Comparative Analysis between India and China based on Imports of Goods and Services(% of GDP), Urban Population(% of Total Population), Gross National Expenditure(% of GDP) and Pre vs Post Globaliazation of India based on Inflation.pdf
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Comparative Analysis between India and China based on Imports of Goods and Services(% of GDP), Urban Population(% of Total Population), Gross National Expenditure(% of GDP) and Pre vs Post Globaliazation of India based on Inflation.pdf
1. Comparative Analysis between
India and China,
Pre vs Post Globalization of India
Project Report submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements
of the degree of
Bachelor of Business Administration
by
Nirupama Maharana
Registration No. 200409120038
Arpita Sardar
Registration No. 200409120031
Manpreet Nayak
Registration No. 200409120061
Mariam Magdale Kerketta
Registration No. 200409120036
Under the supervision of
DR. SISIR RANJAN DASH
MA, MBA, UGC–NET, Ph. D
Assistant Professor, School of Management,
Centurion University of Technology & Management, Bhubaneswar, Odisha, India
SCHOOL OF MANAGMENT
CENTURION UNIVERSITY OF
TECHNOLOGY & MANAGEMENT
BHUBANESWAR, ODISHA, INDIA
2022
2. Table of Contents
1. Introduction........................................................................................................3
2. Review of Literature..........................................................................................3
2.1 Imports of Goods and Services:.................................................................. 3
2.2 Urban Population (% of Total Population):................................................. 4
2.3 Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP):....................................................5
2.4 Inflation, Consumer Price (annual %):.........................................................5
3. Research Design................................................................................................ 6
4. Analysis and Findings....................................................................................... 6
4.1 Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP) of India and China..............7
4.2 Urban Population (% of Total Population)................................................9
4.3 Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP)................................................11
4.4 Inflation, consumer Price (annual %)......................................................13
5. Managerial Implications..................................................................................15
Bibliography........................................................................................................ 15
Appendix I........................................................................................................... 16
Appendix II..........................................................................................................16
Appendix III.........................................................................................................17
Appendix IV........................................................................................................ 17
3. 1. Introduction
India and China are the two most populous countries in the world. China and India
together account for about 36% of total world population and 67% of Asia population. China
and India are both urbanizing rapidly, but China has embraced and shaped the process, while
India is still waking up to its urban realities and opportunities. Never before in history have
two of the largest nations (in terms of population) urbanized at the same time, and at such a
pace. This process will drive fundamental shifts in both countries which will have significant
consequences for the world economy as well as on countries Gross National Expenditure,
Imports, Inflation etc. and offer exciting new opportunities for investors. Here, in this report
we have studied detailed analysis of comparison between India and China on the basis of 3
indicators and a comparison between (1961-1990) & (1991-2020) India on the basis of 1
indicator. All the 4 indicators based on which this report is made are:
1.1 Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP)
1.2 Urban Population (% of Total Population)
1.3 Gross National Expenditure (GNE), (% of GDP)
1.4 Inflation, Consumer Price (annual %)
2. Review of Literature
India and China are the two emerging economies in the world. As of 2021, China and
India are the 2nd and 5th largest economies in the world, respectively, on a nominal basis. On
a PPP basis, China is at 1st, and India is at 3rd place. Both countries share 21% and 26% of
the total global wealth in nominal and PPP terms, respectively. Among Asian countries,
China and India together contribute more than half of Asia's GDP.
2.1 Imports of Goods and Services: Imports are the goods and services that are purchased
from the rest of the world by a country’s residents, rather than buying domestically produced
items. Imports lead to an outflow of funds from the country since import transactions involve
payments to sellers residing in another country. Imports of goods and services represent the
value of all goods and other market services received from the rest of the world. They include
the value of merchandise, freight, insurance, transport, travel, royalties, license fees, and
other services, such as communication, construction, financial, information, business,
4. personal, and government services. They exclude compensation of employees and investment
income (formerly called factor services) and transfer payments.
2.1.1 Imports of Goods and Services of India: India is number 12 in total imports in the
whole world .The top imports of India are Crude Petroleum ($59B), Gold($21.9B),
Coal Briquettes ($20.9B), Diamonds ($15.8B), and Petroleum Gas ($13.8B),
importing mostly from China ($64.2B), United States ($26.6B), United Arab
Emirates ($22.1B), Saudi Arabia ($16.8B), and Iraq ($14.4B).
2.1.2 Imports of Goods and Services of China: China is the number 2 in total imports in the
whole world. The top imports of China are Crude Petroleum ($150B), Integrated
Circuits ($144B), Iron Ore ($99B), Cars ($42B), and Soybeans ($37.4B), importing
mostly from Japan ($133B), South Korea ($131B), United
States ($122B), Germany ($106B), and Chinese Taipei ($104B).
2.2 Urban Population (% of Total Population): Among the BRIC countries especially
China and India are always a topic of interest for researchers, investors and policy
makers. For the past few decades these two countries among the BRIC nations show
rapid development and have huge potential to develop in the future. By 2025, nearly
2.5 billion Asians will live in cities, accounting for almost 54 percent of the world’s
urban population. India and China alone will account for more than 62 percent of Asian
urban population growth and 40 percent of Asian urban population growth from 2005
to 2025. The Asia Pacific Housing Journal published a core idea they tried to illustrate
though is that even through the previous fact might be true, India has the ability to gain
a lot more in terms of their urban demographic due to the fact that China is aging at a
fast rate. The article stresses that two major countries have never urbanized at the same
time as much as they are now.
2.2.1 Urban Population of India: In 1950, India was a more urban nation than China 17
percent of the population lived in cities. India to add 215 million to its cities, whose
populations will account for 38 percent of the total in 2025.
2.2.2 Urban Population of China: From 1950 to 2005, China urbanized far more rapidly
5. than India, to an urbanization rate of 41 percent, Global Institute expects this
pattern to continue, with China forecast to add 400 million to its urban population,
which will account for 64 percent of the total population by 2025.
The Asia Pacific Housing Journal published an article entitled “Comparing
China and India’s urbanization”. The article looked a recent McKinsey Quarterly
report on China and India’s urbanization and expanded on the ideas were presented.
The author states that China has started to embrace urbanization and are more
efficient at doing so compare to India who on the other hand, is just realizing the
grand opportunity that awaits.
2.3 Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP): Gross national expenditure (formerly
domestic absorption) is the sum of household final consumption expenditure (formerly
private consumption), general government final consumption expenditure (formerly
general government consumption), and gross capital formation (formerly gross
domestic investment).
2.3.1 Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP) of India: Gross national expenditure (%
of GDP) in India was 102.38 as of 2019. Its highest value over the past 59 years was
111.77 in 1966, while its lowest value was 99.86 in 2016.
2.3.2 Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP) of China: Gross national expenditure (% of
GDP) in China was 99.27 as of 2019. Its highest value over the past 59 years was
104.13 in 1985, while its lowest value was 91.47 in 2007.
2.4 Inflation, Consumer Price (annual %): Inflation is the rate of increase in prices over
a given period of time. Inflation is typically a broad measure, such as the overall
increase in prices or the increase in the cost of living in a country. But it can also be
more narrowly calculated for certain goods, such as food, or for services, such as a
haircut, for example. Whatever the context, inflation represents how much more
expensive the relevant set of goods and/or services has become over a certain period,
most commonly a year.
2.4.1 Inflation in India (1961- 1990): The inflation rate accelerated steadily from an
6. annual average of 1.7% during the 1950s to 6.4 % during the 1960s and further to
9.0 % in the 1970s before easing marginally to 8.0 % in the 1980s. India had
generally not experienced runaway inflation. On the other hand, the volatility in the
inflation rate, as measured by the coefficient of variation, which was fairly high in
the 1950s at 4.4, moved in a narrow band of 0.4–1.0 in the subsequent decades,
thus reducing the inflation-risk premium. The pickup in inflation rate from 1970s
onwards reflected the impact of a sharp rise in money supply growth and also partly
supply shocks from crude oil prices and crop failures. Demand pressures,
emanating partly from the widening fiscal imbalances, also contributed to
inflationary pressures in the 1980s.
2.4.2 Inflation in India (1991-2020): There is a declining trend in inflation since 1990 in
India. Inflation in India has declined steadily from an average of 10.3 % between
1990–1994, to 8.9 % during 1995–1999 and to 4.3 % in this decade. Since 1990,
India has experienced average growth rates of around 6% per annum.
3. Research Design
i. Objective: The research has been done to make a comparative analysis between India
and China based on indicators I.e., Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP), Urban
Population (% of Total Population), Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP). And a
comparative analysis between Pre and Post Globalization of India on the basis of
Consumer price inflation (annual %).
ii. Time Period: For the research purpose data has collected from 1961 - 2020.
iii. Source: All the data collected are secondary and the source is World bank.
iv. Tools: We have used mean, median, mode, standard error, variance, standard
deviation, skewness, kurtosis, range etc. for our research.
v. Hypothesis Testing: We have used t-Test: Paired two sample for means for
hypothesis testing at a significance level of 0.05.
4. Analysis and Findings
7. 4.1 Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP) of India and China
Fig. 4.1.1 Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP) of India and China
Source: World Bank
Table 4.1.1: Descriptive statistics of Imports of Goods & Services of
India and China
India China
Mean 12.84 13.02
Standard Error 1.06 1.05
Median 8.91 13.67
Mode #N/A # N/A
Standard Deviation 8.18 8.15
Sample Variance 66.96 66.41
Kurtosis -0.61 -1.14
Skewness 0.87 0.21
Range 27.55 26.31
Minimum 3.71 2.13
Maximum 31.26 28.44
Sum 770.51 781.14
Count 60 60
Confidence Level (95. %) 2.11 2.11
8. To perform t-Test we have taken the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis as
H0 : There is no significance difference in Imports of Goods & Service( % of GDP) of India
and China.
H1 - There is a significance difference in Import of Goods & Service (% of GDP) of India and
China.
Table 4.1.2 t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means
(Imports of Goods and Services (% of GDP)
India China
Mean 12.84 13.02
Variance 66.96 66.41
Observations 60 60
Pearson Correlation 0.86
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
Degrees of Freedom 59
t stat -0.32
P( T<=t ) one-tail 0.38
t critical one- tail 1.67
P ( T<=t ) two tail 0.75
t critical two-tail 2.00
Fig 4.1.2 t- test: Paired Two sample for Means (Imports of Goods and services % of GDP of
India and China)
Since, the calculated value of t (- 0.32) is lying in the acceptance region ( -2.00, 2.00) we
have to accept the null hypothesis that there is no significance difference in Imports of Goods
& Service (% of GDP) of India and China.
9. 4.2 Urban Population (% of Total Population)
Fig 4.2.1 Urban Population (% of Total Population) of India and China
Source: World Bank
Table 4.2.1 : Descriptive statistics Urban Population ( % of Total Population )
of India and China
India China
Mean 25.67 31.56
Standard Error 0.63 1.86
Median 25.66 26.88
Mode #N/A 17.4
Standard Deviation 4.84 14.43
Sample Variance 23.44 208.28
Kurtosis -1.02 -0.92
Skewness 0.13 0.68
Range 16.89 44.72
Minimum 18.03 16.71
Maximum 34.93 61.43
Sum 1540.36 1893.46
Count 60 60
Confidence Level (95. %) 1.25 3.73
10. To perform t-Test we have taken the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis as
H0 : There is no significance difference in Urban population ( % of Total population) of India
and China.
H1 - There is a significance difference in Urban population (% of Total population) of India
and China.
Table 4.2.2 t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means
(Urban Population (% of total Population)
India China
Mean 25.67 31.56
Variance 23.44 208.28
Observations 60 60
Pearson Correlation 0.96
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
Degrees of Freedom 59
t stat -4.62
P( T<=t ) one-tail 0.00001
t critical one- tail 1.67
P ( T<=t ) two tail 0.00002
t critical two-tail 2.00
Fig 4.2.2 t- Test: Paired Two Sample for Means (Urban Population 5 of Total Population of
India and China
Since, the calculated value of t (- 4.62) is not lying in the acceptance region ( -2.00, 2.00) we
have to reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis that there is a
significance difference in Urban population (% of Total population) of India and China.
11. 4.3 Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP)
Fig 4.3.1 Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP) of India and China
Source: World Bank
Table 4.3.1: Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP)
of India and China
India China
Mean 105.10 97.76
Standard Error 0.36 0.33
Median 105.59 97.62
Mode #N/A #N/A
Standard Deviation 2.78 2.55
Sample Variance 7.72 6.51
Kurtosis -0.69 0.72
Skewness 0.009 0.097
Range 11.99 12.66
Minimum 99.78 91.48
Maximum 111.77 104.13
Sum 6305.94 5865.76
Count 60 60
Confidence Level (95. %) 0.72 0.66
12. To perform t-Test we have taken the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis as
H0: There is no significance difference in Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP) of India
and China.
H1 - There is a significance difference in Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP) of India
and China.
Table 4.3.2 t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means
(Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP)
India China
Mean 105.10 97.76
Variance 7.72 6.51
Observations 60 60
Pearson Correlation -0.012
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
Degrees of Freedom 59
t stat 14.97
P( T<=t ) one-tail 0.00
t critical one- tail 1.67
P ( T<=t ) two tail 0.00
t critical two-tail 2.00
Fig 4.3.2 t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means (Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP) of
India and China
Since, the calculated value of t (14.97) is not lying in the acceptance region ( -2.00, 2.00) we
have to reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis that is There is a
significance difference in Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP) of India and China.
13. 4.4 Inflation, consumer Price (annual %)
Fig 4.4.1 Inflation, Consumer Price (annual %) of India
Source - World Bank
Table 4.4.1: Inflation, Consumer price
(% annual) of India
(1961-1990) (1991-2020)
Mean 7.80 7.24
Standard Error 1.14 0.59
Median 8.10 6.50
Mode #N/A #N/A
Standard Deviation 6.24 3.24
Sample Variance 38.93 10.49
Kurtosis 4.02 -1.00
Skewness 0.81 0.53
Range 36.23 10.54
Minimum -7.63 3.33
Maximum 28.60 13.87
Sum 234.05 217.15
Count 30 30
Confidence Level (95. %) 2.33 1.21
14. To perform t-Test we have taken the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis as
H0: There is no significance Inflation, Consumer Price (Annual %) of India (1961-1990) nd
India (1991-2020).
H1 - There is a significance difference in Inflation, Consumer Price (Annual %) of India
(1961-1990) and India (1991-2020).
Table 4.4.2 t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means
Inflation, Consumer price (% annual) of India
(1961-1990) (1991-2020)
Mean 7.80 7.24
Variance 38.93 10.49
Observations 30 30
Pearson Correlation -0.09
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
Degrees of Freedom 29
t stat 0.42
P( T<=t ) one-tail 0.34
t critical one- tail 1.70
P ( T<=t ) two tail 0.68
t critical two-tail 2.05
Fig 4.4.2 t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means Inflation, Consumer price (% annual) of
India (1961 - 1990 and 1991-2020)
Since, the calculated value of t (0.42) is lying in the acceptance region (- 2.05, 2.05) we have
to accept the null hypothesis that There is no significance Inflation, Consumer Price
(Annual %) of India (1961-1990) and India (1991-2020).
15. 5. Managerial Implications
While doing this project we have reached at the conclusion that in case of Imports of
Goods and Services (% of GDP) and Inflation, Consumer Price (% annual) there is no
significance difference between India and China at a significance level of 0.05, while in case
of Urban Population (% of Total Population) and Gross National Expenditure (% of GDP)
there is a significance difference between India and China at a significance level of 0.05.
Bibliography
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