This meetup is going to be a DOUBLE HEADER featuring Matthew Lee & Ming Lim from Volition answering the single most FAQ the Volition team has been asked in the past few months is: "Should I buy NOW or WAIT until 2024?"... PLUS we’re bringing Expert Mortgage Broker Hugo Dos Reis (Partner at Vine Group) to give us an update on Interest Rates & the Mortgage Industry.
***
Part 1: Matthew Lee & Ming Lim from Volition Properties
“Should I buy NOW or WAIT until 2024?" We will reframe this question that is on everyone's mind, cut through the noise, and give you the real story of what’s happening in the market. We’ll dive into topics and recent developments including:
-Interest Rates & Inflation & Market Psychology
- Fallout of Sept 6 Bank of Canada Rate announcement and predictions of Fall Real Estate Market trends
- What is happening to Rents?
- “OMG I’m cashflow negative on an existing investment property, now what??” Strategies for dealing with negative cashflow.
- How do I know if this is a good time to BUY my primary residence / investment property?
- How do I know if this is a good time to SELL my primary residence / investment property?
- Examples of solid investment opportunities
- Examples of primary residence opportunities
MORE IMPORTANTLY... We will be talking about WHAT YOU SHOULD BE DOING AS AN INVESTOR to be successful in the current volatile environment. As with everything we do, Volition doesn't just read and regurgitate headlines, we will go deep PAST the "research & analysis" that any monkey can do, and actually SYNTHESIZE this into meaningful, actionable strategies and tactics in order to mitigate risk, boost cashflow, and build sustainable wealth.
Toronto has never been an easy market to invest in. Beside Vancouver, it is probably the single most challenging market to invest in in Canada. Volition makes it viable and achievable. We Make Toronto Work!
***
Part 2: Hugo Dos Reis from Vine Group
Mortgage Updates:
- BOC announcement and impacts on mortgage markets
- OSFI changes effective Oct. 31
- Interest rate forecasts
- Refinancing laneway suites
- High net worth programs and how they work
- Reverse mortgages
- Recommendation if buying/refinancing today
Remember: "There are only two types of real estate investors out there: ones who HAVE run out of money, and those who WILL run out of money." Let's all be the latter!!
Financing is the SINGLE BIGGEST CHALLENGE facing real estate investors.
We strive to solve problems, so we’re bringing in a titan in the industry, Hugo Dos Reis. Hugo is a partner at VINE Group, one of the top mortgage brokerages in Canada. They fund billions (that's not a typo!) in mortgages every year and have the expertise to handle complex investor and personal portfolios.
2. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Agenda
And yes, the Meetup will be recorded and posted on our website!
www.volitionprop.com/mastermind-meetup/
6:30 - 7:15 pm Volition Intros and Market Updates
7:15 - 8:00 pm Mortgage Update! Our guest speaker Hugo Dos Reis
8:00 - 8:20 pm Networking Break
8:20 - 9:00 pm Should I Buy Now or Wait Until 2024?
9:00 - 10:00 pm Wrap Up and Networking
3. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Housekeeping Items
● Support local! Order food and drinks and PAY YOUR BILL! 🍺
● Washrooms: Down the stairs to the left
● Cell phones: Put on silent mode and step out if you need to take a call
● Recordings: This presentation is being recorded and slides will be
available.
● Make sure you’re on our e-mail list to get the recording!
E-mail info@volitionprop.com or use the QR code
4. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Legal Disclaimer
Volition Properties and its members, officers, directors, owners, employees, agents, representatives, suppliers and service providers, provides this presentation for informational purposes only.
This presentation and the information, materials, services, and other content available (“Content”) are subject to the following terms and by participating today you agree to these terms.
● The Content is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained
on within the presentation constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer by Volition Properties or any third party service provider on a property, for investment
or otherwise.
● All Content is information of a general nature and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Nothing within the presentation constitutes professional
and/or financial advice, nor does any information within the presentation constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed or the law relating thereto.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content before making any decisions based on such
information or other Content.
● In exchange for participation at this event, you agree not to hold Volition Properties, its affiliates or any third party service provider liable for any possible claim for damages arising
from any decision you make based on information or other Content made available to you.
● There are risks associated with investing in real estate involving risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains &
losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.
● Past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.
OUR EXCLUSIVE REMEDY FOR DISSATISFACTION WITH THE CONTENT OF THE PRESENTATION IS TO STOP YOUR PARTICIPATION. VOLITION PROPERTIES AND ALL ASSOCIATED
MEMBERS ARE NOT LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, CONSEQUENTIAL, SPECIAL OR PUNITIVE DAMAGES, UNDER ANY THEORY OF LIABILITY, INCLUDING
WITHOUT LIMITATION, DAMAGES FOR LOSS OF PROFITS, USE, DATA, OR LOSS OF OTHER INTANGIBLES. IN PARTICULAR, AND WITHOUT LIMITATION, VOLITION PROPERTIES
WILL NOT BE LIABLE FOR DAMAGES OF ANY KIND RESULTING FROM YOUR USE OF OR INABILITY TO USE THE CONTENT OF THIS PRESENTATION
5. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Who is Volition?
● Mission Statement: To help people navigate the
complex world of real estate and to be the team who
has your back.
● Complete Solution Provider: Everything you need to
be successful.
● We Figure It Out For You: Cutting-edge research,
analysis, and synthesis.
● We Come From Experience: We’re all investors
ourselves and have sizeable portfolios across various
types of real estate investments. Learn from our
success and mistakes!
6. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
What do we do? Volition Services
Mentorship,
Education &
Consultation
Toronto’s Leading Real Estate Investment Advisory & Realty Firm
Realty Community
Advisory Renovations
Property
Acquisition &
Sale
Design &
Renovations
Inner Circle &
Ongoing
Support
7. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
How do we do it? The Volition Team
Toronto’s Leading Real Estate Investment Advisory & Realty Firm
Matthew Lee
Founder &
Managing Partner
Ming Lim
Head of Realty
Florence Lee
Head of Operations and
Construction Advisory
Alykhan Jinnah
Realty & Leasing Services
Alcina Sung
Interior Design
Wilson Ching
Realty & Leasing Services
Sally Xu
Administrative Assistant
JC Robas
Transaction Coordinator
9. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
What are our results?
● Realtor Awards: Chairman Award, President Award, Top Producer Awards 2017, 2018,
2019, 2020, 2021, etc, etc.
● Industry and Media Accolades: Featured on HGTV, REIN, RISE, Property Profits Real
Estate Podcast, Michael Millenear Real Estate Investing Leadership Award nomination, etc,
etc.
● Certifications: Certified Real Estate Investment Advisors
12. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Leasing Market Update: It’s on FIRE!🔥
Property 1 bed, 1 bath
basement unit in
fourplex
1 bed, 1 bath
basement unit in
triplex
2 bed, 1 bath upper
unit in duplex
2 bed, 1 bath upper
unit in triplex
Size 450 sf 650 sf 685 sf 700 sf
Area Upper Beaches Monarch Park Danforth Monarch Park
Leased at $1,950 + utilities $2,150 + utilities $2,695 + utilities $2,750 + utilities
14. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Join us for our free monthly property tour!
● 3-4 curated properties in the west or east end
● We will analyze the business model including rents and reno costs
● Max 6 participants per month
E-mail wilson@volitionprop.com to register!
16. F A L L M O R T G A G E M A R K E T U P D AT E
H U G O D O S R E I S
M O R T G A G E B R O K E R &
F O U N D I N G P A R T N E R
INVESTOR EDITION
ON LIC. 13511. SK LIC. 512011
17. Agenda
BOC announcement and impacts
OSFI HELOC changes 2023
Refinancing laneway suites
Niche lending solutions:
High net worth
NIAT (Net Income After Tax)
Reverse mortgages
Interest rate forecasts
Recommendation if buying/refinancing today
General Q&A Session
20. September BOC Announcement Update
GDP slowed in the second
quarter of 2023 and missed
market expectations by
0.3%.
Canadian economy
contracted by 0.20%
(annualized) and is currently
well below the market
expectations of 1.2%
growth for 2023
GDP GROWTH
21. September BOC Announcement Update
Currently 5.50% as of
August 2023 and has been
slowly rising since May 2023
after stagnating at 5.00%
for almost 6 months.
UNEMPLOYMENT
22. September BOC Announcement Update
Rose slightly to 3.30% for
July largely due to gas price
fluctuations
BOC expects inflation to his
2% target by late 2024 or
early 2025
INFLATION (CPI): Average change in prices for a market basket of consumer goods.
24. OFSI Changes
Effective end of lender fiscal 2023
November 1st for many lenders but
otherwise, January 1st, 2024
Re-advanceable mortgages will be
capped at 65% LTV - (currently 80% LTV)
Can refinance up to 80%, but most be as
mortgage
HELOC CHANGES 2023
25. OFSI Changes
Appraisal value of $600K
Current credit limit of $480K (80% LTV)
The credit limit will decrease by $300/mth until
the credit limit is $390K (65% LTV) over 25
years:
Original credit limit $480K – Credit Limit
at 65% LTV $390K = $90K
$90k divided by 300 months = $300.
Annual impact is $3,600
HELOC CHANGES 2023
Example:
26. OFSI Changes
What should you do?
Refinance before the deadline to
take advantage of the current 80%
LTV re-advanceable rules
HELOC CHANGES 2023
30. High Net Worth
Access higher lending with liquid
investments/savings
Some lenders will allow you to borrow
above your limit based on liquid savings
Eg – If your max borrowing is $500K but
you have $300K in liquid savings
(outside down payment then you can
potentially borrow $800K
Minimum amount usually $250K+
31. NIAT: Net Income After Taxes
For corporate clients some “A” lenders will
consider net income after taxes to assist
with borrowing
Eg. – Corporation shows $200K NIAT, some
lenders will allow up to 60% of this income
to be added to application or $120,000
Allows clients to take advantage of “A” pricing
to assist with cash-flow
Clients can show LESS personal income and
still qualify for traditional lending
32. NIAT Example
A B
Dividend Income $100,000 $100,000
NIAT of $200,000 $0 $120,000
Total $100,000 $220,000
EST. Max lending $400,000 $950,000
33. Reverse Mortgages
Access money from your home without
selling or any monthly repayments
Minimum age is 55 years
Max LTV is 55% (subject to age, property
location and value)
Interest is compounded and added to
original balance.
Current rates 8%+
Mortgage is paid out with sale or death.
35. Reverse Mortgages
Mortgage doesn’t require monthly payments.
Better cash-flow
Tax-free equity take out. No impact to existing
government benefits.
Can receive lump-sum + monthly distributions
Can be used to invest/gift for down payment
Retire immediately
ADVANTAGES/STRATEGIES
43. Mortgage Strategies
Assuming, based on the data, that rates will come
down in the second half of 2024 for some clients
considering a 1-year fixed rate might be the best
option.
Current 1-year fixed rates are higher than longer
terms but allow the opportunity to renegotiate when
rates ultimately come down in late 2024. Some of
our lenders allow a 6-month early renewal feature,
which means you can renegotiate sooner.
1 YEAR FIXED RATE
44. Mortgage Strategies
For the more risk-averse.
Would be ideal to help lock in rates and monthly
payments.
3-year terms are currently better priced but note
that they come with a large penalty if you decide to
break.
2-3 YEAR FIXED RATES
45. Mortgage Strategies
With rates nearing the top of the market, variable
rates are likely to make a comeback.
If you can get a very attractive discount on a variable
rate, this might be the way to go and enjoy the
benefit of rate decreases over the next few years.
5 YEAR VARIABLE/ADJUSTABLE RATES
46. Mortgage Strategies
If you have a variable/adjustable rate with a short
time to maturity (say, 1-2 years), consider asking
about converting to a short-term fixed rate to hedge
against future increases.
Many lenders allow this option without a penalty or a
new application to be completed.
CONVERT TO FIXED
47. Mortgage Strategies
HELOCs are often used to fund renovations,
investments and emergencies, but they can also be
used to carry your traditional mortgage balance.
Instead of borrowing with a mortgage on a fixed or
variable term, a HELOC allows you to have a fully open,
interest-only option. This means that although your
payments are adjustable (linked to Prime), you will only
have to make minimum monthly interest payments,
which could allow you to increase cash flow significantly.
CONSIDER A HELOC
48. Hugo Dos Reis
Mortgage Broker & Founding Partner
Vine Group, Lic. 13511
hugo@vinegroup.ca
416 616.4451
Thank you.
Questions?
52. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Opportunity: Properties under market value
Property 1 bed, 1 bath downtown
penthouse condo
assignment
Newly renovated home in
Little Portugal
Infill development / garden
suite opportunity
What’s
special?
Available ~$67k lower than
2019 price
Motivated seller offering a
$70k reduction
$200k below market, $500k
profit on redevelopment
Why? Get built-in equity Get a turnkey property
without the pain and expense
of a reno
Get in a infill build from a
distressed seller
53. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Opportunity: Upgrade from condo to first triplex
Property Legal Triplex in Little Italy
What’s
special?
Luxurious owner’s suite with 1 bed + office,
outdoor space, and parking
Why? - Smaller gap makes the leap possible
- House hack for similar carrying costs and faster
equity growth
54. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Opportunity: Luxury Properties with Laneway Suites
Property Legal Triplex + Laneway Suite in Little Portugal
What’s
special?
High-end, turnkey property without the long time
horizon and carrying costs for development
Why? - 5% cap rate from day 1 with strong financials
- Avoid COA and mitigate project risks
59. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Economic Fundamentals
GDP Growth
Job Growth
Population Growth
Rental Demand
Vacancy Rates
Rental Rates
Real Estate Demand
Fundamentals vs. Influencers
Market Influencers
Interest Rates (cost of financing a purchase)
Ease of Borrowing (the availability of financing)
Confidence in real estate as an investment vehicle
Inflation
Legislative Amendments (taxation and/or local authority)
Foreign Investors in Local Real Estate
Investment Alternatives
Creates an
opportunity for
sophisticated
investors
75. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Final Thoughts
There’s always something to buy!
Contact us for details on specific opportunities and off-market listings
If we go deeper, would there be interest?
● How to Mitigate Risk
● Best Investment Business Models & What To Buy
● How can we be sure that Toronto has longevity?
● How you REALLY make money in real estate
Stick around for Q&A and we’ll go into more details
77. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
How Volition Can Help. As Advisors.
FREE 30-min
Advisory session
with Matt
Come prepared with:
Capital available to invest
Mortgage qualification
Current real estate portfolio details
We will help you determine:
Where you are at
Where you want to go
Customized plan to get there
78. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Home Buyer & Home Sellers
are 50% of our business! We
can ensure that your home
makes good financial sense.
Pre-Analyzed Deals for Investors looking
for the BEST investment properties in
Toronto!
How Volition Can Help. As Agents.
80. @volitionproperties
www.volitionprop.com
Next Month: Joint Ventures with Guest Speaker
Austin Yeh
Date: Wednesday, October 18
Location: Louis Cifer Brew Works (417 Danforth
Ave.)
RSVP: www.meetup.com/Volition
LARGEST REAL ESTATE MEETUP IN TORONTO WITH OVER 4000+ MEMBERS!
TIMING
Right now, Matt’s sections are 15 mins
Matt:
Hi everyone, I’m Matt and this is Ming, and we are from Volition Properties. We’re going to be asking (and answering) the question IS THIS THE RIGHT TIME TO BE INVESTING IN TORONTO.
15s
Ming:
All well and good, but what does Volition DO?
What we are NOT
Not here to sell a courses
Not here to sell to get you to buy into our fund or our REIT
Fundamentally a brokerage comprised of experienced investors and advisors
We make money like regular real estate agents, but provide a ton more value
Four pillars of service
—----
Volition is a team of REALLY GOOD Investor Realtors and Investment Advisors.
With 60k agents in the GTA, only a handful are good enough as Investor Realtors to help you invest in real estate.
And we have services to help you end-to-end…
1 bdr condo (Bay/College)
15 showings in 1 day
5 offers submitted
$2300
3 bdr/1.5 bath
15 showings over 4 days
$3695 utilities extra
1. Little Italy main floor 1 bed, 1 bath around 600 sf - kitchen and bath renovated 5 years ago and everything else largely “original charm”, shared laundry, listed at $2,095 and bid up to $2,150
2. Trinity-Bellwoods second floor 1 bed, 1 bath 640 sf and 120 sf private deck - our owners’ unit. Moved out on Thursday, cleaning came Fri, showings over the weekend and leased to a doctor and her partner for $2,495 + utilities moving in Friday
Both were mid-May leases, one moved in May 20 and the other for July 1
The key messages for my leases are 1. Higher rent than expected and 2. Rented out faster than expected, and now that I think about it I did get multiples for Roxton (the little Italy one)
I used the property management company (Landlord) for both, it was private channel only and had 10-12 showings via open house and not sure about # of offers
This measure gives us a glimpse of the health of the economy.
GDP slowed in the second quarter of 2023 and missed market expectations by 0.3%.
On an annualized basis Canadian economy contracted by 0.20% and is currently well below the market expectations of 1.2% growth for 2023
Much of this recent decline resulted from a slowdown in consumer spending, a drop in home construction and the impact of wildfires.
This measure gives us an idea of the % of unemployed persons in the labour force. When unemployment is too low, it can create inflation, so in the current environment, a rise in unemployment can be a positive sign.
One of the most important indicators for the BOC measures is the average change in prices for a market basket of consumer goods. BOC is most interested in ensuring that inflation is under control as this has a huge influence on their rate decisions, and they target a range of 2-3% as a benchmark for an acceptable level of inflation.
The inflation rate rose slightly in July to 3.30% (from the previous 2.80%), largely due to fluctuations in gas prices, but BOC is waiting for additional data to see any trends. BOC does expect inflation to hit its target of 2% by late 2024 or early 2025 and will continue to monitor this data attentively in assisting with any future rate decisions.
This measure gives us a glimpse of the health of the economy.
GDP slowed in the second quarter of 2023 and missed market expectations by 0.3%.
On an annualized basis Canadian economy contracted by 0.20% and is currently well below the market expectations of 1.2% growth for 2023
Much of this recent decline resulted from a slowdown in consumer spending, a drop in home construction and the impact of wildfires.
This measure gives us a glimpse of the health of the economy.
GDP slowed in the second quarter of 2023 and missed market expectations by 0.3%.
On an annualized basis Canadian economy contracted by 0.20% and is currently well below the market expectations of 1.2% growth for 2023
Much of this recent decline resulted from a slowdown in consumer spending, a drop in home construction and the impact of wildfires.
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Don’t get Market Influencers mixed up with Economic Fundamentals!
Are these things prevalent right now? Undoubtedly, yes.
But, we can think of it in these terms… market influencers, which are scaring the beegeezus out of regular folks, creates an opprotunity for us, the sophisticated investors.
Why? People get freaked out.
And… so this creates a window for us to get in… with less competition.
WHY are they influencers:
Interest Rates: matter insofar cashflow, but don’t change fundamental viability of an investment. This is a cashflow management challenge.
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
WRONG.
The “BEST” investment is the one that MITIGATES RISK the most.
It’s not about Max Cashflow, it’s about Max RIsk Mitigation.
We work with a lot of HNW individuals, that HNW individuals understand this better than anyone else. They understand that you don’t get something for nothing. They understand the relationship between risk and reward. When I work with them, they are looking for wealth creation (obviously), but wealth preservation, wealth protection, and intergenerational wealth. In other words, risk mitigation.
Risk mitigation is built into Volition’s DNA… probably from my engineering days… where they taught us “if you build a bridge, that bridge can’t damn well fall down”. So you build in risk mitigation and factor of safety. Bringing that to real estate investing, it has translated into this: TIME.
In other words… don’t buy cheap, buy smart. And done properly, you can build wealth in Toronto in a risk mitigated way.
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????
Investment Property: we do that all day long
If Primary Resience: We can help you find your dream home and have it make good financial sense
It's more than just “buying a house that happens to have a basement suite”.
Legal Secondary Suite? What is req’d to create basement unit?
Rents, Tenant Profiles, Transit, Gentrification, Econ Fundamentals, etc.
You’re a real estate investor now! Volition can help you do it properly!
Ensure that it will do what you intend for it to do: basement ceiling height, side/rear setbacks, zoning, minor variances, lot size, separate entrances
Safety considerations: egress, legality, insurance.
Education: areas, pros/cons, what to consider, important “investor lens” considerations such as Tenant profiles, rents, renovations, real estate development, gentrification, transit, infrastructure improvements
Analysis: High level financials, Advisory, planning, and cash flow analysis
Volition has helped investors buy hundreds of these types of properties!
Your home is the most important tool in your wealth building journey!
Wait, so are those triplexes actually the best investment?
That doesn’t make any sense.
The BEST investment one that CASHFLOW’S the MOST, RIGHT??? RIGHT????