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Invited Review
A review of major paradigms and models for the design of civil
engineering systems
L. Valadares Tavares *
Department of Civil Engineering, Technical University of Lisbon, CESUR, Instituto Superior T
ecnico, DEC-IST, Av. Rovisco Pais,
1000 Lisbon, Portugal
Received 1 November 1998; accepted 1 November 1998
Abstract
In this paper, the author presents the Ā®ve classical paradigms of the process of design in civil engineering and
identiĀ®es a new emerging paradigm: the interactive multi-attribute learning paradigm. This paradigm is studied in terms
of actors, structures and OR instruments which can help to fulĀ®l its application to modern design of civil engineering
systems. Ɠ 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Design; Civil engineering system; Multi-attribute decision making; Paradigm
1. The evolution of the design of civil engineering
systems: Paradigms and challenges
Civil Engineering is devoted to the design and
construction of systems aiming to improve the con-
ditions of social, economic and environmental life.
It is one of the oldest types of engineering as it
was born to fulĀ®l very basic needs of life such as
sheltering, transportation and river control. Some
of the most spectacular glories of the golden years
of technology at the beginning of this century were
achieved by civil engineers such as the railways
adventure, the heights of the new skyscrapers or
the irrigation of deserts by artiĀ®cial lakes con-
tained by new types of dams (Reynolds, 1991).
Nowadays, it remains one of the most signiĀ®-
cant branches of the profession of engineering as it
is shown by indicators such as the percentage of
aĀliates in engineering societies who are civil en-
gineers or the turnover of civil engineering Ā®rms
(Florman, 1994).
Creativity (Torrance, 1995) is the key ingredient
for any process of design and Civil Engineering is
no exception. However, the design of civil engi-
neering systems depends also heavily on the
adopted approach which had a very signiĀ®cant
evolution not just described by the progress of the
available technology but also by the way how the
problem of design is formulated. The formulation
of this problem depends on the data and on the
scientiĀ®c results which can be used, (see Vries et al.,
1993) and it describes the speciĀ®c civil engineering
culture of each stage of this process of evolution.
European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
www.elsevier.com/locate/orms
*
Tel.: +351 1 8418 310; fax: +351 1 8409 884; e-mail:
cesur@civil8-ist.utl.pt
0377-2217/99/$ Ā± see front matter Ɠ 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
PII: S 0 3 7 7 - 2 2 1 7 ( 9 8 ) 0 0 3 6 2 - 2
The study of such process can be done by the
analysis of the paradigm adopted in each stage to
formulate and solve the process of design (see
Simon, 1969).
The evolution of this paradigm is closely con-
nected to the type of model related to formulate the
problem of design and most of the recent devel-
opments in modelling are based and OR method-
ology and tools.
Until the forties, a lot of expertise to design civil
engineering was accumulated and presented
through empirical relations connecting:
(a) natural exogenous conditions (G) with the
corresponding design loads (L), and
(b) the design loads (L) with the design variables
(X) to be adopted for the civil engineering sys-
tem.
Common examples are:
Ā· G Ė† catchment area of a river basin; L Ė† design
storm; X Ė† reservoir capacity.
Ā· G Ė† expected population using a parking lot;
L Ė† required capacity; X Ė† parking area and size
of access lanes.
In this stage, the activity of design is basically
carried out using models with an empirical nature:
Paradigm A Ā± The empirical model:
L Ė† f Gā€ ;
X Ė† g Lā€ :
The important development of analytical
methods since the forties has enabled the substi-
tution of the empirical relationship g(L) by a static
deterministic description of the civil engineering
system relating the design loads (L) with the re-
sponse variables (R). This static model is usually
based on energy equilibrium conditions (e.g., for
structural design), on inventory models (e.g., for
the design of reservoirs) or on mass conservation
laws (e.g., for the design of water supply net-
works). Thus, the previous paradigmatic model
was substituted by the following paradigm:
Paradigm B Ā± The static descriptive deterministic
method
L Ė† f Gā€ ;
R Ė† q0
L; X0
ā€ ;
X00
Ė† q00
Rā€ ;
where q0
is the static behaviour function and X 0
is
a set of design variables. The design is complete by
setting up another set of design variables, X 00
, in
terms of R, X00
Ė† q00
(R), in order that the system
will cope adequately with the response variables
(see Templeman, 1982).
This type of model can be illustrated by the
example of designing a structure in terms of the
speciĀ®ed load (L) where X0
is the set of parameters
deĀ®ning the structure (geometry, weight, etc.), R is
the set of the generated stresses at key sections of
the structure and X00
includes the design parame-
ters (type of materials, etc.) achieving suĀcient
resistance to cope with such stresses.
This approach implies a good deal of inspira-
tion and of experience to set up good X00
solutions
and the full understanding of the response func-
tions.
The rapid development of science and technol-
ogy after the second world war has provided Civil
Engineering with more eā‚¬ective models to describe
the uncertainty and the stochastic nature of the
system's loads and with more accurate models to
describe the physical behaviour of the designed
systems.
The former results have allowed the develop-
ment of advanced risk analyses (Ang and Tang,
1975) and the latter ones have suggested a wide
spectrum of new technological solutions.
This means that (L) is then substituted by a
stochastic process (see, e.g., Tavares, 1977) of the
occurring loads 
L Ė† fLtg and that the static de-
terministic descriptive model can be substituted by
the following static stochastic descriptive model:
Paradigm C Ā± The static stochastic descriptive
model:

L Ė† fLt=Gg;
R Ė† q0 
L; X0
ā€ ;
X00
Ė† q00
Rā€ ;
S R; X00
ā€  P a;
where S R; X00
ā€  P a is a safety condition being
S R; X00
ā€  the probability of non-failure and a the
minimal safety threshold (Ang, 1972; Mass et al.,
1962; Ferry-Borges and Castanheta, 1971).
The formulation of the system's behaviour in
terms of the probabilistic deĀ®nition of its safety is
2 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
the major advantage of this model over B. More
recently, a further model has been proposed con-
sidering the dynamic behaviour of the system, the
dynamic stochastic descriptive model:
Paradigm D Ā± The dynamic stochastic descrip-
tive model:

L Ė† fLt=Gg;
R Ė† q0 
L; X0
; tā€  for 0 6 t 6 T;
X00
Ė† q00
Rā€ ;
skfR; X00
g 6 ak for k Ė† 1; . . . ; k;
where k Ė† 1; . . . ; K corresponds to each mode of
safety to be considered.
This model has been successfully applied to a
wide range of systems under loads generated by
turbulence processes, strong winds, ocean waves,
earthquakes, track unevenness, etc. Usually, the
safety restrictions include a Ā®rst set of conditions
on the moments and a second set on the maximal
and minimal eigenvalues (Nigam, 1986).
The models C and D require the collection and
treatment of much larger volumes of numerical
data conveniently distributed on time and on
space. This has become feasible due to the expo-
nential advances of the data and computer systems.
The study of R is usually carried out by the sim-
ulation methodology using extensive numerical
experimentation. This formulation can be trans-
formed into the classical problem of the Optimi-
sation Theory where the objective will be expressed
by a scalar objective function, F, and by a set of
restrictions (Rao, 1978; Rau, 1970; Tillman et al.,
1980) producing a new paradigm:
Paradigm E Ā± The single criterion optimisation:
max
min
u Ė† F L; Xā€ 
h1

L; Xā€  P 0;
h2

L; Xā€  P 0;
h3

L; Xā€  P 0;
h4

L; Xā€  P 0;
h5

L; Xā€  P 0;
with u a scalar function such as the cost to be
minimized or the stability to be maximized, 
L the
uncontrolled variables and X the decision vari-
ables, h1 a Ā®rst set of restrictions describing the
physical behaviour of the system, h2 a second set of
restrictions deĀ®ning the feasible domains of the
decision variables, h3 a third set of restrictions
describing legal and normative conditions, h4 a
fourth set of restrictions describing constraints on
other attributes also important to assess the im-
pact and quality of the achieved design, and h5 a
Ā®fth set of restrictions concerning the safety
probabilistic conditions.
The theory of optimisation has been intensively
used to Ā®nd out the design solution achieving the
maximal or minimal value for u.
The modelling of L, the use of simulation
methods to study R and the optimisation of F are
three major contributions of Operational Research
to the theory and the practice of the design of civil
engineering systems (models B, C, D and E).
During the last decades, criticism about less
successful civil engineering projects have grown up
all over the world and the need to avoid the per-
verse eā‚¬ects of technology has become a dominant
feature of our modern culture (see, e.g., Ellul,
1964; Mumford, 1967; Reich, 1970). Therefore,
new challenges are demanding for more harmonic,
comprehensive and interactive models of the pro-
cess of design in civil engineering:
Ā· the need to give additional attention to the pres-
ervation of environmental conditions;
Ā· the need to design systems better integrated
into the social, economic and political environ-
ments;
Ā· the need to proĀ®t from new technologies to en-
hance the performance of the designed systems;
Ā· the need to guarantee higher levels of quality
and of its perception by the users;
Ā· the need to achieve higher levels of economy,
particularly in terms of scarce natural resources
such as land, space, water or energy;
Ā· the need to combine the physical design with the
Ā®nancial and commercial design in order that
the feasibility, the eĀciency and the proĀ®tability
of the obtained solutions will be maximised;
Ā· the need to consider in the process of design a
wider range of actors and stakeholders through
more or less structured systems (public audits,
groups of advisors, etc.).
L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 3
Answering to these needs implies a signiĀ®cant ef-
fort to develop a new paradigm which should be
based on three major principles:
Ā· the design is a complex decision process involv-
ing the interaction of multiple actors due to the
multi-sectoral eā‚¬ects of the selection of any de-
sign;
Ā· most of these actors can have diā‚¬erent values,
objectives and preferences due to their diā‚¬erent
nature;
Ā· the search for a better design implies a learning
process based on multiple comparisons of diā‚¬er-
ent alternatives due to the complexity and mul-
tiplicity of relevant perspectives
Thus, the new emerging paradigm can be called
the interactive multi-attribute learning paradigm:
Paradigm F Ā± The interactive multi-attribute
learning paradigm. The major stages of the process
of design according to this paradigm are:
This approach is much more ``context-orient-
ed'' than the previous paradigmatic models and it
has a cyclic nature as the assessment of the gen-
erated alternatives suggests their improvement.
The applicability of this model requires eĀcient
and eā‚¬ective systems to generate feasible alterna-
tives, to simulate their response, to communicate
their features to the major actors and to assess
their reactions and their preferences.
The adoption of this approach implies also
signiĀ®cant changes in the way civil engineering
design should be taught (Morris and Laboube,
1995).
The recent OR developments provide these in-
struments for most areas of Civil Engineering.
Unfortunately, they are often used to implement
older paradigms rather than to create a new ap-
proach to design civil engineering systems. An il-
lustration of this paradox is the use of visual
computing outputs which just perform the role
played by traditional print-outs rather than es-
tablishing interactive and learning processes with
the actors concerned with the design. The appli-
cation of this new paradigm implies a more de-
tailed analysis of its three major elements:
Ā· identiĀ®cation of actors,
Ā· modelling of structures,
Ā· analysis of instruments.
This is the object of Section 2 where the role of OR
is discussed too.
2. The interactive multi-attribute learning paradigm
for civil engineering design
2.1. The actors
The process of designing a system in civil en-
gineering always should be oriented to fulĀ®l ex-
isting (or forecasted) needs (Feldman and Lindell,
1989). However, the process of understanding,
analysing and modelling such needs is complex not
just because they have multiple attributes but also
because there are diā‚¬erent actors involved in the
process of identifying their features:
BeneĀ®ciaries: Those whose needs are supposed
to be fulĀ®lled by the system. Traditionally, these
beneĀ®ciaries are called ``consumers'' as it happens
with the system like a public water supply network
or a commercial centre. However, the concept of
beneĀ®ciary is more accurate because in some cases
there is no eā‚¬ective consumption of any good or
service as it may happen if the system is a natural
park.
Users: Those who will participate in the oper-
ation of the system. In most cases, the users are the
same as the beneĀ®ciaries as it is the case of a road,
of a private house or of a commercial area but
many examples of side eā‚¬ects illustrate the alter-
native case such as:
(a) the owner of a land which has a much higher
value due to the nearby construction of a high-
way is a beneĀ®ciary but not a user;
4 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
(b) the user of a medical centre which is much
better oā‚¬ after a new hospital is opened because
it has decongested that centre is a beneĀ®ciary
but not an user of such a hospital.
The beneĀ®ciaries who do not use the system may
be called indirect beneĀ®ciaries in opposite to the
other ones, direct beneĀ®ciaries.
Pressure groups: The public or private interest is
often supported by pressure groups also active in
the process of decision making about a new engi-
neering system. Nowadays, there is a wide spec-
trum of these groups covering private rights (e.g.,
landowners) or addressing public issues like the
environment.
Promoters: Those who are in charge of the
system's development. They play a crucial role in
deĀ®ning the objectives to be achieved by the design
and, in general, they are the ``client'' of the de-
signer. They also carry out the commercialisation
of the system or they sub-contract such roles to
other institution.
Owners: Those who will possess the system.
Traditionally, they were also the promoters but the
general trend is the opposite one.
Project manager: The person or the institution in
charge of the management of the whole process
fromthebeginningoftheconceptionofthedesignto
the implementation and certiĀ®cation of the system.
Builders: Those who will implement the sys-
tem's design.
Financial operators: Those who will provide the
Ā®nancial resources.
Licensing authorities: Those who issue the re-
quired licenses and permit to build the system
Controllers and certiĀ®ers: Those who will con-
trol, audit and certify the implementation of the
approved design.
The general network connecting those actors is
presented in Fig. 1. This means that the process of
identifying the needs to be fulĀ®lled by the designer
and the requirements to be considered is a multi-
actor and dynamic process with multiple levels of
Fig. 1. The network connecting the major actors of the process of design in Civil Engineering.
L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 5
analysis and of interaction. A poor expression of
such needs leaves the designer abandoned to his
own preferences and then the Ā®nal degree of sat-
isfaction tends to be higher for himself than for the
client of the designed systems. Therefore, the
process of design should be supported by appro-
priate representations of the reality (descriptive
models) as well as by systems supporting the
communication, the evaluation, the negotiation,
the upgrading of alternatives until converging to
the Ā®nal decision.
2.2. The structure
The process of design in civil engineering can
now be substantially improved by the development
of a multi-attribute structure to compare alterna-
tive solutions, to suggest new ones and to support
the process of selection of the most convenient
design (highest total quality).
Such a structure is also an important instru-
ment for communication between the multiple
actors already introduced and it will minimise the
risk of ignoring important unplanned eā‚¬ects which
may undermine the utility of the new system.
The proposed framework follows a tree-struc-
ture as is presented in Fig. 2. Tree-structures have
been intensively used in many areas of OR and
hence its contribution can be quite substantial.
The top node of this value tree corresponds to the
total quality of each design alternative which is
branched into three major attributes concerning:
Ā· the process,
Ā· the system,
Ā· the context.
The perspectives most directly relevant to the ac-
tors in charge of the legal, the Ā®nancial and the
construction decisions are included within the Ā®rst
branch.
The legal aspects depend strongly on the
country where the system is to be built. Financial
assessment can be much improved by scenario or
simulation models and the study of constructabi-
lity or control is becoming a key area in Civil
Engineering (see, Uhlik and Lores, 1998).
Fig. 2. The proposed value tree.
6 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
The second branch concerns the system itself
and its evaluation stems from three major attri-
butes (aesthetics, functionality, economy) which
can be branched down into groups of three other
more speciĀ®c aspects.
The branch concerning ``fulĀ®lment of needs''
within ``functionality'' can be particularly impor-
tant as it can cover major functional beneĀ®ts to
be taken into account and not considered by Ā®-
nancial analysis. Recent recommendations about
the use of costĀ±beneĀ®t analysis are helping to
adopt stable procedures with the purpose of es-
timating the relevant beneĀ®ts (GriĀn and Ro-
nald, 1998).
The third branch covers the attributes describ-
ing the integration of the system into the envi-
ronmental, social, political and cultural spaces.
The comparative analysis of diā‚¬erent designs
implies the application of each of these attributes
to each alternative solution and the construction
of decision matrices following this structure.
The construction of such matrices can improve
the process of deĀ®ning the overall quality (Stevens
et al., 1994), can support the appropriate bench-
marking and can also generate additional and
more convenient solutions.
The construction of this matrix implies the
operationalization of the assessment of each al-
ternative in terms of each attribute which re-
quires the deĀ®nition of an appropriate indicator
with a quantitative or qualitative nature (e.g.,
bad, reasonable, good or very good quality). In
several cases, such assessment can be produced
by the average opinion of a group of experts who
express their opinion along an arbitrary scale
(e.g., 0 Ā® 10). Probabilistic scales can be also
very useful to assess some features (e.g., the risk
of failure). General suggestions for the assess-
ment in terms of each attribute are presented in
Table 1.
2.3. The instruments
Multiple types of instruments can be applied to
the presented structure based on Multicriteria
Decision Theory and on Negotiation Theory.
Several analyses are particularly important.
2.3.1. Checking the consistency of the decision
matrix data
The assessment of each alternative is not an
easy task and therefore procedures should be im-
plemented to reveal any inconsistency and to cor-
rect it. Models based on Relational Systems of
Preference such as the Pre-Order, Quasi-Order
(Roy, 1985) or Hyper-Order (Tavares, 1988) can
be successfully used.
2.3.2. Elimination of unsatisfactory alternatives
Usually, minimal levels of satisfaction are set
up for each attribute and hence a preliminary
screening can eliminate any alternative not com-
plying with one or more of these levels.
2.3.3. Synthetic assessment of alternatives
A long list of models have been proposed to aid
the process of multi-attribute comparison of dis-
crete alternatives but many of them are hardly
applicable to the studied problem. The most tra-
ditional approach is based on the synthetic as-
sessment of each alternative through a weighted
average of the assessment in terms of each attrib-
ute (compensatory approach). This is the most
common model implying:
(a) a metric scale for the scalar assessing each al-
ternative, i, in terms of each attribute, j, uij.
(b) the transformation of each metric scale into
a value function.
Several models can be used to build such a func-
tion, v, using a constant and linear relation: vij Ė†
uij Ćæ mijā€ = Mj Ćæ mjā€  if a higher uij is preferable to
a lower one or vij Ė† Mj Ćæ uijā€ = Mj Ćæ mjā€  other-
wise, Mj and mj being the maximal and the mini-
mal bounds of uij.
These limits can be drawn up from the set of
alternatives or can be reasonable extremes for the
acceptable domain of uij. This last option avoids
the unstability which may occur with the former if
changes in the set of alternatives are introduced
during the process of analysis.
More sophisticated models can help the actors
to construct the value function, point by point, as
it is in the case of Macmodel (Tavares, 1998) (see
Fig. 3).
(c) the construction of a weighted average,
L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 7
vi Ė†
X
N
jĖ†1
kj vij;
where kj are appropriate coeĀcients (0 6 kj 6 1
with
P
jkj Ė† 1) expressing the relative importance
of each attribute j as one has
dvik
dvil
 
viĖ†cte
Ė† Ćæ
kl
kk
;
which represents the trade-oā‚¬ for any pair of at-
tributes (k, l).
Obviously, this approach can be applied at
several levels of the tree and the total quality of
each alternative will be assessed by vi. The ranking
of alternatives should follow the decreasing or-
dering of this scalar.
This approach has implied the adoption of a
metric scale for the assessment of each attribute
which can be less obvious for more qualitative
aspects.
Also, two major drawbacks can be pointed out:
Ā· the choice of kj

is diĀcult and controversial
Table 1
Assessment of attributes
Attribute Suggested indicators Scale
Legal compliance Probability of the design being approved 0Ā±1 ( Ā± )
Duration of the process of approval 0, 1 (months)
Financial feasibility Risk of a Ā®nancial loss (R) Ćæ1, +1
Expect net presented value (NPV) Ćæ1, +1 (monetary units)
Internal rate of return (IRR) 0, +1 ( Ā± )
Constructability and control Degree of constructability (0Ā±10) ( Ā± )
Cost of control (0, +8) (monetary units)
Aesthetics
Style, harmony, consistency Experts judgement (0Ā±10) ( Ā± )
Functionality
FulĀ®llment of needs Degree of satisfaction of the users (0Ā±10) or other beneĀ®c scales ( Ā± )
Response to normal conditions Life span (0, +1) (years)
Response to extreme conditions Rate of degradation 0Ā±100 (%)
Probability of failure under extreme
conditions (winds, seismic eā‚¬ects, etc.)
(0Ā±1) ( Ā± )
Economy
Initial cost Investment (0, +1) (monetary units)
working cost Annual operational cost (0, +1) (monetary units/year)
Maintenance and repair cost Expected cost due to maintenance
during the life span
(0, +1) (monetary units)
Social and political integration Public satisfaction (0Ā±10) ( Ā± )
Acceptance by central or local
administration
(0Ā±10) ( Ā± )
Environmental equilibrium Environmental impact SpeciĀ®c indicator (BOD, etc. with speciĀ®c scales)
Cultural heritage Risk of ecological disturbances (0Ā±1) ( Ā± )
Disturbance or enhancing of cultural
values
(0Ā±10) ( Ā± )
Risk of loss of cultural identity (0Ā±1) ( Ā± )
8 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
Fig.
3.
Examples
of
Macmodel
displays.
L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 9
(see, e.g., Association Qualitel, 1980; Wiegand
and Keller, 1980);
Ā· the synthesis producing vi is just a weighted av-
erage which may not represent conveniently the
decision maker. For instance, one may have
P
jkj vij 
P
jkjvkj but if vkj  vij for some j
,
then the decision maker may not accept that i
is better than k.
The former problem can be approached by sensi-
tivity analysis and a model was proposed with this
objective (Trident, Tavares, 1984). This model
produces the mapping of kj

for three dimen-
sions as it is required by the presented framework
(see example in Fig. 4).
The latter problem can be solved by adopting
an alternative approach to the synthetic assess-
ment of each alternative: pairwise comparisons.
This approach is developed in Section 2.3.4.
2.3.4. Pairwise comparison of alternatives
The study of pairwise comparisons between
alternatives can be carried out using the interesting
concept of ``outranking'' proposed by Roy (1985):
i outranks j iSjā€  if two conditions are fulfilled:
Concordance condition:
X
kj with vij
Ćæ
h
P vkj
i X
kj
 
P A;
Fig. 4. Example of the Trident analysis for Ā®ve alternatives X1; . . . ; X5 (the indiā‚¬erence lines are denoted by Xi Ė† Xi0 ).
10 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
Discordance condition:
max
j
vkj
Ćæ

Ćæ vij


6 B:
where A, B are thresholds to be deĀ®ned. Obviously,
A has to be greater than or equal to 0.5. The dis-
cordance condition expresses the so-called ``Veto
condition'' which may be very signiĀ®cant in many
instances. The outranking relation does not have
the same properties as the preference relation as it
is not transitive or even anti-symmetrical.
A graph of outranking relations can be pro-
duced considering that each alternative is repre-
sented by each mode and those alternatives not
being outranked by others (or if belonging to cir-
cuits whose nodes never receive an outranking
relation) will be the candidates to the Ā®nal selec-
tion (see example in Fig. 5).
An obvious extension of the presented relation
of outranking is specifying B in terms of j, Bj.
Another extension of this relation can be devel-
oped by substituting the concordance condition by
a weighted condition:
X
kj vij P
X
kj vkj
and keeping the discordance condition.
Several models Ā± Electre (Roy, 1985) Ā± were
developed following this approach.
2.3.5. Negotiation and upgrading of alternatives
A small set of alternatives can be pre-selected,
k 2 K, in terms of the previous analysis and then a
process of negotiation between the multiple actors
and of learning about how to improve the alter-
natives should take place.
A process of negotiation is a necessary condi-
tion to achieve acceptance by key actors and such
a process contributes also to a better modelling of
their value functions and of the coeĀcients of
relative importance of the deĀ®ned attributes. Sev-
eral models can be used to support this process of
negotiation (Mumpower and Rorbaugh, 1996).
This process implies learning to have a better
understanding about the strong and the weak as-
pects of each alternative and so multiple sugges-
tions tend to be produced to improve the K
alternatives.
Then, new alternatives can be generated from
each k, Gk Ė† k1; k2; . . .
f g with the purpose of up-
grading k. A more reĀ®ned model can be used to
assess the achieved level of upgrading for each
generated alternative.
Actually, recent research (Simonson and
Tuersky, 1992; Meyer and Johnson, 1995) shows
that the assessment of the total quality by the
consumer can be particularly sensitive to the
strong advantage of one alternative, i, if compared
to another, k, in terms of one or a few speciĀ®c
attributes which can have a symbolic value for the
consumer (e.g., the modernity, youngness, luxury,
etc.), S, and which deĀ®ne the so-called motivational
Ā®eld (Levy, 1959; Belck, 1988). Each dimension of
this Ā®eld correspond to one perceptual attribute
and to one-dimensional force driving the decision
maker to make his selection (Beech, 1990).
In Civil Engineering, many examples of this
problem occur in areas like the home and oĀce
markets or in the design of commercial and cul-
tural centres (Butler and Richmond, 1990). Evi-
dence has been collected showing that the
introduction of a speciĀ®c feature in the design of a
private home like the existence of a whirlpool or of
an automated kitchen system may change sub-
stantially the comparison done by the clients. The
same applies to oĀces including less usual features
such as a hall with a decoration including dynamic
elements or showing a multi-screen projection.
The presented approaches (compensatory and
outranking models) are not particularly appro-
priate to cope with this situation and so an alter-
Fig. 5. Example of an outranking graph for six alternatives
fx1; . . . ; x6g producing a sub-set of candidates to the best al-
ternative Ė† fx1; x3; x5; x6g:
L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 11
native model can be proposed: the symbolic model.
This model is based also on a pairwise approach
but adopts a new relation Ā± the advantage relation
Ā± instead of the outranking relation. This relation
is deĀ®ned by: i A k (i has an advantage relation
over k) if and only if:
max
j2S
vij Ćæ vkjā€  P c
advantage condition; where S is sub-set of
symbolic attributes;
X
kj with vij
h
6 vkjā€ 
i
=
X
kj
 
6 D
mass discordance condition; max vkj Ćæ vijā€   E;
veto discordance condition;
where C is the advantage threshold, D the mass
discordance threshold and E the veto discordance
threshold. The Ā®rst condition is applied just to the
sub-set of symbolic attributes.
This relation expresses the relative advantage
accomplished by the alternative i over k despite a
weight mass favouring k because of the excep-
tional advantage of i over k in terms of, at least,
one attribute. The selection of C should be done
considering that C is the minimal diā‚¬erence pro-
ducing the advantage eā‚¬ect. It should be noted
that the veto threshold, E, expresses the maximal
diā‚¬erence in favour of the alternative k allowing a
favourable result to i and therefore it is reasonable
assuming that C should be greater than E. If so,
the following results can be proved (where i k
means that there is no advantage relation of i over
k and where ; means that there is no implication):
1. iAk ) k i (anti-symmetrical property),
2. iAm and mAk;iAk (no transitivity proper-
ty),
3. If [iAm and mAm0
and . . .m00
Aq] then it may
also happen qAi (circuit property).
3. Conclusions
The evolution of the process of designing civil
engineering systems was discussed and Ā®ve major
paradigmatic models were identiĀ®ed:
Ā· the empirical model,
Ā· the static descriptive deterministic model,
Ā· the static stochastic descriptive model,
Ā· the dynamic stochastic descriptive model,
Ā· the single criterium optimisation.
Recent developments and challenges suggest
another approach which was described by the in-
teractive multi-attribute learning paradigm.
This model is based on a more systematic ex-
ploration of the space of the alternative feasible
solutions and on their assessment in terms of
multiple attributes by the diā‚¬erent actors inter-
acting within the process of decision.
This approach helps to model the process of
design as a decision-making process following the
inspired deĀ®nition of engineering design proposed
by the Accreditation Board for Engineering and
Technology (1991):
``Engineering design is the process of devising a
system, components or a process to meet desired
needs. It is a decision-making process (often iter-
ative), in which the basic sciences, mathematics,
and engineering sciences are applied to convert
resources optimally to meet a stated objective.
Among the fundamental elements of the design
process are the establishment of objectives, and
criteria, synthesis, constructions, testing and eval-
uations''.
References
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Ang, A.H.S., Tang, W.M., 1975. Probability Concepts in
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Wiley, New York.
Association Qualitel, 1980. Guide Qualitel. Association Quali-
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Belck, R.W., 1988. Possessions and the extended self. Journal of
Consumer Research 14, 136Ā±168.
Beech, L.R., 1990. Image Theory: Decision Making in Personal
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Butler, D., Richmond, D., 1990. Advanced Valuations. Mac-
Millan, New York.
Ellul, J., 1964. The Technological Society. Knopf, New York.
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design: Observations and experiences. Journal of Profes-
sional Issues in Engineering Education and Practice 47Ā±53.
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L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 13

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Review of Major Paradigms for Design of Civil Engineering Systems

  • 1. Invited Review A review of major paradigms and models for the design of civil engineering systems L. Valadares Tavares * Department of Civil Engineering, Technical University of Lisbon, CESUR, Instituto Superior T ecnico, DEC-IST, Av. Rovisco Pais, 1000 Lisbon, Portugal Received 1 November 1998; accepted 1 November 1998 Abstract In this paper, the author presents the Ā®ve classical paradigms of the process of design in civil engineering and identiĀ®es a new emerging paradigm: the interactive multi-attribute learning paradigm. This paradigm is studied in terms of actors, structures and OR instruments which can help to fulĀ®l its application to modern design of civil engineering systems. Ɠ 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Design; Civil engineering system; Multi-attribute decision making; Paradigm 1. The evolution of the design of civil engineering systems: Paradigms and challenges Civil Engineering is devoted to the design and construction of systems aiming to improve the con- ditions of social, economic and environmental life. It is one of the oldest types of engineering as it was born to fulĀ®l very basic needs of life such as sheltering, transportation and river control. Some of the most spectacular glories of the golden years of technology at the beginning of this century were achieved by civil engineers such as the railways adventure, the heights of the new skyscrapers or the irrigation of deserts by artiĀ®cial lakes con- tained by new types of dams (Reynolds, 1991). Nowadays, it remains one of the most signiĀ®- cant branches of the profession of engineering as it is shown by indicators such as the percentage of aĀliates in engineering societies who are civil en- gineers or the turnover of civil engineering Ā®rms (Florman, 1994). Creativity (Torrance, 1995) is the key ingredient for any process of design and Civil Engineering is no exception. However, the design of civil engi- neering systems depends also heavily on the adopted approach which had a very signiĀ®cant evolution not just described by the progress of the available technology but also by the way how the problem of design is formulated. The formulation of this problem depends on the data and on the scientiĀ®c results which can be used, (see Vries et al., 1993) and it describes the speciĀ®c civil engineering culture of each stage of this process of evolution. European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 www.elsevier.com/locate/orms * Tel.: +351 1 8418 310; fax: +351 1 8409 884; e-mail: cesur@civil8-ist.utl.pt 0377-2217/99/$ Ā± see front matter Ɠ 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 3 7 7 - 2 2 1 7 ( 9 8 ) 0 0 3 6 2 - 2
  • 2. The study of such process can be done by the analysis of the paradigm adopted in each stage to formulate and solve the process of design (see Simon, 1969). The evolution of this paradigm is closely con- nected to the type of model related to formulate the problem of design and most of the recent devel- opments in modelling are based and OR method- ology and tools. Until the forties, a lot of expertise to design civil engineering was accumulated and presented through empirical relations connecting: (a) natural exogenous conditions (G) with the corresponding design loads (L), and (b) the design loads (L) with the design variables (X) to be adopted for the civil engineering sys- tem. Common examples are: Ā· G Ė† catchment area of a river basin; L Ė† design storm; X Ė† reservoir capacity. Ā· G Ė† expected population using a parking lot; L Ė† required capacity; X Ė† parking area and size of access lanes. In this stage, the activity of design is basically carried out using models with an empirical nature: Paradigm A Ā± The empirical model: L Ė† f Gā€ ; X Ė† g Lā€ : The important development of analytical methods since the forties has enabled the substi- tution of the empirical relationship g(L) by a static deterministic description of the civil engineering system relating the design loads (L) with the re- sponse variables (R). This static model is usually based on energy equilibrium conditions (e.g., for structural design), on inventory models (e.g., for the design of reservoirs) or on mass conservation laws (e.g., for the design of water supply net- works). Thus, the previous paradigmatic model was substituted by the following paradigm: Paradigm B Ā± The static descriptive deterministic method L Ė† f Gā€ ; R Ė† q0 L; X0 ā€ ; X00 Ė† q00 Rā€ ; where q0 is the static behaviour function and X 0 is a set of design variables. The design is complete by setting up another set of design variables, X 00 , in terms of R, X00 Ė† q00 (R), in order that the system will cope adequately with the response variables (see Templeman, 1982). This type of model can be illustrated by the example of designing a structure in terms of the speciĀ®ed load (L) where X0 is the set of parameters deĀ®ning the structure (geometry, weight, etc.), R is the set of the generated stresses at key sections of the structure and X00 includes the design parame- ters (type of materials, etc.) achieving suĀcient resistance to cope with such stresses. This approach implies a good deal of inspira- tion and of experience to set up good X00 solutions and the full understanding of the response func- tions. The rapid development of science and technol- ogy after the second world war has provided Civil Engineering with more eā‚¬ective models to describe the uncertainty and the stochastic nature of the system's loads and with more accurate models to describe the physical behaviour of the designed systems. The former results have allowed the develop- ment of advanced risk analyses (Ang and Tang, 1975) and the latter ones have suggested a wide spectrum of new technological solutions. This means that (L) is then substituted by a stochastic process (see, e.g., Tavares, 1977) of the occurring loads L Ė† fLtg and that the static de- terministic descriptive model can be substituted by the following static stochastic descriptive model: Paradigm C Ā± The static stochastic descriptive model: L Ė† fLt=Gg; R Ė† q0 L; X0 ā€ ; X00 Ė† q00 Rā€ ; S R; X00 ā€  P a; where S R; X00 ā€  P a is a safety condition being S R; X00 ā€  the probability of non-failure and a the minimal safety threshold (Ang, 1972; Mass et al., 1962; Ferry-Borges and Castanheta, 1971). The formulation of the system's behaviour in terms of the probabilistic deĀ®nition of its safety is 2 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
  • 3. the major advantage of this model over B. More recently, a further model has been proposed con- sidering the dynamic behaviour of the system, the dynamic stochastic descriptive model: Paradigm D Ā± The dynamic stochastic descrip- tive model: L Ė† fLt=Gg; R Ė† q0 L; X0 ; tā€  for 0 6 t 6 T; X00 Ė† q00 Rā€ ; skfR; X00 g 6 ak for k Ė† 1; . . . ; k; where k Ė† 1; . . . ; K corresponds to each mode of safety to be considered. This model has been successfully applied to a wide range of systems under loads generated by turbulence processes, strong winds, ocean waves, earthquakes, track unevenness, etc. Usually, the safety restrictions include a Ā®rst set of conditions on the moments and a second set on the maximal and minimal eigenvalues (Nigam, 1986). The models C and D require the collection and treatment of much larger volumes of numerical data conveniently distributed on time and on space. This has become feasible due to the expo- nential advances of the data and computer systems. The study of R is usually carried out by the sim- ulation methodology using extensive numerical experimentation. This formulation can be trans- formed into the classical problem of the Optimi- sation Theory where the objective will be expressed by a scalar objective function, F, and by a set of restrictions (Rao, 1978; Rau, 1970; Tillman et al., 1980) producing a new paradigm: Paradigm E Ā± The single criterion optimisation: max min u Ė† F L; Xā€  h1 L; Xā€  P 0; h2 L; Xā€  P 0; h3 L; Xā€  P 0; h4 L; Xā€  P 0; h5 L; Xā€  P 0; with u a scalar function such as the cost to be minimized or the stability to be maximized, L the uncontrolled variables and X the decision vari- ables, h1 a Ā®rst set of restrictions describing the physical behaviour of the system, h2 a second set of restrictions deĀ®ning the feasible domains of the decision variables, h3 a third set of restrictions describing legal and normative conditions, h4 a fourth set of restrictions describing constraints on other attributes also important to assess the im- pact and quality of the achieved design, and h5 a Ā®fth set of restrictions concerning the safety probabilistic conditions. The theory of optimisation has been intensively used to Ā®nd out the design solution achieving the maximal or minimal value for u. The modelling of L, the use of simulation methods to study R and the optimisation of F are three major contributions of Operational Research to the theory and the practice of the design of civil engineering systems (models B, C, D and E). During the last decades, criticism about less successful civil engineering projects have grown up all over the world and the need to avoid the per- verse eā‚¬ects of technology has become a dominant feature of our modern culture (see, e.g., Ellul, 1964; Mumford, 1967; Reich, 1970). Therefore, new challenges are demanding for more harmonic, comprehensive and interactive models of the pro- cess of design in civil engineering: Ā· the need to give additional attention to the pres- ervation of environmental conditions; Ā· the need to design systems better integrated into the social, economic and political environ- ments; Ā· the need to proĀ®t from new technologies to en- hance the performance of the designed systems; Ā· the need to guarantee higher levels of quality and of its perception by the users; Ā· the need to achieve higher levels of economy, particularly in terms of scarce natural resources such as land, space, water or energy; Ā· the need to combine the physical design with the Ā®nancial and commercial design in order that the feasibility, the eĀciency and the proĀ®tability of the obtained solutions will be maximised; Ā· the need to consider in the process of design a wider range of actors and stakeholders through more or less structured systems (public audits, groups of advisors, etc.). L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 3
  • 4. Answering to these needs implies a signiĀ®cant ef- fort to develop a new paradigm which should be based on three major principles: Ā· the design is a complex decision process involv- ing the interaction of multiple actors due to the multi-sectoral eā‚¬ects of the selection of any de- sign; Ā· most of these actors can have diā‚¬erent values, objectives and preferences due to their diā‚¬erent nature; Ā· the search for a better design implies a learning process based on multiple comparisons of diā‚¬er- ent alternatives due to the complexity and mul- tiplicity of relevant perspectives Thus, the new emerging paradigm can be called the interactive multi-attribute learning paradigm: Paradigm F Ā± The interactive multi-attribute learning paradigm. The major stages of the process of design according to this paradigm are: This approach is much more ``context-orient- ed'' than the previous paradigmatic models and it has a cyclic nature as the assessment of the gen- erated alternatives suggests their improvement. The applicability of this model requires eĀcient and eā‚¬ective systems to generate feasible alterna- tives, to simulate their response, to communicate their features to the major actors and to assess their reactions and their preferences. The adoption of this approach implies also signiĀ®cant changes in the way civil engineering design should be taught (Morris and Laboube, 1995). The recent OR developments provide these in- struments for most areas of Civil Engineering. Unfortunately, they are often used to implement older paradigms rather than to create a new ap- proach to design civil engineering systems. An il- lustration of this paradox is the use of visual computing outputs which just perform the role played by traditional print-outs rather than es- tablishing interactive and learning processes with the actors concerned with the design. The appli- cation of this new paradigm implies a more de- tailed analysis of its three major elements: Ā· identiĀ®cation of actors, Ā· modelling of structures, Ā· analysis of instruments. This is the object of Section 2 where the role of OR is discussed too. 2. The interactive multi-attribute learning paradigm for civil engineering design 2.1. The actors The process of designing a system in civil en- gineering always should be oriented to fulĀ®l ex- isting (or forecasted) needs (Feldman and Lindell, 1989). However, the process of understanding, analysing and modelling such needs is complex not just because they have multiple attributes but also because there are diā‚¬erent actors involved in the process of identifying their features: BeneĀ®ciaries: Those whose needs are supposed to be fulĀ®lled by the system. Traditionally, these beneĀ®ciaries are called ``consumers'' as it happens with the system like a public water supply network or a commercial centre. However, the concept of beneĀ®ciary is more accurate because in some cases there is no eā‚¬ective consumption of any good or service as it may happen if the system is a natural park. Users: Those who will participate in the oper- ation of the system. In most cases, the users are the same as the beneĀ®ciaries as it is the case of a road, of a private house or of a commercial area but many examples of side eā‚¬ects illustrate the alter- native case such as: (a) the owner of a land which has a much higher value due to the nearby construction of a high- way is a beneĀ®ciary but not a user; 4 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
  • 5. (b) the user of a medical centre which is much better oā‚¬ after a new hospital is opened because it has decongested that centre is a beneĀ®ciary but not an user of such a hospital. The beneĀ®ciaries who do not use the system may be called indirect beneĀ®ciaries in opposite to the other ones, direct beneĀ®ciaries. Pressure groups: The public or private interest is often supported by pressure groups also active in the process of decision making about a new engi- neering system. Nowadays, there is a wide spec- trum of these groups covering private rights (e.g., landowners) or addressing public issues like the environment. Promoters: Those who are in charge of the system's development. They play a crucial role in deĀ®ning the objectives to be achieved by the design and, in general, they are the ``client'' of the de- signer. They also carry out the commercialisation of the system or they sub-contract such roles to other institution. Owners: Those who will possess the system. Traditionally, they were also the promoters but the general trend is the opposite one. Project manager: The person or the institution in charge of the management of the whole process fromthebeginningoftheconceptionofthedesignto the implementation and certiĀ®cation of the system. Builders: Those who will implement the sys- tem's design. Financial operators: Those who will provide the Ā®nancial resources. Licensing authorities: Those who issue the re- quired licenses and permit to build the system Controllers and certiĀ®ers: Those who will con- trol, audit and certify the implementation of the approved design. The general network connecting those actors is presented in Fig. 1. This means that the process of identifying the needs to be fulĀ®lled by the designer and the requirements to be considered is a multi- actor and dynamic process with multiple levels of Fig. 1. The network connecting the major actors of the process of design in Civil Engineering. L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 5
  • 6. analysis and of interaction. A poor expression of such needs leaves the designer abandoned to his own preferences and then the Ā®nal degree of sat- isfaction tends to be higher for himself than for the client of the designed systems. Therefore, the process of design should be supported by appro- priate representations of the reality (descriptive models) as well as by systems supporting the communication, the evaluation, the negotiation, the upgrading of alternatives until converging to the Ā®nal decision. 2.2. The structure The process of design in civil engineering can now be substantially improved by the development of a multi-attribute structure to compare alterna- tive solutions, to suggest new ones and to support the process of selection of the most convenient design (highest total quality). Such a structure is also an important instru- ment for communication between the multiple actors already introduced and it will minimise the risk of ignoring important unplanned eā‚¬ects which may undermine the utility of the new system. The proposed framework follows a tree-struc- ture as is presented in Fig. 2. Tree-structures have been intensively used in many areas of OR and hence its contribution can be quite substantial. The top node of this value tree corresponds to the total quality of each design alternative which is branched into three major attributes concerning: Ā· the process, Ā· the system, Ā· the context. The perspectives most directly relevant to the ac- tors in charge of the legal, the Ā®nancial and the construction decisions are included within the Ā®rst branch. The legal aspects depend strongly on the country where the system is to be built. Financial assessment can be much improved by scenario or simulation models and the study of constructabi- lity or control is becoming a key area in Civil Engineering (see, Uhlik and Lores, 1998). Fig. 2. The proposed value tree. 6 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
  • 7. The second branch concerns the system itself and its evaluation stems from three major attri- butes (aesthetics, functionality, economy) which can be branched down into groups of three other more speciĀ®c aspects. The branch concerning ``fulĀ®lment of needs'' within ``functionality'' can be particularly impor- tant as it can cover major functional beneĀ®ts to be taken into account and not considered by Ā®- nancial analysis. Recent recommendations about the use of costĀ±beneĀ®t analysis are helping to adopt stable procedures with the purpose of es- timating the relevant beneĀ®ts (GriĀn and Ro- nald, 1998). The third branch covers the attributes describ- ing the integration of the system into the envi- ronmental, social, political and cultural spaces. The comparative analysis of diā‚¬erent designs implies the application of each of these attributes to each alternative solution and the construction of decision matrices following this structure. The construction of such matrices can improve the process of deĀ®ning the overall quality (Stevens et al., 1994), can support the appropriate bench- marking and can also generate additional and more convenient solutions. The construction of this matrix implies the operationalization of the assessment of each al- ternative in terms of each attribute which re- quires the deĀ®nition of an appropriate indicator with a quantitative or qualitative nature (e.g., bad, reasonable, good or very good quality). In several cases, such assessment can be produced by the average opinion of a group of experts who express their opinion along an arbitrary scale (e.g., 0 Ā® 10). Probabilistic scales can be also very useful to assess some features (e.g., the risk of failure). General suggestions for the assess- ment in terms of each attribute are presented in Table 1. 2.3. The instruments Multiple types of instruments can be applied to the presented structure based on Multicriteria Decision Theory and on Negotiation Theory. Several analyses are particularly important. 2.3.1. Checking the consistency of the decision matrix data The assessment of each alternative is not an easy task and therefore procedures should be im- plemented to reveal any inconsistency and to cor- rect it. Models based on Relational Systems of Preference such as the Pre-Order, Quasi-Order (Roy, 1985) or Hyper-Order (Tavares, 1988) can be successfully used. 2.3.2. Elimination of unsatisfactory alternatives Usually, minimal levels of satisfaction are set up for each attribute and hence a preliminary screening can eliminate any alternative not com- plying with one or more of these levels. 2.3.3. Synthetic assessment of alternatives A long list of models have been proposed to aid the process of multi-attribute comparison of dis- crete alternatives but many of them are hardly applicable to the studied problem. The most tra- ditional approach is based on the synthetic as- sessment of each alternative through a weighted average of the assessment in terms of each attrib- ute (compensatory approach). This is the most common model implying: (a) a metric scale for the scalar assessing each al- ternative, i, in terms of each attribute, j, uij. (b) the transformation of each metric scale into a value function. Several models can be used to build such a func- tion, v, using a constant and linear relation: vij Ė† uij Ćæ mijā€ = Mj Ćæ mjā€  if a higher uij is preferable to a lower one or vij Ė† Mj Ćæ uijā€ = Mj Ćæ mjā€  other- wise, Mj and mj being the maximal and the mini- mal bounds of uij. These limits can be drawn up from the set of alternatives or can be reasonable extremes for the acceptable domain of uij. This last option avoids the unstability which may occur with the former if changes in the set of alternatives are introduced during the process of analysis. More sophisticated models can help the actors to construct the value function, point by point, as it is in the case of Macmodel (Tavares, 1998) (see Fig. 3). (c) the construction of a weighted average, L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 7
  • 8. vi Ė† X N jĖ†1 kj vij; where kj are appropriate coeĀcients (0 6 kj 6 1 with P jkj Ė† 1) expressing the relative importance of each attribute j as one has dvik dvil viĖ†cte Ė† Ćæ kl kk ; which represents the trade-oā‚¬ for any pair of at- tributes (k, l). Obviously, this approach can be applied at several levels of the tree and the total quality of each alternative will be assessed by vi. The ranking of alternatives should follow the decreasing or- dering of this scalar. This approach has implied the adoption of a metric scale for the assessment of each attribute which can be less obvious for more qualitative aspects. Also, two major drawbacks can be pointed out: Ā· the choice of kj is diĀcult and controversial Table 1 Assessment of attributes Attribute Suggested indicators Scale Legal compliance Probability of the design being approved 0Ā±1 ( Ā± ) Duration of the process of approval 0, 1 (months) Financial feasibility Risk of a Ā®nancial loss (R) Ćæ1, +1 Expect net presented value (NPV) Ćæ1, +1 (monetary units) Internal rate of return (IRR) 0, +1 ( Ā± ) Constructability and control Degree of constructability (0Ā±10) ( Ā± ) Cost of control (0, +8) (monetary units) Aesthetics Style, harmony, consistency Experts judgement (0Ā±10) ( Ā± ) Functionality FulĀ®llment of needs Degree of satisfaction of the users (0Ā±10) or other beneĀ®c scales ( Ā± ) Response to normal conditions Life span (0, +1) (years) Response to extreme conditions Rate of degradation 0Ā±100 (%) Probability of failure under extreme conditions (winds, seismic eā‚¬ects, etc.) (0Ā±1) ( Ā± ) Economy Initial cost Investment (0, +1) (monetary units) working cost Annual operational cost (0, +1) (monetary units/year) Maintenance and repair cost Expected cost due to maintenance during the life span (0, +1) (monetary units) Social and political integration Public satisfaction (0Ā±10) ( Ā± ) Acceptance by central or local administration (0Ā±10) ( Ā± ) Environmental equilibrium Environmental impact SpeciĀ®c indicator (BOD, etc. with speciĀ®c scales) Cultural heritage Risk of ecological disturbances (0Ā±1) ( Ā± ) Disturbance or enhancing of cultural values (0Ā±10) ( Ā± ) Risk of loss of cultural identity (0Ā±1) ( Ā± ) 8 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
  • 9. Fig. 3. Examples of Macmodel displays. L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 9
  • 10. (see, e.g., Association Qualitel, 1980; Wiegand and Keller, 1980); Ā· the synthesis producing vi is just a weighted av- erage which may not represent conveniently the decision maker. For instance, one may have P jkj vij P jkjvkj but if vkj vij for some j , then the decision maker may not accept that i is better than k. The former problem can be approached by sensi- tivity analysis and a model was proposed with this objective (Trident, Tavares, 1984). This model produces the mapping of kj for three dimen- sions as it is required by the presented framework (see example in Fig. 4). The latter problem can be solved by adopting an alternative approach to the synthetic assess- ment of each alternative: pairwise comparisons. This approach is developed in Section 2.3.4. 2.3.4. Pairwise comparison of alternatives The study of pairwise comparisons between alternatives can be carried out using the interesting concept of ``outranking'' proposed by Roy (1985): i outranks j iSjā€  if two conditions are fulfilled: Concordance condition: X kj with vij Ćæ h P vkj i X kj P A; Fig. 4. Example of the Trident analysis for Ā®ve alternatives X1; . . . ; X5 (the indiā‚¬erence lines are denoted by Xi Ė† Xi0 ). 10 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
  • 11. Discordance condition: max j vkj Ćæ Ćæ vij 6 B: where A, B are thresholds to be deĀ®ned. Obviously, A has to be greater than or equal to 0.5. The dis- cordance condition expresses the so-called ``Veto condition'' which may be very signiĀ®cant in many instances. The outranking relation does not have the same properties as the preference relation as it is not transitive or even anti-symmetrical. A graph of outranking relations can be pro- duced considering that each alternative is repre- sented by each mode and those alternatives not being outranked by others (or if belonging to cir- cuits whose nodes never receive an outranking relation) will be the candidates to the Ā®nal selec- tion (see example in Fig. 5). An obvious extension of the presented relation of outranking is specifying B in terms of j, Bj. Another extension of this relation can be devel- oped by substituting the concordance condition by a weighted condition: X kj vij P X kj vkj and keeping the discordance condition. Several models Ā± Electre (Roy, 1985) Ā± were developed following this approach. 2.3.5. Negotiation and upgrading of alternatives A small set of alternatives can be pre-selected, k 2 K, in terms of the previous analysis and then a process of negotiation between the multiple actors and of learning about how to improve the alter- natives should take place. A process of negotiation is a necessary condi- tion to achieve acceptance by key actors and such a process contributes also to a better modelling of their value functions and of the coeĀcients of relative importance of the deĀ®ned attributes. Sev- eral models can be used to support this process of negotiation (Mumpower and Rorbaugh, 1996). This process implies learning to have a better understanding about the strong and the weak as- pects of each alternative and so multiple sugges- tions tend to be produced to improve the K alternatives. Then, new alternatives can be generated from each k, Gk Ė† k1; k2; . . . f g with the purpose of up- grading k. A more reĀ®ned model can be used to assess the achieved level of upgrading for each generated alternative. Actually, recent research (Simonson and Tuersky, 1992; Meyer and Johnson, 1995) shows that the assessment of the total quality by the consumer can be particularly sensitive to the strong advantage of one alternative, i, if compared to another, k, in terms of one or a few speciĀ®c attributes which can have a symbolic value for the consumer (e.g., the modernity, youngness, luxury, etc.), S, and which deĀ®ne the so-called motivational Ā®eld (Levy, 1959; Belck, 1988). Each dimension of this Ā®eld correspond to one perceptual attribute and to one-dimensional force driving the decision maker to make his selection (Beech, 1990). In Civil Engineering, many examples of this problem occur in areas like the home and oĀce markets or in the design of commercial and cul- tural centres (Butler and Richmond, 1990). Evi- dence has been collected showing that the introduction of a speciĀ®c feature in the design of a private home like the existence of a whirlpool or of an automated kitchen system may change sub- stantially the comparison done by the clients. The same applies to oĀces including less usual features such as a hall with a decoration including dynamic elements or showing a multi-screen projection. The presented approaches (compensatory and outranking models) are not particularly appro- priate to cope with this situation and so an alter- Fig. 5. Example of an outranking graph for six alternatives fx1; . . . ; x6g producing a sub-set of candidates to the best al- ternative Ė† fx1; x3; x5; x6g: L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13 11
  • 12. native model can be proposed: the symbolic model. This model is based also on a pairwise approach but adopts a new relation Ā± the advantage relation Ā± instead of the outranking relation. This relation is deĀ®ned by: i A k (i has an advantage relation over k) if and only if: max j2S vij Ćæ vkjā€  P c advantage condition; where S is sub-set of symbolic attributes; X kj with vij h 6 vkjā€  i = X kj 6 D mass discordance condition; max vkj Ćæ vijā€  E; veto discordance condition; where C is the advantage threshold, D the mass discordance threshold and E the veto discordance threshold. The Ā®rst condition is applied just to the sub-set of symbolic attributes. This relation expresses the relative advantage accomplished by the alternative i over k despite a weight mass favouring k because of the excep- tional advantage of i over k in terms of, at least, one attribute. The selection of C should be done considering that C is the minimal diā‚¬erence pro- ducing the advantage eā‚¬ect. It should be noted that the veto threshold, E, expresses the maximal diā‚¬erence in favour of the alternative k allowing a favourable result to i and therefore it is reasonable assuming that C should be greater than E. If so, the following results can be proved (where i k means that there is no advantage relation of i over k and where ; means that there is no implication): 1. iAk ) k i (anti-symmetrical property), 2. iAm and mAk;iAk (no transitivity proper- ty), 3. If [iAm and mAm0 and . . .m00 Aq] then it may also happen qAi (circuit property). 3. Conclusions The evolution of the process of designing civil engineering systems was discussed and Ā®ve major paradigmatic models were identiĀ®ed: Ā· the empirical model, Ā· the static descriptive deterministic model, Ā· the static stochastic descriptive model, Ā· the dynamic stochastic descriptive model, Ā· the single criterium optimisation. Recent developments and challenges suggest another approach which was described by the in- teractive multi-attribute learning paradigm. This model is based on a more systematic ex- ploration of the space of the alternative feasible solutions and on their assessment in terms of multiple attributes by the diā‚¬erent actors inter- acting within the process of decision. This approach helps to model the process of design as a decision-making process following the inspired deĀ®nition of engineering design proposed by the Accreditation Board for Engineering and Technology (1991): ``Engineering design is the process of devising a system, components or a process to meet desired needs. It is a decision-making process (often iter- ative), in which the basic sciences, mathematics, and engineering sciences are applied to convert resources optimally to meet a stated objective. Among the fundamental elements of the design process are the establishment of objectives, and criteria, synthesis, constructions, testing and eval- uations''. References Accreditation Board for Engineering and Technology, 1991. Criteria for accrediting programs in engineering in the United States. Accreditation Board for Engineering and Technology, New York. Ang, A.H.S., 1972. Structural Safety, A Literature Review. ASCE, 98, ST4, 845. Ang, A.H.S., Tang, W.M., 1975. Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design, vol. 1, Basic Principles. Wiley, New York. Association Qualitel, 1980. Guide Qualitel. Association Quali- tel, Paris. Belck, R.W., 1988. Possessions and the extended self. Journal of Consumer Research 14, 136Ā±168. Beech, L.R., 1990. Image Theory: Decision Making in Personal and Organizational Contexts. Wiley, New York. Butler, D., Richmond, D., 1990. Advanced Valuations. Mac- Millan, New York. Ellul, J., 1964. The Technological Society. Knopf, New York. Feldman, J., Lindell, M.K., 1989. On Rationality in Horowits, I. Organisation and Decision Theory. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht. 12 L. Valadares Tavares / European Journal of Operational Research 119 (1999) 1Ā±13
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