Extended abstract presented in poster-form on 6th International Symposium on Dynamic Traffic Assignment (Sydney, 28-30 June, 2016).
Conclusions:
In this extended abstract methods in literature and logical extensions to those methods that could improve convergence of quasi dynamic assignment models where investigated. Two important mechanisms causing convergence issues where identified (existence of an ‘instable phase’ and spatial inseparability of route cost functions) using examples on theoretical networks and two enhancements to existing methods where proposed and successfully demonstrated.
Based on this research, novel methods that will be tested in the full study include SRA applied to ODpairs clustered by usage of bottlenecks, two hybrid forms of MSA and SRA, diagonalization and/or dampening of spillback effects, capping routecost for routes where the ratio between time in congestion and total travel time is too high and discarding diverging iterations instead of only lowering their step size (as SRA does).
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Improving convergence of static assignment models with strict capacity constraints
1. Improving convergence of
quasi dynamic assignment models
Results
For application in a strategic context,
assignment models need to converge to a
stable state. Besides poor convergence,
dynamic models lack the tractability, scalability
and low input and computational requirements
that are needed in this context. Therefore, in
this research we use the quasi dynamic
assignment model STAQ, that combines
tractability, scalability and low input and
computational requirements of static with the
realism of dynamic models and try to improve
its rate of convergence.
Capacity and storage constraints may cause route cost functions to become:
1. over-sensitive causing an ‘instable phase’ during the first iterations;
2. strongly inseparable when sharing (spillback from) a bottleneck.
Both properties are also existent in pure DTA models and lead to poor convergence.
Ad 1: SRA outperforms MSA, but only when higher precision user equilibrium is
needed. For lower precision the ‘instable phase’ needs to be shortened, which can be
done by normalizing the scale factor of the route choice model to the largest routecost.
Ad 2: SRA-ODspecific outperforms SRA, but only when inseparability of routes is
taken into account: OD pairs should be clustered based on level of inseparability.
High precision (DG<1E-05) is not needed for strategic application (finding is in line with
literature on static traffic assignment models, i.e.: Boyce, Ralevic and Bar Gera 2004).
Network Loading Model: STAQ
Static STAQ 1st order DTA
Link model: Travel time function Fundamental diagram
Node model: None Explicit node model
Demand: Stationary Time varying
Time periods: Single Multiple
Route Choice Model: Multinomial Logit
Convergence Metric: Stochastic Duality Gap
Straightforward extension of deterministic
duality gap, but will go to 0 when using MNL
route choice model
MSA: method of successive averages (1/i)
SRA: Self regulating average (Liu et al 2009)
Spillback network:
D1
D2
O
Dependent network:
D1
D2
O
Independent network:
D1
D2
O
Test networks:
Tested averaging schemes:
Convergence:
SRA od specific
SRA normalize mu based on maxcost:
Proposed enhancements:
Luuk Brederode* 1, 2, Adam Pel1, Luc Wismans2,3, Erik de Romph1
1Delft University of Technology, Department of Transport & Planning - 2DAT.mobility - 3University of Twente, Centre for Transport Studies Corresponding author: lbrederode@dat.nl
Research objective
Methods used
Conclusions
Den Bosch / Oss region (PM peak)
Gaps MSA vs SRA (test networks)
Gaps enhanced methods (test networks)
Gaps all methods (real network)
Realistic Network:
148 zones, 7005 nodes,
15200 links, 25000 routes
Diverging iterations:
decrease stepsize
Converging iterations:
maintain stepsize
MSA
SRA
Stepsizes: MSA vs SRA
1E-02 1E-04 1E-15
Legend
Bandwith: flow
Color: relative speed (% of free flow speed)
100%
0%
65%
(critical)
Presented at the 6th international symposium on
dynamic traffic assignment – Sydney, Australia