The Futures Company presented a workshop which allowed businesses to take a closer look at their customer and the global consumer trends ensuring their business is fit for future opportunities. Use of this work should be referenced to The Futures Company
18. +57
%
+78
%
+231
%
+39
%
+6%
-1%
Household income of $10 to
$100 dollars a day PPP
From $7 trillion to $20 trillion? The new middle class
Source:1.OECD(2010)TheEmergingMiddleClassinDevelopingCountries.2.McKinsey(2012)Winningthe$30trillion
decathlon:Goingforgoldinemergingmarkets
28. • But its arrival is slow and erratic
• It needs reasonable 4G takeup to create markets
• Opportunities for monetisation are still unclear
• Locational services appear to represent a
significant opportunity
• Mobile advertising is overhyped
35. The Futures Company: Global MONITOR survey 2012
28%
of all Global
MONITOR
respondents
feel „a LOT‟ of
anger about
all four of
these issues:
„the Global
Enraged‟
Budget-conscious behaviors have become embedded in consumers’ lives, no longer generating the same levels of anxiety as in the early years of the recession. However, it also means that consumers are putting more effort into getting the best deal, making use of the growing array of tools at their disposal. This is changing their attitude of value, and drives more creative definitions of ownership.Consumers in stagnant developed markets have come to the realization that leaner times are here to stay. They have gone beyond temporary belt-tightening measures as their objective shifts from surviving to thriving on more limited budgets. As a result, they will be looking for creative solutions to find good deals and access special treats for less. In these markets, consumers will increasingly be more alert to price than brand names.In emerging markets, many consumers still have a stronger appetite for brands and many are looking to expand their consumption. However, as economies slow down, digital technologies proliferate, and more brands enter their markets, emerging market consumers are in a better position to demand more for their money. This places consumers from many emerging markets among the most enthusiastic deal-seekers.81% of consumers consider it a sign of success or accomplishment to get the best deals on the products and services they buy. Only 51% believe the same about owning luxury products.
In this context, the way consumers think of “ownership” and “value” is changing.Consumers are questioning whether it is necessary to own, or fully own, something in order to derive the desired benefits from it, and this is shaping their value calculation, as well as their shopping choices.Consumers also are leveraging the value in what they already own, as well as their time, data and social connections, to access things that are beyond their purchasing power. In some cases, they turn to peer-to-peer or direct channels, cutting out companies and retailers all together.Consumers also are realizing that paying less doesn't have to mean getting less: Finding smart ways of getting premium features, but still paying a low price, is becoming an important point of pride among consumers everywhere.
La Samplería is a Mexican web-based service that allows consumers to sample new releases before they commit to actually owning them. After trying out the samples, consumers can buy the products from the website. In exchange for their reviews, they get credits they can use for their next purchase.Last winter, Lole , a Montreal-based women’s active wear company ran a promotion where Lole coat owners could bring in their gently used coats, which were then inspected and sold online. All proceeds went to a local food bank and, the used-coat owner got a $50credit for a new coat. Also lots of barter sites globally Onlinetroc France or Wonderlend in SKoreaAlittlemarket is a French website that makes unique handmade items, artisanal fine food products, jewelry and fine art available directly from creators. Sellers have virtual storefronts where they can sell their products. By sourcing directly from the creators and cutting out middlemen sellers can set more affordable prices for consumers. –An example of many online services that allow people respite from the overall constraint on spending
Globally, high levels of distrust in companies is making the promise that a brand is genuine even more important. However, different people define “genuine” differently.Only 34% globally say that With minor exceptions, the honesty and integrity of businesses in their dealings with the public is at a very high levelIn developed markets, where skepticism around the integrity of big companies is high, people tend to seek reassurance in companies with a more human face, which are able to demonstrate a genuine passion for what they do. In European markets in particular this is important In these markets around 80% of people say that If the opportunity arises, most businesses will take advantage of the public, if they feel they are not likely to be found outIn emerging markets, where skepticism around big companies is still lower, the most “genuine” products might be those that come from the biggest, most international companies, whose scale and clout are thought to allow them access to better ingredients and processes. For example, in Indonesia and Thailand, belief in the integrity of companies (68% and 79% respectively) is far ahead of skepticism in the claims companies make (45% and 61%).
The question is not whether consumers will seek out more genuine offers. The challenge is to execute it in ways that resonate with local consumer contexts.Brands have many tools at their disposal to offer a sense of reassurance. This includes the human force and passion behind the brand, as well as the authentic stories brands can craft from location and provenance. In emerging markets in particular, big brands from big companies still have the advantage when it comes to the perceptions of authenticity that lead to consumer preference. The trick in these markets is how to leverage size and scale to support a story of authenticity and genuineness, without running the risk of becoming distant, impersonal and, ultimately, irrelevant.
In the context of rising consumer distrust about the origins of agricultural produce, Danone’s communications in France increasingly emphasize the independent farmers and the cows behind its milk. Its recent campaigns highlight the win-win relationship with farmers, who also are motivated to produce genuine and trustworthy products.The Russian company IDS Borjomi Russia created a website for the famous natural Georgian mineral water Borjomi. This water is sourced from deep underground. In order to show this to consumers, they launched the world’s deepest website, 8 kilometers underground, where the water originatesEbay Style is seen to offer consumers a reliable and transparent service, and protection from counterfeit goods.Chinese consumers can now purchase Ebay items from the U.S. while a local partner handles shipping and logistics. As an extremely large international platform, Ebay is considered more trustworthy than domestic platforms, and consumers can rest assured that they will get what they ordered.
The rise of the experience economy and people expecting more from retailers and brands as they try to make choices from an abundance of optionI am always looking for new experiences and sensations that will liven up my everyday activities. This rose from 49% to 56% between 2011-2013The need to escape everyday uncertainties remains an important trend in developed markets, ranging from seeking small pleasures to pursuing more meaningful experiences. Despite—or maybe even because of—financial difficulties for consumers in Italy and Spain, novelty in products and services has become more important. So despite the financial difficulties people there is rising appetite for novelty.For many emerging market consumers, higher disposable incomes and more choice in products and services mean that an array of new experiences are within reach. This means that in many emerging markets, consumers display a stronger appetite for novelty and demand richer experiences from products, beyond simple functionality. Agreement with “When I buy any product, its style and design is as important as its performance” has risen in most emerging markets.62% globally say: Somewhat/very likely to do in the next 12 months: Put money toward a once-in-a-lifetime experience or purchase
Consumers will be looking for a wide range of experiences from products, services and brandsIn the past few years, as many people have had to learn to live with less money and far greater uncertainty, the focus seems to have been on small experiences that punctuate everyday life, and provide boosts to body and spirit. With the global economy continuing to be soft, consumers will continue to seek out simple pleasures and moments of play to break their stressful routines.However, people also are seeking fulfillment on a larger scale. More than in recent years, there seems to be growing interest in once-in-a-lifetime experiences that change one’s perspective on life—either fleetingly or permanently
U.K. department store Selfridges introduced a new store-wide concept called No Noise. It is an initiative that goes beyond retail, but invites customers to celebrate the power of quiet, see the beauty in function, and find calm among the crowds.ThelingeriestoreWomen’sSecretorganized a series of “PajamaParties,” withactivitieslikebed-jumping and pillow-throwing, in themiddle of a Barcelona shopping mall. Womenwereinvitedtolet off steam and gocrazy, jumping aroundon a giantbed. Theireffortwasrewardedwith a series of giftvouchershidden in thefloatingballonsabovethem. Heineken recently launched a campaign daring travelers to play what they called “Departure Roulette.” It challenged travelers to drop their existing travel plans for a random, unknown destination revealed with the push of a button. One man dropped his 6-week trip to Vienna for a serendipitous voyage to Cyprus.Diageo’s Johnnie Walker campaign in China, "Yulu" or "Words of a Journey", uses a documentary approach to tell the stories of 12 Chinese pioneers, chosen from the fields of business, the arts and social activism. They all reflect upon their life journeys against the backdrop of modern China. These stories are meant to inspire Chinese consumers to reflect back on their own personal journeys.
In a few short years, social networks have gone from fringe to fun to fundamental. In both developed and emerging markets, online networking platforms like Facebook, Twitter and Weibo, as well as smartphones, have quickly reached critical mass. As this happens, consumers’ social, shopping and consumption habits have all changed in seemingly irreversible ways. With the new ubiquity of networked living has come what seems to be a new shift in the way people are engaging with their social networks: from mindless to mindful. 76% say I am concerned about data protection and privacy on the InternetThe extent to which consumers take a more guarded vs. a more open approach to networks reflects the state of Internet infrastructure, as much as cultural norms around privacy.Developed markets with high levels of Internet penetration tend to be more concerned with online privacy. This partly reflects the fact that in highly networked societies, the complexities of digital privacy are more top-of-mind. It also can signal more guarded cultural perceptions of where the margins of public and private lie, in some cases driven by historical experience (e.g. Germany). Social networks are already embedded in most developed markets and as such, provoke less enthusiasm. This means that brands have to work hard to deliver benefits while respecting privacy.Consumers in emerging markets tend to express more enthusiasm about social network use. The top 5 markets where people say that the Internet helps them connect with like-minded individuals all are emerging (80% Indonesia, 76% Russia, 75% India, 71% Thailand, 67% Colombia, vs. 57 % Global average). In some societies, the Internet allows more free expression than social norms or politics otherwise permit. However, large social networks also are a source of influence. Building networks of social influence as an aspiration resonates more in emerging markets.
Going forward, it will be increasingly important for companies to find new, mutually beneficial ways to engage with the mindfully networked consumer, both on and around the networks they can’t live without.On the one hand, recent events have made people all over the world aware of just how compromised their privacy, and the security of their personal data is. This will increasingly make the effort to respect and safeguard people’s privacy a differentiator in how consumers perceive a brand or service.On the other hand, more and more people also are realizing that there is financial value in their social networks and their personal data—value that they’re currently not personally maximizing. Giving people the opportunity to benefit from being networked, whether to enhance their shopping or their social activities, is a growing opportunity.
What I’m Wearing Today is a U.K.-based fashion blog where people can upload pictures of themselves, and collect likes and advice from peers. The website also features a “Lust List” where users can extend their wardrobes by ordering from a curated selection of clothes on the site.Lenddois an online financial services company operating in Colombia and the Philippines. Lenddo’s goal is to expand loan access to the emerging middle classes in these countries. The idea is to leverage online social connections to prove creditworthiness. This is especially important for people who are new to personal finance, and do not have credit history. It is essentially credit based on community trust that can be tracked online.Cluefulis an app developed in Romania, which identifies and rates applications that abuse your personal data. This helps consumers who do not have time to investigate the security of all their apps to reduce privacy risks. Apple pulled the app from its store, probably fearing that it would discourage downloads, but Clueful is back now as a web app.
Changing household structures, the increased affordability of travel, advances in medicine, the Internet—these are just some of the forces that have freed consumers from living lives dictated by their demographics. The line between masculine and feminine is blurred, it's okay to not act your age, and you haven't really lived life until you've lived it—or at least seen it—from the point-of-view of someone from another culture.As expanding and evolving identities become the norm, however, consumers are realizing that they still need and want a secure "base" from which to explore all the identities that they can play with. Consequently, they're seeking to reconnect with the identities they were born with.This has risen from 52% to 56% between 2012-13 Extremely/very important in your personal life today: Preserving your family’s cultural traditionsAnchoring one’s identity in one’s cultural roots is increasing in importance everywhere, but for different reasons.The co-existence of diverse identities is well established in many developed markets. However, in a recessionary environment, people’s sense of freedom to shape their identities has declined. In developed markets, the rise of consumer interest in anchoring their identity in “traditional” values also is likely driven by the more inward-looking attitude the economic crisis has created.Although identities are undeniably shaped by global influences, the importance of preserving traditions is high in many emerging markets. While in some cases, this could be driven by the fear of global influences eroding local cultures (71% of Indonesian, 69% of Thai and 67% of Indian consumers agree with this), in others, it signals the growing confidence many feel as a result of their county’s rising economic, political and cultural influence.
The co-existence of contradictory trends in Dynamic Identities makes it a truly dynamic energy, where local nuance and the relative importance of diverse social and cultural trends will play an especially important role.Many consumers will continue to experience and experiment with identities beyond their own backgrounds. However, this can co-exist with the growing importance of finding anchor points in tradition and heritage.For some, this complexity will drive an interest in fusing elements of other identities with those that are most valued from their own backgrounds.
Jameson Irish Whiskey has opened “Jameson Place” in Madrid—a space dedicated to people who want to learn about whiskey, or organize whiskey tasting sessions with friends. Neil, a real Irish whiskey expert, is the host of “Jameson Place.Beer and Cider producer James Squire has recently produced an outdoor ad campaign that plays on a large component of Australia’s national identity—its convict colony past. The images of men in this ad campaign are visually reminiscent and evocative of early images of Australian bush rangers, and use that as an anchor point for Australian masculinity with a tongue-in-cheek touch.Estée Lauder launched Osiao, a beauty line tailor-made for Asian consumers. By integrating traditional Chinese medicine ingredients like ginseng, Osiao appeals to Chinese consumers’ local pride and traditional health beliefs, while leveraging consumers’ trust in Western brands and luxury brands.
Today, more consumers globally (93%) consider “being physically fit and in good health” a sign of success in life, vs. “having a lot of money” (81%). However, globally, only 44% are satisfied with their physical health, down from 50% in 2010. This reveals a growing gap between how healthy people want to feel, and how they actually feel in their everyday lives. Despite differences in context and level of development, consumers everywhere are worried about access to adequate healthcare that could help them close the health gap.In developed markets, where austerity continues to be a priority, consumers worry about having enough to take care of their health, amidst a large number of other worries and concerns. As a result, they will be looking for simple solutions that help them feel healthy, while leaving them enough money, time and energy to also face the other challenges and uncertainties they’re confronting everyday.In many emerging markets, lifestyle diseases have seen rapid growth in recent years, and many consumers now realize that they need to take action. These lifestyle diseases, combined with ageing populations, are straining already stretched public health care systems to the breaking point, placing health top-of-mind both for individuals and society as a whole, in markets as diverse as Brazil, Indonesia and South Africa.There is growing recognition that consumers need more help to close the widening health gapThe many products and activities that have arisen in recent years, that have promised consumers better health and wellness (yoga, functional foods, fortified foods, nutraceuticals, etc.), seem to be under-delivering. Consequently, consumers seem to be questioning their value, and returning to a more reactive (vs. proactive) approach to health care. There is an emerging opportunity to help consumers close this health gap by offering them a more measured approach to health and wellbeing. This can involve a more step-by-step approach, the setting of shorter and more tangible goals, or more micro-personalized solutions.
Fitbit is a self-monitoring device that measures various metrics of activity and fitness (activity, calories, sleeping patterns, nutrition). It allows users to set their own goals and gives them ongoing support and information about what they need to do to achieve their fitness goals. Instead of overloading people with monitored information, the device’s communications focus on milestones and taking people on a step by step journey to fitness(Dietmfb.com assigns each customer a dietician, who designs a healthy meal plan that fits the user’s needs and lifestyle. Dietmfb.com then makes the meals and delivers them daily to the customer’s home, ensuring easy, hassle-free health improvement. )Nicorette QuickMist in Canadaclaims to control cravings within 60 seconds, allowing the user to quit smoking without the problems of sudden, long-lasting cravings. Nicorette has created a specific timeline for customers as they gradually reduce their use of QuickMist, from every ½ hour in the first 6 weeks, to 2 to 4 sprays a day after 12 weeks, offering a clear and measured approach to stopping smoking. Thrive Vitamins in the U.K.creates personal 28-day vitamin plans and sends daily pouches to customers. These personal plans are based on information completed in an individual survey, giving each consumer the vitamin combination that best suits his/her health and lifestyle needs.