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>	
  Data	
  Science	
  <	
  
Where	
  does	
  a	
  Physics	
  degree	
  fit?	
  
>	
  Life	
  as	
  a	
  Data	
  Scien/st	
  
§  What	
  is	
  it?	
  
§  Data	
  Science	
  Examples	
  
§  Why	
  you	
  should	
  think	
  about	
  it?	
  
§  About	
  Datalicious	
  (my	
  current	
  company)	
  




August	
  2011	
          ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     2	
  
101011010010010010101111010010010101010100001011111001010101
010100101011001100010100101001101101001101001010100111001010
010010101001001010010100100101001111101010100101001001001010	
  


>	
  What	
  is	
  it?	
  
August	
  2011	
          ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     3	
  
>	
  Mixing	
  the	
  old	
  to	
  produce	
  new	
  

                          Business	
                            Marke/ng	
  /	
  
                        Performance	
                           Adver/sing	
  




     IT	
  /	
  Coding	
                                                            Sta/s/cs	
  
                                     Data	
  
                                    Science	
  

August	
  2011	
                    ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                               4	
  
>	
  By	
  Defini/on	
  
Data:	
  “Facts	
  and	
  sta)s)cs	
  collected	
  together	
  
for	
  reference	
  or	
  analysis”	
  
	
  


Science:	
  “The	
  systema)c	
  study	
  of	
  the	
  structure	
  
and	
  behaviour	
  of	
  the	
  physical	
  and	
  natural	
  
world	
  through	
  observa)on	
  and	
  experiment”	
  
	
  
Hmmm,	
  so	
  what?	
  

August	
  2011	
            ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
       5	
  
>	
  Sounds	
  like	
  nothing	
  new	
  
§  Data,	
  Science,	
  ObservaPon,	
  Hypothesis,	
  
     Experiment,	
  Analysis,	
  PredicPon	
  à	
  are	
  all	
  
     nothing	
  new.	
  
	
  
§  BUT,	
  the	
  digital	
  age	
  has	
  created	
  new	
  
     opportuniPes	
  where	
  scienPfic	
  methods	
  can	
  
     be	
  applied	
  to	
  massive,	
  real	
  world	
  digital	
  data	
  
     sets.	
  
	
  
August	
  2011	
               ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
           6	
  
>	
  And	
  Data	
  is	
  Exploding	
  
“Every	
  2	
  Days	
  We	
  Create	
  As	
  Much	
  Informa)on	
  As	
  
We	
  Did	
  Up	
  To	
  2003”	
  –	
  Eric	
  Schmidt.	
  CEO,	
  Google	
  
	
  
“AdMob	
  Seeing	
  2	
  Billion	
  Ad	
  Requests	
  Per	
  Day;	
  Up	
  
300	
  Percent	
  Over	
  Past	
  Year”	
  –	
  TechCrunch	
  
	
  
“The	
  amount	
  of	
  digital	
  informa)on	
  created	
  
annually	
  will	
  grow	
  by	
  a	
  factor	
  of	
  44	
  from	
  2009	
  to	
  
2020,	
  as	
  all	
  major	
  forms	
  of	
  media	
  -­‐	
  voice,	
  TV,	
  
radio,	
  print	
  -­‐	
  complete	
  the	
  journey	
  from	
  analog	
  to	
  
digital”	
  
August	
  2011	
                  ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                7	
  
>	
  EMC	
  -­‐	
  "The	
  Digital	
  Universe	
  
Decade	
  -­‐	
  Are	
  You	
  Ready?"	
  
“In	
  2009,	
  amid	
  the	
  "Great	
  Recession,"	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  digital	
  
informa)on	
  grew	
  62%	
  over	
  2008	
  to	
  800	
  billion	
  gigabytes	
  
(0.8	
  Zeabytes).”	
  	
  
	
  
But	
  how	
  much	
  is	
  that	
  really?	
  
	
  
707	
  trillion	
  copies	
  of	
  the	
  more	
  than	
  2,000-­‐page	
  U.S.	
  PaPent	
  
ProtecPon	
  and	
  Affordable	
  Care	
  Act	
  signed	
  into	
  Law	
  in	
  
March	
  2010.	
  Stacked	
  end	
  to	
  end,	
  the	
  documents	
  would	
  
stretch	
  from	
  Earth	
  to	
  Pluto	
  and	
  back	
  16	
  Pmes	
  or	
  cover	
  
every	
  inch	
  of	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  in	
  paper	
  3	
  feet	
  deep	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
August	
  2011	
                      ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                     8	
  
[	
  Mo/va/on	
  ]	
  	
  



      Data	
  =	
  

                        ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     9	
  
101011010010010010101111010010010101010100001011111001010101
010100101011001100010100101001101101001101001010100111001010
010010101001001010010100100101001111101010100101001001001010	
  


>	
  Data	
  Science	
  Examples	
  
August	
  2011	
          ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     10	
  
>	
  Search	
  and	
  the	
  product	
  lifecycle	
  	
  
   Nokia	
  N-­‐Series	
  




   Apple	
  iPhone	
  
October	
  2010	
            ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     11	
  
>	
  Financial	
  Predic/on	
  




                   ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     12	
  
>	
  Trigger	
  based	
  Sales	
  
                                                                  2	
  years	
  on	
  	
  
                                                                  the	
  beach	
  
                       Iden/fies	
  themself	
  	
  
  User	
  visits	
                                                                                        User	
  visits	
  
                          (e.g.	
  sale	
  or	
                                                                                Looks	
  at	
  lots	
  of	
  
     Site	
                                                                                                Site	
  again	
  
                          registra/on)	
                                                                                          ‘widgets’	
  
 anonymously	
                                                                                          ‘anonymously’	
  




                                                                                                                                     Cookie	
  


                                Web	
  
     Cookie	
                 Analy/cs	
  
                              Database	
                                                                                                                Hi	
  John,	
  long	
  
                                                                                                                                                       /me	
  no	
  talk,	
  we	
  
                                                                                                                                                        have	
  a	
  special	
  
                                                               Name:	
  John	
  Example	
                                                                on	
  widgets!	
  
                                                               Interest:	
  Widgets	
  
                                                               History:	
  	
  
                               Business	
                      -­‐Last	
  visit	
  2	
  years	
  ago.	
  
                             Intelligence	
                    -­‐Purchased	
  10	
  blue	
  widgets	
  
                              Database	
                       -­‐High	
  value	
  band	
  
                                                               Loca/on:	
  2000,	
  Sydney	
  
                                                               	
  
                                                                                          	
  




                                                      ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                                                                                     13	
  
>	
  The	
  science	
  of	
  Banner	
  Ads	
  	
  
     Control	
  
     Group	
                                               Normal	
  Display	
  Adver/sing	
  (90%)	
  
      (10%)	
  




                   Impressions	
  =	
  1	
  M	
                                                             Impressions	
  =	
  9	
  M	
  
                   Visitors	
  =	
  1,000	
                                                                 Visitors	
  =	
  10,000	
  
                   Sales	
  =	
  50	
                                                                       Sales	
  =	
  550	
  
                   Cost	
  =	
  $1,000	
                                                                    Cost	
  =	
  $9,000	
  
                   $	
  per	
  sale	
  =	
  $20	
                                                           $	
  per	
  sale	
  =	
  $16	
  
                   	
                                                                                       	
  
      Without	
  display	
  
                   	
  
                                                                                              With	
  display	
  
      adverPsing,	
  1	
  in	
  
      every	
  20,000	
  people  	
  
                                                           22%	
                              adverPsing	
  1	
  in	
  
                                                                                              every	
  16,363	
  people 	
  
      will	
  convert	
  	
                                uplie	
  	
                        will	
  convert	
  	
  

         	
                                                              	
  
 -­‐	
  Banner	
  Ads	
  do	
  influence	
  sales	
  despite	
  what	
  people	
  think	
  
 -­‐	
  Even	
  if	
  you	
  don’t	
  click	
  on	
  them	
  
                                                      ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                                                  14	
  
[	
  Affinity	
  targe/ng	
  in	
  ac/on	
  ]	
  
                                                                                      Different	
  types	
  of	
  	
  
                                                                                      visitors	
  respond	
  to	
  	
  
                                                                                      different	
  ads.	
  By	
  
                                                                                      using	
  category	
  
                                                                                      affinity	
  targePng,	
  	
  
                                                                                      response	
  rates	
  are	
  	
  
                                                                                      lieed	
  significantly	
  	
  
                                                                                      across	
  products.	
  

                                                                Click-­‐Through	
  Rate	
  By	
  Category	
  Affinity	
  
                                       Message	
  
                                                              Postpay	
       Prepay	
        Broadb.	
      Business	
  

                             Blackberry	
  Bold	
                 -               -               -              +
                             5GB	
  Mobile	
  Broadband	
         -               -              +                -
                             Blackberry	
  Storm	
               +                -              +               +
                             12	
  Month	
  Caps	
                -              +                -              +

                      ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                                                                    15	
  
14/11/12	
     ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     16	
  
101011010010010010101111010010010101010100001011111001010101
010100101011001100010100101001101101001101001010100111001010
010010101001001010010100100101001111101010100101001001001010	
  

>	
  Why	
  should	
  you	
  do	
  it?	
  

August	
  2011	
          ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     17	
  
>	
  The	
  start	
  of	
  a	
  trend…	
  




August	
  2011	
         ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     18	
  
>	
  Big	
  Data	
  also…	
  




August	
  2011	
       ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     19	
  
>	
  Supply	
  is	
  way	
  behind	
  demand…	
  




August	
  2011	
     ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     20	
  
IT	
  needs	
  more	
  Scien/sts	
  


August	
  2011	
       ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     21	
  
>	
  Difficult	
  to	
  believe?	
  
                          §  Marketers	
  typically	
  just	
  don’t	
  get	
  it,	
  but	
  their	
  bosses	
  
                               now	
  know	
  you	
  can	
  measure	
  the	
  ROI	
  of	
  digital	
  Ads,	
  so	
  
                               they’re	
  screwed	
  without	
  the	
  data	
  scienPsts	
  
                          	
  
                          	
  

§  The	
  business	
  guys	
  mostly	
  (not	
  all)	
  see	
  the	
  value,	
  but	
  
     the	
  Internet	
  wasn’t	
  around	
  when	
  they	
  were	
  back	
  in	
  
     Harvard,	
  so	
  they	
  can’t	
  do	
  it	
  alone	
  
	
  


                                      §  Developers	
  are	
  predominantly	
  good	
  at	
  following	
  a	
  
                                           spec.	
  They	
  rarely	
  understand	
  data,	
  staPsPcs	
  and	
  how	
  
                                           to	
  go	
  about	
  sejng	
  up	
  and	
  analysing	
  an	
  experiment	
  
                                      	
  
     August	
  2011	
                                    ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                       22	
  
                                      	
  
>	
  You	
  can	
  work	
  across	
  all	
  industries	
  




August	
  2011	
        ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     23	
  
>	
  Work	
  on	
  wide	
  ranging	
  issues…	
  




August	
  2011	
     ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     24	
  
>	
  Work	
  from	
  Anywhere	
  




August	
  2011	
     ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     25	
  
101011010010010010101111010010010101010100001011111001010101
010100101011001100010100101001101101001101001010100111001010
010010101001001010010100100101001111101010100101001001001010	
  


>	
  About	
  Datalicious	
  
August	
  2011	
          ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     26	
  
>	
  Across	
  major	
  data	
  categories	
  
                                                                         Campaign	
  data	
  
                                                                         TV,	
  print,	
  call	
  center,	
  search,	
  
                                                                         web	
  analyPcs,	
  ad	
  serving,	
  etc	
  
                                                                         	
  	
  
              Campaigns	
     Customers	
                                Customer	
  data	
  
                                                                         Direct	
  mail,	
  call	
  center,	
  web	
  
                                                                         analyPcs,	
  emails,	
  surveys,	
  etc	
  
                                                                         	
  	
  
                                                                         Consumer	
  data	
  
                                                                         Search,	
  social	
  media,	
  trends,	
  
            Compe/tors	
      Consumers	
                                research,	
  news,	
  etc	
  
                                                                         	
  	
  
                                                                         Compe/tor	
  data	
  
                                                                         Search,	
  social	
  media,	
  ad	
  
                                                                         spend,	
  news,	
  offers,	
  etc	
  	
  

August	
  2011	
                    ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                                                   27	
  
>	
  Defining	
  data	
  strategies	
  

                        Con/nuous	
  tes/ng	
  and	
  op/miza/on	
  




       AcquisiPon	
           Up-­‐Sell	
                            RetenPon	
     Advocacy	
  




                         Analy/cs	
  and	
  metrics	
  frameworks	
  


August	
  2011	
                         ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                          28	
  
>	
  Guiding	
  the	
  customer	
  journey	
  
   To	
  transac/onal	
  data	
                                               To	
  reten/on	
  messages	
  




   From	
  suspect	
  to	
               prospect	
                                        To	
  customer	
  
                     Time   	
                                                          Time   	
  




   From	
  behavioural	
  data	
                                          From	
  awareness	
  messages	
  

August	
  2011	
                     ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
                                       29	
  
>	
  Summary	
  
§  Do	
  you:	
  	
  
        1.  Know	
  how	
  to	
  idenPfy	
  trends	
  in	
  numbers	
  and	
  to	
  
            graph	
  data	
  
        2.  Know	
  how	
  to	
  write	
  reports	
  and	
  validate	
  
            experimental	
  predicPons	
  
        3.  Understand	
  some	
  business	
  thinking,	
  i.e.	
  cost	
  of	
  
            sales,	
  maximising	
  return,	
  etc	
  
        4.  Understand	
  the	
  principles	
  of	
  wriPng	
  code	
  

§  If	
  yes,	
  then	
  Data	
  Science	
  may	
  be	
  for	
  you.	
  
August	
  2011	
                    ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
             30	
  
Contact	
  us	
  
                     hogilvy@datalicious.com	
  
                               	
  
                              Learn	
  
                       blog.datalicious.com	
  
                                 	
  
                             Follow	
  
                     twiner.com/hamishogilvy	
  
                      twiner.com/datalicious	
  
                                	
  
August	
  2011	
              ©	
  Datalicious	
  Pty	
  Ltd	
     31	
  

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Data Science

  • 1. >  Data  Science  <   Where  does  a  Physics  degree  fit?  
  • 2. >  Life  as  a  Data  Scien/st   §  What  is  it?   §  Data  Science  Examples   §  Why  you  should  think  about  it?   §  About  Datalicious  (my  current  company)   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   2  
  • 4. >  Mixing  the  old  to  produce  new   Business   Marke/ng  /   Performance   Adver/sing   IT  /  Coding   Sta/s/cs   Data   Science   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   4  
  • 5. >  By  Defini/on   Data:  “Facts  and  sta)s)cs  collected  together   for  reference  or  analysis”     Science:  “The  systema)c  study  of  the  structure   and  behaviour  of  the  physical  and  natural   world  through  observa)on  and  experiment”     Hmmm,  so  what?   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   5  
  • 6. >  Sounds  like  nothing  new   §  Data,  Science,  ObservaPon,  Hypothesis,   Experiment,  Analysis,  PredicPon  à  are  all   nothing  new.     §  BUT,  the  digital  age  has  created  new   opportuniPes  where  scienPfic  methods  can   be  applied  to  massive,  real  world  digital  data   sets.     August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   6  
  • 7. >  And  Data  is  Exploding   “Every  2  Days  We  Create  As  Much  Informa)on  As   We  Did  Up  To  2003”  –  Eric  Schmidt.  CEO,  Google     “AdMob  Seeing  2  Billion  Ad  Requests  Per  Day;  Up   300  Percent  Over  Past  Year”  –  TechCrunch     “The  amount  of  digital  informa)on  created   annually  will  grow  by  a  factor  of  44  from  2009  to   2020,  as  all  major  forms  of  media  -­‐  voice,  TV,   radio,  print  -­‐  complete  the  journey  from  analog  to   digital”   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   7  
  • 8. >  EMC  -­‐  "The  Digital  Universe   Decade  -­‐  Are  You  Ready?"   “In  2009,  amid  the  "Great  Recession,"  the  amount  of  digital   informa)on  grew  62%  over  2008  to  800  billion  gigabytes   (0.8  Zeabytes).”       But  how  much  is  that  really?     707  trillion  copies  of  the  more  than  2,000-­‐page  U.S.  PaPent   ProtecPon  and  Affordable  Care  Act  signed  into  Law  in   March  2010.  Stacked  end  to  end,  the  documents  would   stretch  from  Earth  to  Pluto  and  back  16  Pmes  or  cover   every  inch  of  the  United  States  in  paper  3  feet  deep         August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   8  
  • 9. [  Mo/va/on  ]     Data  =   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   9  
  • 11. >  Search  and  the  product  lifecycle     Nokia  N-­‐Series   Apple  iPhone   October  2010   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   11  
  • 12. >  Financial  Predic/on   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   12  
  • 13. >  Trigger  based  Sales   2  years  on     the  beach   Iden/fies  themself     User  visits   User  visits   (e.g.  sale  or   Looks  at  lots  of   Site   Site  again   registra/on)   ‘widgets’   anonymously   ‘anonymously’   Cookie   Web   Cookie   Analy/cs   Database   Hi  John,  long   /me  no  talk,  we   have  a  special   Name:  John  Example   on  widgets!   Interest:  Widgets   History:     Business   -­‐Last  visit  2  years  ago.   Intelligence   -­‐Purchased  10  blue  widgets   Database   -­‐High  value  band   Loca/on:  2000,  Sydney       ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   13  
  • 14. >  The  science  of  Banner  Ads     Control   Group   Normal  Display  Adver/sing  (90%)   (10%)   Impressions  =  1  M   Impressions  =  9  M   Visitors  =  1,000   Visitors  =  10,000   Sales  =  50   Sales  =  550   Cost  =  $1,000   Cost  =  $9,000   $  per  sale  =  $20   $  per  sale  =  $16       Without  display     With  display   adverPsing,  1  in   every  20,000  people   22%   adverPsing  1  in   every  16,363  people   will  convert     uplie     will  convert         -­‐  Banner  Ads  do  influence  sales  despite  what  people  think   -­‐  Even  if  you  don’t  click  on  them   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   14  
  • 15. [  Affinity  targe/ng  in  ac/on  ]   Different  types  of     visitors  respond  to     different  ads.  By   using  category   affinity  targePng,     response  rates  are     lieed  significantly     across  products.   Click-­‐Through  Rate  By  Category  Affinity   Message   Postpay   Prepay   Broadb.   Business   Blackberry  Bold   - - - + 5GB  Mobile  Broadband   - - + - Blackberry  Storm   + - + + 12  Month  Caps   - + - + ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   15  
  • 16. 14/11/12   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   16  
  • 18. >  The  start  of  a  trend…   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   18  
  • 19. >  Big  Data  also…   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   19  
  • 20. >  Supply  is  way  behind  demand…   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   20  
  • 21. IT  needs  more  Scien/sts   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   21  
  • 22. >  Difficult  to  believe?   §  Marketers  typically  just  don’t  get  it,  but  their  bosses   now  know  you  can  measure  the  ROI  of  digital  Ads,  so   they’re  screwed  without  the  data  scienPsts       §  The  business  guys  mostly  (not  all)  see  the  value,  but   the  Internet  wasn’t  around  when  they  were  back  in   Harvard,  so  they  can’t  do  it  alone     §  Developers  are  predominantly  good  at  following  a   spec.  They  rarely  understand  data,  staPsPcs  and  how   to  go  about  sejng  up  and  analysing  an  experiment     August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   22    
  • 23. >  You  can  work  across  all  industries   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   23  
  • 24. >  Work  on  wide  ranging  issues…   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   24  
  • 25. >  Work  from  Anywhere   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   25  
  • 27. >  Across  major  data  categories   Campaign  data   TV,  print,  call  center,  search,   web  analyPcs,  ad  serving,  etc       Campaigns   Customers   Customer  data   Direct  mail,  call  center,  web   analyPcs,  emails,  surveys,  etc       Consumer  data   Search,  social  media,  trends,   Compe/tors   Consumers   research,  news,  etc       Compe/tor  data   Search,  social  media,  ad   spend,  news,  offers,  etc     August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   27  
  • 28. >  Defining  data  strategies   Con/nuous  tes/ng  and  op/miza/on   AcquisiPon   Up-­‐Sell   RetenPon   Advocacy   Analy/cs  and  metrics  frameworks   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   28  
  • 29. >  Guiding  the  customer  journey   To  transac/onal  data   To  reten/on  messages   From  suspect  to   prospect   To  customer   Time   Time   From  behavioural  data   From  awareness  messages   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   29  
  • 30. >  Summary   §  Do  you:     1.  Know  how  to  idenPfy  trends  in  numbers  and  to   graph  data   2.  Know  how  to  write  reports  and  validate   experimental  predicPons   3.  Understand  some  business  thinking,  i.e.  cost  of   sales,  maximising  return,  etc   4.  Understand  the  principles  of  wriPng  code   §  If  yes,  then  Data  Science  may  be  for  you.   August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   30  
  • 31. Contact  us   hogilvy@datalicious.com     Learn   blog.datalicious.com     Follow   twiner.com/hamishogilvy   twiner.com/datalicious     August  2011   ©  Datalicious  Pty  Ltd   31