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Highly Marketed but Undervalued:

Establishing economic values for surfers

            Dr. Chad Nelsen
          Surfrider Foundation
California Beaches:
 17.8 million visits
 $15 billion/year
               (Source: Pendleton et al. 2011, King, 1999)
Solana Beach, CA Beach Use




                (Source: CIC Research, July 2009)
Trestles
$0
Economic Impact vs Economic Value
• Economic Impact:
  – Expenditures
  – Support local businesses
  – Create jobs
  – Provide salaries and wages

• Economic Value:
  –   Willingness to Pay (Consumer Surplus)
  –   Travel Cost Model
  –   Revealed preference
  –   Negative sloping demand function
  –   Single Site Model (total use value)
Approach
• Develop & Test Survey
• Data Collection
  – Web-based survey (non-random)
  – Intercept survey (random?)
• Data Analysis
  – Economic Impacts
• Travel Cost Model
  – Economic Values
Trestles: Economic Impacts


Total Visits                   367,000

Surfer Visits                  330,000

Ave Expenditure/Visit
                              $23 - $40
Range

Economic Impact Range      $8-13 million
(Nelsen, Pendleton 2007)          Per year
Huntington Beach



          South Orange County




                                  Oceanside



                                North County SD




                            Imperial & Ocean Beach
Demand Curve
Trestles: Economic Value


Total Visits                            367,000

Surfer Visits                           330,000

Value/Visit Range                      $29 - $80

Consumer Surplus Range             $10-26 million
                                           Per year
(Nelsen 2010)
Trestles Results


•   Attendance:    330,000 surfers/year
•   Demographics: = coastal population
•   Ave. Expenditure: $40/person/day
•   Consumer Surplus: $138 / person/day
Surfrider / Surf-First Study
Who:                  5,360 surfers
What:                 Surf behavior / demographics
Where:                Internet-based opt in survey
When:                 November 2008 -September 2009
Why:                  1st US characterization of surfers


Limitation: This is a non-probabilistic method of data collection and is not random so the results
cannot be extrapolated to the larger surfing population
Surf Behavior
Parameter             Median
Experience            16 years
Number of boards      4
Arrival time          8:15 AM
Duration              2.5 hours
Distance Travelled    10 miles
Annual visits         108
Surfer Demographics
Parameter          Median
Age                34 year
Education          62% ≥ college
Household income   $75,000 annual
Employment         67% fully employed
Expenditure        $66/visit*

                                        *Average
US Surfer Economics
Surfers           3.1 million

Visits / year     76 million

Expenditures      $25-66 / visit

Economic Impact   $2-5 billion / year


                       Sources: NSRE 2001, Hanneman 2004
More..
US Surf econ study: http://bit.ly/us_surfecon

Coastal Blog:
surfrider.org/coastal-blog/c/surf-protection

Chad Nelsen
  cnelsen@surfrider.org
  twitter: chadenelsen
Questions




        Chad Nelsen
        cnelsen@surfrider.org
        t: chadenelsen
        www.surfrider.org/coastal-blog
Surfonomics Overview
Surfonomics Overview

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Surfonomics Overview

  • 1. Highly Marketed but Undervalued: Establishing economic values for surfers Dr. Chad Nelsen Surfrider Foundation
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. California Beaches: 17.8 million visits $15 billion/year (Source: Pendleton et al. 2011, King, 1999)
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Solana Beach, CA Beach Use (Source: CIC Research, July 2009)
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. $0
  • 13.
  • 14. Economic Impact vs Economic Value • Economic Impact: – Expenditures – Support local businesses – Create jobs – Provide salaries and wages • Economic Value: – Willingness to Pay (Consumer Surplus) – Travel Cost Model – Revealed preference – Negative sloping demand function – Single Site Model (total use value)
  • 15. Approach • Develop & Test Survey • Data Collection – Web-based survey (non-random) – Intercept survey (random?) • Data Analysis – Economic Impacts • Travel Cost Model – Economic Values
  • 16.
  • 17. Trestles: Economic Impacts Total Visits 367,000 Surfer Visits 330,000 Ave Expenditure/Visit $23 - $40 Range Economic Impact Range $8-13 million (Nelsen, Pendleton 2007) Per year
  • 18. Huntington Beach South Orange County Oceanside North County SD Imperial & Ocean Beach
  • 20. Trestles: Economic Value Total Visits 367,000 Surfer Visits 330,000 Value/Visit Range $29 - $80 Consumer Surplus Range $10-26 million Per year (Nelsen 2010)
  • 21. Trestles Results • Attendance: 330,000 surfers/year • Demographics: = coastal population • Ave. Expenditure: $40/person/day • Consumer Surplus: $138 / person/day
  • 22. Surfrider / Surf-First Study Who: 5,360 surfers What: Surf behavior / demographics Where: Internet-based opt in survey When: November 2008 -September 2009 Why: 1st US characterization of surfers Limitation: This is a non-probabilistic method of data collection and is not random so the results cannot be extrapolated to the larger surfing population
  • 23. Surf Behavior Parameter Median Experience 16 years Number of boards 4 Arrival time 8:15 AM Duration 2.5 hours Distance Travelled 10 miles Annual visits 108
  • 24. Surfer Demographics Parameter Median Age 34 year Education 62% ≥ college Household income $75,000 annual Employment 67% fully employed Expenditure $66/visit* *Average
  • 25. US Surfer Economics Surfers 3.1 million Visits / year 76 million Expenditures $25-66 / visit Economic Impact $2-5 billion / year Sources: NSRE 2001, Hanneman 2004
  • 26.
  • 27. More.. US Surf econ study: http://bit.ly/us_surfecon Coastal Blog: surfrider.org/coastal-blog/c/surf-protection Chad Nelsen cnelsen@surfrider.org twitter: chadenelsen
  • 28. Questions Chad Nelsen cnelsen@surfrider.org t: chadenelsen www.surfrider.org/coastal-blog

Editor's Notes

  1. Hidden in plain sight…the lost 10-15%?