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Pharma MES
2023 - Berlin
Artificial Intelligence in
Pharmaceutical Manufacturing:
Current Insights and Future
Prospects
Hernan Vilas
Thomas Halfmann
v1.1
Livinginthe
AIHype
โ€ข 350 billion words
โ€ข 175+ billion parameters
โ€ข 100+ million active users
โ€ข China now has at least
130 LLMs, accounting for
40% of the global total
and just behind the
United States' 50% share
(Source: Reuters)
โ€ข 21. Sep: Microsoft Copilot
announced
https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2023/09/21/announc
ing-microsoft-copilot-your-everyday-ai-companion/
2
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
GartnerDataand
AnalyticsHype
Generative AI is at the peak
of inflated expectations
3
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Hype Cycle for Artificial Intelligence, 2023
Published 19 July 2023 (Gartner, Inc)
https://www.gartner.com/en/documents/4543699
The Reality of AI
4
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Training data with
input/features x and
label/outputs y
corresponding to
each input. i.e:
images of cats and
dogs
Only input/features x, but
not corresponding
labels/outputs y. i.e: cluster
data thatโ€™s similar.
Seek to discover structure
in data
Might have a subset of data with
only inputs x and known
label/outputs y.
the machine learning task might
involve, searching the space, to find
some optimum. Reinforcement
learning: Alpha-Go example
There is a very large variety of machine learning methods and
algorithms, and a major challenge for implementing AI products, is
to be aware of this range of options and methods, and to match the
problem at hand, with the appropriate method.
Parametric
Non-Parametric
Parametric models are what we're most used
to, for most engineering and scientific
experiences. For example, in fitting a line or
curve, to some x data.
How models
learn from data
Model complexity depends on training
samples. i.e: decision trees, random forest,
SVM
Discriminative Given an input x, predict the probability of an
output y. Neural Networks. Deep,
Convolutional, Recurrent and Transformers
Generative Seek to model the joint probability of x and y, or
in some cases, the reverse probability. Given an
output y, what is the probability that different x
values are associated with that y?. GANs:
forward/reverse predictions. (deep-fakes)
Supervised
Learning
Unsupervised
Learning
Semi-
supervised
Learning
Finding a Way Forward
โ€ข Improve Human Performance:
AI can generate โ€œsuper-humanโ€
by augmenting our capabilities
โ€ข Science based AI will ensure
adoption in a regulated
environment like pharma.
โ€ข Democratize AI: Bring the user
friendliness of a chat bot into
the game to engage operators
and end users. LLMs can be
made available even for a small
company.
5
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
AIinDrugManufacturingโ€“
TheRegulatorโ€™sView
FDA Discussion Paper
โ€ข FDA has recognized and embraced the potential of advanced
manufacturing and works collaboratively with companies to
support the use of advanced manufacturing
โ€ข FDA understands that AI may play a significant role in monitoring
and controlling advanced manufacturing processes
โ€ข FDA is asking the industry for feedback to be used for future policy
development
โ€ข Questions asked by FDA:
1. What types of AI applications do you envision โ€ฆ?
2. โ€ฆ aspects of the current regulatory framework โ€ฆthat should be considered by
FDA?
3. Would guidance in the area of AI in drug manufacturing be beneficial?
4. What are the necessary elements โ€ฆ to implement AI-based models in CGMPโ€ฆ?
5. What are common practices for validating and maintaining self-learning AI
models โ€ฆ?
6. What are the necessary mechanisms for managing the data used to generate AI
models in pharmaceutical manufacturing?
7. Are there other aspects โ€ฆ?
8. Are there aspects โ€ฆ not covered in this document that FDA should consider?
6
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
https://www.fda.gov/media/165743/download?attachment
AIapplicationsin
pharmaceutical
manufacturing
7
Process monitoring, fault
detection, anomalies and
trend monitoring
Predictive Maintenance,
calibration, validation
Advanced process controls -
Prediction of product
performance and quality.
PAT & Raman on AI models
Batch Release, process
deviation detection and
correction.
AI supported classification
of deviations in QMS
Self documenting CQV
reports for new equipment,
to significantly reduce the
time it takes to deploy new
machinery using generative
AI
Documentation preparation:
Master Batch Records
(MBRs) or population and
data analysis of the Product
Quality Annual Review
AI Co-pilot
SME / operator / expert
support: โ€˜error free
workflowโ€™
Task automation
Digital Tech Transfer.
Process Design and Scale up
with AI-powered Digital
Twins. Virtual
Commissioning
AI Machine Learning Generative AI
https://www.biophorum.com/download/industry-feedback-on-artificial-intelligence-in-drug-manufacturing-fda-discussion-paper/
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Challenges with AI-powered Solutions in Manufacturing
โ€ข Trust - Operators often distrust systems reliant on historical data during novel events. Building
confidence in AI requires change management.
ร  Change Management needed to ease the adoption of chatbot / auto-pilot mode for shop floor
operations.
โ€ข Bias remediation - Lifecycle management, responsible AI practices, audits and continuous
monitoring is needed to avoid any class specific bias (during training, deployment, algorithmic bias,
etc.)
โ€ข Explainability - Ability to explain in understandable terms how and why an AI model makes a certain
prediction or decision.
โ€ข Regulators require transparency into model logic and predictions.
โ€ข Complex AI models like deep neural networks are inherently black boxes.
โ€ข Connected Plant - Data Availability - Collecting large,
high-quality, labelled datasets required to train robust AI models
can be difficult due to proprietary concerns and siloed data.
ร  AI Hierarchy of Needs
8
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
https://hackernoon.com/the-ai-hierarchy-of-needs-18f111fcc007
Challenges with AI-powered Solutions in Manufacturing
โ€ข Validation - Extensive validation is required to prove GMP compliance.
Traditional statistical validation methods may not apply well to
AI systems.
โ€ข Regulatory Uncertainty - Lack of clear regulatory guidelines for
evaluating and certifying AI software creates ambiguity and risk for
manufacturers considering adoption.
ร  Leverage โ€œArtificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML)-Based
Software as a Medical Device (SaMD) Action Planโ€
โ€ข Data privacy (IP protection, cybersecurity). Mainly with the extended
use of Generative AI platforms.
9
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
https://www.fda.gov/media/145022/download
ARealityCheck
Survey 2023:
AI in Biopharmaceutical
Manufacturing
-
How do MES solution
providers adopt AI today?
10
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Survey: AI in Manufacturing
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Is your company investing in developing AI as part of
your products?
Have you released any AI products or features?
Are the AI features fully integrated into the core
software?
11
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Which areas of biopharmaceutical manufacturing will see the
most adoption in the next 3 years?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Advanced process control
Process monitoring, fault detection, anomalies and
trend monitoring
Expert support: โ€˜error free workflowโ€™
Predictive maintenance
Production scheduling
Quality/defect detection
Yield optimization
Other (please specify)
12
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
What are the biggest potential benefits of AI in
biopharmaceutical manufacturing?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Automating complex tasks
Uncovering hidden insights
Increasing production efficiency
Reducing costs
Other (please specify)
13
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
How receptive are your biopharmaceutical clients to adopting
AI-based manufacturing software solutions?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Very receptive
Somewhat receptive
Not very receptive
Not sure
14
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
How important are the following factors in your clients'
decisions to adopt AI? (5 being extremely important)
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
Demonstrated return on investment
Regulatory compliance
Data security
Algorithm transparency (explainability)
Ease of integration with existing systems
15
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Survey: AI in Manufacturing (Observations)
16
1) MES solution providers look beyond the traditional AI solutions and benefits, e.g.
โ€ข Adaptive process control
โ€ข ChatGPT like product to support implementation partners, power users, operators, โ€ฆ
โ€ข Generative AI guided MBR design (Co-Pilot)
โ€ข Conversion of paper(-on-glass) MBRs into MES ready-to-use recipes
โ€ข Automatic text translation
โ€ข Plain text queries on manufacturing data
โ€ข โ€ฆ
2) Access to (the right) data is essential โ€“ the connected factory is a pre-requisite
3) Maturity and readiness is key: process, people and technology must be ready
and mature to adopt Generative AI
โ€ข Regulatory requirements must be fully understood and addressed
โ€ข An assessment based upon the Digital plant maturity model (DPMM) helps to understand and
create the roadmap for digital transformation and AI
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
17
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
2024Survey
AI in Biopharmaceutical
Manufacturing
โ€ข Maturity?
โ€ข Status of Adoption?
โ€ข Benefits of AI?
โ€ข Challenges, concerns &
risks?
โ€ข โ€ฆ Target audience:
โ€ข Industry
โ€ข Solution Providers
โ€ข Consulting & Services Companies
18
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Conclusions โ€ฆ
โ€ข AI-powered solutions have reached the right level of maturity to support
decisions. In many cases, they are the only option to analyze and
evaluate highly complex data sets that are impossible for a human
โ€ข Data Strategy: capturing, integration and management of data assets will
ensure a consistent outcome of the AI models (garbage in / out principle)
โ€ข MES, Automation, OT Architecture are the foundations of the Factory of
the Future, powered by data, AI models and advanced process controls
to reach the vision of a continuous, fully automated and integrated
lights-off manufacturing
โ€ข Start now: understand where you are today, what is your digital maturity
(DPMM assessment) and where you want to go (the Roadmap to the
Factory of the Future)
We love to engage with you and stay connected โ€ฆ
Hernan Vilas Thomas Halfmann
19
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
20
Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
Hernan Thomas

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  • 1. Pharma MES 2023 - Berlin Artificial Intelligence in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects Hernan Vilas Thomas Halfmann v1.1
  • 2. Livinginthe AIHype โ€ข 350 billion words โ€ข 175+ billion parameters โ€ข 100+ million active users โ€ข China now has at least 130 LLMs, accounting for 40% of the global total and just behind the United States' 50% share (Source: Reuters) โ€ข 21. Sep: Microsoft Copilot announced https://blogs.microsoft.com/blog/2023/09/21/announc ing-microsoft-copilot-your-everyday-ai-companion/ 2 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 3. GartnerDataand AnalyticsHype Generative AI is at the peak of inflated expectations 3 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) Hype Cycle for Artificial Intelligence, 2023 Published 19 July 2023 (Gartner, Inc) https://www.gartner.com/en/documents/4543699
  • 4. The Reality of AI 4 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) Training data with input/features x and label/outputs y corresponding to each input. i.e: images of cats and dogs Only input/features x, but not corresponding labels/outputs y. i.e: cluster data thatโ€™s similar. Seek to discover structure in data Might have a subset of data with only inputs x and known label/outputs y. the machine learning task might involve, searching the space, to find some optimum. Reinforcement learning: Alpha-Go example There is a very large variety of machine learning methods and algorithms, and a major challenge for implementing AI products, is to be aware of this range of options and methods, and to match the problem at hand, with the appropriate method. Parametric Non-Parametric Parametric models are what we're most used to, for most engineering and scientific experiences. For example, in fitting a line or curve, to some x data. How models learn from data Model complexity depends on training samples. i.e: decision trees, random forest, SVM Discriminative Given an input x, predict the probability of an output y. Neural Networks. Deep, Convolutional, Recurrent and Transformers Generative Seek to model the joint probability of x and y, or in some cases, the reverse probability. Given an output y, what is the probability that different x values are associated with that y?. GANs: forward/reverse predictions. (deep-fakes) Supervised Learning Unsupervised Learning Semi- supervised Learning
  • 5. Finding a Way Forward โ€ข Improve Human Performance: AI can generate โ€œsuper-humanโ€ by augmenting our capabilities โ€ข Science based AI will ensure adoption in a regulated environment like pharma. โ€ข Democratize AI: Bring the user friendliness of a chat bot into the game to engage operators and end users. LLMs can be made available even for a small company. 5 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 6. AIinDrugManufacturingโ€“ TheRegulatorโ€™sView FDA Discussion Paper โ€ข FDA has recognized and embraced the potential of advanced manufacturing and works collaboratively with companies to support the use of advanced manufacturing โ€ข FDA understands that AI may play a significant role in monitoring and controlling advanced manufacturing processes โ€ข FDA is asking the industry for feedback to be used for future policy development โ€ข Questions asked by FDA: 1. What types of AI applications do you envision โ€ฆ? 2. โ€ฆ aspects of the current regulatory framework โ€ฆthat should be considered by FDA? 3. Would guidance in the area of AI in drug manufacturing be beneficial? 4. What are the necessary elements โ€ฆ to implement AI-based models in CGMPโ€ฆ? 5. What are common practices for validating and maintaining self-learning AI models โ€ฆ? 6. What are the necessary mechanisms for managing the data used to generate AI models in pharmaceutical manufacturing? 7. Are there other aspects โ€ฆ? 8. Are there aspects โ€ฆ not covered in this document that FDA should consider? 6 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) https://www.fda.gov/media/165743/download?attachment
  • 7. AIapplicationsin pharmaceutical manufacturing 7 Process monitoring, fault detection, anomalies and trend monitoring Predictive Maintenance, calibration, validation Advanced process controls - Prediction of product performance and quality. PAT & Raman on AI models Batch Release, process deviation detection and correction. AI supported classification of deviations in QMS Self documenting CQV reports for new equipment, to significantly reduce the time it takes to deploy new machinery using generative AI Documentation preparation: Master Batch Records (MBRs) or population and data analysis of the Product Quality Annual Review AI Co-pilot SME / operator / expert support: โ€˜error free workflowโ€™ Task automation Digital Tech Transfer. Process Design and Scale up with AI-powered Digital Twins. Virtual Commissioning AI Machine Learning Generative AI https://www.biophorum.com/download/industry-feedback-on-artificial-intelligence-in-drug-manufacturing-fda-discussion-paper/ Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 8. Challenges with AI-powered Solutions in Manufacturing โ€ข Trust - Operators often distrust systems reliant on historical data during novel events. Building confidence in AI requires change management. ร  Change Management needed to ease the adoption of chatbot / auto-pilot mode for shop floor operations. โ€ข Bias remediation - Lifecycle management, responsible AI practices, audits and continuous monitoring is needed to avoid any class specific bias (during training, deployment, algorithmic bias, etc.) โ€ข Explainability - Ability to explain in understandable terms how and why an AI model makes a certain prediction or decision. โ€ข Regulators require transparency into model logic and predictions. โ€ข Complex AI models like deep neural networks are inherently black boxes. โ€ข Connected Plant - Data Availability - Collecting large, high-quality, labelled datasets required to train robust AI models can be difficult due to proprietary concerns and siloed data. ร  AI Hierarchy of Needs 8 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) https://hackernoon.com/the-ai-hierarchy-of-needs-18f111fcc007
  • 9. Challenges with AI-powered Solutions in Manufacturing โ€ข Validation - Extensive validation is required to prove GMP compliance. Traditional statistical validation methods may not apply well to AI systems. โ€ข Regulatory Uncertainty - Lack of clear regulatory guidelines for evaluating and certifying AI software creates ambiguity and risk for manufacturers considering adoption. ร  Leverage โ€œArtificial Intelligence/Machine Learning (AI/ML)-Based Software as a Medical Device (SaMD) Action Planโ€ โ€ข Data privacy (IP protection, cybersecurity). Mainly with the extended use of Generative AI platforms. 9 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) https://www.fda.gov/media/145022/download
  • 10. ARealityCheck Survey 2023: AI in Biopharmaceutical Manufacturing - How do MES solution providers adopt AI today? 10 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 11. Survey: AI in Manufacturing 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Is your company investing in developing AI as part of your products? Have you released any AI products or features? Are the AI features fully integrated into the core software? 11 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 12. Which areas of biopharmaceutical manufacturing will see the most adoption in the next 3 years? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Advanced process control Process monitoring, fault detection, anomalies and trend monitoring Expert support: โ€˜error free workflowโ€™ Predictive maintenance Production scheduling Quality/defect detection Yield optimization Other (please specify) 12 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 13. What are the biggest potential benefits of AI in biopharmaceutical manufacturing? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Automating complex tasks Uncovering hidden insights Increasing production efficiency Reducing costs Other (please specify) 13 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 14. How receptive are your biopharmaceutical clients to adopting AI-based manufacturing software solutions? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Very receptive Somewhat receptive Not very receptive Not sure 14 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 15. How important are the following factors in your clients' decisions to adopt AI? (5 being extremely important) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Demonstrated return on investment Regulatory compliance Data security Algorithm transparency (explainability) Ease of integration with existing systems 15 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 16. Survey: AI in Manufacturing (Observations) 16 1) MES solution providers look beyond the traditional AI solutions and benefits, e.g. โ€ข Adaptive process control โ€ข ChatGPT like product to support implementation partners, power users, operators, โ€ฆ โ€ข Generative AI guided MBR design (Co-Pilot) โ€ข Conversion of paper(-on-glass) MBRs into MES ready-to-use recipes โ€ข Automatic text translation โ€ข Plain text queries on manufacturing data โ€ข โ€ฆ 2) Access to (the right) data is essential โ€“ the connected factory is a pre-requisite 3) Maturity and readiness is key: process, people and technology must be ready and mature to adopt Generative AI โ€ข Regulatory requirements must be fully understood and addressed โ€ข An assessment based upon the Digital plant maturity model (DPMM) helps to understand and create the roadmap for digital transformation and AI Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 17. 17 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) 2024Survey AI in Biopharmaceutical Manufacturing โ€ข Maturity? โ€ข Status of Adoption? โ€ข Benefits of AI? โ€ข Challenges, concerns & risks? โ€ข โ€ฆ Target audience: โ€ข Industry โ€ข Solution Providers โ€ข Consulting & Services Companies
  • 18. 18 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) Conclusions โ€ฆ โ€ข AI-powered solutions have reached the right level of maturity to support decisions. In many cases, they are the only option to analyze and evaluate highly complex data sets that are impossible for a human โ€ข Data Strategy: capturing, integration and management of data assets will ensure a consistent outcome of the AI models (garbage in / out principle) โ€ข MES, Automation, OT Architecture are the foundations of the Factory of the Future, powered by data, AI models and advanced process controls to reach the vision of a continuous, fully automated and integrated lights-off manufacturing โ€ข Start now: understand where you are today, what is your digital maturity (DPMM assessment) and where you want to go (the Roadmap to the Factory of the Future)
  • 19. We love to engage with you and stay connected โ€ฆ Hernan Vilas Thomas Halfmann 19 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann)
  • 20. 20 Pharma MES 2023 โ€“ AI in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing: Current Insights and Future Prospects (Vilas & Halfmann) Hernan Thomas