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Text Message Experiments in 2008
   Chris Kennedy and Michelle Mayorga
             Rock the Vote
           November 18, 2008
RTV Mobile Program
•    Registration and Early Voting Reminders
•    GOTV
•    Events – Debates, Concerts, Volunteering
•    Mobile WAP Site (English & Spanish)
•    Wallpaper, Ring Tones, Mobile Ads
•    Opt-Ins: 200,000
•    Text Messages: 300,000+
Texting Field Experiments in 2008
1.  Registration Deadline Reminders
2.  Text + Direct Mail Registration
3.  Early Vote GOTV
4.  Election Day GOTV
  –  Primaries
  –  General
Reg Deadline Reminders: Reg. Up 4% Pts.
                                      

                               Control
 40.6%
     Indiana
                Sent Reg. Deadline Text
 44.7%



                                           Control
 64.5%
Pennsylvania
                            Sent Reg. Deadline Text
 68.4%


            0%
         20%
        40%
         60%
    80%
                Registration Rate of Online Form Downloaders
Mail / Email Reg. + Text
                               

Re-Registering RTV Members Who Moved
           Registra/on Applica/on Return Rate (Mail or Online) 
                   0%          4%           8%           12% 

          Text‐Only        2% 
          Mail‐Only               4% 
         Email‐Only               4% 
        Email + Text                        7% 
         Mail + Text                           8% 
       Mail + Email                                          12% 
 Mail + Email + Text                                         12% 
Early Vote GOTV – Georgia
Georgia                     Early Vote % OLS Effect P-value   Size


Control                        26%           -         -      436


Early Voting Ends              26%         -0.4%     0.43     804


Early Voting Start & Ends      30%        +4.2%      0.03     803


                                                              2,043
Election Day GOTV – Primaries
•    Feb. 5th and Mar. 4th 2008
•    18,000 GOTV texts sent
•    Timing: Friday, Monday, or Tuesday
•    Results:
     –  Friday & Tuesday: no significant effect
     –  Monday: 4% pt. turnout increase
     –  No effect of SOS phone # for polling place info
Election Day GOTV – General
                                 
•    Control Group
•    Timing: 1/3 on Mon, 1/3 on Tue, 1/3 Both
•    First Name: ½ of messages (trust / personal)
•    Polling Place:
     –  1/3 with polling place, 1/3 with polling place and
        link to mobile Google Map, 1/3 given normal
        GOTV msg and link to www.wap.rockthevote.com
Election Day GOTV Example:
                           
•  “Chris: On Tues 11.04.08 Rock the Vote
   @ Latin American Youth Center, 1419
   Columbia Rd NW, Washington, DC
   20009; view map at http://is.gd/5RBP”
•  Map:
Conclusion
•  Text messages have ITT effects of 1- 5 %
   points for pennies per msg – get opt-ins!

•  Timing seems more important than
   message.

•  Early voting allows for rapid in-cycle
   testing before Election Day GOTV!
Comments or Questions?
•  Michelle Mayorga – Mobile Programs
  –  michelle@rockthevote.com


•  Chris Kennedy – Research Analyst
  –  chris@rockthevote.com

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Text Message Experiments 2008

  • 1. Text Message Experiments in 2008 Chris Kennedy and Michelle Mayorga Rock the Vote November 18, 2008
  • 2. RTV Mobile Program •  Registration and Early Voting Reminders •  GOTV •  Events – Debates, Concerts, Volunteering •  Mobile WAP Site (English & Spanish) •  Wallpaper, Ring Tones, Mobile Ads •  Opt-Ins: 200,000 •  Text Messages: 300,000+
  • 3. Texting Field Experiments in 2008 1.  Registration Deadline Reminders 2.  Text + Direct Mail Registration 3.  Early Vote GOTV 4.  Election Day GOTV –  Primaries –  General
  • 4. Reg Deadline Reminders: Reg. Up 4% Pts. Control 40.6% Indiana Sent Reg. Deadline Text 44.7% Control 64.5% Pennsylvania Sent Reg. Deadline Text 68.4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Registration Rate of Online Form Downloaders
  • 5. Mail / Email Reg. + Text Re-Registering RTV Members Who Moved Registra/on Applica/on Return Rate (Mail or Online)  0%  4%  8%  12%  Text‐Only  2%  Mail‐Only  4%  Email‐Only  4%  Email + Text  7%  Mail + Text  8%  Mail + Email  12%  Mail + Email + Text  12% 
  • 6. Early Vote GOTV – Georgia Georgia Early Vote % OLS Effect P-value Size Control 26% - - 436 Early Voting Ends 26% -0.4% 0.43 804 Early Voting Start & Ends 30% +4.2% 0.03 803 2,043
  • 7. Election Day GOTV – Primaries •  Feb. 5th and Mar. 4th 2008 •  18,000 GOTV texts sent •  Timing: Friday, Monday, or Tuesday •  Results: –  Friday & Tuesday: no significant effect –  Monday: 4% pt. turnout increase –  No effect of SOS phone # for polling place info
  • 8. Election Day GOTV – General •  Control Group •  Timing: 1/3 on Mon, 1/3 on Tue, 1/3 Both •  First Name: ½ of messages (trust / personal) •  Polling Place: –  1/3 with polling place, 1/3 with polling place and link to mobile Google Map, 1/3 given normal GOTV msg and link to www.wap.rockthevote.com
  • 9. Election Day GOTV Example: •  “Chris: On Tues 11.04.08 Rock the Vote @ Latin American Youth Center, 1419 Columbia Rd NW, Washington, DC 20009; view map at http://is.gd/5RBP” •  Map:
  • 10.
  • 11. Conclusion •  Text messages have ITT effects of 1- 5 % points for pennies per msg – get opt-ins! •  Timing seems more important than message. •  Early voting allows for rapid in-cycle testing before Election Day GOTV!
  • 12. Comments or Questions? •  Michelle Mayorga – Mobile Programs –  michelle@rockthevote.com •  Chris Kennedy – Research Analyst –  chris@rockthevote.com