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Building an
Emerging
Technology and
Futures
Capacity in
Your
Organization
EDUCAUSEEDUCAUSE
October 2015October 2015
October 2015
1. Mindset
2. Methods
3. Organizational
layers
4. Your thoughts
2
1. Mindset
 Adding new habits of mind
 Allowing mental space to step
outside immediate crises and
routine
 Reduce reliance on history, a
kind of path dependency
 Be social about it
3
2. Grappling with the future: methods2. Grappling with the future: methods
5
Environmental
scan
•Trends
identified,
tested,
projected
FTTE reports, January-December 2013FTTE reports, January-December 2013
Trend tracking andTrend tracking and
analysisanalysis
ScenariosScenarios
Stories about futures
 Event and response
 Creativity
 Roles and times
 Emergent practices
and patterns
Consume the literatureConsume the literature
• Technology writing
• Education writing
• Popular culture
• Science fiction
• Design
Domain deep dive
 Assemble experts
 Seminar-style exploration
 Brainstorm and cross-
fertilize
 Multidimensional
forecasting
10
Syntheses and connectionsSyntheses and connections
Integrate methods
 Environmental scan->scenario
drivers
 Delphi reports -> Identify trends
 Test trends by extrapolation
 Environmental scan -> Identify
trends
3. Organizational layers
Starting close by:
 Your department
 Campus populations
 faculty
 support staff
 students
12
3. Organizational layers
Farther out:
 local community
 professional networks
 world at large
13
Practical actionsPractical actions
 Use methods in-house
 Nudge staff into becoming method
practitioners
 Use methods in campus community,
looking for expertise
 Check for institutional interest and
support (i.e., library futures collection)
14
Practical actionsPractical actions
Take
advantage
of outside
projects
15
Practical actionsPractical actions
Track
trends
and
signals
from the
world
16
Practical actionsPractical actions
Observe
humans and
their use of
technologies
17
Practical actionsPractical actions
• Identify useful future-oriented people
19
The futures-oriented organizationThe futures-oriented organization
What it looks like in process:
 Thinking of the future
 Gathering intelligence
 Working together with futures
methods
20
The futures-oriented organizationThe futures-oriented organization
 Sharing observations + ideas
internally
 “ “ “ “ externally
 Collaborating with the campus
and beyond
21
http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org
bryan.alexander@gmail.combryan.alexander@gmail.com
http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderhttp://twitter.com/bryanalexander

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