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THE HOUSING BUBBLE 
REINCARNATED 
The Student Loan Bubble 
by Dr. Alessio Lidozzi
Question: 
Is the United States’ student loan debt bubble headed 
towards the same burst that the housing bubble 
experienced in the last ten years?
In an interview with CNBC, Mark Cuban echoed a widespread 
sentiment that there is virtually no difference in the two bubbles.
THE HOUSING BUBBLE 
Many will remember how the United 
States government took a big turn in 
mortgage lending in the mid-1990s, 
telling government-backed firms Fannie 
Mae and Freddie Mac that 40% of their 
loans had to go to low-income 
borrowers. On top of this requirement, 
the government issued tax breaks and 
the Federal Reserve dropped interest 
rates to historically low levels, 
increasing the “affordability” of these 
mortgages.
THE HOUSING BUBBLE 
Because the government was essentially 
taking on the risk for the housing loans, 
mortgage lenders were not cautioned by 
the potential risk of these low-income 
borrowers defaulting and approved 
loans to more people than ever before. 
This surge in funds caused housing 
prices to skyrocket, which then increased 
the size of the mortgages being issued 
and made it more difficult for low-income 
borrowers to pay off debt or spend their 
money anywhere else. The rest is history.
THE EDUCATION BUBBLE 
Student loans are headed in the same direction, 
perhaps to a more debilitating end. To put things in 
perspective: home prices rose 400% in the last 40 
years…
THE EDUCATION BUBBLE 
In the same time span, the price of a private education 
has launched into orbit, increasing by over 1,000%.
THE LOGIC 
The argument is that the two 
bubbles are the same because the 
government’s policy to provide 
low-interest loans to students 
increases tuition just as housing 
loans wound up increasing the 
price of a home. If students’ 
purchasing power is crippled by 
onerous debt, they cannot 
participate in the economy, which 
effectively holds it back.
PROBLEMS. 
Another problem is that these increased tuitions serve the 
administration of a university rather than the quality of 
education. It’s for the same reason that the donation of a wing or 
building serves little to no philanthropic purpose: the 
administration feels a release from the pressure to use school 
funds to recruit better faculty or invest in more resources for 
students.
PROBLEMS. 
Instead, the administration winds up reallocating the 
funds to themselves, another enormous issue. As 
Cuban said, you know there’s something not quite 
right when there are more administrators than 
professors pulling in over $200k per year.
SOLUTION? 
A potential solution to this problem would be to put a limit 
on the amount of the loan guaranteed by the government. 
! 
However, any trade off at the expense of greater access to 
higher education will certainly be a difficult one to 
promote.
THANK YOU FOR VIEWING! 
To Learn more about Alessio Lidozzi, please visit 
! 
AlessioLidozzi.com

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The Housing Bubble Reincarnated: The Student Loan Bubble | Alessio Lidozzi

  • 1. THE HOUSING BUBBLE REINCARNATED The Student Loan Bubble by Dr. Alessio Lidozzi
  • 2. Question: Is the United States’ student loan debt bubble headed towards the same burst that the housing bubble experienced in the last ten years?
  • 3. In an interview with CNBC, Mark Cuban echoed a widespread sentiment that there is virtually no difference in the two bubbles.
  • 4. THE HOUSING BUBBLE Many will remember how the United States government took a big turn in mortgage lending in the mid-1990s, telling government-backed firms Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that 40% of their loans had to go to low-income borrowers. On top of this requirement, the government issued tax breaks and the Federal Reserve dropped interest rates to historically low levels, increasing the “affordability” of these mortgages.
  • 5. THE HOUSING BUBBLE Because the government was essentially taking on the risk for the housing loans, mortgage lenders were not cautioned by the potential risk of these low-income borrowers defaulting and approved loans to more people than ever before. This surge in funds caused housing prices to skyrocket, which then increased the size of the mortgages being issued and made it more difficult for low-income borrowers to pay off debt or spend their money anywhere else. The rest is history.
  • 6. THE EDUCATION BUBBLE Student loans are headed in the same direction, perhaps to a more debilitating end. To put things in perspective: home prices rose 400% in the last 40 years…
  • 7. THE EDUCATION BUBBLE In the same time span, the price of a private education has launched into orbit, increasing by over 1,000%.
  • 8. THE LOGIC The argument is that the two bubbles are the same because the government’s policy to provide low-interest loans to students increases tuition just as housing loans wound up increasing the price of a home. If students’ purchasing power is crippled by onerous debt, they cannot participate in the economy, which effectively holds it back.
  • 9. PROBLEMS. Another problem is that these increased tuitions serve the administration of a university rather than the quality of education. It’s for the same reason that the donation of a wing or building serves little to no philanthropic purpose: the administration feels a release from the pressure to use school funds to recruit better faculty or invest in more resources for students.
  • 10. PROBLEMS. Instead, the administration winds up reallocating the funds to themselves, another enormous issue. As Cuban said, you know there’s something not quite right when there are more administrators than professors pulling in over $200k per year.
  • 11. SOLUTION? A potential solution to this problem would be to put a limit on the amount of the loan guaranteed by the government. ! However, any trade off at the expense of greater access to higher education will certainly be a difficult one to promote.
  • 12. THANK YOU FOR VIEWING! To Learn more about Alessio Lidozzi, please visit ! AlessioLidozzi.com