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C.W. Chin
Chairman
American Chamber of Commerce in Taipei
March 4, 2020
2020 TAIWAN
BUSINESS CLIMATE SURVEY
1
How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth
over the next 12 months?
2020
60%
somewhat or
very confident
2019
46%
somewhat or
very confident
14 percentage point increase
from previous year
2
How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth
over the next 12 months?
67 respondents answered
between January 14 and January 22
73%
somewhat or
very confident
130 respondents answered
between January 23 and February 17
53%
somewhat or
very confident
After coronavirus outbreakBefore coronavirus outbreak
3
How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth
over the next 3 years?
2020
70.6%
somewhat or
very confident
2019
54%
Somewhat or
very confident
Over 16 percentage point increase
from previous year
4
How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth
over the next 3 years?
67 respondents answered
between January 14 and January 22
67%
somewhat or
very confident
130 respondents answered
between January 23 and February 17
72%
somewhat or
very confident
After coronavirus outbreakBefore coronavirus outbreak
5
How confident are you about your
company’s prospects for revenue growth?
Over next 12 months
77.7%
either somewhat or very
confident
Over next 3 years
81.7%
either somewhat or very
confident
Taiwan continues to be a
positive environment for multinationals
6
Factors that might be affecting
the business outlook positively
Substantial investment returning to Taiwan
from China.
Well-run 2020 presidential/legislative elections.
Strong state of the relationship with the U.S.
Booming semiconductor industry.
7
Impact of U.S.-China trade dispute
On your business in 2019
Large extent
10.75%
Some extent
29.03%
Small extent
36.56%
Not at all
21.51%
Don't know
2.15%
Negative
20%
Mixed
31%
Positive
47%
Don't know
3%
On Taiwan so far
8
Has U.S. trade policy been clear and consistent enough over the
past year to enable you to engage in reasonable business planning?
32%
Say NO
9
Is it important for your business for TIFA talks
with the U.S. to resume soon?
59%
Say yes
Bilateral TIFA talks have not been held since 2016.
10
Opportunities for Growth
11
Main business growth opportunity for your company in
Taiwan over the next 12 months
Product or service innovation
50.3%
Existing market expansion
28.9%
12
More than a third of companies plan to increase
the number of fulltime equivalent employees this year
nearly
35%
Plan to increase
57%
Largely unchanged
13
After coronavirus outbreakBefore coronavirus outbreak
Overall
35%
Plan to
increase
56%
Largely
unchanged
nearly
34%
Plan to
increase
nearly
58%
Largely
unchanged
Overall, companies are still satisfied with their ability to
recruit enough – and sufficiently capable – personnel
2020
56%
Expressed satisfaction
2019
59%
Expressed satisfaction
14
Survey-takers continue to show enthusiasm
about the quality of Taiwan’s human capital
• Trustworthiness
• Execution of assigned tasks
• Loyalty
• Teamwork
• Industriousness
• Business ethics
Top 6
Out of 18 characteristics --
15
Key Areas of Concern
Regulatory Framework, Energy, Labor Policies
16
Regulatory framework
法規制定
17
Are you satisfied with top policymakers’ attention to the
needs of businesses in setting relevant policies?
nearly
27%
satisfied
over
36%
Not satisfied
Another 36% were “Neutral”
18
Continued modest improvement
in regulatory environment
19
Quarterly meetings with National Development Council to
achieve progress on White Paper issues have been productive.
over
56%
Very or somewhat
satisfied
20
Energy
能源政策
21
The level of concern
has dropped sharply,
possibly because of
progress in developing
renewables.
nearly
60%
Extremely or
somewhat concerned
(73% in 2019)
Voltage stability
nearly
69%Extremely or somewhat
concerned
nearly
60%
Extremely or
somewhat concerned
(70% in 2019)
Electricity Cost
Energy Supply
(87% in 2019)
22
61.5%
say it will affect their
expansion decisions
to some degree.
The goal of
making Taiwan
nuclear free by
2025 will impact
their company’s
decisions to
expand.
23
Labor policies
勞動政策
24
Nearly half of respondents
disagreed that current
regulations provide sufficient
flexibility to meet their
company’s needs.
45%
Disagreed
Over 40% of respondents
disagreed with the statement
that current labor policies will
make it more likely for their
company to expand in Taiwan.
Almost
43%
Disagreed (55% in 2019)
(45% in
2019)
25
Why Taiwan?
26
Why Taiwan is seen as an excellent place to live and work
Personal safety
Healthcare system
Friendliness toward foreigners
Social stability
Living costs
Top 5 Reasons:
27
What were the most important initiatives
undertaken by the government in 2019?
Promotion of green energy
5+2 Innovative Industry program
Protecting Taiwan’s democracy
Labor Law revisions
New Southbound policy
Marriage equality legislation
28
Cross-Strait relations
Energy
Labor policies
Bilateral trade agreement with the U.S.
Boosting investment
Talent cultivation and retention
What should be the top priorities in the next Presidential
term?
29
Methodology
 The survey was conducted from January 14 to February 17, 2020. (The
timing was later than in previous years in order to start after the
conclusion of the January 11 presidential/legislative elections).
 Based on input from 197 voting members of the Chamber – mainly
country heads – for a gratifying response rate of 50.3%.
 AmCham Taipei thanks Thomas Ivacko, Interim Director, Center for Local,
State, and Urban Policy, at the Ford School of Public Policy at the
University of Michigan for technical guidance in conducting the survey.
30
THANK YOU
Download Full Report
Follow Us On
or visit us www.amcham.com.tw
Facebook: amchamtaipei
Twitter: amchamtaipei
31

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2020 Business Climate Survey

  • 1. C.W. Chin Chairman American Chamber of Commerce in Taipei March 4, 2020 2020 TAIWAN BUSINESS CLIMATE SURVEY 1
  • 2. How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth over the next 12 months? 2020 60% somewhat or very confident 2019 46% somewhat or very confident 14 percentage point increase from previous year 2
  • 3. How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth over the next 12 months? 67 respondents answered between January 14 and January 22 73% somewhat or very confident 130 respondents answered between January 23 and February 17 53% somewhat or very confident After coronavirus outbreakBefore coronavirus outbreak 3
  • 4. How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth over the next 3 years? 2020 70.6% somewhat or very confident 2019 54% Somewhat or very confident Over 16 percentage point increase from previous year 4
  • 5. How confident are you about Taiwan’s economic growth over the next 3 years? 67 respondents answered between January 14 and January 22 67% somewhat or very confident 130 respondents answered between January 23 and February 17 72% somewhat or very confident After coronavirus outbreakBefore coronavirus outbreak 5
  • 6. How confident are you about your company’s prospects for revenue growth? Over next 12 months 77.7% either somewhat or very confident Over next 3 years 81.7% either somewhat or very confident Taiwan continues to be a positive environment for multinationals 6
  • 7. Factors that might be affecting the business outlook positively Substantial investment returning to Taiwan from China. Well-run 2020 presidential/legislative elections. Strong state of the relationship with the U.S. Booming semiconductor industry. 7
  • 8. Impact of U.S.-China trade dispute On your business in 2019 Large extent 10.75% Some extent 29.03% Small extent 36.56% Not at all 21.51% Don't know 2.15% Negative 20% Mixed 31% Positive 47% Don't know 3% On Taiwan so far 8
  • 9. Has U.S. trade policy been clear and consistent enough over the past year to enable you to engage in reasonable business planning? 32% Say NO 9
  • 10. Is it important for your business for TIFA talks with the U.S. to resume soon? 59% Say yes Bilateral TIFA talks have not been held since 2016. 10
  • 12. Main business growth opportunity for your company in Taiwan over the next 12 months Product or service innovation 50.3% Existing market expansion 28.9% 12
  • 13. More than a third of companies plan to increase the number of fulltime equivalent employees this year nearly 35% Plan to increase 57% Largely unchanged 13 After coronavirus outbreakBefore coronavirus outbreak Overall 35% Plan to increase 56% Largely unchanged nearly 34% Plan to increase nearly 58% Largely unchanged
  • 14. Overall, companies are still satisfied with their ability to recruit enough – and sufficiently capable – personnel 2020 56% Expressed satisfaction 2019 59% Expressed satisfaction 14
  • 15. Survey-takers continue to show enthusiasm about the quality of Taiwan’s human capital • Trustworthiness • Execution of assigned tasks • Loyalty • Teamwork • Industriousness • Business ethics Top 6 Out of 18 characteristics -- 15
  • 16. Key Areas of Concern Regulatory Framework, Energy, Labor Policies 16
  • 18. Are you satisfied with top policymakers’ attention to the needs of businesses in setting relevant policies? nearly 27% satisfied over 36% Not satisfied Another 36% were “Neutral” 18
  • 19. Continued modest improvement in regulatory environment 19
  • 20. Quarterly meetings with National Development Council to achieve progress on White Paper issues have been productive. over 56% Very or somewhat satisfied 20
  • 22. The level of concern has dropped sharply, possibly because of progress in developing renewables. nearly 60% Extremely or somewhat concerned (73% in 2019) Voltage stability nearly 69%Extremely or somewhat concerned nearly 60% Extremely or somewhat concerned (70% in 2019) Electricity Cost Energy Supply (87% in 2019) 22
  • 23. 61.5% say it will affect their expansion decisions to some degree. The goal of making Taiwan nuclear free by 2025 will impact their company’s decisions to expand. 23
  • 25. Nearly half of respondents disagreed that current regulations provide sufficient flexibility to meet their company’s needs. 45% Disagreed Over 40% of respondents disagreed with the statement that current labor policies will make it more likely for their company to expand in Taiwan. Almost 43% Disagreed (55% in 2019) (45% in 2019) 25
  • 27. Why Taiwan is seen as an excellent place to live and work Personal safety Healthcare system Friendliness toward foreigners Social stability Living costs Top 5 Reasons: 27
  • 28. What were the most important initiatives undertaken by the government in 2019? Promotion of green energy 5+2 Innovative Industry program Protecting Taiwan’s democracy Labor Law revisions New Southbound policy Marriage equality legislation 28
  • 29. Cross-Strait relations Energy Labor policies Bilateral trade agreement with the U.S. Boosting investment Talent cultivation and retention What should be the top priorities in the next Presidential term? 29
  • 30. Methodology  The survey was conducted from January 14 to February 17, 2020. (The timing was later than in previous years in order to start after the conclusion of the January 11 presidential/legislative elections).  Based on input from 197 voting members of the Chamber – mainly country heads – for a gratifying response rate of 50.3%.  AmCham Taipei thanks Thomas Ivacko, Interim Director, Center for Local, State, and Urban Policy, at the Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan for technical guidance in conducting the survey. 30
  • 31. THANK YOU Download Full Report Follow Us On or visit us www.amcham.com.tw Facebook: amchamtaipei Twitter: amchamtaipei 31

Editor's Notes

  1. These are suppositions in trying to explain the positive attitudes. They were not covered explicitly in the survey.
  2. Last year many companies were worried about the impact of the US-China trade dispute. Now only 10.75% have found it to have a big impact on their business. Nearly half see a positive result for Taiwan so far.
  3. Combine this with next slide
  4. Last year 43.6% cited product or service innovation. Innovation is becoming increasingly important.
  5. Good news for the Taiwan economy.
  6. Statistically roughly the same level.
  7. Better than last year. But a large proportion of respondents are still worried about the future energy supply.