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Climate adoption – Sweden’s
policy and transport
infrastructure
Björn Hasselgren, PhD
Senior Advisor
National Planning Department
Swedish Transport Administration
10 October 2023
2
Swedish Transport Administration
- Manages state owned roads and railroads
- Maintenance, reinvestments and new-investments
- Capacity management and traffic management for state railroads
- Planning of transport infrastructure system – short term -> long term
- Traffic safety, climate adoption, urban planning, regional policy,
housing/infrastructure, IT-communication systems
- Budget 50 bill SEK (ca 4,5 bill EUR)
- Ca 10 000 employed
3
Sweden’s Climate Policy Framework
- National Climate law – structure of climate emission reduction measures
and activities
- National Climate Adaption targets
- General target – 0 emissions 2045
- Transport sector
- 70 % until 2030 compared to 2010
- Government’s Climate Plan – every fourth year
- Climate Policy Council – independent yearly evaluation
- Specific assignments to Government Agencies and Administrations
- The Swedish Transport Administration – general and specific
4
Electrification
of vehicles
Biofuels
Supporting
CO2-reduction
measures
Minor
adjustments to
infrastructure
”The Transport
efficient
society”
CO2-smart
transport
infrastructure
Major
measures
Short term
Long term
Infrastructure
Vehicles,
systems,
planning
Planning, CBA and own activities
- Use of the existing system – and measures to reduce emissions from
transport
- Emissions of CO2e 7 SEK/tonne (ca 0.60 EUR) – included in all CBA
- Construction machinery and equipment
- Construction concrete emission reduction
- Green steel/H2
6
Social cost-curve of measures
2023-10-12
7
Alternative fules
Transport efficiency Electrification
Elektrifierade personbilar (2021-2030)
Elektrifierade tunga lastbilar (2031-2045)
Bränslecellsdrivna tunga lastbilar (2031-2045)
Ammoniak (förbränning) till färjor4 (2030)
Elektrifierade lätta lastbilar (2021-2030) Biometanol till färjor4 (2030)
Bränslecellsdrivna tunga
lastbilar (2021-2030)
Biobränslen för vägfordon (2045)
Biobränslen för flyg (2045)
Synbränslen för flyg (→2045)
Elvägar
Bränslecellsdrivna färjor4 (2030)
Första generationens elflyg (→2030)
Höghastighetsjärnväg RU1 (tidigast 2045)
0 5 10
4 000
15
0
25
7 000
2 000
-1 000
30 35
6 000
5 000
20
8 000
9 000
10 000
3 000
1 000
1 580-
2 370
1 480
>3 000
4 600
170
60
5 100
200
7 600
Social-cost per reduced tCO2e (SEK)
1 820
1 270
1 900
39 500
1 920
-600
>3 000
1 300-2 600
-650
29 500
Utsläppen från vägtrafik beräknas utan
åtgärder uppgå till ~20 Mt1 2045
35
Sjöfartsåtgärder i nationell plan (2040)
Elektrifierade personbilar (2031-2045)
Elektrifierade lätta lastbilar (2031-2045)
Hållbar stadsplanering5 (→2045)
Åtgärder för ett transportsnålt samhälle5 (→2045)
<-10 000
5
2
25
Limited impact
Major impact
Some impact
Transport efficiency Electrification Alternative fuels
78% of potential
16% of potential
6% of potential
Transport Administration primary areas cover ca 2
mton emissions/year (6% of overall emissions)
9
Energy policy and Climate policy revisions are
ongoing
• EU Fit for 55 – adapt national climate reduction targets and
actions to EU-targets and policies
• Electrification of the economy – doubled demand until 2045 and
fossil free production
• Increased focus on cost related to climate adaption actions
• Blending of bio-fuels for road transport vehicles will be drastically
lowered as of Jan 2024
• Other measures have to be implemented – and have been partly
• Government’s updated climate plan is in the making
Thanks!
11

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Session 1_Björn Hasselgren.pdf

  • 1.
  • 2. Climate adoption – Sweden’s policy and transport infrastructure Björn Hasselgren, PhD Senior Advisor National Planning Department Swedish Transport Administration 10 October 2023 2
  • 3. Swedish Transport Administration - Manages state owned roads and railroads - Maintenance, reinvestments and new-investments - Capacity management and traffic management for state railroads - Planning of transport infrastructure system – short term -> long term - Traffic safety, climate adoption, urban planning, regional policy, housing/infrastructure, IT-communication systems - Budget 50 bill SEK (ca 4,5 bill EUR) - Ca 10 000 employed 3
  • 4. Sweden’s Climate Policy Framework - National Climate law – structure of climate emission reduction measures and activities - National Climate Adaption targets - General target – 0 emissions 2045 - Transport sector - 70 % until 2030 compared to 2010 - Government’s Climate Plan – every fourth year - Climate Policy Council – independent yearly evaluation - Specific assignments to Government Agencies and Administrations - The Swedish Transport Administration – general and specific 4
  • 5. Electrification of vehicles Biofuels Supporting CO2-reduction measures Minor adjustments to infrastructure ”The Transport efficient society” CO2-smart transport infrastructure Major measures Short term Long term Infrastructure Vehicles, systems, planning
  • 6. Planning, CBA and own activities - Use of the existing system – and measures to reduce emissions from transport - Emissions of CO2e 7 SEK/tonne (ca 0.60 EUR) – included in all CBA - Construction machinery and equipment - Construction concrete emission reduction - Green steel/H2 6
  • 7. Social cost-curve of measures 2023-10-12 7 Alternative fules Transport efficiency Electrification Elektrifierade personbilar (2021-2030) Elektrifierade tunga lastbilar (2031-2045) Bränslecellsdrivna tunga lastbilar (2031-2045) Ammoniak (förbränning) till färjor4 (2030) Elektrifierade lätta lastbilar (2021-2030) Biometanol till färjor4 (2030) Bränslecellsdrivna tunga lastbilar (2021-2030) Biobränslen för vägfordon (2045) Biobränslen för flyg (2045) Synbränslen för flyg (→2045) Elvägar Bränslecellsdrivna färjor4 (2030) Första generationens elflyg (→2030) Höghastighetsjärnväg RU1 (tidigast 2045) 0 5 10 4 000 15 0 25 7 000 2 000 -1 000 30 35 6 000 5 000 20 8 000 9 000 10 000 3 000 1 000 1 580- 2 370 1 480 >3 000 4 600 170 60 5 100 200 7 600 Social-cost per reduced tCO2e (SEK) 1 820 1 270 1 900 39 500 1 920 -600 >3 000 1 300-2 600 -650 29 500 Utsläppen från vägtrafik beräknas utan åtgärder uppgå till ~20 Mt1 2045 35 Sjöfartsåtgärder i nationell plan (2040) Elektrifierade personbilar (2031-2045) Elektrifierade lätta lastbilar (2031-2045) Hållbar stadsplanering5 (→2045) Åtgärder för ett transportsnålt samhälle5 (→2045) <-10 000
  • 8. 5 2 25 Limited impact Major impact Some impact Transport efficiency Electrification Alternative fuels 78% of potential 16% of potential 6% of potential Transport Administration primary areas cover ca 2 mton emissions/year (6% of overall emissions)
  • 9. 9
  • 10. Energy policy and Climate policy revisions are ongoing • EU Fit for 55 – adapt national climate reduction targets and actions to EU-targets and policies • Electrification of the economy – doubled demand until 2045 and fossil free production • Increased focus on cost related to climate adaption actions • Blending of bio-fuels for road transport vehicles will be drastically lowered as of Jan 2024 • Other measures have to be implemented – and have been partly • Government’s updated climate plan is in the making