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Griffith University - Liese Coulter – l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Personal adaptation:
discussions, decisions and
planning
All images #CFCC15 © Liese Coulter: Creative Commons with attribution, non-commercial
Challenge:
Imagine a climate system that gains energy
every decade from now onward…
The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report shows that
near-term climate change will influence our
environment over the next twenty years.
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
The social construction of 2035:
Communicating the imagined
future to adapt to climate change
WHO: Climate change professionals in
research, policy and practice
WHAT: How do you talk to family and
friends about adapting to climate change
over the next 20 years?
WHEN: June 2014- June 2015
WHERE: Australia and Canada
WHY: Personal conversations and plans
shape the imagined future and shared
choices.
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Personal adaptation issues
Common issues identified include:
•My personal problems seem trivial
compared with future generations,
other nations, the less fortunate…
•I am only one person. How can I
adapt to climate change?
•Dealing with climate change is not
something we talk about.
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Scaring people or
bringing up unpleasant
topics in a social
situation is not a
diplomatic approach. It is
easier to talk about
environmental ethos in
mitigation but disturbing
to talk about personal
vulnerability in
adaptation.
Personal adaptation issues
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Personal adaptation concerns
Common concerns include the need to:
• shift concern for mitigation of climate
change to include adaptation to
climate impacts;
• think beyond unpleasant possibilities
and envision future life affected by
climate change, and
• foster skills for greater cooperation in
education and planning.
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Decision makers in
prosperous nations do
not see themselves as
very vulnerable to
climate change.
Adaptation is framed as
happening to someone
else, at a distant time
and place.
Personal adaptation concerns
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Personal adaptation challenges
Common challenges include:
• uneven capacity for change on a
personal level;
• not practiced in thinking about the
future, and
• difficult to remain positive and hopeful
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Discourse and future
thinking will continue to
evolve as climate change
is differently experienced
and discussed globally.
Personal adaptation challenges
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Dangerous Futures Unfamiliar Futures
Imagined FuturesUnfolding Futures
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
“…And if anything scares me about
Tasmania is the lack of good regulation on
food security, and when these outbreaks
happen, then the likelihood of someone
dying is high, because we just don’t have the
systems in place.”
(Australian 3063-practice)
“…we hear a lot… that the problems are not
going to be here; they’re going to be in the
tropics, where you have really small islands;
or in Europe, they’re going to have a lot of
flooding, and then Florida is going to be -
Florida won’t exist anymore. That’s what we
hear about.”
(Canadian 3382-research)
Dangerous Futures
climate change + narrative communication
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
Unfamiliar Futures
climate change + future thinking
…my vision for the future is one where we’re
more collaborative, not less. I think resilience
for communities and for families will involve
not being isolationist, but creating networks
that are cooperative that can negotiate
appropriate and maybe firm
boundaries...(Australian 3243-policy)
…global warming is not what many of us
thought what it was going to be 15 or 20
years ago. …we were going to have palm
trees, and our winters were going to be
nothing compared to what they are now.
What we’re going to see is …more extreme
seasonal weather.
(Canadian 3380-practice)
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
“Because the impacts of climate change
ongoing right now, and into this time period
that you are dealing with, has the potential to
be sufficient to really cause some disruption
in places like China, Southeast Asia, where a
lot of our food’s coming from.”
(Australian 3056-research)
“…sure, I want to get into (my) 90s. I do, I’m
in good health. But yeah, I imagine myself
there. And getting back to the climate thing…
I wonder what things will be like. I worry
about the skiing.“
(Canadian 3367-research)
Imagined Futures
future thinking + narrative communication
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
“So even without climate change global
fisheries look pretty bloody awful. …But if
we do it right, we’ll still be pretty natural,
actually… So, could be a messy interval.”
(Australian 3344-research)
“I have never been in a conversation in a
professional context where anybody
actually sat down and said “We need to to
think mainly, primarily, about climate
change." Not a one. Never heard it.“
(Canadian 3384-policy)
Unfolding Futures
change over time
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
I am only one person.
How can I adapt to climate change?
Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au

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Personal adaptation: discussions, decisions and planning

  • 1. Griffith University - Liese Coulter – l.coulter@griffith.edu.au Personal adaptation: discussions, decisions and planning All images #CFCC15 © Liese Coulter: Creative Commons with attribution, non-commercial
  • 2. Challenge: Imagine a climate system that gains energy every decade from now onward… The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report shows that near-term climate change will influence our environment over the next twenty years. Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 3. The social construction of 2035: Communicating the imagined future to adapt to climate change WHO: Climate change professionals in research, policy and practice WHAT: How do you talk to family and friends about adapting to climate change over the next 20 years? WHEN: June 2014- June 2015 WHERE: Australia and Canada WHY: Personal conversations and plans shape the imagined future and shared choices. Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 4. Personal adaptation issues Common issues identified include: •My personal problems seem trivial compared with future generations, other nations, the less fortunate… •I am only one person. How can I adapt to climate change? •Dealing with climate change is not something we talk about. Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 5. Scaring people or bringing up unpleasant topics in a social situation is not a diplomatic approach. It is easier to talk about environmental ethos in mitigation but disturbing to talk about personal vulnerability in adaptation. Personal adaptation issues Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 6. Personal adaptation concerns Common concerns include the need to: • shift concern for mitigation of climate change to include adaptation to climate impacts; • think beyond unpleasant possibilities and envision future life affected by climate change, and • foster skills for greater cooperation in education and planning. Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 7. Decision makers in prosperous nations do not see themselves as very vulnerable to climate change. Adaptation is framed as happening to someone else, at a distant time and place. Personal adaptation concerns Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 8. Personal adaptation challenges Common challenges include: • uneven capacity for change on a personal level; • not practiced in thinking about the future, and • difficult to remain positive and hopeful Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 9. Discourse and future thinking will continue to evolve as climate change is differently experienced and discussed globally. Personal adaptation challenges Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 10. Dangerous Futures Unfamiliar Futures Imagined FuturesUnfolding Futures Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 11. “…And if anything scares me about Tasmania is the lack of good regulation on food security, and when these outbreaks happen, then the likelihood of someone dying is high, because we just don’t have the systems in place.” (Australian 3063-practice) “…we hear a lot… that the problems are not going to be here; they’re going to be in the tropics, where you have really small islands; or in Europe, they’re going to have a lot of flooding, and then Florida is going to be - Florida won’t exist anymore. That’s what we hear about.” (Canadian 3382-research) Dangerous Futures climate change + narrative communication Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 12. Unfamiliar Futures climate change + future thinking …my vision for the future is one where we’re more collaborative, not less. I think resilience for communities and for families will involve not being isolationist, but creating networks that are cooperative that can negotiate appropriate and maybe firm boundaries...(Australian 3243-policy) …global warming is not what many of us thought what it was going to be 15 or 20 years ago. …we were going to have palm trees, and our winters were going to be nothing compared to what they are now. What we’re going to see is …more extreme seasonal weather. (Canadian 3380-practice) Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 13. “Because the impacts of climate change ongoing right now, and into this time period that you are dealing with, has the potential to be sufficient to really cause some disruption in places like China, Southeast Asia, where a lot of our food’s coming from.” (Australian 3056-research) “…sure, I want to get into (my) 90s. I do, I’m in good health. But yeah, I imagine myself there. And getting back to the climate thing… I wonder what things will be like. I worry about the skiing.“ (Canadian 3367-research) Imagined Futures future thinking + narrative communication Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 14. “So even without climate change global fisheries look pretty bloody awful. …But if we do it right, we’ll still be pretty natural, actually… So, could be a messy interval.” (Australian 3344-research) “I have never been in a conversation in a professional context where anybody actually sat down and said “We need to to think mainly, primarily, about climate change." Not a one. Never heard it.“ (Canadian 3384-policy) Unfolding Futures change over time Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au
  • 15. I am only one person. How can I adapt to climate change? Liese Coulter I Associate Lecturer I Griffith University E: l.coulter@griffith.edu.au

Editor's Notes

  1. This study explores current metaphors and narratives that aid us in imagining our lives in 2035 and aims to generate insights into how we talk about our future selves dealing with expected climate change. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC, have for the first time published likely projections for near-term climate change from 2016-2035 (Kirtman, 2013). This research asks how do we incorporate this information in our expectations of the future; in our stories of the recent past; in our plans for the next two decades and the choices we see before us.