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Google Shopping and Marketplaces
How to Defend and Expand Market Share
SMX München 2021
About me
mike.ryan@smarter-ecommerce.com | +43 699 14111 309 | /in/mikeppc
Mike Ryan
Product Mgmt Lead, smec
● 10 years experience in retail operations
● warehousing, delivery, purchasing, electronic catalog
● sold everything and moved to Austria for love
● reinvented myself in marketing and product
/in/mikeppc
#SMX
Agenda
I. Three key ecommerce trends
II. The marketplace business model
III. How marketplaces can use Google Shopping
IV. Implications and actions for retailers
Three key ecommerce trends
/in/mikeppc
#SMX
Trend #1
The EKG Years
COVID-19 triggered unprecedented ecommerce growth
● Frequently cited figures include up to 5 years of growth in a few months
● Amazing, but what happens next?
(source) (source) (source)
The EKG effect
● 2020 already captured a lot of the ecommerce growth that would have occurred this year
● This swing makes YoY comparison and revenue goal-setting challenging at best
Source: eMarketer
32%
6%
Trend #2
The big get bigger
Increased consolidation
● The biggest players were already outpacing the market before COVID
Source: ecommerceDB
32%
6%
19%
DE average
12%
UK average
Trend #3
Dream of Californication Marketplacification
Ominous signals in the early days of COVID-19
(source)
(source)
(source)
● In my assessment, only one of these headlines stands the test of time: the “Collapse of the Middle”
Marketplaces don’t seem to be slowing down at all
The combination of diminished year-over-year growth,
increased consolidation, and marketplacification
creates a big squeeze
The marketplace business model
/in/mikeppc
#SMX
Marketplace KPIs differ from retail
1. Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV)
GMV is used for sizing the marketplace and describes the total sales occurring,
e.g.: unit sale price x number of units sold – it is not the marketplace’s revenue.
2. Take Rate (Rake)
This is the portion of GMV captured by the marketplace, commonly through
commissions, fees, ad revenue, etc. – it is not the marketplace’s profit.
3. Buyer-to-Seller Ratio (Liquidity)
Balancing supply and demand creates an attractive marketplace for both buyers
and sellers. Otherwise growth and network effects are not possible.
How marketplaces can use
Google Shopping
/in/mikeppc
#SMX
merchant.com/de
Standalone MC
merchant.com
Marketplace MCA
Catch-all Seller 1 Seller 2 Seller 3
Old:
One MC per domain &
country combination
New:
Marketplace MCA for all of
merchant’s European activity
EEA/CH
Marketplace
Consider this when restructuring:
● A change in parent domain (from merhcant.com/gb to merchant.com) can cause temporary downtime
● Changing MCA ID of a merchant account can trigger temporary disruptions to bidding technology
● Strongly advised to proceed outside of key dates
EEA/CH
seller accounts
Solution 1:
Standard Marketplace MCA creation
Solution steps
1. Create an independent standalone Merchant account in Google Shopping
a. You can ask Google to do this or move forward on your own
b. Google will need to use an email address not associated with any MCs currently. They can add users after
creation.
2. Once the standalone MC is created, ask to get the account moved to your CSS and converted into a Marketplace
MCA:
https://support.google.com/google-ads/contact/css_marketplace_requests
3. You will receive confirmation of your Marketplace MCA creation and a ‘catch-all’ account.
Standard Marketplace MCA creation
Pros & cons
Benefits
● Less downtime as the new account would be created while the current account is live
Drawbacks
● No item history since you would upload your items on a fresh account and set up new campaigns
● EU account would have to be launched first since you can only claim/verify one domain in Google Shopping
Standard Marketplace MCA creation
Solution 2:
Custom Marketplace conversion of an existing MC
Solution steps
1. Selection of target MC and approval for custom conversion to Marketplace setup
(e.g. merchant.com or merchant.com/de)
2. Account converted into a catch-all by Google engineering and a Marketplace MCA is created to house it
3. If applicable, the site domain is adjusted by merchant in order to align with new global domain
(legacy accounts still retain URL claim exemption)
a. If the new global domain remains unchanged, it’s best to convert the root domain MC (with no country code) so
you won’t have to change the URL here
b. Once the domain is updated, the global seller MC accounts can be created for each seller
4. Seller accounts can be linked to their respective ads accounts or campaigns to run Shopping
Custom Marketplace MCA conversion
Pros & cons
Benefits
● Retention of current item history
● You would simply build on the existing portfolio
Drawbacks
● Temporary impact on bidding tech
● Temporary downtime if there is a URL modification (estimated maximum: 3 business days)
○ This won’t be the case if the global domain remains
Custom Marketplace MCA conversion
Final structure
Google
Shopping
merchant.com
Marketplace MCA
Catch-all Seller 1 Seller 2 Seller 3
CSS
merchant.com
Marketplace MCA
Catch-all Seller 1 Seller 2 Seller 3
EU Rest of the World
● Limit of 20k sub-accounts possible
● Item quotas: 40m for catch-all, 150k per sub-account, 50m per Marketplace MCA
Best practices
● Marketplace sellers should each have individual sub-accounts within a Marketplace MCA structure
○ However if there are many low-volume sellers, they can be put into a catch-all account
● The catch-all account should aim to have around 1% of the marketplace’s activity (clicks).
● This guidance is not strictly enforced since it takes time to build out the seller infrastructure, but you will need to
take into account your item quota limits on the catch-all account.
● Here is your guiding principle:
○ Create your individual sub-accounts for sellers and use the catchall for longtail, remembering account item quota
limits
○ If the catchall hits the limit, break out more sellers
Implications and actions for retailers
/in/mikeppc
#SMX
Retreat
Watch/
Explore
Invest Defend
low OVERLAP RATE high
high
OUTRANKING
SHARE
low
A framework for evaluating your Shopping competitors
● Bubble radius equals Impression Share
● The actions in each quadrant depend on your
resources and ambition level
● Consider limiting the number of competitors
you will visualize
● Scatterplots are better at tackling more data
● Be wary of the default settings bubble charts in
Google Ads UI
MAXIMUM STRENGTH
COMPETITOR
WEAKEST POSSIBLE
COMPETITOR
Retreat
Watch/
Explore
Invest Defend
low OVERLAP RATE high
high
OUTRANKING
SHARE
low
A framework for evaluating your Shopping competitors
● Bubble radius equals Impression Share
● The actions in each quadrant depend on your
resources and ambition level
● Consider limiting the number of competitors
you will visualize
● Scatterplots are better at tackling more data
● Be wary of the default settings bubble charts in
Google Ads UI
?
Revealing Amazon’s auction power
Targeted experimentation
● Pretty high outranking power
● Low overlap & low impression share
● Suggests strong bidding on a narrow product
segment
● But Amazon doesn’t come to play...
source: proprietary – ask me for access
Revealing Amazon’s auction power
Targeted experimentation Total dominance
Revealing Amazon’s auction power
● up to 66% imp. share
● up to 70% overlap rate
● up to 85% outranking
● highly aggressive loss leader strategy across a
broad spectrum of products
Total dominance
From SMX London, May 2020
So, does query funnelling actually work against Amazon?
What about device campaign splits?
German Office Supply Retailer, January 2021
Amazon and eBay Competitive Strength per Query Class
● Amazon is notably weaker on more specific queries
relative to generic queries
○ -8% impression share
○ -28% outranking share
○ -14% overlap rate
● The retailer is stronger on more specific queries
relative to generic queries
○ +48% impression share
● eBay appears more targeted at mid- and low-funnel
Shopping auctions but with weak impression share
German Office Supply Retailer, January 2021
Amazon’s Competitive Strength per Ad Group by Query Class
● Significantly more ad groups are viable against Amazon in the mid and low funnel of Shopping
● Amazon seems to apply a brute force strategy – a strength and a weakness
German Office Supply Retailer, January 2021
Amazon’s Competitive Strength per Ad Group by Device
● This retailer sends less ad groups to mobile & tablet due to a B2B focus
● A significant share of desktop ad groups exist in a less competitive space – due to Amazon over-optimizing
for mobile and/or the retailer optimizing more effectively on desktop
UK Electronics Retailer
The way forward: test & learn
● Ad groups with a low impression share and
high ROAS were identified
● Both imp. share and click share grew
compared to the control
● ROAS was of course lower for these ad groups
but still surpassed the target
Detour…
Any SKAG fans in the room?
UK Health & Beauty Retailer, January 2021
Amazon’s Competitive Strength per SKAG
● Plenty of opportunity in “Explore” quadrant
regarding low-overlap ad groups
● Further research required: what amount of the
“Invest”-quadrant ad groups are retailer brand?
What about pricing and margin?
“Your margin is my opportunity.”
—Jeff Bezos
Fortune Magazine, 2012
Words of a shark
Price competitiveness across assortment
German Home & Deco Retailer
Offers where our prices are higher
than those of our competitors
Offers where our prices are lower than
those of our competitors
assess price difference and
potentially optimize for better
margins
optimize for more
competitive prices
= 1 Same price as competition
< 1 Our pricing is above the competition
> 1 Our pricing is below the competition
Competitiveness across assortment
German Fashion Retailer
Offers where our prices are higher
than those of our competitors
Offers where our prices are lower than
those of our competitors
assess price difference and
potentially optimize for better
margins
optimize for more
competitive prices
= 1 Same price as competition
< 1 Our pricing is above the competition
> 1 Our pricing is below the competition
Competitiveness across assortment
German Sports Retailer
= 1 Same price as competition
< 1 Our pricing is above the competition
> 1 Our pricing is below the competition
Offers where our prices are higher
than those of our competitors
Offers where our prices are lower than
those of our competitors
assess price difference and
potentially optimize for better
margins
optimize for more
competitive prices
Get serious about your pricing…
before Google does
And dynamic repricing is on its way
Reminder: Google has their own marketplace
● Buy On Google is currently limited, but it has the power to redefine how the SERP handles
● Since Google already built the repricing tech, it’s no stretch to say this could come to Shopping as well
And margin?
ROAS stands in the way
“I suppose it is tempting, if the only tool you have is a
hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail.”
—Abraham Maslow
The Psychology of Science, 1966
The Law of the Instrument
Instead of a hammer, we have ROAS.
But not everything is a ROAS problem,
nor is ROAS fit for purpose.
B
C
A
Performance incrementality is inevitably curved
You know the problem
ADVERTISING SPEND
CONV.
VALUE
ROAS
All we can do is “bend the spoon”
Inexhaustive list of variables:
● channel saturation
● feed quality
● landing page quality
● audience lists
→ measurement and tracking
● auction/query strategy
● pricing strategy
● budget deployment
● device management
● geo strategy
Measurement and tracking
What is the first, best step we can take?
ADVERTISING SPEND
CONVERSION
VALUE
ROAS
● how accurately is ROAS modelled
to profit?
● what steps can we take to improve
that modelling?
Margin of Error
Trim the fat – eliminate margin of error by tracking profit
What is the first, best step we can take?
ADVERTISING SPEND
CONVERSION
VALUE
ROAS ROI
● how accurately is ROAS modelled
to profit?
● what steps can we take to improve
that modelling?
● what steps can/should we take to
replace ROAS?
Summary
● 2021 and 2022 could be biq squeeze years due to an EKG effect
● Marketplaces are growing fast – and they work differently than classic retail models
● Marketplace MCA implementation is tedious and risky, but perhaps Google solve this
● Consider which technology and capabilities will allow you to differentiate
● Retailers are likely more able to be nimble and targeted than marketplaces
● Everyone in the market should start working on their price and margin now
Mike Ryan
mike.ryan@smarter-ecommerce.com
/in/mikeppc
Thank You
Reach out any time

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Google Shopping and Marketplaces: How to Defend and Expand Market Share

  • 1. Google Shopping and Marketplaces How to Defend and Expand Market Share SMX München 2021
  • 2. About me mike.ryan@smarter-ecommerce.com | +43 699 14111 309 | /in/mikeppc Mike Ryan Product Mgmt Lead, smec ● 10 years experience in retail operations ● warehousing, delivery, purchasing, electronic catalog ● sold everything and moved to Austria for love ● reinvented myself in marketing and product /in/mikeppc #SMX
  • 3. Agenda I. Three key ecommerce trends II. The marketplace business model III. How marketplaces can use Google Shopping IV. Implications and actions for retailers
  • 4. Three key ecommerce trends /in/mikeppc #SMX
  • 6. COVID-19 triggered unprecedented ecommerce growth ● Frequently cited figures include up to 5 years of growth in a few months ● Amazing, but what happens next? (source) (source) (source)
  • 7. The EKG effect ● 2020 already captured a lot of the ecommerce growth that would have occurred this year ● This swing makes YoY comparison and revenue goal-setting challenging at best Source: eMarketer 32% 6%
  • 8. Trend #2 The big get bigger
  • 9. Increased consolidation ● The biggest players were already outpacing the market before COVID Source: ecommerceDB 32% 6% 19% DE average 12% UK average
  • 10. Trend #3 Dream of Californication Marketplacification
  • 11. Ominous signals in the early days of COVID-19 (source) (source) (source) ● In my assessment, only one of these headlines stands the test of time: the “Collapse of the Middle”
  • 12. Marketplaces don’t seem to be slowing down at all
  • 13. The combination of diminished year-over-year growth, increased consolidation, and marketplacification creates a big squeeze
  • 14. The marketplace business model /in/mikeppc #SMX
  • 15. Marketplace KPIs differ from retail 1. Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) GMV is used for sizing the marketplace and describes the total sales occurring, e.g.: unit sale price x number of units sold – it is not the marketplace’s revenue. 2. Take Rate (Rake) This is the portion of GMV captured by the marketplace, commonly through commissions, fees, ad revenue, etc. – it is not the marketplace’s profit. 3. Buyer-to-Seller Ratio (Liquidity) Balancing supply and demand creates an attractive marketplace for both buyers and sellers. Otherwise growth and network effects are not possible.
  • 16. How marketplaces can use Google Shopping /in/mikeppc #SMX
  • 17. merchant.com/de Standalone MC merchant.com Marketplace MCA Catch-all Seller 1 Seller 2 Seller 3 Old: One MC per domain & country combination New: Marketplace MCA for all of merchant’s European activity EEA/CH Marketplace Consider this when restructuring: ● A change in parent domain (from merhcant.com/gb to merchant.com) can cause temporary downtime ● Changing MCA ID of a merchant account can trigger temporary disruptions to bidding technology ● Strongly advised to proceed outside of key dates EEA/CH seller accounts
  • 19. Solution steps 1. Create an independent standalone Merchant account in Google Shopping a. You can ask Google to do this or move forward on your own b. Google will need to use an email address not associated with any MCs currently. They can add users after creation. 2. Once the standalone MC is created, ask to get the account moved to your CSS and converted into a Marketplace MCA: https://support.google.com/google-ads/contact/css_marketplace_requests 3. You will receive confirmation of your Marketplace MCA creation and a ‘catch-all’ account. Standard Marketplace MCA creation
  • 20. Pros & cons Benefits ● Less downtime as the new account would be created while the current account is live Drawbacks ● No item history since you would upload your items on a fresh account and set up new campaigns ● EU account would have to be launched first since you can only claim/verify one domain in Google Shopping Standard Marketplace MCA creation
  • 21. Solution 2: Custom Marketplace conversion of an existing MC
  • 22. Solution steps 1. Selection of target MC and approval for custom conversion to Marketplace setup (e.g. merchant.com or merchant.com/de) 2. Account converted into a catch-all by Google engineering and a Marketplace MCA is created to house it 3. If applicable, the site domain is adjusted by merchant in order to align with new global domain (legacy accounts still retain URL claim exemption) a. If the new global domain remains unchanged, it’s best to convert the root domain MC (with no country code) so you won’t have to change the URL here b. Once the domain is updated, the global seller MC accounts can be created for each seller 4. Seller accounts can be linked to their respective ads accounts or campaigns to run Shopping Custom Marketplace MCA conversion
  • 23. Pros & cons Benefits ● Retention of current item history ● You would simply build on the existing portfolio Drawbacks ● Temporary impact on bidding tech ● Temporary downtime if there is a URL modification (estimated maximum: 3 business days) ○ This won’t be the case if the global domain remains Custom Marketplace MCA conversion
  • 24. Final structure Google Shopping merchant.com Marketplace MCA Catch-all Seller 1 Seller 2 Seller 3 CSS merchant.com Marketplace MCA Catch-all Seller 1 Seller 2 Seller 3 EU Rest of the World ● Limit of 20k sub-accounts possible ● Item quotas: 40m for catch-all, 150k per sub-account, 50m per Marketplace MCA
  • 25. Best practices ● Marketplace sellers should each have individual sub-accounts within a Marketplace MCA structure ○ However if there are many low-volume sellers, they can be put into a catch-all account ● The catch-all account should aim to have around 1% of the marketplace’s activity (clicks). ● This guidance is not strictly enforced since it takes time to build out the seller infrastructure, but you will need to take into account your item quota limits on the catch-all account. ● Here is your guiding principle: ○ Create your individual sub-accounts for sellers and use the catchall for longtail, remembering account item quota limits ○ If the catchall hits the limit, break out more sellers
  • 26. Implications and actions for retailers /in/mikeppc #SMX
  • 27. Retreat Watch/ Explore Invest Defend low OVERLAP RATE high high OUTRANKING SHARE low A framework for evaluating your Shopping competitors ● Bubble radius equals Impression Share ● The actions in each quadrant depend on your resources and ambition level ● Consider limiting the number of competitors you will visualize ● Scatterplots are better at tackling more data ● Be wary of the default settings bubble charts in Google Ads UI MAXIMUM STRENGTH COMPETITOR WEAKEST POSSIBLE COMPETITOR
  • 28. Retreat Watch/ Explore Invest Defend low OVERLAP RATE high high OUTRANKING SHARE low A framework for evaluating your Shopping competitors ● Bubble radius equals Impression Share ● The actions in each quadrant depend on your resources and ambition level ● Consider limiting the number of competitors you will visualize ● Scatterplots are better at tackling more data ● Be wary of the default settings bubble charts in Google Ads UI ?
  • 29. Revealing Amazon’s auction power Targeted experimentation ● Pretty high outranking power ● Low overlap & low impression share ● Suggests strong bidding on a narrow product segment ● But Amazon doesn’t come to play... source: proprietary – ask me for access
  • 30. Revealing Amazon’s auction power Targeted experimentation Total dominance
  • 31. Revealing Amazon’s auction power ● up to 66% imp. share ● up to 70% overlap rate ● up to 85% outranking ● highly aggressive loss leader strategy across a broad spectrum of products Total dominance
  • 32. From SMX London, May 2020
  • 33. So, does query funnelling actually work against Amazon? What about device campaign splits?
  • 34. German Office Supply Retailer, January 2021 Amazon and eBay Competitive Strength per Query Class ● Amazon is notably weaker on more specific queries relative to generic queries ○ -8% impression share ○ -28% outranking share ○ -14% overlap rate ● The retailer is stronger on more specific queries relative to generic queries ○ +48% impression share ● eBay appears more targeted at mid- and low-funnel Shopping auctions but with weak impression share
  • 35. German Office Supply Retailer, January 2021 Amazon’s Competitive Strength per Ad Group by Query Class ● Significantly more ad groups are viable against Amazon in the mid and low funnel of Shopping ● Amazon seems to apply a brute force strategy – a strength and a weakness
  • 36. German Office Supply Retailer, January 2021 Amazon’s Competitive Strength per Ad Group by Device ● This retailer sends less ad groups to mobile & tablet due to a B2B focus ● A significant share of desktop ad groups exist in a less competitive space – due to Amazon over-optimizing for mobile and/or the retailer optimizing more effectively on desktop
  • 37. UK Electronics Retailer The way forward: test & learn ● Ad groups with a low impression share and high ROAS were identified ● Both imp. share and click share grew compared to the control ● ROAS was of course lower for these ad groups but still surpassed the target
  • 38. Detour… Any SKAG fans in the room?
  • 39. UK Health & Beauty Retailer, January 2021 Amazon’s Competitive Strength per SKAG ● Plenty of opportunity in “Explore” quadrant regarding low-overlap ad groups ● Further research required: what amount of the “Invest”-quadrant ad groups are retailer brand?
  • 40. What about pricing and margin?
  • 41. “Your margin is my opportunity.” —Jeff Bezos Fortune Magazine, 2012 Words of a shark
  • 42. Price competitiveness across assortment German Home & Deco Retailer Offers where our prices are higher than those of our competitors Offers where our prices are lower than those of our competitors assess price difference and potentially optimize for better margins optimize for more competitive prices = 1 Same price as competition < 1 Our pricing is above the competition > 1 Our pricing is below the competition
  • 43. Competitiveness across assortment German Fashion Retailer Offers where our prices are higher than those of our competitors Offers where our prices are lower than those of our competitors assess price difference and potentially optimize for better margins optimize for more competitive prices = 1 Same price as competition < 1 Our pricing is above the competition > 1 Our pricing is below the competition
  • 44. Competitiveness across assortment German Sports Retailer = 1 Same price as competition < 1 Our pricing is above the competition > 1 Our pricing is below the competition Offers where our prices are higher than those of our competitors Offers where our prices are lower than those of our competitors assess price difference and potentially optimize for better margins optimize for more competitive prices
  • 45. Get serious about your pricing… before Google does
  • 46. And dynamic repricing is on its way Reminder: Google has their own marketplace ● Buy On Google is currently limited, but it has the power to redefine how the SERP handles ● Since Google already built the repricing tech, it’s no stretch to say this could come to Shopping as well
  • 48. “I suppose it is tempting, if the only tool you have is a hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail.” —Abraham Maslow The Psychology of Science, 1966 The Law of the Instrument
  • 49. Instead of a hammer, we have ROAS. But not everything is a ROAS problem, nor is ROAS fit for purpose.
  • 50. B C A Performance incrementality is inevitably curved You know the problem ADVERTISING SPEND CONV. VALUE ROAS All we can do is “bend the spoon” Inexhaustive list of variables: ● channel saturation ● feed quality ● landing page quality ● audience lists → measurement and tracking ● auction/query strategy ● pricing strategy ● budget deployment ● device management ● geo strategy
  • 51. Measurement and tracking What is the first, best step we can take? ADVERTISING SPEND CONVERSION VALUE ROAS ● how accurately is ROAS modelled to profit? ● what steps can we take to improve that modelling? Margin of Error
  • 52. Trim the fat – eliminate margin of error by tracking profit What is the first, best step we can take? ADVERTISING SPEND CONVERSION VALUE ROAS ROI ● how accurately is ROAS modelled to profit? ● what steps can we take to improve that modelling? ● what steps can/should we take to replace ROAS?
  • 53. Summary ● 2021 and 2022 could be biq squeeze years due to an EKG effect ● Marketplaces are growing fast – and they work differently than classic retail models ● Marketplace MCA implementation is tedious and risky, but perhaps Google solve this ● Consider which technology and capabilities will allow you to differentiate ● Retailers are likely more able to be nimble and targeted than marketplaces ● Everyone in the market should start working on their price and margin now