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You Sold Your First 1,000 Devices?
Now What?
September 09, 2015
MobileCON, CTIA 2015
Syed Zaeem Hosain (“Z”), CTO, Aeris Communications, Inc.
Syed.Hosain@aeris.net | @aerisCTO
2© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§  Who is Aeris
§  The “Growth Stall”
§  IoT Products Life-Cycle
§  A Look Into The Future
Topics
3© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
About Aeris
Overview
Company:
•  M2M / IoT services
•  HQ in Silicon Valley, CA
•  Services since mid-1990’s
Our Customers:
•  Enterprises deploying M2M
•  Connectivity to / from Devices
•  Analytics à	
  business actions
Solutions
•  Optimized M2M / IoT platform
•  Connectivity to Application
enablement
•  Neo™ –	
  Rapid M2M deployment
The Numbers:
•  Global M2M / IoT services,
CDMA, GSM, and LTE
•  99.995% infrastructure reliability
•  350 Million+ messages per day
4© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§  Multi-technology services for M2M / IoT
Aeris Markets & Services
Global solution
Markets
•  Healthcare
•  Telematics
•  Consumer Auto
•  Monitoring &
Control
•  Point of Sale
•  Utilities
Platform
•  Application enablement
•  Connectivity enablement
•  Provisioning / Activation
•  Real-time information
•  Alerts & alarms
•  Billing & reporting
•  Acct-level NOC support
•  Device/IP session control
•  Data & voice connectivity
Cellular
•  Global services
•  500+ carriers
•  2G / 3G CDMA &
GSM
•  4G LTE
5© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
The Aeris IoT Platform
Full solution stack for M2M and IoT applications
6© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§  Many companies “stall” after deploying X units …
–  “X”: hundreds to a few thousand devices …
–  … occasionally, tens of thousands of devices
§  Why? … outcome is not totally surprising
–  Initial systems & processes reaching capacity
–  Cost of operation is higher than expected
–  Smaller companies & startups are resource-constrained
–  Learning from mistakes taking time & effort to resolve
–  Generating end-user bills & invoices at scale isn’t easy
§  Key Issue
–  Planning for growth was secondary to getting product launched!
The “Growth Stall”
“We will cross that bridge when we get to it”
7© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
IoT Products Life Cycle
Choices for successful applications
EOL
•  Plan up-front
•  Remove units
•  Re-use #’s
Operate
•  Manage units
•  Bill customers
•  Update app
Scale
•  Manufacture
•  Provision
•  Test (on-air)
Develop
•  Buy vs. Build
•  Certification
•  Select network
à Successful applications plan for entire life-cycle
8© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Development / Deployment
Planning for scale is key to growth
BillAnalyzeOperateInstallMakeDesign
à Successful applications plan for growth …
… as early as possible!
9© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Designing the IoT Application
What are the design factors that need to be considered?
10© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Design Factors to Consider
Details could be critical to product success
•  Does the device need to work for long periods?
•  How large a battery might it need? Rechargeable?Power
•  What sensors are available for the measured data?
•  Is the cost of the sensor(s) sufficiently low?Sensors
•  Where is the data being sent from? Home? Outside?
•  Is the technology / transport appropriate for the use-cases?Connectivity
•  Do the product components require special miniaturization?
•  What impact does this have on design and manufacturing?Size
•  Is the device protected from being compromised?
•  Is the application purpose life-threatening if compromised?Security
•  Where is the data being sent and to whom?
•  Who has access to the data (device, transport, destination)?Privacy
•  Is the data transient or stored for later access and analysis?
•  What data analytics support is needed?Analytics
•  What features are needed for deployment?
•  Can the software and features be updated later / remotely?Features
11© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
STAND-ALONE
Certified communications equipment
EMBEDDED MODEM
Pre-certified carrier cards
MODULE
Pre-certified radio modules
CHIPSET
Cellular radios and components
TIME TO MARKET
Cellular Hardware Design
Time to Market and Level of Integration depends on choice of radio
12© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Making the Devices
What are the manufacturing factors that need to be considered
13© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Manufacturing Factors to Consider
Details could be critical to scaling growth
• Can the manufacturer assist with design issues?
• Do they have engineering skills to assist on “designing for manufacturability”?Good Partners
• Does size reduction drive component costs too high?
• Are there multiple sources for the components?Component Cost
• Does the production process require new technology?
• Does the new technology impact the yield too much?Technology
• Will the design require special manufacturing equipment?
• Does the device form-factor require unusual “touch”?Form-Factors
• If product is successful, can the manufacturer scale production rapidly?
• Will production scaling needs impact quality?Scaling
• Are there materials in the device that require complex supply chains?
• What impact does this have on production times and cost?Materials
• Does the manufacturing process yield good product quality?
• Is the manufacturer able to enhance the yield over time?Yield
• Can test failures be reworked with sufficient quality?
• Will field failures be easily repairable by the manufacturer?Rework
• Are there any unique test requirements for the device?
• Will the testing catch real-world use case faults?Testing
14© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Installs Are Challenging
OEM installations generally easier – controlled at factory
Installation outsourcing services are available
•  If not installed by the end-user
Requires documentation and training
•  Mistakes by installers are tough to debug
Post-installation end-to-end testing is key
•  KISS … “push test button” à “green light” à done!
Beware inaccessible devices
•  Leads to high cost of replacement and repair
15© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Managing Operational Reliability & Scale
OEM installations generally easier – controlled at factory
Redundancy required for growth
•  For connectivity, and application data servers
Devices in the field may retry excessively
•  Accurate timed transmissions can overwhelm servers
24 / 7 system uptime is essential
•  Devices may expect timely responses
Automation is key to scaling growth
•  Manually provisioning large volumes not possible
16© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
PARTNER
Outsource: off-the-shelf solutions
and/or design services
BUY
Incorporate pre-certified
embedded components
BUILD
Design from the ground up
Buy vs. Build … Data & Systems
Find the right partners when resource constrained
17© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Receiving & Analyzing the Data
Big Data analytics and services for scaling
Rapid analysis of data often required
•  Near real-time analysis and actions may be essential
Actions are end-purposes of applications
•  Filtering / processing data at servers common today
Transport & processing costs may become high
•  Filter / process “at the edge” – with configurable devices
Data analytics for alerts and actions
•  Careful of automated responses – provide oversight
18© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Billing End-Users
Key to generate and scale revenue
Timely invoicing critical for funding growth
•  Common growth stall issue for many companies
Scaling units in billing systems is critical
•  Existing systems may not be adequate for M2M / IoT
Automation of billing functions is key
•  Service providers can provide sufficient information
Outsourcing billing services available
•  Enables companies to manage growth
19© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§  2010: IBM (describing their Rational software design)
–  “A World with 1 Trillion Connected Devices” by 2015
§  2011: Ericsson CEO Hans Vestberg
–  “50 Billion Connected Devices” by 2020
§  2013: ABI Research report
–  “30 Billion” by 2020
§  2013: Morgan Stanley report
–  “75 Billion Devices Connected … IoT” by 2020
§  2014: Intel infographic
–  “31 billion devices connected to Internet” by 2020
§  2014: ABI Research report
–  “41 billion active wireless connected devices” by 2020
The Predictions Are Staggering
Numbers over the years remains high
Source: Intel
20© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Impact of One of the Predictions
Data growth leading to storage and processing concerns
Cellular M2M / IoT data increasing
•  M2M devices average: 2 MBytes / month
•  USA: 15 M devices (8% of all M2M): 30 TBytes / month
With 50 Billion IoT devices by 2020
•  Number of cellular devices (at 5%): 2.5 Billion
•  Total data (at 4 MBytes / month) : 10,000,000 TBytes /
month
Even with more conservative estimates
•  Transmissions & data haystacks are enormous
•  à greater emphasis on “processing at the edge”
21© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
§  Faster pace than cellphones … > 4X in five years
Total Cellular M2M Connections
World-wide growth in number of units
Source: Harbor Research, 2013
22© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Cellular M2M Device & Traffic Growth
Device Type
Mobile Devices,
2013-2018 CAGR
Mobile Data Traffic,
2013-2018 CAGR
Smartphone 18% 63%
Tablet 41% 87%
Laptop 13% 30%
M2M Module 43% 113%
Source: Cisco VNI Mobile 2014
23© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Summary
Exciting times ahead
Avoiding the “Growth Stall” is possible
•  Plan before systems get max’ed – tougher when busy
Automate everything
•  Processes, systems, support … “no hands” approach
M2M and IoT is the next Big Thing
•  Even conservative projections are enormous
Global industry and market
•  Applications are quite similar everywhere
Thank you!
Syed.Hosain@aeris.net
§  +1 (408) 557-1905, twitter: @AerisCTO, blog: www.aeris.com/blog

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You Sold Your First 1,000 Devices? Now What?

  • 1. You Sold Your First 1,000 Devices? Now What? September 09, 2015 MobileCON, CTIA 2015 Syed Zaeem Hosain (“Z”), CTO, Aeris Communications, Inc. Syed.Hosain@aeris.net | @aerisCTO
  • 2. 2© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. §  Who is Aeris §  The “Growth Stall” §  IoT Products Life-Cycle §  A Look Into The Future Topics
  • 3. 3© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. About Aeris Overview Company: •  M2M / IoT services •  HQ in Silicon Valley, CA •  Services since mid-1990’s Our Customers: •  Enterprises deploying M2M •  Connectivity to / from Devices •  Analytics à  business actions Solutions •  Optimized M2M / IoT platform •  Connectivity to Application enablement •  Neo™ –  Rapid M2M deployment The Numbers: •  Global M2M / IoT services, CDMA, GSM, and LTE •  99.995% infrastructure reliability •  350 Million+ messages per day
  • 4. 4© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. §  Multi-technology services for M2M / IoT Aeris Markets & Services Global solution Markets •  Healthcare •  Telematics •  Consumer Auto •  Monitoring & Control •  Point of Sale •  Utilities Platform •  Application enablement •  Connectivity enablement •  Provisioning / Activation •  Real-time information •  Alerts & alarms •  Billing & reporting •  Acct-level NOC support •  Device/IP session control •  Data & voice connectivity Cellular •  Global services •  500+ carriers •  2G / 3G CDMA & GSM •  4G LTE
  • 5. 5© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The Aeris IoT Platform Full solution stack for M2M and IoT applications
  • 6. 6© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. §  Many companies “stall” after deploying X units … –  “X”: hundreds to a few thousand devices … –  … occasionally, tens of thousands of devices §  Why? … outcome is not totally surprising –  Initial systems & processes reaching capacity –  Cost of operation is higher than expected –  Smaller companies & startups are resource-constrained –  Learning from mistakes taking time & effort to resolve –  Generating end-user bills & invoices at scale isn’t easy §  Key Issue –  Planning for growth was secondary to getting product launched! The “Growth Stall” “We will cross that bridge when we get to it”
  • 7. 7© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. IoT Products Life Cycle Choices for successful applications EOL •  Plan up-front •  Remove units •  Re-use #’s Operate •  Manage units •  Bill customers •  Update app Scale •  Manufacture •  Provision •  Test (on-air) Develop •  Buy vs. Build •  Certification •  Select network à Successful applications plan for entire life-cycle
  • 8. 8© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Development / Deployment Planning for scale is key to growth BillAnalyzeOperateInstallMakeDesign à Successful applications plan for growth … … as early as possible!
  • 9. 9© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Designing the IoT Application What are the design factors that need to be considered?
  • 10. 10© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Design Factors to Consider Details could be critical to product success •  Does the device need to work for long periods? •  How large a battery might it need? Rechargeable?Power •  What sensors are available for the measured data? •  Is the cost of the sensor(s) sufficiently low?Sensors •  Where is the data being sent from? Home? Outside? •  Is the technology / transport appropriate for the use-cases?Connectivity •  Do the product components require special miniaturization? •  What impact does this have on design and manufacturing?Size •  Is the device protected from being compromised? •  Is the application purpose life-threatening if compromised?Security •  Where is the data being sent and to whom? •  Who has access to the data (device, transport, destination)?Privacy •  Is the data transient or stored for later access and analysis? •  What data analytics support is needed?Analytics •  What features are needed for deployment? •  Can the software and features be updated later / remotely?Features
  • 11. 11© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. STAND-ALONE Certified communications equipment EMBEDDED MODEM Pre-certified carrier cards MODULE Pre-certified radio modules CHIPSET Cellular radios and components TIME TO MARKET Cellular Hardware Design Time to Market and Level of Integration depends on choice of radio
  • 12. 12© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Making the Devices What are the manufacturing factors that need to be considered
  • 13. 13© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Manufacturing Factors to Consider Details could be critical to scaling growth • Can the manufacturer assist with design issues? • Do they have engineering skills to assist on “designing for manufacturability”?Good Partners • Does size reduction drive component costs too high? • Are there multiple sources for the components?Component Cost • Does the production process require new technology? • Does the new technology impact the yield too much?Technology • Will the design require special manufacturing equipment? • Does the device form-factor require unusual “touch”?Form-Factors • If product is successful, can the manufacturer scale production rapidly? • Will production scaling needs impact quality?Scaling • Are there materials in the device that require complex supply chains? • What impact does this have on production times and cost?Materials • Does the manufacturing process yield good product quality? • Is the manufacturer able to enhance the yield over time?Yield • Can test failures be reworked with sufficient quality? • Will field failures be easily repairable by the manufacturer?Rework • Are there any unique test requirements for the device? • Will the testing catch real-world use case faults?Testing
  • 14. 14© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Installs Are Challenging OEM installations generally easier – controlled at factory Installation outsourcing services are available •  If not installed by the end-user Requires documentation and training •  Mistakes by installers are tough to debug Post-installation end-to-end testing is key •  KISS … “push test button” à “green light” à done! Beware inaccessible devices •  Leads to high cost of replacement and repair
  • 15. 15© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Managing Operational Reliability & Scale OEM installations generally easier – controlled at factory Redundancy required for growth •  For connectivity, and application data servers Devices in the field may retry excessively •  Accurate timed transmissions can overwhelm servers 24 / 7 system uptime is essential •  Devices may expect timely responses Automation is key to scaling growth •  Manually provisioning large volumes not possible
  • 16. 16© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. PARTNER Outsource: off-the-shelf solutions and/or design services BUY Incorporate pre-certified embedded components BUILD Design from the ground up Buy vs. Build … Data & Systems Find the right partners when resource constrained
  • 17. 17© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Receiving & Analyzing the Data Big Data analytics and services for scaling Rapid analysis of data often required •  Near real-time analysis and actions may be essential Actions are end-purposes of applications •  Filtering / processing data at servers common today Transport & processing costs may become high •  Filter / process “at the edge” – with configurable devices Data analytics for alerts and actions •  Careful of automated responses – provide oversight
  • 18. 18© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Billing End-Users Key to generate and scale revenue Timely invoicing critical for funding growth •  Common growth stall issue for many companies Scaling units in billing systems is critical •  Existing systems may not be adequate for M2M / IoT Automation of billing functions is key •  Service providers can provide sufficient information Outsourcing billing services available •  Enables companies to manage growth
  • 19. 19© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. §  2010: IBM (describing their Rational software design) –  “A World with 1 Trillion Connected Devices” by 2015 §  2011: Ericsson CEO Hans Vestberg –  “50 Billion Connected Devices” by 2020 §  2013: ABI Research report –  “30 Billion” by 2020 §  2013: Morgan Stanley report –  “75 Billion Devices Connected … IoT” by 2020 §  2014: Intel infographic –  “31 billion devices connected to Internet” by 2020 §  2014: ABI Research report –  “41 billion active wireless connected devices” by 2020 The Predictions Are Staggering Numbers over the years remains high Source: Intel
  • 20. 20© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Impact of One of the Predictions Data growth leading to storage and processing concerns Cellular M2M / IoT data increasing •  M2M devices average: 2 MBytes / month •  USA: 15 M devices (8% of all M2M): 30 TBytes / month With 50 Billion IoT devices by 2020 •  Number of cellular devices (at 5%): 2.5 Billion •  Total data (at 4 MBytes / month) : 10,000,000 TBytes / month Even with more conservative estimates •  Transmissions & data haystacks are enormous •  à greater emphasis on “processing at the edge”
  • 21. 21© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. §  Faster pace than cellphones … > 4X in five years Total Cellular M2M Connections World-wide growth in number of units Source: Harbor Research, 2013
  • 22. 22© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Cellular M2M Device & Traffic Growth Device Type Mobile Devices, 2013-2018 CAGR Mobile Data Traffic, 2013-2018 CAGR Smartphone 18% 63% Tablet 41% 87% Laptop 13% 30% M2M Module 43% 113% Source: Cisco VNI Mobile 2014
  • 23. 23© 2015 Aeris Communications, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Summary Exciting times ahead Avoiding the “Growth Stall” is possible •  Plan before systems get max’ed – tougher when busy Automate everything •  Processes, systems, support … “no hands” approach M2M and IoT is the next Big Thing •  Even conservative projections are enormous Global industry and market •  Applications are quite similar everywhere
  • 24. Thank you! Syed.Hosain@aeris.net §  +1 (408) 557-1905, twitter: @AerisCTO, blog: www.aeris.com/blog