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Public Policy Issue Ownership Study Finds Liberals Best Suited for Health Care
- 1. The Delphi Plebiscite A cross-sectional study of Canadian public opinion and voting behavior Focus on Health Care January 6, 2021
- 2. Table of Contents Public Policy Management Government Spending Feelings Towards Groups, Professions and Institutions Methodology Sample Demographics Contact Us
- 3. Public Policy Management When asked which party would be best suited to handle 13 different policy issues, roughly one-third of Canadians were unable to name a particular party for each issue measured. The Liberal Party was seen to be better suited to manage the impacts of COVID- 19 and health care issues than any other party. The Green Party has more ownership over the environment than any other party. Liberals seen as best to manage foreign policy but Tories seen as best to manage security and defence. The Tories are best seen to manage the debt/deficit but are tied with the Liberals as to who is best to handle the economy and create jobs.
- 4. 36% 34% 32% 30% 29% 29% 27% 26% 26% 26% 26% 23% 17% 18% 26% 21% 29% 23% 18% 18% 16% 29% 31% 21% 13% 39% 9% 7% 12% 7% 8% 19% 23% 22% 8% 6% 9% 10% 6% 9% 26% 32% 29% 28% 28% 33% 28% 27% 29% 31% 33% 32% 26% 34% MANAGING THE IMPACTS OF COVID-19 TRADE AND FOREIGN POLICY IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES GROWING THE ECONOMY AND CREATING JOBS TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE HEALTH CARE WELFARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY PHARMACARE AND PRESCRIPTION DRUG COVERAGE CRIME AND JUSTICE SECURITY, DEFENCE AND THE MILITARY AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE ENVIRONMENT REDUCING THE DEFICIT/DEBT Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? Liberal Party of Canada Conservative Party of Canada New Democratic Party of Canada (NDP) The Green Party of Canada Don't know Liberals seen to be best suited to manage the majority of the issues measured. NDP fails to own any one issue but is most competitive on pharmacare, welfare and health care. The Tories are more likely to be seen as best suited to handle crime, defence, reducing the deficit/debt, and are very competitive on the economy. The Green Party is seen to be better suited to manage the environment than any other party. Across 13 different public policy realms…
- 5. 36% 34% 32% 30% 29% 29% 27% 26% 26% 29% 29% 31% 39% 26% MANAGING THE IMPACTS OF COVID-19 TRADE AND FOREIGN POLICY IMMIGRATION AND REFUGEES GROWING THE ECONOMY AND CREATING JOBS TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE HEALTH CARE WELFARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY PHARMACARE AND PRESCRIPTION DRUG COVERAGE CRIME AND JUSTICE SECURITY, DEFENCE AND THE MILITARY AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE ENVIRONMENT REDUCING THE DEFICIT/DEBT Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? Liberal Party of Canada Conservative Party of Canada New Democratic Party of Canada (NDP) The Green Party of Canada Don't know 32% 29% 28% 28% 33% 28% 27% 29% 31% 33% 32% 26% 34% Darker colours signify issue ownership (more than any other party as well as the % who say they do not know). Lighter colours signify a competitive advantage (more than any other party but less the % that does not know). Liberals have notable ownership of health care, managing the impacts of COVID-19 and are competitive around pharmacare and prescription drug coverage.
- 6. 29% 69% 43% 37% 36% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED LIBERAL VOTERS 65 OR OVER ATLANTIC CANADA 18 TO 24 Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Health care) Liberal Party of Canada Decided Liberal voters, those on both ends of the age spectrum and those living in Atlantic Canada were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the Liberal Party is best suited to manage health care.
- 7. 18% 62% 27% 25% 25% 23% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALBERTA 55 TO 64 THE PRAIRIES 45 TO 54 Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Health care) Conservative Party of Canada Those between the ages of 45-64, those living in the Heartland as well as decided Conservative voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the Conservative Party would be best suited to manage health care.
- 8. 19% 73% 32% 30% 27% 25% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED NDP VOTERS ALBERTA THE PRAIRIES BRITISH COLUMBIA MASTER’S DEGREE OR HIGHER Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Health care) New Democratic Party of Canada (NDP) Those living west of Ontario, those with higher levels of education and decided NDP voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the NDP would be best suited to manage health care.
- 9. 36% 85% 53% 48% 44% 44% 40% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED LIBERAL VOTERS 65 OR OVER ATLANTIC CANADA $100,000 OR MORE MASTER’S DEGREE OR HIGHER ONTARIO Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Managing the impacts of COVID-19) Liberal Party of Canada Those living in Ontario and Atlantic Canada, those with higher levels of education, those living in higher income households, those above the age of 65 and decided Liberal voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the Liberal Party would be best suited to manage the impacts of COVID-19.
- 10. 18% 67% 29% 27% 26% 24% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS THE PRAIRIES 55 TO 64 HIGH SCHOOL OR LESS ALBERTA Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Managing the impacts of COVID-19) Conservative Party of Canada Those living in the Heartland, those with lower levels of education, those between the ages of 55- 64 and decided Conservative voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the Conservative Party would be best suited to manage the impacts of COVID-19.
- 11. 9% 53% 18% 17% 15% 15% 14% 14% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED NDP VOTERS 18 TO 24 ALBERTA $60,000 TO UNDER $80,000 UNION MEMBERS SOME COLLEGE OR UNIVERSITY 25 TO 34 Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Managing the impacts of COVID-19) New Democratic Party of Canada (NDP) Those between the ages of 18-34, union members, those living in households earning $60- 80k/year, those with some post-secondary education, those living in Alberta and decided NDP voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the NDP would be best suited to manage the impacts of COVID-19.
- 12. 26% 60% 36% 34% 31% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED LIBERAL VOTERS 65 OR OVER ATLANTIC CANADA QUEBEC Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Pharmacare and prescription drug coverage) Liberal Party of Canada Those living east of Ontario, those over the age of 65 and decided Liberal voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the Liberal Party would be best suited to handle pharmacare and prescription drug coverage.
- 13. 16% 58% 25% 24% 24% 22% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS THE PRAIRIES 55 TO 64 HIGH SCHOOL OR LESS ALBERTA Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Pharmacare and prescription drug coverage) Conservative Party of Canada Those with lower levels of education, those between the ages of 55-64, those living in the Heartland and decided Conservative voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the Conservative Party would be best suited to manage pharmacare and prescription drug coverage.
- 14. 22% 71% 36% 28% 28% 28% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED NDP VOTERS ALBERTA BRITISH COLUMBIA MASTER’S DEGREE OR HIGHER THE PRAIRIES Which political party do you believe is best suited to handle each of the following public policy issues? (Pharmacare and prescription drug coverage) New Democratic Party of Canada (NDP) Those living west of Ontario, those with higher levels of education as well as decided NDP voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the NDP would be best suited to manage pharmacare and prescription drug coverage.
- 15. Government Spending One third of Canadians believe the federal government should spend more on COVID-19 relief measures. Notable majorities of Canadians believe the federal government should spend more on health care and mental health. Public more likely to support increased government spending on science, technology and innovation but less on automotive and manufacturing.
- 16. 61% 56% 46% 44% 44% 33% 33% 32% 28% 28% 27% 20% 14% 10% 28% 31% 37% 40% 36% 49% 42% 43% 53% 53% 48% 50% 46% 50% 3% 5% 7% 5% 11% 8% 16% 15% 9% 7% 13% 21% 27% 27% HEALTH CARE MENTAL HEALTH PHARMACARE AND PRESCRIPTION DRUG COVERAGE SCIENCE, INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY THE ENVIRONMENT TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE COVID-19 RELIEF MEASURES WELFARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY CRIME AND JUSTICE AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND BROADBAND CONNECTIVITY DEFENCE AND SECURITY NATURAL RESOURCE EXTRACTION AUTOMOTIVE AND MANUFACTURING For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. Spend more Spend about the same as now Spend less The top three policy realms that Canadians wanted to see more spending on revolve around health care. Canadians were more divided as to whether the government should spend more or less on defence and security.
- 17. 3% 5% 7% 5% 11% 8% 16% 15% 9% 7% 13% 21% 27% 27% 61% 56% 46% 44% 44% 33% 33% 32% 28% 28% 27% 20% 14% 10% HEALTH CARE MENTAL HEALTH PHARMACARE AND PRESCRIPTION DRUG COVERAGE SCIENCE, INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY THE ENVIRONMENT TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE COVID-19 RELIEF MEASURES WELFARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY CRIME AND JUSTICE AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND BROADBAND CONNECTIVITY DEFENCE AND SECURITY NATURAL RESOURCE EXTRACTION AUTOMOTIVE AND MANUFACTURING For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. Spend less Spend more More or Less Support for increased spending on health care- related policies significantly outweighs reduced spending. The highest levels of support for decreased spending were found among natural resource extraction as well as automotive and manufacturing.
- 18. 53% 53% 50% 50% 49% 48% 46% 43% 42% 40% 37% 36% 31% 28% AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD CRIME AND JUSTICE DEFENCE AND SECURITY AUTOMOTIVE AND MANUFACTURING TRANSPORTATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND BROADBAND CONNECTIVITY NATURAL RESOURCE EXTRACTION WELFARE AND SOCIAL SECURITY COVID-19 RELIEF MEASURES SCIENCE, INNOVATION AND TECHNOLOGY PHARMACARE AND PRESCRIPTION DRUG COVERAGE THE ENVIRONMENT MENTAL HEALTH HEALTH CARE For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Spend about the same as now) Opinions about spending were more concrete (fewest % of people saying ‘the same as now’) around pharmacare, mental heath and heath care.
- 19. 61% 77% 73% 73% 70% 68% 67% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED NDP VOTERS 65 OR OVER ATLANTIC CANADA THE PRAIRIES 18 TO 24 $80,000 TO UNDER $100,000 For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Health care) Spend more Those on both ends of the age spectrum, those living in Atlantic Canada and the Prairies, those living in households earning $80k- 100k/year and decided NDP voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the federal government should spend more on health care.
- 20. 28% 41% 36% 35% 34% 33% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS ALBERTA $100,000 OR MORE 55 TO 64 MEN For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Health care) Spend about the same as now Those living in Alberta, men, those between the ages of 55-64, those living in higher household incomes and decided Conservative voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the federal government should spend about the same as it does now on health care.
- 21. 56% 68% 67% 65% 64% CANADIANS OVERALL 18 TO 24 DECIDED NDP VOTERS ATLANTIC CANADA 65 OR OVER For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Mental health) Spend more Those on both ends of the age spectrum, those living in Atlantic Canada and decided NDP voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the federal government should spend more on mental health.
- 22. 31% 46% 46% 37% CANADIANS OVERALL ALBERTA DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS $40,000 TO UNDER $60,000 For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Mental health) Spend about the same as now Those living in Alberta, those living in households earning $40-60k/year and decided Conservative voters were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the federal government should spend about the same as it does now on mental health.
- 23. 7% 4% 7% 2% 2% 3% 7% 12% 17% 46% 62% 61% 61% 55% 54% 51% 42% 34% CANADIANS OVERALL 65 OR OVER DECIDED NDP VOTERS ATLANTIC DECIDED LIBERAL VOTERS UNDER $40,000 THE PRAIRIRES ALBERTA DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Pharmacare and prescription drug coverage) Spend less Spend more More or Less Support for increased spending on prescription drug coverage outweighs reduced spending by >6:1. Those living in Alberta and decided Conservative voters were more likely to favour reduced spending on pharmacare
- 24. 37% 47% 43% 43% 43% 42% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS QUEBEC ALBERTA 18 TO 24 $100,000 OR MORE For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Pharmacare and prescription drug coverage) Spend about the same as now Decided Conservative voters, those living in Quebec and Alberta, younger Canadians and those living in households earning $100k+/year were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the government should spend about the same as it does now on pharmacare and prescription drug coverage.
- 25. 16% 10% 5% 5% 14% 12% 22% 22% 38% 33% 43% 43% 40% 39% 39% 30% 25% 22% CANADIANS OVERALL 65 OR OVER DECIDED NDP VOTERS DECIDED LIBERAL VOTERS 18 TO 24 UNDER $40,000 $100,000 OR MORE 35 TO 44 DECIDED CONSERVATIVE VOTERS For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (Covid-19 relief measures) Spend less Spend more More or Less Support for increased spending on COVID-19 relief measures outweighs reduced spending by 2:1. Attitudes towards relief expenditure differs significantly among lower/higher household incomes as well as partisan lines.
- 26. 42% 50% 49% 48% CANADIANS OVERALL DECIDED LIBERAL VOTERS DECIDED NDP VOTERS $40,000 TO UNDER $60,000 For each of the following public policy realms listed below, please tell us whether you believe the federal government should spend more, spend less or spend about the same as now. (COVID-19 relief measures) Spend about the same as now Decided Liberal and NDP voters as well as those in households earning $40-60k/year were more likely than Canadians overall to say that the government should spend about the same as it does now on COVID-19 relief measures.
- 27. Feelings Towards Groups, Professions and Institutions Using a feeling thermometer (a scale ranging from 0, meaning very cold, to 10 meaning very warm, and 5 meaning neither cold nor warm), respondents were asked to identify how warm or cold their feelings are towards 17 groups, professions and institutions. Groups with warmer feelings (6-10): Nurses Doctors Police and law enforcement Journalists Groups with colder feelings (0-4): Labour unions Politicians and lawmakers Lobbyists and special interests groups
- 28. 3% 5% 4% 5% 11% 6% 18% 14% 12% 22% 24% 33% 32% 38% 47% 47% 56% 84% 78% 76% 74% 71% 71% 57% 53% 53% 42% 41% 30% 30% 29% 20% 20% 11% NURSES DOCTORS SMALL BUSINESSES FARMERS AND AGRI-FOOD WORKERS TEACHERS AND EDUCATORS SCIENTISTS POLICE AND LAW ENFORCEMENT CANADA POST AND POSTAL WORKERS ACADEMICS TRADITIONAL MEDIA OUTLETS (NEWSPAPERS, RADIO STATIONS, TELEVISION NETWORKS, ETC.) JOURNALISTS BANKING AND FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS CIVIL SERVANTS AND BUREAUCRATS LABOUR UNIONS POLITICIANS AND LAWMAKERS SOCIAL MEDIA OUTLETS (TWITTER, FACEBOOK, ETC.) LOBBYISTS AND SPECIAL INTEREST GROUPS Please tell us on a scale from 0, meaning very cold feelings, to 10 meaning very warm feelings, and 5 meaning neither cold nor warm feelings, how you feel about each of the following groups or entities listed below. Cooler feelings (0-4) Warmer feelings (6-10) Traditional media outlets were viewed more warmly than social media outlets. Of the different professions measured, Canadians held the warmest feelings towards health care practitioners. Warmer feelings for journalists outweigh colder feelings by 2:1.
- 29. 33% 33% 32% 31% 30% 28% 28% 28% 28% 26% 21% 19% 17% 15% 14% 13% 9% BANKING AND FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS CIVIL SERVANTS AND BUREAUCRATS TRADITIONAL MEDIA OUTLETS (NEWSPAPERS, RADIO STATIONS, TELEVISION NETWORKS, ETC.) ACADEMICS JOURNALISTS LABOUR UNIONS SOCIAL MEDIA OUTLETS (TWITTER, FACEBOOK, ETC.) POLITICIANS AND LAWMAKERS CANADA POST AND POSTAL WORKERS LOBBYISTS AND SPECIAL INTEREST GROUPS POLICE AND LAW ENFORCEMENT SCIENTISTS FARMERS AND AGRI -FOOD WORKERS SMALL BUSINESSES TEACHERS AND EDUCATORS DOCTORS NURSES Please tell us on a scale from 0, meaning very cold feelings, to 10 meaning very warm feelings, and 5 meaning neither cold nor warm feelings, how you feel about each of the following groups or entities listed below. 5 Neither cold nor warm Canadians held more concrete views (fewest % of respondents rating their feelings as a ‘5’) towards health care workers in comparison to other professions measured.
- 30. 11% 6% 7% 5% 9% 28% 10%6% 7% 3%3% Labour unions 3%2% 3% 3% 7% 21% 12%12%13%9%10% Police and law enforcement 2%1% 2% 2% 4% 31% 12%14%13% 7%7% Academics 2%1% 2% 2% 4% 14% 8%12% 19% 13% 18% Teachers and educators 1%2% 2% 4% 6% 28% 11%12%14% 8%8% Canada Post and postal workers 0%1% 1% 1% 2% 15% 10%14% 19%17%16% Small businesses 6%4% 5% 7%10% 33% 10%9% 5% 3%3% Banking and financial institutions 14% 7% 8% 8%10% 28% 7% 4% 5% 2%1% Social media outlets (Twitter, Facebook, etc.) 5%3% 3% 5% 7% 32% 11%12%10%6%4% Traditional media outlets (Newspapers, radio stations, television networks, etc.) 5%2% 4% 5% 8% 30% 11%11%12% 4%4% Journalists 11%7% 9% 9%11% 28% 7% 6% 4% 2%1% Politicians and lawmakers 1%0% 1% 2% 2% 17% 10% 14% 18% 15%17% Farmers and agri-food workers 19% 10%9% 9%10% 26% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% Lobbyists and special interest groups 6%4% 6% 6%10% 33% 10%7% 6% 3%3% Civil servants and bureaucrats 1%1% 1% 1% 3% 19% 8%13% 19%14%17% Scientists 1%0% 0% 1% 1% 9% 6% 9% 17%19% 33% Nurses 1%0% 1% 1% 2% 13%9%13% 19%15% 23% Doctors 0 (Very cold feelings) 1 2 3 4 5 Neither cold nor warm 6 7 8 9 10 (Very warm feelings) Feeling thermometer for each group, profession or institution Warmer Feelings Colder Feelings
- 31. Methodology Online survey by way of a demographically representative panel of Canadians N=1,000 adults (aged 18 and older) Survey made available in English and French Interlocking quotas as set out in the Canadian Census by way of age, gender, province. Survey fieldwork took place from November 20 through 25, 2020 Margin of Error: N/A for online polls (comparable margin of error would be +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20)
- 32. Sample Demographics Gender % of Sample Men 48.4% Women 51.3% Other 0.3% Age % of Sample 18-24 2.8% 25-34 24.5% 35-44 15% 45-54 20.6% 55-64 15% 65+ 22.1% Education % of Sample High School or Less 13.2% Some University or College 16.7% College or University Degree 51.7% Master’s Degree or Higher 18.4%
- 33. Sample Demographics Province % of Sample Newfoundland & Labrador 1.2% Prince Edward Island 0.6% New Brunswick 2.2% Nova Scotia 2.2% Quebec 23.2% Ontario 39.4% Manitoba 4.7% Saskatchewan 2.2% Alberta 11.2% British Columbia 13.1%
- 34. Sample Demographics Household Income % of Sample Under $30,000 8% $30,000 to under $40,000 6.8% $40,000 to under $50,000 5.8% $50,000 to under $60,000 6.2% $60,000 to under $70,000 6.7% $70,000 to under $80,000 5.2% $80,000 to under $90,000 5.9% $90,000 to under $100,000 7.2% $100,000 to under $120,000 10.2% $120,000 or over 20.5% Rather not say 17.5%
- 35. Sample Demographics Union Membership % of Sample Member 28.9% Not a member 67.9% Don’t know 3.2% Born in Canada % of Sample I was born in Canada 78.5% I was born elsewhere 21.5% Employment Status % of Sample Working full-time (30 hours a week or more) 55.1% Working part-time (fewer than 30 hours a week) 9.6% Laid off, unemployed or looking for a job 5% Unable to work 2.9% Retired 25.4% Student, at school or in training 2%
- 36. Website: delphipolling.com Twitter: @djsamplingerror LinkedIn: Adrian Macaulay Adrian Macaulay, President adrian@delphipolling.com 647-539-7587 CONTACT US