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Thoughts on the Future of
Media Delivery and Discovery

        Chase Granberry
           @chasers
The History of Me
• Born a computer geek 1982
• First computer was an Apple IIe
• Never been into programming tho
• Went to TCU, majored in Advertising
• Wrote a paper on TiVo in 2004
• Which got me more enthused about the
  Internet than I already was.
TiVo
• Public trials began in San Francisco in 1998
• Went public September 30, 1999
• First profitable quarter was Q2 of 2005
• Subscriber base peaked at 4.36 million in
  January 2006
• As of October 2008, TiVo has 3.46 million
  subscribers in the US
Current State of the DVR Market

•   As of 2008 27% of all U.S. households have the ad-
    skipping devices

•   Time shifting during prime-time accounts for17
    percent of the CW’s viewership over a one-week
    period

•   The most time-shifted show is NBC's quot;The
    Office,quot; where 28 percent of its audience watched
    it sometime other than Thursdays at 9 p.m
US Broadband vs. The World


  Japan


   France
            Canada   United States
So what?
•   DVRs are computers

•   Cable TV is Internet

•   As of 2008 55 percent of the US has broadband

•   TiVo could have become THE source for Internet
    content on the television.

•   So much potential in terms of what cable
    companies could be offering.

    Anything, anytime and anywhere.
Mass Media
Media in one format, fixed in time and
       permanent in location.

 Dead                     Dying
 Newspapers               DVDs
 Albums                   TV Shows
 Lack of bandwidth is the lifeline for
          traditional video.
DVRs and cable co.’s have failed
       us. Now what?
Bandwidth is distribution, what
      about discovery?

• With so much out there how do we find
  what we want?
• How do we discover something new?
• Text is easy to index and search, but it
  requires demand first.
• What about video?
Old Discovery Method
New Discovery Methods
Simple Is Better
Social Networks Enable
Discovery and Generate Demand

• To be useful though, networks need a critial
  mass.
• You need friends there to be beneficial.
• Are we there yet?
• Lets look at some data...
Facebook
Enabling Social Mass Media
Active sharing through efficient networks
    enables ambient media discovery.
Sources
•   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tivo#History

•   http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?
    fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=94130

•   http://www.cedmagazine.com/DVR-usage-changes-television-viewing.aspx

•   http://arstechnica.com/old/content/2008/07/us-broadband-market-edging-
    towards-saturation.ars

•   http://www.facebook.com/press/info.php?statistics

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Media Distribution and Discovery

  • 1. Thoughts on the Future of Media Delivery and Discovery Chase Granberry @chasers
  • 2. The History of Me • Born a computer geek 1982 • First computer was an Apple IIe • Never been into programming tho • Went to TCU, majored in Advertising • Wrote a paper on TiVo in 2004 • Which got me more enthused about the Internet than I already was.
  • 3. TiVo • Public trials began in San Francisco in 1998 • Went public September 30, 1999 • First profitable quarter was Q2 of 2005 • Subscriber base peaked at 4.36 million in January 2006 • As of October 2008, TiVo has 3.46 million subscribers in the US
  • 4. Current State of the DVR Market • As of 2008 27% of all U.S. households have the ad- skipping devices • Time shifting during prime-time accounts for17 percent of the CW’s viewership over a one-week period • The most time-shifted show is NBC's quot;The Office,quot; where 28 percent of its audience watched it sometime other than Thursdays at 9 p.m
  • 5. US Broadband vs. The World Japan France Canada United States
  • 6. So what? • DVRs are computers • Cable TV is Internet • As of 2008 55 percent of the US has broadband • TiVo could have become THE source for Internet content on the television. • So much potential in terms of what cable companies could be offering. Anything, anytime and anywhere.
  • 7. Mass Media Media in one format, fixed in time and permanent in location. Dead Dying Newspapers DVDs Albums TV Shows Lack of bandwidth is the lifeline for traditional video.
  • 8. DVRs and cable co.’s have failed us. Now what?
  • 9. Bandwidth is distribution, what about discovery? • With so much out there how do we find what we want? • How do we discover something new? • Text is easy to index and search, but it requires demand first. • What about video?
  • 13. Social Networks Enable Discovery and Generate Demand • To be useful though, networks need a critial mass. • You need friends there to be beneficial. • Are we there yet? • Lets look at some data...
  • 16. Active sharing through efficient networks enables ambient media discovery.
  • 17. Sources • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tivo#History • http://www.mediapost.com/publications/? fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=94130 • http://www.cedmagazine.com/DVR-usage-changes-television-viewing.aspx • http://arstechnica.com/old/content/2008/07/us-broadband-market-edging- towards-saturation.ars • http://www.facebook.com/press/info.php?statistics