet the increasing clinical care needs of home care consumers
Courtesy of Lorraine Poulos
Future Home Care – Staff Skill Mix
•	 Technology literate and enabled workforce
•	 Effective case management by trained case managers
•	 Customer service as a core skill
•	 Clinical staff availability – RN, EN
•	 Palliative care internal and external resources
Assistive technologiesAssistive technologies
Emerging Technologies: Care at Home
•	 GPS technology
•	 Personal Emergency Response Systems
•	 Medication Reminders
•	 Wireless Home Monitoring
•	 User-Friendly Computer Interfaces
•	 Health Tracking Tools
•	 Online Community Networking and Support
GPS tracking
A 2016 US simulation study
•	Assessed the time to locate missing persons under various outdoor scenarios using RF locator
devices and GPS devices
•	 Each device was tested three times in each of three scenarios (open, wooded, and urban).
•	GPS devices were almost twice as time-effective in finding the wanderer and performed better
over larger distances.
Residential care
Future End-of-life Residential Care
•	 Physical environments will support:
	 - Continued use of the senses
	 - A sense of familiarity and homeliness
	 - Access to the outdoors and the natural environment
	 - Engagement with spiritual aspects of life
	 - Social engagement and being with family
	 - Calmness, privacy and foster dignity
	 - Safety and security
	 - The facilitation of nursing care and application of emerging technology
Dementia Collaborative Research Centre, January 2014. Defining the desirable characteristics of physical environments for the delivery of
support and care to people in the late stages of dementia.
Future Residential Care – Staff Skill Mix
•	 Technology literate and enabled workforce
•	 Nurse practitioners in partnership with GPs managing care
•	 Partnerships with acute care services
•	 RNs acting as clinical leaders with core skills of:
	 - Advanced physical assessment
	 - Wound care
	 - Palliative care
	 - Behaviour assessment and management
•	 Direct care workers with core skills of:
	 - Customer service
	 - Conflict prevention and resolution (assault avoidance  disengagement)
•	De Hogeweyk model of care for people with severe dementia
•	A social-relational model of care for persons living with dementia
•	Small, normal human scale living for 6-7 persons who share similar social values and lifestyles
•	 Interiors as a link to how it used to be, tailored to everyone e.g. Artisan, Cultural
•	 Participation in meaningful activities and social life
•	 Composition of outdoor public spaces such as gardens and streets
•	 ‘Front of house’ is normal life, ‘back of house’ is care and support
Small scale dementia care
2025 and beyond - Sustainable organisations
Thank you

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Day 1 - Health Metrics World Conference 2017

  • 1. A-"]} Health Metrics 'E-.lL7 ...>.1111 World Conference 2017 Innovation Technology for Health and Wellbeing Contents / page number: 2 - Nicholas Gruen, Lateral Economics 68 - Jalmes Hall, Pitney Bowes 113 - Julie McStay, Hynes Legal 147 - Robert Clifford, Alto Cibum 176- Susanne Jones, Just Better Care 187 - Dr Andrew Fleming, One Fell Swoop
  • 2. @ngruen1 Health Metrics Nicholas Gruenngruen@lateraleconomics.com.au 21st Sept 2017 Asking the right questions: Forecasting, data and innovation in aged care and beyond
  • 3. @ngruen1 Outline 2 Economics and forecasts – The economy – Your sector Adventures in data – Kaggle – The Gruen Tender Innovation – The challenge of putting users first – Creating the future
  • 6. @ngruen1 "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." Niels Bohr 5
  • 7. @ngruen1 “The UK financial system remains highly resilient.” Bank of England 2007 Financial Stability Report 6
  • 9. @ngruen1 '00s of CFOs asked to forecast yearly returns for S&P 500 over nine-years 80% confidence intervals 30% confidence intervals Projections are even further off the mark –  desire to succeed engenders optimism bias 8
  • 11. @ngruen1 Focus on risks not forecasts 10
  • 12. @ngruen1 Charlie Munger It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent. Knowing what you don’t know is more useful than being brilliant. Acknowledging what you don’t know is the dawning of wisdom. 11
  • 14. @ngruen1 If your focus is your ignorance, you’ll focus on risks not forecasts 13
  • 19. @ngruen1 Aged Care Financing Authority Forecasts 18 @ngruen1
  • 26. @ngruen1 Global Competitions State of the art 70% 1½ weeks 70.8% Competition closes 77% Predicting HIV viral load Accuracy of Prediction (1 – 100%) Chris Raimondi Baltimore
  • 30. @ngruen1 Successful grant applications ~25% “The world’s brightest physicists have been working for decades on solving one of the great unifying problems of our universe” “In less than a week . . . a PhD student in glaciology, outperformed the state-of-the- art algorithms”
  • 33. @ngruen1 32 Should we publish death rates in hospitals? –  Pros? •  Transparency •  Consumer choice –  Cons? •  Incentives •  Culture Information, transparency and incentives
  • 34. @ngruen1 33 Performance measurement and motivation Ideal behaviour Performance MeasurementReduce deaths Turning away bad risks
  • 35. @ngruen1 34 Gruen Tenders Provide unbiased estimate of the prognosis of a clinical procedure. This can be used for –  measurement of clinical safety, –  allocation and –  funding of clinical work Well suited to self contained clinical event with reasonable chance of undesired outcome from which full recovery expected - obstetric delivery, setting a fracture, cardiac surgery
  • 36. @ngruen1 35 Agent 1 Agent 2 Agent 3 Prognosis 420,000$ 415,000$ 450,000$ Accuracy of past prognoses 5% -2% -15% Expected price 441,000$ 406,700$ 382,500$ Indicated Service provider Gruen Tenders
  • 37. @ngruen1 36 Hospital A Hospital B Hospital C Raw Prognosis 2.0% 4.0% 1.5% Correction for accuracy of past prognoses -30% 25% 30% Expected chance of adverse event 1.40% 5.00% 1.95% Indicated Service provider Gruen Tenders
  • 38. @ngruen1 37 Gruen tenders minimise perverse incentives There is no incentive to turn anyone away, just to reduce the attractiveness of the ‘bid’ No incentive to ‘reclassify’ risk rating –  Because risk rating is not imposed extrinsically, but intrinsically to the clinical unit –  In the ‘prognostic bid’.
  • 39. @ngruen1 38 Gruen tenders facilitate innovation ‘Risk rating’ isn’t done by formula or from historical stats It’s done by the practitioners themselves
  • 40. @ngruen1 39 Gruen tenders reinforce intrinsic motivation Information that aligns with intrinsic motivation should reinforce it Where perverse incentives (to turn patients away) destroys it
  • 41. @ngruen1 40 Gruen tenders assist central funders and managers, and educate patients Gruen Tenders generate a mass of data on top of the basic performance data currently used for report cards. –  Data from prognoses, and availability of comparative prognoses on the same case Re the lack of consumer response to report cards, Gruen Tenders put the info – and the issue in front of patients.
  • 42. @ngruen1 41 Ideal behaviour Innovation Caring Performance measurement and motivation Performance Measurement
  • 43. @ngruen1 42 Performance measurement and motivation Gruen Tender/ Performance Measurement Ideal behaviour Innovation Caring
  • 49. @ngruen1 48 What kind of data do we need?
  • 50. @ngruen1 Data on what causes what “Our success at Amazon is a function of how many experiments we do per year, per month, per week, per day….” Jeff Bezos “Last year at Google the search team ran about 6,000 experiments and implemented around 500 improvements based on those experiments. The ad side of the business did about the same. Any time you use Google, you are in many treatment and control groups. The learning from those experiments is fed back into production and the system continuously improves.” Hal Varian, chief economist at Google 49
  • 53. @ngruen1 52 I’ve worked with that family for 3 years and I just learnt more about them in 2 hours. Case worker Families commented: “you’re the only one who has ever asked what would work for my family”. Family coach
  • 55. @ngruen1 Nudge Unit 54 Engaging the life world of the other Behavioural economics and design are new fads embodying ancient principles of understanding others Easily scalable engagement Deep engagement
  • 59. @ngruen1 Open source 58 Community aged care Palliative Care Residential Aged Care
  • 65. @ngruen1 64 Place Besserer at Bruyère Village For couples with different care needs
  • 68. James Hall Consultant – Location Intelligence Leveraging Location Intelligence to identify and engage with customers in the Health and Aged Care Sector
  • 69. Agenda • History of Location Intelligence • Pitney Bowes • Use cases for the Health and Aged Care Sector • Partnership Introduction
  • 70. Quiz:
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  • 77. Technology Analysts view Location as “The Next Champion of Analytics.” Present… Location Intelligence
  • 78. The Future – Internet of Things… Big Data…
  • 81.
  • 84. “People who are really serious about Spatial Software should make their own Data” - Me
  • 85. Estimates and Projections Consumer Spend Potential Daytime Population CAMEO – Geo-demographic Segmentation 370 Datasets – 240 Geographies
  • 86. Data is the most valuable asset of any business and is the foundation for building lifetime customer relationships
  • 87. Use cases for the Health and Aged Care Sector
  • 88. Health and Aged Care Provider • Builds, owns and operates Health clinics and Aged Care Facilities • Community Screening initiatives Winterfell Health Challenges • Mobile screening • Next best location • Customer engagement
  • 89. Where to locate mobile community health screening
  • 91.
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  • 93. Next best location – Medical Clinic
  • 94.
  • 95.
  • 96. Next best location – Residential Aged Care
  • 102.
  • 103. Personalised Video Support decision making • Distance to shops, cafes, parks • Neighborhood composition – language, ethnicity, Religion • Distance from primary contact (Drive times) Support onboarding • Daily routine for required care level • Emergency procedures • Billing FAQs
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  • 113. Understanding the paradox between consumer choice and duty of care Presented by Julie McStay, Director
  • 114. Overview • Duty of care and rights and responsibilities • Risks and risk prevention • RACF residents engaging in risky behaviours • Balancing consumer choice and duty of care: – in retirement village context – in home care context
  • 115. Duty of care and rights and responsibilities
  • 116. Duty of care – what is it? • a duty of care is a legal obligation which is imposed on an individual to provide a standard of reasonable care while performing any act that could foreseeably harm others. • Do all that is reasonably necessary to minimise the risk of foreseeable harm
  • 117. Who owes a duty of care? • AP to staff – to act as a reasonable employer – to take reasonable steps to ensure staff are not injured • AP to care recipients – to meet residential care requirements – to take reasonable steps to ensure residents are not injured 5
  • 118. Who owes a duty of care? • Staff to AP – to act as a reasonable employee – to follow policies and procedures • Staff to care recipients – to provide required level of care – to provide for protection and general safety 6
  • 119. Care recipients’ rights • to maintain his or her personal independence • to accept personal responsibility for his or her own actions and choices, even though these may involve an element of risk, because the care recipient has the right to accept the risk and not to have the risk used as a ground for preventing or restricting his or her actions and choices
  • 120. Risks and risk prevention
  • 121. Foreseeable risks in aged care • Lack of clinical oversight • Medication management • Medication errors • Falls • Swallowing • Assaults • Care recipient absconding • Deterioration in condition • Use of restraints Presentation Slide 9
  • 122. Balancing consumer choice and duty of care in residential care
  • 123. Residents engaging in risky behaviours • Balance of risk vs resident wishes and quality of life • Residents should be supported to remain independent • Use of risk waivers? 11
  • 124. Case study 1 • A resident has mild dementia. • Pressure areas, does not like to be turned and wont agree to change his mattress • The resident is resistant to care and is physically abusive to staff when they try to assist him. • The care staff stop offering to turn him and give up trying to get a new mattress on the bed on the basis that they say they have “a duty of care to respect his wishes” • Thoughts???
  • 125. Case study 2 • Resident assessed as requiring assistance to mobilise • Attempts by staff to assist provoke aggression • Unaided mobilisation resulting in falls • Physical violence and aggression towards staff, other residents and the visitor of another resident
  • 126. Case study 3 • Resident moved from co-located RV to RAC • Not secure unit • Liked to go walking – had capacity and chose to disregard road safety • Condition deteriorated – two incidents of concern • Security of tenure
  • 127. Case study 4 • Resident enters facility in 2008 • Resident had been using a bed pole at home • Daughter asks EN for bed pole • EN does not document conversation with family • EN does not inform any other staff about the bed pole 15
  • 128. Case study 4 – Coroner’s findings and Department alert • May 2010 SA Coroner’s findings about bed poles following death resulting from asphyxiation due to entrapment in bed pole • June 2010, Department releases urgent bulletin to approved providers recommend that bed poles only be used in RACF: – resident has appropriate health professional assessment – use is frequently monitored – consent 16
  • 129. Case study 4 • Facility manager sends email to all RNs and ENs advising: – all bed poles must be removed – if resident insists on keeping bed pole, “Risk Taking Activity” consent form must be signed 17
  • 130. Case study 4 – Issues • Resident’s condition significantly deteriorates • Resident found entrapped in bed pole on night shift – No evidence that the resident whose daughter wanted the bed pole signed a risk form – No documented conversations about the risks associated with bed pole use 18
  • 131. Case study 5 • Resident had mental health issues • Smoker – wants to smoke • Staff smelled smoke on balcony • Resident found with burnt clothes on the ground and burns to body • Resident informed staff he tried to set himself on fire and take other residents with him 19
  • 132. Case study 6 • Challenging behaviours – two residents • They have both displayed challenging behaviours in the past but wish to continue living in this service • Dispute between residents • On resident pushes another • The resident falls, hits her head and passes away 20
  • 133. Risk prevention for APs • Regulator/Court will consider – probability that harm would occur if care was not taken – likely seriousness of the harm – burden of taking precautions to avoid harm – social need for the activities creating the risk
  • 134. Risk prevention for APs • Communication • Documentation • Hand over procedures • Training • Policies that are implemented and monitored • Check qualifications and references • Follow up complaints • Incident management
  • 135. Risk prevention – points to remember • Accurate and comprehensive documentation • Provide access to training and induction that includes information about duty of care • Provide access to internal and external services to deal with issues that challenge duty of care • Ensure resident’s and family participate in decision making • Discuss duty of care issues with staff
  • 136. Balancing consumer choice and duty of care in RV
  • 137. Home care in RVs – risk issues • New entrants • Regulatory – Aged Care Act, RV Act, others • Contractual – relationships with providers and clients • Reputational – managing incidents and complaints • Financial • Consumer directed care
  • 138. Case study 7 – RV [Giese 2013] 26 • Resident of retirement village • Myocardial infarction • Deceased discovered some time after death
  • 139. Delivery of care and your risk profile • More risk/higher duty • Response to risk needs to be proportionate to consequences • Recent Coroners matters indicate you must assess and have plans in place to respond to high risks 27
  • 140. Balancing consumer choice and duty of care in home care
  • 141. Case study 8 – Home care • Consumer directed care provides freedom of choice … • But what if family member wants to manage all administrative aspects of the package and pay no admin or case management fees?
  • 142. Case study 9 – Home care • Consumer directed care provides freedom of choice … • But what if client wants someone at home to perform nursing services?
  • 143. Case study 10 – Home care • Consumer directed care provides freedom of choice … • But what if the consumer wants to go without necessary clinical services to save for a more expensive non-clinical service?
  • 144. Care recipient independence vs increased provider regulation • More onerous obligations on home care providers – Eg policies and procedures – Monitoring, oversight, documentation, communication with client/representatives • Balance with care recipient independence? • Assumption of risk by home care providers
  • 148. My Story ExperienceAgedCare Storm Coming FoodExperience Place making Physical Environment People Planet Product Program Summary AGENDA
  • 150. 5 Star Hotels Perth/Canberra/China Iconic Venues ParliamentHouse of Australia,MCG, Melbourne Town Hall, NZ Parliament, MostAustralian Stadiums World Class Events Grand Prix, Spring Racing Carnival Bird Cage, Masters, Open, Wimbledon, Irish Open, PresidentsCup,APEC ,CHOGM
  • 151. WHOLE NEW WORLD • Appointed GM Food Development • Exposure to Aged Care/ Health and Resources Catering • The party was over!
  • 152. • Low daily allowance $ • High % Frozen Food • Staff not engaged • Environments not encouraging MY EXPERIENCE OF AGED CARE
  • 153. THERE'S A STORM COMING! • Apprentice Chefs at Record Lows • People Living Longer demand will grow • Aged Care Big Business – Profit pressures • Food Bowl Shrinking • Expectations will continue to grow
  • 154. 8 / 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017 I REALLY HOPE THINGS CHANGE BEFORE I GET OLD!
  • 155. 13/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017 $ It not all about the Money!
  • 156. 10/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017 FOOD & BEVERAGE - IS AN EXPERIENCE • Its not just about the food • Aged Care facilities have the same needs as many hospitality precincts • We should strive to create a positive experience • Adopt Place Making Principles
  • 157. Physical Environment People Planet Product Program 5 P’S OF PLACEMAKING
  • 158. 14/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017 PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT • Create Spaces where people want to be • Bring the kitchen table back • Where is the Heart of a Home?
  • 159. 14/ 29 MCC - LUXURY| FUTUREFOOD – JULY2017 PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT
  • 160. PEOPLE • Ownership – know your business • Food cost • Menus • Nutrition • Wastage • Cannot be outsourced • You are a Venue Manager and Food is over 60% of the experience • Technology now makes this possible.
  • 161. FULLY AUTOMATED NUTRITION ANALYSIS DIRECT CONNECTION TO SUPPLIERS COST & MARGIN MANAGEMENT MENU MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, SPECIFICALLY DEVEOPED FOR THE AUSTRALIAN MARKET PEOPLE
  • 162. PEOPLE • Encourage Connect through people and food. • Remove barriers. • Bring back the family!
  • 163. Employ for attitude. Don’t need Manu and George C in the kitchen. PEOPLE
  • 164. Give them every reason to value their work and daily rituals PEOPLE
  • 166. Bees are Better! Roof Tops, Corner Plots. Don’t let the naysayers win! PLANET
  • 167. • Create a Food Philosophy. • Live by it. • Cage Free Eggs • Free Range Chicken • Be practical PLANET
  • 169. Don’t forget we eat with our eyes? Care about presentation. PRODUCT
  • 170. • Make&Bake • MakefreshPasta • Bakefreshscones, biscuits,muffins PRODUCT
  • 171. Outlaw the baddies! – No Packet Soups Make In house Stock PRODUCT
  • 172. • Be practical! • Small goals aligned with Skills and Resources • Slow cook cheaper cuts. • Rotate Frozen supplemented by kitchen • Regularly compare costs fresh/frozen etc. • Sample & cost pre made meals. • Mix up in house prep, pre made, fresh, frozen. PRODUCT
  • 173. PROGRAM Curated Environments for the Excitement and pleasure of everyone. • Music • Live Cooking • Cooking Classes for relatives • Specialty Nights, National Nights • Fondue Nights, Quiz nights • Expand the target group
  • 174. HEART OF THE HOUSE IS THE KITCHEN Summary • People – Encourage Connection , Value Kitchen Teams • Physical Environment- Create environments where people want to be! • Planet – Embrace Nature as much as possible. • Product – Make “1” specialty item a day. • Program – Create activity schedules that encourage participation and deliver an experience.
  • 175. Phone +61 0407449672 Web www.altobcibum.com Email rclifford@altocibum.com STAYON TREND ROBERT CLIFFORD GENERAL MANAGER THANK YOU
  • 176. Providing a flexible, whole of life approach to in-home care Presented by: Susanne Jones
  • 187. Future ageing, living and care 2025 and beyond Dr Andrew Fleming Ageing & Living Director
  • 189. 1. Introduction 2. Australian demographics 3. Roadmaps and scenarios 4. Future customers 5. Seniors living 6. Models of care 7. Future home care 8. Assistive technologies 9. Future residential care 10. Small scale dementia care 11. Conclusion Agenda
  • 190. Retirement living: • Approximately 200,000 Australians or 5.7% of people aged 65+ live in a village • Average age of residents – 81 years • By 2025 the number of residents will double in number to 7.5% of 65+ population Dementia: • In 2017 more than 413,000 people are living with dementia • By 2056 this will increase to more than 1.1 million people • One in ten people aged 65+ will develop dementia • Three in ten people aged 85+ will develop dementia • Dementia prevalence 80 - 84 years 11% for males, 14% for females Australian demographics
  • 191. Australian demographics Year 65 - 74 age group % 75 - 84 age group % 85+ age group % 2016 57 30 13 2024 45 35 19 Source: Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (2017). Older Australia at a glance. Australian Government.
  • 192. Australian demographics Year Men at birth Women at birth Men aged 65 Men aged 85 Women aged 65 Women aged 85 2013 - 151 80.4 84.5 19.5 6.2 22.3 7.2 20302 >83 >87 >20 No data >23 No data 1. Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (2017). Life expectancy. Australian Government. 2. Kontis, V et al. (2017). Future life expectancy in 35 industrialised countries: projections with a Bayesian model ensemble. Lancet, 389: 1323- 35. Online – http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32381-9
  • 193. Future Aged Care Australian Government Agenda • A seamless aged care system that is market-based, consumer driven, with access based on assessed need • Seamless movement between home-based and residential care with actual consumer choice of care and provider across the spectrum • Uncapped supply • No distinction between care at home and residential care, creating a single aged care system — agnostic as to where care is received Aged Care Road Map 2016, Aged Care Sector Committee
  • 194. Seniors Living - Last 30 years 55+ Lifestyle Village Remain at home Low care High care Aged care Length of stay 36-48 months Traditional Retirement Village - some with care 55 60 65 70 80 85 95
  • 195. Seniors Living - Next 30 years 55+ Lifestyle Village Remain at home with in-home care if necessary Assisted living Aged care Retirement Village with care capacity 55 60 65 70 80 85 95 Length of stay 12 months
  • 196. Future Residential Aged Care Demand • Increased Home Care Supply “A major factor in future entry rates will be the continuing expansion of the home care program, which is expected to result in proportionally fewer people entering permanent residential care” Aged Care Financing Authority - Fifth report on the Funding and Financing of the Aged Care Sector July 2017 • The likelihood of Level 5 and 6 Home Care Packages • Declining length of stay
  • 197. RAC Places 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 Demand of Places Forecast – Based on Government Rate Demand of Places Forecast – 12 months LoS Demand of Places Forecast – 24 months LoS Demand of Places Forecast – 6 months LoS 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2050: RAC places demand and supply
  • 198. Future organisations • Recognise the value of mission and purpose to business success • Embed culture and values in all products and services • Build purpose and meaning to return greater employee satisfaction, consumer advocacy and loyalty • Adopt customer-centred approaches rather than organisation-centred marketing • Co-production leads the design of products and services • Consumers feel they are at the heart of service offering Reference: Attrill, H. (2016). The value of mission to business. Community Care Review, February 2016.
  • 201. Successful retirement is underpinned by: 1. Financial security – the foundation. 2. Build up the social network to replace the former work community. 3. A life with purpose and challenging one’s mind. 4. Ongoing personal development – exploring, questioning and learning. 5. Having fun. What will retirees want?
  • 202. “An active process of becoming aware of and making choices toward a more successful existence or healthy and fulfilling life” (WHO, 1998) Wellness?
  • 203. ‘Front of mind’ is: • Increased expectations and a culture of entitlement • Downsize not downgrade - Aspirational downsizers - Maintain pre-retirement lifestyle and explore other opportunities - Individual choice and control ‘Front of house’ is: • Normality • Hospitality • Lifestyle - Health - Wellness Rising Expectations
  • 204. ‘Back of mind’ is care: • “It is good to know it (care) is there when I might need it BUT I won’t talk about it right now” • It signifies disability, dependency, decline and the road to death ‘Back of house’ is: • ADL support • Clinical care Rising Expectations
  • 205. Increasing affluence • Future over 65 ‘Baby Boomers’ will be the richest we have seen to date Changing tastes • The traditional purchaser of retirement living is changing • Living life to the full is more important than leaving an inheritance Changing expectations
  • 206. “Housing with care is an accommodation response to the increase in manageable care needs and desires of older people to remain in a home of their own for as long as possible” (JLL – Retirement Living, Where is the Opportunity, 2015, UK) “Residents of today and tomorrow want the real total package—and that includes care and wellness within arm’s reach” (Senior Housing News, 2017, USA) Why?
  • 207. 2025 and beyond - Expectations
  • 208. Retirement and care accommodation, residential aged care, and dementia care Seniors living precincts will bring to the community a range of contemporary seniors living accommodation and care models with extensive community and activation facilities • Residential care will accommodate persons who require 24/7 clinical care, including complex health issues and palliative care • Dementia care will take the form of providing small houses of residents in a home like environment • Care accommodation will provide serviced apartments that offer daily meals, cleaning, laundry and other assistance with daily living • Retirement accommodation offers fully accessible seniors living for persons to age-in-place and die-in-place Seniors living precincts
  • 209. Apartments | Villas | Vertical?
  • 212. • Biophilic Design: the positive benefits of interaction with nature • Important for physical health and well-being • Integration of nature and natural elements, materials and forms into architecture and interiors. Natural world connectedness
  • 214. 2025 - new business opportunities
  • 218. 1. Resident centred and directed 2. Health and wellness 3. Health literacy 4. Dignity of risk 5. Natural world connectedness 6. Social relational emphasis 7. Clinical governance 8. Best practice 9. A palliative approach 10. Program evaluation Models of care - principles
  • 219. • Leadership and culture • Safe systems • Education and training • Care audit and monitoring • Research and developments • Transparency and openness • Risk management Clinical governance
  • 220. Future Home Care - trends • Expansion of the home care program to meet 45 per 1000 ratio • Post February 27 2017: - Multiple operators driving competition and innovation - Consumers will request to move from existing provider to new provider - Consumers moving to new operators who were previously ‘sub contractors’ - Retirement living sector expanding into home care operations • The challenge to meet the increasing clinical care needs of home care consumers Courtesy of Lorraine Poulos
  • 221. Future Home Care – Staff Skill Mix • Technology literate and enabled workforce • Effective case management by trained case managers • Customer service as a core skill • Clinical staff availability – RN, EN • Palliative care internal and external resources
  • 223. Emerging Technologies: Care at Home • GPS technology • Personal Emergency Response Systems • Medication Reminders • Wireless Home Monitoring • User-Friendly Computer Interfaces • Health Tracking Tools • Online Community Networking and Support
  • 224. GPS tracking A 2016 US simulation study • Assessed the time to locate missing persons under various outdoor scenarios using RF locator devices and GPS devices • Each device was tested three times in each of three scenarios (open, wooded, and urban). • GPS devices were almost twice as time-effective in finding the wanderer and performed better over larger distances.
  • 226. Future End-of-life Residential Care • Physical environments will support: - Continued use of the senses - A sense of familiarity and homeliness - Access to the outdoors and the natural environment - Engagement with spiritual aspects of life - Social engagement and being with family - Calmness, privacy and foster dignity - Safety and security - The facilitation of nursing care and application of emerging technology Dementia Collaborative Research Centre, January 2014. Defining the desirable characteristics of physical environments for the delivery of support and care to people in the late stages of dementia.
  • 227. Future Residential Care – Staff Skill Mix • Technology literate and enabled workforce • Nurse practitioners in partnership with GPs managing care • Partnerships with acute care services • RNs acting as clinical leaders with core skills of: - Advanced physical assessment - Wound care - Palliative care - Behaviour assessment and management • Direct care workers with core skills of: - Customer service - Conflict prevention and resolution (assault avoidance disengagement)
  • 228. • De Hogeweyk model of care for people with severe dementia • A social-relational model of care for persons living with dementia • Small, normal human scale living for 6-7 persons who share similar social values and lifestyles • Interiors as a link to how it used to be, tailored to everyone e.g. Artisan, Cultural • Participation in meaningful activities and social life • Composition of outdoor public spaces such as gardens and streets • ‘Front of house’ is normal life, ‘back of house’ is care and support Small scale dementia care
  • 229. 2025 and beyond - Sustainable organisations