SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 307
Biniam Zewdie G/Kidan *
•Haramaya Institute of University
P.O.Box:138; Dire Dawa, Ethiopia
•Mobile: +251910408218/+25191582832
•E-mail: nzg2001nzg@gmail.com/zewdienico@gmail.com
Be the user of information not the owner!!!!!
Project – a [temporary] sequence of unique, complex,
and connected activities having one goal or purpose
and that must be completed by specific time, within
budget, and according to specification.
Project management – the process of scoping,
planning, staffing, organizing, directing, and
controlling the development of an acceptable system at
a minimum cost within a specified time frame.
Process management – the activity of documenting,
managing, and continually improving the process of
systems development.
 Any project involves planning, scheduling and controlling a
number of interrelated activities with use of limited resources,
namely, men, machines, materials, money and time.
 A project is a temporary endeavour undertaken to
create a unique product or service.
It is
performed by people
constrained by limited resources
planned, executed and controlled
 It is required that managers must have a dynamic planning
and scheduling system to produce the best possible results and
also to react immediately to the changing conditions and make
necessary changes in the plan and schedule.
 A project has a definite beginning and definite end
 The duration of a project is finite
 The opportunity or market window is usually temporary,
most projects have a limited time frame in which to produce
the product or service
 The project team - as a team - seldom outlives the project.
 Most projects are performed by a team created for the sole
purpose of performing the project
 Projects involve doing something that has not been
done before in the same environment
 The project may require some innovation to be
completed
Temporary
Unique result
“A project is a temporary effort undertaken
to create a "unique" product or service”
Plan your work first…..then work your plan
Characteristic of a project
Projects differ in size, scope, cost and time, but all have the
following characteristics:
 solves a real and existing problem, has well-defined start and end points.
 A life cycle involving a series of phases in between the beginning and end
 A budget, Specific goals and conditions, Defined responsibilities
 A set of activities which are sequential, unique and non-repetitive
 Use of resources which may require coordinating
 Unique: All projects are unique in themselves, no two projects are exactly
similar.
 Defined roles and relationships for participants in the project
 Fixed set of objectives: A project has a set of objectives or a mission. Once
the objectives are achieved the project is treated as completed.
 Tenure: Project is never a continuous activity, it has to come to an end. Its life
span is fixed.
 Team work: : Project is a team work and it normally consists of diverse areas.
It needs a team to accomplish various activities.
Don’t let the things happen in their own way………..
Report right thing at right time to the right person!!!
DON’T JUST WRITE FOR FILES
Projects range
Projects range in size, scope, cost and time from mega
international projects costing millions of dollars over
many years - to small domestic projects with a low budget
taking just a few hours. It means that the project may
different in
Size
Scope
Cost and Time
Take an example of very large project which used for
different purpose, need high budget, takes long time to
complete and small project used for single purpose, need
low budget, and takes few hours to complete.
 The art of organising, leading, reporting and
completing a project through people
1.1. What is Project Management?
 Write down
three
attributes of
a good
Project
Manager
Exercise 1
Key Points in Project Set-up and Definition
Create Project Management Plan (PMP)
Be clear of scope and objectives
Establish clear statement of what is to be done (WBS)
Establish Risks to be Managed
Establish Costs and Durations
Establish Resources Required
“A Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) is a hierarchical
(from general to specific) tree structure of
deliverables and tasks that need to be performed to
complete a project.”
Work break down structure(WBS)
• Work: specific activity, function, duty, or assignment
accomplished by effort, effort or exercise of skill.
• Breakdown: to divide into parts, to separate into
simpler substances, to undergo decomposition
• Structure: something arranged in a definite pattern of
an organization
“A Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) is a hierarchical
(from general to specific) tree structure of
deliverables and tasks that need to be performed to
complete a project.”
 A diagram which breaks down the overall project
into smaller chunks
 This process is called “decomposition”
PM –Key Relationships
Project management generally consists of three phases.
Planning:
Planning involves setting the objectives of the project. Identifying various
activities to be performed and determining the requirement of resources such as
men, materials, machines, etc.
The cost and time for all the activities are estimated, and a network diagram is
developed showing sequential interrelationships (predecessor and successor)
between various activities during the planning stage.
Scheduling:
Based on the time estimates, the start and finish times for each activity
are worked out by applying forward and backward pass techniques, critical path
is identified, along with the slack and float for the non-critical paths.
Controlling:
Controlling refers to analyzing and evaluating the actual progress
against the plan. Reallocation of resources, crashing and review of projects with
periodical reports are carried out.
Eight functions performed by every project manager:
• Scoping – setting the boundaries of the project
• Planning – identifying the tasks required to complete
the project
• Estimating – identifying the resources required to
complete the project
• Scheduling – developing the plan to complete the
project
• Organizing – making sure members understand their
roles and responsibilities
• Directing – coordinating the project
• Controlling – monitoring progress
• Closing – assessing success and failure
 A Good Project Manager
– Takes ownership of the whole project
– Is proactive not reactive
– Adequately plans the project
– Is Authoritative (NOT Authoritarian)
– Is Decisive
– Is a Good Communicator
– Manages by data and facts not uniformed optimism
– Leads by example
– Has sound Judgement
– Is a Motivator
– Is Diplomatic
– Can Delegate
 Interpersonal
– Figurehead
– Leader
– Liaison
 Informational Roles
– Monitor
– Disseminator
– Spokesperson
 Decisional Roles
– Entrepreneur
– Resource Allocator
– Disturbance Allocator
– Negotiator
Managerial Roles
 Effective project managers provide leadership by
example
 A leader focuses on long-term goals and big-picture
objectives while inspiring people to reach those
goals
 A manager deals with the day-to-day details of
meeting specific goals
 Project managers often take on the role of both
leader and manager
“Managers do things right, leaders do the right thing”
“Leaders determine the vision, managers achieve the
vision”
Leadership Skills
Matrix organization: It is a popular choice of
management professionals.
Matrix organization exists where there is multiple
managerial accountability and responsibility for a job
function.
There are usually two chains of command: horizontal
and vertical.
 The vertical line deals with the functional line
responsibility.
 while the horizontal line deals with the project line
of responsibility.
The project manager has total responsibility and
accountability for the project success.
Measures of Project Success
– The resulting information system is
acceptable to the customer.
– The system was delivered “on time” and
“within budget.”
– The system development process had a
minimal impact on ongoing business
operations.
Failure to establish upper-management commitment
to the project
 Lack of organization’s commitment to the system development
methodology
 Taking shortcuts through or around the system development
methodology
Poor expectations management
 Premature commitment to a fixed budget and schedule
Poor estimating techniques
Over optimism
The mythical man-month
Inadequate people management skills
Failure to adapt to business change
Insufficient resources
Failure to “manage to the plan”
Causes of Project Failure
• Poor expectations management (unlikely in a
final year project)
– Scope creep – the unexpected and gradual growth
of requirements during the project.
– Feature creep – the uncontrolled addition of
technical features to a system.
• Premature commitment to a fixed budget and
schedule
Causes of Project Failure
“Project risk is an uncertain event or
condition that, if it occurs, has a positive
or negative effect on a project objective”
Threat → Scope → Poor Quality Product
Threat → Schedule → Late Delivery
Threat → Cost → Overspend
Risk Impact
Scope creep – the unexpected and gradual growth
of requirements during an information systems
project.
Feature creep– the uncontrolled addition of
technical features to a system.
Poor Expectations Management
1.2.
1.3.
Project Management Process
Project planning + Project scheduling + Project control
•Project team
–made up of individuals from various areas and departments within a company
•Matrix organization
–a team structure with members from functional areas, depending on skills
required
•Project Manager
–most important member of project team
•Scope statement
–a document that provides an understanding, justification, and expected result of
a project
•Statement of work
–written description of objectives of a project
•Organizational Breakdown Structure
–a chart that shows which organizational units are responsible for work items
•Responsibility Assignment Matrix
–shows who is responsible for work in a project
1.4.
What is Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E)?
• Monitoring is the collection and analysis of
information about a project or programme,
undertaken while the project/programme is
ongoing.
• Evaluation is the periodic, retrospective
assessment of an organization, project or
programme that might be conducted internally or
by external independent evaluators.
Item Monitoring Evaluation
Frequency routine, regularly scheduled episodic
Primary Objective tracking / oversight assessment
Purpose improve efficiency
mid-course corrections to
workplan
improve effectiveness, impact,
future programming
Focus Conformity/fidelity to program
guidelines, process indicators,
quarterly and annual goals,
workplans
effectiveness, impact, cost-
effectiveness, relevance
Data Sources routine surveillance systems,
field observation, progress
reports
same, plus surveys, special studies
Conducted by TB Focal Person and TBCO TBCO, BNTP supervisors, MOH,
external evaluators
Reporting to TBCO, District PHS, Matron,
BNTP, MOH, community
District PHS, Matron, BNTP, funders
(e.g., Global Fund), other policy-
makers
What is monitoring & evaluation?
• Monitoring is the routine collection and analysis of
information to track progress against set plans and
check compliance to established standards. It helps
identify trends and patterns, adapt strategies and
inform decisions for project/programme management
• Evaluations involve identifying and reflecting upon
the effects of what has been done, and judging their
worth. Their findings allow project/programme
managers, beneficiaries, partners, donors and other
project/programme stakeholders to learn from the
experience and improve future interventions.
Why is M & E important?
A well-functioning M&E system is a critical part of good
project/programme management and accountability. Timely
and reliable M&E provides information to:
• Support project/programme implementation with
accurate, evidence based reporting that informs
management and decision-making to guide and
improve project/programme performance.
• Contribute to organizational learning and
knowledge sharing by reflecting upon and sharing
experiences and lessons so that we can gain the
full benefit from what we do and how we do it.
Many of you will know the story of the crow and the pitcher. A crow was very thirsty one day and
he came across a pitcher with a little water in it. But he could not stick his head far enough into
the pitcher to reach the water. Being clever, he began dropping pebbles into the pitcher, which
eventually brought the water to the top of the pitcher.
Ask the following questions and solicit responses:
• In this story, what is the crow’s objective? (To eliminate his thirst.)
• What is the activity? (dropping pebbles)
• What are the inputs? (pebbles, crow, pitcher)
• What are the outputs? (number of pebbles dropped)
• What are the outcomes? (Short: water level rose; medium: crow able to drink; long: crow
satisfied.)
The Steps in Managing a Project
1.5. Project Planning
Planning is a general term that sets a clear road
map that should be followed to reach a destination.
1.5. Project Planning
Ch. 2: Project Scheduling
Planning, Scheduling, and
Control
Project Scheduling and Control Techniques
 Project planning is part of project management,
which relates to the use of schedules such as Gantt
charts to plan and subsequently report progress within
the project environment.
 project management is a systematic management or
balancing of scope, cost, time or schedule and quality.
 A Gantt chart is a horizontal bar chart developed as a
production control tool in 1917 by Henry L. Gantt, an
American engineer and social scientist
•131
132
WHY SCHEDUALE PROJECTS ?
1- To calculate the project completion.
2- To calculate the start or end of a specific activity.
3-To expose and adjust conflict between trades or
subcontractor.
4- To serve as an effective project control tool
5- To improve work efficiency.
6- To resolve delay claims , this is important in critical
path method ‘CPM’ discussed later..
7- To predict and calculate the cash flow .
8-To evaluate the effect of changing orders ‘CH’ .
ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT
Network scheduling
Project scheduling tools
I. Gantt chart
II.Critical Path Method (CPM)
III.Program Evaluation & Review Technique (PERT)
•133
Project Time Management
It is Concerned with developing a
realistic schedule and controlling
changes to the schedule.
134
1.Bar/gantt Charts
☂ it is a bar chart and named after its innovator Henry
Gantt.
☂This chart gives clear calendar schedule for the whole
project.
☂In Gantt chart, the start and completion time of activity
will be represented.
☂This chart also useful for resource leveling purpose
when there are limitations on the available resources
(man power, m/cs, materials…etc. designed the bar-
chart as a visual aid for planning and controlling his
projects. •135
Con’t…
Bar –chart is designed for a visual aid for planning and
controlling his projects.
This helps to travel the resources requirements
smoothly through the project execution.
•136
J F M A M J J
Time Period
Activity
Design
Build
Test
J F M A M J J
Time Period
Activity
Design
Build
Test
Bar chart cont.….
☂The beginning and the end of each bar represent the
time of start and the time of finish of that activity.
☂Once the project has started, the Gantt chart can
further be used as a tool for project control.
•137
Bar chart cont.….
☂ second line under the planned schedule is
drawn to indicate activity progress.
•138
Example on house construction
 =
•139
Example on bar or milestone chart
# Activity Predecessor Duration
(Month)
1 Design house and obtain
financing
------- 3
2 Lay foundation 1 2
3 Order and receive materials 1 1
4 Build house 3 3
5 Select paint 3 1
6 Select carpet 5 1
7 Finishing work 4 1
•140
| | | | |
Activity
Design house
and obtain
financing
Lay foundation
Order and
receive
materials
Build house
Select paint
Select carpet
Finish work
0 2 4 6 8 10
Month
Months
1 3 5 7 9
Example of Gantt/bar/milestone Chart
•141
Example 3.
Draw Gantt chart and find project comptetion time
Activity immediate predecessor Duration(month)
A ................ 5
B ................. 2
C A 3
D C 4
E C 2
F B 4
G D 7
H E,F 6
Solution=completion time =19months
Exercise
Draw Gantt chart and find project completion
time.
•144
Activity Predecessor Duration
(month)
A --- 2
B A,D 1
C D 6
D ----- 5
E B,C 4
F C 2
Network Diagram
For a project plan to be effective it must equally address the
parameters of activity time and network logic.
As project becomes larger and more complex, the Gantt chart
was found to be lacking as a planning and control tool, because
it could not indicate the logical relationships between activities.
A network is a flow diagram consisting of activities and
events, connected logically and sequentially. In the network
diagram, an activity is represented by arrows while events are
represented, usually, by circles.
Some of the advantages of network diagram or arrow
diagram are:
 It clearly shows the inter-relationship between
events.
The project is seen as integrated whole, thus making it
easier for control.
It can be used even for highly complicated
projects consisting of a large number of activities.
 It directly indicates the time required in between two
activities.
Network Scheduling
The most common network scheduling methods are:
☂ Critical Path Method (CPM) and
☂ Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT).
They were developed to overcome the shortcoming of
the gant chart method
•147
PERT Chart
Example of network diagram
Project Network
 The arcs of the network represent the activities.
 The nodes of the network represent the start and the
end of the activities.
 A critical path for the network is a path consisting of
activities with zero slack. And it is always the longest
path in the project network.
•180
Cont.
 A node (an event), denoted by a circle, marks the start
and completion of an activity, which contain a
number that helps to identify its location. For example
activity A can be drawn as:
 This means activity A starts at node 1 and finishes at node 2
and it will takes three days
•181
Network Diagram
For a project plan to be effective it must equally address the
parameters of activity time and network logic.
Logical relation required
For bar chart’s shortcoming
For complex projects
•182
Terminologies
☂Activity
 task or set of tasks
 use resources and time
☂ Event
 state resulting from completion of one or more
activities
 consume no resources or time
 predecessor activities must be complete
☂Path
 Series of connected activities between two events
•183
A
k
 An arrow representing an activity “A” whose
estimated duration is “k” unit of time.
 An arrow
is commonly used to represent an activity with its head
indicating the direction of progress in the project.
•184
TYPES OF ACTIVITIES
☂Predecessor activity:
Activities that must be completed immediately prior to
the start of another activity
☂Successor activity:
Activities that cannot be started until one or more of
other activities are completed, but immediately succeed
them
Concurrent activities:
Activities that can be accomplished concurrently
•185
Cont..
An event can be further classified into the following categories:
Merge event: When more than one activity come and join
an event, such event is known as merge event.
Burst event: When more than one activity leave an event,
such event is known as a burst event.
Merge and burst event: An activity may be a merge and
burst event at the same time as with respect to some
activities it can be a merge event and with respect to some
other activities it may be a burst event.
•186
•187
Activity relations
☂Lag and lead times
☂Finish to finish
☂Finish to start
☂Start to finish
☂Start to start
•188
 Critical Path
 set of activities on a path that if delayed will delay
completion of project
 Critical Time
 time required to complete all activities on the critical
path
•189
Building the Network
•190
 Define activities from WBS work packages
 Estimate duration and resources for each activity
 Define precedence relationships between activities
 Network Representation Schemes
 AON Network [Activity-on-Node]
 AOA Network [ Activity-on- Arrow]
AOA Network [ Activity-on- Arrow]
•191
 Historically most popular
 Nodes represent start and finish events for each activity
 Arrows can only come from/go to single node
 Only one arrow between two given nodes
Start of
activity
End of
activity
Event Event
Activity
2.6. Common Errors in Drawing Networks
 Three types of errors are most commonly observed
 Dangling: To disconnect an activity before the
completion of all activities in a network diagram is
known as dangling.
•192
 Looping (or Cycling): Looping errors is also known as
cycling errors in a network diagram.
 Drawing an endless loop in a network is known as an
error of looping as shown in the following figure.
•193
 Redundancy: Unnecessarily inserting the dummy activity in a
network diagram is known as the error of redundancy as shown
in the following diagram.
•194
Dummy Activities
•195
 A dummy activity is used to illustrate precedence
relationships in AOA networks.
 It serves only as a “connector,” however, it is not a “real”
activity and represents neither work nor time.
A dummy
Activity
Activity Predecess
or
A -
B -
C -
D A,B
E B,C
A
B
C
D
E
Cont.
•196
Rules to draw network
1. In a network diagram each event is represented by a
node and activity which is connected by an arrow.
2. Number of events should be in increasing order.
3. The activities emerging from the start should have no
predessors activity and the last event has no successor
activity.
4. A network diagram cannot have more than one
starting node and ending node.
5. There should not be a loop in a diagram as shown
below
2 4
3
1
cont....
6. An event cannot occur or an activity cannot start
unless all its preceding events or activities are
compeleted.
EXAMPLES 1.
Find critical path and project completion time.
•199
Example on AoN Diagram
=
•200
Activity Predecessor Duration[days]
a -- 5
b -- 4
c a 3
d a 4
e a 6
f b, c 4
g d 5
h d, e 6
i f 6
j g, h 4
Previous Example [Completed AON Network]
•201
2.7. Networking Scheduling techniques
2.Critical path method(CPM)
3.Program evaluation and review technique(PERT)
•202
The most common network scheduling methods are Critical
Path Method (CPM) and Program Evaluation and Review
Technique (PERT).
Two approaches may be used for the assessment of
duration for activity completion.
The first approach is the deterministic approach, in which
we may assume that we know enough about each job or
operation, so that a single estimate of their duration is
sufficiently accurate to give reasonable results.
The second approach is the probabilistic approach, in
which one may only be able to state limits with-in which it
is virtually certain that the activity duration will lie.
Between these limits we must guess what the probability
of executing the activity is.
CPM PERT
1 Deterministic Probabilistic
2 It has just one estimate of time has 3 estimate of times
3 Estimates of activity duration are
based on historical data
estimates are uncertain and based on
rages and probability
4 For project with activities of repetitive
nature
non repetitive activity projects
5 It allows an explicit estimate of cost It is a tool for controlling time
•205
1. Critical path method(CPM)
three main purposes:
a)To calculate the projects finish date
b)To identify to what extent activities in the schedule can
slip(without delaying the project)
c)To identify activities with highest risk (that can not slip
with out delaying the project)
•206
Thus the basic scheduling computation can be put
under the following two categories.
A. Forward Pass Computations: Before starting computations,
the occurrence time of initial network event is fixed. Then, the
forward pass computation yields the earliest start and earliest
finish time for each activity (i, j), and indirectly the earliest
expected occurrence time for each event.
Forward pass – determines Early Start & Finish
Early start of a given node is maximum of early finishes of
preceding nodes ( largest EF of the immediate predecessors).
Initialization : E1=0 [project start]
 Ej=max(Ei+tij) for all i before node j
B.Backward Pass Computations
Backward pass: determines Latest Start & Finish
Late finish of a given activity is minimum of late starts of
successors
 Initialization : Ln(latest occurrence of all ending
nodes1)=project duration, T, as determined in forward pass
 Li=Min(Lj+tij) for all successor nodes j of node I being
investigated
•209
i j
 The latest event time, (L) indicates the time by which all
activities entering into that event must be computed without
delaying the computation of the project. These can be computed
by reversing the method of calculation used for earliest event
times.
 Forward pass – determines Early Start & Finish
Early start of a given node is maximum of early finishes of preceding nodes
 Initialization : E1=0 [project start]
 Ej=max(Ei+tij) for all i before node j
Ej
Ei
 Backward pass: determines Latest Start & Finish
•210
 Late finish of a given activity is minimum of late starts of
successors
 Initialization : Ln(latest occurrence of all ending
nodes1)=project duration, T, as determined in forward pass
 Li=Min(Lj+tij) for all successor nodes j of node I
being investigated
j
i
Li Lj
Example on CPM AOA
Activity Predecessor Duration
(month)
A --- 2
B A,D 1
C D 6
D ----- 5
E B,C 4
F C 2
•211
AON diagram
•212
Forward pass calculation
earliest start and earliest finish
For activity A;
ES=0
EF= ES + D , D is activity duration =2
EF=0+2 =2
•213
Forward pass calculation
earliest start and earliest finish
•214
Forward pass calculation
earliest start and earliest finish
•215
 =
•216
Latest start and latest finish
•217
•218
•219
Slack or float is the amount of time an activity may be delayed without delaying
a succeeding activity.
 .
•220
Earliest and Latest Schedule
•221
Activi
ty
Durati
on
[days]
Earlies
t Start
Earlies
t
Finish
Lates
t
Start
Lates
t
Finish
Total
Float
A 2 0 2 8 10 8
B 1 5 6 10 11 5
C 6 5 11 5 11 0
D 5 0 5 0 5 0
E 4 11 15 11 15 0
F 2 11 13 13 15 2
Kinds of float
Total float: The amount of time by which the completion of an
activity could be delayed beyond the earliest expected completion
time without affecting the overall project duration time.
TF=latest Finish –Eariest Start –Activity Duration
TF=LF-ES-D
Or
•222
)
start
Earliest
start
Latest
(
)
( 

ij
f
T
Cont..
 Free float: The time by which the completion of an activity can
be delayed beyond the earliest finish time without affecting the
earliest start of a subsequent (succeeding) activity.
•223
ij
i
j
ij
f D
E
E
F 

 )
(
)
(
Cont..
 Independent float: The amount of time by which the start of
an activity can be delayed without affecting the earliest start
time of any immediately following activities, assuming that the
preceding activity has finished at its latest finish time.
•224
ij
i
j
ij
F D
L
E
I 

 )
(
)
(
•225
The critical path is the longest path
It is drawn along the critical activities
Start-D-C-E-Finish
PROJECT DURATION IS;
0+5+6+4+0 = 15 Months
Events, “start” And “Finish” Have Zero
Duration.
•226
•227
Class work!
3. PERT(program Evaluation and Review
Technique)
PERT is a network analysis technique used to estimate
project duration
•229
•230
 PERT uses probabilistic time estimates to
calculate the expected time(te)
1. pessimistic (tp)
2. optimistic (to)
3. most likely (tl)
• requires activity definition
• includes activity sequencing
• estimates activity duration
• elaborates schedule of
activities
Project time management
0
t
p
t
l
t
Optimistic time limit of completion time if every thing goes all-right.
limit of completion time if every thing goes all-wrong
(in case climatic conditions, explosions, accidents,
etc., come into effect to retard the activity).
the duration that would occur most often if
the activity was repeated many times under
the same conditions.
Pessimistic time
Most likely time
A three time probabilistic model was developed, this includes:
•232
The three times were imposed on a normal
distribution to calculate the activity’s
expected time te as,
6
t
4t
t
t
p
l
o
e
)
( 


•235
Steps in PERT Analysis
•236
For each activity k
☂ Obtain tm,tp,to
☂ Compute expected activity duration
(mean) te
☂Compute expected project duration
D=Te using standard CPM algorithm
■ Activity time estimates usually cannot be made with
certainty.
■ PERT used for probabilistic activity times.
■ In PERT, three time estimates are used: most likely time
(tm), the optimistic time (to), and the pessimistic time
(tp).
■ These provide an estimate of the mean and variance of a
beta distribution:

•237
Steps …..
☂ In case of multiple critical paths use the one with
the largest variance
☂ Calculate probability of completing the project
☂ Assuming project duration normally
distributed
•238
Example -1 [PERT]
•239
Task
Predecess
or
Time Estimates
te
Variance
to tl tp
A - 2 4 8 4.33 1
B - 4 6 10 6.33 1
C A 6 6 6 6.00 0
D A 2 8 14 8.00 4
E A 6 8 12 8.33 1
F B,C 9 3 15 6.00 1
G D,F 8 16 20 15.33 4
H D,F 4 4 4 4.00 0
I E.H 4 8 10 7.66 1
Forward and Backward Pass
AOA
•240
1
4
3
2
6
5
A
4.33
B
6.33
C
10.33
D 4.33
E
8.33
H 16.33
F 6 G 15.33
I 7.66
 Critical Path=A-C-F-G
 Project Duration (Mean)= 31.66
PART THREE
PROJECT CRASHING
1. DEFINITION OF PROJECT CRASHING
2. PROJECT CRASHING TERMINOLOGIES
3. PROJECT RISK AND TYPES OF PROJECT RISK
4. RISK MANAGEMENT
3.1. Project crashing
Project crashing is reducing of the estimated
project duration
The crash time estimate is the shortest time that
could be achieved if all effort were made to reduce
the activity time. The use of more workers, better
equipment, overtime, etc, would better generate
higher direct cost for individual activities.
The following are sequence of steps required to
crash an activity:
Step 1. Identify the activities that need to be crashed
This can happen at any time from the initial project
planning phase to project completion.
Step 2. Identify the critical path. To crash
noncritical activities is a waste of financial resource
because it will simply increase the float on that
activity without affecting the end date of the
project.
Conti…
Step 3. Prioritize the activities to be crashed. When there are
many activities which can be crashed, it is necessary to know
which activity will be crashed first? This can be done by
selecting the activity
with the least cost per day to crash. that is the easiest to
crash.
Select cost with least slope. which can be crashed soonest
to bring the project back on course.
Step 4. Crash activities one day at a time, then re- analyze the
network to see if any other activities have gone critical.
Continue this iterative process until there are no activities
with negative float. These crashing steps may vary with the
different types of projects.
3.2. Project crashing terminologies
A.Normal Time: This is the normal office hour, for
example eight hour a day, and six days a week.
B. Normal Cost: The cost of activity working on
normal time.
C. Direct Cost: Costs attributed directly to the project
labor and materials. These costs usually group when the
activity is crashed due to overtime, shift allowance, etc.
D. Indirect Cost: This is overhead cost which can not
be directly attributed to the project for example, office
rent, and management salaries. These costs are usually
linear with time, therefore, if the time reduces, the
indirect costs also reduce.
Conti…
Crash Time: The duration the activity can be reduce to, by
crashing the activity.
Crash Cost: The new cost of the activity after crashing.
i) Crashing direct cost:
The duration has been reduced but the costs have increased.
These additional costs are caused by overtime, shift work
and a reduction in productivity
ii) Crashing indirect cost
The duration has been reduced but the time and the costs
have also reduced. The benefit has come from reduced office
rental, equipment rental etc. Unfortunately project costs are
usually split 80% direct, and 20% indirect cost, so the
advantage of crashing indirect costs is usually overcome by
the far greater direct costs.
3.3. Project risk
However small the percentage may be, there is always
uncertainty in any venture.
Identification and management of risks is fundamental to
any project.
Before undertaking a project, all participants want to
identify the risks involved, as well as the steps that may
be taken to manage them.
There is direct relation between the project risk and
expectation of return.
If the risk of the project is in line with the average risk of
the company, then the expected rate of return would be
the weighted average cost of capital of the firm.
3.4. Types of project risks
i) General (or country) Risks: General or country risks refer
to the ones that affect the overall sectors of the country.
Factors such as a country’s economic growth, its political
environment, the tax code, the legal system and the
prevailing currency exchange rate system and the are
classified under this category.
The general risks may be divided into three major
divisions. The importance of these risks can vary
substantially from country to country and from project to
project.
3.4.1. Types of general risk
A. Political risks: These are related to the internal and
external political situation and the stability of the host
country.
These risks include the government’s attitude towards
allowing private sector profits from projects, changes in the
host country’s fiscal regime, including taxation, the risk of
expropriation and nationalization of the projects by the host
country, cancellation of the concession, and similar factors.
Conti…
B. Country commercial risks: These are risks related to the
convertibility of revenue from the project into foreign
currencies, foreign exchange and interest fluctuation and
inflation.
C. Country legal risks: The risks to sponsors and owners is
that legislation that is relevant to the project (for instance,
environmental legislation or property legislation) may change
after a project has been implemented.
ii. Special Project Risks:
In addition to the general risks discussed above, sponsors and
owners/lenders face specific project risks that may be
generally within the control of the sponsors.
The specific project risks may be broadly divided into the
following three categories in accordance with phases of a
project cycle.
1. Development risks: These are risks associated with the
bidding competition that occurs in the initial stage of the
process. The development risks also include losses caused
by delays in planning and approval, which can be
particularly acute in the case of transnational projects, where
project sponsors have to deal with the authorities of two or
more governments.
Conti…
2. Construction/completion risks: The primary risks here
are the following:
 The actual cost of construction may be higher than
projected (cost overruns).
 Completion takes longer than projected Completion
takes longer than projected (completion delays). The
construction of the project may not be completed at all.
Conti…
3. Operating risks: operating risks result from insufficiency
in performance, revenue income, material supply etc. and
from higher than expected operating costs. They may be
divided into five main categories:
a. Associated-infrastructure risks: These risks are
associated with facilities outside the project, such as
approach roads and transmission lines, for which
construction responsibility lies with third parties rather than
the project sponsors themselves.
b. Technical risks: These include design defects and latent
defects in project equipment.
c. Demand risks: Most projects that rely on market-based
revenues face demand risks related to volume and/or prices,
thereby lowering the rate of return of the project.
Conti…
d. Supply risks: Because they are also market risks,
supply risks have two components, volume and
prices.
e. Management risks: The quality of management in
every project is always a critical success factor.
Risk management
When designing the risk allocation and management structure
of a project three overriding considerations have to be made.
First, it is the cost of the project in its entirety that should
decide any particular risk allocation.
A particular risk should be borne by the party most suited to
deal with it, in terms of control or influence and costs
Cont…
Conti…
All substantial project risks have to be identified, allocated
and managed; and the project risks have to be managed by a
combination of financial resources and firm contractual
commitments.
Thirdly, the risk structure has to be sufficiently sound to
withstand the ups and downs of a project implementation.
PART FOUR
PROJECT MANAGEMENT KNOWLEDGE AREAS
Project Management Process Mapping: Mapped with 9
Knowledge Areas
1. Project Scope Management
2. Project Time Management
3. Project Cost Management
4. Project Risk Management
5. Project Quality Management
272
Knowledge areas cont…..
6. Project Human Resource management
7. Project stakeholder management
8. Project communication management
9. Project procurement management
273
PM KNOWLEDGE AREAS
1. Project Scope
Management
☂Ensuring that the project includes all
the work required, only the work
required.
☂Dividing the work into major pieces,
☂then subdividing into smaller and
☂more manageable pieces.
 Primarily concerned with defining
and controlling what is or is not
included in the project.
274
Triple constraints of a project
275
Project scope management processes
Scope Management involves five Processes
1. Collecting requirement/initiation
2. Defining the scope
3. Developing wok breakdown structure
4. Verifying scope
5. Controlling change scope
276
2. Project Time Management
It is Concerned with developing a
realistic schedule and controlling
changes to the schedule.
277
Activities include:
1. Identifying activities(from WBS)
2. Estimating times and resources
3. Sequencing activities
(scheduling)
278
3. Project Cost Management
It includes the processes required to ensure that a
project team completes a project within an approved
budget.
279
The three project cost management processes:
1) Cost estimating
2) Cost budgeting
3) Cost control
281
1. Cost Budgeting
• It involves allocating the overall project cost estimate to
individual work items.
• To prepare budgetary estimates and
• To establish a cost baseline for measuring project
performance.
• These work items are based on the WBS (a required input
to the cost budgeting process) for the project.
282
2.Estimating Project Budgets
• In order to develop a budget, we must:
♣Forecast what resources the project will require
♣Determine the required quantity of each
♣Decide when they will be needed
♣Understand how much they will cost - including the
effects of potential price inflation
283
Chapter 7-2
3.Cost Control
 it involves controlling changes to the project budget.
It includes:
☂ Monitoring cost performance;
☂ Ensuring that only appropriate project changes are included
in a revised cost baseline; and
☂ Informing project stakeholders of authorized changes to the
project that will affect costs.
284
Types of Costs in project
1. Direct and indirect costs
2. Variable and fixed costs
285
Conti…
Direct costs
Are billed directly to the
project
♣ Direct material
♣ Direct labor
♣ Use of equipment
♣ No. of employees
♣ Use of facilities
Indirect costs
Belong to core supporting
business
♠Luxuries benefit
♠Taxes
♠Security
286
Conti…
Variable costs
Vary with production
Wages cost
Material cost
Fixed costs
Rent
Depreciation
Set up cost
287
4.Project Quality Management
Cont…
Is the degree to which the
project fulfills requirement.
Includes the processes
required to ensure that the
project will satisfy the
needs for which it was
undertaken.
Cont…
5. Project HR Management
Is the processes of making the most
effective use of the people involved
within the project.
Has Four Process:
1. Human Resource Planning
 Identifying, documenting and assigning
project roles, responsibilities, and reporting
relationships.
 “Who does what?” and “Who decides what?”
2. Acquiring The Project Team
 Getting the needed personnel assigned to and
working on the project.
3. Developing The Project Team
 Building individual and group skills to enhance
project performance.
4. Managing The Project Team
 Tracking team member performance, motivating
team members, providing timely feedback,
resolving issues and conflicts, and coordinating
changes to help enhance project performance.
6. Project Communication Management
It is the process of ensuring the appropriate
generation, collection, storage, and
disseminations of project information.
7. Project Procurement Management
• Acquiring goods and services to attain project
scope from outside the performing
organization.
8.Project Stakeholders Management
A stakeholder is anybody who can affect or is
affected by the project.
• All the projects have stakeholders. If they did
not, the project would not exist.
Stakeholders Management Processes
Project Stakeholder Management involves four
processes:
1. Identifying stakeholders
2. Planning stakeholder engagement
3. Managing stakeholder engagement
4. Controlling stakeholder engagement.
= is anything not in the project plan that may occur
and cause your project to be late, cost more or compromise
its quality/performance.
Likelihood of an unfavorable event affecting the
achievement of set objectives to occur.
The main issue is related to future events.
Tomorrow won’t be like yesterday or today
298
RISK
9. Project Risk Management
Risk cont.…..
It is a fact of life that chance events will
occur and affect the outcome of our
project
 Risks are: uncertain events in the future (They
May Or May Not Happen)
Negative
Positive
299
Risk Management definition
“it is the systematic process of:
A. identifying,
B.analyzing and
C.responding to project risk.
• It includes maximizing the probability and consequences
of positive events and minimizing the probability and
consequences of adverse events to project objectives”
300
Common Responses
Strategic Responses
1. AVOID – eliminate uncertainty
♠ Considering alternative technical solutions
♠ Do something to remove it.
♠ Use another supplier for example
301
2. TRANSFER – transfer liability/ownership
☂Transfer risks to suppliers;
☂Non-insurance transfer (external sub-contracting)
☂New type of contract);
☂Insurance (transfer the economic consequences)
302
Common Responses
 Tactical responses
3. MITIGATE – reduction to acceptable
 modifications to procedures and standard
processes;
 schedule risky activities away from the critical path
to minimize impacts;
 allocate critical or scarce resources to minimize
negative impacts;
 hold design review meetings on critical aspects of
the project;.
 Contingency Planning 303
4. ACCEPT – control and manage residual risks
introduce monitoring plans dedicated to risky
activities;
consider recovery plans
304
Choices of the Correct Course of action
305
Conclusion
• Risk management is not a complex task.
• If you follow the four steps, you can put together a risk
management plan for a project in a short space of time.
• Without a plan for risk, the success of the project, and
your reputation as a Project Manager, will be at stake.
• Follow these steps and you will increase your chances of
success.
306
Thank you for your
patience!!!

More Related Content

Similar to PART- 1 Engineering Project Management

Project management
Project managementProject management
Project management
obsession56
 
Introduction to-project-management-dabc
Introduction to-project-management-dabcIntroduction to-project-management-dabc
Introduction to-project-management-dabc
Chandrasekhar Reddy
 
Project Management
Project Management Project Management
Project Management
Mola Ayya
 
project-management.pdf
project-management.pdfproject-management.pdf
project-management.pdf
SAMPREET3
 

Similar to PART- 1 Engineering Project Management (20)

Project Management Introduction
Project Management IntroductionProject Management Introduction
Project Management Introduction
 
Project management
Project managementProject management
Project management
 
INTRODUCTION TO PROJECT MANAGMENT
INTRODUCTION TO PROJECT MANAGMENT INTRODUCTION TO PROJECT MANAGMENT
INTRODUCTION TO PROJECT MANAGMENT
 
Project management System
Project management SystemProject management System
Project management System
 
Project Management
Project ManagementProject Management
Project Management
 
Fundamentals of project management
Fundamentals of project managementFundamentals of project management
Fundamentals of project management
 
Project management
Project managementProject management
Project management
 
An introduction to project management
An introduction to project management An introduction to project management
An introduction to project management
 
Introduction to-project-management-dabc
Introduction to-project-management-dabcIntroduction to-project-management-dabc
Introduction to-project-management-dabc
 
DISE - Introduction to Project Management
DISE - Introduction to Project ManagementDISE - Introduction to Project Management
DISE - Introduction to Project Management
 
Project planning.pptx
Project planning.pptxProject planning.pptx
Project planning.pptx
 
Project planning.pptx
Project planning.pptxProject planning.pptx
Project planning.pptx
 
2. PAE AcFn621 Ch-2 Principle ppt.pptx
2. PAE AcFn621 Ch-2 Principle ppt.pptx2. PAE AcFn621 Ch-2 Principle ppt.pptx
2. PAE AcFn621 Ch-2 Principle ppt.pptx
 
MODULE III - M.ARCH.pptx
MODULE III - M.ARCH.pptxMODULE III - M.ARCH.pptx
MODULE III - M.ARCH.pptx
 
INTRO.pptx
INTRO.pptxINTRO.pptx
INTRO.pptx
 
Role and Responsibilities of Project Manager
Role and Responsibilities of Project ManagerRole and Responsibilities of Project Manager
Role and Responsibilities of Project Manager
 
Project Management
Project Management Project Management
Project Management
 
project-management.pdf
project-management.pdfproject-management.pdf
project-management.pdf
 
Project management
Project management Project management
Project management
 
Unit 1.pptx
Unit 1.pptxUnit 1.pptx
Unit 1.pptx
 

More from Haramaya Institute of Technology, & Adama Science and Technology University, Eth

AEGN 3192 lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...
AEGN 3192  lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...AEGN 3192  lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...
AEGN 3192 lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...
Haramaya Institute of Technology, & Adama Science and Technology University, Eth
 

More from Haramaya Institute of Technology, & Adama Science and Technology University, Eth (8)

AEGN 3192 lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...
AEGN 3192  lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...AEGN 3192  lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...
AEGN 3192 lecture 1-Selection and Management of Farm machinery - Managements...
 
PART- 3 Engineering Project Management -PERT & CPM PPT of BZ.pptx
PART- 3 Engineering Project Management -PERT & CPM PPT of BZ.pptxPART- 3 Engineering Project Management -PERT & CPM PPT of BZ.pptx
PART- 3 Engineering Project Management -PERT & CPM PPT of BZ.pptx
 
PART- III: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - CHAIN DRIVES.pptx
PART- III: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - CHAIN DRIVES.pptxPART- III: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - CHAIN DRIVES.pptx
PART- III: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - CHAIN DRIVES.pptx
 
PART- IV: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - Gears.pptx
PART- IV:  Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - Gears.pptxPART- IV:  Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - Gears.pptx
PART- IV: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design - Gears.pptx
 
Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design-Seminar...pdf
 Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design-Seminar...pdf Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design-Seminar...pdf
Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design-Seminar...pdf
 
PART- II: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design -Belt Drives.ppt
PART- II: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design -Belt Drives.pptPART- II: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design -Belt Drives.ppt
PART- II: Advanced Agricultural Machinery Design -Belt Drives.ppt
 
PART- 2: Engineering Project Management
PART- 2: Engineering Project Management PART- 2: Engineering Project Management
PART- 2: Engineering Project Management
 
Adoption of Precision Agriculture Technologies in Ethiopia
Adoption of Precision Agriculture Technologies in EthiopiaAdoption of Precision Agriculture Technologies in Ethiopia
Adoption of Precision Agriculture Technologies in Ethiopia
 

Recently uploaded

result management system report for college project
result management system report for college projectresult management system report for college project
result management system report for college project
Tonystark477637
 

Recently uploaded (20)

MANUFACTURING PROCESS-II UNIT-1 THEORY OF METAL CUTTING
MANUFACTURING PROCESS-II UNIT-1 THEORY OF METAL CUTTINGMANUFACTURING PROCESS-II UNIT-1 THEORY OF METAL CUTTING
MANUFACTURING PROCESS-II UNIT-1 THEORY OF METAL CUTTING
 
Coefficient of Thermal Expansion and their Importance.pptx
Coefficient of Thermal Expansion and their Importance.pptxCoefficient of Thermal Expansion and their Importance.pptx
Coefficient of Thermal Expansion and their Importance.pptx
 
High Profile Call Girls Nagpur Meera Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Profile Call Girls Nagpur Meera Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsHigh Profile Call Girls Nagpur Meera Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Profile Call Girls Nagpur Meera Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 
result management system report for college project
result management system report for college projectresult management system report for college project
result management system report for college project
 
(ANJALI) Dange Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANJALI) Dange Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...(ANJALI) Dange Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANJALI) Dange Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
 
UNIT - IV - Air Compressors and its Performance
UNIT - IV - Air Compressors and its PerformanceUNIT - IV - Air Compressors and its Performance
UNIT - IV - Air Compressors and its Performance
 
CCS335 _ Neural Networks and Deep Learning Laboratory_Lab Complete Record
CCS335 _ Neural Networks and Deep Learning Laboratory_Lab Complete RecordCCS335 _ Neural Networks and Deep Learning Laboratory_Lab Complete Record
CCS335 _ Neural Networks and Deep Learning Laboratory_Lab Complete Record
 
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Pargaon 6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Pargaon  6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Pargaon  6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
Booking open Available Pune Call Girls Pargaon 6297143586 Call Hot Indian Gi...
 
KubeKraft presentation @CloudNativeHooghly
KubeKraft presentation @CloudNativeHooghlyKubeKraft presentation @CloudNativeHooghly
KubeKraft presentation @CloudNativeHooghly
 
(SHREYA) Chakan Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Esc...
(SHREYA) Chakan Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Esc...(SHREYA) Chakan Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Esc...
(SHREYA) Chakan Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pune Esc...
 
UNIT-II FMM-Flow Through Circular Conduits
UNIT-II FMM-Flow Through Circular ConduitsUNIT-II FMM-Flow Through Circular Conduits
UNIT-II FMM-Flow Through Circular Conduits
 
UNIT-III FMM. DIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS
UNIT-III FMM.        DIMENSIONAL ANALYSISUNIT-III FMM.        DIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS
UNIT-III FMM. DIMENSIONAL ANALYSIS
 
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth 8250192130 Will You Miss Thi...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth 8250192130 Will You Miss Thi...The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth 8250192130 Will You Miss Thi...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth 8250192130 Will You Miss Thi...
 
High Profile Call Girls Nagpur Isha Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Profile Call Girls Nagpur Isha Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsHigh Profile Call Girls Nagpur Isha Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Profile Call Girls Nagpur Isha Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Se...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Se...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Se...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Budhwar Peth ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Se...
 
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Manchar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Manchar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Manchar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...
The Most Attractive Pune Call Girls Manchar 8250192130 Will You Miss This Cha...
 
(INDIRA) Call Girl Aurangabad Call Now 8617697112 Aurangabad Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Aurangabad Call Now 8617697112 Aurangabad Escorts 24x7(INDIRA) Call Girl Aurangabad Call Now 8617697112 Aurangabad Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Aurangabad Call Now 8617697112 Aurangabad Escorts 24x7
 
Introduction and different types of Ethernet.pptx
Introduction and different types of Ethernet.pptxIntroduction and different types of Ethernet.pptx
Introduction and different types of Ethernet.pptx
 
Russian Call Girls in Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Russian Call Girls in Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsRussian Call Girls in Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Russian Call Girls in Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 
Call Girls in Nagpur Suman Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls in Nagpur Suman Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls in Nagpur Suman Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls in Nagpur Suman Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 

PART- 1 Engineering Project Management

  • 1. Biniam Zewdie G/Kidan * •Haramaya Institute of University P.O.Box:138; Dire Dawa, Ethiopia •Mobile: +251910408218/+25191582832 •E-mail: nzg2001nzg@gmail.com/zewdienico@gmail.com
  • 2. Be the user of information not the owner!!!!!
  • 3.
  • 4. Project – a [temporary] sequence of unique, complex, and connected activities having one goal or purpose and that must be completed by specific time, within budget, and according to specification. Project management – the process of scoping, planning, staffing, organizing, directing, and controlling the development of an acceptable system at a minimum cost within a specified time frame. Process management – the activity of documenting, managing, and continually improving the process of systems development.
  • 5.  Any project involves planning, scheduling and controlling a number of interrelated activities with use of limited resources, namely, men, machines, materials, money and time.  A project is a temporary endeavour undertaken to create a unique product or service. It is performed by people constrained by limited resources planned, executed and controlled  It is required that managers must have a dynamic planning and scheduling system to produce the best possible results and also to react immediately to the changing conditions and make necessary changes in the plan and schedule.
  • 6.  A project has a definite beginning and definite end  The duration of a project is finite  The opportunity or market window is usually temporary, most projects have a limited time frame in which to produce the product or service  The project team - as a team - seldom outlives the project.  Most projects are performed by a team created for the sole purpose of performing the project  Projects involve doing something that has not been done before in the same environment  The project may require some innovation to be completed Temporary Unique result
  • 7. “A project is a temporary effort undertaken to create a "unique" product or service” Plan your work first…..then work your plan
  • 8. Characteristic of a project Projects differ in size, scope, cost and time, but all have the following characteristics:  solves a real and existing problem, has well-defined start and end points.  A life cycle involving a series of phases in between the beginning and end  A budget, Specific goals and conditions, Defined responsibilities  A set of activities which are sequential, unique and non-repetitive  Use of resources which may require coordinating  Unique: All projects are unique in themselves, no two projects are exactly similar.  Defined roles and relationships for participants in the project  Fixed set of objectives: A project has a set of objectives or a mission. Once the objectives are achieved the project is treated as completed.  Tenure: Project is never a continuous activity, it has to come to an end. Its life span is fixed.  Team work: : Project is a team work and it normally consists of diverse areas. It needs a team to accomplish various activities. Don’t let the things happen in their own way……….. Report right thing at right time to the right person!!! DON’T JUST WRITE FOR FILES
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Projects range Projects range in size, scope, cost and time from mega international projects costing millions of dollars over many years - to small domestic projects with a low budget taking just a few hours. It means that the project may different in Size Scope Cost and Time Take an example of very large project which used for different purpose, need high budget, takes long time to complete and small project used for single purpose, need low budget, and takes few hours to complete.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.  The art of organising, leading, reporting and completing a project through people 1.1. What is Project Management?  Write down three attributes of a good Project Manager Exercise 1
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Key Points in Project Set-up and Definition Create Project Management Plan (PMP) Be clear of scope and objectives Establish clear statement of what is to be done (WBS) Establish Risks to be Managed Establish Costs and Durations Establish Resources Required “A Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) is a hierarchical (from general to specific) tree structure of deliverables and tasks that need to be performed to complete a project.”
  • 25.
  • 26. Work break down structure(WBS) • Work: specific activity, function, duty, or assignment accomplished by effort, effort or exercise of skill. • Breakdown: to divide into parts, to separate into simpler substances, to undergo decomposition • Structure: something arranged in a definite pattern of an organization “A Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) is a hierarchical (from general to specific) tree structure of deliverables and tasks that need to be performed to complete a project.”
  • 27.  A diagram which breaks down the overall project into smaller chunks  This process is called “decomposition”
  • 28.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. Project management generally consists of three phases. Planning: Planning involves setting the objectives of the project. Identifying various activities to be performed and determining the requirement of resources such as men, materials, machines, etc. The cost and time for all the activities are estimated, and a network diagram is developed showing sequential interrelationships (predecessor and successor) between various activities during the planning stage. Scheduling: Based on the time estimates, the start and finish times for each activity are worked out by applying forward and backward pass techniques, critical path is identified, along with the slack and float for the non-critical paths. Controlling: Controlling refers to analyzing and evaluating the actual progress against the plan. Reallocation of resources, crashing and review of projects with periodical reports are carried out.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. Eight functions performed by every project manager: • Scoping – setting the boundaries of the project • Planning – identifying the tasks required to complete the project • Estimating – identifying the resources required to complete the project • Scheduling – developing the plan to complete the project • Organizing – making sure members understand their roles and responsibilities • Directing – coordinating the project • Controlling – monitoring progress • Closing – assessing success and failure
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.  A Good Project Manager – Takes ownership of the whole project – Is proactive not reactive – Adequately plans the project – Is Authoritative (NOT Authoritarian) – Is Decisive – Is a Good Communicator – Manages by data and facts not uniformed optimism – Leads by example – Has sound Judgement – Is a Motivator – Is Diplomatic – Can Delegate
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.  Interpersonal – Figurehead – Leader – Liaison  Informational Roles – Monitor – Disseminator – Spokesperson  Decisional Roles – Entrepreneur – Resource Allocator – Disturbance Allocator – Negotiator Managerial Roles
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.  Effective project managers provide leadership by example  A leader focuses on long-term goals and big-picture objectives while inspiring people to reach those goals  A manager deals with the day-to-day details of meeting specific goals  Project managers often take on the role of both leader and manager “Managers do things right, leaders do the right thing” “Leaders determine the vision, managers achieve the vision” Leadership Skills
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. Matrix organization: It is a popular choice of management professionals. Matrix organization exists where there is multiple managerial accountability and responsibility for a job function. There are usually two chains of command: horizontal and vertical.  The vertical line deals with the functional line responsibility.  while the horizontal line deals with the project line of responsibility. The project manager has total responsibility and accountability for the project success.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58. Measures of Project Success – The resulting information system is acceptable to the customer. – The system was delivered “on time” and “within budget.” – The system development process had a minimal impact on ongoing business operations.
  • 59.
  • 60. Failure to establish upper-management commitment to the project  Lack of organization’s commitment to the system development methodology  Taking shortcuts through or around the system development methodology Poor expectations management  Premature commitment to a fixed budget and schedule Poor estimating techniques Over optimism The mythical man-month Inadequate people management skills Failure to adapt to business change Insufficient resources Failure to “manage to the plan” Causes of Project Failure
  • 61. • Poor expectations management (unlikely in a final year project) – Scope creep – the unexpected and gradual growth of requirements during the project. – Feature creep – the uncontrolled addition of technical features to a system. • Premature commitment to a fixed budget and schedule Causes of Project Failure “Project risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on a project objective” Threat → Scope → Poor Quality Product Threat → Schedule → Late Delivery Threat → Cost → Overspend Risk Impact
  • 62. Scope creep – the unexpected and gradual growth of requirements during an information systems project. Feature creep– the uncontrolled addition of technical features to a system. Poor Expectations Management
  • 63.
  • 64. 1.2.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73.
  • 74.
  • 75. 1.3.
  • 76. Project Management Process Project planning + Project scheduling + Project control •Project team –made up of individuals from various areas and departments within a company •Matrix organization –a team structure with members from functional areas, depending on skills required •Project Manager –most important member of project team •Scope statement –a document that provides an understanding, justification, and expected result of a project •Statement of work –written description of objectives of a project •Organizational Breakdown Structure –a chart that shows which organizational units are responsible for work items •Responsibility Assignment Matrix –shows who is responsible for work in a project
  • 77.
  • 78.
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85. 1.4.
  • 86. What is Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E)? • Monitoring is the collection and analysis of information about a project or programme, undertaken while the project/programme is ongoing. • Evaluation is the periodic, retrospective assessment of an organization, project or programme that might be conducted internally or by external independent evaluators.
  • 87. Item Monitoring Evaluation Frequency routine, regularly scheduled episodic Primary Objective tracking / oversight assessment Purpose improve efficiency mid-course corrections to workplan improve effectiveness, impact, future programming Focus Conformity/fidelity to program guidelines, process indicators, quarterly and annual goals, workplans effectiveness, impact, cost- effectiveness, relevance Data Sources routine surveillance systems, field observation, progress reports same, plus surveys, special studies Conducted by TB Focal Person and TBCO TBCO, BNTP supervisors, MOH, external evaluators Reporting to TBCO, District PHS, Matron, BNTP, MOH, community District PHS, Matron, BNTP, funders (e.g., Global Fund), other policy- makers
  • 88.
  • 89. What is monitoring & evaluation? • Monitoring is the routine collection and analysis of information to track progress against set plans and check compliance to established standards. It helps identify trends and patterns, adapt strategies and inform decisions for project/programme management • Evaluations involve identifying and reflecting upon the effects of what has been done, and judging their worth. Their findings allow project/programme managers, beneficiaries, partners, donors and other project/programme stakeholders to learn from the experience and improve future interventions.
  • 90.
  • 91.
  • 92.
  • 93.
  • 94.
  • 95.
  • 96.
  • 97.
  • 98.
  • 99.
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102.
  • 103.
  • 104.
  • 105.
  • 106.
  • 107.
  • 108.
  • 109.
  • 110. Why is M & E important? A well-functioning M&E system is a critical part of good project/programme management and accountability. Timely and reliable M&E provides information to: • Support project/programme implementation with accurate, evidence based reporting that informs management and decision-making to guide and improve project/programme performance. • Contribute to organizational learning and knowledge sharing by reflecting upon and sharing experiences and lessons so that we can gain the full benefit from what we do and how we do it.
  • 111.
  • 112.
  • 113.
  • 114.
  • 115.
  • 116.
  • 117. Many of you will know the story of the crow and the pitcher. A crow was very thirsty one day and he came across a pitcher with a little water in it. But he could not stick his head far enough into the pitcher to reach the water. Being clever, he began dropping pebbles into the pitcher, which eventually brought the water to the top of the pitcher. Ask the following questions and solicit responses: • In this story, what is the crow’s objective? (To eliminate his thirst.) • What is the activity? (dropping pebbles) • What are the inputs? (pebbles, crow, pitcher) • What are the outputs? (number of pebbles dropped) • What are the outcomes? (Short: water level rose; medium: crow able to drink; long: crow satisfied.)
  • 118. The Steps in Managing a Project 1.5. Project Planning
  • 119. Planning is a general term that sets a clear road map that should be followed to reach a destination. 1.5. Project Planning
  • 120.
  • 121.
  • 122.
  • 123.
  • 124.
  • 125.
  • 126.
  • 127.
  • 128.
  • 129.
  • 130. Ch. 2: Project Scheduling Planning, Scheduling, and Control
  • 131. Project Scheduling and Control Techniques  Project planning is part of project management, which relates to the use of schedules such as Gantt charts to plan and subsequently report progress within the project environment.  project management is a systematic management or balancing of scope, cost, time or schedule and quality.  A Gantt chart is a horizontal bar chart developed as a production control tool in 1917 by Henry L. Gantt, an American engineer and social scientist •131
  • 132. 132 WHY SCHEDUALE PROJECTS ? 1- To calculate the project completion. 2- To calculate the start or end of a specific activity. 3-To expose and adjust conflict between trades or subcontractor. 4- To serve as an effective project control tool 5- To improve work efficiency. 6- To resolve delay claims , this is important in critical path method ‘CPM’ discussed later.. 7- To predict and calculate the cash flow . 8-To evaluate the effect of changing orders ‘CH’ . ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT
  • 133. Network scheduling Project scheduling tools I. Gantt chart II.Critical Path Method (CPM) III.Program Evaluation & Review Technique (PERT) •133
  • 134. Project Time Management It is Concerned with developing a realistic schedule and controlling changes to the schedule. 134
  • 135. 1.Bar/gantt Charts ☂ it is a bar chart and named after its innovator Henry Gantt. ☂This chart gives clear calendar schedule for the whole project. ☂In Gantt chart, the start and completion time of activity will be represented. ☂This chart also useful for resource leveling purpose when there are limitations on the available resources (man power, m/cs, materials…etc. designed the bar- chart as a visual aid for planning and controlling his projects. •135
  • 136. Con’t… Bar –chart is designed for a visual aid for planning and controlling his projects. This helps to travel the resources requirements smoothly through the project execution. •136 J F M A M J J Time Period Activity Design Build Test J F M A M J J Time Period Activity Design Build Test
  • 137. Bar chart cont.…. ☂The beginning and the end of each bar represent the time of start and the time of finish of that activity. ☂Once the project has started, the Gantt chart can further be used as a tool for project control. •137
  • 138. Bar chart cont.…. ☂ second line under the planned schedule is drawn to indicate activity progress. •138
  • 139. Example on house construction  = •139
  • 140. Example on bar or milestone chart # Activity Predecessor Duration (Month) 1 Design house and obtain financing ------- 3 2 Lay foundation 1 2 3 Order and receive materials 1 1 4 Build house 3 3 5 Select paint 3 1 6 Select carpet 5 1 7 Finishing work 4 1 •140
  • 141. | | | | | Activity Design house and obtain financing Lay foundation Order and receive materials Build house Select paint Select carpet Finish work 0 2 4 6 8 10 Month Months 1 3 5 7 9 Example of Gantt/bar/milestone Chart •141
  • 142. Example 3. Draw Gantt chart and find project comptetion time Activity immediate predecessor Duration(month) A ................ 5 B ................. 2 C A 3 D C 4 E C 2 F B 4 G D 7 H E,F 6
  • 144. Exercise Draw Gantt chart and find project completion time. •144 Activity Predecessor Duration (month) A --- 2 B A,D 1 C D 6 D ----- 5 E B,C 4 F C 2
  • 145. Network Diagram For a project plan to be effective it must equally address the parameters of activity time and network logic. As project becomes larger and more complex, the Gantt chart was found to be lacking as a planning and control tool, because it could not indicate the logical relationships between activities. A network is a flow diagram consisting of activities and events, connected logically and sequentially. In the network diagram, an activity is represented by arrows while events are represented, usually, by circles.
  • 146. Some of the advantages of network diagram or arrow diagram are:  It clearly shows the inter-relationship between events. The project is seen as integrated whole, thus making it easier for control. It can be used even for highly complicated projects consisting of a large number of activities.  It directly indicates the time required in between two activities.
  • 147. Network Scheduling The most common network scheduling methods are: ☂ Critical Path Method (CPM) and ☂ Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT). They were developed to overcome the shortcoming of the gant chart method •147
  • 148.
  • 150.
  • 151.
  • 152.
  • 153.
  • 154.
  • 155.
  • 156.
  • 157.
  • 158.
  • 159.
  • 160.
  • 161.
  • 162.
  • 163.
  • 164.
  • 165.
  • 166.
  • 167.
  • 168.
  • 169.
  • 170.
  • 171.
  • 172.
  • 173.
  • 174.
  • 175.
  • 176.
  • 177.
  • 178.
  • 179. Example of network diagram
  • 180. Project Network  The arcs of the network represent the activities.  The nodes of the network represent the start and the end of the activities.  A critical path for the network is a path consisting of activities with zero slack. And it is always the longest path in the project network. •180
  • 181. Cont.  A node (an event), denoted by a circle, marks the start and completion of an activity, which contain a number that helps to identify its location. For example activity A can be drawn as:  This means activity A starts at node 1 and finishes at node 2 and it will takes three days •181
  • 182. Network Diagram For a project plan to be effective it must equally address the parameters of activity time and network logic. Logical relation required For bar chart’s shortcoming For complex projects •182
  • 183. Terminologies ☂Activity  task or set of tasks  use resources and time ☂ Event  state resulting from completion of one or more activities  consume no resources or time  predecessor activities must be complete ☂Path  Series of connected activities between two events •183
  • 184. A k  An arrow representing an activity “A” whose estimated duration is “k” unit of time.  An arrow is commonly used to represent an activity with its head indicating the direction of progress in the project. •184
  • 185. TYPES OF ACTIVITIES ☂Predecessor activity: Activities that must be completed immediately prior to the start of another activity ☂Successor activity: Activities that cannot be started until one or more of other activities are completed, but immediately succeed them Concurrent activities: Activities that can be accomplished concurrently •185
  • 186. Cont.. An event can be further classified into the following categories: Merge event: When more than one activity come and join an event, such event is known as merge event. Burst event: When more than one activity leave an event, such event is known as a burst event. Merge and burst event: An activity may be a merge and burst event at the same time as with respect to some activities it can be a merge event and with respect to some other activities it may be a burst event. •186
  • 187. •187
  • 188. Activity relations ☂Lag and lead times ☂Finish to finish ☂Finish to start ☂Start to finish ☂Start to start •188
  • 189.  Critical Path  set of activities on a path that if delayed will delay completion of project  Critical Time  time required to complete all activities on the critical path •189
  • 190. Building the Network •190  Define activities from WBS work packages  Estimate duration and resources for each activity  Define precedence relationships between activities  Network Representation Schemes  AON Network [Activity-on-Node]  AOA Network [ Activity-on- Arrow]
  • 191. AOA Network [ Activity-on- Arrow] •191  Historically most popular  Nodes represent start and finish events for each activity  Arrows can only come from/go to single node  Only one arrow between two given nodes Start of activity End of activity Event Event Activity
  • 192. 2.6. Common Errors in Drawing Networks  Three types of errors are most commonly observed  Dangling: To disconnect an activity before the completion of all activities in a network diagram is known as dangling. •192
  • 193.  Looping (or Cycling): Looping errors is also known as cycling errors in a network diagram.  Drawing an endless loop in a network is known as an error of looping as shown in the following figure. •193
  • 194.  Redundancy: Unnecessarily inserting the dummy activity in a network diagram is known as the error of redundancy as shown in the following diagram. •194
  • 195. Dummy Activities •195  A dummy activity is used to illustrate precedence relationships in AOA networks.  It serves only as a “connector,” however, it is not a “real” activity and represents neither work nor time. A dummy Activity Activity Predecess or A - B - C - D A,B E B,C A B C D E
  • 197. Rules to draw network 1. In a network diagram each event is represented by a node and activity which is connected by an arrow. 2. Number of events should be in increasing order. 3. The activities emerging from the start should have no predessors activity and the last event has no successor activity. 4. A network diagram cannot have more than one starting node and ending node. 5. There should not be a loop in a diagram as shown below 2 4 3 1
  • 198. cont.... 6. An event cannot occur or an activity cannot start unless all its preceding events or activities are compeleted.
  • 199. EXAMPLES 1. Find critical path and project completion time. •199
  • 200. Example on AoN Diagram = •200 Activity Predecessor Duration[days] a -- 5 b -- 4 c a 3 d a 4 e a 6 f b, c 4 g d 5 h d, e 6 i f 6 j g, h 4
  • 201. Previous Example [Completed AON Network] •201
  • 202. 2.7. Networking Scheduling techniques 2.Critical path method(CPM) 3.Program evaluation and review technique(PERT) •202
  • 203. The most common network scheduling methods are Critical Path Method (CPM) and Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT). Two approaches may be used for the assessment of duration for activity completion.
  • 204. The first approach is the deterministic approach, in which we may assume that we know enough about each job or operation, so that a single estimate of their duration is sufficiently accurate to give reasonable results. The second approach is the probabilistic approach, in which one may only be able to state limits with-in which it is virtually certain that the activity duration will lie. Between these limits we must guess what the probability of executing the activity is.
  • 205. CPM PERT 1 Deterministic Probabilistic 2 It has just one estimate of time has 3 estimate of times 3 Estimates of activity duration are based on historical data estimates are uncertain and based on rages and probability 4 For project with activities of repetitive nature non repetitive activity projects 5 It allows an explicit estimate of cost It is a tool for controlling time •205
  • 206. 1. Critical path method(CPM) three main purposes: a)To calculate the projects finish date b)To identify to what extent activities in the schedule can slip(without delaying the project) c)To identify activities with highest risk (that can not slip with out delaying the project) •206
  • 207. Thus the basic scheduling computation can be put under the following two categories. A. Forward Pass Computations: Before starting computations, the occurrence time of initial network event is fixed. Then, the forward pass computation yields the earliest start and earliest finish time for each activity (i, j), and indirectly the earliest expected occurrence time for each event. Forward pass – determines Early Start & Finish Early start of a given node is maximum of early finishes of preceding nodes ( largest EF of the immediate predecessors). Initialization : E1=0 [project start]  Ej=max(Ei+tij) for all i before node j
  • 208. B.Backward Pass Computations Backward pass: determines Latest Start & Finish Late finish of a given activity is minimum of late starts of successors  Initialization : Ln(latest occurrence of all ending nodes1)=project duration, T, as determined in forward pass  Li=Min(Lj+tij) for all successor nodes j of node I being investigated
  • 209. •209 i j  The latest event time, (L) indicates the time by which all activities entering into that event must be computed without delaying the computation of the project. These can be computed by reversing the method of calculation used for earliest event times.  Forward pass – determines Early Start & Finish Early start of a given node is maximum of early finishes of preceding nodes  Initialization : E1=0 [project start]  Ej=max(Ei+tij) for all i before node j Ej Ei
  • 210.  Backward pass: determines Latest Start & Finish •210  Late finish of a given activity is minimum of late starts of successors  Initialization : Ln(latest occurrence of all ending nodes1)=project duration, T, as determined in forward pass  Li=Min(Lj+tij) for all successor nodes j of node I being investigated j i Li Lj
  • 211. Example on CPM AOA Activity Predecessor Duration (month) A --- 2 B A,D 1 C D 6 D ----- 5 E B,C 4 F C 2 •211
  • 213. Forward pass calculation earliest start and earliest finish For activity A; ES=0 EF= ES + D , D is activity duration =2 EF=0+2 =2 •213
  • 214. Forward pass calculation earliest start and earliest finish •214
  • 215. Forward pass calculation earliest start and earliest finish •215
  • 217. Latest start and latest finish •217
  • 218. •218
  • 219. •219
  • 220. Slack or float is the amount of time an activity may be delayed without delaying a succeeding activity.  . •220
  • 221. Earliest and Latest Schedule •221 Activi ty Durati on [days] Earlies t Start Earlies t Finish Lates t Start Lates t Finish Total Float A 2 0 2 8 10 8 B 1 5 6 10 11 5 C 6 5 11 5 11 0 D 5 0 5 0 5 0 E 4 11 15 11 15 0 F 2 11 13 13 15 2
  • 222. Kinds of float Total float: The amount of time by which the completion of an activity could be delayed beyond the earliest expected completion time without affecting the overall project duration time. TF=latest Finish –Eariest Start –Activity Duration TF=LF-ES-D Or •222 ) start Earliest start Latest ( ) (   ij f T
  • 223. Cont..  Free float: The time by which the completion of an activity can be delayed beyond the earliest finish time without affecting the earliest start of a subsequent (succeeding) activity. •223 ij i j ij f D E E F    ) ( ) (
  • 224. Cont..  Independent float: The amount of time by which the start of an activity can be delayed without affecting the earliest start time of any immediately following activities, assuming that the preceding activity has finished at its latest finish time. •224 ij i j ij F D L E I    ) ( ) (
  • 225. •225
  • 226. The critical path is the longest path It is drawn along the critical activities Start-D-C-E-Finish PROJECT DURATION IS; 0+5+6+4+0 = 15 Months Events, “start” And “Finish” Have Zero Duration. •226
  • 227. •227
  • 229. 3. PERT(program Evaluation and Review Technique) PERT is a network analysis technique used to estimate project duration •229
  • 230. •230  PERT uses probabilistic time estimates to calculate the expected time(te) 1. pessimistic (tp) 2. optimistic (to) 3. most likely (tl)
  • 231. • requires activity definition • includes activity sequencing • estimates activity duration • elaborates schedule of activities Project time management
  • 232. 0 t p t l t Optimistic time limit of completion time if every thing goes all-right. limit of completion time if every thing goes all-wrong (in case climatic conditions, explosions, accidents, etc., come into effect to retard the activity). the duration that would occur most often if the activity was repeated many times under the same conditions. Pessimistic time Most likely time A three time probabilistic model was developed, this includes: •232
  • 233.
  • 234.
  • 235. The three times were imposed on a normal distribution to calculate the activity’s expected time te as, 6 t 4t t t p l o e ) (    •235
  • 236. Steps in PERT Analysis •236 For each activity k ☂ Obtain tm,tp,to ☂ Compute expected activity duration (mean) te ☂Compute expected project duration D=Te using standard CPM algorithm
  • 237. ■ Activity time estimates usually cannot be made with certainty. ■ PERT used for probabilistic activity times. ■ In PERT, three time estimates are used: most likely time (tm), the optimistic time (to), and the pessimistic time (tp). ■ These provide an estimate of the mean and variance of a beta distribution:  •237
  • 238. Steps ….. ☂ In case of multiple critical paths use the one with the largest variance ☂ Calculate probability of completing the project ☂ Assuming project duration normally distributed •238
  • 239. Example -1 [PERT] •239 Task Predecess or Time Estimates te Variance to tl tp A - 2 4 8 4.33 1 B - 4 6 10 6.33 1 C A 6 6 6 6.00 0 D A 2 8 14 8.00 4 E A 6 8 12 8.33 1 F B,C 9 3 15 6.00 1 G D,F 8 16 20 15.33 4 H D,F 4 4 4 4.00 0 I E.H 4 8 10 7.66 1
  • 240. Forward and Backward Pass AOA •240 1 4 3 2 6 5 A 4.33 B 6.33 C 10.33 D 4.33 E 8.33 H 16.33 F 6 G 15.33 I 7.66  Critical Path=A-C-F-G  Project Duration (Mean)= 31.66
  • 241.
  • 242.
  • 243.
  • 244. PART THREE PROJECT CRASHING 1. DEFINITION OF PROJECT CRASHING 2. PROJECT CRASHING TERMINOLOGIES 3. PROJECT RISK AND TYPES OF PROJECT RISK 4. RISK MANAGEMENT
  • 245. 3.1. Project crashing Project crashing is reducing of the estimated project duration The crash time estimate is the shortest time that could be achieved if all effort were made to reduce the activity time. The use of more workers, better equipment, overtime, etc, would better generate higher direct cost for individual activities.
  • 246. The following are sequence of steps required to crash an activity: Step 1. Identify the activities that need to be crashed This can happen at any time from the initial project planning phase to project completion. Step 2. Identify the critical path. To crash noncritical activities is a waste of financial resource because it will simply increase the float on that activity without affecting the end date of the project.
  • 247. Conti… Step 3. Prioritize the activities to be crashed. When there are many activities which can be crashed, it is necessary to know which activity will be crashed first? This can be done by selecting the activity with the least cost per day to crash. that is the easiest to crash. Select cost with least slope. which can be crashed soonest to bring the project back on course. Step 4. Crash activities one day at a time, then re- analyze the network to see if any other activities have gone critical. Continue this iterative process until there are no activities with negative float. These crashing steps may vary with the different types of projects.
  • 248. 3.2. Project crashing terminologies A.Normal Time: This is the normal office hour, for example eight hour a day, and six days a week. B. Normal Cost: The cost of activity working on normal time. C. Direct Cost: Costs attributed directly to the project labor and materials. These costs usually group when the activity is crashed due to overtime, shift allowance, etc. D. Indirect Cost: This is overhead cost which can not be directly attributed to the project for example, office rent, and management salaries. These costs are usually linear with time, therefore, if the time reduces, the indirect costs also reduce.
  • 249. Conti… Crash Time: The duration the activity can be reduce to, by crashing the activity. Crash Cost: The new cost of the activity after crashing.
  • 250.
  • 251. i) Crashing direct cost: The duration has been reduced but the costs have increased. These additional costs are caused by overtime, shift work and a reduction in productivity
  • 252. ii) Crashing indirect cost The duration has been reduced but the time and the costs have also reduced. The benefit has come from reduced office rental, equipment rental etc. Unfortunately project costs are usually split 80% direct, and 20% indirect cost, so the advantage of crashing indirect costs is usually overcome by the far greater direct costs.
  • 253.
  • 254.
  • 255.
  • 256.
  • 257.
  • 258. 3.3. Project risk However small the percentage may be, there is always uncertainty in any venture. Identification and management of risks is fundamental to any project. Before undertaking a project, all participants want to identify the risks involved, as well as the steps that may be taken to manage them. There is direct relation between the project risk and expectation of return. If the risk of the project is in line with the average risk of the company, then the expected rate of return would be the weighted average cost of capital of the firm.
  • 259. 3.4. Types of project risks i) General (or country) Risks: General or country risks refer to the ones that affect the overall sectors of the country. Factors such as a country’s economic growth, its political environment, the tax code, the legal system and the prevailing currency exchange rate system and the are classified under this category. The general risks may be divided into three major divisions. The importance of these risks can vary substantially from country to country and from project to project.
  • 260. 3.4.1. Types of general risk A. Political risks: These are related to the internal and external political situation and the stability of the host country. These risks include the government’s attitude towards allowing private sector profits from projects, changes in the host country’s fiscal regime, including taxation, the risk of expropriation and nationalization of the projects by the host country, cancellation of the concession, and similar factors.
  • 261. Conti… B. Country commercial risks: These are risks related to the convertibility of revenue from the project into foreign currencies, foreign exchange and interest fluctuation and inflation. C. Country legal risks: The risks to sponsors and owners is that legislation that is relevant to the project (for instance, environmental legislation or property legislation) may change after a project has been implemented.
  • 262. ii. Special Project Risks: In addition to the general risks discussed above, sponsors and owners/lenders face specific project risks that may be generally within the control of the sponsors. The specific project risks may be broadly divided into the following three categories in accordance with phases of a project cycle. 1. Development risks: These are risks associated with the bidding competition that occurs in the initial stage of the process. The development risks also include losses caused by delays in planning and approval, which can be particularly acute in the case of transnational projects, where project sponsors have to deal with the authorities of two or more governments.
  • 263. Conti… 2. Construction/completion risks: The primary risks here are the following:  The actual cost of construction may be higher than projected (cost overruns).  Completion takes longer than projected Completion takes longer than projected (completion delays). The construction of the project may not be completed at all.
  • 264. Conti… 3. Operating risks: operating risks result from insufficiency in performance, revenue income, material supply etc. and from higher than expected operating costs. They may be divided into five main categories: a. Associated-infrastructure risks: These risks are associated with facilities outside the project, such as approach roads and transmission lines, for which construction responsibility lies with third parties rather than the project sponsors themselves. b. Technical risks: These include design defects and latent defects in project equipment. c. Demand risks: Most projects that rely on market-based revenues face demand risks related to volume and/or prices, thereby lowering the rate of return of the project.
  • 265. Conti… d. Supply risks: Because they are also market risks, supply risks have two components, volume and prices. e. Management risks: The quality of management in every project is always a critical success factor.
  • 266. Risk management When designing the risk allocation and management structure of a project three overriding considerations have to be made. First, it is the cost of the project in its entirety that should decide any particular risk allocation. A particular risk should be borne by the party most suited to deal with it, in terms of control or influence and costs
  • 268. Conti… All substantial project risks have to be identified, allocated and managed; and the project risks have to be managed by a combination of financial resources and firm contractual commitments. Thirdly, the risk structure has to be sufficiently sound to withstand the ups and downs of a project implementation.
  • 269.
  • 270.
  • 271.
  • 272. PART FOUR PROJECT MANAGEMENT KNOWLEDGE AREAS Project Management Process Mapping: Mapped with 9 Knowledge Areas 1. Project Scope Management 2. Project Time Management 3. Project Cost Management 4. Project Risk Management 5. Project Quality Management 272
  • 273. Knowledge areas cont….. 6. Project Human Resource management 7. Project stakeholder management 8. Project communication management 9. Project procurement management 273
  • 274. PM KNOWLEDGE AREAS 1. Project Scope Management ☂Ensuring that the project includes all the work required, only the work required. ☂Dividing the work into major pieces, ☂then subdividing into smaller and ☂more manageable pieces.  Primarily concerned with defining and controlling what is or is not included in the project. 274
  • 275. Triple constraints of a project 275
  • 276. Project scope management processes Scope Management involves five Processes 1. Collecting requirement/initiation 2. Defining the scope 3. Developing wok breakdown structure 4. Verifying scope 5. Controlling change scope 276
  • 277. 2. Project Time Management It is Concerned with developing a realistic schedule and controlling changes to the schedule. 277
  • 278. Activities include: 1. Identifying activities(from WBS) 2. Estimating times and resources 3. Sequencing activities (scheduling) 278
  • 279. 3. Project Cost Management It includes the processes required to ensure that a project team completes a project within an approved budget. 279
  • 280.
  • 281. The three project cost management processes: 1) Cost estimating 2) Cost budgeting 3) Cost control 281
  • 282. 1. Cost Budgeting • It involves allocating the overall project cost estimate to individual work items. • To prepare budgetary estimates and • To establish a cost baseline for measuring project performance. • These work items are based on the WBS (a required input to the cost budgeting process) for the project. 282
  • 283. 2.Estimating Project Budgets • In order to develop a budget, we must: ♣Forecast what resources the project will require ♣Determine the required quantity of each ♣Decide when they will be needed ♣Understand how much they will cost - including the effects of potential price inflation 283 Chapter 7-2
  • 284. 3.Cost Control  it involves controlling changes to the project budget. It includes: ☂ Monitoring cost performance; ☂ Ensuring that only appropriate project changes are included in a revised cost baseline; and ☂ Informing project stakeholders of authorized changes to the project that will affect costs. 284
  • 285. Types of Costs in project 1. Direct and indirect costs 2. Variable and fixed costs 285
  • 286. Conti… Direct costs Are billed directly to the project ♣ Direct material ♣ Direct labor ♣ Use of equipment ♣ No. of employees ♣ Use of facilities Indirect costs Belong to core supporting business ♠Luxuries benefit ♠Taxes ♠Security 286
  • 287. Conti… Variable costs Vary with production Wages cost Material cost Fixed costs Rent Depreciation Set up cost 287
  • 289. Cont… Is the degree to which the project fulfills requirement. Includes the processes required to ensure that the project will satisfy the needs for which it was undertaken.
  • 291. 5. Project HR Management Is the processes of making the most effective use of the people involved within the project. Has Four Process: 1. Human Resource Planning  Identifying, documenting and assigning project roles, responsibilities, and reporting relationships.  “Who does what?” and “Who decides what?”
  • 292. 2. Acquiring The Project Team  Getting the needed personnel assigned to and working on the project. 3. Developing The Project Team  Building individual and group skills to enhance project performance. 4. Managing The Project Team  Tracking team member performance, motivating team members, providing timely feedback, resolving issues and conflicts, and coordinating changes to help enhance project performance.
  • 293. 6. Project Communication Management It is the process of ensuring the appropriate generation, collection, storage, and disseminations of project information.
  • 294. 7. Project Procurement Management • Acquiring goods and services to attain project scope from outside the performing organization.
  • 295. 8.Project Stakeholders Management A stakeholder is anybody who can affect or is affected by the project. • All the projects have stakeholders. If they did not, the project would not exist.
  • 296.
  • 297. Stakeholders Management Processes Project Stakeholder Management involves four processes: 1. Identifying stakeholders 2. Planning stakeholder engagement 3. Managing stakeholder engagement 4. Controlling stakeholder engagement.
  • 298. = is anything not in the project plan that may occur and cause your project to be late, cost more or compromise its quality/performance. Likelihood of an unfavorable event affecting the achievement of set objectives to occur. The main issue is related to future events. Tomorrow won’t be like yesterday or today 298 RISK 9. Project Risk Management
  • 299. Risk cont.….. It is a fact of life that chance events will occur and affect the outcome of our project  Risks are: uncertain events in the future (They May Or May Not Happen) Negative Positive 299
  • 300. Risk Management definition “it is the systematic process of: A. identifying, B.analyzing and C.responding to project risk. • It includes maximizing the probability and consequences of positive events and minimizing the probability and consequences of adverse events to project objectives” 300
  • 301. Common Responses Strategic Responses 1. AVOID – eliminate uncertainty ♠ Considering alternative technical solutions ♠ Do something to remove it. ♠ Use another supplier for example 301
  • 302. 2. TRANSFER – transfer liability/ownership ☂Transfer risks to suppliers; ☂Non-insurance transfer (external sub-contracting) ☂New type of contract); ☂Insurance (transfer the economic consequences) 302
  • 303. Common Responses  Tactical responses 3. MITIGATE – reduction to acceptable  modifications to procedures and standard processes;  schedule risky activities away from the critical path to minimize impacts;  allocate critical or scarce resources to minimize negative impacts;  hold design review meetings on critical aspects of the project;.  Contingency Planning 303
  • 304. 4. ACCEPT – control and manage residual risks introduce monitoring plans dedicated to risky activities; consider recovery plans 304
  • 305. Choices of the Correct Course of action 305
  • 306. Conclusion • Risk management is not a complex task. • If you follow the four steps, you can put together a risk management plan for a project in a short space of time. • Without a plan for risk, the success of the project, and your reputation as a Project Manager, will be at stake. • Follow these steps and you will increase your chances of success. 306
  • 307. Thank you for your patience!!!